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What Really Wins Money An independent review of tipsters and betting systems
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teams who have an outstanding chance of winning Starting with a betting bank of £1,000, using an
their matches. expected win percentage of 94 (my actual win
percentage is 95%) and a divisor of two, the betting
As a matter of habit now, I visit www.ladbrokes.com
bank as at 17th October 2009 stands at £12,582.
every day, and by clicking on “football”, take note of all
football teams priced at 1 /2 or lower. The largest stake was £439 and the average stake
was £274. With a 95% strike rate, I personally see no
Ladbrokes (who are accurate with their football
problems with that kind of outlay in proportion to
odds) have highlighted these “apparent” sure things to
betting bank.
us, and now it is our job to justify backing at such
short odds. I cannot explain how Kelly Staking Plan
calculations are made – I have just left it to the Staking
www.soccerstats.com and www.betdevil.com are
Machine to tell me my new stake.
two websites which are superb in showing you football
teams’ recent performances, their opponents’ If you were to follow the one-a-day betting, then I
performances, head to heads and much much more. would advise a purchase of the Staking Machine as a
way to maximize the profits if this Kelly Staking Plan
With this information, a short-priced selection
interests you.
highlighted to us by the bookmakers can be justified as
a bet, and become a one-a-day bet.
Percentage of betting bank
These are the main tricks I have picked up over the
Starting with a £100 betting bank, and a first stake
year. I have also learned, through investigating a
of £10, the betting bank now stands at £5,579
number of staking plans, that there are better ways than
compounding which really can maximise profits over a This is betting 10% of your betting bank every day
year without putting a lot of money at risk. there is a bet. Hence the £10 starting stake.
This staking plan encapsulates the power of
Money management lessons learned compounding. Starting small, then letting the stakes
There are 3 staking plans I would like to present to increase only as your betting bank increases.
you which have produced exceptional profits since
This is the staking plan that will appeal to most
November 2008 (exceptional profits given that the
people because the very first stake is just £10. It will
odds we are focusing on daily are very short).
seem as if you are going nowhere in the initial stages
because returns are so low, but stakes will rise and
Level stakes profits will rise, and the snowball effect of
This staking plan involves betting a set amount compounding will take over.
every day. I include it as there are no calculations of
stakes. Everything is clear. Make your one-a-day bet, So where to from here?
and place the stake you have chosen on the selection.
I hope I have convinced you that there is a profit to
Betting a fixed stake of £100 on one chosen bet a be made from very short-priced bets despite the
day since November 2008 up to October 2009 has conventional wisdom telling you otherwise.
produced a profit of £4,091.
The key to success is in the approach you take.
POSITIVES – The stake is set so once you have Blanket backing of all short odds selections will simply
selected your bet, you can bet and go. not work. BUT if we become ultra selective, and on
each given day search out that ONE selection that has
NEGATIVES – Betting to a fixed stake will not
the greatest chance of success, be it from a horse
maximize profits as your betting bank grows.
racing place-only perspective, or from doing a little
research after the bookmakers have highlighted for you
Kelly Staking Plan a football team most likely to win, then you will profit
I just had to include her, didn’t I! And for good reason. well a year from now.
I put the 304 bets I have generated since November For those with limited resources who want to make
2008 into the Staking Machine (found at this one-a-day system work, the best way is by betting
www.thestakingmachine.com). The most profitable 10% of a starting bank of £100. Your first bet will only
staking plan was the Kelly Staking Plan. be £10 but after nearly a year, you have seen how the
please turn over
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betting bank has become £5,000+. wealth of betting opportunities which open themselves
up to you.
The high strike rate married with the short odds
ensures a steady long-term growth. In this article, I will show you the strategy which
can be used to make good correct score bets, and the
I have included two other staking plans, one of which
correct score market is an ideal one to focus on
will ideally require an investment in staking software
because in some instances the lowest price in this
such as that found at www.thestakingmachine.com. I
betting category can be as high as 6/1.
refer to the Kelly Staking Plan in this instance, and the
investment in the staking software should be adequately Follow this step-by-step guide:
compensated by future profits.
1) Make a short list of teams who tend to dominate
I have kept a diary of this experiment and urge their leagues. Here is a list of likely candidates.
anybody interested to look through previous days and
– Celtic and Rangers in the Scottish Premier
months and see how I have approached making one-a-
League.
day selections. The diary can be found at www.back-
lay-trade-horses-football.blogspot.com and will teach – Man Utd, Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea and now
you a lot. Manchester City in the Premier League.
Now is an ideal time to try this out for yourself. I – Barcelona and Real Madrid in the Spanish
managed a 95% strike rate over the year and fully League.
intend replicating this for a new 12 month cycle –
– Panathanaikos and Olympiakos in Greece.
hopefully, with a little help from Kelly, who knows?
– Fenerbahce and Galatasaray in Turkey.
Fancy turning £100 into £5,000+ in the next 12
months? 2) If we use the example of Rangers and Celtic it is
quite clear that they are the dominant forces in the
Soon to launch! I’ve been publishing my One-A- Scottish Premier League and are closely matched in
Day tips on my blog for the last year for free. I wanted ability. This is the key. Being so closely matched we
to prove – beyond any doubt – that slow and steady can gauge how one team is likely to perform against
really can win the race. Bolstered by the long term an opponent that the other has played against recently.
success (and encouragement from followers) I have
now decided to continue publishing my One-A-Day Take a look at the 17th October 2009 fixture list.
selections to those who are interested. Celtic is playing Motherwell.
So, very soon, I will be launching a full members- What we do for Step 2 is to look at the most recent
only service. If you want to guarantee a place, then match between Rangers and Motherwell. What will
please got to this achieve? If our contention that Celtic and Rangers
www.canonburypublishing.com/placeback/ and sign are closely matched in ability, then their respective past
up. I’ll send you full details as soon as we launch. results can act as a mirror to how the other side is
likely to perform.
Football On 12th September Motherwell drew 0-0 with
Rangers. What can we assume from this scoreline?
With This Simple System Motherwell, against the top two sides this season, may
You Can Predict (and put out an ultra defensive team in order to try not to
concede and “nick a point”.
Profit From) Which Way What betting opportunities might this open when
a Football Match Is Celtic faces Motherwell? A backing of 0-0 correct score
may be an option. A backing of under 2.5 goals, and
Likely To Go more speculatively, under 1.5 goals may have value.
For those football traders out there, as long as the
W ith this simple system, you can now predict how a
future football match is most likely to go. match is in-running, these bets can also be traded.
And if you are able to accurately predict how a The actual result when Celtic played Motherwell
football match is likely to go, then there are a whole was 0-0. It mirrored the result achieved by Rangers.
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How about Hearts? They played Rangers on 23rd strategies, when used in tandem with this resource site,
August 2009 and the score was 2-1 to Rangers. Celtic can help you get an accurate idea of how a future
played Hearts on 20th September and the score was 2- match is likely to progress as far as the correct score
1 to Celtic. and amount of goals scored is concerned.
How would Rangers scoreline in the earlier game Have fun with the above strategy and see if you can
suggest to you approach Hearts when Celtic played correctly predict future correct scores, to become the
them? Mystic Meg of Football!
Firstly, Hearts had the ability to score against
Rangers, so watch out for that in the Celtic game.
Selection Strategy
Secondly, 3 goals were scored indicating the potential
of an over 2.5 goals bet.
An Easy Way I Know To
Thirdly, a correct score bet of 2-1 when Celtic Select The Fastest Horse
played Hearts may be worthy of speculation. In Any Race
This system becomes even more accurate if we look
at home scorelines and away scorelines. In the example
above, Rangers played Hearts at home. We will then be
H ere’s s quick system you can use to find out
instantly the fastest horse in a given race.
waiting for when Celtic play Hearts at home. With The information can be found by using the
Hearts playing away from home, they might approach TopSpeed ratings in the Racing Post.
the game differently. Follow theses steps:
Why might this be an accurate method of working 1) Look at the Topspeed ratings for all races. These can
out future scorelines and goals? be found in the Racing Post newspaper as part of the
It all lies in the fact that there is domination of a Postdata / Topspeed table. Online at
handful of teams in one league. The Premiership is an www.racingpost.com, click on “Cards”.
ideal example. Teams line up differently against the 2) Choose the first race and then click on “TS” – this
Big four teams of Arsenal, Man Utd, Liverpool and will sort out the race by Topspeed.
Chelsea than they might against others.
3) If the top rated horse is clear of the second rated by
Look at newly promoted sides too 20 points or more, then it becomes a qualifier.
This little strategy is not just effective for dominant 4) It would be wise to avoid soft and heavy ground.
teams, it is also worth applying to teams at the bottom
I told you it was quick.
of leagues.
The logic behind this little system is that we have
As an example, I will tend to lump the newly
identified the horse that is clear of the rest of the field
promoted sides together, such as Wolves, Burnley and
by the Racing Post’s Speed Ratings. In an ideally run
Birmingham City. These teams should struggle, but
race without much buffeting, or traffic problems, then
there might be a pattern to their play which we can
that horse has an outstanding chance of success if
apply to future matches.
consenting to put his best foot forward.
For example, Burnley specifically AWAY from home
Here’s an example just to make the above steps a
have lost to teams in the top half of the table. The top
little clearer:
four teams who have played Burnley have won 3-0 and
4-0 when Burnley plays at their grounds. These teams 30/09/09
were Chelsea and Liverpool. So expectation when
530 Newcastle
Burnley play against Arsenal at the Emirates or Man
Utd at Old Trafford is for a 3+ goal victory by the home Looking at the Latest Topspeed Ratings for this race
side and also for Burnley to NOT score. in the Racing Post, Capable Guest is showing a rating
of 81 (We know this is the highest topspeed rating
Bottom line because it is in bold).
Do get to know www.soccerstats.com. It is such a The next step is to find the next highest rating. This
wonderful resource (and it’s free!) and the above was 58 for a horse called Zefooha. The difference
please turn over
5
between Capable Guest’s rating of 80 and Zefooha’s The obvious question to ask is why not let a horse
rating of 58 is 22. finish nearer last than first so it will get dropped even
further in the weights? But it is not as simple as that.
This fits in ideally with the system.
Running a horse down the field is very difficult if the
Capable Guest wins at 11/2. horse is in good form. But allowing it to run on well
into 4th or 5th can be easily achieved, and this is also a
It must be said there are no selections every day but
good indication to the trainer that the horse is well and
selections are worth waiting for.
capable of winning, especially if it gets dropped in the
This system is very easy to use. It can also be weights which is the purpose of this exercise.
applied if you are looking at sprint distances over the
flat in particular. If you notice a horse in a sprint race, Strategy Rules
with a good draw, and who is clear in the Topspeed 1 Target all 3yo+ and 4yo and above handicaps but
ratings, then this could highlight a worthwhile bet. ignore all 3yo only handicaps. I do allow a 3yo to
run in a 3yo+ race, but 3yo only races are very
Bottom line unpredictable as often there is not enough solid form
It is very easy to check through Topspeed Ratings to go on. If a trainer is prepared to run a 3yo against
both online and offline using this little strategy and I older horses then I allow this and take it that this
will be following any selections with interest. There horse is considered good enough to do itself justice.
wont be selections every day, but when one appears 2• Highlight all horses that finished 4th or 5th last time
then we can be assured that the horse who has met our out.
criteria will, by default, be the fastest horse in the race,
and as long as he or she gets a decent chance of a clear 3 Check the horse’s current handicap mark, and then
run, then the horse’s chance of winning is increased. check to see what handicap mark it ran off last time,
and if it has dropped in the weights (Must have
Expert Strategy : Martin Blakey dropped at least 1lb).
4 Any qualifier must have proved it is capable of
How To Spot And Profit winning over today’s distance.
From Trainers ‘Fixing’ 5 Any qualifier aged 5 or above must have proved it
can win off its current mark. This means its current
Handicap Races handicap mark must be equal to or lower than its last
winning handicap mark. Horses aged 3 and 4 get a
T his month I want to pass on to you a very effective
strategy for highlighting well handicapped horses.
This strategy works equally as well on the Flat, all-
6lb allowance, this means its current mark can be up
to 6lbs above its last winning mark. I do this because
weather and National Hunt. young horses still have plenty of improvement in
them and are well capable of defying a mark up to
This particular method focuses on horses that 6lbs above their last winning rating.
finished 4th or 5th last time out, and as a result were
dropped in the handicap, which obviously gives them a 6 To qualify as a bet, a horse must meet with all the
greater chance of winning when the time is right. You above criteria but MUST also be supported in the
may wonder why 4th or 5th placing last time out is betting market as this is a strong indication that the
important, but I can assure you this is a route that many horse is expected to run a big race. For example,
trainers go down prior to setting a horse up to win. The opening price 8-1 and backed into 5-1.
reason for this is that on the majority of occasions, if a Below are a couple of examples showing how to
horse finishes outside the first three, it will get dropped identify these horses using the form as seen in the
in the weights by the handicapper, usually between 1lb Racing Post or on the Racing Post website.
and 3lb.
You also need to know that the horse is good enough Example one
to win a particular race, and many times you will see a Sunday 11 October.
horse running on strongly at the end of a race into 4th
LINGFIELD 3.35. 3yo+ Handicap.
or 5th indicating that the horse is ready to strike when
conditions are right. 7f – 14 declared
6
Kyllachy Star 8-12 1m5f – 12 declared.
3-y-o Bell Island. 9-5
R A Fahey Paul Hannagan. 5-y-o
OR88 Lady Herries. Seb Sanders.
84 6/09 Sand 7f Cls3 OR67
80 5/09 York 7f Cls3 73 3/09 Ling 1m5f
19 Sept Ayr 7f 69 2/09 Ling 1m5f
10 ran. Good
1. Harrison George. 8-1 8 Sept Goodwood 1m3f
2. Osteopathic Remedy. 8-1 9 ran. GD-FM
3. Prime Exhibit. 2-1 fav. 1. Soundbyte. 6-1
5.KYLLACHY STAR. 2. Sand Repeal. 7-1
Took keen hold in rear, effort on outer over 2f out, 3. Sinbad The Sailor. 9-2
stayed on final furlong, never troubled leaders. 5. BELL ISLAND. 5-2 fav.
[RPR91 TS65 OR89] RESULT: Won 15-2 from 9-1. Tracked leaders, ridden 3 out, not quicken over 2f
out, held after, one pace final furlong.
Step-By-Step Guide [RPR70 TS47 OR69] RESULT: Won 5-1 from 13-2.
Using the above example, I will guide you through Looking at the above example, you can see that Bell
exactly what you need to look for to identify a qualifier
Island met with all the criteria we are looking for. He
using the above strategy. Starting at the top, I have
was running off a mark 6lb lower than for his last win
underlined all the important points.
and had dropped to 2lb to a mark of 67 (from 69).
• 3-y-o+ Handicap: This shows that it is a 3-y-o+ race.
He had also won over the distance and was
• 7f: This shows the race is over 7 furlongs. supported on course into 5-1 from 13-2.
• 3-y-o: This shows that Kyllachy Star is a 3-y-o so
gets the 6lb allowance.
Editor’s Note
Martin has relayed above how to use this system
• OR88: This shows that Kyllachy Star is running off a with the Racing Post newspaper, but the system can
handicap mark of 88 so is 4lb above his last winning also be worked online, by using www.sportinglife.com.
mark but gets the 6lb allowance which in effect
means he is running off 82. You can also use www.racingpost.com, but will have to
pay for the membership in order to access the
• 84 6/09 Sand 7f: This shows Kyllachy Star has won information required.
previously off a handicap mark of 84 over 7 furlongs.
Here is a brief synopsis of those parts of
• 5.Kyllachy Star: This shows Kyllachy Star was 5th www.sportinglife.com which will help you in using
last time out. this handicap system.
• OR89: This shows that Kyllachy Star ran off a mark of 1) At www.sportinglife.com click on the link to
89 last time out so has dropped 1lb for today’s race to “Racing”
a mark of 88. Take off the 6lb allowance for a 3-y-o
and this takes his Mark to 82 which is 2lb below his 2) At the racing page, click on “Racecards”. Here you
last winning mark and therefore makes him a qualifier. will find a list of all of the day’s races and can view
the handicap races and the ages of the horses in those
• Kyllachy Star won at 15-2 having been backed in handicap races in order to find qualifying races.
from 9-1 so it also qualified on the betting rule.
3) Once you have found a horse in a qualifying race
Example two who is worthy of further investigation under the
system rules, simply click on his name and you will
Sunday 11th October.
be taken to the horse’s profile page. (NOTE – in the
Lingfield 4.45. 3-y-o+ Handicap. form section of the profile page, the official rating
please turn over
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(OR), or current handicap mark as it is also referred You now have the same opportunity as you did in
to, is to be found under the column BHA. the football match. You can sell back your bet via
Betfair. The horse does not even need to win the race
This is a fairly straightforward strategy that throws
for you to profit.
up a tremendous amount of winners and is very easy to
follow once you get the hang of it. My personal
So how can you sell off a bet while you
handicap ratings are based on years of experience and
knowledge which I know puts them head and shoulders are in a winning position?
above any other available ratings which all tend to You use a bet exchange like Betfair. Obviously if
follow the same predictable “form” route. I am looking you were using traditional bookmakers, this would be
for the first time to make my ratings available on a impossible. The bookies will take your bet and if you
daily basis, and I should be in a position to do this at win they pay out.
some stage in November.
Using a bet exchange is a bit like spread betting
shares
STOP PRESS!
What do you do when your share is rising in price?
Martin Blakey is about to share his handicap
Do you stay with the share in the hope that it will
expertise in his all-new Handicap Gold advisory
continue to rise? I hope not because, after all, we
service. It is due for launch in November and you can
cannot predict the future.
make sure you are the first to hear about it by signing
up to his free alert list. Just go to the following website You would, I hope, get out of your position, and
and register bank the profit by selling the share back and pocketing
http://canonburypublsihing.com/handicapgold/ the difference between the price you bought the share
and the price you sold the share at.
And that’s exactly what you are doing with sports
Trading Made Simple trading. You back the team/horse/tennis player and lay
off at a lower price to secure our profit.
How to Use Betfair to Sell Betfair, the world’s leading betting exchange, gives
Your Bet for a you this opportunity to effectively sell off a winning
bet and profit. It also gives you the ability to lay (to
Guaranteed Profit oppose an event – in direct contrast to backing)
Here is a football trading example:
I received a number of emails asking me to explain, in
simple terms, what exactly trading involves.
Let’s say I back Celtic at odds of 1.95 for £500.
Trading is the ability to sell your bet off when Within a few minutes Celtic score. As a direct
you are in a winning position. consequence the market changes the odds to reflect
that Celtic is more likely to win. The price available in
Imagine you have backed a football team, and it
the market for Celtic is 1.56 to back and 1.58 to lay.
scores first. At that moment, your bet is winning,
Contrast this with the price at which I backed Celtic.
regardless of the fact that the football match may only
be a few minutes old, or the first half has not even The odds have fallen and here is our window of
ended yet. opportunity as a trader to profit.
So by trading you can get out while in a winning When you back a selection and you have trading in
position, safe in the knowledge that you are not reliant mind, the only way you will profit is if the odds
on the football team you have backed going on to win reduce. You then LAY the same selection to guarantee
after the 90 minutes is up. a profit. In our example, the odds have fallen from 1.95
to 1.58.
The same goes for horse racing. As long as the race
allows in-running betting you have the opportunity to
So always remember: back at higher
trade out for a profit. Imagine this time that you have
backed a horse to win at odds of 5/1. The race goes off. odds and lay at the lower odds.
Your 5/1 shot has started running very well, and its in- Let’s take a look at that Celtic match. The
running price reduces to 2/1. difference between the price I backed Celtic and the
8
price they are now after scoring a goal, puts me in a do not know what the 90 minute result is going to be
winning position. with 100% certainty.
The focus is firmly on trading rather than traditional The second niggle comes with the automated aspect
backing to win or each-way tips. of the service. Personally, I found it difficult to sort out
the settings in order to ensure that trading profits were
Before I get started, it is important to note that this reasonable when the horses’ prices shortened as they
is a service which will, ideally, require you to follow ran well. In this regard then, trading manually is my
the betting markets on Betfair. preferred option.
I say “ideally” because there is a betting bot which Another concern – any trading tipping service puts
can place your bets for you automatically, and although the vendor at an immediate advantage over those
you will not need to be at your computer, you will receiving the tips. Why? Well before he releases his
need to leave your computer running with the betting selections to subscribers, he can back them all,
bot and software. knowing that the subscribers will all be backing the
10
same horses and this will inevitably push the price 10 9 8 47 48 49 4
down. He can trade out on the back of this sudden
45 19 18 36 37 15 5
weight of money from subscribers.
44 34 24 29 22 16 6
The last worry is a practical one. How do we know
when it’s the right time to trade out of a horse? How 7 17 23 25 27 33 43
can we gauge when a horse has reached its lowest 11 20 28 21 26 30 39
price in running without going on to win the race?
12 35 32 14 13 31 38
These negatives aside, there is no getting away from
46 41 42 3 2 1 40
the fact, that in a large proportion of cases, the horses
listed in the Excel spreadsheet did shorten, and even go Now this is not any old square, I’ll have you know.
on to win. There is plenty of support for members This is a truly magic square, sure as my name is
regarding trading and full instructions for setting up the Derren. Take a closer look at the seven rows, the seven
automation process. columns and the two diagonals. Get out your calculator
and add up the numbers in each row, column and
Bottom line diagonal. Isn’t that amazing? Yes, they all add up to
175 – a truly magic square. Now, how do we make use
There is an option to pay £5 per day which is the of this? Here are some suggestions. Take any line of
way I would approach this service. Far better this, than numbers that you fancy (you have 16 to choose from –
committing to £130 and a full month only to find that seven rows, seven columns and two diagonals) and
this is not suitable for you. If you have the ability to drop one figure, your least favourite. You are left with
follow the betting live, are already au fait with horse six numbers to enter. Another idea. Since 175 is the
racing trading, and want a chance to profit small but magical total you might like to include 1 or 7 or 5 or
consistently, then for £5 per day, you should make 17 and 5. But best of all, I have two plans for you
enough to cover the small daily fee. involving 14 numbers, that is any two lines of your
choice as long as they are not intersecting which would
Do take note of my concerns. There has been a reduce the number to 13. With your 14 chosen
consistency to the quality of selections made during numbers write them out as follows. A = your first
my trial which augurs well for the future. number, B = your 2nd, C = your 3rd, D = your 4th, E =
your 5th, F = your 6th, G = your 7th, H = your 8th, I =
The Patriarch Presents: your 9th, J = your 10th, K = your 11th, L = your 12th,
M = your 13th and N = your 14th.
How to have fun with And here’s where more magic comes in. The first
the National lottery plan has only five lines to enter and yet there is quite
an amazing guarantee. If you have five of the drawn
and a little known numbers among your 14 numbers, then you are
guaranteed to be a winner of a prize. Here are the five
Handicap strategy that lines to enter on your lottery ticket.
really works! 1. A F G H I J
2. A F I J M N
N ow that Derren Brown has brought the National
Lottery back into the limelight with his amazing
programmes, I thought I would start this month with a
3. A F G H M N
4. B C D E K L
bit of fun betting on it, always remembering that it is
one of the worst bets in the world with odds of almost 5. G H I J M N
14 million to 1 against you winning it. But at least we The second plan costs more at £14 with 14 lines, and
can console ourselves with the knowledge that part of perhaps could be used for a small syndicate. This time the
our losing stake is going to good causes. And my guarantee is that if you have the six drawn numbers
approach to winning is going to be magic too, but not among your 14 selections then you are guaranteed a line
quite in the Derren Brown style. I’m going to start with with at least four correct. As before, match your numbers
the 49 lottery numbers set out in a square, as follows: to the letters A to N and then enter these 14 lines.
please turn over
11
1. A B C D E F 3. The horse must have won its last race which must
have been a handicap chase as defined in Rule 1.
2. A B G H I J
4. The horse must have won its previous race by a
3. A C D G K L
distance in lengths which equals or exceeds the lbs
4. A C F H J M of the penalty carried in the current race. For
example, a horse carrying a 5lb penalty must have
5. A E G H K N
won its previous race by 5 lengths or more.
6. A F I L M N
5. The horse must have won its previous race by at
7. B C E G I M least 3 lengths.
8. B D J K M N 6. The horse must be the Spot selection of Formcast of
9. B E F H K L the Daily Mail.
12
the use of Betfair, I suspect we would be in profit expected losing runs.
especially considering the winners have come at
I have spoken to system author Derek Nadin
bookmaker’s SPs of 8/1, 10/1, 9/1, 5/1 and 2/1.
personally and he is certainly no fly-by-night. The
As you can see though, with the fact that Quick On system contains rules for the National Hunt season and
The Draw backs up to three selections per race, any rules separately for the Flat season.
losing run can quickly erode profit made.
With the claimed big-priced winners being verified,
This is certainly a system to keep the right side of, this augurs well for the 5 Year Consistency plan as it
and with the focus on Kempton, bets will be few and stands with my short trial, and I will definitely be
far between but the winter all-weather season should following this system and reporting back.
help in that respect.
www.thetradingplan.co.uk/results.php
The easy lay method
This tipping service makes use of the price
If you go to http://www.racing-index.com/ movements near the off time in races and horses
tipsters/tipster-performance.php and look for become qualifiers or non-qualifiers based on whether
Horse4course race tips (LAY) you will see the they hit a “target price”. This month gone, non-
frustration with this lay system at present. qualifiers, as they are termed, have accounted for
It just doesn’t seem to go anywhere and seems a winners priced 7/1, 8/1, 16/1, 7/2, 15/2 and 6/1. An
terrible waste of time. This is a short-term reaction of impressive haul. Of course clarification is required as
course. to whether these “non qualifiers” should be factored
into betting. This will determine the success for those
The results are calculated using FIXED
who have joined the service.
LIABILITY. This means that losses are controlled –
you know in advance how much you will lose if any
selection wins, BUT your returns will be compromised
www.bettertipster.co.uk
by price. Bets are characterized by “just info” horses and
official account bets.
The bigger the price when laying to fixed liability,
the smaller the return. The shorter the price laid, the The official account bets have had a poor run from
better the return. A profit of 0.28 points since I began September through to October but some profit has been
testing from 163 bets just seems too much work for too clawed back with the last two account bets – five
little reward. There are a lot of selections generally points win at 4/5 and 6 points win at 4/5.
each day, and although this system really is simplicity
itself, it is not profiting to the extent I personally would Since October 2009 began with wins at great prices
want for the effort expended. 4/1 and 6/1 followed by eight no return bets and one
each-way return bet. Two 2nd places extremely
The 5-Year consistency plan frustrating.
Bad timing on my part I think! I received the 5 year The just info is very interesting each day, and your
consistency plan, (another from profit and satisfaction will be determined by your
www.sportsworldpublishing.co.uk,) on the 22nd choice of whether to back these selections or not.
September. The website relates three winners between It looks as if the guys behind this service do have
the 15th-19th September at 25/1, 15/8 and 14/1. I have genuine information both in the UK and Ireland and
tracked these three horses down and, indeed, they were this looks to be a genuine service worthy of following.
system bets on the 15th September, 18th September
and 19th September, so this is interesting. However, I have had no experience with the service
over the jumps.
The 25% strike rate tells you that this is a system
which will be reliant on big priced winners coming
along, such as those above.
www.kachinaracing.co.uk
It would seem the website is taking something of a
Can you live with losing 75% of bets?
makeover. The results will be available for inspection
Losing runs will be inevitable. Faith then rests with and there are a wide variety of services to choose from
the hope of future big-priced horses to negate the which offer low entry costs.
please turn over
13
www.bettolose.co.uk reasonable if the C bet fails.
You should know by now the vagaries of loss The system claims a 97% strike rate but remember
retrieval services, but another month with 100% strike this is per series, so bets A and B may lose, but C
rate. I will repeat what I said last month. As long as usually wins.
you are aware of the risks associated with loss
Note: There is also a bonus NFL betting system
retrieval, and accept that a losing day can lose a lot of
eBook provided when joining, but this system does not
profit gained, then this service has delivered to date.
include email picks, unlike the baseball and basketball
On the subject of loss retrieval services, please do which do.
beware of http://www.jcaracing.co.uk.
This is the reincarnation of the now defunct
How much does it cost? Currently $197
www.5startipster.co.uk which showed the poor side Money saving tip: Go to ClickBank.com (it’s free to
of loss retrieval tipping services. JCA Racing is join) then buy this system using your affiliate link.
best avoided. You’ll receive a cheque for $100 as your affiliate
commission. Note: Obviously this is in US dollars so
Whilst on the subject of loss retrieval systems,
you need to open a dollar account to bank it. This
here’s a report from David McLean on one which he
system is really only costing you $97. You’re also
was pleased with:
covered by ClickBank’s 60 day guarantee.
www.sportsbettingchamp.com Websites
This American Sports Betting System is from
www.espn.com
John Morrison and covers Basketball (NBA) and
Baseball (MLB). www.espn.mobi (To check the results using your
mobile phone.)
The MLB season runs from Apr-Oct and gives 40-
50 selections. Teams will play each other three times in Tip: Betfair and Ladbrokes offer the best prices on
succession (bets A, B & C). This system went 49-0 in American sports.
2009 and 43-0 in 2008. The last time this had a losing
C bet was in 2006. Drawbacks
This is straightforward betting. Your tip (called a Having to open a US betting account to use the
pick in America) will look like the following: Oakland “buy points” option for basketball is a negative. Your
(A) v Seattle. Go to your betting account, check the account is kept in US dollars leaving you open to
odds and place your bet. currency fluctuations. The website also claims to
include picks for life, which is misleading as after 12
Meanwhile the NBA season runs from Nov-Mar
months using the system I was told the NBA bets were
and gives 70-80 picks. Again this system uses A, B and
being upgraded to a new 2.0 version. Of course I
C bets. This system won 79-0 in 2008-09 and 80-1 in
would receive the old 1.0 version picks, but these
2007-8.
would only be sent out 15 minutes before the game
The basketball system uses an advanced form of began! As most games begin after midnight UK time
handicap betting which isn’t offered by any British this was not a good option so I bought the new version
bookmakers that I can find. You may get a pick such for $125. The same stunt was pulled for the following
as: Washington (A) v Utah. Go to your American MLB season. I dislike this as it’s misleading to offer a
betting account where you can handicap bet lifetime of picks when they fully intend to charge you
Washington with a 6 point start for odds of 1.90. You each new season.
can also “buy points” which means you buy an extra 2
or 3 points to give Washington an 8 or 9 point start. Of Conclusion
course the more points you buy the lower the odds you
The high strike rate per series is genuine. You receive
receive. Typically buying 3 points will reduce the odds
three eBooks explaining the system plus qualifying
to 1.50.
selections emailed to you for both basketball and
As this system uses loss retrieval I set a modest baseball. The negatives already mentioned will bring my
goal of winning only $10 per game on basketball and final rating down as there is simply no need for sneaky
$20 per game on baseball. This helps keep losses marketing tricks with a good system like this.
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Final score: 7 out of 10. The results are fully available for inspection on the
website and hide nothing. I will continue to monitor
Many thanks to David for that report on another
this service because I think, if previous-to-October
loss retrieval service that he has made work.
results can be replicated, then profits will return.
www.flatlays.co.uk Once this service resumes its profitable ways then
An 8 point profit since the last newsletter is the £30 per month fee will look reasonable. I suspect it
welcome. This is a one-a-day lay service, and is is better to keep a watching brief until some form has
something you can easily replicate for yourself to be returned.
honest. As I discussed in my One-A-Day update
earlier, the expectation with one-a-day betting is for a www.lwthesystem.com
high strike rate. After all, we are selecting just one bet I warned you about this website last month, that it
a day. And remember, with laying, it is the equivalent had all of the triggers that I was used to seeing with
of backing short odds on shots. glossy brochure scam tipsters.
My own personal niggle there aside, at least the Well, he hasn’t disappointed. Wave bye bye to the
service is moving forward. This service costs £77 per 4/1 and above 75% strike rate and hello to the odds on
month which is a little big for a one-a-day lay service. shots (where did they come from? – I thought he didn’t
This must be factored into your laying stake to ensure back under 4/1!).
that this amount is covered before you are able to
realise a profit. And so to the second part of the operation – the
request to place bets on his behalf. This has occurred
Tipsters and systems whose results are before and Mr. Walters has effectively followed the
scam tipster blueprint to the letter. Avoid please!
online for your inspection
www.winnerstolosers.com’s results are updated to TCS Publications of Newport, Wales
30th September. Beware of this lot who are operating the old small
www.sportsworldpublishing.co.uk/ResultsDodgy.pdf field scam, and have been found out, having given two
provide results for the Dodgy Favourites lay system friends two different horses in the same race as tips.
which is being sold at Sportsworldpublishing. This scam works by choosing a small field (say five
horse race. They then split their targeted audience into
Tipsters Track five different sets, and provide the first set with one
I’ve am followed www.smartergambler.co.uk and horse, the seond set with the second horse in the race
www.soccer-laying-plus.co.uk, both from the same and so on.
guy and so far, the last months results are poor. You
The set of people who happened to be given the
realise this when there is a clause enacted after a poor
winner will receive follow-up offers.
bad run for both of these services.
Both are football tipping services, focusing on And Finally...
backing and laying, but simply have not performed
to date. Still, it is only fair to continue the testing as “What Can a Hearing
it is only October and there is plenty of football left to
be played. Aid Consultant Teach You
www.winningselections.co.uk is a general tipping About Making £2,000 Per
service covering all events. It is another one-a-day
service so, as I mentioned with Flatlays, the expectation
Month Spread Betting
on our parts should be for a decent strike rate. The Financial Markets?”
October has been very poor indeed. One of the
saving graces of this service is its full transparency.
Profits have been made regularly in previous months,
T here a bit of a story to this one, so bear with me.
Last year Wilson P Williams – a self-taught trader
who also happens to be a hearing aid consultant – told
and to be fair, October is the transitional period where me about his trading system. As I get hundreds of these
the flat is winding down, and the jumps winding up. kind of approaches every year I passed his details on to
please turn over
15
Dave Evans (editor of What Really Profits) to test and
report back.
Dave got a bunch of testers to put the system through
the usual real life testing. I completely forgot about it but
was delighted to hear some very positive feedback. The
strategy worked as claimed – aiming as it does to just
pick up 10 points a day either trading in the morning or
evening using a simple indicator-based system.
But what made this stand out, was the almost
universal praise for the support and encouragement
given by Wilson to all his students. Not only does he
offer very personal email support and guidance, he also
sends out regular emails showing his trades plus (and
this really does set him apart from many others), he is
very much focused on helping to debvelop a positive
trading mentality.
So even if you have tried and failed at the “trading
game” before this could just be the one to help you
become a more successful trader faster and with less
risk and stress.
Take a look at the enclosed report to find out
exactly how. Or go to:
http://www.canonburypublishing.com/tenkeitradewrp
It is my intention to be as accurate in fact, detail and comment as possible. However, the publishers and their representatives cannot be
held responsible for any error in detail, accuracy or judgement whatsoever. What Really Wins Money is sold on
this understanding. ISSN: 1741 9018
All subscription correspondence to: What Really Wins Money,
Subscription Office, Unit 1, Hainault Works, Hainault Road, Little Heath, Romford, RM6 5SS.Tel: 0208 597 0181 Fax: 0208 597 4040.
Registered office: Canonbury Publishing Ltd. Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ.
Registered in England No. 4765425 Vat Reg No. 811 5700 64
© Copyright What Really Wins Money 2009
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