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Introduction
For an institution designed to resolve disagreement, the United
States Supreme Court is remarkably good at stirring the pot. Some
look to the Court as the rampart that makes democracy’s airy con-
struction possible; it is the essential resistance to majoritarian policy
turned oppressive, the bulwark of liberty for minorities. Others point
out the consequences of the Court’s countermajoritarian tendency; it
will either reject progress like a dowdy schoolmarm, or the opposite,
when it legislates from the bench, pushing its unpopular policies on a
befuddled and increasingly resentful public.
We have grown so used to this debate about judicial review that
we fail to ask the obvious question: what if both sides are wrong? In
his remarkable, original book, The Will of the People,1 Barry Friedman
turns the debate inside out. For either side of the conventional debate
to be right, the Court would need to defy the popular majority.2 But
as Friedman shows through a careful examination of the Supreme
Court’s full history, the Court hews closely to public will, rarely stray-
* Associate Professor, University of Michigan. This Essay was prepared for a symposium
on judicial review at The George Washington University Law School in October 2009.
1 BARRY FRIEDMAN, THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE: HOW PUBLIC OPINION HAS INFLUENCED
THE SUPREME COURT AND SHAPED THE MEANING OF THE CONSTITUTION (2009).
2 Id. at 369–70.
1178
2010] Social Science of the Dialogic Theory of Judicial Review 1179
ing from the public’s side and never doing so for long.3 The Court
bounds along, pulling and resisting, but generally it accepts the peo-
ple’s alpha status.4 Golly! The Court is the people’s puppy, and the
people hold it firmly by the leash.
Histories, when recounted by gifted writers (as this one is), can
leave us breathless, but not necessarily sated. Certainly, to know, in
such a familiar way, such a complex story and to be able to guide the
reader with such care and patience is a rare talent. Friedman walks
his reader through the social and political contexts of Supreme Court
decisions as if along a windowed corridor, occasionally throwing back
the curtains to reveal a stunning scene, exposing a landscape both fa-
miliar and fantastic. These stories make for a good read but do not
amount to a satisfying theory. I am a social scientist, meaning I am by
pedigree prone to be skeptical. What is behind the curtains not
opened? To convince me, you need an explanation for why these se-
lected vignettes make sense when linked together that tells us some-
thing about the way human nature interacts with the incentives
created by our government’s structure to produce the history we ob-
serve. That is, you need a good theory. And so, although the book
was quite satisfyingly complete after chapter 10 for virtually all of his
readers, by adding the final chapter, Friedman has turned the book
into a major contribution to social science.
Friedman’s contribution is what he dubs the “dialogic system” of
determining constitutional meaning.5 According to his thesis, the
Court and the public not only speak to one another, they listen to each
other, with the Court deferring to the public when they disagree.6
Supreme Court. See, e.g., LARRY D. KRAMER, THE PEOPLE THEMSELVES: POPULAR CONSTITU-
TIONALISM AND JUDICIAL REVIEW (2004); THOMAS R. MARSHALL, PUBLIC OPINION AND THE
SUPREME COURT (1989); David G. Barnum, The Supreme Court and Public Opinion: Judicial
Decision Making in the Post-New Deal Period, 47 J. POL. 652 (1985); Robert A. Dahl, Decision-
Making in a Democracy: The Supreme Court as a National Policy-Maker, 6 J. PUB. L. 279 (1957);
Richard Funston, The Supreme Court and Critical Elections, 69 AM. POL. SCI. REV. 795 (1975);
Valerie J. Hoekstra, The Supreme Court and Local Public Opinion, 94 AM. POL. SCI. REV. 89
(2000); William Mishler & Reginald S. Sheehan, The Supreme Court as a Countermajoritarian
Institution? The Impact of Public Opinion on Supreme Court Decisions, 87 AM. POL. SCI. REV.
87 (1993); Walter F. Murphy & Joseph Tanenhaus, Public Opinion and the United States Supreme
Court: Mapping of Some Prerequisites for Court Legitimation of Regime Changes, 2 LAW &
SOC’Y REV. 357 (1968). For Friedman’s own early analysis, see Barry Friedman, Dialogue and
Judicial Review, 91 MICH. L. REV. 577 (1993).
Relatedly, other works trace the public support for the Supreme Court. See, e.g., Gregory
1180 The George Washington Law Review [Vol. 78:1178
Public ambivalence grants the Court some latitude, but there are
boundaries that it may not cross, where the Constitution’s meaning is
pushed beyond the public understanding.7 In these circumstances, the
Court is rebuked and recants submissively.8 Friedman’s Court is one
that might defend minorities unless majority consensus firmly wants
marginalization or discrimination, and rather than shaping legislation
to match its preferences, Friedman’s Court might resist weakly sup-
ported legislation or advance policy that already has a significant base
of support in place.9 But Friedman makes clear that the Court is not
the paladin of liberty or usurper of democracy contrarily depicted in
conventional theories of judicial review.10
For us to believe that the people have the Court by a leash, a
dialogic theory of judicial review must address three critical details:
(1) how the public leashes the Court; (2) how the Court knows the
length of its leash (which is necessary for the incentive to have force);
and (3) how this behavior and knowledge shape the constitution
(small “c”), i.e., the document’s meaning.
None of these three parts makes for an easy argument. This Es-
say examines each of these components, describing what challenges
each poses for social science theory.
A. Caldeira & James L. Gibson, The Etiology of Public Support for the Supreme Court, 36 AM. J.
POL. SCI. 635 (1992); Gregory A. Caldeira, Neither the Purse nor the Sword: Dynamics of Public
Confidence in the Supreme Court, 80 AM. POL. SCI. REV. 1209 (1986); James L. Gibson et al.,
Measuring Attitudes Toward the United States Supreme Court, 47 AM. J. POL. SCI. 354 (2003);
Jeffery J. Mondak & Shannon Ishiyama Smithey, The Dynamics of Public Support for the Su-
preme Court, 59 J. POL. 1114 (1997); Walter F. Murphy & Joseph Tanenhaus, Patterns of Public
Support for the Supreme Court: A Panel Study, 43 J. POL. 24 (1981). None of these works,
however, provides a theory based on incentives to account for these observations.
7 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 375–78.
8 See id. at 382–83.
9 See id. at 382 (stating that ideally the Court should ignore “popular opinion at the mo-
ment” and instead follow “permanent popular will,” but noting that this distinction is difficult for
Justices to make).
10 See id. at 370.
11 See id. at 371.
2010] Social Science of the Dialogic Theory of Judicial Review 1181
tegic actor;12 its members weigh the costs and benefits of action and
consider the likelihood that their judgment will induce punishment—
in this case, by a watchful public.13 The Court is constrained by its
concern over this consequence; it will resist the short-term satisfaction
of expressing its true legal or policy preferences to avoid being
disciplined.14
Note that this theory complements theories that explain the align-
ment between the Court and the public in terms of the appointments
process, where any deviants are weeded out during the Executive’s
vetting and the Senate’s confirmation hearings, so that only Justices
sympathetic to public opinion are appointed.15 The appointments pro-
cess, however, is not sufficient to explain the general agreeableness of
the Court when public sentiment changes much more quickly than the
decades-long tenure of Court personnel.16
If this induced restraint of public punishment is important to the
Court’s behavior, then the public must understand its role, agree to
pick up the mantle, and punish the straying Court.17 The public must
also make the consequences clear to the Court.18 That is, all agents
subject to the mechanism, whether the actor Court or punisher public,
must understand that this is the game they are playing. In this model,
the public bears a great responsibility. It has an obligation to keep the
Court in line.19 How does the public develop this sense of responsibil-
ity? Does it have it?
12 See LEE EPSTEIN & JACK KNIGHT, THE CHOICES JUSTICES MAKE 10 (1998).
13 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 374–76.
14 See id. at 371. In fact, the leash metaphor perfectly illustrates the firmament of compli-
ance theory, the subject of much of the author’s prior scholarship. See, e.g., Jenna Bednar, Is
Full Compliance Possible? Conditions for Shirking with Imperfect Monitoring and Continuous
Action Spaces, 18 J. THEORETICAL POL. 347 (2006).
15 See, e.g., Dahl, supra note 6, at 284–85.
16 See David W. Rohde & Kenneth A. Shepsle, Advising and Consenting in the 60-Vote
Senate: Strategic Appointments to the Supreme Court, 69 J. POL. 664, 668, 675 (2007) (showing
that an individual appointment has little effect on Court decisions, further weakening a connec-
tion between appointments and Court behavior); Jeffrey A. Segal et al., Buyer Beware? Presi-
dential Success Through Supreme Court Appointments, 53 POL. RES. Q. 557, 567–69 (2000)
(displaying the empirical weakness of Dahl’s hypothesis; while appointees may start their tenure
on the bench true to the preferences of the appointing President, over time they may deviate
significantly).
17 Cf. FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 376.
18 See id.
19 Cf. id. (noting that the development and enforcement of constitutional meaning result
from the relationship between the courts and the public).
1182 The George Washington Law Review [Vol. 78:1178
20 See generally DREW FUNDENBERG & JEAN TIROLE, GAME THEORY (1991) (introducing
the principles of noncooperative game theory); SHAUN P. HARGREAVES HEAP & YANIS
VAROUFAKIS, GAME THEORY: A CRITICAL INTRODUCTION (1995) (discussing the basic assump-
tions of game theory); GRAHAM ROMP, GAME THEORY: INTRODUCTION AND APPLICATIONS
(1997) (introducing game theory as an explanation for how interdependent individuals make
rational decisions).
21 Cf. FUNDENBERG & TIROLE, supra note 20, at 541–42 (explaining that game theory
assumes that all people involved are rational actors with common knowledge); HARGREAVES
HEAP & VAROUFAKIS, supra note 20, at 23–25 (same).
22 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 376, 379.
23 See id.
24 See id.; cf. HARGREAVES HEAP & VAROUFAKIS, supra note 20, at 28 (noting that game
theory assumes participants know all possible actions and their consequences and make deci-
sions based on this knowledge).
25 See, e.g., VALERIE J. HOEKSTRA, PUBLIC REACTION TO SUPREME COURT DECISIONS
150–51 (2003); Hoekstra, supra note 6, at 97–98. Both show that the public, when informed, is
able to formulate an opinion about Court decisions.
26 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 31.
27 Cf. Abraham Lincoln, First Inaugural Address (Mar. 4, 1861), reprinted in 4 THE COL-
LECTED WORKS OF ABRAHAM LINCOLN 262, 268 (Roy P. Basler ed., 1953) (questioning the
28 Contrast the usefulness of the Court to the public against Keith Whittington’s 2005 ex-
plication of the Court as a tool of congressional minorities seeking to move beyond the policy
status quo. See Keith E. Whittington, “Interpose Your Friendly Hand”: Political Supports for the
Exercise of Judicial Review by the United States Supreme Court, 99 AM. POL. SCI. REV. 583, 594
(2005).
29 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 371.
30 A fundamental project of complex systems research is to understand the conditions that
cause systems to develop characteristics that none of its component parts possesses. See gener-
ally JENNA BEDNAR, THE ROBUST FEDERATION: PRINCIPLES OF DESIGN (2009) (discussing the
optimality of a federal constitutional design made up of complementary but imperfect institu-
tional components); Adrian Vermeule, Foreword: System Effects and the Constitution, 123 HARV.
L. REV. 4 (2009) (making a similar point about the benefit to the democratic process of having
nondemocratic components).
31 See, e.g., McCulloch v. Maryland, 17 U.S. (4 Wheat.) 316, 436–37 (1819) (invalidating a
state tax on all banks, including federally created ones, as contrary to the principles of federal-
ism); FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 12–13.
32 See generally The Slaughter-House Cases, 83 U.S. (16 Wall.) 36 (1873) (limiting applica-
tion of the Privileges or Immunities Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment to national citizen-
ship); Dred Scott v. Sandford, 60 U.S. (19 How.) 393 (1856) (limiting the power to confer
national citizenship to Congress); Worcester v. Georgia, 31 U.S. (6 Pet.) 515 (1832) (invalidating
a state act exercising control over Cherokee Indians because the authority to interact with Na-
tive American tribes rests solely with the federal government); McCulloch, 17 U.S. (4 Wheat.)
316 (holding that a state tax on banks unconstitutionally impinged on Congress’s powers under
the Necessary and Proper Clause).
1184 The George Washington Law Review [Vol. 78:1178
33 If federalism were the instrument fostering the legitimacy of judicial review, then we
may see broader implications of Friedman’s history—beyond the United States—as it can be-
come a lesson for emerging democracies and the establishment of the rule of law, requiring an
active and independent court.
34 See supra text accompanying notes 6–8.
35 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 373–74.
36 See id. at 373. Friedman actually writes “bungee cord,” id., but I prefer not to think of
tion that provided minimum wages for women); Bailey v. Drexel Furniture Co. (Child Labor Tax
Case), 259 U.S. 20, 43–44 (1922) (invalidating a federal tax imposed on entities that employ
children); Lochner v. New York, 198 U.S. 45, 65 (1905) (striking down a law that limited the
hours bakers could work).
38 Engel v. Vitale, 370 U.S. 421 (1962).
39 Miranda v. Arizona, 384 U.S. 436 (1966).
40 Citizens United v. FEC, 130 S. Ct. 876 (2010).
41 Dred Scott v. Sandford, 60 U.S. (19 How.) 393 (1856).
2010] Social Science of the Dialogic Theory of Judicial Review 1185
Aug. 6, 2008, at 9; see, e.g., Jenéa M. Reed, Note, In the Shadows of Lohr: The Disconnect Within
the Supreme Court’s Preemption Jurisprudence in Medical Device Liability Cases, 64 U. MIAMI L.
REV. 305, 329–30 (2009).
45 See, e.g., Jeffrey Rosen, Supreme Court Inc., N.Y. TIMES MAG., Mar. 16, 2008, at 38;
David G. Savage, High Court Is Good for Business, L.A. TIMES, June 21, 2007, at A1.
46 But see Robert Barnes & Carrie Johnson, Pro-Business Decision Hews to Pattern of
Roberts Court, WASH. POST, June 22, 2007, at D1; Rosen, supra note 45.
47 Citizens United v. FEC, 130 S. Ct. 876, 917 (2010) (holding that limitations on corporate
funding of independent political broadcasts in candidate elections violate the First Amendment
rights of corporations).
48 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 377–78.
49 See id.
50 See id. at 378.
51 See generally ELINOR OSTROM, GOVERNING THE COMMONS: THE EVOLUTION OF INSTI-
TUTIONS OF COLLECTIVE ACTION (1990) (analyzing models of collective action); Douglas D.
Heckathorn, Collective Action and Group Heterogeneity: Voluntary Provision Versus Selective
Incentives, 58 AM. SOC. REV. 329 (1993) (discussing the role of heterogeneity in collective
action).
1186 The George Washington Law Review [Vol. 78:1178
is unlikely that the Court listens to the people in each of these circum-
stances in the same manner. Intuitively, it might seem that the leash is
longest when the public is ambivalent, but under what conditions is
the leash shortest? It appears that the threshold for public reprimand
is set by public consensus, but can a well-organized, vocal minority
steer the Court and shape constitutional meaning? A complete theory
will evaluate these different conditions and offer predictions about the
Court’s relative freedom from both public majorities and well-organ-
ized minorities.
Friedman describes how the Court learned the length of its leash
the hard way during the Warren and Burger Courts, when the Court
was deterred in several instances by the force of public opinion.52
Whatever the public did or threatened to do to the Court during the
years of the Warren and Burger Courts, Friedman notes that, at pre-
sent, the people seem willing to forgive the Court even for controver-
sial and significant decisions, as with Bush v. Gore.53 It seems the
people have dropped the leash, but apart from a few larks, the puppy
stays close. Why?
In theory, there are two possibilities. First, perhaps for some rea-
son the people’s punishment capacity has withered. If so, the beliefs
of the credibility of punishment that sustain the equilibrium—the
Court’s submission—will soon decay, causing the Court to behave as
countermajoritarian as the myth recounts. Suppose that this has not
happened. (It is so hard to tell, really!) If it has not, then there is a
second possibility: the people have switched to positive reinforcement.
A model of positive reinforcement would work as follows: as long
as the Court’s decisions sit well with the people, the people will re-
spect the Court and expect their government to be bound by the
Court’s rulings.54 The Court has legitimacy, its only sustenance.55 If,
on the other hand, the Court’s decisions are not in accordance with
public understanding, the public will pay the Court little attention.
Legitimacy, in short, depends upon the Court subscribing to popular
56 Id. at 376.
57 See supra notes 31–33 and accompanying text.
58 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 14–15.
59 See id.
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ship.60 If this image is taken seriously, then the Court is not passive; it
pulls the public toward its own vision of the law. What is the role of
the Court in guiding the public to resolve its ambivalence? When it
steps in as umpire between a sharply divided public, does it shape the
constitutional understanding of the losing side? When the public is
ambivalent or divided, in theory the Court’s ruling can be informative,
helping the uninformed public form an opinion, or it selects between
plausible alternatives, weathering criticism until the losing section of
the public acquiesces.61 In either case, it is the Court that leads, and
while in theory it might be corrected, in a world of limited information
or insurmountable coordination difficulties, the Court’s decision will
stand and will shape the law.
Several empirical studies give us a sense of the possibility for and
limitation on the Court’s ability to shape public constitutional under-
standing. Charles Franklin and Liane Kosaki studied public opinion
regarding the constitutional validity of abortion (equated to public ac-
ceptance) before and after the Roe v. Wade62 decision.63 While public
tolerance increased for abortions to protect maternal health, the pub-
lic grew more divided over discretionary abortions than it was prior to
the Court’s ruling.64 Rather than inform and unify public opinion, the
Court’s decision transformed the public’s prior ambivalence into
sharp division.65 Valerie Hoekstra and Jeffrey Segal challenged these
findings with an innovative study focusing on the impact of local deci-
sions.66 They find that when the public is informed about the Court’s
decision, support for the Court increases among those for whom the
decision is relatively less salient.67 In Hoekstra’s subsequent research
on the effect of “ordinary” decisions—those which do not attract the
media’s attention—she finds little support for the Court’s ability to
change public opinion—only that it builds or expends support for the
Court as an institution with a public informed of its judgments.68 Fi-
nally, it is useful to note the distinction between law and policy, and
how little the public thinks about the former even as it cares deeply
Court, Public Opinion, and Abortion, 83 AM. POL. SCI. REV. 751 (1989).
64 See id. at 761–62.
65 See id. at 768.
66 Valerie J. Hoekstra & Jeffrey A. Segal, The Sheparding of Local Public Opinion: The
Supreme Court and Lamb’s Chapel, 58 J. POL. 1079 (1996).
67 See id. at 1089, 1092.
68 HOEKSTRA, supra note 25, at 154–55; Hoekstra, supra note 6, at 98.
2010] Social Science of the Dialogic Theory of Judicial Review 1189
about the latter. Phoebe Ellsworth and Lee Ross, in a survey of Cali-
fornian respondents’ attitudes and information about capital punish-
ment, found little correlation between the reasoning of the
respondents and the reasoning of the Supreme Court.69 The study in-
dicated that even if the public agrees with the Court, it is influenced
not by the Court’s reasoning about the law, but instead by the policy
implications of the Court’s decisions.70
Evidence suggests that the public cares little about the shape of
the law as long as it can get its preferred policy.71 The Court scram-
bles to devise reasons—some plausible doctrine—to match constitu-
tional interpretation to public opinion when that opinion is coherent
enough to constrain the Court.72 At a meta level, constitutional con-
sistency is necessary for the legitimacy of the union, and the Court’s
job is to make our Constitution appear consistent.73 At times, the
public asks for something that goes a bit too far, creating an inconsis-
tency within the current trend in constitutional meaning as promul-
gated by the Court.74 It is possible that the Court pulls public
constitutional understanding toward it, and social scientists have not
yet discovered a methodology to reveal unambiguous evidence of the
Court’s power. It is more likely, however, that the Court shapes the
law in areas where its leash is long, and the public never bothers to
hear what the Court is saying.75 It would seem that the dialogue is
about policy, not the Constitution’s meaning.76
Conclusion
This Essay closes with a pitch. The Will of the People is an im-
pressive book, and I know that based on weight alone, it must seem as
if Barry Friedman has pretty much said all that there is to say on the
subject. But really good social science does not close doors without
69 Phoebe C. Ellsworth & Lee Ross, Public Opinion and Capital Punishment: A Close
Examination of the Views of Abolitionists and Retentionists, 29 CRIME & DELINQ. 116, 135
(1983).
70 See id. at 148–49, 165.
71 See, e.g., id.
72 James G. Wilson, The Role of Public Opinion in Constitutional Interpretation, 1993
in United States v. Morrison, 529 U.S. 598 (2000), where the Court struck down provisions of
legislation designed to punish assaults of women due to its emerging and much-updated federal-
ism doctrine, see id. at 626–27.
75 See FRIEDMAN, supra note 1, at 377–78.
76 See, e.g., HOEKSTRA, supra note 25, at 154–55.
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