INSTITUTO NICARAGÜENSE DE ESTUDIOS TERRITORIALES

INETER

INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS ANUALES DE PRECIPITACIÓN (mm).

ESTACION : MASATEPE (Campos Azules). Latitud 11° 53' 59"

Longitud 86° 08' 59"

CODIGO : O69 129 Elevación : 470 msnm
Tipo : AG.
Periodo :1971 - 2017

AÑOS 5 10 15 30 60 120 320

1971 127.1 105.4 85.8 62.9 43.1 27.2 -
1972 127.1 105.4 85.8 62.9 43.1 27.2 -
1973 127.1 105.4 85.8 62.9 43.1 27.2 -
1974 114.0 108.0 92.0 79.0 44.0 27.5 -
1975 120.0 93.0 76.0 64.0 32.0 16.2 -
1976 130.8 93.0 66.0 40.8 36.9 25.6 -
1977 120.0 106.8 86.4 58.0 38.3 24.7 -
1978 120.0 99.0 76.4 57.4 40.7 28.1 -
1979 120.0 78.0 52.0 42.0 24.0 21.5 -
1980 144.0 114.0 100.0 62.8 49.5 28.9 -
1981 126.0 107.4 78.4 48.8 33.8 21.7 -
1982 193.2 136.2 111.2 80.8 56.2 31.1 -
1983 117.6 86.4 70.4 63.2 55.1 42.4 -
1984 120.0 92.4 81.6 57.6 32.2 29.2 -
1985 123.6 105.0 90.8 84.8 51.8 17.3 -
1986 145.2 112.8 97.2 74.2 40.3 22.3 -
1987 150.0 114.0 108.0 74.2 43.8 22.6 -
1988 174.0 116.4 79.2 58.6 30.3 24.0 4.7
1989 120.0 120.0 120.0 85.6 73.3 38.6 -
1990 192.0 142.2 119.2 69.2 36.0 24.0 -
1991 204.0 149.4 116.4 78.0 56.0 34.5 -
1992 219.0 153.0 139.2 95.6 87.3 52.8 -
1993 108.0 85.8 84.0 51.2 21.8 13.9 -
1994 120.0 113.4 103.6 74.2 55.0 36.7 -
1995 120.0 103.8 78.4 61.6 39.7 34.4 -
1996 174.0 125.4 93.6 54.4 41.6 24.2 -
1997 117.6 107.2 102.0 89.2 69.2 36.9 -
1998 120.0 117.6 94.4 78.2 70.5 36.3 -
1999 104.4 88.8 88.0 82.8 79.3 43.0 -
2000 146.4 120.4 114.0 63.4 41.9 22.1 -
2001 120.0 115.8 114.4 76.2 54.3 31.8 12.5
2002 121.2 99.0 76.8 52.4 44.1 31.5 12.3
2003 112.8 94.8 77.6 62.0 44.8 27.3 7.6
2004 121.2 115.2 84.8 80.8 66.1 37.9 12.7
2005 118.8 115.8 104.0 76.8 45.7 29.8 15.1
2006 111.6 91.8 90.4 67.2 43.7 23.3 1.9
2007 126.0 117.6 113.2 78.4 62.9 32.3 8.4
2008 112.8 110.4 88.0 69.2 56.8 45.9 18.6
2009 156.0 116.4 97.6 76.2 45.1 26.0 -
2010 188.4 116.4 98.0 68.4 38.9 15.9 8
2011 117.6 116.4 116.0 66.4 35.7 22.5 5.5
2012 108.0 94.8 94.4 67.8 45.0 22.7 8.6
2013 116.4 112.2 97.6 58.2 43.1 27.6 10.8
2014 172.8 127.2 102.8 66.0 51.4 40.1 7.8
2015 140.4 106.2 89.6 70.2 49.4 32.2 6.4
S

Datos ordenados de menor a mayor

AÑOS 5 10 15 30 60
1971 104.4 78.0 52.0 40.8 21.8
1972 108.0 85.8 66.0 42.0 24.0
1973 108.0 86.4 70.4 48.8 30.3
720 1974 111.6 88.8 76.0 51.2 32.0
- 1975 112.8 91.8 76.4 52.4 32.2
- 1976 112.8 92.4 76.8 54.4 33.8
- 1977 114.0 93.0 77.6 57.4 35.7
- 1978 116.4 93.0 78.4 57.6 36.0
- 1979 117.6 94.8 78.4 58.0 36.9
- 1980 117.6 94.8 79.2 58.2 38.3
- 1981 117.6 99.0 81.6 58.6 38.9
- 1982 118.8 99.0 84.0 61.6 39.7
- 1983 120.0 103.8 84.8 62.0 40.3
- 1984 120.0 105.0 85.8 62.8 40.7
- 1985 120.0 105.4 85.8 62.9 41.6
- 1986 120.0 105.4 85.8 62.9 41.9
- 1987 120.0 105.4 86.4 62.9 43.1
- 1988 120.0 106.2 88.0 63.2 43.1
- 1989 120.0 106.8 88.0 63.4 43.1
- 1990 120.0 107.2 89.6 64.0 43.1
- 1991 120.0 107.4 90.4 66.0 43.7
2.5 1992 120.0 108.0 90.8 66.4 43.8
- 1993 121.2 110.4 92.0 67.2 44.0
- 1994 121.2 112.2 93.6 67.8 44.1
- 1995 123.6 112.8 94.4 68.4 44.8
- 1996 126.0 113.4 94.4 69.2 45.0
- 1997 126.0 114.0 97.2 69.2 45.1
- 1998 127.1 114.0 97.6 70.2 45.7
- 1999 127.1 115.2 97.6 74.2 49.4
- 2000 127.1 115.8 98.0 74.2 49.5
- 2001 130.8 115.8 100.0 74.2 51.4
 - 2002 140.4 116.4 102.0 76.2 51.8
- 2003 144.0 116.4 102.8 76.2 54.3
- 2004 145.2 116.4 103.6 76.8 55.0
- 2005 146.4 116.4 104.0 78.0 55.1
- 2006 150.0 117.6 108.0 78.2 56.0
- 2007 156.0 117.6 111.2 78.4 56.2
- 2008 172.8 120.0 113.2 79.0 56.8
3.9 2009 174.0 120.4 114.0 80.8 62.9
- 2010 174.0 125.4 114.4 80.8 66.1
- 2011 188.4 127.2 116.0 82.8 69.2
- 2012 192.0 136.2 116.4 84.8 70.5
- 2013 193.2 142.2 119.2 85.6 73.3
3.7 2014 204.0 149.4 120.0 89.2 79.3
- 2015 219.0 153.0 139.2 95.6 87.3

-
-
- 1.0 104.4
2 108.0
3 108.0
4 111.6
5 112.8 11
6 112.8
7 114.0
8 116.4
9 117.6
10 117.6
11 117.6
12 118.8
13 120.0
14 120.0
15 120.0
16 120.0
17 120.0
18 120.0
19 120.0
20 120.0
21 120.0
22 120.0
23 121.2
24 121.2
25 123.6
26 126.0
27 126.0
28 127.1
29 127.1
30 127.1
31 130.8
32 140.4
33 144.0
34 145.2
35 146.4
36 150.0
37 156.0
38 172.8
39 174.0
40 174.0
41 188.4
42 192.0
43 193.2
44 204.0
45 219.0
 Para 5 minutos

Intensidade Nº de orden probabilida

AÑOS Intesidades s ordenadas (m) Tr(años) d empirica
120 1971 127.1 104.4 1 0.0217 46.0829
13.9 1972 127.1 108.0 2 0.0435 22.9885
15.9 1973 127.1 108.0 3 0.0652 15.3374
16.2 1974 114.0 111.6 4 0.0869 11.5075
17.3 1975 120.0 112.8 5 0.1087 9.1996
21.5 1976 130.8 112.8 6 0.1304 7.6687
21.7 1977 120.0 114.0 7 0.1522 6.5703
22.1 1978 120.0 116.4 8 0.1739 5.7504
22.3 1979 120.0 117.6 9 0.1957 5.1099
22.5 1980 144.0 117.6 10 0.2174 4.5998
22.6 1981 126.0 117.6 11 0.2391 4.1824
22.7 1982 193.2 118.8 12 0.2609 3.8329
23.3 1983 117.6 120.0 13 0.2826 3.5386
24.0 1984 120.0 120.0 14 0.3043 3.2862
24.0 1985 123.6 120.0 15 0.3261 3.0665
24.2 1986 145.2 120.0 16 0.3478 2.8752
24.7 1987 150.0 120.0 17 0.3696 2.7056
25.6 1988 174.0 120.0 18 0.3913 2.5556
26.0 1989 120.0 120.0 19 0.413 2.4213
27.2 1990 192.0 120.0 20 0.4348 2.2999
27.2 1991 204.0 120.0 21 0.4565 2.1906
27.2 1992 219.0 120.0 22 0.4783 2.0907
27.3 1993 108.0 121.2 23 0.5 2.0000
27.5 1994 120.0 121.2 24 0.5217 1.9168
27.6 1995 120.0 123.6 25 0.5435 1.8399
28.1 1996 174.0 126.0 26 0.5652 1.7693
28.9 1997 117.6 126.0 27 0.5869 1.7039
29.2 1998 120.0 127.1 28 0.6087 1.6428
29.8 1999 104.4 127.1 29 0.6304 1.5863
31.1 2000 146.4 127.1 30 0.6522 1.5333
31.5 2001 120.0 130.8 31 0.6739 1.4839
31.8 2002 121.2 140.4 32 0.6957 1.4374
32.2 2003 112.8 144.0 33 0.7174 1.3939
32.3 2004 121.2 145.2 34 0.7391 1.3530
34.4 2005 118.8 146.4 35 0.7609 1.3142
34.5 2006 111.6 150.0 36 0.7826 1.2778
36.3 2007 126.0 156.0 37 0.8043 1.2433
36.7 2008 112.8 172.8 38 0.8261 1.2105
36.9 2009 156.0 174.0 39 0.8478 1.1795
37.9 2010 188.4 174.0 40 0.8695 1.1501
38.6 2011 117.6 188.4 41 0.8913 1.1220
40.1 2012 108.0 192.0 42 0.913 1.0953
42.4 2013 116.4 193.2 43 0.9348 1.0697
43.0 2014 172.8 204.0 44 0.9565 1.0455
45.9 2015 140.4 219.0 45 0.9783 1.0222
52.8

media 135.3 α 22.2369

D. estandar 28.5 µ 122.4748
ra 5 minutos

variable probabilida
aleatorio d de
reducida excedencia
Gumbel "Y" por Gumbel Δ Δmax Δcritico AÑOS Intesidades
-0.8128 0.8904 45.1925 45.1925 1971 105.4
-0.6509 0.853 22.1355 1972 105.4
-0.6509 0.853 14.4844 1973 105.4
-0.4890 0.8042 10.7033 1974 108.0
-0.4351 0.7867 8.4129 1975 93.0
-0.4351 0.7867 6.8820 1976 93.0
-0.3811 0.7687 5.8016 1977 106.8
-0.2732 0.7313 5.0191 1978 99.0
-0.2192 0.7121 4.3978 1979 78.0
-0.2192 0.7121 3.8877 1980 114.0
-0.2192 0.7121 3.4703 1981 107.4
-0.1653 0.6926 3.1403 1982 136.2
-0.1113 0.673 2.8656 1983 86.4
-0.1113 0.673 2.6132 1984 92.4
-0.1113 0.673 2.3935 1985 105.0
-0.1113 0.673 2.2022 1986 112.8
-0.1113 0.673 2.0326 1987 114.0
-0.1113 0.673 1.8826 1988 116.4
-0.1113 0.673 1.7483 1989 120.0
-0.1113 0.673 1.6269 1990 142.2
-0.1113 0.673 1.5176 1991 149.4
-0.1113 0.673 1.4177 1992 153.0
-0.0573 0.6532 1.3468 1993 85.8
-0.0573 0.6532 1.2636 1994 113.4
0.0506 0.6135 1.2264 1995 103.8
0.1585 0.574 1.1953 1996 125.4
0.1585 0.574 1.1299 1997 107.2
0.2080 0.5561 1.0867 1998 117.6
0.2080 0.5561 1.0302 1999 88.8
0.2080 0.5561 0.9772 2000 120.4
0.3744 0.4973 0.9866 2001 115.8
0.8061 0.3602 1.0772 2002 99.0
0.9680 0.316 1.0779 2003 94.8
1.0220 0.3022 1.0508 2004 115.2
1.0759 0.2889 1.0253 2005 115.8
1.2378 0.2518 1.0260 2006 91.8
1.5076 0.1986 1.0447 2007 117.6
2.2631 0.0988 1.1117 2008 110.4
2.3171 0.0939 1.0856 2009 116.4
2.3171 0.0939 1.0562 2010 116.4
2.9647 0.0503 1.0717 2011 116.4
3.1266 0.0429 1.0524 2012 94.8
3.1805 0.0407 1.0290 2013 112.2
3.6662 0.0252 1.0203 2014 127.2
4.3408 0.0129 1.0093 0.2027 2015 106.2

media
D. estandar
 Para 10 minutos

variable probabilida
aleatorio d de
Intensidade Nº de orden probabilida reducida excedencia
s ordenadas (m) Tr(años) d empirica Gumbel "Y" por Gumbel Δ Δmax
78.0 1 0.0217 46.0829 -2.0285 0.9995 45.0834 45.0834
85.8 2 0.0435 22.9885 -1.3957 0.9824 22.0061
86.4 3 0.0652 15.3374 -1.3470 0.9786 14.3588
88.8 4 0.0869 11.5075 -1.1523 0.9578 10.5497
91.8 5 0.1087 9.1996 -0.9090 0.9164 8.2832
92.4 6 0.1304 7.6687 -0.8603 0.9059 6.7628
93.0 7 0.1522 6.5703 -0.8116 0.8948 5.6755
93.0 8 0.1739 5.7504 -0.8116 0.8948 4.8556
94.8 9 0.1957 5.1099 -0.6656 0.8571 4.2528
94.8 10 0.2174 4.5998 -0.6656 0.8571 3.7427
99.0 11 0.2391 4.1824 -0.3249 0.7494 3.4330
99.0 12 0.2609 3.8329 -0.3249 0.7494 3.0835
103.8 13 0.2826 3.5386 0.0645 0.6084 2.9302
105.0 14 0.3043 3.2862 0.1618 0.5728 2.7134
105.4 15 0.3261 3.0665 0.1943 0.5611 2.5054
105.4 16 0.3478 2.8752 0.1943 0.5611 2.3141
105.4 17 0.3696 2.7056 0.1943 0.5611 2.1445
106.2 18 0.3913 2.5556 0.2592 0.5378 2.0178
106.8 19 0.413 2.4213 0.3079 0.5205 1.9008
107.2 20 0.4348 2.2999 0.3403 0.5091 1.7908
107.4 21 0.4565 2.1906 0.3565 0.5035 1.6871
108.0 22 0.4783 2.0907 0.4052 0.4867 1.6040
110.4 23 0.5 2.0000 0.5999 0.4224 1.5776
112.2 24 0.5217 1.9168 0.7459 0.3777 1.5391
112.8 25 0.5435 1.8399 0.7946 0.3635 1.4764
113.4 26 0.5652 1.7693 0.8433 0.3497 1.4196
114.0 27 0.5869 1.7039 0.8920 0.3362 1.3677
114.0 28 0.6087 1.6428 0.8920 0.3362 1.3066
115.2 29 0.6304 1.5863 0.9893 0.3105 1.2758
115.8 30 0.6522 1.5333 1.0380 0.2982 1.2351
115.8 31 0.6739 1.4839 1.0380 0.2982 1.1857
116.4 32 0.6957 1.4374 1.0866 0.2863 1.1511
116.4 33 0.7174 1.3939 1.0866 0.2863 1.1076
116.4 34 0.7391 1.3530 1.0866 0.2863 1.0667
116.4 35 0.7609 1.3142 1.0866 0.2863 1.0279
117.6 36 0.7826 1.2778 1.1840 0.2637 1.0141
117.6 37 0.8043 1.2433 1.1840 0.2637 0.9796
120.0 38 0.8261 1.2105 1.3787 0.2227 0.9878
120.4 39 0.8478 1.1795 1.4111 0.2164 0.9631
125.4 40 0.8695 1.1501 1.8168 0.1501 1.0000
127.2 41 0.8913 1.1220 1.9628 0.1311 0.9909
136.2 42 0.913 1.0953 2.6929 0.0654 1.0299
142.2 43 0.9348 1.0697 3.1796 0.0407 1.0290
149.4 44 0.9565 1.0455 3.7637 0.0229 1.0226
153.0 45 0.9783 1.0222 4.0557 0.0172 1.0050

110.1 α 12.327
15.8 μ 103.0049
 Para 15 minutos

Intensidade Nº de orden probabilida

Δcritico AÑOS Intesidades s ordenadas (m) Tr(años) d empirica
1971 85.8 52.0 1 0.0217 46.0829
1972 85.8 66.0 2 0.0435 22.9885
1973 85.8 70.4 3 0.0652 15.3374
1974 92.0 76.0 4 0.0869 11.5075
1975 76.0 76.4 5 0.1087 9.1996
1976 66.0 76.8 6 0.1304 7.6687
1977 86.4 77.6 7 0.1522 6.5703
1978 76.4 78.4 8 0.1739 5.7504
1979 52.0 78.4 9 0.1957 5.1099
1980 100.0 79.2 10 0.2174 4.5998
1981 78.4 81.6 11 0.2391 4.1824
1982 111.2 84.0 12 0.2609 3.8329
1983 70.4 84.8 13 0.2826 3.5386
1984 81.6 85.8 14 0.3043 3.2862
1985 90.8 85.8 15 0.3261 3.0665
1986 97.2 85.8 16 0.3478 2.8752
1987 108.0 86.4 17 0.3696 2.7056
1988 79.2 88.0 18 0.3913 2.5556
1989 120.0 88.0 19 0.413 2.4213
1990 119.2 89.6 20 0.4348 2.2999
1991 116.4 90.4 21 0.4565 2.1906
1992 139.2 90.8 22 0.4783 2.0907
1993 84.0 92.0 23 0.5 2.0000
1994 103.6 93.6 24 0.5217 1.9168
1995 78.4 94.4 25 0.5435 1.8399
1996 93.6 94.4 26 0.5652 1.7693
1997 102.0 97.2 27 0.5869 1.7039
1998 94.4 97.6 28 0.6087 1.6428
1999 88.0 97.6 29 0.6304 1.5863
2000 114.0 98.0 30 0.6522 1.5333
2001 114.4 100.0 31 0.6739 1.4839
2002 76.8 102.0 32 0.6957 1.4374
2003 77.6 102.8 33 0.7174 1.3939
2004 84.8 103.6 34 0.7391 1.3530
2005 104.0 104.0 35 0.7609 1.3142
2006 90.4 108.0 36 0.7826 1.2778
2007 113.2 111.2 37 0.8043 1.2433
2008 88.0 113.2 38 0.8261 1.2105
2009 97.6 114.0 39 0.8478 1.1795
2010 98.0 114.4 40 0.8695 1.1501
2011 116.0 116.0 41 0.8913 1.1220
2012 94.4 116.4 42 0.913 1.0953
2013 97.6 119.2 43 0.9348 1.0697
2014 102.8 120.0 44 0.9565 1.0455
2015 89.6 139.2 45 0.9783 1.0222

α 12.9632
μ 86.3174
a 15 minutos

variable probabilida
aleatorio d de
reducida excedencia
Gumbel "Y" por Gumbel Δ Δmax Δcritico AÑOS Intesidades
-2.6473 46.0829 45.2401 1971 62.9
-1.5673 22.9885 1972 62.9
-1.2279 15.3374 1973 62.9
-0.7959 11.5075 1974 79.0
-0.7650 9.1996 1975 64.0
-0.7342 7.6687 1976 40.8
-0.6725 6.5703 1977 58.0
-0.6108 5.7504 1978 57.4
-0.6108 5.1099 1979 42.0
-0.5490 4.5998 1980 62.8
-0.3639 4.1824 1981 48.8
-0.1788 3.8329 1982 80.8
-0.1171 3.5386 1983 63.2
-0.0399 3.2862 1984 57.6
-0.0399 3.0665 1985 84.8
-0.0399 2.8752 1986 74.2
0.0064 2.7056 1987 74.2
0.1298 2.5556 1988 58.6
0.1298 2.4213 1989 85.6
0.2532 2.2999 1990 69.2
0.3149 2.1906 1991 78.0
0.3458 2.0907 1992 95.6
0.4384 2.0000 1993 51.2
0.5618 1.9168 1994 74.2
0.6235 1.8399 1995 61.6
0.6235 1.7693 1996 54.4
0.8395 1.7039 1997 89.2
0.8704 1.6428 1998 78.2
0.8704 1.5863 1999 82.8
0.9012 1.5333 2000 63.4
1.0555 1.4839 2001 76.2
1.2098 1.4374 2002 52.4
1.2715 1.3939 2003 62.0
1.3332 1.3530 2004 80.8
1.3641 1.3142 2005 76.8
1.6726 1.2778 2006 67.2
1.9195 1.2433 2007 78.4
2.0738 1.2105 2008 69.2
2.1355 1.1795 2009 76.2
2.1663 1.1501 2010 68.4
2.2898 1.1220 2011 66.4
2.3206 1.0953 2012 67.8
2.5374 1.0697 2013 58.2
2.5983 1.0455 2014 66.0
4.0794 1.0222 0.2027 2015 70.2
 Para 30 minutos

variable probabilida
aleatorio d de
Intensidade Nº de orden probabilida reducida excedencia
s ordenadas (m) Tr(años) d empirica Gumbel "Y" por Gumbel Δ Δmax
40.8 1 0.0217 46.0829 -2.3098 46.0829 45.1969
42.0 2 0.0435 22.9885 -2.1818 22.9885
48.8 3 0.0652 15.3374 -1.4568 15.3374
51.2 4 0.0869 11.5075 -1.2009 11.5075
52.4 5 0.1087 9.1996 -1.0730 9.1996
54.4 6 0.1304 7.6687 -0.8598 7.6687
57.4 7 0.1522 6.5703 -0.5399 6.5703
57.6 8 0.1739 5.7504 -0.5186 5.7504
58.0 9 0.1957 5.1099 -0.4759 5.1099
58.2 10 0.2174 4.5998 -0.4546 4.5998
58.6 11 0.2391 4.1824 -0.4120 4.1824
61.6 12 0.2609 3.8329 -0.0921 3.8329
62.0 13 0.2826 3.5386 -0.0495 3.5386
62.8 14 0.3043 3.2862 0.0358 3.2862
62.9 15 0.3261 3.0665 0.0465 3.0665
62.9 16 0.3478 2.8752 0.0465 2.8752
62.9 17 0.3696 2.7056 0.0465 2.7056
63.2 18 0.3913 2.5556 0.0785 2.5556
63.4 19 0.413 2.4213 0.0998 2.4213
64.0 20 0.4348 2.2999 0.1638 2.2999
66.0 21 0.4565 2.1906 0.3770 2.1906
66.4 22 0.4783 2.0907 0.4197 2.0907
67.2 23 0.5 2.0000 0.5050 2.0000
67.8 24 0.5217 1.9168 0.5689 1.9168
68.4 25 0.5435 1.8399 0.6329 1.8399
69.2 26 0.5652 1.7693 0.7182 1.7693
69.2 27 0.5869 1.7039 0.7182 1.7039
70.2 28 0.6087 1.6428 0.8248 1.6428
74.2 29 0.6304 1.5863 1.2513 1.5863
74.2 30 0.6522 1.5333 1.2513 1.5333
74.2 31 0.6739 1.4839 1.2513 1.4839
76.2 32 0.6957 1.4374 1.4645 1.4374
76.2 33 0.7174 1.3939 1.4645 1.3939
76.8 34 0.7391 1.3530 1.5285 1.3530
78.0 35 0.7609 1.3142 1.6564 1.3142
78.2 36 0.7826 1.2778 1.6778 1.2778
78.4 37 0.8043 1.2433 1.6991 1.2433
79.0 38 0.8261 1.2105 1.7631 1.2105
80.8 39 0.8478 1.1795 1.9550 1.1795
80.8 40 0.8695 1.1501 1.9550 1.1501
82.8 41 0.8913 1.1220 2.1682 1.1220
84.8 42 0.913 1.0953 2.3815 1.0953
85.6 43 0.9348 1.0697 2.4667 1.0697
89.2 44 0.9565 1.0455 2.8506 1.0455
95.6 45 0.9783 1.0222 3.5329 1.0222

α 9.3792
µ 62.4639
 Para 60 minutos

Intensidade Nº de orden probabilida

Δcritico AÑOS Intesidades s ordenadas (m) Tr(años) d empirica
1971 43.1 21.8 1 0.0217 46.0829
1972 43.1 24.0 2 0.0435 22.9885
1973 43.1 30.3 3 0.0652 15.3374
1974 44.0 32.0 4 0.0869 11.5075
1975 32.0 32.2 5 0.1087 9.1996
1976 36.9 33.8 6 0.1304 7.6687
1977 38.3 35.7 7 0.1522 6.5703
1978 40.7 36.0 8 0.1739 5.7504
1979 24.0 36.9 9 0.1957 5.1099
1980 49.5 38.3 10 0.2174 4.5998
1981 33.8 38.9 11 0.2391 4.1824
1982 56.2 39.7 12 0.2609 3.8329
1983 55.1 40.3 13 0.2826 3.5386
1984 32.2 40.7 14 0.3043 3.2862
1985 51.8 41.6 15 0.3261 3.0665
1986 40.3 41.9 16 0.3478 2.8752
1987 43.8 43.1 17 0.3696 2.7056
1988 30.3 43.1 18 0.3913 2.5556
1989 73.3 43.1 19 0.413 2.4213
1990 36.0 43.1 20 0.4348 2.2999
1991 56.0 43.7 21 0.4565 2.1906
1992 87.3 43.8 22 0.4783 2.0907
1993 21.8 44.0 23 0.5 2.0000
1994 55.0 44.1 24 0.5217 1.9168
1995 39.7 44.8 25 0.5435 1.8399
1996 41.6 45.0 26 0.5652 1.7693
1997 69.2 45.1 27 0.5869 1.7039
1998 70.5 45.7 28 0.6087 1.6428
1999 79.3 49.4 29 0.6304 1.5863
2000 41.9 49.5 30 0.6522 1.5333
2001 54.3 51.4 31 0.6739 1.4839
2002 44.1 51.8 32 0.6957 1.4374
 2003 44.8 54.3 33 0.7174 1.3939
2004 66.1 55.0 34 0.7391 1.3530
2005 45.7 55.1 35 0.7609 1.3142
2006 43.7 56.0 36 0.7826 1.2778
2007 62.9 56.2 37 0.8043 1.2433
2008 56.8 56.8 38 0.8261 1.2105
2009 45.1 62.9 39 0.8478 1.1795
2010 38.9 66.1 40 0.8695 1.1501
2011 35.7 69.2 41 0.8913 1.1220
2012 45.0 70.5 42 0.913 1.0953
2013 43.1 73.3 43 0.9348 1.0697
2014 51.4 79.3 44 0.9565 1.0455
0.2027 2015 49.4 87.3 45 0.9783 1.0222

α 10.7538
μ 41.2772
a 60 minutos

variable probabilida
aleatorio d de
reducida excedencia
Gumbel "Y" por Gumbel Δ Δmax Δcritico AÑOS Intesidades
-1.8112 46.0829 45.1407 1971 27.2
-1.6066 22.9885 1972 27.2
-1.0208 15.3374 1973 27.2
-0.8627 11.5075 1974 27.5
-0.8441 9.1996 1975 16.2
-0.6953 7.6687 1976 25.6
-0.5186 6.5703 1977 24.7
-0.4907 5.7504 1978 28.1
-0.4070 5.1099 1979 21.5
-0.2769 4.5998 1980 28.9
-0.2211 4.1824 1981 21.7
-0.1467 3.8329 1982 31.1
-0.0890 3.5386 1983 42.4
-0.0537 3.2862 1984 29.2
0.0300 3.0665 1985 17.3
0.0579 2.8752 1986 22.3
0.1695 2.7056 1987 22.6
0.1695 2.5556 1988 24.0
0.1695 2.4213 1989 38.6
0.1695 2.2999 1990 24.0
0.2253 2.1906 1991 34.5
0.2346 2.0907 1992 52.8
0.2532 2.0000 1993 13.9
0.2625 1.9168 1994 36.7
0.3276 1.8399 1995 34.4
0.3462 1.7693 1996 24.2
0.3555 1.7039 1997 36.9
0.4113 1.6428 1998 36.3
0.7553 1.5863 1999 43.0
0.7646 1.5333 2000 22.1
0.9413 1.4839 2001 31.8
0.9785 1.4374 2002 31.5
1.2110 1.3939 2003 27.3
1.2761 1.3530 2004 37.9
1.2854 1.3142 2005 29.8
1.3691 1.2778 2006 23.3
1.3877 1.2433 2007 32.3
1.4435 1.2105 2008 45.9
2.0107 1.1795 2009 26.0
2.3083 1.1501 2010 15.9
2.5966 1.1220 2011 22.5
2.7174 1.0953 2012 22.7
2.9778 1.0697 2013 27.6
3.5358 1.0455 2014 40.1
4.2797 1.0222 0.2027 2015 32.2
 Para 120 minutos

variable probabilida
aleatorio d de
Intensidade Nº de orden probabilida reducida excedencia
s ordenadas (m) Tr(años) d empirica Gumbel "Y" por Gumbel Δ Δmax
13.9 1 0.0217 46.0829 -1.6322 0.994 45.0889 45.0889
15.9 2 0.0435 22.9885 -1.3207 0.9764 22.0121
16.2 3 0.0652 15.3374 -1.2740 0.972 14.3654
17.3 4 0.0869 11.5075 -1.0996 0.9504 10.5571
21.5 5 0.1087 9.1996 -0.4486 0.7912 8.4084
21.7 6 0.1304 7.6687 -0.4174 0.7809 6.8878
22.1 7 0.1522 6.5703 -0.3551 0.7599 5.8104
22.3 8 0.1739 5.7504 -0.3240 0.7941 4.9563
22.5 9 0.1957 5.1099 -0.2929 0.7832 4.3267
22.6 10 0.2174 4.5998 -0.2773 0.7327 3.8671
22.7 11 0.2391 4.1824 -0.2617 0.7272 3.4552
23.3 12 0.2609 3.8329 -0.1683 0.6938 3.1391
24.0 13 0.2826 3.5386 -0.0592 0.6539 2.8847
24.0 14 0.3043 3.2862 -0.0592 0.6539 2.6323
24.2 15 0.3261 3.0665 -0.0281 0.6425 2.4240
24.7 16 0.3478 2.8752 0.0498 0.6138 2.2614
25.6 17 0.3696 2.7056 0.1899 0.5627 2.1429
26.0 18 0.3913 2.5556 0.2522 0.5403 2.0153
27.2 19 0.413 2.4213 0.4391 0.4751 1.9462
27.2 20 0.4348 2.2999 0.4391 0.4751 1.8248
27.2 21 0.4565 2.1906 0.4391 0.4751 1.7155
27.3 22 0.4783 2.0907 0.4547 0.4699 1.6208
27.5 23 0.5 2.0000 0.4858 0.4595 1.5405
27.6 24 0.5217 1.9168 0.5014 0.4543 1.4625
28.1 25 0.5435 1.8399 0.5793 0.429 1.4109
28.9 26 0.5652 1.7693 0.7039 0.3903 1.3790
29.2 27 0.5869 1.7039 0.7506 1.7039
29.8 28 0.6087 1.6428 0.8440 1.6428
31.1 29 0.6304 1.5863 1.0465 1.5863
31.5 30 0.6522 1.5333 1.1088 1.5333
31.8 31 0.6739 1.4839 1.1555 1.4839
32.2 32 0.6957 1.4374 1.2178 1.4374
32.3 33 0.7174 1.3939 1.2334 1.3939
34.4 34 0.7391 1.3530 1.5604 1.3530
34.5 35 0.7609 1.3142 1.5760 1.3142
36.3 36 0.7826 1.2778 1.8563 1.2778
36.7 37 0.8043 1.2433 1.9186 1.2433
36.9 38 0.8261 1.2105 1.9498 1.2105
37.9 39 0.8478 1.1795 2.1055 1.1795
38.6 40 0.8695 1.1501 2.2145 1.1501
40.1 41 0.8913 1.1220 2.4482 1.1220
42.4 42 0.913 1.0953 2.8064 1.0953
43.0 43 0.9348 1.0697 2.8998 1.0697
45.9 44 0.9565 1.0455 3.3514 1.0455
52.8 45 0.9783 1.0222 4.4260 1.0222

α 6.421
µ 24.3804
Δcritico
0.2027