THE ROLE OF WIND

ENERGY
IN POLAND’S ENERGY MIX

Wojciech P. Cetnarski
PWEA President

Hamburg, 21 October 2013

 Agenda

1. About PWEA
2. Wind energy in Poland’s energy mix
3. New regulatory system
4. Summary

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 About PWEA

Polish Wind Energy Association

 A non-governmental organisation, acting since 1999

 Having more than 100 member companies
 A member of:
 European Wind Energy Association
 Global Wind Energy Council

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 Wind energy in the first half of 2013 – Poland vs. Germany

Germany 32 421 MW

Poland 2807 MW

0 10000 20000 30000 40000

Germany 10,8% 89,2%

Wind Other
Poland 2% 98%

0 20 40 60 80 100
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 Wind energy in 2020 – Poland vs. Germany

Installed capacity
Germany 45.750
[MW]
6650
Poland
0 20000 40000 60000

Germany 18,6% 81,4%

Wind
Poland 9% 91% Other

0 20 40 60 80 100
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Wind energy development in Poland – E&Y Wind Indices 2012

Poland

6
Wind energy development in Central, Eastern and South-Eastern Europe

Poland

Source: Report ‘Eastern winds. Emerging European wind

power markets’, EWEA, FEB 2013 7
 Wind energy development in Poland

Onshore wind [MW] Small wind installations [MW]

Offshore wind [MW]

Source: Ministry of Economy 8

 Wind energy development in Poland - figures

16000

14000

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: Ministry of Economy, NAP 9

 Wind energy development in Poland - figures

Electricity production (MWh) by particular RES technologies

in 2012 and 2020
Biomass Biogas Wind Hydroenergy PV
Co-fireing (44) i biomass (8,5) 1%
Biogas 2012 2020
9%
Wind

Hydroenergy 14,22% 31%

29,73% 52,60%
47%
12%

3,44%
Source: Energy Regulatory Office and Ministry of
10
Economy
 New regulatory system

Source: PwC Webinarium 11

 New regulatory system – introduction of auctions for FiT

Source: PwC Webinarium 12

 New regulatory system – introduction of auctions for FiT

Source: PwC Webinarium 13

 Auctions for FiT – electricity market impact

Source: PwC Webinarium 14

 Summary

• Key determinants resulting in the need to support the development of

renewable energy sources in Poland, in particular wind energy, include:
• international commitments regarding the energy sector made by Poland
• National targets for renewable energy development

• Wind business is not any more a small part of Polish energy sector
(Polish market needs investments on the level of approx. € 10 bln to build
6,5 GW wind capacity until 2020)
• Poland is the most prospective market of Central, Eastern and South-
Eastern Europe, with good natural, infrastructural and legal background
for wind investors
• Wind investments should get back on the right track when the final
draft of act modifying support scheme for RES is signed by PM and then
when the new law is implemented

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Join us on:
XVI Wind Energy Forum
26.11.2013, Radisson Blu hotel, Warsaw

The new RES support scheme – consultation concerning

the auction model

More information on: www.few2013.psew.pl

Contact us on: event@psew.pl 16
Thank you for your attention
Wojciech Cetnarski
President of Board
Polish Wind Energy Association
www.pwea.pl

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