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1 Introduction
Privatisation – the sale of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to the private sector – is a key
element of the economic reform process launched in developing countries in the past
two decades. Its primary aim is to reduce the role of the government as a dominant actor
(stakeholder) in the economy, and to favour the emergence of an active private sector.
As such, the reform induces a change in the ownership structure and corporate
governance of firms, and hence in the incentives to improve performance. One objective
of this article is specifically to review the evidence as to how privatisation has affected
corporate performance and corporate governance in developing countries, focusing on
the 1988-2005 period. The interest in developing countries stems from the fact that they
started implementing privatisation under the supervision of international development
agencies such as the World Bank and the IMF rather than by choice. Privatisation in
these countries was particularly intensive during the 1990s, but slowed down after the
Asian crisis and towards the early 2000s. Transactions soon picked up again, however,
and seemed to gain momentum since 2004; hence our choice of the 1988-2005 period
(see Figure 1).
∗
Narjess Boubakri is at the American University of Sharjah (UAE), School of Business and Management,
P.O. Box 26666, United Arab Emirates (nboubakri@aus.edu) and HEC Montréal (Canada), Jean-Claude
Cosset is at HEC Montréal and Omrane Guedhami is at the University of South Carolina (US) and the
Memorial University of Newfoundland (Canada). They appreciate helpful comments and suggestions from
Najah Attig, Oumar Sy and an anonymous referee. They are grateful to the Social Sciences and
Humanities Research Council of Canada for generous financial support, and Sadok El Ghoul, Sorin
Rizeanu and Anis Samet for research assistance.
Our survey differs from previous surveys in several ways. First, most research on
developing countries expanded after the masterly survey of the empirical literature on
privatisation, by Megginson and Netter published in 2001. Since then, a number of case
studies and cross-country studies have appeared. This contemporary research takes
account of recent developments in institutional economics such as the potential impact
of the legal framework, law enforcement and investor protection on policy design, and
newly available cross-country databases on institutions, political governance and
regulation. The overview of this growing literature that has increased markedly in the
last five years will help guide future efforts yet to be undertaken by privatising
governments in the developing world.1
Second, and most importantly, our survey differs from a closely related survey by
Megginson and Sutter (2006) by analysing the privatisation trends and characteristics
based on comprehensive data obtained from the World Bank that cover the period 1988-
99. In particular, we outline the geographical and industrial distribution of privatisation
transactions, and discuss a number of important dimensions related to the design of
privatisation programmes including the timing, pace, extent, control transfer, divestiture
method, and share allocation, in addition to fundamental differences according to the
country’s level of indebtedness, development level, and legal origin. This analysis
provides us with a thorough understanding of the degree of diversification in
implementation. We also complement Megginson and Sutter’s study by empirically
examining whether privatisation’s effects on performance significantly vary across
regions and what explains such differences. Finally, by examining the impact of
privatisation on corporate governance using firm-level ownership data, we complement
Megginson and Sutter (2006) who mainly focus on the effects of privatisation on the
1. Megginson and Netter (2001) and Djankov and Murrell (2002) extensively review the literature on
privatisation in the world and in transition economies, respectively.
financial and operating performance of divested firms. This survey also takes a look at
the burgeoning literature on the social and distributional effects of privatisation.
The article is structured as follows. Following an overview of the objectives and
design of privatisation programmes in Section 2, Section 3 describes the privatisation
trends in developing countries over the 1988-2005 period, focusing on the geographical
and industrial distribution of privatisation as well as the characteristics of programmes
in terms of timing, pace, extent, control transfer and share allocation. Section 4 reviews
the empirical evidence on the impact of privatisation on corporate performance, and
examines whether post-privatisation changes vary across regions at different stages of
economic and institutional development. This is followed by an empirical assessment in
Section 5 using a sample of newly privatised firms (NPFs), and specifically
investigating the post-privatisation ownership structure along two dimensions:
ownership concentration and ownership identity. Section 6 reviews the literature on the
social impact of privatisation, and the final section discusses policy implications and
identifies related avenues for future research.
Proponents of state ownership often employ social arguments and assert that SOEs are
adequate responses to market failures in non-competitive industries or areas where
significant externalities exist (Atkinson and Stiglitz, 1980; Shapiro and Willig, 1990).
According to Shleifer and Vishny (1994), SOEs are controlled by governments in order
to achieve social welfare objectives and thereby improve on the strictly profit-seeking
decisions of private enterprises, especially when monopoly situations or externalities
create a divergence between private and social objectives. SOEs are therefore
productively more efficient and constitute a means of curing market failures with
pricing policies closer to social marginal costs. In the words of Guriev and Megginson
(2006: 3), the general ‘widespread acceptance of social democrat philosophies stressing
the strategic need for state control of an economy’s “commanding heights”’ contributed
to the pervasiveness of state ownership.
To better understand the goals of privatisation, we need to address the question of what
makes state ownership unsustainable. The most indisputable problem of state ownership
is probably inefficiency and value destruction. The economic theory of privatisation
identifies two main complementary arguments to explain the lack of efficiency of state-
owned enterprises.
The first argument, derived from the political view of SOEs, focuses on the high
level of political interference in SOE decision-making, which distorts the objectives
defined for managers (Shleifer and Vishny, 1994). It is often argued that the goals
pursued by the government-selected (generally, politically-oriented) managers are not
necessarily in line with profit or value maximisation. Among other things, these
managers attempt to maximise employment and wages; promote regional development
by locating production in politically desirable rather than economically attractive
districts; ensure national security; provide cheap, even underpriced goods and services;
and produce unnecessary goods, all of which is done to assist politicians in
accomplishing their electoral objectives and ensuring a long tenure in power. The
question then arises as to what motivates managers to behave in conformity with
politicians’ goals. Boycko et al. (1993) adopt an elegant viewpoint in their analysis of
the relationship between managers and politicians. They note that ‘except in a pure
command economy’ managers do not naturally execute politicians’ desires, and that
some bargaining goes on over the corporate decisions to be made. This bargaining takes
the form of payments by politicians to firms through subsidies or soft budget
constraints, so as to persuade managers to comply with their political agenda.
The second argument derives from the managerial view of SOEs introduced by
Vickers and Yarrow (1988), who argue that managerial behaviour is inadequately
monitored, leading to poor incentives among managers of SOEs and high discretion to
pursue their own objectives. Although this perspective emphasises managerial
discretion as the main cause of inefficiency in SOEs, it also includes a political
dimension since the politicians’ goals govern, to some extent, the managers’ behaviour
and discretion.
A more thorough and appealing argument for explaining the inefficiencies of
SOEs combines both the political and managerial views, and is provided by the agency
theory framework (Shleifer and Vishny, 1997). This strand of literature argues that the
absence of ownership incentives for managers, due to the separation of ownership
(public) and control (politicians), creates agency problems.2 What is more, unlike
private firms, managers of SOEs – most of which are monopolies – are not exposed to
market mechanism pressures such as the stock, product and managerial labour markets.
Instead, they are evaluated according to whether or not they comply with the political
goals of the bureaucrats.
All three perspectives provide related explanations that emphasise the role of
political influence as the main source of poor SOE performance. Boycko et al. (1993:
143) note that ‘public enterprises are inefficient because their inefficiency serves the
goals of politicians’.
When seen from this perspective, privatisation can be viewed as a potential means
3
for depoliticising SOEs and hence improving efficiency. Boycko et al. (1993) argue
that the objective of privatisation is to change the terms of the relationship between
2. Shleifer and Vishny (1997) describe the relationship between the public (taxpayers) and politicians in
SOEs as a situation where politicians retain concentrated control rights without cash-flow rights, which are
dispersed amongst the taxpayers of the country.
3. An alternative to privatisation as a depoliticisation measure is the corporatisation of SOEs, meaning a
transfer of control from politicians to managers. Boycko et al. (1996) argue that by shifting control to
managers, corporatisation makes it costly for politicians to manipulate managers to adopt their desires, and
therefore facilitates restructuring. However, as they point out, corporatisation as a stimulant for
restructuring has generally achieved only limited success in developing countries and transition economies
where politicians are very influential. Other policy alternatives to privatisation, which may improve SOEs’
efficiency, are competition and deregulation (Yarrow, 1986; Vickers and Yarrow, 1991).
politicians and managers by making it costly for politicians to subsidise the inefficiency
of SOEs. Managers will therefore be less inclined to pursue the goals of the politicians
and will go through with the restructuring. Moreover, privatisation alters the means of
monitoring managerial discretion (Vickers and Yarrow, 1991). Specifically, the trading
of privatised firms’ shares on stock markets increases managerial incentives by
conveying information about management achievements and firm performance. This
information is also crucial for the monitoring of manager discretion by the managerial
labour market. In addition to altering the relationship between managers and politicians,
privatisation affects the relationship between taxpayers (ownership) and politicians
(control) by transferring both control and cash-flow rights to private investors and/or
managers, who then place greater emphasis on profits and efficiency (Shleifer and
Vishny, 1997).
In addition to stimulating restructuring and improving the efficiency of SOEs,4 the
objectives stated by privatising governments include: (i) developing and strengthening
the private sector;5 (ii) reducing the size of the public sector and government
intervention in the economy; (iii) improving the overall efficiency (in production and
allocation) of the economy and speeding up economic growth; (iv) reducing budgetary
deficits and paying off public-sector debt by eliminating subsidies to SOEs and raising
revenues from sales proceeds and potential corporate tax revenues from the privatised
firms; (v) widening ownership which can contribute to promoting democratisation; and
(vi) stimulating capital-market development.6 The privatisation experience shows that
governments weigh these goals differently, depending on the existing political,
economic and cultural environments.7
4. Privatisation also provides firms with new opportunities in the form of attractive financing sources, up-to-
date technology and new approaches to governance brought by private investors (e.g., blockholders,
foreign investors, institutional investors), and new skilful management teams and practices.
5. By reducing government support to SOEs through subsidies and unconditional access to capital and inputs,
privatisation strengthens market mechanisms and competitive conditions that are instrumental in
promoting the development of the private sector.
6. Several studies have concentrated on the impact of privatisation at the macro level. Two IMF-sponsored
studies, Barnett (2000) and Davis et al. (2000) examine the macroeconomic effects of privatisation and
find evidence of an overall positive effect on growth, reporting that the privatisation revenues are saved by
governments rather than spent. Boutchkova and Megginson (2000) examine the effects of privatisation on
stock-market development and patterns of ownership and find that it has significantly contributed to
developing national stock markets and widening ownership. In the same vein, Perotti and van Oijen (2001)
show that the resolution of political risk through sustained privatisation has been a key factor in the recent
emergence of stock markets in developing countries.
7. Ramamurti (1992) shows that privatisation is more likely to be pursued by countries with high budget
deficits, high foreign debt, and high dependence on international agencies such as the World Bank and the
IMF. Villalonga (2000) asserts that, while privatisation is expected to increase firm efficiency,
emphasising other privatisation goals may result in disappointing outcomes when there is a trade-off
between these goals and efficiency. For instance, governments preoccupied with maximising privatisation
revenues in the short run for political reasons, tend to speed up privatisation, even if economic conditions
are adverse or the industry is declining, leading to an adverse effect on firm performance.
8. Dewenter and Malatesta (1997: 1661) define the three methods as follows: (i) tender offer occurs when
investors bid for shares of an SOE, specifying both a price per share and quantity of shares that they are
willing to buy; (ii) private placement occurs when the government sells its assets to a private company or
group of companies; and (iii) fixed-price share sales occur when the government sets an offering price for
shares and investors submit applications for the number of shares they wish to purchase.
9. Dewenter and Malatesta (1997) and Jones et al. (1999) empirically analyse the three decisions, focusing
mostly on the pricing decision and its determinants. Both studies find evidence of underpricing. In
particular, Jones et al. (1999) show that underpricing in the initial share issue is consistent with the
political and economic objectives of the privatising government.
observations over the period 1988-2005. For each observation, the database provides
information on the privatisation year, country of origin, industry affiliation, percentage
of stake sold, total transaction proceeds in dollars and in foreign currency, the
privatisation method, the buyers’ identity and the stake which they were allocated at the
time of sale.10
10. We note that the information on the percentage sold is generally unavailable for the period 2000-5. No
other database covers privatisation in developing countries as extensively.
© The Authors 2008. Journal compilation © 2008 Overseas Development Institute.
Development Policy Review 26 (3)
Table 1: The geography of privatisations in developing countries
Proceeds
Country First Deals Firms % share sold
Per deal % foreign Total % of GDP
East Asia and Pacific 1991 207 186 53.67 157.31 38.97 1.49
Fiji 1996 2 1 51.00 15.14 0.00 0.86
Indonesia 1991 34 29 51.94 247.57 71.19 0.33
Multinational studies
In an influential study sponsored by the World Bank, Galal et al. (1994) assess the
welfare changes associated with privatisation using a small sample of 12 large firms –
mainly from non-competitive sectors – in three developing countries (Chile, Malaysia
and Mexico) and one industrialised country (United Kingdom). Using a counterfactual
approach, the authors show that privatisation induced net welfare gains in 11 out of the
12 cases. They also decompose the net sample welfare change by its distribution
(winners versus losers) and its sources. Regarding the former, they find no evidence that
privatisation occurs at the expense of workers, although substantial gains are obtained in
3 out of the 12 cases. They also identify 9 cases in which governments benefited. They
argue that the gains are mainly associated with improved productivity, an increase in
investment, revised output pricing and effective regulation. However, the characteristics
of their sample (small size and dominance by infrastructure-related firms) limit the
generalisation of their findings. More empirical research involving larger samples is
therefore needed to understand the relation between privatisation and performance in
developing countries.
Boubakri and Cosset (1998) are the first to use a multinational sample of 79 firms
headquartered in 21 developing countries, privatised over the 1980-92 period. They
argue that the embryonic financial markets, the weak regulatory capacity and the lack of
an efficient institutional setting in developing countries impede scholars from
generalising the results drawn from previous studies of developed countries. Using the
Study Sample & study period description Summary of findings & conclusions
Panel A. Single-country studies
La Porta & López-de- 218 Mexican firms privatised over Unlike other studies, this research evaluates the performance benefits of privatisation and
Silanes (1999) period 1983-91. assesses its social costs. Profitability increases significantly in the post-privatisation period.
pre- versus post-privatisation approach developed by Megginson et al. (1994), they find
that privatisation yields significant performance improvements.11 More specifically,
Boubakri and Cosset (1998) report improvements in profitability, operating efficiency,
capital investment, output, employment level and dividends. They also find that
leverage declines after privatisation. They control for the changing economic conditions
in their sample countries in order to assess the effects of privatisation better. The results
are generally robust, but less significant when market-adjusted performance measures
are used. In addition, the findings are robust to various partitions of the main sample.
Although the authors show that the transfer of ownership (partial or full) from
government to private investors yields significant improvements, we still lack
knowledge about the underlying conditions that drive these gains.
In a recent survey paper, Chong and López-de-Silanes (2003) provide a
comprehensive review and assessment of privatisation in Latin America. They show
that privatisation yields robust performance improvements. An important finding is that
the increase in performance is not affected by sample selection bias, i.e., best firms are
more likely to be privatised. The analysis suggests that successful privatisation is
conditioned by two complementary policies (p. 2): ‘re-regulation or deregulation of
industries previously shielded from competitive forces, and an effective corporate
governance framework that facilitates privatised firms’ access to capital at lower costs’.
In a contemporary study, Boubakri et al. (2004) examine the particular
privatisation experience of Asia where, in contrast to other geographical regions, most
divestitures are partial, whereby governments sell minority stakes but maintain control.
Their main findings indicate that partial privatisations indeed lead to a significant
improvement in profitability, efficiency and output. By comparing their findings with
other cross-sectional studies which examine the performance of newly privatised firms
(NPFs) in developing countries, they conclude that the improvements observed for the
Asian sample of NPFs are generally less significant. The authors address an important
issue related to whether privatisation creates value for shareholders. Using two
measures of value creation, specifically market-adjusted returns on equity and market-
to-book ratios, they show that NPFs are more profitable and valuable than their market
counterparts. This result suggests that privatisation is wealth-enhancing for
shareholders. Finally, they show that, in contrast to the evidence from other developing
countries, privatising governments in Asia do not relinquish control of NPFs.
The findings of Boubakri and Cosset (1998) on the dividends of privatisation are
more recently confirmed by Boubakri et al. (2005c) with a large and diversified sample
of 230 firms from 32 developing countries during the 1990s. A key feature of their
sample is the inclusion of firms from African countries, where governance is
particularly poor, and which have only recently embraced large-scale privatisation
programmes. The authors provide a rich analysis of the potential determinants of post-
privatisation performance changes, with a particular focus on the roles of the economic
11. In a seminal study, Megginson et al. (1994) were the first to thoroughly examine the performance
implications of privatisation in a wide range of countries. Using a sample of 61 firms mainly from
industrialised countries, they compare pre- and post-privatisation data and provide strong evidence that
privatisation improves profitability, operating efficiency, capital investment, employment, output and
dividends. Furthermore, they find that the privatised firms become financially healthier. Their conclusions
support the superiority of private ownership over state ownership.
and institutional environments. Consistent with their conjectures, they show that the
changes in performance vary with the extent of macroeconomic reforms and
environment, and the effectiveness of corporate governance. In particular, they show
that economic growth is associated with higher profitability and efficiency gains, trade
liberalisation is associated with higher levels of investment and output, while financial
liberalisation is associated with higher output changes. With regard to corporate
governance variables, they demonstrate that relinquishment of control by the
government is a key determinant of profitability, efficiency gains and increases in
output. Finally, they find higher efficiency improvements for firms in countries in
which stock markets are more developed and where property rights are better protected
and enforced. Taken together, these findings highlight the importance of economic
reforms and environment and corporate governance in explaining the post-privatisation
changes in performance of firms from developing countries.12 Cook and Ushida (2004)
also stress the differences that emerge between the performance of NPFs in regulated
versus unregulated sectors, and across (developing) countries, which lead them to
conclude that performance is influenced by the institutional and structural context.
12. Using a similar analysis, D’Souza et al. (2005) document sharply different results for firms privatised in
developed countries. While Boubakri et al. (2005c) find that the institutional environment and the ongoing
macroeconomic reforms are important determinants of performance improvements after privatisation,
D’Souza et al. (2005) show that firm-level variables are the most important factors in explaining the
performance changes. These opposite results enhance the fact that privatisation in developing countries
indeed obeys particular constraints and has a dynamic of its own.
Overall, the empirical evidence from non-financial privatised firms tends to support the
positive performance outcomes of privatisation. The evidence from privatised banks is
somewhat different, as it reveals insignificant improvements in the financial and
operating performance of state-owned banks. In addition to the impact of privatisation
on corporate performance, a major related issue is what conditions the success of
privatisation programmes in developing countries. This important issue was debated
intensely by Chong and López-de-Silanes (2003) and empirically addressed by
Boubakri et al. (2005c). Both studies highlight the essential underpinnings of successful
privatisation programmes in developing countries (including Latin America): a
favourable macroeconomic environment coupled with effective corporate governance.
From a policy perspective, the above studies suggest the following implications.
First, to ensure positive outcomes, privatising governments should implement economic
reforms (deregulation, trade and stock-market liberalisation) before privatisation.
Indeed, deregulation and trade liberalisation will lead to greater competition and a better
allocation of resources, while stock-market liberalisation will bring technological
innovation and progress as well as new physical and human capital through the
13. For a thorough assessment of bank privatisation in developing countries, refer to the special issue of the
Journal of Banking and Finance (Vol. 29, Issues 8-9, pp. 1903-2406 (August-September 2005)). In
particular, Megginson (2005) provides a survey of the empirical evidence on bank privatisation in
developed and developing countries and transition economies. He concludes that banking privatisation in
developing countries yields only negligible improvements in the financial and operating performance of
state-owned banks. Furthermore, in some countries, like Mexico, a poorly designed privatisation led to a
bank crisis.
involvement of foreign investors. All these changes will create an environment that
provides firms with the necessary incentives to invest and restructure in order to face
the competition of their private peers. What is more, when privatisation follows
liberalisation (and other significant economic changes), it reduces the risk of
reversibility of the privatisation policy. Second, there is need for a sound institutional
environment: better investor protection to promote capital markets and attract foreign
investors (the additional sources of funds to NPFs needed to finance restructuring and
growth).
are more likely than share-issued privatisations, and ownership concentration tends to
prevail.14
In addition, the identity of owners is also likely to shape post-privatisation
corporate governance and performance. For example, foreign investors require high
information disclosure standards and, for reputation concerns, maintain a strict control
of managers’ actions, which should lead to performance improvements (Dyck, 2000).
Likewise, institutional investors exert a close monitoring of management activities to
ensure superior returns (Boutchkova and Megginson, 2000).
The evidence on post-privatisation corporate governance comes mainly from
transition economies. In their review of these economies, Djankov and Murrell (2002)
show that ownership concentration and types of owners (for example, investment funds,
foreigners) play an important role in providing effective corporate governance, yet the
effectiveness varies with the region.
The evidence from developing countries is more limited. Boubakri et al. (2005b)
investigate the effectiveness and the determinants of post-privatisation ownership
structure using a sample of 209 firms from 25 emerging markets and 14 industrialised
countries that were privatised between 1980 and 2001. They show that privatisation
results in highly concentrated ownership by local institutions and foreign investors.
Consistent with their conjectures, they find that firm-level variables (i.e., size, sales
growth, industry affiliation), and country-level variables (i.e., the level of investor
protection, the stability of the political and social environment) are key variables in
explaining the cross-firm differences in ownership concentration. In a follow-up study,
Guedhami and Pittman (2006) show that legal institutions that discipline auditors in the
event of failure of financial reporting reduce the extent of ownership concentration in
newly privatised firms even after controlling for other legal determinants. Of particular
interest, both studies show that privatisations through asset sales result in a more
concentrated ownership. Finally, Boubakri et al. (2005b) show that firm ownership
concentration is a key post-privatisation corporate-governance mechanism, since it is
positively related to firm performance. Yet, the effectiveness of ownership
concentration is stronger in those countries where investor protection is weaker.
14. The empirical evidence on privatisation methods appears to be mixed. While Megginson et al. (2004)
report that privatisation through private sales is more likely when the investor protection is better
(common law countries), Bortolotti et al. (2000) report a higher frequency of private sales in civil law
countries. Likewise, Dyck and Zingales (2004) examine the effects of private benefits of control on the
development of markets, particularly on the ownership structure of firms and the choice of privatisation
methods. They show that countries exhibiting higher benefits of control, i.e. countries with weak legal
protection, have more concentrated ownership and privatisation is less likely to occur through public
offerings.
The privatisation literature generally concludes that the new owners gain from the
reform. What about the rest of the society, though? What have been the effects of
privatisation on the distribution of welfare among different income groups, and on
poverty? Overall, what was the social impact of privatisation? The literature is still
scarce on the subject, although it is a legitimate issue since privatisation is first and
foremost a redistributive policy. As such, it is often perceived as having a negative
effect on the distribution of wealth and income. Shleifer (1998) argues that privatisation
may result in an excessive emphasis on profit maximisation at the expense of other
socially valuable objectives, which may negatively affect social welfare. Traditionally,
the available evidence has focused on the distributional effects of privatisation in
strategic industries, mainly utilities. Indeed, the sale of firms in competitive markets has
not posed a distributional problem, even in low-income countries (Nellis, 2005). The
main results that emerge from these studies is an improvement in access to services and
network expansion among the population (see McKenzie and Mookherjee (2003) for 4
countries in Latin America; Fischer et al. (2004) for Chile; Jones et al. (2002) for Côte
d’Ivoire; Appiah-Kubi (2001) for Ghana). Galiani et al. (2005) show that water
privatisation in Argentina has resulted not only in substantial productivity growth, but
also in reduction in child mortality (saving about 500 infant and young children’s lives
per year). Similar results are obtained in studies that focus on telecommunication
privatisations (see Tables 4.12 and 4.13 in Megginson (2005) for a summary of the
results).
Birdsall and Nellis (2003) provide some guidance about how we should expect the
ownership change of former SOEs to lead to shifts in the distribution of welfare of
different income groups by identifying several channels through which this might
actually happen:
Birdsall and Nellis (2003: 1621) conclude that ‘The overall point is that there can
be no simple prediction about the distributional effects of privatisation’. To the best of
our knowledge, the burgeoning literature on the impact of privatisation on inequality
and poverty indeed fails to provide evidence of the negative effects of privatisation. An
important contribution to the literature on this issue came from the Galal et al. (1994)
study on the welfare effects of privatisation in four countries (see Section 4.1). The
authors show that welfare actually improved in three out of four cases, and workers did
not lose overall from the process. A recent paper by McKenzie and Mookherjee (2005)
examines the distributional impact of the change in ownership for infrastructure projects
in Latin American countries, and shows that, although privatisation led to an increase in
the country unemployment level, it had very little impact on income inequality
measured by the Gini coefficients, comparing before with after privatisation. The
authors argue that direct negative effects of privatisation on employment are small
relative to the total workforce in the short run. In the long run, this will be offset by the
increased job creation in newly privatised firms. Furthermore, ‘the improved access to
increased services will also compensate for the negative effects of higher prices’.
(Nellis, 2005: 19).
There is undoubtedly still room for future research in the area. As Parker and
Kirkpatrick (2005) argue in their survey of the impact of privatisation on economic
performance, the objectives set by policy-makers through privatisation need to include,
in addition to efficiency gains, poverty reduction. However, the impact of privatisation
on poverty reduction remains unpredictable because, while it may contribute to poverty
reduction (by increasing incomes and expanding services), it can simultaneously
contribute to increasing poverty because of higher prices and fewer jobs (Parker and
Kirkpatrick, 2005).
7 Conclusion
privatisation process, and the impact of the reform on social inequality and other social
development dimensions.
In view of the aspects described above, it comes as no surprise that most
governments in developing countries lacked the political commitment and willingness
to pursue extensive privatisation efforts for over a decade after developed countries
started to do so. This lack of commitment shaped the overall process for the last twenty
years: for example, until recently, most governments in developing countries put up for
sale small, competitive firms in the manufacturing sector. They also tend to pursue
partial divestiture, and choose revenue (sale of minority shares) rather than control
privatisations (control relinquishment). Yet, the empirical literature to date has shown
that, for privatisation to yield significant improvements in performance, governments
need to relinquish control of the firms (Boycko et al., 1996). The political determinants
of the design of privatisation constitute a promising avenue of research in this area,
since, as suggested by the literature, to be successful, a reform must be politically
desirable, politically feasible, and credible.
first submitted January 2007
final revision accepted January 2008
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