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lll Contact
Roland MONTAGNE
Principal Analyst
+33 680 850 480
r.montagne@idate.org
FTTH/B Panorama - Europe (EU39) at September 2017
Agenda
1. Study background 3
3. Leading countries 9
General ranking (Homes Passed & Subscribers)
Highest growths
4. European ranking 15
5. Key conclusions____________________________________________________________________17
> Results
• Both quantitative and qualitative data, presenting the status in the country and the strategic approach of involved players
CIS
Subscribers = 41%
Home passed =35%
EU 28
Subscribers = 48%
Home passed = 49%
60 200
50
150
40
30 100
20
50
10
0 0
Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Sept Sept Sept Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Sept Sept Sept
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
7
Major projects / categories of players
> Around 400 analyzed FTTH/B projects in EU39 at September 2017:
• There are less and less new projects from one year to another
• All major operators are involved in each country, among which 35 incumbents at least
• There will probably be more and more small players involved in local deployment in the coming years (Rural and Suburban)
> Incumbents now represent 42% of the total number of Homes Passed
• This ratio was only 21% at end 2011
• Alternative players, which promoted FTTH/B in most countries since 2008-2009, now represent 54% of the total number of HP; this ratio is increasing
> But municipalities/Local Authorities, along with utilities when appropriate, will remain those ones that will help ensure an
exhaustive coverage at term
Sept. 2017
42%
54%
4%
50
45 > 2 M HP
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
a
y
ce
nd
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ia
en
m
ia
ly
y
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ne
an
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nd
an
ru
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ai
Ita
an
ar
ga
do
an
rk
la
ed
st
ai
us
rt u
Sp
la
rla
m
lg
or
Tu
om
Po
kr
kh
un
ng
Fr
Be
Sw
R
Bu
er
Po
N
he
U
za
Ki
H
R
G
et
Ka
d
N
te
ni
U
+3.8% +46% +31%
Countries with 2 M Optical Sockets or more at Sept 2017 [Top 6 Growth rates for 9 first months 2017]
(million)
80
> 2 M HP
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
a
a
y
ce
nd
ia
ey
en
m
ia
ly
y
n
ne
an
y
ga
r
nd
an
ru
wa
ni
si
ai
Ita
an
ar
ga
do
an
rk
la
ed
st
ai
us
ua
rt u
Sp
la
rla
m
lg
or
om
Tu
Po
kr
kh
un
ng
Fr
Be
Sw
R
th
Bu
er
Po
N
he
U
za
Ki
H
Li
R
G
et
Ka
d
N
te
ni
U
+24% +31% +22% +35% +46% +31%
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe Dec 2014 Sept 2015 Sept 2016 Sept 2017
Copyright © IDATE 2018
General ranking : FTTH/B coverage
Iceland: 95%
Sweden: 93%
Norway: 88%
Russia:
95%
Latvia: 98%
Lithuania: 97%
Luxembourg: 64%
Bulgaria: 97%
Andorra: 100%
Portugal: 88%
Spain: 98%
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe
Countries with 200 K subs or more at Sept 2017 [Top Growth rates for 9 first months 2017]
(million)
> 1 M subs
7
0
en
d
s
ia
nd
ia
ne
n
ce
nd
k
s
ay
ey
a
l
ly
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an
ia
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ga
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ar
ru
ar
an
ai
ni
Ita
tv
ak
ar
an
do
an
rk
rl a
ed
ai
st
la
Sp
ua
rtu
m
la
La
rl a
nl
lg
or
ov
kr
Po
om
Tu
kh
un
ng
Be
Fr
e
Sw
en
Fi
th
er
Bu
Po
N
he
U
itz
Sl
za
Ki
Li
R
Sw
et
Ka
d
N
te
ni
U
+58% +20% +55% +67%
+36% +34%
+44%
Dec 2014 Sept 2015 Sept 2016 Sept 2017
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe
13 Copyright © IDATE 2018
General ranking : FTTH/B take-up rate
Finland: 44%
Sweden: 49%
Estonia : 48%
Latvia: 47%
Lithuania : 47%
Belarus: 68%
Belgium: 48%
Czech Rep. : 61%
Romania: 51%
Andorra: 59%
Mature markets
1 new entrant
by Sept. 2017
> Even the “reluctant” countries are moving towards FTTH/B technologies. The historic trend shows this
evolution and there are more countries approaching the 100% of coverage!
> End users are migrating to FTTH networks. But the switch to FTTH/B connection is not systematic yet
and therefore there is still a large room for communication by operators.
> Governments and local authorities are now clearly in the game and the Digital Agenda is one of the main
important objectives to achieve.
> DAE’s main requirements are respected in all EU28 countries
Ø Local authorities are more dynamic in Scandinavian countries and in France: they should impulse a new dynamic to reach more rural areas and in
countries where FTTH/B is lagging far behind other architectures
Ø “French Model” as an example for Europe? (in Poland around 60 regions engaged in deploying FTTH Open Acces Network)
Ø Open Fiber in Italy has been the most dynamic player in FTTH deployment (reaching now 2.5 M Homes
Passed)
> Highest take up rates in Northern and Eastern countries: still strong competition from other
architectures elsewhere.
Ø Nearly all players, even if less involved in FTTH/B than other architectures, consider that FTTH is the
end game! … and 5G will need Fibre!
lll Contact
Roland MONTAGNE
Principal Analyst
MERCI !!
+33 680 850 480
r.montagne@idate.org
@IDATEDigiWorld
20