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CONFIDENTIAL

Opportunities & Overview of Mobile


Industry in India

Prepared for:

October, 2006

No part of this presentation may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution


Indian mobile telephony market has seen explosive growth in subscriber
base but low tariffs keep building margin pressure on operators…

120 Per Minute Cellular Tarrifs (in US


cents)
100.0
Mobile Phone Subscribers (millions)

14.4
100

11 11.4
80
76.0
8.4
60
48.0 6.5 6.5

40 3.5
28.0
2.5

20 10.5
5.5
0.2 0.8 1.1 1.6 3.1
0.0
0 di
a na h al n ka an es
In hi des ep s ta an u t i v
C a N ki iL Bh al
d
gl Pa r
95

96

97

98

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

n M
06

S
Ba
19

19

19

19

19

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

*Data for 2006 is till April


Source: Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Industry News, Zinnov Analysis
1
…this is because average revenue per user (ARPU) is going down due to
falling call prices

Effective margin/min, Effective Margin/min Illustrative


End 2005 Curently

1.6 1
ARPU
ARPU (2005)
(2005)
1.4 0.9 0.08
0.25
0.8 •• India
India has
has one
one of
of the
the lowest
lowest mobile
mobile
1.2
0.7 phone
phone tariffs
tariffs in
in the
the world
world resulting
resulting inin
1 low Average Revenue
low Average Revenue Per User Per User
0.6 (ARPU)
(ARPU)
0.8 0.5
0.95 •• The
The problem
problem is is that
that despite
despite thethe
1.5 0.87 average use of mobile phones being
0.4 average use of mobile phones being
0.6 1.25 the
the highest
highest at at 287
287 minutes
minutes aa month,
month,
0.3 India
India has
has anan average
average raterate per
per user
user
0.4
0.2 (ARPU)
(ARPU) of around $8 compared to
of around $8 compared to
0.2 global
global average
average ARPUARPU of of $$ 21.
21.
0.1
•• There
There waswas aa decline
decline of of 7.4%
7.4% in in
0 0 ARPU in 2005 since
ARPU in 2005 since 2004 2004
Cost per Margin Effective Cost per Margin Effective •• The
The ARPU
ARPU would
would continue
continue to to drop
drop
by
by about
about 5% 5% whilewhile tariffs
tariffs will
will
minute rate per minute rate per decrease further by 15%
decrease further by 15%
minute minute

*Value are mentioned in Indian National Rupees


Source: Businessworld magazine, Industry News, Voice & Data, Zinnov Analysis
2
Value-added services (VAS) are likely to save the day for mobile service
providers
Lucrative for Operators

• At 14 cents per minute, some VAS services make


much more money than the average 3-4 cents per
minute that voice does.
• Typically, data sells at anywhere between 4-65
cents
• India’s churn rate is between 3.5 per cent to 6 per
cent per month, one of the highest in the Asia-
Pacific region

Many parties make money Customer is Ready

• Media companies e.g. Star, Sony and • More than 100 million people armed with
BCCL are betting big mobiles want to be entertained when
• Aggregators (mobile content providers or they are traveling, waiting or simply
mobile solutions companies) living
• Application Service Providers • And they are willing to pay for it
• Network infrastructure providers and Value Added
system integrators
Services
Mobile Music Booms Host of Hot services
• The mobile music industry is set to • The pushing and shoving to offer the next
overtake legal conventional music level of services -- mobile TV, Internet and
industry in India commerce -- has already begun
• Some examples are ring tones, caller • The demand for more localized, regional
ringback tones content is increasing
• Bollywood content download, and Mobile
Gaming is already big

Source: Businessworld magazine, Industry News, Zinnov Analysis


3
VAS is ringing in money for mobile operators and is expected to see high
growth
2006 2009-2010

VAS Discussion
COAI* has projected that
VAS will contribute up to
$ 500 million (This 20% of total telecom
includes texting and is revenue within three years
Revenues not just operator share)
Media, mobile
Parties operators and
involved aggregators

Today VAS contributes about


9-10% of total telecom revenues VAS Discussion
Revenues $10 billion (by 2010)
Media, mobile
Parties operators, aggregators,
involved banks, Enterprises

*Cellular Operators Association of India


Source: COAI, TRAI, Industry News, Zinnov Analysis, Lehman Brothers report
4
Mobile infotainment, gaming and email are the Killer Applications
Mobile Music Mobile Videos & Animation clips

Mobile music, comprising of Indians are crazy about Bollywood


ring tones, caller ringback movies and music. Today there are
tones and music clippings, is 10, 20, and 30 second music video
registering a growth of 40- clips available for download and
50%. Mobile music industry is will soon expand to include movie
expected to be $157 million trailers, sports highlights,
mid next year bigger than animation
conventional music industry

Mobile Gaming Mobile Contests/Voting

According to the projections, TV channels like Star and Sahara,


as many as 78.6 mn people announce short codes for SMS-
will be playing mobile games based contests based on their TV
by 2009, and game downloads serials. Also vote for the Miss
will have increased more than World, Indian Idol through your
tenfold from current levels mobile to choose winners is big

Mobile Email News Alert/Match Scores

Mobile users send and receive Mobile subscribers get news


email and hook into corporate alerts on the go. Cricket match
computer networks. Email is scores is another big
expected on every 4th phone to application in India
be sold in India in next 4 years

Source: Businessworld magazine, Industry news, Voice and Data 5


SMS will remain the most used VAS service as it is offered at
a very competitive price
750 732

Volumes of VAS per year


600
549
Millions/Year

439
450

329

300

150 110
82
39 52
21 28
0
SMS Premium Voice (in Ringback GPRS
SMS minutes) Tones

2004-05 2005-06

Source: TRAI, COAI, and secondary research


6
Some of the major content providers, and application service providers
are benefiting from this VAS market…

Mauj.com Hungama Mobile IMImobile

Mauj Telecom is the #1 VAS Hungama Mobile is South India's leading mobile VAS
Company in India Asia's leading Mobile enabler and content aggregator
• Its wap portal wap.mauj.com is the Entertainment Company
leader in the mobile gaming, mobile • IMImobile is providing its content and
• It is the largest aggregator, publisher
music, mobile video space in India technology services to over 40million
and developer of Bollywood mobile
subscribers though its agreements
• Employs approximately 160 people entertainment and gaming content.
with operators
in its offices in Mumbai, Delhi, • It has developed over 350 Mobile
• It has developed its own Messaging
Chennai, Dubai, London, and New Marketing Campaigns for as many as
Centers, Gateways, Content
York 125 Fortune 1000 Brands. Management Systems, Service
• Mauj investors include Intel, Sequoia delivery platforms, client and server
and Westbridge capital side applications and Voice Portals

Mobile-2-win OnMobile Indiagames

It is into wireless content - Wireless Infrastructure It is a global mobile content


sourcing, creating & Software Provider publisher mainly focused on
distributing! . Gaming
• They provide technology, aggregated
• Mobile2win creates innovative content, and complete end-to-end
mobile marketing solutions for brands managed services to telecom • Indiagames' key investors
seeking to tap into the Indian operators, media houses, enterprise includes TOM Online Inc. which is
consumer markets. clients a leading wireless Internet
• Based in Mumbai, India, Mobile2win • OnMobile was incubated by Infosys company in China , Macromedia,
provides unparalleled reach to over to Technologies
Inc. , and Cisco Systems, Inc.
over 26 million mobile consumers
through its gateway (SMS)

Source: Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Websites, Wireless forum 7


…Others are also riding the wave and tapping the opportunity

Smarttrust ACL Wireless Bharti Telesoft

Swedish Company is into It is the leading provider of Bharti Telesoft is the


Mobile terminal management, wireless instant messaging software venture of India's
value added services, Mobile application to mobile operators leading telecommunication
business solutions • Founded in early 2000, ACL has group Bharti Enterprises :
its wireless R&D center in India • Architect and deploy operator’s
• The company has
• The company presently employs VAS service delivery platform
implemented its thin client
over 60 people and collaborate with key
software for Indian telecom
• ACL has successfully marketed players in the VAS value chain
operators such as Bharti, BSNL
its ACL Wireless Instant to operate and manage the
and Escotel
Messenger to 11 leading mobile service
operators in Asia
Jatayu Software
Air2web.com Activemedia
The company produces telecom
products like Gateways/Servers Wireless ASP and enterprise Activemedia Technology is a
(WAP, SMS, SyncML, VoiceXML, development wireless marketing and
WTA), Browsers (WML, XHTML), • The company offers networking technology solutions
Clients (SMS, e-Mail, Chat, and server software for provider:
SyncML), and Stacks (WAP2.0 delivering Web pages, e-mail, • One of the leading providers of
and TCP/IP) and other data to wireless mobile content , applications
• It employs over 200 specialists in devices and marketing solutions to
mobile technology • Mobile Media Websites use operators, brands and media in
• Jataayu Software is a subsidiary Air2Web Content Gateway to India
of Integra Micro Systems Offer Custom Designed Ring • Mobile operators like Hutch are
Tones, Games and Graphics its customers in India
Source: Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Websites, Wireless forum 8
VC investments are yet to catch up in the Mobile Industry. Currently travel
and recruitment portals lead the investment pack
Drivers
Drivers
100% = US$ 75 million of funding by VCs

•• The
The Indian
Indian economy
economy have
have seen
seen aa
consistent
consistent growth
growth of
of 7-
7- 88 %
% per
per
annum
annum inin recent
recent years,
years, which
which has
has
resulted
resulted into
into
¾
¾ Growing
Growing Middle
Middle Class
Class incomes
incomes
Others, 23% ¾
¾ Consumer
Consumer spending
spending increase
increase in
in
leisure
leisure items
items and
and services
services like
like
entertainment,
entertainment, Vacation
Vacation etc.etc.
E learning,
13%
Travel , 37% ¾
¾ Indian
Indian consumers
consumers tend tend to
to spend
spend
10.4% on vacation
10.4% on vacation relatedrelated
Matrimonial,
activities
activities
11%
Employment,
¾
¾ Growing
Growing army
army ofof credit
credit card
card
16%
holders
holders and
and internet
internet users
users are
are
opting
opting to
to book
book air
air tickets
tickets online
online
¾
¾ Discounts
Discounts andand freebies
freebies by by
online
online ticket
ticket booking
booking sites
sites

* Data is for investment in the year 2005-06


Source:contentsutra.com; KPMG Consumer Market – India report 9
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