Date: 25 May 2018

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Friends!
1 SD formula which is giving success in weekly forecast from past 119 weeks. Below given
weekly level for nifty future and bank nifty future for 134th Week (i.e. 25TH to 31st May 2018).
What is 1 SD formula? Price range= (Price * volatility * square root of day) /square root of 365
Trend identification as per Fibonacci principle
1sdprice range 119.0353
Nifty 10608.5
Nifty future Trend with real time volatility 8.10
0.236 28.092 10636.59 10580.41
0.382 45.471 10653.97 10563.03
0.5 59.518 10668.02 10548.98
0.618 73.564 10682.06 10534.94
0.786 93.562 10702.06 10514.94
0.888 105.703 10714.2 10502.8
1.236 147.128 10755.63 10461.37
1.618 192.599 10801.1 10415.9

Range bound trend identification: if all up-move invites sale above 10668 and all down move
invites short covering at 10549 level this indication is sufficient to conclude that the price action is
in the range of 10668 to 10549.
How to trade nifty future in uptrend breakout above 10637? if nifty cross 10637 then you buy
future at 10637 with 10650 put option buy in the range 51 to 46 stop loss 10563 (10650 put
expected price 95). If it achieves the 1st target 10682 during the day or any point during the
week revise your stop loss to 10654 and hold the trade. If the 2nd target 10702 achieved revise
the stop loss to 10668 and hold the trade. If the 3rd target 10714 achieved, then trail or revise the
stop loss to 10702. Continue this till last target is not achieved or trailing stop loss is not
triggered. If trailing stop loss trigger, then close the hedging option position also.
Projected P&L Nifty future
Call Price
Uptrend price Put Price Exp Net P/L Down Price Exp Net P/L
10636.59 51 0 10580.41 64 0
10653.97 44 778.5 10563.03 53 478.5
10668.02 37 1307.25 10548.98 44 857.25
10682.06 33 2060.25 10534.94 36 1310.25
10702.06 26 3035.25 10514.94 26 2060.25
10714.2 23 3720.75 10502.8 21 2595.75
10755.63 13.8 6138 10461.37 9.6 4848
10801.1 7.4 9068.25 10415.9 3.3 7785.75
10563.03 95 -2217 10653.97 127 -792
How to trade nifty future in Down trend breakout below 10580? if nifty fall below 10580 then
you sell at 10579 with 10550 call option buy in the range 65 to 60 stop loss 10654 (10550 call
expected price 165) If it achieves the 1st target 10535 during the day or any point during the
week revise your stop loss to 10563 and hold the trade. If the 2nd target 10515 achieved revise
the stop loss to 10549 and hold the trade. If the 3rd target 10503 achieved, then trail or revise the
stop loss to 10515. Continue this till last target is not achieved or trailing stop loss is not
triggered. If trailing stop loss trigger, then close the hedging option position also.
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 Bank nifty 1 SD levels
Bank nifty trend report for the week (i.e.25TH to 31st May 2018)

1sdprice range 308.8782926

Bank nifty 26240
Bank nifty future Trend with Real time volatility 8.50
0.236 72.9 26312.9 26167.1
0.382 117.99 26357.99 26122.01
0.5 154.44 26394.44 26085.56
0.618 190.89 26430.89 26049.11
0.786 242.78 26482.78 25997.22
0.888 274.28 26514.28 25965.72
1.236 381.77 26621.77 25858.23
1.618 499.77 26739.77 25740.23

What trade decision one trader should take? Follow the same process as explained in the
nifty trend analysis buy entry and sell entry must be at 0.382 crossover price points.

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