51872018 ‘The Future of WelLBelng in a Tech-Saturated Wore | Pew Research Center
Pew Research Center
Internet & Technology
The Future of Well-Being in a Tech-Saturated
World
A plurality of experts say digital life will continue to expand people’s boundaries
and opportunities in the coming decade and that the world to come will produce
more help than harm in people’s lives. Still, nearly a third think that digital life
will be mostly harmful to people's health, mental fitness and happiness. Most say
there are solutions
:NERORGIAUTHORUANDERSON) AND LEE RAINIE
[BY JANNA ANDERSON (HTTP WW.EW
(Towiqu Photography)
‘When the Pew Research Center asks American internet users for their bottom-line judgment about the role of digital
‘technology in their own lives, the vast majority feel itis a good thing (http://www: pewinternet.org/2014/02/27/the-web-at-
agrinthews/).
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Yet, over the past 18 months a drumbeat of concerns about the personal and societal impacts of technology has been
growing — and it crescendoed last week in the congressional grilling
(tips: //www.nytimes.com/2018/04/11/us/polities/acckerberg-facebook-cambridge-analytca.htm) of Facebook CEO Mark
‘Zuckerberg about his company's power and impact on American life. More broadly the concerns are highlighted by
headlines about the “Heavy Toll of ‘Always On’ Technology (hetps/sloanreviewmit.eduarticle/the-heavy-toll-of-always-on-
technology/)," the emergence of a “techilash (bttps://shift neweo.co/the-techlashegains-momentum-Se7efafz3hss)" driven by
people's disillusionment with the online environment, and worries over digital dystopia.
Ctps://ww:theguardian.com/teehnology audio/2028 an/sa/digital-dystopia-end-of-privacy-teeh-podcast) There has also
been commentary and research (htps://www.nebinlmanih.gov/pme/articles/PMC4804263/) about the effets digital
technology usage (htp://peditries aappublications.org/content/132/5/958.(ull ean have on people's well-being, their
(htips://www:.apa.ong/news/press/releases/stress/2017/technology-social-media. PDF) level of stress,
(tips: //journalistsresource.org/studies/society/internet/adolescents-cope-digital-stress) their likelihood of committing.
suicide (hitp://journalssagepub.com,/oi/full/10.17/2167702617723376) their ability to perform well at work and in social
settings, their capability to focus (https//lindastone.net/a/continuo
{information-overload/) theit eapaeity to modulate their level of connectivity
partialattention/) in an era of information overload.
(http://www pewinternet.org/20%6;
(ttps:/hackernoon. com how-much-time-do-people-spend-on-their-mobile-phones-in-2017-e5fg0a0b1026) , and their overall
happiness.
In ight of these mounting concerns, Pew Research Center and Elon University’s Imagining the Internet Center queried
technology experts, scholars and health specialists on this question: Over the next decade, how will changes in digital
life impact people's overall well-being physically and mentally?
Some 1,150 experts responded in this non-scientific
‘canvassing. Some 47% of these respondents prediet that,
individuals’ well-being will be more helped than harmed
by digital life in the next decade, while 32% say people's
‘well-being will be more harmed than helped. The
Humans need tools. Humans need and
want augmentation. And as the saying
goes ‘First we make our tools, then our
remaining 21% predict there will not be much change in
‘people's well-being compared to now. (See the section
titled “About this canvassing of experts
tools form us’
PAUL JONES.
(http://www pewinternet.org/2018 /04/17/the-future-of-well-
being-about-this-canvassing-of-experts/) "for further details
about who these experts are and the structure of this canvassing sample.)
Many of those who argue that human well-being will be harmed also acknowledge that digital tools will continue to
‘enhance various aspects of life. They also note there is no turning back. At the same time, hundreds of them suggested
interventions in the coming years they feel could mitigate the problems and emphasize the benefits. Moreover, many of
the hopeful respondents also agree that some harm will arise in the future, especially to those who are vulnerable,
Participants were asked to explain their answers, and most wrote detailed claborations that provide insights about
hopeful and concerning trends. They were allowed to respond anonymously and many did so; their written comments
are also included in this report.
‘Three types of themes emerged: those tied to expert views that people will be more helped than harmed when it comes
to well-being; those tied to potential harms; and those tied to remedies these experts proposed to mitigate foreseeable
problems. The themes are outlined in the nearby table.
Themes about the future of well-being and digital life
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ogggereo ns Connection Digha fe inks people to people, knowledge, education and entertainment
anywhere globally at any ime in an affordable, nearly frictionless manner.
Commerce, government Digital life revolutionizes civic, business, consumer and personal logistics,
opening up a world of opportunity and options.
‘Crucial iteigence Digital life is essential to tapping into an ever-widening array of health, safety,
and science resources, tools and services in realtime,
Contentment Digital fe empowers people to improve, advance or reinvent their lives, allowing
them to selF-actualize, meet soul mates and make a difference in the world
Continuation toward Emerging tools will continue to expand the quality and focus of digital life; the
bigpicture results will continue to be @ plus overall for humanity
Mone waneD HA Digital deficits People's cognitive capabilites will be challenged in multiple ways, including thelr
capacity for analytical thinking, memory, focus, creativity, reflection ané mental
resilience.
Digital addiction Internet businesses are organized around dopamine-dosing tools designed to
hhook the public.
aiatrasainBiitl Personal agency will be reduced and emotions such as shock, fear indignation
and outrage willbe further weaponized online, driving divisions and doubts.
Digital duress Information overload + declines in trust and face-to-face skills + poor interface:
design = rises in stress, anxiety, depression, inactivity and sleeplessness.
Digital dangers. The structure of the internet and pace of digital change invite ever-evolving
threats to human interaction, security, democracy, jobs, privacy and more
Parent. Reimagine systems Societies can revise both tech arrangements and the structure of human
institutions ~ including their composition, design, goals and processes,
Reinvent tech Things can change by reconfiguring hardware and software to improve thelr
human-centered performance and by exploiting tools like artificial intelligence
(Al, virtual reality (VR), augmented realty (AR) and mixed reality (MR),
Regulate Governments and/or industries should create reforms through agreement on
standards, guidelines, codes of conduct, and passage of laws and rules.
‘Redesign media iteraey Formally educate people ofall ages about the impacts of digital lfe on well-being
and the way tech systems function, as well as encourage appropriate, healthy
Recalibrat expectations Human-technology coevolution comes at a price; digital life in the 2000s is no
different. People must gradually evolve and adjust to these changes.
Fated fal share of respondents say all this may help somewhat, but - mostly due to
hhuman nature ~ itis unlikely that these responses will be effective enough,
PEW RESEARCH CENTER AND ELON UNIVERSITY'S IMAGINING THE INTERNET CENTER
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