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CHAPTER 7
7.1 GENERAL
While computing ARI, fatality rate and injury rate are not
considered. To overcome this drawback index viz. accident severity index
(ASI) is computed. The severity of accidents can be measured in terms of the
number of fatal accidents or total economic loss due to accidents. Severe
accidents not only lead to human loss of life but also heavy economic loss to
the country. It is worthwhile to mention that 47% of total fatal accidents in
Tamilnadu occur on National Highway (NH) alone even though NH network
in Tamilnadu constitutes only 6% of total NH network of India. Therefore it is
necessary to form an index by taking into account all these factors. In this
chapter, an attempt has been made to form Accident Severity Index (ASI) by
combining a set of accident indicators. Value of the ASI has been computed
and compared across the districts of Tamilnadu in India.
7.2 INTRODUCTION
In accident risk, injury rate and fatality rate are not considered. To
over come this drawback another index namely, Accident Severity Index
(ASI) is used. The various steps for finding out ASI are discussed below
(Chand and Alex 2007)
i R ikt
NS kt 100 (7.5)
Rk
where ‘k’ varies from 1 to 4, ‘i’ varies from 1 to 29 and ‘t’ varies from 1997
to 2008 and R k represents the average value for all regions for the kth ratio for
ith year.
4
Wk NSikt
k 1
ASI 4 (7.6)
Wk
k 1
The accident and other related data pertaining to 29 districts for the
period from 1997 to 2008 have to be used for computing ASI. After making
the four accident ratios unit free, the weights given in Table 7.7 were assigned
to them, and thereafter ASI values were computed. Table 7.8 provides the
computed values of NSikt for all the four ratios. However for illustration
purposes, computation of ASI taking the data pertaining to 2008 was done in
Table 7.9. The weight assigned to the four accident ratios is furnished in
Table 7.7.
Table 7.8 Calculated Values of NSikt for all the Four Ratios
NSikt = ( R kti / R k ) *100
Figure 7.1 shows the plot of ASI value for different districts in
Tamilnadu for the year 2008. The low value of ASI is basically due to low
density of population and low level of motorization. Though road safety measures
need to be implemented in all the districts of Tamilnadu, priority should be
given to Chennai, Villupuram, Cuddalore, Thanjavur and Kancheepuram. A
graphical illustration of computed ASI values for 29 districts is shown in
Figure 7.1. A graph of percentage bar diagram for ASI from 1997 to 2008 is
shown in Figure 7.2. A similar study in respect of all the states in India was
conducted (Chand and Alex 2007) where in data for the period from 1980 to
2001 were analysed.
Accident Severity Index(ASI)
VILLUPURAM
CUDDALORE
THANJAVUR
KANCHEEPURAM
THENI
COIMBATORE
KARUR
DINDIGUL
NAGAPATTINAM
ERODE
PERAMBALUR
THOOTHUKKUDI
MADURAI
VELLORE
SALEM
NAMAKAL
KANNIYAKUMARI
THIRUVARUR
THIRUVANNAMALAI
TIRUCHIRAPPALLI
PUDUKKOTTAI
TIRUNELVELI
RAMANATHAPURAM
SIVAGANGAI
VIRUDHUNAGAR
DHARMAPURI
THE NILGIRIS
THIRUVALLUR
189
% OF ASI
1997
1998
1999
ARI
2000
2001
ARI
2002
2003
ARI
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
190
191
In Chand and Alex (2007), 21 year’s data from 1980 to 2001 have
been considered. In the above mentioned paper only one pair of data (2000 –
2001) is taken for calculating ARI and ASI based on accident, population,
area, road length and registered vehicles. The ASI in 2001 concludes
Table 7.12 provides the comparative ASI value for 1997 and 2008.
The results show that Chennai tops the rank list in both the years meaning that
Chennai has high accident severity compared to others. The ASI values of
Chennai are 4 to 7 times higher than the next higher value in 1997 and 2008.
ASI
Sl.No. Name of Districts
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1 Chennai 805.8693 779.8805 752.5908 749.2931 800.054 765.4068 926.5445 824.7680 792.5063 919.5340 934.1200
2 Coimbatore 87.9291 88.6602 96.8367 93.8753 84.2309 89.4003 75.3525 92.3056 87.3845 74.4801 77.0705
3 Cuddalore 86.2093 110.3883 127.4614 106.8063 115.737 110.8665 104.5508 109.0002 112.5064 102.1074 98.4998
4 Dharmapuri 69.7485 64.9244 59.7797 62.7231 65.6064 72.0299 69.5304 48.3173 44.4511 35.8894 41.5094
5 Dindigul 91.0346 77.9941 89.9974 86.4207 98.4235 88.0077 81.8407 94.1547 75.9196 89.3065 79.5361
6 Erode 73.1429 78.4929 83.2350 90.3805 99.5813 88.3792 75.6047 74.2089 79.3417 71.6675 70.8041
7 Kancheepuram 62.4497 77.9834 74.5749 68.8724 70.7102 75.5400 77.7437 80.4993 64.6273 76.7707 86.2153
8 Kanniyakumari 40.8386 59.8072 50.8761 55.2053 62.4004 62.2168 63.6442 68.4194 67.3731 61.3157 67.2061
9 Karur 57.4858 69.0209 68.7528 71.7052 89.4555 93.7723 78.5689 78.1785 92.5325 94.1719 78.6746
10 Madurai 83.2155 99.5529 100.7558 104.8327 105.067 125.0687 87.4678 94.2036 94.7118 76.4455 74.0316
11 Nagapattinam 66.0210 67.7725 73.1219 70.2483 79.8679 69.7969 69.4591 74.8015 93.0135 77.5788 83.4490
12 Namakal 101.8474 69.8537 75.1589 85.7800 84.585 88.3802 63.6047 69.7933 80.4268 69.5876 75.9530
13 Perambalur 198.9051 130.2909 104.8106 96.2303 113.313 74.6230 70.1149 78.1518 88.6854 83.3657 85.9582
14 Pudukkottai 62.0760 71.7608 65.4710 60.1391 72.5042 60.8960 61.0183 68.2601 65.0206 72.1828 70.6420
15 Ramanathapuram 44.9687 55.9415 46.9287 51.8512 49.2842 51.7437 52.1750 54.0346 59.5606 51.5527 57.3429
16 Salem 62.7528 72.8140 57.8997 74.0335 70.3142 73.9488 60.5411 68.9434 71.2439 66.0762 62.3229
17 Sivagangai 54.9636 66.7480 82.8710 67.1231 74.5506 61.7228 62.6648 57.0086 50.1505 49.0418 48.0010
18 Thanjavur 85.7628 89.7528 88.0614 92.4700 100.61 94.3731 91.0889 99.0939 113.7544 99.4068 96.4667
19 The Nilgiris 49.2863 47.0542 41.9814 45.4158 61.1762 41.5459 42.4396 38.1388 45.8924 36.9774 34.0548
20 Theni 67.5723 59.1316 89.5814 70.9769 84.9688 79.4005 72.2843 86.1437 89.0471 95.8718 81.5129
21 Thiruvallur 26.4350 35.2630 38.7412 42.3114 40.38 37.6112 40.6986 46.0737 47.6792 44.8727 41.5422
22 Thiruvannamalai 40.9820 52.3959 57.9519 53.4254 60.8079 62.3680 55.9389 62.7228 55.8353 55.2503 53.6395
23 Thiruvarur 175.1686 110.3048 81.2939 99.9479 112.93 71.0691 78.6887 78.3734 82.8299 81.3972 76.4401
24 Thoothukkudi 63.1250 61.7186 75.7240 74.2996 79.9616 70.7114 65.2457 69.0185 67.1548 66.3200 72.3453
25 Tiruchirappalli 71.0119 95.7562 85.6977 87.2696 85.4986 83.5974 78.8132 79.4901 75.4762 71.0644 70.7364
26 Tirunelveli 45.0870 52.5652 60.1749 63.1088 73.6306 50.9885 57.3574 56.3239 54.5728 54.9992 61.0463
27 Vellore 69.3256 75.1318 71.7827 71.7033 61.1074 67.1574 60.8656 63.2349 67.4958 64.3738 59.3756
28 Villupuram 106.5052 122.8207 129.0230 138.2434 148.592 131.2343 120.6021 123.4361 119.0690 107.9826 107.9512
29 Virudhunagar 50.2805 56.2189 68.8641 65.3080 64.7206 58.1436 55.5507 62.9013 61.7375 50.4095 53.5526
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ASI Ranks
Sl.No Name of Districts
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1 Chennai 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 Coimbatore 7 9 6 7 14 7 12 7 10 13 11 7
3 Cuddalore 8 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 3
4 Dharmapuri 13 20 23 23 22 16 15 27 29 29 28 27
5 Dindigul 6 11 7 11 9 10 6 6 14 7 9 9
6 Erode 11 10 11 9 8 9 11 15 13 15 16 11
7 Kancheepuram 19 12 16 19 20 13 10 9 21 11 5 5
8 Kanniyakumari 28 22 26 25 24 22 18 19 18 21 19 18
9 Karur 21 17 20 15 10 6 9 12 7 6 10 8
10 Madurai 10 6 5 4 6 3 5 5 5 12 14 14
11 Nagapattinam 16 18 17 18 16 19 16 14 6 10 7 10
12 Namakal 5 16 15 12 13 8 19 16 12 17 13 17
13 Perambalur 2 2 4 6 4 14 14 13 9 8 6 12
14 Pudukkottai 20 15 21 24 19 24 21 20 20 14 18 22
15 Ramanathapuram 26 25 27 27 28 26 27 26 23 24 23 24
16 Salem 18 14 25 14 21 15 23 18 16 19 20 16
17 Sivagangai 22 19 12 20 17 23 20 24 26 26 26 25
18 Thanjavur 9 8 9 8 7 5 4 4 3 4 4 4
19 The Nilgiris 24 28 28 28 25 28 28 29 28 28 29 28
20 Theni 15 23 8 17 12 12 13 8 8 5 8 6
21 Thiruvallur 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 28 27 27 27 29
22 Thiruvannamalai 27 27 24 26 27 21 25 23 24 22 24 20
23 Thiruvarur 3 5 13 5 5 17 8 11 11 9 12 19
24 Thoothukkudi 17 21 14 13 15 18 17 17 19 18 15 13
25 Tiruchirappalli 12 7 10 10 11 11 7 10 15 16 17 21
26 Tirunelveli 25 26 22 22 18 27 24 25 25 23 21 23
27 Vellore 14 13 18 16 26 20 22 21 17 20 22 15
28 Villupuram 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
29 Virudhunagar 23 24 19 21 23 25 26 22 22 25 25 26
Rank Correlation 0.87 0.82 0.90 0.92 0.82 0.89 0.92 0.90 0.91 0.96 0.93
0.84 0.90 0.84 0.78 0.77 0.75 0.73 0.70 0.70 0.62
193
194
1997 2008
Name of Districts ASI Rank ASI Rank
Chennai 805.8693 1 885.3248 1
Coimbatore 87.9291 7 81.8152 7
Cuddalore 86.2093 8 102.9223 3
Dharmapuri 69.7485 13 47.1254 27
Dindigul 91.0346 6 78.3177 9
Erode 73.1429 11 76.9169 11
Kancheepuram 62.4497 19 84.8078 5
Kanniyakumari 40.8386 28 68.2770 18
Karur 57.4858 21 80.0319 8
Madurai 83.2155 10 74.5826 14
Nagapattinam 66.0210 16 77.4910 10
Namakal 101.8474 5 73.6680 17
Perambalur 198.9051 2 76.8777 12
Pudukkottai 62.0760 20 62.3089 22
Ramanathapuram 44.9687 26 58.9407 24
Salem 62.7528 18 73.9493 16
Sivagangai 54.9636 22 54.4494 25
Thanjavur 85.7628 9 94.3022 4
The Nilgiris 49.2863 24 43.8512 28
Theni 67.5723 15 84.5148 6
Thiruvallur 26.4350 29 39.6969 29
Thiruvannamalai 40.9820 27 66.9601 20
Thiruvarur 175.1686 3 67.2203 19
Thoothukkudi 63.1250 17 75.0340 13
Tiruchirappalli 71.0119 12 66.8664 21
Tirunelveli 45.0870 25 61.9505 23
Vellore 69.3256 14 74.0592 15
Villupuram 106.5052 4 118.0242 2
Virudhunagar 50.2805 23 49.7137 26
Correlation 0.6172414
195
The results also indicate that though all districts are badly in need of road
safety measures, priority should be given to Chennai, Villupuram, Cuddalore,
Thanjavur and Kancheepuram. It is also found that districts like Coimbatore,
Dharumapuri, Dindigul, Madurai, Namakal, Perambalur, the Nilgiris,
Thiruvarur, Tiruchirappalli and Virudhunagar have improved their safety
ranking. The computed value of rank correlation between 1997and 2008 is
0.62 which is found to be statistically different from zero at five percent level
of significance.
7.5 SUMMARY
This study has shown that despite the enormous increase in the
number of registered vehicles in Tamilnadu, fatality rate (per registered
vehicle) appears to decline. Despite the overall decreasing trend in both
fatality rates and severity, data have shown that Tamilnadu has experienced a
worsening situation in safety levels since 1997. As a result of this remarkable
growth in motorization and the road-network size, traffic accidents have
become a serious problem facing in this state. During the period from 1997 to
2008, the number of traffic accidents, injuries, and fatalities has increased by
20.2%, 56.3% and 48.7% respectively. This study shows that both fatality rate
and accident severity have increased and the necessity for improvement is
urgently needed.
198