Michigan Late October 2018 Statewide

MICHIGAN STATEWIDE GENERAL ELECTION VOTER SURVEY
WDIV/DETROIT NEWS
600 SAMPLE
OCTOBER 28, 2018
Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 1

Detroit News/ WDIV
Glengariff Group, Inc.
October 28, 2018
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page Topic
2 Methodology
3 Key Findings
15 Aggregate Survey Results
29 Cross-tabulation Report
METHODOLOGY
The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2018 likely general election voters. The 600
sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on October 25-27, 2018 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0 percent with a 95
percent level of confidence. 65.0 percent of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 35.0 percent of respondents were
contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
KEY FINDINGS
Historic Motivation to Vote Continues
 The motivation to vote among Michigan voters continues to be at record high levels. On a ten-point scale, Michigan voters
say they are motivated to vote at a 9.4.
 There has been just a minor dip of Independent voters to 8.9. But 8.9 is still regarded as an extraordinary level of engagement.
As we have noted since the Post Labor Day poll, Michigan voters appear engaged in this election at historic levels.
Party Affiliation Early September Early October Late October

Strong Democratic 9.5 9.5 9.6
Lean Democratic 9.5 9.2 9.5
Independent 9.1 9.3 8.9
Lean Republican 9.2 9.3 9.2
Strong Republican 9.4 9.6 9.5
Election Fundamentals Remain Unchanged
 Mid-terms elections two years into a new Presidency are historically a referendum on the new administration. 2018 appears to
be no different in that historic pattern. And the election fundamentals toward the incumbent administration remain
unchanged.
 Voters were asked if the nation was on the right track or the wrong track. We have now seen these numbers remain
unchanged – dating back to our January 2018 survey.
Survey Period Right Track Wrong Track

January 2018 33.0 percent 54.0 percent
September 2018 38.2 percent 48.2 percent
Early October 2018 36.5 percent 51.0 percent
Late October 2018 37.7 percent 51.0 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
 Voters were asked if Michigan was on the right track or the wrong track. Beginning in October 2018, voters moved the state
slightly into the wrong direction.
Survey Period Right Track Wrong

 Voters were asked if they have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump. There has been no statistical
movement through the year in how Michigan voters view Donald Trump. His name identification remains underwater by 18.8
percent.
Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable

 Voters were asked if they approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President. From the January 2018
survey to the September 2018 survey, Donald Trump’s job performance jumped by five points. But since September 2018,
his job performance has remained static. Of particular note, those STRONGLY DISAPPROVING of Donald Trump remains
consistent at 45.0 percent.
Survey Period Trump Approve Trump Disapprove Strong Disapproval of Trump

January 2018 39.5 percent 54.3 percent 47.3 percent
September 2018 44.3 percent 51.8 percent 44.2 percent
Early October 2018 43.6 percent 52.2 percent 44.2 percent
Late October 2018 44.0 percent 51.3 percent 45.0 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
 Voters were asked if their vote would be for President Trump, against President Trump, or would have nothing to do with
President Trump.
 24.7 percent of voters said their vote would be FOR President Trump – with 19.5 percent saying it would be
strongly for President Trump.
 34.5 percent of voters said their vote would be AGAINST President Trump – with 29.8 percent saying it would
be strongly against President Trump.
 38.2 percent of voters said their vote would have nothing to do with President Trump.
Of particular note are Independent voters:
 51.6 percent of Independent voters said their vote would have nothing to do with President Trump.
 13.2 percent said their vote would be FOR President Trump.
 But 27.5 percent of Independent voters said their vote would be AGAINST President Trump – a +14.3 percent
margin of Independent voters voting against President Trump.
 Voters were asked if the election for State House were held today, would they generally pick the Democratic candidate or the
Republican candidate. This generic ballot test has remained unchanged for the entirety of 2018, with Democrats now leading
+10.5 percent.
Survey Period Democratic Republican Margin

January 2018 41.8 percent 31.0 percent +10.8 percent
September 2018 46.1 percent 33.9 percent +12.2 percent
Early October 2018 47.2 percent 34.5 percent +12.7 percent
Late October 2018 48.5 percent 38.0 percent +10.5 percent
Independents now lean to the generic Democratic candidate by a margin of more than 2-1.
 Democrats lead among men 45.5 percent-40.6 percent -- a 5.1 percent lead on the generic ballot. But they lead among women
51.3 percent-35.6 percent -- a 15.7 percent lead. This large lead among female voters for the generic Democratic candidate
has remained consistent in the last three polls.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Governor’s Race Margin Remains Unchanged at +12.3 percent
 With no shifts in the election fundamentals, it should come as no surprise that the Governor’s race remains virtually
unchanged.
 Bill Schuette’s name identification continues to be ‘underwater’ as it has been since early September.

 Gretchen Whitmer’s name identification continues to be ‘above water’ as it has been since early September. While Whitmer’s
favorable rating remains steady, her unfavorable rating has climbed from 19.1 percent to 30.3 percent.

 In a head to head matchup, Whitmer continues to lead Schuette 49.8 percent-37.5 percent -- a lead of 12.3 percent. Third
party candidates get 3.7 percent of the vote with 9.0 percent of voters remaining undecided. Whitmer’s lead has remained
consistent since Labor Day.
Survey Period Whitmer Schuette Margin

 Whitmer continues to lead among Independent voters by a margin of 40.7 percent-29.7 percent -- an 11.0 percent point lead.
 Whitmer leads among men 47.2 percent-41.3 percent -- a lead of 5.9 percent. But she leads among women 52.2 percent-33.9
percent -- an 18.3 percent lead.
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
 The race is competitive in out-state portions of Michigan with Schuette at 44.6 percent to Whitmer at 43.5 percent. But
Whitmer is pummeling Schuette among Metro Detroit voters leading 55.9 percent-30.8 percent.
Region/Gender Whitmer Schuette Margin

Out State Men 40.4 percent 49.6 percent +9.2 percent
Out State Women 46.3 percent 39.7 percent +6.6 percent
Metro Men 53.8 percent 33.4 percent +20.4 percent
Metro Women 57.7 percent 28.6 percent +29.1 percent
 When comparing education levels and gender, Schuette’s only lead comes from men with some post high school education at
46.6 percent-42.7 percent. Whitmer leads among college educated men 51.0 percent-37.4 percent (+13.6 percent) and among
college educated women she leads 56.6 percent-33.6 percent (+23.0 percent).
 Among voters that have already cast their absentee ballot, Whitmer leads 56.0 percent-39.6 percent -- a 16.4 percent lead.
Did The Debates Matter?
 20.3 percent of likely voters said they watched at least one of the two televised debates for Governor. Those voters were
asked if the debate moved their vote to Gretchen Whitmer, Bill Schuette, or whether the debate had no influence on their vote.
 24.6 percent of voters who viewed the debates said it moved their vote to Gretchen Whitmer.
 11.5 percent of voters who viewed the debates said it moved their vote to Bill Schuette.
 63.9 percent of voters who viewed the debates said had no influence on their vote.
Translated that means 5 percent of voters moved to Whitmer because of the debates while 2 percent of voters moved to
Schuette because of the debates resulting in a three point pick up for Whitmer.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
US Senate: Stabenow Continues to Be Comfortably in the Lead By 16.7 percent
 Debbie Stabenow continues to have consistent name identification above water at 48.5 percent-34.8 percent.

 John James name identification has continued to grow over the past two months now up to 69.5 percent -- but 30.5 percent of
Michigan voters still do not recognize his name.
Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable Overall Name Identification

September 2018 20.9 percent 15.5 percent 54.3 percent
Early October 2018 22.2 percent 16.5 percent 58.0 percent
Late October 2018 31.7 percent 20.3 percent 69.5 percent
 In a head to head matchup, Debbie Stabenow continues to lead John James by a margin of 53.0 percent-36.3 percent -- a lead
of 16.7 percent.
Survey Period Stabenow James Margin

James has marginally chipped into Stabenow’s lead since early September – but his challenge remains that 30 percent of voters
do not recognize his name. And Stabenow has consistently polled above the 50 percent level.
 Among Independent voters, Stabenow continues to lead by a margin of 52.8 percent-18.7 percent. 35.1 percent of
Independent voters do not recognize John James.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
 Stabenow leads in out-state by a margin of 45.6 percent-41.1 percent -- a 4.5 percent lead for Stabenow. But as in the
Governor’s race, she leads 60.1 percent-31.8 percent among Detroit Metro voters.
 Among those who have already cast their absentee ballot, Stabenow leads James by a margin of 60.4 percent-34.1 percent.
Attorney General and Secretary of State: Two Battles of No Name Identification Reverting to Generic Ballot
 The campaigns for Attorney General and Secretary of State continue to be a battle among candidates with very little name
identification with voters. Less than one third of Michigan voters recognize any of the four candidates for these two offices.
Candidate Name Identification Favorable Unfavorable

Tom Leonard 30.3 percent 8.0 percent 6.7 percent
Dana Nessel 35.3 percent 10.7 percent 9.0 percent
Mary Trader Lang 28.9 percent 7.7 percent 6.2 percent

Jocelyn Benson 30.0 percent 10.5 percent 5.0 percent
 As a result of little name identification, these races appear to be reverting to the generic ballot test.
 In the race for Attorney General, Dana Nessel leads Tom Leonard by a margin of 44.9 percent-34.2 percent, with 16.5 percent
undecided – a margin of 10.7 percent.
Survey Period Nessel Leonard Undecided Margin

September 2018 42.3 percent 29.4 percent 23.7 percent +12.9 percent
Early October 2018 38.9 percent 31.5 percent 23.8 percent +7.4 percent
Late October 2018 44.9 percent 34.2 percent 16.5 percent +10.7 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
 In the race for Secretary of State, Jocelyn Benson leads Mary Trader Lang by a margin of 45.0 percent-33.6 percent, with 16.8
percent undecided – a margin of 11.4 percent.
Survey Period Benson Lang Undecided Margin

September 2018 43.7 percent 28.5 percent 22.5 percent +15.2 percent
Early October 2018 41.3 percent 28.7 percent 23.2 percent +12.6 percent
Late October 2018 45.0 percent 33.6 percent 16.8 percent +11.4 percent
 Among those that have already voted absentee, Dana Nessel leads Tom Leonard 54.9 percent-34.1 percent. Among those that
have already voted absentee, Jocelyn Benson leads Mary Trader Lang 54.9 percent-34.1 percent. Both of these margins are
exactly the same lending further evidence that these races are simply reverting to the voters’ natural predisposition on the
generic ballot test.
Democrats Appear to Be Banking Votes Among Absentee Voters
 25.2 percent of voters said they plan to vote by absentee ballot while 73.2 percent of voters said they plan to vote at the ballot
box. 1.7 percent were unsure.
 15.2 percent of voters have already cast their ballot, while 10.0 percent are still holding their absentee ballot.
 Among those voters that have cast their absentee ballot:
 Whitmer leads Schuette 56.0 percent-39.6 percent, with the remainder being unsure or refusing to share their
vote.
 Stabenow leads James 60.4 percent-34.1 percent, with the remainder being unsure or refusing to share their
vote.
 Nessel leads Leonard 54.9 percent-34.1 percent, with the remainder being unsure or refusing to share their
vote.
 Benson leads Lang 54.9 percent-34.1 percent, with the remainder being unsure or refusing to share their vote.
 At this stage, it appears Democratic candidates have ‘banked’ early votes in the absentee ballots.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
The ‘Trump Trend’ Continues: Undecided Voters Breaking Sharply Unfavorable to Trump
As outlined in previous surveys, the ‘Trump Trend’ of voters making their decision in races based how they personally view Donald
Trump continues heading into Election Day.
Generic Ballot
o Voters viewing Trump favorably break 84.5 percent-4.4 percent for the generic Republican candidate.
o Voters viewing Trump unfavorably break 79.6 percent-7.4 percent for the generic Democratic candidate.
US Senate Race
o Voters viewing Trump favorably break 81.8 percent-9.3 percent for John James.
o Voters viewing Trump unfavorably break 82.0 percent-8.0 percent for Debbie Stabenow.
o Undecided voters view Trump unfavorably by a margin of 31.0 percent-52.0 percent.
Governor’s Race
o Voters viewing Trump favorably break 81.8 percent-7.9 percent for Bill Schuette.
o Voters viewing Trump unfavorably break 78.5 percent-9.7 percent for Gretchen Whitmer.
Attorney General Race

o Voters viewing Trump favorably break 77.0 percent-6.2 percent for Tom Leonard.
o Voters viewing Trump unfavorably break 71.7 percent-6.8 percent for Dana Nessel.
Secretary of State Race

o Voters viewing Trump favorably break 75.7 percent-5.7 percent for Mary Trader Lang.
o Voters viewing Trump unfavorably break 74.4 percent-6.8 percent for Jocelyn Benson.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Proposal 1: Legalization of Recreational Marijuana at 57.0 percent
 By a margin of 57.0 percent-40.2 percent, Michigan voters support the passage of Proposal 1. This is a slight decrease from
early October. But it is consistent with our polling conducted throughout 2018 on this issue. There are only 2.8 percent
undecided voters on Proposal 1.
 42.8 percent of voters strongly support this proposal while 32.5 percent of voters strongly oppose this proposal.
 The chart below compares support levels by party affiliation:
Party Affiliation Support Oppose Undecided

Strong Democratic 71.2 percent 26.3 percent 2.4 percent
Lean Democratic 73.4 percent 21.6 percent 3.1 percent
Independent 60.5 percent 36.3 percent 3.3 percent
Lean Republican 37.8 percent 58.1 percent 4.1 percent
Strong Republican 37.6 percent 60.5 percent 1.9 percent
 The chart below compares support levels by age:
Age Support Oppose Undecided

18-29 86.4 percent 11.4 percent 0.0 percent
65+ 38.5 percent 59.4 percent 2.1 percent
 Among those that have already voted absentee (disproportionately over the age of 65), Proposal 1 is at 52.8 percent-46.2
percent.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
 Among Election Day voters, the proposal is at 60.6 percent-35.9 percent.
 If young voters fail to materialize at the polls on Election Day, it appears Proposal 1 will be closer than the polling but
still narrowly pass.
Proposal 2: Redistricting
 By a margin of 58.5 percent-26.5 percent, voters support passage of Proposal 2, with 15.0 percent remaining undecided.
o The Early October survey found support at 55.0 percent-22.7 percent, with 22.3 percent undecided.
o Proposal 2 continues to methodically increase its lead with one week remaining until the election.
 39.7 percent of voters strongly support this proposal while only 16.7 percent strongly oppose this proposal. While overall
support is 58.5 percent, strong support is still at 39.7 percent. Nearly one third of Proposal 2 supporters just ‘somewhat
support’ the proposal.
 The chart below compares support levels by party affiliation. Democratic and Independent have strongly aligned behind this
proposal while Republicans are lining up against the proposal.
Party Affiliation Support Oppose Undecided Strong Support Strong Opposition

Strong Democratic 74.2 percent 13.6 percent 12.2 percent 57.6 percent 6.8
percent
Lean Democratic 73.8 percent 12.3 percent 13.8 percent 60.0 percent 3.1
percent
Independent 61.6 percent 18.7 percent 19.8 percent 36.3 percent 12.1
percent
Lean Republican 46.0 percent 39.5 percent 17.6 percent 23.0 percent 23.0
percent
Strong Republican 35.1 percent 49.6 percent 15.3 percent 18.5 percent 35.0
percent
 Voters over the age of 65 are more skeptical of the proposal with 52.5 percent supporting it and 37.8 percent opposing it.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
 Among those that have already cast a ballot, the proposal leads 51.7 percent-40.0 percent, with the remainder not willing to
disclose their vote.
 Among Election Day voters, the proposal leads 60.5 percent-23.0 percent, with 16.4 percent remaining undecided.
Proposal 3: No Reason Absentee Voting
 By a margin of 68.5 percent-21.7 percent, voters support passage of Proposal 3, with 9.8 percent remaining undecided.
o The early October survey found support at 71.6 percent-18.7 percent, with 9.8 percent undecided.
 48.8 percent of voters strongly support this proposal while only 13.7 percent strongly oppose this proposal.
 The chart below compares support levels by party affiliation.
Party Affiliation Support Oppose Undecided Strong Support Strong Opposition

Strong Democratic 84.9 percent 8.8 percent 6.3 percent 69.3 percent 4.9
percent
Lean Democratic 84.6 percent 7.7 percent 7.7 percent 67.7 percent 3.1
percent
Independent 75.8 percent 13.2 percent 11.0 percent 52.7 percent 8.8
percent
Lean Republican 50.0 percent 41.9 percent 8.1 percent 23.0 percent 23.0
percent
Strong Republican 46.5 percent 38.8 percent 14.6 percent 26.1 percent 20.4
percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
 Among those that have already cast a ballot, the proposal leads 59.2 percent-29.7 percent, with the remainder not willing to
disclose their vote.
 Among Election Day voters, the proposal leads 71.5 percent- 18.7 percent, with 9.8 percent undecided.
 Proposal 3 continues to have strong support, minor opposition, and appears poised to pass on Election Day.
MICHIGAN STATEWIDE SURVEY

LATE OCTOBER SURVEY/ OCTOBER 2018
Hello, my name is __________. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a survey of voters in our community. It should take
approximately ten minutes.
A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling?
1. Yes…..CONTINUE 100.0 percent(600)

2. No….TERMINATE
B. Thinking about the General Election on November 6th of this year, would you say are definitely going to vote, probably going
to vote, probably not going to vote, or definitely not going to vote?
1. Definitely going to vote….CONTINUE 93.3 percent (560)

2. Probably going to vote….CONTINUE 6.7 percent (40)
3. Probably not going to vote….TERMINATE
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
4. Definitely not going to vote….TERMINATE
C. And do you plan to vote by absentee ballot or will you vote in person at the voting booth? IF ABSENTEE BALLOT, ASK:
AND HAVE YOU CAST YOUR BALLOT YET?
1. Absentee, have not voted. 10.0 percent (60)

2. Absentee, have already voted. 15.2 percent (91)
3. Ballot Box/ In Person 73.2 percent (439)
4. Depends/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.7 percent (10)
D. And could you tell me in what county you vote in?
1. UP/North 13.0 percent (78)

2. West 11.2 percent (67)
3. Southwest 8.3 percent (50)
4. Mid Michigan 8.7 percent (52)
5. East Central 7.7 percent (46)
6. Oakland 13.2 percent (79)
7. Macomb 8.5 percent (51)
8. Wayne 11.7 percent (70)
9. City of Detroit 6.7 percent (40)
10. Remainder of Detroit MSA 11.2 percent (67)
0. CODE:
1. Outstate (UP/North, West, Southwest, Mid, East Central) 48.7 percent (292)
2. Metro Detroit (Oakland, Macomb, Wayne, 51.3 percent (308)
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Detroit, Detroit MSA)
1. Generally speaking, do you think the nation is on the right track of would you say the nation is on the wrong track?
1. Right track 37.7 percent (226)

2. Wrong track 51.0 percent (306)
3. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 11.3 percent (68)
2. And what about Michigan, do you think things in Michigan are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the
wrong track?
1. Right Track 40.3 percent (242)

2. Wrong Track 46.3 percent (278)
3. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?
1. Democratic 48.5 percent (291)

2. Republican 38.0 percent (228)
3. Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER 12.7 percent (76)
4. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.8 percent (5)
I am going to read you the names of several people you might have heard of. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person. [ROTATE NAMES]
4. Donald Trump NAME ID: 100.0 percent
1. Heard, favorable 37.7 percent (226)

2. Heard, unfavorable 56.5 percent (339)
3. Heard, no opinion 5.8 percent (35)
4. Never heard of 0.0 percent (0)
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
5. Bill Schuette NAME ID: 92.0 percent

5. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)
6. Gretchen Whitmer NAME ID: 88.4 percent

7. Debbie Stabenow NAME ID: 96.6 percent

8. John James NAME ID: 69.5 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
9. Dana Nessel NAME ID: 35.3 percent

10. Tom Leonard NAME ID: 30.3 percent

11. Jocelyn Benson NAME ID: 30.0 percent

12. Mary Trader Lang NAME ID: 28.9 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
1. Strongly approve 29.7 percent (178) APPROVE: 44.0 percent

2. Somewhat approve 14.3 percent (86)
3. Somewhat disapprove 6.3 percent (38)
4. Strongly disapprove 45.0 percent (270) DISAPPROVE: 51.3 percent
5. Neither/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 4.7 percent (28)
14. Generally speaking, will your vote in the November election be a vote for President Trump, a vote against President Trump, or
would you say your vote will have nothing to do with President Trump? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY
FOR/AGAINST PRESIDENT TRUMP OR WOULD YOU SAY IT WILL JUST BE SOMEWHAT FOR/AGAINST
PRESIDENT TRUMP?
1. Strongly for President Trump 19.5 percent (117)

2. Somewhat for President Trump 5.2 percent (31)
3. Will have nothing to do with President Trump 38.2 percent (229)
4. Somewhat against President Trump 4.7 percent (28)
5. Strongly against President Trump 29.8 percent (179)
15. If the election for United States Senator were held today and [ROTATE] John James
was the Republican candidate, Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate, George Huffman was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Marcia Squier was the Green candidate, and John Howard Wilhelm was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Michigan’s United State Senator? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
1. Stabenow/ Democratic 49.3 percent (296) STABENOW: 53.0 percent
2. Lean Stabenow 3.7 percent (22)
3. James/ Republican 33.8 percent (203) JAMES: 36.3 percent
4. Lean James 2.5 percent (15)
5. Huffman/ US Taxpayers 1.2 percent (7) THIRD: 2.7 percent
6. Squier/ Green 1.2 percent (7)
7. Wilhelm/ Natural Law 0.3 percent (2)
8. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 8.0 percent (48) UNDECIDED: 8.0 percent
16. If the election for Michigan Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Gretchen Whitmer was the Democratic candidate, Bill
Schuette was the Republican candidate, Bill Gelineau was the Libertarian candidate, Todd Schleiger was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Jennifer Kurland was the Green candidate, and Keith Butkovich was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Governor? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
1. Whitmer/ Democratic 48.3 percent (290) WHITMER: 49.8 percent

2. Lean Whitmer 1.5 percent (9)
3. Schuette/ Republican 34.8 percent (209) SCHUETTE: 37.5 percent
4. Lean Schuette 2.7 percent (16)
5. Gelineau/ Libertarian 1.5 percent (9) THIRD PARTY 3.7 percent
6. Schleiger/ US Taxpayers 0.5 percent (3)
7. Kurland/ Green 1.0 percent (6)
8. Butkovich / Natural Law 0.7 percent (4)
9. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 9.0 percent (54) UNDECIDED: 9.0 percent
17. Gretchen Whitmer and Bill Schuette met in two televised debates in the past two weeks. Did you watch either debate?
1. Yes…MOVE TO Q18 20.3 percent (122)

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October 28, 2018
2. No….MOVE TO Q19 76.2 percent (457)
3. Don’t Know/ Refused….MOVE TO Q19 3.5 percent (21)
18. And did the debates move your vote to Gretchen Whitmer, Bill Schuette, or did the debates have no influence on your vote?
1. Whitmer 24.6 percent (30)

2. Schuette 11.5 percent (14)
3. Had no influence 63.9 percent (78)
19. If the election for Michigan Attorney General were held today and [ROTATE] Tom Leonard was the Republican candidate,
Dana Nessel was the Democratic candidate, Gerald Van Sickle was the US Taxpayers candidate, Lisa Lane Gioia was the
Libertarian candidate or Chris Graveline, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s Attorney General? IF DON’T KNOW,
ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
1. Nessel/ Democratic 41.2 percent (247) NESSEL: 44.9 percent

2. Lean Nessel 3.7 percent (22)
3. Leonard/ Republican 30.2 percent (181) LEONARD: 34.2 percent
4. Lean Leonard 4.0 percent (24)
5. Gioia/ Libertairan 2.8 percent (17) THIRD 4.5 percent
6. Van Sickle/ US Taxpayers 1.0 percent (6)
7. Graveline 0.7 percent (4)
8. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 16.5 percent (99) UNDECIDED 16.5 percent
20. If the election for Secretary of State were held today and [ROTATE] Jocelyn Benson was the Democratic candidate, Mary
Treder Lang was the Republican candidate, Gregory Scott Stempfle was the Libertarian candidate, and Robert Gale was the
US Taxpayers candidate, who would you vote for to be Michgian’s Secretary of State? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
1. Benson/ Democratic 41.5 percent (249) BENSON: 45.0 percent
2. Lean Benson 4.5 percent (27)
3. Lang/ Republican 30.3 percent (182) LANG: 33.6 percent
4. Lean Lang 3.3 percent (20)
5. Stempfle/ Libertarian 1.5 percent (9) THIRD: 3.5 percent
6. Gale/ US Taxpayers 2.0 percent (12)
7. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 16.8 percent (101) UNDECIDED 16.8 percent
Voters will decide three different ballot proposals on the November ballot. I would like to read each of them to you and ask you if you support or
oppose the proposal.
21. Proposal 18-1: A proposed initiated law to authorize and legalize possession, use and cultivation of marijuana products by individuals
who are at least 21 years of age and older, and commercial sales of marijuana through state-licensed retailers.
This proposal would:
 Allow individuals 21 and older to purchase, possess and use marijuana and marijuana-infused edibles, and grow up to 12 marijuana plants
for personal consumption.
 Impose a 10-ounce limit for marijuana kept at residences and require amounts over 2.5 ounces be secured in locked containers.
 Create a state licensing system for marijuana businesses and allow municipalities to ban or restrict them.
 Permit retail sales of marijuana and edibles subject to a 10 percent tax, dedicated to implementation costs, clinical trials, schools, roads,
and municipalities where marijuana businesses are located.
 Change several current violations from crimes to civil infractions.
Would you say you support or oppose this initiated law? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?
1. Strongly support 42.8 percent (257) SUPPORT: 57.0 percent

2. Somewhat support 14.2 percent (85)
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
3. Somewhat oppose 7.7 percent (46) OPPOSE: 40.2 percent
4. Strongly oppose 32.5 percent (195)
5. Don’t Know/ Refused/ Neither…DO NOT OFFER 2.8 percent (17) UNDECIDED 2.8 percent
22. Proposal 18-2 : A proposed constitutional amendment to establish a commission of citizens with exclusive authority to adopt district
boundaries for the Michigan Senate, Michigan House of Representatives and U.S. Congress, every 10 years. This proposed constitutional
amendment would:
Create a commission of 13 registered voters randomly selected by the Secretary of State: 4 each who self-identify as affiliated with the 2
major political parties; and 5 who self-identify as unaffiliated with major political parties.
 Prohibit partisan officeholders and candidates, their employees, certain relatives, and lobbyists from serving as commissioners.
 Establish new redistricting criteria including geographically compact and contiguous districts of equal population, reflecting Michigan’s
diverse population and communities of interest. Districts shall not provide disproportionate advantage to political parties or candidates.
 Require an appropriation of funds for commission operations and commissioner compensation.
Would you say you support or oppose this initiated law? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST
1. Strongly support 39.7 percent (238) SUPPORT 58.5 percent

3. Somewhat oppose 9.8 percent (59) OPPOSE 26.5 percent
5. Don’t Know/ Refused/ Neither…DO NOT OFFER 15.0 percent (90) UNDECIDED 15.0 percent
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
23. Proposal 18-3 : A proposal to authorize automatic and Election Day voter registration, no-reason absentee voting, and straight ticket
voting; and add current legal requirements for military and overseas voting and post- election audits to the Michigan Constitution.
This proposed constitutional amendment would allow a United States citizen who is qualified to vote in Michigan to:
 Become automatically registered to vote when applying for, updating or renewing a driver’s license or state-issued personal identification
card, unless the person declines.
 Simultaneously register to vote with proof of residency and obtain a ballot during the 2-week period prior to an election, up to and
including Election Day.
 Obtain an absent voter ballot without providing a reason.
 Cast a straight-ticket vote for all candidates of a particular political party when voting in a partisan general election
 Would you say you support or oppose this initiated law? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST
1. Strongly support 48.8 percent (293) SUPPORT: 68.5 percent

3. Somewhat oppose 8.0 percent (48) OPPOSE: 21.7 percent
5. Don’t Know/ Refused/ Neither….DO NOT OFFER 9.8 percent (59) UNDECIDED 9.8 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Now, just a few questions for statistical purposes.
24. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic
candidates, or would you say that you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY
ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY OR MORE TO THE REPUBLICAN
PARTY, OR WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?
1. Strong Democratic 34.2 percent (205) DEMOCRATIC 45.0 percent

2. Lean Democratic 10.8 percent (65)
3. Independent 15.2 percent (91) INDEPENDENT 15.2 percent
4. Lean Republican 12.3 percent (74)
5. Strong Republican 26.2 percent (157) REPUBLICAN 38.5 percent
6. Other/Refused/ Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 1.3 percent (8)
25. Do you or does any member of your family belong to a labor union or teachers association?
1. Yes 31.7 percent (190)

2. No 67.5 percent (405)
26. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in this
November’s election? You can name any number from one to ten.
SCORE: 9.4
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref
0.2 percent 0.3 percent 0.2 percent 0.7 percent 3.3 percent 2.2 percent 2.7 percent 5.8 percent 6.0 percent
78.0 percent 0.7 percent
27. What would be the last year of schooling you completed?
1. High School Graduate or less 22.5 percent (135)

2. Vocational Training/ Some Community College/ 28.2 percent (169)
Some College
3. College Graduate 48.3 percent (290)
4. Don’t Know/ Refused 1.0 percent (6)
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
28. Could you please tell me in what year you were born?
1. 18-29 (1989-2000) 13.5 percent (81)

2. 30-39 (1979-1988) 16.5 percent (99)
3. 40-49 (1969-1978) 14.8 percent (89)
4. 50-64 (1954-1968) 30.8 percent (185)
5. 65+ (1953 and before) 23.8 percent (143)
29. And where would you say you primarily get your POLITICAL news?
1. Local television news 18.7 percent (112)

2. Fox News 13.5 percent (81)
3. CNN/MSNBC 11.7 percent (70)
4. Networks (ABC/CBS/NBC) 7.0 percent (42)
5. Radio 9.0 percent (54)
6. Newspapers and newspaper websites 13.7 percent (82)
7. Social media like Facebook and Twitter 8.8 percent (53)
8. Political websites like Breitbart, the Huffington Post 7.0 percent (42)
or the Drudge Report
9. Other__________________________________________ 7.0 percent (42)
30. And what is your race or ethnic background?
1. Caucasian 76.8 percent (461)

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
2. African American 13.2 percent (79)
3. Hispanic/Puerto Rican/ Mexican American 1.7 percent (10)
4. Asian 0.7 percent (4)
5. Mixed Race…DO NOT OFFER 2.5 percent (15)
6. Native American 1.0 percent (6)
7. Other/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 4.2 percent (25)
31. Gender: BY OBSERVATION
1. Male 48.0 percent (288)

2. Female 52.05 (312)
32. TELEPHONE
1. Cell 35.0 percent (210)
2. Landline 65.0 percent (390)
33. This survey was commissioned by the news media. Occasionally, they choose to talk to several participants of the survey.
Can we release your name and telephone number to them if they want to talk to you? Or would you prefer that your opinions
remain confidential? IF YES, ASK:
AND CAN YOU CONFIRM YOUR NAME? _______________________________
WRITE IN TELEPHONE NUMBER ______________________________________
AND CAN WE RELEASE YOUR RESPONSES OR WOULD YOU PREFER THAT YOUR RESPONSES REMAIN
CONFIDENTIAL?
1. Yes, release responses.

2. No, responses remain confidential.

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Thank you. That completes our survey.
1. Generally speaking, do you think the nation is on the right track of would you say the nation is on the wrong track?
Right Wrong
Definite 38.6 percent 50.7 percent
Strong Dem 9.3 percent 83.9 percent

Lean Dem 6.2 percent 78.5 percent
Independent 30.8 percent 49.5 percent
Lean GOP 63.5 percent 25.7 percent
Strong GOP 80.3 percent 8.3 percent
Male 45.5 percent 45.1 percent

Female 30.4 percent 56.4 percent
Metro 33.4 percent 53.9 percent

Out State 42.1 percent 47.9 percent
18-29 19.8 percent 61.7 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
65+ 46.2 percent 48.3 percent
2. And what about Michigan, do you think things in Michigan are on the right track or would you say they have gotten off on the
wrong track?
Right Wrong




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
3. If the election for State House was held today, generally speaking would you say you would vote for the [ROTATE]
Democratic candidate or would you vote for the Republican candidate?
Dem GOP




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
4. Donald Trump
Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never

Definite 38.6 percent 56.6 percent 4.8 percent 0.0 percent
Strong Dem 2.4 percent 95.1 percent 2.4 percent 0.0 percent
Lean Dem 0.0 percent 93.8 percent 6.2 percent 0.0 percent
Independent 29.7 percent 54.9 percent 15.4 percent 0.0 percent
Lean GOP 71.6 percent 21.6 percent 6.8 percent 0.0 percent
Strong GOP 88.5 percent 7.6 percent 3.8 percent 0.0 percent
Male 40.6 percent 52.8 percent 6.6 percent 0.0 percent

Female 34.9 percent 59.9 percent 5.1 percent 0.0 percent
Metro 31.8 percent 62.3 percent 5.8 percent 0.0 percent

Out State 43.8 percent 50.3 percent 5.8 percent 0.0 percent
18-29 19.8 percent 71.6 percent 8.6 percent 0.0 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
65+ 44.1 percent 52.4 percent 3.5 percent 0.0 percent
5. Bill Schuette




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
6. Gretchen Whitmer




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
7. Debbie Stabenow




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
8. John James




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
9. Dana Nessel




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
10. Tom Leonard




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
11. Jocelyn Benson




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
12. Mary Trader Lang




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
40-49 6.7 percent 5.6 percent 18.05 65.2 percent
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD
THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?
Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly

Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove



Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
14. Generally speaking, will your vote in the November election be a vote for President Trump, a vote against President Trump, or
would you say your vote will have nothing to do with President Trump? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY
FOR/AGAINST PRESIDENT TRUMP OR WOULD YOU SAY IT WILL JUST BE SOMEWHAT FOR/AGAINST
PRESIDENT TRUMP?
For Trump Nothing To Do Against Trump

With Trump
Definite 24.7 percent 37.9 percent 34.9 percent
Strong Dem 2.0 percent 29.8 percent 65.8 percent

Lean Dem 0.0 percent 53.8 percent 46.3 percent
Lean GOP 43.3 percent 43.2 percent 9.5 percent
Strong GOP 63.1 percent 31.2 percent 5.8 percent
Male 28.2 percent 37.5 percent 31.3 percent

Female 21.5 percent 38.8 percent 37.5 percent
Metro 21.7 percent 37.7 percent 38.7 percent

Out State 27.8 percent 38.7 percent 30.2 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
15. If the election for United States Senator were held today and [ROTATE] John James
was the Republican candidate, Debbie Stabenow was the Democratic candidate, George Huffman was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Marcia Squier was the Green candidate, and John Howard Wilhelm was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Michigan’s United State Senator? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Stabenow Lean James Lean Undecided

Definite 50.0 percent 3.0 percent 34.8 percent 2.0 percent 7.5 percent
Strong Dem 91.2 percent 4.4 percent 0.5 percent 0.0 percent 2.9 percent
Lean Dem 76.9 percent 4.6 percent 3.1 percent 1.5 percent 6.2 percent
Independent 44.0 percent 8.8 percent 15.4 percent 3.3 percent 24.2 percent
Lean GOP 9.5 percent 1.4 percent 70.3 percent 5.4 percent 10.8 percent
Strong GOP 6.4 percent 0.6 percent 85.4 percent 3.8 percent 1.8 percent
Male 46.2 percent 2.4 percent 37.5 percent 2.1 percent 7.6 percent
Female 52.2 percent 4.8 percent 30.4 percent 2.9 percent 8.3 percent
Metro 56.5 percent 3.6 percent 29.9 percent 1.9 percent 9.9 percent
Out State 41.8 percent 3.8 percent 38.0 percent 3.1 percent 6.2 percent
18-29 53.1 percent 8.6 percent 14.8 percent 1.2 percent 8.6 percent
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
65+ 54.5 percent 1.4 percent 39.2 percent 0.0 percent 3.5 percent
AB, Voted 59.3 percent 1.1 percent 33.0 percent 1.1 percent 4.4 percent
AB, Not 50.0 percent 0.0 percent 36.7 percent 3.3 percent 8.3 percent
Ballot Box 46.5 percent 4.8 percent 34.4 percent 2.3 percent 8.9 percent
Stabenow Lean James Lean Undecided
Dem M 92.3 percent 3.3 percent 1.1 percent 0.0 percent 1.1 percent
Dem W 90.5 percent 5.3 percent 0.0 percent 0.0 percent 4.4 percent
L Dem M 78.1 percent 3.1 percent 0.0 percent 3.1 percent 3.1 percent
L Dem W 75.8 percent 6.1 percent 6.1 percent 0.0 percent 9.1 percent
Ind Men 33.3 percent 4.8 percent 21.4 percent 4.8 percent 28.6 percent
Ind Wom 53.1 percent 12.2 percent 10.2 percent 2.0 percent 20.4 percent
L GOP M 8.3 percent 0.0 percent 77.8 percent 0.0 percent 11.1 percent
L GOP W 10.5 percent 2.6 percent 63.2 percent 10.5 percent 10.5 percent
GOP M 7.2 percent 1.2 percent 84.3 percent 2.4 percent 2.4 percent
GOP W 5.4 percent 0.0 percent 86.5 percent 5.4 percent 1.4 percent
HS Men 47.6 percent 1.6 percent 38.1 percent 4.8 percent 6.3 percent
HS Wom 50.0 percent 1.4 percent 33.3 percent 42.3 percent 11.1 percent
Post Men 46.7 percent 0.0 percent 38.7 percent 1.3 percent 9.3 percent
Post Wom 47.9 percent 5.3 percent 30.9 percent 3.2 percent 10.6 percent
Coll Men 45.6 percent 4.1 percent 36.7 percent 1.4 percent 6.8 percent
Coll Wom 56.6 percent 6.3 percent 28.0 percent 2.1 percent 5.6 percent
Out Men 39.7 percent 1.4 percent 41.8 percent 2.1 percent 9.9 percent
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Out Wom 43.7 percent 6.0 percent 34.4 percent 4.0 percent 9.9 percent
Metro Men 52.4 percent 3.4 percent 33.3 percent 2.0 percent 5.4 percent
Metro Wom 60.2 percent 3.7 percent 26.7 percent 1.9 percent 6.8 percent
16. If the election for Michigan Governor were held today and [ROTATE] Gretchen Whitmer was the Democratic candidate, Bill
Schuette was the Republican candidate, Bill Gelineau was the Libertarian candidate, Todd Schleiger was the US Taxpayers
candidate, Jennifer Kurland was the Green candidate, and Keith Butkovich was the Natural Law candidate, who would you
vote for to be Governor? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Whitmer Lean Schuette Lean Undecided

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Whitmer Lean Schuette Lean Undecided
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
17. Gretchen Whitmer and Bill Schuette met in two televised debates in the past two weeks. Did you watch either debate?
Yes No




Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
18. And did the debates move your vote to Gretchen Whitmer, Bill Schuette, or did the debates have no influence on your vote?
Whitmer Schuette No Influence

Definite 25.2 percent 11.8 percent 63.0 percent
Strong Dem 34.0 percent 2.1 percent 63.8 percent

Lean Dem 61.5 percent 0.0 percent 38.5 percent
Lean GOP 7.1 percent 14.3 percent 78.6 percent
Strong GOP 9.1 percent 27.3 percent 63.6 percent
Male 23.2 percent 14.3 percent 62.5 percent

Female 25.8 percent 9.1 percent 65.2 percent
Metro 22.1 percent 10.4 percent 67.5 percent

Out State 28.9 percent 13.3 percent 57.8 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
19. If the election for Michigan Attorney General were held today and [ROTATE] Tom Leonard was the Republican candidate,
Dana Nessel was the Democratic candidate, Gerald Van Sickle was the US Taxpayers candidate, Lisa Lane Gioia was the
Libertarian candidate or Chris Graveline, who would you vote for to be Michigan’s Attorney General? IF DON’T KNOW,
ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Nessel Lean Leonard Lean Undecided


Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Nessel Lean Leonard Lean Undecided
L GOP W 0.0 percent 0,.0 percent 60.5 percent 13.2 percent 21.1 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
20. If the election for Secretary of State were held today and [ROTATE] Jocelyn Benson was the Democratic candidate, Mary
Treder Lang was the Republican candidate, Gregory Scott Stempfle was the Libertarian candidate, and Robert Gale was the
US Taxpayers candidate, who would you vote for to be Michgian’s Secretary of State? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH
WAY DO YOU LEAN?
Benson Lean Lang Lean Undecided

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Benson Lean Lang Lean Undecided

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
21. Proposal 18-1: A proposed initiated law to authorize and legalize possession, use and cultivation of marijuana products by individuals
who are at least 21 years of age and older, and commercial sales of marijuana through state-licensed retailers.
Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Undecided

Support Support Oppose Oppose
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
30-39 52.5 percent 19.2 percent 10.,1 percent 17.2 percent 1.0 percent

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
22. Proposal 18-2 : A proposed constitutional amendment to establish a commission of citizens with exclusive authority to adopt district
boundaries for the Michigan Senate, Michigan House of Representatives and U.S. Congress, every 10 years.


Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
23. Proposal 18-3 : A proposal to authorize automatic and Election Day voter registration, no-reason absentee voting, and straight ticket
voting; and add current legal requirements for military and overseas voting and post- election audits to the Michigan Constitution.


Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
26. How motivated are you to vote in this November’s election?
SCORE
Definite 9.5
Strong Dem 9.6

Lean Dem 9.5
Independent 8.9
Lean GOP 9.2
Strong GOP 9.5
Male 9.5
Female 9.3
Metro 9.3
Out State 9.5
18-29 8.8
30-39 8.9
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
40-49 9.5
50-64 9.6
65+ 9.7
Dem M 9.6
Dem W 9.6
L Dem M 9.5
L Dem W 9.6
Ind Men 9.0
Ind Wom 8.9
L GOP M 9.6
L GOP W 8.7
GOP M 9.7
GOP W 9.4
HS Men 9.2
HS Wom 9.3
Post Men 9.5
Post Wom 9.2
Coll Men 9.6
Coll Wom 9.4
Out Men 9.7

Out Wom 9.3
Metro Men 9.3
Metro Wom 9.3

Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018
Detroit News/ WDIV
October 28, 2018

Michigan Late October 2018 Statewide

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MICHIGAN STATEWIDE GENERAL ELECTION VOTER SURVEY

OCTOBER 28, 2018

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 1

15 Aggregate Survey Results

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 2

Historic Motivation to Vote Continues

Party Affiliation Early September Early October Late October

Election Fundamentals Remain Unchanged

Survey Period Right Track Wrong Track

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 3

Survey Period Right Track Wrong

Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable

Survey Period Trump Approve Trump Disapprove Strong Disapproval of Trump

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 4

Of particular note are Independent voters:

Survey Period Democratic Republican Margin

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 5

Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable

Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable

Survey Period Whitmer Schuette Margin

Region/Gender Whitmer Schuette Margin

Did The Debates Matter?

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 7

Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable

Survey Period Favorable Unfavorable Overall Name Identification

Survey Period Stabenow James Margin

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 8

Candidate Name Identification Favorable Unfavorable

Mary Trader Lang 28.9 percent 7.7 percent 6.2 percent

Survey Period Nessel Leonard Undecided Margin

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 9

Survey Period Benson Lang Undecided Margin

Democrats Appear to Be Banking Votes Among Absentee Voters

 Among those voters that have cast their absentee ballot:

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 10

Attorney General Race

Secretary of State Race

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 11

 The chart below compares support levels by party affiliation:

Party Affiliation Support Oppose Undecided

 The chart below compares support levels by age:

Age Support Oppose Undecided

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 12

Party Affiliation Support Oppose Undecided Strong Support Strong Opposition

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 13

Proposal 3: No Reason Absentee Voting

 The chart below compares support levels by party affiliation.

Party Affiliation Support Oppose Undecided Strong Support Strong Opposition

Michigan Statewide General Election Survey 14

MICHIGAN STATEWIDE SURVEY

A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling?

1. Yes…..CONTINUE 100.0 percent(600)

1. Definitely going to vote….CONTINUE 93.3 percent (560)

1. Absentee, have not voted. 10.0 percent (60)

D. And could you tell me in what county you vote in?

1. UP/North 13.0 percent (78)

1. Right track 37.7 percent (226)

1. Right Track 40.3 percent (242)

1. Democratic 48.5 percent (291)

4. Donald Trump NAME ID: 100.0 percent

1. Heard, favorable 37.7 percent (226)

5. Bill Schuette NAME ID: 92.0 percent

1. Heard, favorable 30.2 percent (181)