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2. Basic notions
Adapted process
● A stochastic process (Xt)tϵ[0,T] is said adapted with respect to the filtration
𝓕𝒕 if for each tϵ[0,T], Xt is ℱ𝑡 - measurable
(i.e. the value of Xt is revealed at time t)
Filtration generated by a stochastic process
Stopping time
Cadlag function
● A function 𝑓: 0, 𝑇 → ℝ𝑑 is cadlag if it is right-continuous with existing left
limits (continu à droite, limite à gauche):
∀𝑡 ∈ 0, 𝑇 : 𝑓 𝑡 − = lim 𝑓(𝑠) and 𝑓 𝑡 + = lim 𝑓(𝑠) both exist
𝑠→𝑡 𝑠→𝑡
𝑠<𝑡 𝑠>𝑡
and 𝑓 𝑡 = 𝑓 𝑡+
● If 𝑓 is cadlag and discontinuous at t, its jump at t will be denoted by Δ𝑓 𝑡 :
Δ𝑓 𝑡 = 𝑓 𝑡 − 𝑓(𝑡 − )
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2. Basic notions
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
lim P X t h X t 0
h0
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Stationary increments
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
X(t)
-0.2
-0.25
-0.3
-0.35
-0.4
-0.45
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
Time t
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson process
𝑁 𝑡 = 𝕀 𝑇𝑛 ≤𝑡 = # 𝑛 ∈ ℕ: 𝑇𝑛 ≤ 𝑡
𝑛=1
is called a Poisson process with intensity λ.
Typically used for modelling rare events:
τ1 τ2 τ3 τ4
N(t) =3, i.e. number of occurrences of some event until t is equal to 3
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
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10
Poisson process
0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2
Time t (years)
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
● Characteristic function:
𝑖𝑧 −1−𝑖𝑧)
Φ𝑵𝑡 𝑧 = 𝔼 𝑒 𝑖𝑧𝑁𝒕 = 𝑒 𝜆𝑡 (𝑒 𝑧∈ℝ
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
1
0
0
compensated poisson
-1
Brownian motion
-1
-2
-2
-3
-3
-4
-4
-5 -5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Time t (years) Time t (years)
~
Var ( N (t ) / ) t Var (W (t ))
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
Brownian motion
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Time t (years)
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Poisson Process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Compound Poisson Process
𝑋𝑡 = 𝑌𝑖 ,
𝑖=1
where
jump sizes 𝑌𝑖 are i.i.d. with distribution F, and
(𝑁𝑡 ) is a Poisson process with intensity λ
● Properties:
Trajectories are cadlag, piecewise constant
Jump times (𝑇𝑖 )𝑖≥1 are partial sums of i.i.d. exponential variables , as in a
Poisson process
The Poisson process is a particular case of a compound Poisson process: it
corresponds to the case 𝑌𝑖 ≡ 1 for all i.
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Compound Poisson Process
Proposition:
𝑋𝑡 𝑡≥0is a compound Poisson process
⇔
𝑋𝑡 𝑡≥0 is a Levy process and its sample paths are are
piecewise constant functions
Proof:
…
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Compound Poisson Process
Sample path of Poisson process Sample path of compound Poisson process (lambda=10, Y~N(2,2))
14 20
18
12
16
10 14
compound poisson
Poisson process
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8
10
6
8
4 6
4
2
2
0 0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2
Time t (years) Time t (years)
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Compound Poisson Process
Sample path of compound Poisson process (lambda=10, Y~N(2,2)) Sample path of Jump-diffusion
20 20
18
16 15
14
compound poisson
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jump diffusion
10
10
8 5
4 0
0 -5
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2
Time t (years) Time t (years)
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
From random walk to Levy processes
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
From random walk to Levy processes
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
From random walk to Levy processes
Now, one can see that the converse is also true : every infinitely
divisible distribution F leads to the definition of a Lévy process
X(t) such that X(1) ~ F
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
From random walk to Levy processes
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
1. Brownian motion
2. Poisson process
3. Compensated Poisson process
4. Compound Poisson process:
5. Gamma process (G)
6. Variance Gamma process (VG)
7. Inverse Gaussian process (IG)
8. Normal Inverse Gaussian process (NIG)
9. Generalized Inverse Gaussian process (GIG)
10. Meixner
…
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Gamma process
Gamma distribution:
b a a 1
f gamma ( x; a, b) x exp( xb), x 0
( a )
a: shape parameter, b : intensity parameter
𝑛 𝑛
If 𝑋𝑖 ∼ Γ(𝑎𝑖 , 𝑏) independent, then 𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖 ∼ Γ( 𝑖=1 𝑎𝑖 , 𝑏)
Gamma process: X(t) , t≥0 such that X(t) ~Gamma(at,b)
Scaling property: if X~Γ(a,b), then for any c>0, cX~ Γ(a,b/c)
Gamma(a,b)
Mean a/b
Variance a/b²
Skewness 2/a1/2
Kurtosis 3(1+2/a)
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Gamma process
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Gamma process
Alternative parameterization:
Gamma process 𝐺𝑡 (𝜇, 𝜈) with mean parameter 𝜇 and variance
parameter 𝜈:
● Lévy process following a Gamma distribution with mean 𝜇𝑡 and variance
𝜈𝑡
We parameterize here with the mean and the variance of G1
Properties:
● Discountinuous sample paths
● Increasing process (!!)
● can be used as subordinator for defining new Lévy processes
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Variance Gamma process
Properties:
● When θ=0, then the distribution is symmetric (no skewness)
● θ>0 positive skewness
● Parameter ν controls the kurtosis
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Variance Gamma process
Alternative definition :
● C,G,M (Carr, Geman, Madan) parameterization:
C 1 /
1
1 1 1
G 4 ² ² 2 ² 2
1
M 14 ² ² 12 ² 12
C , G, M 0
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Variance Gamma process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Variance Gamma process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Inverse Gaussian process
f IG ( x; a, b) a
2
exp( ab) x 3 / 2 exp( 12 ( ax² b² x)), x 0
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Inverse Gaussian process
f IG ( x; , )
2
exp( ) x 3 / 2 exp( 12 ( x² ² x)), x 0
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Inverse Gaussian process
Scaling property:
Moments:
IG(a,b)
Mean a/b
Variance a/b3
Skewness 3(ab)-1/2
Kurtosis 3(1+5/(ab))
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Normal Inverse Gaussian process
2 x2
where Ki(x) is the ith modified Bessel function (of the second type)
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Normal Inverse Gaussian process
Parameters:
● α: tail parameter
K1 ( 2 x 2 )
● β: asymmetry parameter f NIG ( x; , , ) exp( x)
2 2
2 x2
● δ : scale parameter
Moments:
NIG(α,β,δ)
/ 2 2
Mean
2 ( 2 2 ) 3 / 2
Variance
3 1 1/ 2 (a 2 2 ) 1/ 4
Skewness
2 4 2
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2 2 2
Kurtosis
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Generalized Inverse Gaussian process
(b / a) 1 1
f GIG ( x; , a, b) x exp (a 2 x 1 b 2 x)
2 K (ab) 2
Moments:
GIG(λ,a,b)
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Meixner process
where 0, , 0 .
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: Meixner process
Moments:
Meixner(α,β,δ)
Mean
tan( / 2)
1 2
Variance cos 2 ( / 2)
2
Skewness sin( / 2) 2 /
Kurtosis
3 (2 cos( )) /
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: CGMY process
CGMY = Carr-Geman-Madan-Yor
Characteristic function:
𝜙𝐶𝐺𝑀𝑌 𝑢; 𝐶, 𝐺, 𝑀, 𝑌
= exp 𝐶Γ −𝑌 𝑀 − 𝑖𝑢 𝑌 − 𝑀𝑌 + 𝐺 + 𝑖𝑢 𝑌 − 𝐺𝑌
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: CGMY process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: CGMY process
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2. Basic notions: Definition and first examples
Example: CGMY process
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