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E. Frank Harrison, (1993),"Interdisciplinary Models of Decision Making", Management Decision, Vol. 31 Iss 8 pp. - http://
dx.doi.org/10.1108/00251749310047124
C. John Tarter, Wayne K. Hoy, (1998),"Toward a contingency theory of decision making", Journal of Educational
Administration, Vol. 36 Iss 3 pp. 212-228 http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/09578239810214687
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Posits that a process In discussing decision making, it is custom- executive makes such decisions”[7]. “Of all
perspective on strategic ary to focus on a decision-making process or the managerial functions that executives
decision making is more the decision itself. Focusing for a moment on perform … the act of making a decision is
likely to yield a successful the decision itself, it is useful to note the without equal in importance”[8]. To be sure,
outcome. Conceives the variety of definitions for the term decision. managers and executives do many things
strategic decision-making One definition, for example, avers that “to besides make decisions. Nonetheless, the
process as a composite of the make a decision means to make a judgment current and lasting impact of managerial
concept of strategic gap and regarding what one ought to do in a certain performance is centred in the efficacy of
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the managerial decision- situation after having deliberated on some executive choices. The primary focus in this
making process. Presents six alternative course of action”[1]. In a classic article is on strategic decisions made by man-
examples of real-world strate- work on the science of management decision agers at the top of the organization. These
gic decision in support of a making, Herbert A. Simon treats it as a decisions trigger dozens or even hundreds of
process approach to the process synonymous with the whole process other decisions of lesser magnitude at
making and implementing of of management. In his words: “Decision mak- descending levels of management. Strategic
such decisions. The evidence ing comprises three principal phases: finding decisions, therefore, set the tone and tempo of
in support of a process per- occasions for making a decision; finding managerial decision making for every indi-
spective on strategic decision possible courses of action; and choosing vidual and unit throughout the entire organi-
making suggests a need for among courses of action”[2]. zation. If the decision making at the top of the
further research and exposi- Another definition views a decision as only organization is ineffective, then the choices
tion of this critically impor- one step in an intellectual process of differen- made at lower levels of management will be
tant subject. tiating among relevant alternatives. The the same. Similarly, if top management’s
decision itself is the point of selection and strategic choices tend to be successful, it
commitment when the decision maker reflects favourably on choices made in other
chooses the preferred purpose, the most rea- parts of the organization.
sonable task statement, or the best course of Strategic decisions are highly complex
action[3]. Still another definition notes that in and involve a host of dynamic variables.
making a decision the decision maker has Their pre-eminent characteristic is signifi-
several alternatives and the choice involves a cance; “Strategic decisions deal with the
comparison between these alternatives and long-term health of the enterprise”[9].
an evaluation of their respective outcomes[4]. “Strategic decisions are those which nor-
For purposes of this article, “a decision is mally fall within the purview of top manage-
defined as a moment, in an ongoing process of ment”[10]. Strategic decisions constitute the
evaluating alternatives for meeting an objec- critical variable in strategic management[11].
tive, at which expectations about a particular They are the means by which perennially
course of action impel a decision maker to scarce resources are rationally committed to
select that course of action most likely to fulfil managerial expectations for success.
result in attaining the objective”[5]. This Following are five criteria for use in identify-
definition is generally accepted in the litera- ing and making a strategic decision:
ture of managerial decision making[6]. It also 1 The decision must be directed towards
tends to confirm the basic thesis of this arti- defining the organization’s relationship to
cle: that managerial decision making takes its environment.
place within a process composed of identifi- 2 The decision must take the organization as
able decision-making functions. a whole as the unit of analysis.
Decision making is the most significant 3 The decision must encompass all of the
activity engaged in by managers in all types major functions performed in the organi-
of organizations and at any level. It is the one zation.
activity that most nearly epitomizes the 4 The decision must provide constrained
behaviour of managers, and the one that guidance for all of the administrative and
Management Decision clearly distinguishes managers from other operational activities of the organization.
34/1 [1996] 46–53 occupations in the society. Drucker notes, for 5 The decision must be critically important
© MCB University Press example, that “to make the important deci- to the long-term success of the total organi-
[ISSN 0025-1747] sion is the specific executive task. Only an zation[12].
[ 46 ]
E. Frank Harrison 2 Protecting the organization from environ-
A process perspective on The concept of strategic gap mental threats requires a knowledge of
strategic decision making As noted earlier, strategic decisions are ori- internal weaknesses.
Management Decision ented towards the relationship between a 3 Few organizations excel in all areas[16].
34/1 [1996] 46–53 given organization and its external environ- “Thus [strategic decisions] ultimately are a
ment. This relationship is epitomized by the compromise between offence and defence
concept of strategic gap, which focuses on the with the optimum balance dependent on
fit between the capabilities of the organiza-
awareness of external conditions and skillful
tion and its most significant external entities.
utilization of internal resources”[16].
The strategic gap is conceptualized in
The principal categories of organizational
Figure 1. Stated most simply, the strategic gap
capability to be assessed for areas of strength
reflects the imbalance between the current
and weakness in developing a capability
strategic position of the organization and its
profile are as follows:
desired strategic position[13]. The strategic
• Management. The primary focus here is on
gap is determined by comparing the organi-
the decision-making track record of top
This relationship is zation’s inherent capabilities with the oppor-
epitomized by the concept of management. Have the recent successes
tunities and threats in its external environ-
strategic gap, which focuses outnumbered the failures in sufficient
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on the fit between the ment[14]. In one sense, the strategic gap is a
quantity to constitute a measurable organi-
capabilities of the measure of the perennially imperfect fit
zational strength?
organization and its most between the organization and its external
significant external entities. • Technology. If the organization uses an
environment. If the capabilities of the organi-
advanced technology, does it keep up with
zation were fully committed to exploiting all
the state of the art in its field, and is this
perceived opportunities and warding off all
new knowledge regularly transposed into
discerned threats, there would be no
new products or services? If the organiza-
strategic gap. For reasons to be discussed
tion uses a routine technology, does it regu-
subsequently, this eventuality is most
larly avail itself of applicable external tech-
unlikely[15].
nological developments to enhance its effi-
ciency and productivity?
The profile of strategic gap
• Policies. Are there written statements to
For the simple reason that strategic decisions
provide governance and guidance at all
based on a balance of internal weakness seem
certain to fail, a gap analysis begins properly levels and in all major activities of the
with an assessment of the major capabilities organization?
of the total organization in the principal cate- • Resources. Are the human, fiscal, physical
gories of management, technology, policies and institutional resources of the organiza-
and resources. This approach involves the tion available in proper kind and sufficient
development of a capability profile to ascer- quantity and are they utilized effectively in
tain principal areas of strength and weak- maintaining a competitive advantage in the
ness. external environment?
bilities.
The managerial decision-
making process
Strategic gap analysis
There are three conceivable variations of There is an increasingly abundant literature
strategic gap: positive strategic gap; negative that places the moment of choice within an
strategic gap; and zero strategic gap. The first integrated process of managerial decision
two variations reflect the actual condition of making[17-21]. According to this view, man-
a given organization at different points in agerial decisions result from a set of decision-
time. The third variation exists only in making functions logically connected to con-
theory. stitute a managerial decision-making
process. This process is depicted in Figure 2.
Positive strategic gap
If a concurrent assessment of the organiza- Decision-making functions
tion and its external environment reveals The components of the decision-making
that the sum of internal capabilities is clearly process are the functions of decision making.
greater than its principal environmental These functions are:
aggregates, a positive strategic gap exists. • Setting managerial objectives. Decision
In other words, as shown in Figure 1, making starts with the setting of objectives,
if O > E, the strategic gap is balanced in and a given cycle within the process culmi-
favour of the organization. In this state, the nates on attaining the objectives that gave
management, technology, policies and rise to it.
resources of the organization are more than • Searching for alternatives. Search involves
adequate to exploit any opportunity, cope scanning the internal and external environ-
with any threat, or meet any requirement or ment of the organization for relevant infor-
responsibility emanating from the external mation from which to fashion a set of alter-
natives likely to fulfil the objectives.
environment.
• Comparing and evaluating alternatives.
Negative strategic gap By formal and informal means, alternatives
As shown in Figure 1, the second variation of are compared based on the perceived rela-
strategic gap occurs when its principal envi- tive uncertainty of cause-and-effect
ronmental aggregates are greater than the
internal capabilities of the organization.
This variation, symbolized by E > O, means Figure 2
that the organization is unable to exploit The managerial decision-making process
available opportunities, deal with perceived
threats, meet its legal requirements, or fulfil
Setting Revise Comparing
its expected responsibilities. It is called a Searching and
managerial objectives for evaluating
negative strategic gap; and it means that the objectives alternatives alternatives
organization is at a significant disadvantage
Revise or
vis-à-vis its external environment. In general, update Renew
objectives search
a negative strategic gap must be transformed
into a positive strategic gap before manage- Take
Follow-up corrective Implementing The act of
ment can avail itself of the opportunities in and control action as decisions choice
the external environment. necessary
[ 48 ]
E. Frank Harrison relationships and the preferences of the conflict; it is an organic unity of both pre-
A process perspective on decision maker for various probabilistic decision and postdecision stages[22].
strategic decision making outcomes. The principal manifestation of the dynamic
Management Decision • The act of choice. Choice is a moment when, nature of the managerial decision-making
34/1 [1996] 46–53 in the ongoing process of decision making, process is the synergy that is produced by the
the decision maker chooses a given course interrelated functioning of the total process.
of action from among a set of alternatives. The presence of synergy means that the
• Implementing the decision. Implementation decision-making functions have more value
is that point in the total decision-making as components of the process than as functions
process when the decision is transformed in their own right. In this context, synergy is
from an abstraction into an operational analogous to decisions more likely to result
reality. in the attainment of the objectives. The syner-
• Follow-up and control. This function is gistic results of the process mean for the most
intended to ensure that the implemented part that decisions made within the process
decision has an outcome coincident with have a greater potential for success. This is
the objectives that gave rise to its occur- the essence of the dynamics of decision mak-
rence. ing within the process conceptualized in
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Figure 2.
The interrelatedness of decision making
As shown in Figure 2, the functions of deci-
sion making are highly interrelated within The strategic decision-making
the decision-making process. The process process
begins with the setting of objectives, the
attainment of which invariably requires a The strategic decision-making process is a
search for information from which to develop composite of the concept of strategic gap
a set of alternatives. These alternatives are (Figure 1) and the managerial decision-
compared and evaluated using applicable making process (Figure 2). It is depicted in
criteria; and the alternative which gives Figure 3.
greatest promise of attaining the objectives is
normally chosen. The selected alternative is Varieties of process flows
then implemented through existing struc- There are three types of process flows in
tures, systems and processes, after which it is Figure 3, each of which contributes to the
subjected to existing follow-up and control final outcome of the total process.
procedures to ensure an outcome compatible
with the initiating objectives. The functions Primary flow
of decision making proceed sequentially The primary flow encompasses the main
through the process. The process provides an functions of the strategic decision-making
organizational framework within which the process. These functions cannot be circum-
functions are accomplished to produce a vented without seriously compromising the
successful result. The literal interrelatedness integrity of the total process. Information
of the process can be demonstrated easily by received from the external environment is
considering the adverse consequences atten- used to assess the strengths and weaknesses
of the organization along with the opportuni-
dant on disregarding a function or altering
ties and threats in the external environment.
the straightforward sequencing of all the
A gap analysis is performed to ascertain the
functions. In the event that a given alterna-
size and positive or negative nature of the
tive once selected and implemented does not
resultant strategic gap. The results of the gap
appear to produce the desired result, the
analysis are used by management to set or
decision maker may consider any one of the
reset the managerial objectives that trigger
subprocesses shown in Figure 2: corrective
the managerial decision-making process. The
action, renewed search, or revised objectives.
managerial objectives constitute the ends for
which a strategic choice is made and imple-
The dynamics of decision making
mented. The outputs of the implemented
The dynamics of the managerial decision-
strategic decision elicit feedback from the
making process result from the effects of the
external environment permitting manage-
decision-making functions on one another
ment to assess the outcome of its choice and
and in combination:
Decision making is a dynamic process: to take corrective action as necessary, thereby
complex, redolent with feedback and side- ensuring attainment of the managerial objec-
ways, full of search, detours, information tives. A continuous evaluation of the imple-
gathering, and information ignoring, fueled mented strategic decision is supplemented by
by fluctuating uncertainty, fuzziness, and periodic comprehensive reviews with annual
[ 49 ]
E. Frank Harrison Figure 3
A process perspective on The strategic decision-making process
strategic decision making
Management Decision Possibilities
34/1 [1996] 46–53
• Opportunities
• Threats
Environment Search for Evaluate
E assessments alternatives alternatives
N
V Information
I
R Set/reset
O Strategic gap Gap analysis Make choice
objectives
N
M Corrective
E • Positive gap
• Negative gap action
N
T Organizational Assess Implement
assessments choice choice
• Strengths
• Weaknesses
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Feedbacks
Outputs
Key
Primary flow Corollary flow Information flow
updatings of the gap analysis and the man- 3 The continuous flow of information
agerial objectives. throughout the process commencing with
the initiation of gap analysis, continuing
Corollary flow with the search for information from
The corollary flow constitutes the ancillary which to develop a set of alternatives, and
functions of the process conceptualized in following with an evaluative flow from the
Figure 3. These functions can be abridged or external environment as corrective action
bypassed but not without some impairment is taken and current cycles are replaced by
of the total process. For example, a search future cycles.
may be circumscribed but possibly at the cost
of an inadequate set of alternatives; or the
assessment of an implemented strategic deci- Strategic decision applications
sion may be accomplished less frequently at
For purposes of this article, a successful
the price of a less successful outcome. In
strategic decision is one that results in the
combination with the primary flow, the corol-
attainment of the objective that gave rise to
lary flow enhances the prospects for a suc-
the decision within the constraints that had
A continuous evaluation cessful strategic decision.
to be observed to bring about each attain-
of the implemented strategic Information flow. Information flow consti-
decision is supplemented by ment. Because objectives constitute the foun-
tutes the exploration of possibilities in the
periodic comprehensive dation of the strategic decision-making
search for alternatives or the feedback of
reviews with annual process, and because such objectives are set
updatings of the gap information from the external environment
based on the results of a comprehensive
analysis and the managerial signifying the acceptance or non-acceptance
strategic gap analysis, it seems reasonable to
objectives. of the implemented strategic decision.
posit that a formal decision-making process
As such, information flow makes its own
is conducive to strategic decision success.
specialized contribution to strategic
The real-world applications of the strategic
decision success.
decision-making process set forth in this
section are intended to validate this
Dynamics of the total process hypothesis.
The dynamics of the total process set forth in
Figure 3 are centred on three principal rela- A profile of successful strategic choice
tionships: Successful strategic choices tend to manifest
1 The pervasive influence of the external a common set of characteristics:
environment on the total process of strate- • The managerial objectives are compatible
gic decision making. with and reflective of the current strategic
2 The pivotal coupling of strategic gap with gap of the organization.
managerial decision making ensuring that • There is an open search for alternative
managerial objectives reflect the current courses of action that encompass the princi-
gap analysis. pal stakeholders of the organization and
[ 50 ]
E. Frank Harrison which consider applicable time and cost years. In 1985, Philip Morris purchased Gen-
A process perspective on constraints along with the cognitive limita- eral Foods for $5.5 billion, followed by the
strategic decision making tions of the decision maker. acquisition of Kraft Foods in 1988 for $12.9
Management Decision • There is an objective comparison and evalu- billion, and the subsequent acquisition of
34/1 [1996] 46–53 ation of a set of alternative courses of action Swiss-based coffee and confectionery com-
with a principal emphasis on probabilistic pany Jacobs Suchard AG in 1990 for $4.1 bil-
consequences attendant on the selection of lion. In 1984, income from tobacco products
a given alternative. accounted for 92 per cent of Philip Morris’
• There is a tendency to select that alterna- income from operations. By 1992, this propor-
tive most likely to result in the attainment tion had declined to 68 per cent with further
of the objectives within the boundaries of reductions in prospect. Clearly, Philip Morris
rational choice. has achieved its long-term strategic objective;
• The implementation of a chosen alternative and its strategic decision affords another
proceeds within the established way of positive example of the benefits inherent in
doing business and is reflective of propi- the process set forth in Figure 3.
There is no presumption tious timing and balanced risk and reward The last example of a successful strategic
of success following factors in relation to the expected outcome. decision involves the acquisition by the Wells
implementation and Fargo Bank of Crocker National Bank in 1986
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Application questions
3 Do your strategic choices regularly
1 Are your strategic decisions successful for embody the common set of characteristics
the most part? advanced for the profile of a successful
2 Are your strategic decisions made after strategic choice set forth in this article?
an objective gap analysis of your entire 4 Do you regularly employ a process
organization? approach to your strategic decisions?
[ 53 ]
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