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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD | GILD is in the S&P 500

Gilead Sciences Inc


S&P Capital IQ
Recommendation
STRONG BUY ★★★★★ Price 12-Mo. Target Price
$81.37 (as of Sep 23, 2016 4:00 PM ET) $125.00
Report Currency
USD
Investment Style
Large-Cap Growth
S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst Jeffrey Loo, CFA
UPDATE: PLEASE SEE THE ANALYST'S LATEST RESEARCH NOTE IN THE COMPANY NEWS SECTION

GICS Sector Health Care Summary This biopharmaceutical company is engaged in the discovery, development and
Sub-Industry Biotechnology commercialization of treatments to fight viral, bacterial and fungal infections, respiratory
disorders, cardiovascular conditions and cancer.

Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)

52-Wk Range $111.11– 76.67 S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 12.00 Market Capitalization(B) $121.193 Beta 0.80
Trailing 12-Month EPS $11.39 S&P Oper. EPS 2017E 12.35 Yield (%) 2.31 S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 3
Trailing 12-Month P/E 7.1 P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 6.8 Dividend Rate/Share $1.88 S&P Quality Ranking B+
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $43,560 Common Shares Outstg. (M) 1,489.4 Institutional Ownership (%) 70

Price Performance Analyst's Risk Assessment


30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS
LOW MEDIUM HIGH
12-Mo. Target Price Relative Strength Up Down No Change Below Avg.
Our risk assessment reflects Gilead's ability to
150
2-for-1
expand patient access in the hepatitis C market
and to grow its dominant HIV market share. We
80 see opportunities in oncology emerging as
Share Price

potential long-term growth driver.


40

20 Revenue/Earnings Data
Revenue (Million U.S. $)
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year
Volume(Mil.)

215
90
183 2016 7,794 7,776 -- -- --
60 2015 7,594 8,244 8,295 8,506 32,639
30 2014 4,999 6,535 6,042 7,314 24,890
0
5 2013 2,532 2,767 2,783 3,120 11,202
5 4 4
2012 2,282 2,405 2,427 2,588 9,703
1 2011 1,926 2,137 2,122 2,200 8,385
OND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SON

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Earnings Per Share (U.S. $)


2016 2.53 2.58 E2.94 E2.95 E12.00
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.
2015 2.76 2.92 3.06 3.18 11.91
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst Jeffrey Loo, CFA on Jul 25, 2016 06:48 PM, when the stock traded at $88.55. 2014 1.33 2.20 1.67 2.18 7.35
Highlights Investment Rationale/Risk 2013 0.43 0.46 0.47 0.47 1.81
2012 0.29 0.46 0.43 0.47 1.64
➤ We see 2016 sales declining 6% to $30.8 billion ➤ Although we see continued gradual decline in 2011 0.40 0.47 0.48 0.44 1.78
as we anticipate lower pricing from contractual new HCV patient starts, we believe the shares Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: Late
discounts, a payer mix shift toward more gov- are undervalued, currently trading at 7.1X our October. EPS Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating
Earnings; historical GAAP earnings are as reported in Company
ernment payers and a shorter treatment dura- 2017 EPS estimate, well below peers average of reports.
tion for hepatitis C (HCV) patients. Several com- 14X. We expect a rise in HIV sales to partially
mercial payers have allowed more patient ac- offset the decline in HCV sales. We see contin- Dividend Data
cess regardless of fibrosis score, triggering ued robust cash flow generation, positive capi-
Amount Date Ex-Div. Stk. of Payment
contractual discounts and we expect more Vet- tal deployment, flexibility for M&A, continued ($) Decl. Date Record Date
erans Administration patients. As of June 2016, market leadership in both HCV and HIV and a 0.430 Oct 27 Dec 14 Dec 16 Dec 30 '15
GILD estimated 45% of HCV patients required solid pipeline. We also note the market size re- 0.430 Feb 2 Mar 14 Mar 16 Mar 30 '16
an eight-week treatment instead of 12-weeks. mains healthy as we believe GILD has only 0.470 Apr 28 Jun 14 Jun 16 Jun 29 '16
In January 2016, Merck's (MRK 59 Hold), HCV served about 16% of the estimated 6.6 million 0.470 Jul 25 Sep 14 Sep 16 Sep 29 '16
drug, Zepatier was approved and priced at HCV patients in the U.S. and five major Euro- Dividends have been paid since 2015. Source: Company reports.
$54,600 for a 12-week regimen, lower than pean countries. We also see a large opportuni-
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and
GILD's Sovaldi and Harvoni, which may enable ty in Japan, where Harvoni was launched in
should not be relied upon as such.
MRK to gain some market share, but see GILD September 2015 and anticipate GILD entering
maintaining a market share of about 85%. In China, where we believe there are 10-15 million
June, Epclusa received FDA and EU approval HCV patients, by 2018. In H1 2016, GILD repur-
for all HCV genotypes. chased $9 billion in stock and as of June 30,
➤ As of June 2016, over one million patients have 2016, has $11 billion remaining in its repurchase
been treated with GILD's HCV drugs. We also program.
are encouraged by the advancement in GILD's ➤ Risks to our recommendation and target price
HIV franchise including the recent approval of include a large slowdown in HCV sales.
Genvoya and see HIV sales rising 13% in 2016. ➤ Our 12-month target price of $125 is 10.1X our
➤ We see EPS of $12.00 in 2016. 2017 EPS estimate, well below peers.

Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
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Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

Gilead Sciences Inc


Business Summary July 25, 2016 Corporate Information

CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Gilead Sciences (GILD) primary areas of focus include human immunodeficiency Investor Contact
virus (HIV); liver diseases, such as chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and chronic hepatitis B virus P. O'Brien (650-522-1936)
(HBV) infection; oncology and inflammation; and serious cardiovascular and respiratory conditions. It has
operations in approximately 30 countries worldwide.
Office
In the liver diseases area, the company received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration 333 Lakeside Drive, Foster City, CA 94404.
(FDA) and the European Commission for Harvoni, in December 2014, the first once-daily single tablet regi-
men for the treatment of HCV genotype 1 infection in adults. Harvoni combines the NS5A inhibitor ledi- Telephone
pasvir with the nucleotide analog polymerase inhibitor sofosbuvir, which was approved under the trade- 650-574-3000.
name Sovaldi, in 2013.
Fax
The company is evaluating tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) for the treatment of HBV and has completed the 650-578-9264.
enrollment of Phase 3 clinical trials. The company is also conducting Phase 2 clinical studies of GS-4774, a
Tarmogen T cell immunity stimulator; and GS-9620, an oral TLR-7 agonist, being evaluated as a potential Email
cure for HBV. investor_relations@gilead.com

The company is evaluating simtuzumab for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in Phase 2 clinical trials. Website
In December 2014, it also entered into an agreement with Phenex Pharmaceuticals AG (Phenex) under http://www.gilead.com
which the company acquired Phenex's Farnesoid X Receptor (FXR) program consisted of small molecule
FXR agonists for the treatment of liver diseases, including NASH.
Officers
In the HIV area, the company submitted a new drug application for a once-daily single tablet regimen con-
taining elvitegravir 150 mg, cobicistat 150 mg, emtricitabine 200 mg, and TAF 10 mg (E/C/F/TAF) for the Chrmn EVP & CFO
treatment of HIV-1 infection in adults. The company also received approval in the United States of Tybost J.C. Martin R.L. Washington
(cobicistat) and Vitekta (elvitegravir 85 mg and 150 mg), each a component of Stribild. The company also
advanced its research and development pipeline, with 225 active clinical studies in 2014, of which approxi- CEO & Pres EVP & CSO
mately 54 were Phase 3 clinical trials. J.F. Milligan N.W. Bischofberger

Stribild is an oral formulation dosed once a day for the treatment of HIV-1 infection in treatment-naive COO
adults. Stribild is the company's third complete single tablet regimen for the treatment of HIV and is a K.B. Young
fixed-dose combination of its antiretroviral medications, Vitekta, Tybost, Viread and Emtriva
(emtricitabine). Stribild is approved by the FDA and the European Commission.
Board Members
Complera/Eviplera is an oral formulation dosed once a day for the treatment of HIV-1 infection in adults. J. F. Cogan K. A. Kramer
The product, marketed in the United States as Complera and in Europe as Eviplera, is the company's sec- K. E. Lofton J. W. Madigan
ond complete single tablet regimen for the treatment of HIV and is a fixed-dose combination of its anti- J. C. Martin J. F. Milligan
retroviral medications, Viread and Emtriva, and Janssen's non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor, N. G. Moore R. J. Whitley
Edurant (rilpivirine). G. E. Wilson P. Wold-Olsen
Atripla is an oral formulation dosed once a day for the treatment of HIV infection in adults. Atripla was the
company's first single tablet regimen for HIV intended as a therapy or in combination with other antiretro-
Domicile Auditor
virals. It is a fixed-dose combination of the company's antiretroviral medications, Viread and Emtriva, and
Delaware ERNST & YOUNG, New
Bristol-Myers Squibb's non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor, Sustiva (efavirenz). York, NY
Founded
Truvada (emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate) is an oral formulation dosed once a day as part
1987
of combination therapy to treat HIV infection in adults. It is a fixed-dose combination of the company's an-
tiretroviral medications, Viread and Emtriva. The FDA also approved Truvada, in combination with safer Employees
sex practices, to reduce the risk of sexually acquired HIV-1 infection in adults at high risk, a strategy called 8,000
pre-exposure prophylaxis.
Stockholders
Viread is an oral formulation of a nucleotide analog reverse transcriptase inhibitor, dosed once a day as
363
part of combination therapy to treat HIV infection in patients two years of age and older. The European
Commission approved the use of Viread in combination with other antiretroviral agents for the treatment of
HIV-1 infected adolescent patients aged 2 to approximately 18 years with nucleoside reverse transcriptase
inhibitor resistance or toxicities precluding the use of first-line pediatric agents. Viread is also approved
for the treatment of chronic HBV.

FINANCIAL TRENDS. In 2014, total revenues rose 122.2% to $24.89 billion, from $11.2 billion in 2013, driven
by the approval of its Hepatitis C drug, Sovaldi, which had sales of $10.3 billion in 2014. EPS increased from
$2.04 in 2013 to $8.09 in 2014. In February 2015, GILD declared the company's first quarterly dividend of
$0.43 beginning in Q2 2015. In conjunction with the dividend announcement, GILD announced a $15 billion
stock repurchase program.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

Gilead Sciences Inc


Quantitative Evaluations Expanded Ratio Analysis

S&P Capital IQ 5+ 1 2 3 4 5 2015 2014 2013 2012


Fair Value LOWEST HIGHEST Price/Sales 4.72 6.24 11.36 5.99
Rank Based on S&P Capital IQ's proprietary quantitative model, stocks Price/EBITDA 6.61 9.30 26.14 13.47
are ranked from most overvalued (1) to most undervalued (5). Price/Pretax Income 7.11 10.45 30.24 16.09
P/E Ratio 8.50 12.83 41.39 22.43
Fair Value $109.40 Analysis of the stock's current worth, based on S&P Capital IQ's Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M) 1,521.0 1,647.0 1,694.7 1,582.6
proprietary quantitative model suggests that GILD is Undervalued
Calculation by $28.03 or 34.4%. Figures based on calendar year-end price

Investability 98 Key Growth Rates and Averages


Quotient LOWEST = 1 HIGHEST = 100
Percentile GILD scored higher than 98% of all companies for which an S&P Past Growth Rate (%) 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 9 Years
Capital IQ Report is available.
Sales 31.13 55.86 34.87 26.32
Net Income 49.64 NM 47.97 NM
Volatility LOW AVERAGE HIGH
Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.)
Technical BEARISH Since July, 2016, the technical indicators for GILD have been Net Margin (%) 55.48 43.85 38.34 37.96
BEARISH. % LT Debt to Capitalization 51.33 38.30 41.63 34.24
Evaluation
Return on Equity (%) 106.59 NA NA NA
Insider Activity UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL FAVORABLE

For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide

Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Dec. 31

Per Share Data (U.S. $) 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Tangible Book Value 5.00 2.13 NM NM 3.10 2.77 2.69 2.28 1.86 0.99
Cash Flow 12.63 7.98 2.02 1.81 1.97 1.81 1.53 1.08 0.86 -0.62
Earnings 11.91 7.35 1.81 1.64 1.78 1.66 1.41 1.05 0.84 -0.65
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings NA NA 1.83 1.68 1.77 1.66 1.41 1.05 0.84 -0.65
Dividends 1.29 Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
Payout Ratio 11% Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
Prices:High 123.37 116.83 76.11 38.56 21.75 24.75 26.64 28.82 23.95 17.50
Prices:Low 86.00 63.50 36.94 20.68 17.23 15.87 20.31 17.80 15.48 13.12
P/E Ratio:High 10 16 42 24 12 15 19 27 29 NM
P/E Ratio:Low 7 9 20 13 10 10 14 17 18 NM

Income Statement Analysis (Million U.S. $)


Revenue 32,639 24,890 11,202 9,703 8,385 7,949 7,011 5,336 4,230 3,026
Operating Income 23,291 16,687 4,869 4,314 4,169 4,396 3,802 2,741 2,201 1,683
Depreciation 1,098 1,050 345 278 302 265 213 51.7 36.9 47.3
Interest Expense 688 412 307 361 205 109 69.7 12.1 13.5 20.4
Pretax Income 21,659 14,856 4,208 3,612 3,651 3,914 3,502 2,726 2,261 -644
Effective Tax Rate 16.4% 18.8% 27.4% 28.8% 23.6% 26.2% 25.0% 26.5% 29.0% NM
Net Income 18,108 12,101 3,075 2,592 2,804 2,901 2,636 2,011 1,615 -1,190
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings NA NA 3,112 2,659 2,784 2,895 2,630 2,008 1,610 -1,188

Balance Sheet & Other Financial Data (Million U.S. $)


Cash 14,607 10,128 2,132 1,862 9,964 5,318 3,905 3,240 1,172 937
Current Assets 24,763 17,747 6,727 6,156 13,305 8,144 4,813 4,300 3,028 2,429
Total Assets 51,839 34,664 22,497 21,240 17,303 11,593 9,699 7,019 5,835 4,086
Current Liabilities 9,891 5,761 6,325 4,270 2,515 2,465 1,872 1,221 736 764
Long Term Debt 21,195 11,921 3,939 7,055 7,921 3,006 1,322 1,300 1,301 1,300
Common Equity 18,536 15,441 11,433 9,310 6,867 6,122 6,505 4,152 3,460 1,816
Total Capital 41,293 28,238 18,444 17,775 14,788 9,128 7,827 5,672 4,772 3,169
Capital Expenditures 747 557 191 397 132 61.9 230 115 78.7 105
Cash Flow 19,206 13,151 3,420 2,870 3,106 3,155 2,849 2,063 1,652 -1,143
Current Ratio 2.5 3.1 1.2 1.4 5.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.1 3.2
% Long Term Debt of Capitalization 51.3 42.2 21.4 39.7 53.6 32.9 16.9 22.9 27.2 41.0
% Net Income of Revenue 55.5 48.6 27.5 26.7 33.4 36.5 37.6 37.7 38.2 NM
% Return on Assets 41.9 42.3 NA NA 19.4 27.3 31.5 31.3 32.6 NM
% Return on Equity 106.6 90.1 NA NA 43.2 46.5 49.5 52.8 61.2 NM

Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

Gilead Sciences Inc


Sub-Industry Outlook Industry Performance
Our positive fundamental outlook for the prescription benefit managers (PBM) are exerting GICS Sector: Health Care
biotechnology sub-industry for the next 12 months more influence over drug prescriptions and pricing. Sub-Industry: Biotechnology
reflects favorable prospects for new and novel In mid-2016, CVS indicated it will remove Neupogen
therapies to reach commercialization. However, we from its formulary in 2017 and replace it with Zarxio. Based on S&P 1500 Indexes
note solid, yet moderating sales growth, following In March 2015, the FDA approved Novartis' Five-Year market price performance through
robust growth over the past 3 years. We are filgrastim biosimilar, of Amgen's Neupogen. Sep 24, 2016
encouraged by what we view as a strong period for Novartis' subsidiary, Sandoz, began selling the
the reporting of late-stage clinical results, and a biosimilar under the name Zarxio in September 2015. S&P 1500 Sector Sub-Industry
more accommodating U.S. FDA for approvals. In In August 2015, Celltrion (co-marketed with Pfizer) 360%
2015, the FDA approved 45 new drugs up from 41 in filed for approval of its biosimilar (Inflectra) of
2014 and 27 in 2013, the most since a record 53 were Johnson and Johnson's Remicade. In February 2016, 310%
approved in 1996. We think many of these newly a FDA panel voted 21-3 to recommend approval of
approved drugs have significant commercial Inflectra and was approved by the FDA in April 2016. 260%
prospects and represent major advances in As of August 2016, Inflectra has not been
therapeutic areas such as cystic fibrosis, hepatitis commercialized yet due to ongoing legal disputes

% Change
C, multiple sclerosis and cancer. We expect wider over patent expirations. We expect biosimilars to 210%

adoption of biomarker research and sell at more modest price discounts than generics in
genetic-targeted clinical studies to help bolster the pharmaceutical industry due to higher clinical, 160%

long-term R&D pipeline productivity. In late 2012, the manufacturing and marketing costs, and we expect
FDA introduced "breakthrough therapy" branded drugs to retain significant market share due 110%
designations, intended to speed development of to a lack of interchangeability among these options.
promising programs. 60%
We recommend that investors concentrate core
We expect a favorable mergers and acquisitions holdings in established, profitable companies, as 10%
(M&A) climate, as large pharmaceutical firms move smaller biotechs tend to be more volatile. We would
to offset lost revenues from expiring drug patents seek companies with at least two years of operating
and large biotechs bolster their drug pipelines amid capital and multiple pipeline drivers, as those with -40%

maturing products. We note an uptick in M&A smaller pipelines typically suffer significant share
speculation and announced deals recently. We also price declines on an unfavorable outcome. In 2015, -90%

see large cap biotechs generating cash flows the S&P Biotech Index rose 5.3% vs. a 1.0% decline 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

supporting larger scale acquisitions of their own. In for the S&P 1500. In 2014, the S&P biotech index NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the
2011, industry bellwether Amgen became the first rose 32.3%, vs. a 10.9% gain for the S&P 1500 Index. Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
biotech company to initiate a regular dividend. Year-to-date through August 12, 2016, the S&P
Gilead Sciences began dividend payments in 2015. Biotech Index declined 5.7%, vs. a 7.3% rise for the Past performance is not an indication of future performance
S&P 1500 Index. and should not be relied upon as such.
The 2010 health care reform law established the
FDA's authorization to govern "biosimilar" drug --Jeffrey Loo, CFA
approvals and set a 12-year exclusivity to branded
drugmakers. We see biosimilars advancing at a
slower rate than initially anticipated. But be we note

Sub-Industry : Biotechnology Peer Group*: Biotech Therapeutics - Larger Capitalization


Stk.Mkt. Recent 52 Fair S&P Return on LTD to
Stock Cap. Stock Week Yield P/E Value Quality IQ Revenue Cap
Peer Group Symbol (Mil. $) Price($) High/Low($) Beta (%) Ratio Calc.($) Ranking %ile (%) (%)
Gilead Sciences GILD 121,193 81.37 111.11/76.67 0.80 2.3 7 109.40 B+ 98 55.5 51.3
Amgen Inc AMGN 132,649 174.80 176.85/130.09 0.57 2.3 18 199.70 A- 99 32.0 49.1
Biogen Inc BIIB 69,675 312.58 333.65/223.02 1.04 Nil 18 404.70 B+ 98 33.0 41.0
Celgene Corp CELG 84,821 109.43 128.39/93.05 1.09 Nil 46 185.00 B 95 17.3 70.7

NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

Gilead Sciences Inc


S&P Capital IQ Analyst Research Notes and other Company News
06:04 pm ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ KEEPS STRONG BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF
GILEAD SCIENCES (GILD 97.00*****): We keep our 12-month target at $155 on
September 12, 2016
below peers 12.9x our '16 EPS estimate. Q1 EPS of $3.03 vs. $2.94 is $0.13 above
Gilead Sciences Inc. has appointed Rogers Luo as vice president and general
our estimate. Sales rose 2.6%, adversely impacted by several factors including a
manager of commercial operations in China. In his new role, Luo will lead the
payer mix shift toward government payers, an uptick in Veteran Administration
buildup of the commercial team across China to support the anticipated launches
patients which includes higher discount, several large insurers allowing more
of Gilead's hepatitis C and hepatitis B therapies over the next several years. He
patient access regardless of fibrosis score triggering contractual discounts, and
has also worked with Shanghai Roche Pharmaceuticals.
an increase to about 43% of patients taking an 8-week treatment instead of
12-weeks. But we believe increased volume should offset lower pricing. /Jeffrey
August 24, 2016 Loo, CFA
Gilead Sciences Inc. announced that Kelly A. Kramer has been appointed to the
company's board of directors and Audit Committee. Ms. Kramer is currently
March 23, 2016
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Cisco Systems Inc. She
11:30 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ KEEPS STRONG BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF
previously served for 20 years in senior finance positions at General Electric,
GILEAD SCIENCES (GILD 91.43*****): We see a federal jury ruling confirming the
including as Chief Financial Officer of GE Healthcare's Healthcare Systems
validity of Merck's (MRK 53 ***) sofosbuvir patents as increasing the likelihood
Business.
that GILD will be required to pay damages and royalties to MRK on sales of
GILD's top 2 hepatitis C drugs, Sovaldi and Harvoni ($19 billion in 2015 sales).
July 26, 2016 While we believe GILD has sufficient capital to cover any damages, we expect
10:15 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL KEEPS STRONG BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF GILD to appeal the ruling and believe any potential royalties will be considerably
GILEAD SCIENCES (GILD 86.45*****): Ahead of Q2 results we expect EPS of $2.92 less than the 10% MRK is seeking. The jury upheld a U.S. District judge ruling in
vs. $3.15 on sales of $7.8B, a 5% decline as competition, volume discounts and February that Harvoni and Sovaldi infringed on MRK's patents. /Jeffrey Loo, CFA,
shorter treatment duration weigh on hepatitis C (HCV) sales. Key issues to watch /J. Agnese
include volume trends particularly with the Veterans Administration (VA). We also
look for insight on Epclusa, which was just approved last month to treat all HCV
March 23, 2016
genotypes. Although its HIV franchise has taken a back seat recently, it remains a
11:30 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ MAINTAINS HOLD RECOMMENDATION ON
key driver for GILD, but has been losing market share. We look for recently
SHARES OF MERCK (MRK 53.34***): We see a federal jury ruling confirming the
approved combo drugs to help stabilize the HIV franchise. /Jeffrey Loo, CFA
validity of MRK's sofosbuvir patents as increasing the likelihood that Gilead
Sciences (GILD 91 *****) will be required to pay damages and royalties to MRK
July 25, 2016 on sales of GILD's top 2 hepatitis C drugs, Sovaldi and Harvoni ($19 billion in 2015
06:16 pm ET ... S&P GLOBAL KEEPS STRONG BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF sales). But, we expect GILD to appeal the ruling and believe MRK is likely to
GILEAD SCIENCES (GILD 88.55*****): We lower our 12-month target $30, to $125, receive less than the $2 billion in damages and 10% royalty on Sovaldi and
on below peers 10x our 2017 EPS estimate of $12.35 (peers trading at 14x). Q2 EPS Harvoni sales it is seeking. The jury ruling upheld a February U.S. district court
of $3.08 vs. $3.15 is $0.16 ahead of our estimate. But, product sales of $7.65B were ruling that Harvoni and Sovaldi infringed on MRK's patents. /Jeffrey Loo, CFA, /J.
slightly below our $7.75B forecast. Hepatitis C (HCV) sales fell 19% on slower new Agnese
patient starts, payer mix shift, and shorter treatment duration. Although we see
gradual decline in new patient starts, we believe the shares are undervalued. We
February 2, 2016
see robust cash flow generation, positive capital deployment, continued market
05:52 pm ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ REITERATES STRONG BUY OPINION ON SHARES
leadership in both HCV and HIV, and solid pipeline. /Jeffrey Loo, CFA
OF GILEAD SCIENCES (GILD 82.70*****): We keep our 12-month target at $155 on
below peers 12.9X our revised 2016 EPS estimate of $12.00, down $0.30. Q4 EPS of
July 25, 2016 $3.32 vs. $2.43 is $0.47 ahead of our estimate. We initiate 2017 EPS at $12.35. GILD
10:15 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL KEEPS STRONG BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF guides 2016 product sales at $30.0B-$31.0B, but we note GILD typically provides
GILEAD SCIENCES (GILD 86.45*****): Ahead of Q2 results we expect EPS of $2.92 conservative view. GILD believes new competitive threat, Zepatier, will not
vs. $3.15 on sales of $7.8B, a 5% decline as competition, volume discounts and trigger discounts as Harvoni's efficacy and safety have been proven. We believe
shorter treatment duration weigh on hepatitis C (HCV) sales. Key issues to watch GILD has capital to expand through acquisitions and we believe recent industry
include volume trends particularly with the Veterans Administration (VA). We also valuation contraction could make an acquisition more attractive. /Jeffrey Loo,
look for insight on Epclusa, which was just approved last month to treat all HCV CFA
genotypes. Although its HIV franchise has taken a back seat recently, it remains a
key driver for GILD, but has been losing market share. We look for recently
approved combo drugs to help stabilize the HIV franchise. /Jeffrey Loo, CFA

May 25, 2016


Gilead Sciences Inc. announced two appointments to the company's senior
leadership team. Kevin Young CBE has been appointed Chief Operating Officer,
and Martin Silverstein, MD has been appointed Executive Vice President,
Strategy. Both Mr. Young and Dr. Silverstein will report to John F. Milligan, PhD,
President and Chief Executive Officer. The company also announced that Paul R.
Carter, Executive Vice President, Commercial Operations, has decided to depart
Gilead and pursue other opportunities. As Chief Operating Officer, Mr. Young will
assume responsibility for Gilead's worldwide commercial organization, and
facilities and operations. From 2004 through 2014, Mr. Young served as Gilead's
Executive Vice President of Commercial Operations. Since 2014, he has held the
role of senior advisor to the company. Prior to Gilead, he spent more than 20
years in the biopharmaceutical industry, first with ICI Pharmaceuticals and
subsequently with Amgen. Dr. Silverstein will oversee Gilead's corporate
development, commercial planning and alliance management functions. He
previously held the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer at
Anthem from April 2014 through December 2015. Prior to Anthem, Dr. Silverstein
spent 28 years in roles of increasing responsibility at The Boston Consulting
Group, including serving as Global Leader of its Health Care Practice, Senior
Partner and Managing Director.

April 28, 2016

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

Gilead Sciences Inc


Analysts' Recommendations Wall Street Consensus Opinion

Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion GILD Trend BUY/HOLD
B BH H WH S

Wall Street Average Companies Offering Coverage


B
Argus Research Company
BH
Atlantic Equities LLP
H
BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
WH
Barclays
S
Berenberg
Number of Analysts Following Stock BofA Merrill Lynch
Citigroup Inc
30 Cowen and Company
Credit Suisse
20
Erste Group Bank AG
10 Evercore ISI
Gabelli & Company, Inc.
Goldman Sachs
Stock Price ($ 000)
Guggenheim Securities, LLC
1000
JMP Securities
JP Morgan
1000
Jefferies LLC
Leerink Partners LLC
1000
Maxim Group
Morgan Stanley
1000
O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S
Morningstar Inc.
Needham & Company
2014 2015 2016
Piper Jaffray Companies
RBC Capital Markets
Of the total 28 companies following GILD, 28 analysts currently publish recommendations.
Robert W. Baird & Co.
UBS Investment Bank
No. of % of Total 1 Mo. Prior 3 Mos. Prior Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Recommendations William Blair & Company L.L.C.
Buy 11 39 9 10
Buy/Hold 5 18 5 6
Hold 11 39 12 10
Weak Hold 0 0 0 0
Sell 0 0 0 0
No Opinion 1 4 1 1
Total 28 100 27 27
Wall Street Consensus Estimates Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance

For fiscal year 2016, analysts estimate that GILD


Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2015 Actual $11.91 will earn US$ 11.77. For the 2nd quarter of fiscal
15 year 2016, GILD announced earnings per share of
US$ 2.58, representing 22% of the total annual
10 estimate. For fiscal year 2017, analysts estimate
that GILD's earnings per share will decline by
5 0.3% to US$ 11.74.

0 M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S

2015 2016

Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2017 11.74 13.57 10.07 27 6.9
2016 11.77 12.26 11.11 27 6.9
2017 vs. 2016 -0.3% 11% -9% 0% 0%

Q3'17 2.86 3.04 2.75 5 28.5


Q3'16 2.87 3.11 2.63 21 28.4
Q3'17 vs. Q3'16 -0.3% -2% 5% -76% 0.4%

A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Capital IQ organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have
changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensus estimates is not intended to predict actual results and should
not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

Gilead Sciences Inc

Glossary EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes


EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
EPS - Earnings Per Share
S&P Capital IQ STARS EV - Enterprise Value
Since January 1, 1987, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked a universe of U.S. FCF - Free Cash Flow
common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), and ADSs (American FFO - Funds From Operations
Depositary Shares) based on a given equity's potential for future performance. FY - Fiscal Year
Similarly, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked Asian and European equities P/E - Price/Earnings
since June 30, 2002. Under proprietary STARS (STock Appreciation Ranking System), P/NAV - Price to Net Asset Value
S&P Capital IQ equity analysts rank equities according to their individual forecast of an PEG Ratio - P/E-to-Growth Ratio
equity's future total return potential versus the expected total return of a relevant PV - Present Value
benchmark (e.g., a regional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350® Index or R&D - Research & Development
S&P 500® Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet ROCE - Return on Capital Employed
the needs of investors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data ROE - Return on Equity
used to assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analyst's ROI - Return on Investment
own models as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs. ROIC - Return on Invested Capital
ROA - Return on Assets
S&P Capital IQ Quality Ranking SG&A - Selling, General & Administrative Expenses
(also known as S&P Capital IQ Earnings & Dividend Rankings) - Growth and SOTP - Sum-of-The-Parts
stability of earnings and dividends are deemed key elements in establishing S&P WACC - Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Capital IQ's earnings and dividend rankings for common stocks, which are designed to
capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. It should be noted, however, that Dividends on American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and American
the process also takes into consideration certain adjustments and modifications Depository Shares (ADSs) are net of taxes (paid in the country of
deemed desirable in establishing such rankings. The final score for each stock is origin).
measured against a scoring matrix determined by analysis of the scores of a large and
representative sample of stocks. The range of scores in the array of this sample has
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Reflects an S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's view of a given company's operational risk,
A+ Highest B Below Average
or the risk of a firm's ability to continue as an ongoing concern. The S&P Capital IQ
A High B- Lower
Qualitative Risk Assessment is a relative ranking to the S&P U.S. STARS universe,
A- Above Average C Lowest
and should be reflective of risk factors related to a company's operations, as opposed
B+ Average D In Reorganization
to risk and volatility measures associated with share prices. For an ETF this reflects on
NR Not Ranked
a capitalization-weighted basis, the average qualitative risk assessment assigned to
holdings of the fund.
S&P Capital IQ EPS Estimates
S&P Capital IQ earnings per share (EPS) estimates reflect analyst projections of future
EPS from continuing operations, and generally exclude various items that are viewed
STARS Ranking system and definition:
as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, S&P Capital IQ EPS estimates reflect
★★★★★ 5-STARS (Strong Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark, by a
either forecasts of S&P Capital IQ equity analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS
wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute
estimate, which are independently compiled by Capital IQ, a data provider to S&P
basis.
Capital IQ Equity Research. Among the items typically excluded from EPS estimates
are asset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or merger-related charges; legal and
★★★★★ 4-STARS (Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the
insurance settlements; in process research and development expenses; gains or
coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis.
losses on the extinguishment of debt; the cumulative effect of accounting changes;
and earnings related to operations that have been classified by the company as
★★★★★ 3-STARS (Hold):
Total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevant
discontinued. The inclusion of some items, such as stock option expense and
benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an
recurring types of other charges, may vary, and depend on such factors as industry
absolute basis.
practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to which some types of data is disclosed by
companies.
★★★★★ 2-STARS (Sell):
Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over
the coming 12 months, and the share price not anticipated to show a gain.
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings ★★★★★1-STAR (Strong Sell):
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings is a uniform methodology for adjusting operating Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark by a
earnings by focusing on a company's after-tax earnings generated from its principal wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares falling in price on an absolute
businesses. Included in the S&P Capital IQ definition are employee stock option grant basis.
expenses, pension costs, restructuring charges from ongoing operations, write-downs
of depreciable or amortizable operating assets, purchased research and development,
M&A related expenses and unrealized gains/losses from hedging activities. Excluded
Relevant benchmarks:
In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in
from the definition are pension gains, impairment of goodwill charges, gains or losses
Asia, the relevant benchmarks are the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50
from asset sales, reversal of prior-year charges and provision from litigation or
Index, respectively.
insurance settlements.

S&P Capital IQ 12-Month Target Price


The S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's projection of the market price a given security will
command 12 months hence, based on a combination of intrinsic, relative, and private
market valuation metrics, including S&P Capital IQ Fair Value.

S&P Capital IQ Equity Research


S&P Capital IQ Equity Research U.S. includes Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory
Services LLC; Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services Europe includes
McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited trading as S&P Capital IQ; Standard
& Poor's Equity Research Services Asia includes: McGraw-Hill Financial Singapore
Pte. Limited, Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited, Standard
& Poor's Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and Standard & Poor's Information Services (Australia)
Pty Ltd.

Abbreviations Used in S&P Capital IQ Equity Research Reports


CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
CAPEX - Capital Expenditures
CY - Calendar Year
DCF - Discounted Cash Flow
DDM - Dividend Discount Model
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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

Gilead Sciences Inc

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Buy 24.6% 17.8% 30.0% 23.7%
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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

Gilead Sciences Inc

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NNM Symbol: GILD

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