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The expanding network of global flows

Given the rising prosperity in emerging markets


and the increasing impact of digital technologies,
a growing share of the world’s economic activity
involves cross-border flows.
Flow of goods in 1980

Eastern Europe and


Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods % of global GDP


Flow of services 100% = $1.8 trillion
Flow of finance
>1.00 0.25–0.50 0.05–0.10
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 0.50–1.00 0.10–0.25 0.02–0.05

Source: UN Comtrade; IMF Balance of Payments; World Development Indicators, World Bank; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Flow of goods in 2011
10x increase since 1980
Eastern Europe and
Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods % of global GDP


Flow of services 100% = $17.2 trillion
Flow of finance
>1.00 0.25–0.50 0.05–0.10
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 0.50–1.00 0.10–0.25 0.02–0.05

Source: UN Comtrade; IMF Balance of Payments; World Development Indicators, World Bank; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Flow of services in 2001

Eastern Europe and


Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods % of global GDP


Flow of services 100% = $1.5 trillion1
Flow of finance
>1.00 0.25–0.50 0.05–0.10
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 0.50–1.00 0.10–0.25 0.02–0.05

1 Estimated based on 55% coverage with a bilateral data set.


Source: UN Comtrade; IMF Balance of Payments; World Development Indicators, World Bank; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Flow of services in 2011
3x increase since 2001
Eastern Europe and
Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods % of global GDP


Flow of services 100% = $4.1 trillion1
Flow of finance
>1.00 0.25–0.50 0.05–0.10
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 0.50–1.00 0.10–0.25 0.02–0.05

1 Estimated based on 61% coverage with a bilateral data set.


Source: UN Comtrade; IMF Balance of Payments; World Development Indicators, World Bank; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Flow of finance in 2002

Eastern Europe and


Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods % of global GDP


Flow of services 100% = $2.5 trillion
Flow of finance
>1.00 0.25–0.50 0.05–0.10
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 0.50–1.00 0.10–0.25 0.02–0.05

Source: UN Comtrade; IMF Balance of Payments; World Development Indicators, World Bank; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Flow of finance in 2012
1.5x increase since 2002
Eastern Europe and
Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods % of global GDP


Flow of services 100% = $3.9 trillion
Flow of finance
>1.00 0.25–0.50 0.05–0.10
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 0.50–1.00 0.10–0.25 0.02–0.05

Source: UN Comtrade; IMF Balance of Payments; World Development Indicators, World Bank; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
Flow of people in 2002
Total international travelers
Eastern Europe and
Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods Millions of foreign travelers


Flow of services Total = 833 million
Flow of finance
>50 5–10 <1
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 10–50 1–5

Source: TeleGeography; World Trade Organization; McKinsey Global Institute analysis


Flow of people in 2010
Total international travelers 1.3x increase since 2002
Eastern Europe and
Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods Millions of foreign travelers


Flow of services Total = 1,100 million
Flow of finance
>50 5–10 <1
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 10–50 1–5

Source: TeleGeography; World Trade Organization; McKinsey Global Institute analysis


Flow of data and communication in 2008
Total cross-border bandwidth
Eastern Europe and
Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods Bandwidth, Megabits per second (Mbps)


Flow of services Total = 29 million Mbps
Flow of finance
>5 million 500,000–1 million 50,000–100,000
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 1–5 million 100,000–500,000 <50,000

Source: TeleGeography; World Trade Organization; McKinsey Global Institute analysis


Flow of data and communication in 2013
Total cross-border bandwidth 7x increase since 2008
Eastern Europe and
Central Asia

Western
Europe
United States
and Canada
Other Asia Northeast Asia

China
region

Africa and
Middle East

Latin America

Australasia

Flow of goods Bandwidth, Megabits per second (Mbps)


Flow of services Total = 201 million Mbps
Flow of finance
>5 million 500,000–1 million 50,000–100,000
Flow of people
Flow of data and communication 1–5 million 100,000–500,000 <50,000

Source: TeleGeography; World Trade Organization; McKinsey Global Institute analysis

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