Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
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THE RELATIONSHIP
between
POLITICAL OBJECTIVES
and
MILITARY OBJECTIVES
in
WAR
LONG VERSION
for individual self-study
v.OCT 2015
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MODEST EXTREME
(i.e., objectives that might lead to war)
MODEST ? EXTREME
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MODEST ? EXTREME
Only
examples—the
actual spectrum is
infinite.
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*renamed *
? renamed
High-end
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
*renamed *
? renamed
High-end
Can we find
a reasonably neat way to divide
these objectives into
TWO subsets?
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SURVIVAL High-end
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SURVIVAL
High-end
High-end
High-end
SURVIVAL High-end
Is there a
similar taxonomy for
military objectives?
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SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED
HIGH-END
MILITARY Is there a MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
? similar taxonomy for ?
military objectives?
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SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED
HIGH-END
MILITARY Is there a MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
? similar taxonomy for ?
military objectives?
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED
HIGH-END
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
CLAUSEWITZ
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SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED
HIGH-END
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
CLAUSEWITZ
A SPECTRUM
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SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY ? ? MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
Ermattungsstragie: a Niederwerfungsstrategie:
strategy of exhaustion or a strategy of overthrow or
attrition. annihilation.
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
“Overthrow”?
Sounds political.
HANS DELBRÜCK
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
Attrition Annihilation
More word problems:
Exhaustion Overthrow
“Attrition”--fatally tarred
by association with 1864,
WWI, Vietnam.
“Exhaustion”?
Might be OK.
HANS DELBRÜCK
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) (DISARM)
SURVIVAL High-end
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) (DISARM)
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
“Incapacition” is
literally correct. When Overthrow
you say it, however, Annihilation
people hear Incapacitation
“nonlethal.”
"The fighting forces must be destroyed: that is,
they must be put in such a condition that they can
no longer carry on the fight. Whenever we use the
phrase ‘destruction of the enemy's forces,’ this
alone is what we mean."
Clausewitz, On War, p.90
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY SUGGESTED LABELS MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) Coercion Compellance (DISARM)
Exhaustion Overthrow
Attrition Incapacitation
Erosion Annihilation
Coercion DISARM
or
EROSION INCAPACITATE
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
“For if war is an act of violence meant to force the enemy to do our will its aim would have always and solely
to be to overcome the enemy and disarm him. That aim is derived from the theoretical concept of war; but
since many wars do actually come very close to fulfilling it, let us examine this kind of war first of all.”
Clausewitz, On War, p.90
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY SUGGESTED LABELS MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) (DISARM)
Temporarily, DISARM
EROSIONLong-term, or or
INCAPACITATE
Permanently?
TARGET:
"The fighting forces must be destroyed: that is,
they must be put in such a condition that they can
The adversary’s
no longer carry on the fight. Whenever we use the MILITARY CAPACITY
phrase ‘destruction of the enemy's forces’ this
alone is what we mean." to continue the struggle
Clausewitz, On War, p.90
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
Stress comes in many varieties.
Here we mean political pain. How
might we use military means to
inflict political pain?
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY SUGGESTED LABELS MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) (DISARM)
Make the enemy
prefer ending the war
on our terms to
EROSION continuing the TO DISARM
Convince the or
struggle. enemy that the pursuit of
TO INCAPACITATE
peace on his own terms is
TARGET: TARGET:
too dangerous, too painful,
The adversary’s The adversary’s
or too unlikely to
WILL to continue MILITARY
succeed. CAPACITY
the struggle to continue the struggle
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SURVIVAL High-end
Erosion Annihilation
Coercion
EROSION } MILITARY
OBJECTIVE { DISARM
INCAPACITATE
or
TARGET: TARGET:
The adversary’s The adversary’s
WILL to continue MILITARY CAPACITY
the struggle to continue the struggle
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
Need a Video
Demonstration?
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) Coercion Compellance (DISARM)
Exhaustion Overthrow
Attrition Incapacitation
Erosion Annihilation
Coercion These two things DISARM
TARGET:
EROSION
} distinguishable
OBJECTIVE from
each other.
{
are not easily INCAPACITATE
MILITARY
or
TARGET:
The adversary’s The adversary’s
WILL to continue MILITARY CAPACITY
the struggle to continue the struggle
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) Coercion Compellance (DISARM)
Exhaustion Overthrow
Attrition Incapacitation
Erosion Annihilation
Coercion Specifically DISARM
TARGET:
EROSION
}
WHOSE will
MILITARY
military
and/or
OBJECTIVE
matters?
{
INCAPACITATE
capacity really
or
TARGET:
The adversary’s The adversary’s
WILL to continue MILITARY CAPACITY
the struggle to continue the struggle
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
So,
a limited political objective is best served
by a limited military objective, and a
high-end political objective is best served
by the objective of militarily
disarming/ incapacitating/annihilating
the opposing force.
Right?
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
So,
a limited political objective is best served
by a limited military objective, and a
high-end political objective is best served
by the objective of militarily
disarming/ incapacitating/annihilating
NO.
the opposing force.
Right?
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) (DISARM)
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED HIGH-END
HIGH-END
MILITARY MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
(Inflict Stress) (DISARM)
(DISARM)
Sure we can.
Can we make a high-
end military objective
serve limited political
ends?
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
Erode Disarm
or /Incapacitate
Disarm/Incapacitate
A SPECTRUM
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
Erode Disarm
or /Incapacitate
What does “SPECTRUM” mean? You mean,
Disarm/Incapacitate
the enemy leadership can both survive and
perish, in differing proportions,
simultaneously?
A SPECTRUM
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
By “spectrum,” we mean that these
Erode Disarm
political
or and military elements can
/Incapacitate
be combined in different ways, that
What does “SPECTRUM” mean?
Disarm/Incapacitate
we can threaten one but settle for the
You mean, the enemy leadership can
other, that the players can redefine
both survive and perish,
“victory” and “survival” in mid-war,
simultaneously?
etc.
A SPECTRUM
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
Erode
or
Disarm/Incapacitate
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
Erode
or
Disarm/Incapacitate
EXAMPLES?
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
HISTORICAL EXAMPLES
NOTES:
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
LIMITED POLITICAL
and MILITARY
OBJECTIVES
US used limited force
against the Bosnian
Serbs in order to force
them to reach a
negotiated settlement
with the Croats and
Bosnian Muslims.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
LIMITED POLITICAL
OBJECTIVES and
LIMITED POLITICAL HIGH-END
and MILITARY MILITARY
OBJECTIVES OBJECTIVES
US used limited force US invaded Mexico,
against the Bosnian completely defeated its army,
Serbs in order to force and occupied its capital, in
them to reach a order to carve off some border
negotiated settlement provinces.
with the Croats and
Bosnian Muslims.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
A FAILED EXAMPLE
LIMITED POLITICAL
OBJECTIVES and
HIGH-END
MILITARY
OBJECTIVES
Napoleon was not
trying to conquer
Russia, only to force it
to cooperate with
Napoleon’s economic
blockade of Britain.
But he sought to
convince the Czar to
cooperate by
destroying his army
and occupying
Moscow.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
MIS-FIRE
Prussia completely defeated
the French military in order to
gain a free hand in Germany
(to unify it). Collapse of
French government was an
unintentional and unwelcome
side-effect. (They won
anyway. Except that 48 years
later….)
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
UNION vs
CONFEDERACY
HIGH-END
POLITICAL
and
MILITARY
OBJECTIVES
US vs SADDAM
2003
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
HIGH-END
POLITICAL
and
MILITARY
OBJECTIVES
US invaded Panama, completely
defeated its military, and installed a
new government.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY
BOTH at ONCE OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
NVN
vs NVN
US vs
DIFFERENT
RVN
STRATEGIC
OBJECTIVES
AGAINST DIFFERENT
ENEMIES IN THE
SAME PLACE AND
TIME
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SURVIVAL High-end
?
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SURVIVAL High-end
?
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SURVIVAL High-end
EXAMPLE?
US
vs
NVN ?
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
(DISARM)
NVN view of
US U.S. political
objectives
vs U.S. view of U.S.
NVN political objectives
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
Doesn’t seem (DISARM)
to work.
/
SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
(DISARM)
NVN view of
US Doesn’tU.S.
seempolitical
objectives
vs to work.
U.S. view of U.S.
NVN political objectives
X
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE OK, tough example. (DISARM)
Let’s look again.
?
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
(DISARM)
ANOTHER
POSSIBILITY
?
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SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
(DISARM)
ANOTHER
POSSIBILITY
Military is not the
decisive
instrument)
?
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
(DISARM)
CONTAIN
EXAMPLES:
US vs USSR in Cold War
US vs Castro regime
in Cuba
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL High-end
HIGH-END
LIMITED
MILITARY
MILITARY
OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVE
(DISARM)
CONTAIN
EXAMPLES:
US vs USSR in Cold War
US vs Castro regime
in Cuba
Iran? DPRK?
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
CONTAIN
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
So, can we
apply this
framework to
insurgencies
CONTAIN
and conflicts
with terrorists?
(Military is not the
decisive instrument)
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
So, can we
Readapply
Bard this
O’Neill’s book on
framework to
insurgencies,
theninsurgencies
tell me.
CONTAIN
and conflicts
with terrorists?
(Military is not the
decisive instrument)
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
So, can we
apply this
framework
But, yes, we can. to
insurgencies
CONTAIN
and conflicts
with terrorists?
(Military is not the
decisive instrument)
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
PLAYER A PLAYER B
US allies
ROK
KOREA 1950-53
Actual “structure” of CHINA
Anti-Gov’t
Guerrilas in ROK
the war?
USA
DPRK
USSR
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
CONCLUSIONS
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SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES
Two forms of military objective: (DISARM)
TO ERODE TO DISARM/
INCAPACITATE
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES
Two forms of military objective: (DISARM)
TO ERODE TO DISARM/
INCAPACITATE
Either one can serve either limited or unlimited
political objectives, depending on context.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES
Two forms of military objective: (DISARM)
TO ERODE TO DISARM/
INCAPACITATE
These are objectives, not
methods (ways or means),
time-lines, intensity levels,
or casualty ratios.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES
Two forms of military objective: (DISARM)
EROSION DISARMING/
INCAPACITATION
METHOD These are objectives, not METHOD
We can inflict pain,methods,
and thus time-lines, or
We can “erode,” “attrit,” or
casualty ratios.
hope to erode will, through
blockade; seizure of territory or “overwhelm” the enemy down
population; infrastructure interdiction
or destruction; destruction of assets, to nothing, thus disarming
personnel, military forces – him.
whatever works.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
EROSION INCAPACITATION
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
EROSION INCAPACITATION
CASUALTY
These RATIOS
are objectives, not TIME-LINE
METHOD Wemethods may achieve orthese
time-lines.
objectives
We can annihilate the
with disproportionately small costs
We can erode, attrit, or and casualties, or enemy’s
in materiel we may military capacity to
overwhelm the enemy down
sacrifice our money and manpower
resist in a 1-week Blitzkrieg
in
to nothing, thus attaining a 1:1 ratio or worse.
or a 4-year bloodbath.
annihilation.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
SURVIVAL
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
EROSION INCAPACITATION
These are objectives,
INTENSITY LEVELS not TIME-LINE
METHOD methods or time-lines.
A much stronger power may be able We can annihilate the
to completely
We can erode, attrit, or eliminate a weaker
one without even breaking aenemy’s
sweat, military capacity to
overwhelm the enemy downpolitically or militarily.resist in a 1-week Blitzkrieg
to nothing, thus attaining[e.g., Panama] or a 4-year bloodbath.
annihilation.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
EROSION INCAPACITATION
These are objectives,
INTENSITY LEVELS not TIME-LINE
METHOD methods or time-lines.
A much stronger power may be able We can annihilate the
to completely
We can erode, attrit, or eliminate a weaker
one without even breaking aenemy’s
sweat, military capacity to
overwhelm the enemy downpolitically or militarily.resist in aOr1-week
maybeBlitzkrieg
not.
to nothing, thus attaining[e.g., Panama] or a 4-year bloodbath.
[U.S. in Vietnam;
annihilation. Israel in Lebanon]
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
EROSION INCAPACITATION
AND…
These are objectives, not TIME-LINE
METHOD We may annihilate
methods the
or time-lines.
enemy’s military capacity We can annihilate the
We can erode, attrit, or not erode his enemy’s
but still will to military capacity to
overwhelm the enemy down resist. resist in a 1-week Blitzkrieg
to nothing, thus attaining or a 4-year bloodbath.
annihilation.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
EROSION INCAPACITATION
These are objectives, not TIME-LINE
OR…
METHOD We may annihilate
methods or the
time-lines.
The enemy’s will may
enemy’s military capacity We can annihilate the
We can erode, attrit, or
collapse long before his military capacity to
enemy’s
and still not erode his will to
overwhelm the enemy down military capacity is in a 1-week Blitzkrieg
resist
resist.
to nothing, thus attaining
destroyed or even seriously
or a 4-year bloodbath.
annihilation. damaged.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
This is called
EROSION INCAPACITATION
These are objectives, not TIME-LINE
METHOD We may annihilate
methods or the
time-lines.
The enemy’s will may
enemy’s military capacity We can annihilate the
We can erode, attrit, or
collapse long before his military capacity to
enemy’s
and still not erode his will to
overwhelm the enemy down military capacity is in a 1-week Blitzkrieg
resist
resist.
to nothing, thus attaining
destroyed or even seriously
or a 4-year bloodbath.
annihilation. damaged.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
This is called
EROSION INCAPACITATION
These are objectives, not TIME-LINE
METHOD We may annihilate
methods or the
time-lines.
The enemy’s will may
THE enemy’s military We can annihilate the
capacity
We canBANE
erode,OF STRATEGIC-THEORIST
attrit, or
collapse long before WANNABES
his military
enemy’s capacity to
and still not erode his will to
overwhelm the enemy down military capacity is in a 1-week Blitzkrieg
resist
resist.
to nothing, thus attaining
destroyed or even seriously
or a 4-year bloodbath.
annihilation. damaged.
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
LIMITED or HIGH-END
HIGH-END MILITARY
MILITARY OBJECTIVE
OBJECTIVES (DISARM)
This is called
“KNOW YOURANNIHILATION
EROSION ENEMY,
KNOW YOURSELF, AND
These are objectives, not TIME-LINE
KNOW
THE
METHOD CONTEXT,
We and
may annihilate
methods or theYOU WILL
time-lines.
The enemy’s will may
enemy’s military capacity We can annihilate the
SURVIVE
We can erode, attrit, or A
collapse THOUSAND
long before his military capacity to
enemy’s
and still not erode his will to
overwhelm the enemy down military capacity is *in a 1-week Blitzkrieg
BOGGSATS.”
to nothing, thus attaining
resist.
destroyed
resist
or even seriously
or a 4-year bloodbath.
annihilation. damaged.
* NWC lexicon: “Bunch of Guys and Gals Sittin’ Around Talkin’.”
C.BASSFORD – CLAUSEWITZ.COM
So now, in the finest traditions of Clausewitzian theory, let’s forget this stuff for a
while and go have a drink. (This is Seminar ‘O’ of the Prussian War College, 1815.)