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Danish Football federation

UEFA PRO LICENSE

 
Breakthrough  Balance    
 
A  quantitative  analysis  on  how  to  optimize  scoring  opportunities  and  at  
the  same  time  minimize  the  risks  of  a  counter  attack  
 

 
 
Denise  Reddy  
Copenhagen,  2015  
  2  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

DENISE  REDDY  -­‐  UEFA  PRO  LICENSE  AT  THE  DANISH  FOOTBALL  FEDERATION  
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Table  of  Contents  


 
Summary                     p.    4  
Introduction                   p.    6  
Problem  definition                 p.    9  
Limitations                   p.  10  
Definitions  of  key  words               p.  12    
Theory  and  methods                 p.  13  
 -­  Theory/Method/Results  I             p.  13  
 -­  Theory/Method/Results  II             p.  16  
Analysis                     p.  18  
 Breakthrough  Balance               p.  23  
  -­  Organization  (1)               p.  24  
  -­  Decision-­making  (2)             p.  26  
  -­  Re-­Press  (3)                   p.  29  
Perspective                   p.  33  
Theory  implemented  in  training  session         p.  35  
Conclusion                   p.  38  
References                     p.  39  
 
 
 
 
 
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Summary  
 
This  paper  comes  from  the  idea  that  the  higher  up  on  the  pitch  a  team  
sets  press,  the  higher  up  they  will  win  the  ball  and  hence  create  more  
goal  scoring  opportunities.  Through  a  quantitative  analysis  of  goals  
scored  at  top  international  level,  I  wanted  to  look  at  the  correlation  
between  where  the  teams  started  their  defensive  press  and  from  that  
press  how  goals  were  scored.  I  divided  the  length  of  the  pitch  into  Areas  1  
to  4,  whereas  Area  1  is  closest  to  the  opponent’s  goal,  and  4  is  closest  to  
the  defending  team’s  own  goal.  My  impression  was  that  the  defending  
team  would  score  more  goals  off  of  a  ball  win  when  the  press  is  sat  high  
and  won  in  Area  1  or  2.  This  was  not  the  case,  as  my  data  shows  that  the  
majority  of  goals  scored,  were  after  ball  winnings  low  on  the  defending  
team’s  own  half  in  Area  4.    
 
If  the  breakdown  of  my  evaluation  and  these  results  are  transferrable  to  
soccer  in  general,  there  are  some  strong  trends  in  top  international  
football  to  argue  that  defending  higher  up  the  pitch  leads  to  more  goals.    
Of  136  goals  analyzed,  only  a  few  came  as  a  result  of  high  pressure  
resulting  in  ball  winning  in  Area  1  or  2.  61  of  the  goals  came  from  
winning  the  ball  all  the  way  back  in  the  defending  teams  own  end,  Area  4.  
These  results  led  me  to  think  that  it  was  due  to  the  team’s  high-­‐organized  
pressure  that  teams  won  ball  possession  through  for  example  forced  long  
balls  and  clearances.  After  a  new  analysis  of  the  61  goals  that  were  scored  
from  winning  the  ball  in  Area  4,  this  theory  was  also  proven  wrong.  This    

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forced  me  to  do  a  new  diagnosis  on  why  the  teams  in  possession  in  the  
opponent’s  Area  4  were  most  vulnerable  to  being  scored  upon  after  
losing  possession.    
 
By  analyzing  the  61  goals  scored  after  ball  wins  in  the  team’s  own  lower  
half,  I  was  able  to  see  the  trends  and  habits,  leading  up  to  losing  
possession  and  getting  scored  upon.  My  data  clearly  shows  that  most  
attacking  teams  lost  possession  when  entering  the  “breakthrough  phase”  
of  their  attack,  the  final  phase  where  they  try  to  penetrate  the  opponents  
defense  line.  Through  dissecting  each  goal  and  what  the  team  in  
possession  did  prior  to  losing  possession,  the  trends  are  that  teams  are  
most  likely  to  be  scored  upon  when  entering  this  breakthrough  phase  on  
a  dribble,  especially  in  the  central  zone.  
 
According  to  the  data,  it  is  clear  that  when  the  attacking  team  is  entering  
this  breakthrough  phase,  they  are  at  their  most  vulnerable  to  getting  
scored  against  because  of  the  spaces  they  are  leaving  vacant.  This  
knowledge  needs  to  be  emphasized  at  a  greater  range  in  our  coaching  
philosophy  and  training  methods.  I  discovered  that  having  a  balance  in  
your  team  when  going  from  possession  to  the  breakthrough  phase  is  
vital.  
 
To  achieve  this  balance  when  attacking,  there  are  three  aspects  that  need  
to  be  taking  into  consideration:  organization,  decision-­‐making  and  re-­‐
press.  The  decisions  being  made  by  the  players  during  this  breakthrough  
phase  -­‐  both  when  it  comes  to  scoring  a  goal  and  regaining  possession    

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when  lost  -­‐  are  built  on  trained  awareness  and  reading  the  “climate”  of  
the  game.  The  moments,  in  which  possession  is  lost,  the  players  need  to  
know  how  to  re-­‐press  the  opposing  team  based  on  the  remaining  
organization.  When  the  decision  is  made,  and  the  re-­‐press  phase  has  
begun,  there  needs  to  be  a  base  of  balance  built  on  the  organization.  This  
organization  is  based  off  of  knowing  where  we  want  to  have  players  in  
order  to  create  a  goal  scoring  opportunity  and  not  give  up  areas  
susceptible  to  transition.    
 

Introduction  
 
Football  tactics  have  become  extremely  complex  and  with  the  rise  of  
technology  and  innovations  our  eyes  become  more  open  to  all  facets  of  
the  game.  The  more  we  study  and  break  down  the  different  stages  in  a  
game,  the  more  complex  and  advanced  it  becomes.  Data  and  analysis  give  
us  probabilities  and  trends  in  most  areas  of  the  pitch.  To  work  as  a  
manager  in  today’s  age  you  need  to  be  able  to  decode  all  the  information  
and  come  up  with  your  own  solutions  and  strategies  that  fit  your  specific  
team.  Football  has  become  about  numbers,  percentages  and  patterns,  and  
how  they  all  lead  to  predictability.  Through  this  analysis  I  wanted  to  see  if  
I  could  find  some  patterns  when  it  came  to  goal  scoring  at  the  absolute  
highest  level,  and  if  there  were  surprising  or  interesting  results  I  could  
use  on  a  broader  aspect  in  my  own  coaching  philosophy.  
 

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I  decided  to  use  the  2014  World  Cup  in  Brazil  as  my  database.  If  we  are  
going  to  study  any  particular  part  of  football,  it’s  important  to  do  it  at  the  
most  elite  level.  When  the  technical  capabilities  of  the  individual  players  
are  so  sufficient,  we  are  then  able  to  look  further  into  the  organizational  
deficits.  I  will  analyze  all  of  the  136  goals  scored  in  the  group  play  of  the  
2014  World  Cup.  In  the  modern  day  32-­‐team  group  play,  136  are  the  
most  goals  ever  scored.  It  is  only  9  goals  shy  of  the  total  amount  of  goals  
scored  in  the  2010  World  Cup  in  South  Africa.  My  first  part  of  the  analysis  
will  look  and  define  where  on  the  pitch  the  teams  that  scored  a  goal  first  
won  possession  of  the  ball.  Before  my  analysis  I  was  convinced  there  
would  be  a  high  number  of  balls  won  on  the  opponents  half  of  the  pitch  
after  high-­‐organized  pressure.  I  was  sure  I  would  be  using  the  data  to  
prove  that  most  goals  were  scored  due  to  efficient  organization  in  
defensive  pressure.  When  this  was  proven  wrong,  I  went  on  to  analyzing  
how  possession  was  won,  and  the  vulnerability  of  the  teams  entering  the  
breakthrough  phase.  This  led  me  to  the  study  of  what  I  call  Breakthrough  

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Balance  -­‐  in  lack  of  any  other  terms  regarding  this  condition-­‐,  and  how  
teams  would  be  able  to  attack  100%  but  still  keep  some  sort  of  defensive  
balance.  
 
From  the  beginning  throughout  the  analysis  I  will  change  my  course  of  
attack.  I  will  shift  my  focus  from  the  defending  aspect  of  the  game  to  the  
teams  in  possession.  I  will  with  the  data  identify  areas  of  concern  as  
teams  go  from  possession  to  the  breakthrough  phase.  It  will  be  evident  
that  teams  going  into  the  breakthrough  phase  of  their  attack  were  most  
vulnerable  to  being  scored  on,  and  based  off  of  this  fact  I  will  discuss  
tactical  solutions  and  important  aspects  regarding  this  subject.  I  will  
research  what  the  tendencies  were  for  the  team  possessing  in  the  
breakthrough  phase  prior  to  losing  the  ball  and  conceding  a  goal.  I  am  
looking  to  see  if  there  could  be  a  formula  to  reduce  the  number  of  goals  
scored  off  of  loss  of  possession  high  up  on  the  pitch.  And  the  data  
collected  will  bring  me  specifically  to  researching  the  breakthrough  
phase  of  the  team’s  attack,  where  they  are  most  vulnerable  to  being  
scored  upon  when  possession  is  lost.  The  balance  in  the  breakthrough  
phase  of  the  attack  will  consist  of  the  organization  and  decision-­‐making  
both  in  the  attack  and  when  possession  is  lost.  

 
 
 
 
 
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Problem  definitions  
 
I.  
Goals  scored  in  the  2014  World  Cup  group  play  were  due  to  the  team’s  
defensive  organization  prior  to  them  winning  possession.    
A) Did  most  goals  come  as  a  result  of  high-­‐organized  pressure  and  
gaining  possession  in  Area  1  or  2.  
B) Were  the  goals  scored  off  of  ball  winning  situations  in  Area  4  a  
result  of  the  team’s  high-­‐organized  pressure  forced  long  balls  and  
clearances  into  Area  4.  
 
 
II.  
Analyzing  the  trends  both  regarding  the  attacking  team  and  the  team  
winning  possession  prior  to  a  goal.  
C) How  can  the  attacking  team  enter  the  breakthrough  phase  of  their  
attack  and  at  the  same  time  have  a  defensive  balance  to  minimize  
the  chances  of  conceding  a  goal  if  they  lose  possession.    
D) By  analyzing  the  trends  of  the  defending  team  winning  possession,  
can  we  find  better  ways  to  prevent  a  counter-­‐attack  against  during  
the  breakthrough  phase.  
 

 
 
 

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Limitations  
 
In  this  assignment,  I  am  analyzing  the  balance  of  the  attacking  team  when  
they  enter  the  breakthrough  phase  and  directly  after  they  lose  
possession.  This  means  they  will  be  able  to  create  scoring  opportunities  
without  offering  vulnerable  defensive  areas.  I  have  therefore  analyzed  
the  attack  up  until  ball  possession  is  lost  before  conceding  a  goal.  To  
understand  the  data  I  needed  to  look  at  the  defending  team  winning  
possession,  and  their  defensive  breakouts    –  where  were  the  spaces  they  
took  advantage  of,  and  how  could  they  have  been  closed.  I  have  not  taken  
into  consideration  the  loss  of  possession  leading  to  goal  scoring  
opportunities,  only  the  ones  leading  up  to  an  actual  goal.  There  were  
many  situations  where  the  possessing  teams  regain  the  ball  quickly  after  
losing  it  through  well-­‐organized  defending  and  good  balance.  This  data  
was  not  collected,  but  it  could  be  interesting  to  look  at  and  study  the  
successful  situations  in  the  moments  after  losing  possession.    
 
I  did  not  focus  on  how  the  team  winning  possession  went  to  goal  other  
than  if  they  did  so  through  transition  or  possession.  This  means  there  is  
data  on  how  the  ball  winning  team  went  to  goal,  to  see  their  use  of  areas,  
but  not  if  they  went  to  goal  through  long  passes,  short  passes,  clearances  
etc.  The  amount  of  time  it  took  for  teams  to  actually  score  after  winning  
possession  was  also  not  taken  into  consideration.    
 
 

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To  get  a  better  perspective  on  the  first  part  of  my  analysis  –  where  the  
possession  is  won  –  I  split  the  pitch  into  zones  and  areas  and  specifically  
examined  how  the  teams  in  possession  lost  possession  of  the  ball  and  in  
what  zones  of  the  pitch.  In  my  analysis  I  have  all  the  data  collected  from  
all  the  zones  as  well  as  the  areas  4A,  4B  and  4C  that  are  representing  the  
last  zone’s  middle  and  outside  areas.  4A  would  be  to  the  left,  4B  central  
and  4C  to  the  right.  Because  of  the  amount  of  data,  the  final  analysis  in  
itself  will  only  be  concentrating  on  balls  lost  in  all  of  Area  4.    
 
The  loss  of  possession  in  Area  4  can  also  be  looked  at  from  a  defensive  
perspective.  To  get  a  fully,  clear  perspective  of  the  attacking  teams’  
tendencies,  the  defending  teams’  tendencies  would  need  to  be  taken  into  
a  greater  consideration.  Were  there  any  specific  ways  teams  shut  down  
crucial  areas,  and  therefore  forcing  the  attacking  team  into  central,  well-­‐
defended  areas?  Did  the  defending  team  tactically  force  teams  to  dribble  
instead  of  pass  while  entering  the  breakthrough  phase?  These  questions  
will  not  be  part  of  my  analysis,  due  to  the  amount  of  data  that  would  
require.    
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
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Definition  of  key  words  


 
Transition  
When  the  defending  team  wins  the  ball  and  directly  attacks  the  opponent’s  
unorganized  defense.  
 
Possession  
Having  control  of  the  ball  or  maintaining  the  ball  in  the  team.    
 
Defensive  Breakout  
When  the  defending  team  wins  the  ball  deep  in  their  own  end  and  finds  
vacant  areas  to  advance  the  ball  up  field  quickly  and  away  from  pressure.  
 
Breakout  Areas  
The  areas  on  the  pitch  the  attacking  team  leave  vacant  when  they  lose  the  
ball  when  going  for  a  breakthrough.  
 
Breakthrough  Phase    
When  the  attacking  team  in  possession  tries  to  penetrate  in  order  to  create  
a  goal  scoring  opportunity.  
 
Breakthrough  Balance    
The  balance  between  when  we  go  into  the  breakthrough  phase  and  how  we  
prevent  the  opponents  from  having  defensive  breakouts  when  we  lose  the  
ball  during  that  phase.  
 
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Restforsvar  
The  way  in  which  you  position  the  team  in  attack  when  going  from  phase  2  
into  phase  3(breakthrough  phase),  in  order  to  prevent  counter-­attack.  
 
Re-­press  
The  players  involved  in  the  attack  are  positioned  so  that  when  losing  the  
ball  a  transition  is  stopped  as  quickly  as  possible.  
 
Transition-­Possession  
Teams  winning  possession  in  Area  4  after  defending,  quickly  transition  the  
ball  out  of  their  defensive  end  to  establish  possession  higher  up  the  pitch  
with  players  in  attacking  positions.    
 
 

Theory  and  Methods  


 
Theory  I  
Goals  scored  in  the  2014  World  Cup  group  play  were  due  to  the  Teams’  
defensive  organization  prior  to  them  winning  possession  of  the  ball  and  
scoring  a  goal.  Teams  with  an  organized  and  aggressive  defense  would  
win  balls  in  the  central  zones  of  the  pitch  before  scoring  a  goal.  If  teams  
won  possession  in  their  own  end,  it  was  due  to  the  team’s  high-­‐organized  
pressure  that  forced  passes  and  clearances  higher  up  the  pitch.  
 
 
 

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Method  I  
I  reviewed  all  136  goals  of  the  World  Cup  group  stage  and  diagrammed  
where  possession  was  won  prior  to  scoring  the  goal.  The  goal  could  come  
from  transition,  possession,  free  kicks,  corners  or  penalties.  As  long  as  the  
team  did  not  lose  possession  before  they  actually  scored.  In  this  context,  
possession  would  mean  when  the  team  wins  and  regains  control  of  the  
ball.  Control  can  mean  having  the  ball  on  the  dribble  or  connecting  a  pass.  
Example:  A  cross  comes  into  the  box  and  is  headed  by  the  defending  team  
in  area  4B  and  then  recovered  in  4A  by  the  same  team;  possession  won  is  
documented  in  4A.    
 

 
 
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Like  mentioned,  I  split  the  pitch  into  12  areas,  4  Areas  dividing  the  length  
of  the  pitch  and  3  Zones  dividing  the  width.  The  areas  are  numbered  1-­‐4,  
1  starting  closest  to  the  opponents  goal  and  4  closest  to  the  defending  
team’s  goal.  The  width  is  divided  into  3  zones,  A-­‐C.    Zone  A  is  the  left;  B  is  
central  and  Zone  C  is  to  the  right.  The  areas  then  become  A1  through  A4,  
which  indicated  the  ball  was  won  on  the  left  side  of  the  pitch  and  either  
closest  to  opponents  goal  or  closest  to  the  goal  of  the  defending  team.  The  
same  would  apply  for  the  middle,  B1-­‐B4  and  the  right  side  of  the  pitch  
being  C1-­‐C4.  
 
Results  I  
Most  goals  were  scored  in  the  group  stage  of  the  2014  World  Cup  when  
the  defending  team  in  the  area  closest  to  their  own  goal,  Area  4,  first  won  
possession.  The  numbers  show  that  61  goals  out  of  the  136  goals  -­‐  45%  -­‐  
were  originated  from  gaining  possession  in  Area  4.  Possession  won  in  
Area  3  before  scoring  was  the  second  highest  with  43  out  of  136  goals  -­‐  
32%.  The  majority  of  the  balls  won  in  Area  4  are  from  the  team  being  in  
low  pressure  and  winning  the  ball  when  the  attacking  team  goes  from  
possession  into  the  breakthrough  phase  of  their  attack.  There  were  only  
7  out  of  61  times  that  possession  was  gained  in  Area  4  due  to  a  Clearance.    

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Theory  II  
Attacking  teams  entering  the  breakthrough  phase  are  giving  up  spaces  
that  make  them  vulnerable  to  getting  scored  upon.  There  needs  to  be  a  
way  of  organizing  the  teams  into  having  a  better  balance  during  their  
own  attacks,  minimizing  the  risks  of  goal  against  when  they  lose  
possession.    
 
Method  II  
I  will  look  at  the  61  ball  possessions  won  in  Area  4  that  led  to  a  goal,  and  
see  if  there  were  any  trends  both  regarding  the  attacking  team  and  the  
first  actions  of  the  team  winning  possession.  I  will  analyze  how  
possession  in  Area  4  was  lost,  if  it  was  through  for  example  a  pass,  a    
 
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cross,  on  a  dribble,  etc.  This  is  done  to  specifically  look  for  trends  when  it  
comes  to  decision-­‐making  and  the  organization  in  attack,  specifically  
during  the  breakthrough  phase.  As  part  of  the  organizational  analysis,  I  
will  look  to  the  team’s  positioning  as  they  enter  the  breakthrough  phase  
in  regards  to  re-­‐press.  I  want  to  see  how  the  players  were  positioned  to  
support  both  the  attack  and  the  defense  upon  losing  possession.  
 
Results  II  
Teams  that  won  the  ball  in  their  own  end  after  defending  another  team’s  
possession  scored  the  most  goals  in  the  Group  stages  of  the  2014  World  
Cup.  It  is  clear  that  teams  entering  the  breakthrough  phase  of  their  attack  
are  vulnerable  to  having  a  turnover  result  in  a  goal.  Going  into  the  
breakthrough  phase  on  the  dribble  was  the  leading  cause  of  loss  of  
possession  resulting  in  a  goal.  There  were  a  total  of  19  lost  possession  on  
the  dribble  in  Area  4.    
 

20  
18  
How  possession  was  lost  in  Area  4  
16  
14  
12  
10   A  
8   B  
6   C  
4   Total  
2  
0  
Dribbling  

(dead  ball)  
Cross  

Corner  

Other  
Passing  

Clearance  

Shot  saved  

Free  kick  
Goal  Kick    

 
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Analysis  
 
As  I  researched  the  goals  I  noticed  there  was  a  common  dominator:  
teams  entering  the  breakthrough  phase  in  the  opponents  end  were  not  in  
balance  when  they  lost  possession.  The  more  I  researched  the  goals  the  
more  I  was  convinced  it  was  not  only  positioning  or  their  re-­‐press  that  
needed  attention,  but  a  balance  between  decisions  and  organization  with  
the  ball  that  would  allow  teams  to  be  in  better  balance  when  they  lost  the  
ball.  The  positioning  of  the  attacking  players  in  the  final  third  during  a  
breakthrough  and  the  decision-­‐making  of  the  players  in  this  phase,  both  
on  the  ball  and  off,  are  vital  to  prevent  the  opponent’s  offensive  
transition.  The  decision-­‐making  of  the  players  both  on  the  ball  and  off  
also  contributes  to  creating  the  balance.  In  analyzing  how  the  teams  lost  
the  ball  prior  to  being  scored  upon  you  can  see  that  there  were  a  total  of  
19  lost  possessions  while  dribbling  in  Area  4.  It  is  also  evident  that  most  
turnovers  occur  in  Area  B4,  the  central  Zone  of  the  pitch.  Out  of  all  
recovered  possessions  39  out  of  61  were  won  in  B4.  In  accordance  to  the  
data  teams  should  look  to  enter  the  breakthrough  phase  on  the  outside  
areas:  A4  and  C4  and  avoid  taking  it  on  the  dribble.  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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How  possession  was  lost  in  Area  4  


20  
Dribbling  
18  

16   Passing  

14  
Cross  
12  
Clearance  
10  

8   Goal  Kick    
(dead  ball)  
6   Shot  saved  
4  
Free  kick  
2  

0   Corner  
A   B   C   Total  
 
 
Basing  the  analysis  on  these  results  being  valid,  it  is  clear  that  teams  need  
to  implement  better  tactics  in  their  attack  in  order  to  create  a  better  
balance  when  entering  the  breakthrough  phase.  Teams  possessing  the  
ball  in  the  opponents  end  should  look  to  avoid  entering  the  breakthrough  
phase  on  the  dribble.  In  analyzing  how  the  teams  lost  the  ball  prior  to  
being  scored  upon,  you  can  see  that  it  is  evident  that  most  turnovers  not  
only  occur  on  dribbling,  but  also  that  they  occur  in  Area  B4,  the  central  
area  of  the  pitch.  Out  of  all  recovered  possessions,  39  out  of  61  were  won  
in  B4.    
 
The  goal  is  located  centrally  on  the  pitch,  and  naturally  there  will  be  a  
high  number  of  balls  lost  in  that  area.  This  does  not  mean  that  teams    

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need  to  enter  the  breakthrough  phase  centrally.  After  dissecting  the  data,  
teams  entering  the  breakthrough  phase  should  avoid  dribbling  and  look  
to  breakthrough  on  the  outside  areas,  A4  and  C4.    
 

 
This  picture  shows  Bosnia  going  from  possession  to  a  breakthrough  on  the  dribble  in  
Nigeria’s  Area  B4.  Nigeria  then  gains  possession  and  is  able  to  advance  the  ball  forward  
without  pressure.  Nigeria  eventually  is  able  to  find  and  exploit  the  break  out  area  in  
front  of  the  last  defenders.    
[Video  Nigeria-­‐Bosnia]  
 
Breakout  
Teams  losing  possession  during  the  breakthrough  phase  need  to  be  
aware  of  what  areas  they  are  leaving  vacant.  The  majority  of  the  goals  
were  not  scored  off  of  direct  transition,  but  rather  a  transition  phase,  
which  enabled  them  to  advance  quickly  into  the  opponents  end.  While  
documenting,  I  used  the  term  transition-­‐possession  to  label  this  situation,  

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the  team  being  able  to  break  out  of  numbers  in  their  defensive  end  and  
then  establish  possession  but  higher  up  the  pitch  with  players  in  
attacking  positions.    
 

         
[Chart  1,  left:  The  chart  shows  the  number  of  times  possession  was  won  in  an  Area  when  
the  result  was  direct  transition  resulting  in  a  goal.]  
[Chart  2,  right:  The  chart  shows  the  number  of  times  possession  was  won  in  an  Area  
when  the  result  was  possession  resulting  in  a  goal.]  
 
What  I  found  to  be  interesting  is  that  most  goals  scored  started  with  what  
I  would  call  a  defensive  breakout.  The  majority  of  the  time  when  
possession  was  won  in  Area  4,  there  was  a  clear  breakout  by  the  
defending  team.  Meaning  the  teams  winning  possession  in  Area  4  after  

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defending  were  successful  in  finding  vacant  areas  where  they  could  
advance  the  ball  whether  on  the  dribble  or  the  pass.  These  defensive  
breakout  areas  are  between  the  attacking  players  in  the  re-­‐press  and  the  
remaining  players  in  restforsvar  that  were  not  involved  in  the  attack.  
Both  the  Teams  going  in  direct  transition  to  goal  and  those  who  scored  
after  attacking  a  more  organized  defense  found  these  breakout  areas.  
 

 
This  picture  shows  the  breakout  areas  Belgium  was  able  to  exploit  after  winning  
possession  in  Area  B4.  Algeria  loses  possession  dribbling  centrally  during  the  
breakthrough  phase.  Belgium  is  able  to  find  a  breakout  area  and  go  in  direct  transition  
to  scoring  a  goal.  
[Video  Belgium-­‐Algeria  WC2]    
 
 

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This  picture  depicts  Japan  winning  the  ball  in  Area  4  and  finding  the  breakout  areas  
where  they  can  advance  the  ball  quickly  up  field.  Columbia  loses  possession  by  
attempting  to  dribble  centrally  during  their  breakthrough.  Japan  starts  their  attack  in  
transition  attacking  the  open  space  with  numbers,  but  score  in  transition-­possession.    
[Video  Japan-­‐Columbia  WC1]    
 
 
Breakthrough  Balance  
 
Throughout  my  assignment,  I  felt  like  there  was  not  one  terminology  that  
could  express  or  cover  all  the  aspects  of  this  attacking  balance  I  am  trying  
to  establish,  so  I  have  decided  to  call  it  “Breakthrough  Balance”.  
Breakthrough  balance  will  mean  the  balance  between  where  and  when  
we  go  into  the  breakthrough  phase  and  how  we  prevent  the  opponents  
from  having  defensive  breakouts  when  we  lose  the  ball  during  that  phase.    
Through  thorough  analysis  of  the  presented  data,  I  have  found  three    
 
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elements  in  which  I  feel  are  most  crucial  in  order  to  keep  this  balance;  
 
3  Elements  of  Breakthrough  Balance  
 
1. Organization:  where  do  we  want  to  have  numbers  in  order  
to  create  a  goal  scoring  opportunity  and  not  give  up  goal  
scoring  opportunities  when  we  lose  possession.  
 
2. Decision-­making  what  are  the  decision  being  made  during  
the  break  through  phase  both  in  order  to  score  and  prevent  
the  opponents  from  scoring  opportunities.  
 
3. Re-­Press:  The  players  involved  in  the  attack  are  positioned  
so  that  when  losing  the  ball  a  transition  is  stopped  as  quickly  
as  possible  
 
 
Organization  (1)  
 
Most  teams  are  very  strategic  when  it  comes  to  organizing  players  in  
certain  areas  in  the  build  up  phase  and  while  having  and  keeping  
possession.  This  was  also  the  case  when  teams  possessed  the  ball  in  Area  
4.  When  we  decide  to  enter  the  breakthrough  phase,  the  ‘organization’  
around  the  ball  tends  to  break  down.  Often,  players  are  making  the  same  
runs  into  the  same  areas  as  well  as  players  on  the  same  line  as  they  enter  
the  breakthrough  phase.  The  attacking  organization  during  the  

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breakthrough  phase  is  vital;  teams  out  of  balance  become  more  
susceptible  to  being  scored  upon.    
 
The  attacking  organization  must  be  able  to  mirror  your  defensive  
organization.  It  is  common  for  coaches  to  state  that  they  want  to  see  
numbers  in  the  attack.  Numerical  balance  in  the  attack  means  having  
numbers  in  order  to  defend  or  maintain  the  opposing  team.  Positional  
balance  is  having  attacking  players  in  positions  they  can  maintain  or  
regain  possession.  The  team’s  attacking  organization  as  they  enter  the  
breakthrough  phase  needs  to  be  in  order  with  their  defensive  
organization  when  they  lose  the  ball.    
 
Organization  will  not  consist  of  numbers  but  players  in  orchestrated  
positions  creating  balance.  This  balance  will  enable  better  opportunities  
in  the  breakthrough  phase  and  at  the  same  time  have  players  in  positions  
to  regain  possession.  I  have  found  that  Pep  Guardiola  has  a  philosophy  
reminding  of  this  breakthrough  balance  I  am  seeking;  that  while  
attacking  there  needs  to  also  be  a  focus  on  the  defensive  organization.  In  
the  book  “Pep  Confidential”,  Pep  Guardiola’s  physical  trainer,  Lorenzo  
Buenaventura,  is  describing  this  philosophy  well:    
 
“All  of  this  is  the  result  of  the  analysis  Pep  carried  out  on  German  
Football:  who  played  counter-­‐attack  football,  how,  and  how  to  protect  
against  it.  It  meant  reaching  the  opposition  penalty  box  in  numbers  and  
all  at  the  same  time,  and  always  vigilant  not  to  suddenly  be  caught  on  the  
counter.  If  it’s  already  tough  to  coordinate  a  good,  efficient,  balanced    

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attack,  imagine  how  hard  it  is  to  add  the  fact  that  we  need  to  have  half  
our  minds  on  what  would  happen  if  the  attack  broke  down  and  how  to  be  
prepared  for  the  opposition  counter-­‐attack!”  (Perarnau2014)  
 
Prevent  defense  is  a  defensive  alignment  in  American  Football  that  seeks  
to  prevent  the  offense  from  completing  a  long  pass  or  scoring  a  
touchdown  in  a  single  play.  The  goal  of  this  strategy  is  to  prevent  the  
offense  from  gaining  any  significant  yardage  or  scoring  a  touchdown  in  a  
single  play,  hence  the  name  of  the  strategy.  This  tactical  strategy  is  very  
similar  to  the  defending  aspect  of  Restforsvar,  where  we  protect  the  space  
behind  the  remaining  defenders  more  so  than  in  front.  In  looking  at  the  
analysis  of  the  goals  scored  from  Area  4  there  needs  to  be  a  balance  in  the  
organization  to  also  deny  the  break  out  areas  in  front  of  the  remaining  
defender.  
 
Decision-­making  (2)  
 
We  need  to  closely  look  at  the  decision-­‐making  both  when  in  possession  
and  when  we  lose  the  ball  in  Area  A.  The  decisions  made  from  both  the  
ball  holder  and  fellow-­‐attacking  players  in  the  breakthrough  phase  and  
the  moments  following  a  loss  of  possession  will  become  the  essence  of  
finding  the  balance.  Attacking  awareness  to  create  scoring  opportunities  
while  being  able  to  prevent  transition  and  regain  possession  in  the  
attacking  third.  
 
 

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Decisions  to  contemplate  based  on  the  data  


 
In  possession  
• What  is  the  team’s  organization  when  entering  the  breakthrough  
phase?  
• How  should  teams  enter  the  breakthrough  phase?  
• Where  on  the  pitch  should  teams  look  to  enter  the  breakthrough  
phase?  
• How  do  teams  stretch  their  opponent  with  attacking  runs  and  at  
the  same  time  be  in  support  in  both  possession  and  when  the  ball  is  
lost?  
 
Loss  of  Possession  
• Do  we  have  an  organized  balance  between  our  attack  and  when  we  
lose  possession?  
• Are  we  aware  of  the  remaining  players  positions  when  we  lose  the  
ball  in  Area  4?    
• Are  we  able  to  re-­‐press  to  win  the  ball  back  directly?  
• Do  we  need  to  prevent  players  from  a  defensive  breakout  by  
protecting  the  space?  
 
A  team’s  principles  in  attack  should  also  be  conclusive  and  specific  to  the  
breakthrough  phase.  The  attacking  players  decision  both  in  the  attack  
and  when  possession  is  lost  needs  to  be  based  off  of  their  awareness  of  
the  situation.  What  are  the  signals  in  possession  to  say  we  are  now  going    
 

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for  a  breakthrough?  Where  are  the  areas  that  become  vacant  by  our  own  
players  and  are  we  able  to  recognize  and  cover  them  in  order  to  maintain  
or  regain  possession  and  at  the  same  time  protect  against  a  counter-­‐
attack.  The  attacking  team  in  no  way  can  control  what  the  defending  team  
will  do  but  they  can  be  in  control  of  their  decision  making  during  the  
breakthrough  phase.  
 
Looking  at  the  chart  on  page  19,  we  can  see  that  the  most  turnovers  in  
Area  4  came  from  trying  to  go  into  the  breakthrough  phase  on  the  
dribble.  It  is  also  evident  that  most  of  the  lost  possessions  were  gained  in  
Area  4B  which  is  the  most  central  zone.  Based  on  this  information,  teams  
should  look  to  avoid  dribbling  in  the  center  Areas  of  the  pitch  when  
entering  the  breakthrough  phase.    
 
 
 
 
 

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In  this  picture  Ecuador  are  in  the  last  minute  of  stoppage  time  with  an  opportunity  in  
Switzerland’s  Area  B4.  The  ball  holder  for  Ecuador  decides  to  take  on  the  back  on  the  
dribble  and  loses  possession.  Switzerland  is  able  to  win  possession  with  a  defensive  
breakout  and  score  in  the  final  seconds.    
[Video  Ecuador-­‐Switzerland  WC2]    

 
Re-­Press  (3)  
 
Restforsvar  
The  way  in  which  you  position  the  team  in  attack  when  going  from  the  
possession  phase  to  the  breakthrough  phase,  in  order  to  prevent  counter-­‐
attacks.  Restforsvar  is  divided  into  two  parts:  defending  and  re-­‐press.    
 
Defending  
The  players  that  are  not  part  of  the  attack  are  positioned  according  to  the  
players  the  opponents  are  leaving  higher  on  the  pitch.    
 
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Re-­‐press  
The  players  involved  in  the  attack  are  positioned  so  that  when  losing  the  
ball  a  transition  is  stopped  as  quickly  as  possible.    
 
When  it  comes  to  the  defending  aspect  of  “restforsvar”,  we  tend  to  have  a  
greater  emphasis  on  positional  organization  than  we  do  during  the  re-­‐
press.  The  data  is  telling  us  that  there  needs  to  be  a  better  organization  
when  we  discuss  the  re-­‐press  aspects  of  restforsvar.  The  positioning  of  
the  attacking  players  in  the  final  third  during  the  breakthrough  phase  and  
the  decision  making  of  the  players  in  this  phase,  both  on  the  ball  and  off,  
are  vital  to  preventing  the  opponents  defensive  breakouts  and  transition.  
When  we  speak  about  re-­‐press,  the  organizational  aspect  of  the  players  is  
not  emphasized  as  much  as  the  pressure  on  the  ball.  The  term  re-­‐press  
seems  to  carry  with  it  an  aggressive  tone  with  the  number  one  priority  to  
win  the  ball  back.    
 
Protect,  Predict,  Press…  These  are  the  words  of  the  defensive  guru  Dick  
Bates.  He  has  these  three  words  to  explain  and  remember  the  importance  
and  relevance  to  basic  defending.  The  most  important  part  of  defending  a  
lost  ball,  is  to  protect  the  vacant  areas.  The  second  most  important  aspect  
is  to  make  the  play  predictable  to  the  remaining  defenders.  The  third  
most  important  part  of  the  defending  then  becomes  pressure  on  the  ball.    
 
There  are  clear  areas  the  attacking  team  has  left  vacant  in  their  attempt  
to  score  and  are  not  able  to  fill  quickly  enough  when  the  ball  is  lost  
during  the  breakthrough  phase.  The  majority  of  goals  are  scored  when    

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the  team  winning  possession  are  able  to  find  breakout  areas  that  they  can  
advance  the  ball,  either  on  the  pass  or  the  dribble,  forward  and  away  
from  players  that  were  just  in  the  attack.  Breakout  areas  are  vacant  space  
left  after  the  opponents  attack  in  front  of  the  remaining  defenders.    
 

 
This  picture  depicts  the  breakout  areas  left  vacant  by  Argentina  after  entering  the  
breakthrough  phase  on  the  dribble.  Nigeria  is  able  to  quickly  advance  the  ball  up  field  in  
front  of  the  remaining  defenders.  
[Video  Nigeria-­‐Argentina  ]  
 
The  data  is  telling  us  a  bigger  emphasis  should  be  put  on  the  attackers  
positions  in  order  to  take  away  the  opponents  breakout  areas  after  losing  
the  ball  in  Area  4  on  the  breakthrough.  
 
 
 
 
 

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The  3  elements  of  Breakthrough  Balance  represented  in  pictures:  


 

 
Organization  (1)  
 

 
Decision-­making  (2)  
 
 
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Re-­press  (3)  
 
These  pictures  depict  Japan  having  possession  and  balance  prior  to  going  into  the  
breakthrough  phase.  You  can  see  in  picture  2  when  Japan  decide  to  take  an  extra  touch  
past  the  Columbian  defender,  there  are  7  players  even  or  ahead  of  the  ball.  In  this  last  
picture  you  can  clearly  see  that  Japan  has  lost  their  positional  balance  after  losing  
possession,  which  gives  Columbia  an  opportunity  to  transition  out  of  pressure.  
[Video  Japan-­‐Columbia  WC2]  
 

Perspective  
 
After  accumulating  and  analyzing  the  data  I  believe  that  having  balance  in  
your  attack,  especially  in  the  breakthrough  phase,  is  vital  to  minimize  the  
opponents  goal  scoring  opportunities.  The  research  has  opened  my  eyes  
to  an  important  aspect  of  the  game  that  before  had  not  received  enough  
attention.  I  will  put  a  bigger  emphasis  on  breakthrough  balance  in  my    

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coaching  philosophy  and  training  practices.  The  fact  that  so  many  goals  
are  scored  after  a  breakthrough  proves  that  breakthrough  balance  needs  
to  be  implemented  and  practiced  to  become  part  of  the  player’s  routines.      
 
During  the  process  of  writing  this  paper  I  have  also  come  to  see  the  
importance  of  balance  when  it  comes  to  changing  from  attack  to  defense  
or  vice  versa.  Attacking  balance  is  a  little  harder  to  orchestrate  than  just  
defensive  organization,  especially  when  teams  enter  the  breakthrough  
phase.  Teams  entering  the  breakthrough  phase  seem  to  have  a  more  “all  
in-­‐approach”  and  sacrifice  their  balance  for  an  opportunity  to  score.  By  
organizing  the  attacking  balance  we  create  better  opportunities  to  keep  
or  regain  possession  and  to  be  in  positions  to  take  away  the  breakout  
areas.  This  also  means  for  the  players  less  energy  spent  on  running  back  
to  a  defensive  position  60  meters  the  other  way.  
 
Order  in  the  Play  
One  of  Pep  Guardiola’s  tactical  terms  defined  as:  
“The  passing  sequences  need  to  balance  the  team’s  positioning.  If  properly  
effected,  from  beginning  to  end  it  means  their  attack  will  be  ordered  and  if  
the  ball  is  lost  it  can  be  won  back  quickly,  with  little  wasted  effort”  
(Perarnau2014)  
 
 
 
 
 
 
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After  analyzing  the  data  it  is  certain  that  I  would  spend  time  
implementing  breakthrough  balance  into  my  playing  and  coaching  
philosophy.  It  will  then  become  vital  that  these  concepts  and  ideas  are  
trained  and  become  part  of  the  player’s  routines.  I  have  illustrated  below  
a  specific  session  on  how  to  train  the  breakthrough  balance.  
 

Theory  implemented  in  training  session  


 
Attacking  positioning  in  reference  to  our  principals  of  attack  along  with  
creating  a  balance  in  order  to  re-­‐press  on  ball  loss.  In  what  areas  of  the  
pitch  are  we  planning  on  having  players  to  create  an  attacking  balance  
that  will  in  turn  give  us  the  same  balance  if  we  turn  over  the  ball.      
 
Training:  Breakthrough  balance  in  Area  4.    
6v7  with  attacking  players  in  a  3  (1:2)  -­‐3  and  they  will  start  with  
possession  in  the  opponent’s  final  third.  The  defending  team  will  play  in  a  
4-­‐3  and  will  start  by  defending  in  a  low  press  in  front  of  the  goal  they  are  
defending.  If  the  defenders  win  the  ball  they  will  have  to  play  out  into  the  
small  goals  placed  in  Area  3  Zone  A  and  C.  These  goals  represent  the  
dangerous  breakout  areas  that  the  attacking  team  will  try  to  deny.    
 

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The  emphasis  will  be  on  attacking  balance:  positioning  players  and  
discussing  their  decision-­‐making  in  possession  and  entering  the  
breakthrough  phase.  Players  will  be  instructed  to  keep  possession  and  
pick  and  choose  when  the  best  opportunities  arise  to  go  into  the  
breakthrough  phase.  They  will  avoid  entering  the  break  through  phase  on  
the  dribble  or  in  the  most  central  areas  of  the  pitch.    We  will  look  to  
attack  through  passing  with  numbers,  final  balls,  crosses  low  behind  the  
back  line  or  cut  backs.  The  players  will  be  accountable  to  be  aware  of  
their  movement  and  decisions  in  relation  to  the  other  players  in  attack.      
 
If  possession  is  lost,  players  will  be  challenged  to  be  aware  of  the  break  
out  areas  and  decide  when  the  re-­‐press  is  to  win  the  ball  back  or  when  it  
is  to  prevent  passes  into  this  area.  What  specific  player  will  be  
responsible  for  setting  pressure  on  the  ball,  and  what  players  will  be  
responsible  for  closing  the  breakout  areas.  We  will  not  take  chances  in  

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trying  to  win  the  ball  back  if  in  return  we  give  the  opponents  breakout  
space.  
 
When  there  is  a  loss  of  possession  the  emphasis  will  be:  
 
1. The  balance  of  the  team  when  possession  is  lost  
2. Closing  the  defensive  breakout  areas  as  quickly  as  possible  
3. Winning  the  ball  back  

 
 
The  players  defending  in  Area  A  will  try  to  quickly  advance  the  ball  to  
find  the  small  goals  representing  the  breakout  areas.  The  balance  of  the  
attacking  team  when  possession  is  lost  will  be  the  main  focus.  The  Team  
that  lost  possession  will  then  have  to  make  decisions  based  off  of  the  
organization  they  are  in  when  they  lose  the  ball.    
 

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Conclusion  
 
The  data  collected  in  this  research  analysis  is  telling  us  that  the  
transitional  phase  from  defending  in  Area  4  to  winning  possession  in  
Area  4  was  responsible  for  45%  of  the  goals  scored  in  the  group  stage  of  
the  2014  World  Cup.  Possession  being  lost  while  entering  the  
breakthrough  phase  in  Area  4  accounted  for  the  majority  of  these  goals.      
When  examining  the  attacking  team  in  the  breakthrough  phase  there  are  
specific  variables  that  lead  to  loss  of  possession.  These  same  variables  
leave  the  Team  vulnerable  to  a  counter-­‐attack.  Through  this  analysis  it  is  
clear  that  teams  that  were  scored  on  following  the  breakthrough  phase  
were  not  in  positional  balance.  Statistically,  teams  entering  the  
breakthrough  phase  on  the  dribble  were  most  susceptible  to  being  scored  
upon  when  losing  possession.  Most  loss  of  possession  occurs  in  B4,  the  
middle  area  of  the  pitch.  When  entering  the  breakthrough  phase  on  the  
dribble  in  the  central  areas,  it  makes  it  more  difficult  to  have  a  well-­‐
organized  re-­‐press  when  possession  is  lost.    
 
Breakthrough  balance  enables  players  to  create  goal  scoring  
opportunities  and  be  able  to  re-­‐gain  possession  or  prevent  a  counter-­‐
attack  when  possession  is  lost.  It  is  keeping  defensive  balance  when  
teams  are  in  the  attack,  specifically  during  the  breakthrough  phase.  The  
balance  consists  of  Organization  (1),  decision-­‐making  (2)  and  re-­‐press  
(3)  and  how  they  all  need  to  be  considered  going  into  the  breakthrough  
phase  
 

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  39  

References  
 
Pernarau,  M.  2014,  Pep  Confidential  –  inside  Pep  Guardiola’s  first  season  
at  Bayern  Munich.    
Publisher:  Backpage  Press,  Great  Britain    
 
Merriam  Webster  2014,  [online]  Dictionary,  breakthrough,  URL:  
http://www.merriam-­‐webster.com/dictionary/breakthrough  
(04.03.2015)  
 
Collins  Dictionary  2014,  [online],  balance,  URL:  
http://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/balance  
(05.03.2015)  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

DENISE  REDDY  -­‐  UEFA  PRO  LICENSE  AT  THE  DANISH  FOOTBALL  FEDERATION  
 2015  
  40  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Breakthrough  
 
“An  offensive  thrust  that  penetrates  a  defensive  line  in  warfare.  
Advancement.”  (Merriam  Webster2015)  
 
 
Balance  
 
“To  compose  or  arrange  as  to  create  a  state  of  harmony.”  (Collins2015)  
 
 
“All  men  can  see  these  tactics  whereby  I  conquer,  but  what  none  can  see  is  
the  strategy  out  of  which  victory  is  evolved.”  Sun  Tzu  
 
 
 
 
 

DENISE  REDDY  -­‐  UEFA  PRO  LICENSE  AT  THE  DANISH  FOOTBALL  FEDERATION  
 2015  

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