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THE DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD
IN THE EIGHTEENTH CENTURY [19541*
GUNTHER PFLUG
Few periods have witnessed such active attempts to clarify the basic principles
involved in the definition and depiction of history as the period that spans
the end of the seventeenth century and the beginning of the eighteenth.1
During the seventeenth century, when a new sense of reality was slowly and
painfully emerging, historians, like other thinkers, began to see the need for
a scientific approach to their subject matter. Descartes had raised the issue
of certitude, and historical inquiry could not ignore it. Eighty years before
Descartes, J. Bodin2 had tried to align the spirit of the skeptics with the
ambitions of historiography. And during the seventeenth century it was, in
fact, skepticism which gave birth to a great body of writings on the possibility
of certitude in history.3
The Cartesian critique of knowledge had offered a preliminary solution to
the problem of achieving certitude in history: it was contained in the idea
that the faculty of reason was accountable only to itself. Imbued with confi-
dence in the powers of the mind, historians following the lead of Descartes
tried to limit the application of skepticism to history and to insure epistemo-
logical certitude by examining historical tradition in the light of pure reason.
With this aim they undertook to examine the existing interpretations of the
corpus of historical tradition to see if they were consistent with the spirit
of the Enlightenment and recent insights gained by the natural sciences.4
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2 GUNTHER PFLUG
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 3
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 5
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6 GUNTHER PFLUG
antee that he was not biased toward one of the multitude of historically
established philosophical systems; once philosophical principles had been
made a purely personal matter, no universally valid principle remained
which might help evaluate individual systems. Study of the systems had to
be confined to understanding them in terms of their intrinsic intentions;
Bayle set himself the task of following through the train of thought con-
tained in each system.
Bayle based this approach on a single methodological premise: the logical
consistency of any given system. He was thus able to make a simple analytical
procedure yield a survey of the entire breadth of the human spirit."6
In so doing, Bayle placed only one restriction on the individuality of the
various philosophical systems: he saw them all as subject to the laws of logic;
the rest he left to the free play of their individuality.
This method, of course, permitted him to preserve the equality of all the
different systems. While observing the demands of logical consistency, Bayle
left all empirical or emotional factors to the personal whim of the philoso-
phers and refrained from evaluating them within his objective account. By
thus restricting his field of interest he managed to narrow his approach to
a single method of analysis.
This restriction conveys both the limits of what Bayle could accomplish
and the starting-point of his skepticism.
Since he had renounced any form of inquiry that went beyond the indi-
vidual system, Bayle could never succeed in bringing the single systems to-
gether into an inclusive picture of the mind, into a definition of man's true
essence. Rather, he found himself with a shapeless collection of philosophical
statements on his hands. Nowhere did analysis of the systems suggest their
unifying principle.
Thus Bayle was faced with a vast array of human idiosyncrasies. The
more he discovered that each system proceeded according to its own in-
trinsic necessity and the more he was forced to recognize that contradic-
tions grew out of different but totally legitimate modes of human inquiry,
the more he grew helpless, trying in the face of such a wealth of material
to attempt an all-inclusive theory of the human mind.
The method Bayle had developed for dealing with historical data - anal-
ysis of the facts - fell short when it came to grasping historical reality and
deriving a general schema of the human mind from the profusion of opinions.
Here Bayle's own premises drove him into a skepticism from which he could
not escape.
Overcoming skepticism might thus be seen as a primarily methodological
task. The skepticism that resulted from confining method to an analysis of
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 7
For the period between Pierre Bayle and Royer-Collard the history of phi-
losophy has little progress to record. The most significant works on the
history of philosophy continued in the direction established by Bayle's Dic-
tionnaire, while historical studies - at least in France - drew no benefit
from what Bayle had initiated. They consisted either of Trait's des syste'mes,'7
essentially refutations of individual systems and without claim to historical
completeness or factual accuracy, or else old-style compilations on the his-
tory of philosophy like Deslandes'; these bear no imprint of Bayle's analytical
spirit.'8
Yet, although philosophy could contribute nothing to the development of
a new historical consciousness, the ground broken by Bayle produced fruitful
developments in the general writing of history, developments which ultimately
helped transform the writing of history into an historical science, which, in
turn, created a new historical awareness in philosophy.
With Bayle's method thus transplanted to the writing of general history,
the further development of his premise faced a substantial impediment.
Historiography as a portrayal of historical facts seemed to offer no op-
portunity for applying Bayle's analytical method. In contrast to Bayle's
treatment, historical fact as understood by early eighteenth-century thinkers
was not a logically structured entity; it was simply a fact, that could be
established but not analyzed.
Thus before history could adopt and expand Bayle's findings, as a first
prerequisite, the subject matter of history had to be radically modified. Facts,
which could only be substantiated, had to be replaced by subject matter
that was open to analytical treatment. Such subject matter would thus have
to have a complex structure of some sort. But that immediately presup-
posed that the subject matter would transcend the purely historical. Insofar
as it was open to analysis, i.e., rational dissection, it left the realm of purely
historical examination and entered - like Bayle's subject matter - the realm
of general discussion.
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8 GUNTHER PFLUG
Such a subject matter for history was not found in a day. Taking as his
starting point the relationship of the supernatural to reality, Fontenelle (in
his Histoire des oracles'9) was the first to arrive at a method intended to
apply rational analysis in the historical realm.20
However, Fontenelle's efforts remained confined to the very narrow field
of the miracle. At most he prepared the ground for a general revision of
history's subject matter; he established a general tendency but did not take
the decisive step.
The major change was left to Voltaire. In the Academie des Inscriptions
the dispute Hardouin had initiated over whether an historical science was
possible at all was still raging; Voltaire sided with the skeptics.2' He denied
that historical fact possessed a certitude of its own, thus joining those critics
who, inspired by the natural sciences, had mounted formidable opposition
against historiography in general at the beginning of the eighteenth century.22
Yet when Voltaire criticized claims to historical certitude, he did not mean
to imply that he considered it altogether impossible to establish historical
proof. "Peut-etre arrivera-t-il bientot dans la maniere d'ecrire l'histoire ce qui
est arrive dans la physique. Les nouvelles decouvertes ont fait proscrire les
anciens systemss."3
Voltaire thus faced a twofold task. Inspired by Bayle's insistence on re-
placing the systematic by the factual, yet also enchanted by the triumphs
of natural science, Voltaire tried to unite the two methods into one all-
inclusive method. He first attempted to formulate it in his work on Charles XII
of Sweden, and each succeeding work Voltaire wrote on an historical sub-
ject represented an additional contribution toward clarifying the methodo-
logical situation in historical science.
The first step toward a real historical science that would meet the re-
quirement of being strictly provable necessitated changing the subject mat-
ter of history. For Voltaire, in complete agreement with the skeptics, felt
that uncertainty in the reporting of single facts was the source of uncertainty
in history. If single historical facts could be downgraded in favor of some-
thing more rational, the first step toward the projected science would have
been taken.
That was the task facing Voltaire when the Marquise de Chatelet-Lorraine
asked him to write an outline of world history. The work he wrote for her
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 9
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10 GUNTHER PFLUG
26. The movements inspired by Gassendi included both an Epicurean and a Stoic
version, which, however, deliberately strove for reconciliation with the Christian tradi-
tion. See G. du Vair, De la philosophic morale des stoiques (1603) and G. de Balzac,
Platon chretien (1652).
27. B. Pascal, Pensees, Oeuvres, ed. Brunschvicg, Vol. II (Paris, 1904), 199, 203.
28. J.-B. Bossuet, Oeuvres choisies (Edition Bons livres), Vol. I, 428-429.
29. F. de Fenelon, Oeuvres completes, Vol. XIII (Toulouse, 1810), 343.
30. Bossuet, op. cit., I, 9.
31. C. Buffier, Traite des premieres verites (Paris, 1717); Elements de metaphysique
(Paris, 1724).
32. Reid, Works, ed. W. Hamilton, Vol. I (Edinburgh, 1872), 27, 423.
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 11
similarity. The doctrine of bon sens, an outgrowth of the debate over find-
ing a rational basis for ethics, has now avowedly become a universally ap-
plicable theory of human behavior. It gave Voltaire the grounds for judging
human behavior, just as logic had given Bayle the grounds for judging hu-
man thought. In addition, Voltaire's program emerged as far more inclusive
than Bayle's, for it was obvious that a theory of human activity had to in-
clude logic as one determinant of action. In this respect Voltaire's ideas
represented in fact an extension of Bayle's work.
Bon sens, taken as a universally binding principle governing human be-
havior, could now fulfill the same function within Voltaire's system as
logical consistency fulfilled in the area of human thought for Bayle: it pro-
vided guidelines for understanding the morals of an historical epoch in the
same way as logical consistency had formed the basis for analyzing the
various philosophical systems. Voltaire thus found it possible to apply a
common principle to the heterogeneous behavior of different individuals,
at least to the extent of excluding only certain forms of behavior as contrary
to bon sens, just as Bayle had excluded totally illogical systems.
Voltaire's change in the subject matter of historical science went hand
in hand with new developments in historical method. In the attempt to
make the writing of history a science, it seemed natural to draw on the
successes chalked up by the natural sciences in the century just past. Bayle
had overlooked this conjunction of mathematical deduction with empirical
data in physics, but during the first half of the new century the new gen-
eration, intent on justifying historical science, tried to exploit this possibility.
Before historical science could be related to physics, a concept of order
had to be developed, which would introduce the notion of causation into
history. This concept evolved in several stages and was finally made prac-
ticable by Voltaire.
It was once again Fontenelle who first formulated the principle of causal
connection in history. "Ce n'est pas une science de s'etre rempli la tete de
toutes les extravagances des Pheniciens & des Grecs; mais c'en est une de
savoir ce qui a conduit les Pheniciens & les Grecs a ces extravagances. Tous
les hommes se ressemblent si fort, qu'il n'y a point de peuple dont les sotises
ne nous doivent faire trembler."33 But Fontenelle did not take any concrete
steps toward developing this principle into a system. He borrowed the idea
of causation entirely from the contemporary situation in the natural sciences.
He saw its application to history as a goal, but not as the primary task of
historical research. He never inquired into the nature of causation in history,
leaving it undecided whether the historian should trace the individual fact
back to a general continuum or evolve causal chains to link individual facts
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12 GUNTHER PFLUG
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 13
Once again the impetus for improving historical method came from outside.
After the great geographical discoveries of the preceding two centuries, the
seventeenth century produced a great literature of geographical and ethno-
graphical description, and the more material on the differences among peo-
ples increased, the more morality was seen as a relative phenomenon.
At first the life patterns of exotic peoples merely seemed strange, but more
and more European thinkers began to be convinced that standards of moral-
ity were totally relative. Thus geographical studies provided a standpoint
from which differences in human customs might be treated.
At the turn of the seventeenth century, geographical relativism gave rise
to a special literary genre which attempted to observe European customs
and morals as they would strike a non-European.36 At first these works were
based on real ethnological findings, but more and more they gave way to
works which used the ethnological approach merely as a pretext for analyz-
ing the European spirit as part of a general historical spectrum. Prime ex-
amples of this genre are Swift's Gulliver's Travels and Montesquieu's Lettres
persanes. Yet it was Montesquieu himself who proceeded from these begin-
nings to develop a general theoretical basis for geographical and ethnological
studies.
The comparative method which grew out of this geographical literature
was applied to Montesquieu to historical writing in his Considerations. Here
Montesquieu reached a new stage in mastering the problem of grasping the
totality, a problem which had been introduced by Bayle and Voltaire. Vol-
taire had linked historical facts to the general power of an esprit du temps
and thus imposed some kind of law-like conception on Bayle's thesis that
historical phenomena were purely random; but this enterprise had created
the obstinate circle which made definition of the Zeitgeist dependent on the
facts and vice versa. This circle, to be sure, was the natural outcome of
deciding that the task of historians was to deal with individual historical
data. On the one hand, the individual historical fact was subjected to his-
torical study, while on the other hand the same method had also to help
define the totality upon which the individual fact depended. Using the same
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14 GUNTHER PFLUG
method for defining the part and the law of the whole could provide under-
standing of the part in terms of the law only at the price of entering the
vicious circle.
To escape this circle Montesquieu had to make an even stricter methodo-
logical distinction than Voltaire between the individual and the general. With
Bayle it had been logic, with Voltaire, additionally, a certain emotional fac-
tor, bon sens, that had been abstracted from the historical realm to consti-
tute an area for generalized, non-historical study. Montesquieu took the last
step and abstracted the phenomenon of man from the Zeitgeist and placed
it squarely in the area of generalized study. "Comme les homes ont eu
dans tous les temps les memes passions, les occasions qui produisent les
grands changements sont differentes, mais les causes sont toujours les
memes."3
By seeing man as remaining essentially the same through the ages, even
in his emotions and desires, Montesquieu removed him from the historical
situation; action alone remained subject to historical influence. And by sep-
arating the historical event into the non-temporal component of human pas-
sions and the temporal component of historical situations, Montesquieu
succeeded in avoiding Voltaire's circularity. With man as such no longer
treated on the level of historical fact, the entire realm of human intentions
could be approached with a single, non-historical method, all that remained
to history were individual facts. The causes of actions, which lay in the
passions, remained outside history, while their effect on reality crystallized
in historical facts.
Montesquieu's research thus dealt with two distinct areas of causal inquiry.
On the one hand, he had developed a general anthropology, which promised
to become essentially a theory of the passions along the lines of La Bruyere,
and this anthropology provided him with a typology of man which could be
used for comparing the actions of men in different ages. Montesquieu under-
took such studies completely in conformity with Bayle's premises. Bayle had
seen logic as the basis on which one could compare different thought sys-
tems; Voltaire had relied upon bon sens; and now Montesquieu found his
field for comparative generalizations in a theory of the universal human
passions.
However, this aspect of causality was not Montesquieu's central concern
in his historical studies. He was far more interested in the other aspect, the
relationship between the individual manifestation of an action and the gen-
eral law. The essential issue was thus not the relationship among humans
in general in terms of their variations but the relationship of the general
passion to the singular act.
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 15
38. C. de Montesquieu, De l'esprit des lois, ed. G. Truc, Vol. I (Paris, n.d.) 239.
39. E.g., "Les Indiens sont naturellement sans courages; les enfants meme des Euro-
peens nes aux Indes perdent celui de leur climat," De l'esprit des lois, I, 243; see also I,
239 ff. and 293 f.
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16 GUNTHER PFLUG
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 17
40. J.-B. Bossuet, Discours sur l'histoire universelle, Vol. I (Lyon, 1811), 6.
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18 GUNTHER PFLUG
was not the idea of pure speculation but the idea of connecting a universal
principle with the concept of time - as embodied in Bossuet's plan of a
world developing toward a Christian kingdom of heaven on earth. This con-
cept of progress became the central pillar of Turgot's conception of history.
Yet if we compare Bossuet's Discours with Turgot's formulations, it
immediately becomes clear that this idea of progress underwent a significant
transformation with Turgot. While Bossuet intended it merely to describe
the growth and dissemination of the Christian idea, Turgot used it to suggest
a general structural change in mankind.
Thus Bossuet's interpretation of progress might be seen as a static concept
of the universal. He saw the Christian world as not only universal, but also
a priori established by God. It was in no way predicated on a concept of
time, hence it provided no yardstick for the historical. History was for
Bossuet merely the extension of the ideal world into the real. Thus his con-
cept of progress did not denote the law-like character of the universal, but
rather the influence of the universal on the historically unique. The concept
thus represented an addition to rather than a structural transformation of
historical reality.4'
Reinterpretation of the concept of progress began within an intellectual
movement diametrically opposed to Bossuet's theological position. Toward the
end of the seventeenth century, the great strides of the natural sciences and
the massive accumulation of descriptive material gave rise to the concept of
the progress des sciences, which became a slogan in the eighteenth century.42
The idea of progress now was reinterpreted in terms of perfection. The core
of the idea of progress was no longer that of mere dissemination or expan-
sion, but that of completion of a condition of all-encompassing and perfected
knowledge. In this sense the concept of perfection des sciences is used syn-
onymously with progress des sciences in the literature of the time.43
This reinterpretation of the concept of progress now made it possible to
apply the idea of time to the universal without negating the possibility of
a science of history in advance. For with the idea of development one could
easily explain the uniqueness of an event by pointing to the uniqueness of
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 19
its cause, while the cause itself could be explained in terms of a universal
law of development.
In addition, the idea of development made it possible to preserve the
chronology of events. Whereas neither Voltaire nor Montesquieu could see
any necessary reason for the factual succession of events, the idea of devel-
opment took the time factor back, as far back as the ultimate causes of
phenomena. The only thing to remain untouched by development was the
law of development itself.
The relationship between general law and specific fact had been redefined
in terms of the concept of progress, but it still required a precise outline.
A theory of intellectual development based on the concept of progres des
sciences could certainly lead to a general history of the sciences, such as
J. L. Lagrange produced - at least for a limited field - in his Mechanique
analytique.44 But this interpretation of progress could hardly produce a sig-
nificant transformation in political history, since political development could
hardly be treated with the same kind of evidence for development as could
the history of science. Hence Turgot made it his first task to develop a gen-
eral theory of human progress for the historical sciences that would go be-
yond the merely intellectual.
He took over from Montesquieu two essential prerequisites. The first was
the eighteenth century's unshakable conviction that man made history. In
contrast to Bossuet, and even to Vico, eighteenth-century French thought
held fast to the idea of history as human action. Deeply suspicious of any
form of deduction, all the thinkers after Bayle tried to eliminate the deduc-
tive principle from history, advocating instead a concept of history that posits
man as the author of history.45 This principle, clearly articulated by Bayle,46
was implied again in Montesquieu's thesis that human volition remained
constant.
Here we find the other prerequisite Turgot took over from Montesquieu:
the transposition of historical causes to the realm of human volition. Mon-
tesquieu had separated history into an anthropological and a geographical
component, and in his study of the former he placed his main emphasis on
that sector of anthropology which dealt with the way man expressed himself
in historical reality. Such a mode of observation, concentrating as it did on
the self-expression and behavior of man in historical reality, necessarily
placed the doctrine of human volition at the center.
Montesquieu had extended the area of general human characteristics to
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20 GUNTHER PFLUG
47. J. F. Melon, Essai politique sur le commerce (1734); Dutot, Reflexions politiques
sur les finnances et le commerce (1735); P. de Boisguillebert, De'tail de la France
(1695); Du Pin, Memoire sur le commerce des bWs (1754); Cantillon, Essai sur la
nature du commerce (1755); Herbert, Essai sur la police generate des grains (1755);
Quesnay's article in the Encyclopedie; V. de Mirabeau, L'Ami des hommes (1757).
48. J. Turgot, Oeuvres, II, 626 ff.
49. Law, Oeuvres, ed. M. de Senovert (Paris, 1790), 6 ff.
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 21
basis for the whole range of human desires, permitted Turgot to reduce
history to a history of economic systems.
In this theory, that prosperity represents the common goal of mankind,
Turgot found the starting-point for his application of the concept of progress
to history. Bayle had seen the multiplicity of human phenomena as a barrier
to comparison; Turgot's supposition of a universal human tendency preserves
the usefulness of the comparative method developed by Montesquieu, insofar
as all actions could be subsumed under the general tendency of striving for
well-being.
Having discovered a universal similarity, Turgot was also under the ne-
cessity of explaining human differences. His solution had to be governed by
the following considerations: first, the source of disparities could not be al-
lowed to negate the newly discovered uniformity; this had happened to logic
in Bayle's system, when it failed to provide enough similarities to guarantee
commensurability among the individual systems.
Further, the source itself had to be so historical, that is, so concretely
unique, that the concept of time would not be eliminated as it had been in
Montesquieu's system.
Here the concept of progress came into its own. Turgot portrayed human
behavior as a result of the two functions of desire and experience, and by
retaining desire as a constant succeeded in linking the concept of progress
to the realm of experience.
This step corresponded to the use made of experimental evidence in the
natural sciences. It transcended Bayle's concept of experience by describing
not only the relations of men to one another and to their surroundings, but
also the relationship of men to the intellectual tradition they inherited. In
accordance with the scientific conception, experience was strongly colored
by the data of experience already transmitted by tradition.
But the consequences of this were twofold: first, the experiences of differ-
ent ages could never be seen as identical. What one generation experienced
directly came down to later generations reflected in tradition. Here the con-
stancy of experience posited by Bayle, which permitted him to coordinate
different philosophical systems, was abandoned in favor of a premise which
linked the notion of historical development of knowledge with the idea of
an overall system. This new approach, as developed by Turgot, was eagerly
received in the writings of his period.50
Second, every item of experience was placed in the context of the char-
acteristic experience of its age. The resulting diversity of experiential stand-
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22 GUNTHER PFLUG
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DEVELOPMENT OF HISTORICAL METHOD 23
position that there was a force determining historical events and that we
know it by extra-historical means. The consequence of this limitation was
the belief in universal progress as a constitutive principle that is itself not
subject to factual confirmation.
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