Strong Confidence - 1

BKFOREX EVENT RISK TRADING CALENDAR 10/29/2018- 11/02/2018 Medium Confidence - 2

` No Strong View - 0

TIER 1 DATA: VERY MARKET MOVING, TRADEABLE

Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous Bull/Bear? Potential ST Trade Rationale
Tuesday
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 AM US Personal Income Sep 0.40% 0.30%
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 AM US Personal Spending Sep 0.40% 0.30%
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 AM US Real Personal Spending Sep -- 0.20%
Weaker retail sales, steady
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 AM US 2 PCE Deflator MoM Sep 0.10% 0.10% Bearish USD Short USD/JPY
earnings growth
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 AM US PCE Deflator YoY Sep -- 2.20%
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 AM US PCE Core MoM Sep 0.10% 0.00%
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 AM US PCE Core YoY Sep 2.00% 2.00%
Tuesday
Tuesday 10/30/18 4:55 AM GE Unemployment Change (000's) Oct -13k -23k Strong but slightly weaker
Tuesday 10/30/18 4:55 AM GE
2 Unemployment Claims Rate SA Oct 5.10% 5.10%
Bearish EUR Short EUR/USD
labor market activity
Tuesday 10/30/18 6:00 AM EC Economic Confidence Oct 110.2 110.9
Tuesday 10/30/18 6:00 AM EC Business Climate Indicator Oct 1.18 1.21
Most important release is
Tuesday 10/30/18 6:00 AM EC Industrial Confidence Oct 4 4.7
Q3 GDP and based on EZ
Tuesday 10/30/18 6:00 AM EC 1 Services Confidence Oct 14 14.6 Bearish EUR Short EUR/USD
retail sales & trade, data
Tuesday 10/30/18 6:00 AM EC GDP SA QoQ 3Q A 0.30% 0.40%
should be weaker
Tuesday 10/30/18 6:00 AM EC GDP SA YoY 3Q A 1.80% 2.10%
Tuesday 10/30/18 6:00 AM EC Consumer Confidence Oct F -2.7 -2.7
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM GE CPI MoM Oct P 0.10% 0.40%
Weaker EUR and sharp rise
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM GE CPI YoY Oct P 2.30% 2.30%
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM GE
2 CPI EU Harmonized MoM Oct P 0.00% 0.40%
Bullish EUR Long EUR/USD in PPI should keep price
pressures elevated
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM GE CPI EU Harmonized YoY Oct P 2.30% 2.20%
Tuesday 10/30/18 10:00 AM US Conf. Board Consumer Confidence Oct 136.8 138.4 Weakness in retail sales,
Tuesday 10/30/18 10:00 AM US 1 Conf. Board Present Situation Oct -- 173.1 Bearish USD Short USD/JPY stocks and Umich survey
Tuesday 10/30/18 10:00 AM US Conf. Board Expectations Oct -- 115.3 point to softer confidence
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:30 PM AU CPI QoQ 3Q -- 0.40%
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:30 PM AU CPI YoY 3Q -- 2.10% Consumer inflation
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:30 PM AU CPI Trimmed Mean QoQ 3Q -- 0.50% expectations, Melbourne
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:30 PM AU 2 CPI Trimmed Mean YoY 3Q -- 1.90%
Bullish AUD Long AUD/USD
Inflation gauge have been
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:30 PM AU CPI Weighted Median QoQ 3Q -- 0.50% on the rise
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:30 PM AU CPI Weighted Median YoY 3Q -- 1.90%
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 PM CH Non-manufacturing PMI Oct -- 54.9 Chinese data Is hard to
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 PM CH No Trade Manufacturing PMI Oct 50.9 50.8 No Trade No Trade predict but can be mrket
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 PM CH Composite PMI Oct -- 54.1 moving
Tuesday 10/30/18 12:00 AM JN BOJ Policy Balance Rate 31-Oct -- -0.10% No changes expected from
No Trade No Trade No Trade BoJ but rate decisions are
Tuesday 10/30/18 12:00 AM JN BOJ 10-Yr Yield Target 31-Oct -- 0.00% always worth watching
Wednesday
Wednesday 10/31/18 6:00 AM EC Unemployment Rate Sep 8.00% 8.10%
Will Will update after German
Wednesday 10/31/18 6:00 AM EC CPI Core YoY Oct A 1.10% 0.90% Will Update Will Update
Update data
Wednesday 10/31/18 6:00 AM EC CPI Estimate YoY Oct 2.10% 2.10%
ADP is difficult to predict
No Trade No Trade No Trade but can be very market
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:15 AM US ADP Employment Change Oct 190k 230k moving
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 AM CA GDP MoM Aug -- 0.20% Stronger trade balance,
No Trade No Trade No Trade
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 AM CA GDP YoY Aug -- 2.40% weaker retail sales
Stronger Empire, slightly
Wednesday 10/31/18 9:45 AM US
2 Chicago Purchasing Manager Oct 60.3 60.4
Bullish USD Long USD/JPY
weaker Philly
Wednesday 10/31/18 5:30 PM AU AiG Perf of Mfg Index Oct -- 59 Slower Chinese growth
2 Bearish AUD Short AUD/USD
should take toll on PMI
 Slower Chinese growth
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 PM AU
2 Trade Balance Sep -- A$1604m
Bearish AUD Short AUD/USD
should take toll on PMI
Thursday
Thursday 11/1/18 5:30 AM UK 1 Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA Oct 53.1 53.8 Bearish GBP Short GBP/USD Sharp drop in CBI index
Thursday 11/1/18 8:00 AM UK Bank of England Bank Rate 1-Nov 0.75% 0.75%
No changes expected to be
Thursday 11/1/18 8:00 AM UK BOE Asset Purchase Target Nov 435b 435b
No Trade No Trade No Trade made to BoE neutral
Thursday 11/1/18 8:00 AM UK BOE Corporate Bond Target Nov 10b 10b
outlook
Thursday 11/1/18 8:00 AM UK Bank of England Inflation Report
Thursday 11/1/18 10:00 AM US ISM Manufacturing Oct 59.5 59.8
Will update after Chicago
Thursday 11/1/18 10:00 AM US Will ISM Employment Oct -- 58.8
Will Update Will Update PMI. Empire strong, Philly
Thursday 11/1/18 10:00 AM US Update ISM Prices Paid Oct -- 66.9
weak
Thursday 11/1/18 10:00 AM US ISM New Orders Oct -- 61.8
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 PM AU PPI QoQ 3Q -- 0.30% Will update after CPI but
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 PM AU Will PPI YoY 3Q -- 1.50% retail sales should be
Will Update Will Update
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 PM AU Update Retail Sales MoM Sep -- 0.30% weaker given softer
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 PM AU Retail Sales Ex Inflation QoQ 3Q -- 1.20% spending in July & Aug
Friday
Revisions can be market
Friday 11/2/18 4:55 AM GE Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Oct F -- 52.3
No Trade No Trade No Trade moving but difficult to
Friday 11/2/18 5:00 AM EC Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Oct F -- 52.1 predict
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Trade Balance Sep -$52.0b -$53.2b
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Oct 189k 134k
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Two-Month Payroll Net Revision Oct -- --
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Change in Private Payrolls Oct 180k 121k
Job growth is expected to
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Change in Manufact. Payrolls Oct 20k 18k
rebound after weak
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US No Trade Unemployment Rate Oct 3.70% 3.70% No Trade No Trade
numbers in October but
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Underemployment Rate Oct -- 7.50%
wage growth could slow
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Average Hourly Earnings MoM Oct 0.20% 0.30%
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Average Hourly Earnings YoY Oct 3.10% 2.80%
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Average Weekly Hours All Employees Oct 34.5 34.5
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM US Labor Force Participation Rate Oct -- 62.70%
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM CA Int'l Merchandise Trade Sep -- 0.53b
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM CA Net Change in Employment Oct -- 63.3k
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM CA Unemployment Rate Oct -- 5.90%
Sharp drop in employment
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM CA 2 Hourly Earnings Permanent Empl YoY Oct -- 2.20% Bearish CAD Long USD/CAD
component of Sept IVEY
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM CA Full Time Employment Change Oct -- -16.9
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM CA Part Time Employment Change Oct -- 80.2
Friday 11/2/18 8:30 AM CA Participation Rate Oct -- 65.4

TIER 2 DATA: POTENTIALLY MARKET MOVING, COULD BE TRADEABLE

Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous
Monday 10/29/18 5:30 AM UK Net Consumer Credit Sep -- 1.1b
Monday 10/29/18 5:30 AM UK Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings Sep -- 2.9b
Monday 10/29/18 5:30 AM UK Mortgage Approvals Sep -- 66.4k
Monday 10/29/18 5:30 AM UK Money Supply M4 MoM Sep -- 0.20%
Monday 10/29/18 5:30 AM UK M4 Money Supply YoY Sep -- 1.20%
Monday 10/29/18 5:30 AM UK M4 Ex IOFCs 3M Annualised Sep -- 0.90%
Monday 10/29/18 7:00 AM UK CBI Retailing Reported Sales Oct -- 23
Monday 10/29/18 7:00 AM UK CBI Total Dist. Reported Sales Oct -- 26
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 PM AU Building Approvals MoM Sep -- -9.40%
Monday 10/29/18 8:30 PM AU Building Approvals YoY Sep -- -13.60%
Tuesday 10/30/18 2:30 AM FR GDP QoQ 3Q A 0.40% 0.20%
Tuesday 10/30/18 2:30 AM FR GDP YoY 3Q A 1.30% 1.70%
Tuesday 10/30/18 3:45 AM FR Consumer Spending MoM Sep -- 0.80%
Tuesday 10/30/18 3:45 AM FR Consumer Spending YoY Sep -- 1.30%
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA Aug 0.20% 0.09%
 Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA Aug -- 5.92%
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM US S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City NSA Index Aug -- 213.76
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM US S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI NSA Index Aug -- 205.35
Tuesday 10/30/18 9:00 AM US S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA Aug -- 6.00%
Tuesday 10/30/18 5:45 PM NZ Building Permits MoM Sep -- 7.80%
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:00 PM NZ ANZ Activity Outlook Oct -- 7.8
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:00 PM NZ ANZ Business Confidence Oct -- -38.3
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:01 PM UK GfK Consumer Confidence Oct -10 -9
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:01 PM UK Lloyds Business Barometer Oct -- 29
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:01 PM UK BRC Shop Price Index YoY Oct -- 0.20%
Wednesday 10/31/18 3:45 AM FR CPI EU Harmonized MoM Oct P -- -0.20%
Wednesday 10/31/18 3:45 AM FR CPI EU Harmonized YoY Oct P -- 2.50%
Wednesday 10/31/18 3:45 AM FR CPI MoM Oct P -- -0.20%
Wednesday 10/31/18 3:45 AM FR CPI YoY Oct P -- 2.20%
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 AM CA Industrial Product Price MoM Sep -- -0.50%
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 AM CA Raw Materials Price Index MoM Sep -- -4.60%
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 AM US Employment Cost Index 3Q 0.70% 0.60%
Wednesday 10/31/18 12:00 PM NZ QV House Prices YoY Oct -- 4.60%
Wednesday 10/31/18 5:00 PM NZ ANZ Job Advertisements MoM Oct -- -0.30%
Wednesday 10/31/18 6:00 PM AU CBA Australia PMI Mfg Oct F -- 54.3
Wednesday 10/31/18 9:45 PM CH Caixin China PMI Mfg Oct 50.2 50
Thursday 11/1/18 4:15 AM SZ CPI MoM Oct 0.10% 0.10%
Thursday 11/1/18 4:15 AM SZ CPI YoY Oct 1.10% 1.00%
Thursday 11/1/18 4:15 AM SZ CPI EU Harmonized MoM Oct -- 0.00%
Thursday 11/1/18 4:15 AM SZ CPI EU Harmonized YoY Oct -- 1.10%
Thursday 11/1/18 4:15 AM SZ CPI Core YoY Oct -- 0.40%
Thursday 11/1/18 4:30 AM SZ PMI Manufacturing Oct 59.5 59.7
Thursday 11/1/18 7:30 AM US Challenger Job Cuts YoY Oct -- 70.90%
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 AM US Unit Labor Costs 3Q P 1.40% -1.00%
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 AM US Initial Jobless Claims 27-Oct -- --
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 AM US Continuing Claims 20-Oct -- --
Thursday 11/1/18 9:30 AM CA Markit Canada Manufacturing PMI Oct -- 54.8
Thursday 11/1/18 9:45 AM US Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 28-Oct -- --
Thursday 11/1/18 9:45 AM US Markit US Manufacturing PMI Oct F -- 55.9
Thursday 11/1/18 5:00 PM NZ ANZ Consumer Confidence Index Oct -- 117.6
Thursday 11/1/18 5:00 PM NZ ANZ Consumer Confidence MoM Oct -- 0.00%
Friday 11/2/18 5:30 AM UK Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI Oct 52.5 52.1
Friday 11/2/18 10:00 AM US Factory Orders Sep -0.30% 2.30%
Friday 11/2/18 10:00 AM US Factory Orders Ex Trans Sep -- 0.10%
Friday 11/2/18 10:00 AM US Durable Goods Orders Sep F -- --
Friday 11/2/18 10:00 AM US Durables Ex Transportation Sep F -- --
Friday 11/2/18 10:00 AM US Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Sep F -- --
Friday 11/2/18 10:00 AM US Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air Sep F -- --

TIER 3 DATA: NOT TRADEABLE

Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous
Sunday 10/28/18 7:50 PM JN Retail Trade YoY Sep -- 2.70%
Sunday 10/28/18 7:50 PM JN Retail Sales MoM Sep -- 0.90%
Sunday 10/28/18 7:50 PM JN Dept. Store, Supermarket Sales Sep -- -0.10%
Sunday 10/28/18 12:00 AM UK Nationwide House PX MoM Oct 0.20% 0.30%
Sunday 10/28/18 12:00 AM UK Nationwide House Px NSA YoY Oct 2.00% 2.00%
Monday 10/29/18 5:00 AM SZ Total Sight Deposits CHF 26-Oct -- 577.9b
Monday 10/29/18 5:00 AM SZ Domestic Sight Deposits CHF 26-Oct -- 471.6b
Monday 10/29/18 10:00 AM CA Bloomberg Nanos Confidence 26-Oct -- 57.4
Monday 10/29/18 10:30 AM US Dallas Fed Manf. Activity Oct 29 28.1
Monday 10/29/18 7:30 PM JN Job-To-Applicant Ratio Sep -- 1.63
 Monday 10/29/18 7:30 PM JN Jobless Rate Sep -- 2.40%
Monday 10/29/18 10:00 PM CH Bloomberg Oct. China Economic Survey
Tuesday 10/30/18 4:00 AM SZ KOF Leading Indicator Oct 100.8 102.2
Tuesday 10/30/18 7:50 PM JN Industrial Production MoM Sep P -- 0.20%
Tuesday 10/30/18 7:50 PM JN Industrial Production YoY Sep P -- 0.20%
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:30 PM AU Private Sector Credit MoM Sep -- 0.50%
Tuesday 10/30/18 8:30 PM AU Private Sector Credit YoY Sep -- 4.50%
Wednesday 10/31/18 12:00 AM JN Vehicle Production YoY Aug -- -2.00%
Wednesday 10/31/18 1:00 AM JN Consumer Confidence Index Oct -- 43.4
Wednesday 10/31/18 1:00 AM JN Housing Starts YoY Sep -- 1.60%
Wednesday 10/31/18 1:00 AM JN Annualized Housing Starts Sep -- 0.957m
Wednesday 10/31/18 1:00 AM JN Construction Orders YoY Sep -- 0.50%
Wednesday 10/31/18 5:00 AM SZ Credit Suisse Survey Expectations Oct -- -30.8
Wednesday 10/31/18 7:00 AM US MBA Mortgage Applications 26-Oct -- 4.90%
Wednesday 10/31/18 7:00 PM AU CoreLogic House Px MoM Oct -- -0.60%
Wednesday 10/31/18 7:50 PM JN Japan Buying Foreign Bonds 26-Oct -- ¥8.1b
Wednesday 10/31/18 7:50 PM JN Japan Buying Foreign Stocks 26-Oct -- ¥287.8b
Wednesday 10/31/18 7:50 PM JN Foreign Buying Japan Bonds 26-Oct -- -¥408.2b
Wednesday 10/31/18 7:50 PM JN Foreign Buying Japan Stocks 26-Oct -- ¥76.5b
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 PM AU Export Price Index QoQ 3Q -- 1.90%
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 PM AU Import Price Index QoQ 3Q -- 3.20%
Wednesday 10/31/18 8:30 PM JN Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg Oct F -- 53.1
Wednesday 10/31/18 12:00 AM JN Official Reserve Assets Oct -- $1259.7b
Thursday 11/1/18 1:00 AM JN Vehicle Sales YoY Oct -- -3.10%
Thursday 11/1/18 1:30 AM AU Commodity Index SDR YoY Oct -- 4.80%
Thursday 11/1/18 1:30 AM AU Commodity Index AUD Oct -- 115.7
Thursday 11/1/18 2:45 AM SZ SECO Consumer Confidence Oct -- -7
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 AM CA MLI Leading Indicator MoM Sep -- 0.10%
Thursday 11/1/18 8:30 AM US Nonfarm Productivity 3Q P 1.80% 2.90%
Thursday 11/1/18 10:00 AM US Construction Spending MoM Sep 0.00% 0.10%
Thursday 11/1/18 7:50 PM JN Monetary Base End of period Oct -- ¥505.0t
Thursday 11/1/18 7:50 PM JN Monetary Base YoY Oct -- 5.90%
Thursday 11/1/18 US Wards Total Vehicle Sales Oct 17.00m 17.40m
Friday 11/2/18 3:00 AM SZ UBS Real Estate Bubble Index 3Q -- 1
Friday 11/2/18 3:45 AM FR Budget Balance YTD Sep -- -97.3b
Friday 11/2/18 4:15 AM SZ Retail Sales Real YoY Sep -- 0.40%
Friday 11/2/18 4:50 AM FR Markit France Manufacturing PMI Oct F -- 51.2

Date Time Event

10/29/18 10:10 PM AU RBA's Bullock gives speech in Sydney
10/30/18 12:00 AM JN BOJ Outlook Report
11/1/18 8:30 AM UK BOE's Carney speaks at press conference in London