Notes Black Scholes Derivation

Introduction to Financial Mathematics
Dr P. V. Johnson
School of Mathematics
2018
Dr P. V. Johnson MATH20912
Lecture 1
1 Introduction
Elementary economics background
What is financial mathematics?
The role of SDE’s and PDE’s
2 Time Value of Money
3 Continuous Model for Stock Price
About Me
MATH20912 Introduction to Financial Mathematics
Dr Paul Johnson
Lecturer in Financial Mathematics

2.107 Alan Turing Building
School of Mathematics
Office hours: Tuesday 10am-12
email:
paul.johnson-2@manchester.ac.uk
website:
http://www.maths.manchester.ac.uk/~pjohnson/pages/math20912.html
General Information
Textbooks:
• J. Hull, Options, Futures and Other Derivatives, 7th Edition,

Prentice-Hall, 2008.
• P. Wilmott, S. Howison and J. Dewynne, The Mathematics of
Financial Derivatives: A Student Introduction, Cambridge
University Press, 1995
Assessment:
Test in week 6, 12pm Friday 9th March: 20%

2 hours examination: 80%
Same format as previous years
General Information
Lectures 2hr pw (total 21hrs):
Monday 9am-10am Stopford Building Theatre 1

Friday 12pm-1pm Stopford Building Theatre 1
Podcasts for all lectures will be available
Notes will be provided in advance of lectures. There are gaps in

the notes that we will fill in on the visualiser in the lecture. It is
probably helpful to print the notes off before the lecture but
consistent page/example numbering should help you use written
notes.
Tutorials 1hr pw starting week 2:
50% additional examples or detailed explanation on board

50% time to ask questions about examples sheets
Elementary Economics Background
Financial Markets are where financial contracts are bought

and sold.
• Stock Markets, such as London Stock Exchange, etc.
• Bond Markets, where participants buy and sell debt securities.
• Futures and Option Markets, where derivatives are traded.
Financial Contract is a written agreement between two

parties to exchange payments according to some specified
criteria.
Holder is normally the buyer of a contract, who pays
money at the beginning in exchange for receiving some
payments at a later date.
Seller holds the opposite position to the holder, which
means they receive money at the beginning in exchange
for giving out some payments at a later date.
Example 1.1: Writing a Contract

Draw up a contract to sell a phone for a fixed price at some
future date.
Shares have been around for hundreds of years
as have bonds
and are still being issued today.
What is value?
Oscar Wilde
“A man who knows the price of everything and the value of
nothing...”
The market price of a contract is objective – it is the price

quoted on the market.
The values of a contract is subjective – two people may
value something differently.
We assume that the value of a contract is the price another
investor would be willing to pay in exchange for the
contract,
then value and price are the same and can be used
interchangeably.
What is Money?
Money is the circulating medium of exchange as secured by

the government (and hence its citizens).
We assume throughout that the value of the money in the

future will be worth less than it is now,
capitalistic government ensure this through monetary
policy.
Time value of money
How do we value money in the future? There are several ways...

Definition: Simple interest rate
For the interest rate r the value V (T ) at time T of holding P
units of currency starting at time t = 0:
V (T ) = (1 + rT )P (1)
where T is expressed in years.
Definition: Compound interest rate

r mT
V (T ) = 1 + P (2)
m
where m is the number interest payments made per annum.
Time value of money
Definition: Continuous compounding

For a constant interest rate r the time value of money under
continuous compounding is given by:
V (T ) = erT P. (3)
In the limit m → ∞,
we obtain the results above since
1 z
e = limz→∞ 1 + z .
Throughout this course we assume that the interest rate r will
be continuously compounded.
Time value of money
Example 1.2: Time value of money

Write down the value of an initial investment of £100 at t = 2
years with:
a simple interest rate with r = 0.05
a compound interest rate with r = 0.05 and two payments
per year
a continuously compounded interest rate with r = 0.05
Investing in Stocks and Shares
Investors are primarily interested in the return on investment.
Definition: Return
change in value over a period of time
return = (4)
initial investment
Example 1.3: Why Buy Shares?

Consider an investor has £1000 to spend. They see Apple
shares are trading £100 and they think it will go up to £125 by
the end of the year, and Google shares are trading at £50 and
they think it will go up to £65 by the end of the year.
Which shares should they invest in?
Historical Returns
A set of historical returns for the SMP-500 over nearly 50 years

with trends removed. We see noisy or stochastic behaviour in
the returns.
Absolute Daily Returns Relative Daily Returns
100 0.1
50 0.05
return
return
0 0
-50 -0.05
-100 -0.1
0 3650 7300 10950 14600 0 3650 7300 10950 14600
day day
Simple Model for Stock Price S(t)
Let S(t) represent the share price at time t. How to write a

simple model for this quantity?
• Return:
∆S
(5)
S
where ∆S = S(t + δt) − S(t)
In the limit δt → 0 :
dS
(6)
S
Modelling Return
Return:
dS
= µdt + σdW (7)
S
• µdt is a measure of the deterministic expected rate of growth
of the share price. In general, µ = µ(S, t). In simple models µ is
taken to be constant (µ = 0.1 yr−1 = 10 %yr−1 ).
• σdW describes the stochastic change in the share price, where

dW stands for
∆W = W (t + ∆t) − W (t)
as ∆t → 0
• W (t) is a Wiener process
1 1
• σ is the volatility (σ = 0.2 yr− 2 = 20 %yr− 2 )
Modelling Return
Example 1.4: Modelling Return

What does this model mean in words? What should be the
properties of the Weiner process to make it consistent with the
real data?
Stochastic differential equation for share
price
On the left we show computer simulations with µ = 0.08 and

σ = 0.1, on the right is the real data from yahoo finance.
dS = µSdt + σSdW
9000
8000
FTSE 100 Index St
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Time [yrs]
Lecture 2
1 Random Walks
2 Properties of Wiener Process
3 Approximation for Stock Price Equation
General Random Walk
In general to create a random walk we take successive

draws from a random distribution and add them together.
In a Markov random walk, each new draw should be
independent from the last.
Let a random distribution be defined as ∆W , and define
Wk as the value of the random walk at the kth step, then
we can write
Wk+1 = Wk + ∆W
or
k
X
Wk = ∆W.
Random Walk
To model stocks we use a normal distribution as the

random distribution.
We choose that normal distribution to be
∆W ∼ N (0, ∆t).
Example 2.1: Random Walks
Sketch this random walk with ∆t = 1. You

can use https://www.random.org to generate
random numbers.
Random Walk
Consider our discrete random walk as
X
Wk = ∆W
k
it is trivial to show that
Wk ∼ N (0, k∆t)
from standard properties of normal distributions.
Obviously if we write t = k∆t we have
W (t) ∼ N (0, t).
It can be shown in the limit ∆t → 0 we can write it as the
integral Z t
W (t) = dW
0
where
dW ∼ N (0, dt).
Wiener process
Definition
The standard Wiener process W (t) is a Gaussian random walk
process such that:
W (0) = 0
W (t) has independent increments: if u ≤ v ≤ s ≤ t, then
W (t) − W (s) and W (v) − W (u) are independent
W (s + t) − W (s) ∼ N (0, t)
W (t) has continuous paths
Wiener process
Example 2.2
Show that the following results hold:
E[W ] = 0;
E[W 2 ] = t;
E[∆W ] = 0;
E[(∆W )2 ] = ∆t;
1
∆W = X (∆t) 2 , where X ∼ N (0, 1) .
Wiener process
The probability density function for W (t) is
2
1 y
p(y, t) = √ exp −
2πt 2t
Rb
and P (a ≤ W (t) ≤ b) = a p(y, t)dt
• Simulations of a Wiener process:

3
1
Wt
-1
-2
-3
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1
t
Wiener process
Example 2.3: Wiener process pdf

Draw the probability distribution for the Weiner process. How
does this distribution change over time?
Approximation of SDE for small ∆t
• The increment ∆W = W (t + ∆t) − W (t) can be written as

1
∆W = X (∆t) 2 , where X is a random variable with normal
distribution with zero mean and unit variance: X ∼ N (0, 1)
• E[(∆W )] = 0 and E[(∆W )2 ] = ∆t.

Recall: equation for the stock price is
dS = µSdt + σSdW,
then 1
∆S ≈ µS∆t + σSX (∆t) 2
It means ∆S ∼ N µS∆t, σ 2 S 2 ∆t

Examples
Example 2.4
Consider a stock that has volatility 30% and provides expected
return of 15% p.a. Find the increase in stock price for one week
if the initial stock price is 100.
Answer: ∆S = 0.288 + 4.16X
Example 2.5
Given the result from Example 2.4, what is the distribution of
the stock price in that case after one week?
Examples
Example 2.6
Show that the return ∆S
S is normally distributed with mean
2
µ∆t and variance σ ∆t
Lecture 3
1 Itô’s Lemma
2 Distribution for ln S(t)
3 Solution to Stochastic Differential Equation for Stock Price
4 Examples
Itô’s Lemma
We assume that f (S, t) is a smooth function of S and t.
Find df if dS = µSdt + σSdW
• Volatility σ = 0

∂f ∂f ∂f ∂f
df = ∂t dt + ∂S dS = ∂t + µS ∂S dt
• Volatility σ 6= 0
Itô’s Lemma:

1 2 2 ∂2f
df = ∂f ∂t + µS ∂f
∂S + 2 σ S ∂S 2
∂f
dt + σS ∂S dW
Examples
Example 3.1: Itô’s Lemma

Find the SDE satisfied by f = S 2 .
Examples
Example 3.2: Itô’s Lemma

Show that the stochastic differential equation (SDE) for
f = ln S is:

σ2
ln(S(t)) = ln(S0 ) + µ − t + σW (t)
2
Hint: remember that adding together normal distributions

results in another normal distribution. This means that
constant coefficient SDE’s can be integrated using the result
Z t
dW = W (t).
0
Normal distribution for ln S(t)
Now we have found that

σ2
ln S(t) − ln S0 = µ − t + σW (t)
2
where S0 = S(0) is the initial stock price.
This means
ln 2S(t)
has a normal distribution with mean
σ
ln S0 + µ − 2 t and variance σ 2 t.
Normal distribution for ln S(t)
Example 3.3: Log normal distributions

Consider a stock with an initial price of 40, an expected return
of 16% and a volatility of 20%.
Find the probability distribution of ln S in six months.
Answer: ln S(0.5) ∼ N (3.759, 0.020)
Probability density function for ln S(t)
Recall that if the random variable X has a normal distribution
with mean µ and variance σ 2 , then the probability density
function is
1 (x − µ)2
p(x) = √ exp −
2πσ 2 2σ 2
N (µ, σ)
µ − 2σ µ µ + 2σ x
The probability density function of X = ln S(t) is

1 (x − ln S0 − (µ − σ 2 /2)t)2
√ exp −
2πσ 2 t 2σ 2 t
Exact expression for stock price S(t)
Definition
The model of a stock dS = µSdt + σSdW is known as
geometric Brownian motion.
The random function S(t) can be found from

σ2
ln(S(t)/S0 ) = µ − t + σW (t)
2
2

µ− σ2 t+σW (t)
Stock price at time t: S(t) = S0 e
Example 3.4: Exact Formula

Write down a formula for S(t) in terms of the standard normal
distribution.
Example 3.5: Sketching the pdf

Try to draw a sketch of the log-normal distribution for S(t).
Below we plot the lognormal distribution function for µ = 0,
σ = 0.4 and t = 1.

σ2
ln N µ− 2
t, σ 2 t
eµt 2eµt 3eµt St /S0
Lecture 4
1 Financial Derivatives
2 European Call and Put Options
3 Payoff Diagrams, Short Selling and Profit
Derivatives
A Derivative is a financial contract whose value depends on

the values of other underlying variables. Other names are
financial derivative, derivative security, derivative product.
A share option, for example, is a derivative whose value is
dependent on the share price.
Examples: forwards, futures, options, swaps, CDS, etc.

Options are very attractive to investors, both for
speculation and for hedging risk.
So what is an Option?
Trading Contracts
Real world financial contracts

A Spanish farmer signs a contract with Tescos to forward sell
100 Tons of oranges that must be delivered in June 2017 for the
agreed price e600 per Ton. Two possible outcomes:
weather is good, crop yields are high, and as a result
market price of oranges in June could be much lower than
e600 per Ton.
weather is bad, crop yields are low, and as a result market
price of oranges in June could be much higher than e600
per Ton.
Discussion Point
How would you think the parties agree on the price of oranges
in this contract?
Trading Contracts
Example 4.1: Selling a phone in the future

Draw a cartoon to illustrate the buying and selling of a contract
outlined in Lecture 1 - Paul to sell his phone for £300 on 5th
May 2018.
Example 4.2: Who wins?

Now on 5th May 2018, the p10 phone is trading at either £250
or £350. Who is happy in each case?
Example 4.3: Adding in an option

Now the holder wishes to include an option to cancel the
purchase. What happens when this new contract is agreed in
the two scenarios above?
Options on Stocks
Definition
European call option gives the holder the right (not obligation)
to buy the underlying asset at a prescribed time T (expiry
date/maturity) for a specified (exercise/strike) price E.
European put option gives its holder the right (not obligation)
to sell underlying asset at the expiry time T for the exercise
price E.
Example: European Call Options
Example 4.4: Payoff at expiry

Consider a three-month European call option on a BP share
with an exercise price E = 15 (T = 0.25). If you enter into this
contract you have the right but not the obligation to buy one
share for E = 15 in a three months time.
What happens at expiry if:

1 The share price is £25?
2 The share price is £5?
Option Payoff Diagrams
We denote by C(S, t) the value of European call option and

P (S, t) the value of European put option
Definition
Payoff Diagram is a graph of the value of the option position at
expiration t = T as a function of the underlying share price S.
Call price at t = T :
C(S, T ) = max (S − E, 0)

0, S ≤ E,
=
S − E, S > E.
Option Payoff Diagrams
Put price at t = T :
P (S, T ) = max (E − S, 0)

E − S, S ≤ E,
=
0, S > E.
Example 4.5: Payoff Diagram

Draw the payoff diagrams for a call option and a put option.
Profiting from Options
The profit (gain) of a call option holder (buyer) at time T is
max (S − E, 0) − C0 erT ,
where C0 is the initial call option price at t = 0.
Example 4.6: Option profits

Find the share price on the expiry date in three months, for a
European call option with an exercise price of £10 to give a
gain (profit) of £14 if the option is bought for £2.25, financed
by a loan with continuously compounded interest rate of 5%
Lecture 5
1 Portfolios: Straddle, Bull Spread, etc.
2 Bond and Risk-Free Interest Rate
3 No Arbitrage Principle
Portfolios and Short Selling
Definition
Short selling is the practice of selling assets that have been
borrowed from a broker with the intention of buying the same
assets back at a later date to return to the broker.
This technique is used by investors who try to profit from the
falling price of a stock.
Example 5.1:
Starting from zero, create a portfolio that is long or short one
share by borrowing or investing money.
Portfolios and Short Selling
Definition
Portfolio is a combination of assets, options and bonds.
We denote by Π the value of a portfolio. Example:

Π = 2S + 4C − 5P .
It means that the portfolio consists of long position in two
shares, long position in four call options and a short
position in five put options.
Example 5.2:
Draw the payoff diagrams for going both long and short on
both a put and call.
Option positions
C(S, T ) Long Call P (S, T ) Long Put
E E
0 0
E 2E ST E 2E ST
−C(S, T ) Short Call −P (S, T ) Short Put
0 0
ST ST
E E
E 2E E 2E
Trading Strategies Involving Options
Straddle is the purchase of a call and a put on the same
underlying security with the same maturity time T and strike
price E.
The value of portfolio is Π = C + P

Straddle is effective when an investor is confident that a
stock price will change dramatically, but is uncertain of the
direction of price move.
Short Straddle, Π = −C − P , profits when the underlying

security changes little in price before the expiration t = T .
Example 5.3:
Draw the payoff diagram for going long on a straddle and short
on a straddle.
Straddle
Example 5.4:
S0 = 40, E = 40, C0 = 2, P0 = 2.
Can you find the expected return if the stock price at T is given
by the following tree?
p= 3
4
60

S0 = 40
H HH
p= 1
4
20
Ans: 400%
Bull Spread
Bull spread is a strategy that is designed to profit from a
moderate rise in the price of the underlying security.
Let us set up a portfolio consisting of a long position in call

with strike price E1 and short position in call with E2 such that
E1 < E2 .
The value of this portfolio is Πt = Ct (E1 ) − Ct (E2 ). At

maturity t = T

 0, S ≤ E1 ,
ΠT = S − E1 , E1 ≤ S < E2 ,
E2 − E1 , S ≥ E2

Example 5.5:
Sketch the payoff diagram for a bull spread.
Risk-Free Interest Rate and Bonds
We assume the existence of a risk-free investment. Examples

are US government bonds or deposits in a sound bank. We
denote by B(t) the value of this investment.
Definition
A Bond is a contract that yields a known amount F , called the
face value, on a known time T , called the maturity date. The
authorised issuer (for example, government) owes the holder a
debt and is obliged to repay the face value at maturity and may
also pay interest (the coupon).
Zero-Coupon Bonds
A Zero-coupon bond does not pay any coupons and involves

only a single payment at T .
Example 5.7:
Write down the return on a risk free bond if the interest rates
are constant, and calculate the value of the bond if
B(t = T ) = F and r is constant.
No Arbitrage Principle
One of the key principles of financial mathematics is the No

Arbitrage Principle.
There are never opportunities to make risk-free profit

Arbitrage opportunity arises when a zero initial investment
Π0 = 0 is identified that guarantees non-negative payoff in
the future such that ΠT > 0 with non-zero probability.
Arbitrage opportunities may exist in a real market. But, they

cannot last for a long time.
Lecture 6
1 No-Arbitrage Principle
2 Put-Call Parity
3 Upper and Lower Bounds on Call Options
Risk
Example 6.1:
Two products are being sold on the market and they offer a
payoff according to some future events at time T . Everyone on
the market knows (and agrees on) the probabilities associated
the events. Product A is described by
Pays £500 with 50% probability at time T
Product B is described by
Imagine both products are available to buy at £750, which
offers the better investment?
Risk
Example 6.2:
Imagine there are two similar products being sold on the
market, where
Product A is described by
Imagine the products are available to buy at £800 and £200,
which offers the better investment?
Risk
Example 6.3:
Imagine there are two products being sold on the market, where
Product A is described by
What can we say about the price of these two products?
The key principle of financial mathematics is No Arbitrage

Principle.
All risk-free portfolios must have the same rate of return.

Let Π be the value of a risk-free portfolio, and dΠ is its
increment during a small period of time dt.
Then
dΠ
= rdt,
Π
where r is the risk-free interest rate.
Let Πt be the value of the portfolio at time t. If ΠT ≥ 0,
then Πt ≥ 0 for t < T .
Example 6.4:
Assume that there are two identical risk free products on the
market offering to pay the holder £10 on the same date T in
the future. Imagine that one of those products, Product A is
selling for £5 and the other Product B for £7. What happens?
Well, if everyone can make a free choice to buy either product
then everyone with choose to buy A, as it offers best value.
So in a market, can you say what happens to the demand (and

hence price) of each product?
Comparing Contracts
Now consider the situation when V and V̂ are two financial
contracts (or a portfolio as in notes) with a payoff that satisfies
the following condition under all circumstances (i.e. share
prices)
VT ≥ V̂T .
at maturity t = T . If no-arbitrage holds, then Vt ≥ V̂t for all t.
Note that simply taking portfolio Π = V − V̂ , we have

ΠT ≥ 0
and therefore Vt − V̂t ≥ 0 is true by no arbitrage.
Put-Call Parity
Example 6.5:
Consider a portfolio of the form
Π = S + P − C.
Calculate the payoff at maturity and by using no arbitrage

theory the so-called put-call parity:
St + Pt − Ct = Ee−r(T −t) .
Put-Call Parity
This relationship between St , Pt and Ct is called Put-Call Parity

which represents an example of complete risk elimination.
The Put-Call Parity (t = 0): S0 + P0 − C0 = Ee−rT .
It shows that the value of European call option can be
found from the value of European put option with the
same strike price and maturity:
C0 = P0 + S0 − Ee−rT .
Example 6.6:
Use this formula for a call option along with the No-Arbitrage
Theorem to derive a lower bound for the call option:
C0 ≥ S0 − Ee−rT
Examples
Example 6.7(a):
Find a lower bound for a six month European call option with
the strike price £35 when the initial stock price is £40 and the
risk-free interest rate is 5% p.a.
Example 6.7(b):
Consider the situation where the European call option is £4.
Show that there exists an arbitrage opportunity.
Lecture 7
1 Upper and Lower Bounds on Call and Put Options
2 Proof of Put-Call Parity by No-Arbitrage Principle
3 Example on Arbitrage Opportunity
Proving via “No Arbitrage”
No-Arbitrage Principle
“Arbitrage cannot exist in a market”
If we set the price of something and it allows for arbitrage

to exist, then the price we set is clearly wrong.
To prove Ct ≥ 0, first assume opposite is true
Ct < 0.
Then show that it leads to an arbitrage opportunity, this

contradicts our no arbitrage assumption.
Then
Ct ≥ 0
must hold true.
Upper and Lower Bounds on Call and Put
Options
Upper and Lower Bounds on Call and Put Option

(Examples Sheet 3 ):
S0 − Ee−rT ≤ C0 ≤ S0
Ee−rT − S0 ≤ P0 ≤ Ee−rT
Example 7.1:
Sketch the upper and lower bounds for a call
St − Ee−r(T −t) ≤ Ct ≤ St
and a put option
Ee−r(T −t) − St ≤ Pt ≤ Ee−r(T −t)
Proof of Put-Call Parity by contradiction
The value of European put option can be found as
P0 = C0 − S0 + Ee−rT .
Let us assume that the price of the put option P0 is too

high relative to the portfolio on the right hand side. If this
is the case then we can write
P0 > C0 − S0 + Ee−rT . (1)
Now let us prove this cannot be true because it contradicts

the “No-Arbitrage Principle”.
Proof of Put-Call Parity
Example 7.2:
Show that the correct portfolio for arbitrage will be
Π=C −P −S+B (2)
Example 7.3:
Find arbitrage and show that since our initial assumption on
the put price was false the following must hold true
Pt ≤ Ct − St + Ee−r(T −t) (3)
Showing that Pt > Ct − St + Ee−r(T −t) leads to arbitrage

allows us to prove that Pt ≤ Ct − St + Ee−r(T −t) must hold
It is relatively trivial to demonstrate the other side.
So let us now assume that the put option satisfies the
following condition
Pt < Ct − St + Ee−r(T −t) .
Example 7.4:
Show that the correct portfolio for arbitrage will be
Π=P −C +S−B
Example 7.5:
Find arbitrage and show that since our initial assumption on
the put price was false the following must hold true
Pt ≥ Ct − St + Ee−r(T −t)
Example on Arbitrage Opportunity
Taking the previous results together we have that
Pt = Ct − St + Ee−r(T −t)
Example 7.6:
Three month European call and put options with the exercise
price £12 are trading at £3 and £6 respectively. The stock
price is £8 and interest rate is 5%. Show that there exists
arbitrage opportunity.
1 Calculate bounds – what is too high/low?

2 Create portfolio – set to zero initially
3 Evaluate at maturity – profit guaranteed?
Lecture 8
1 One-Step Binomial Model for Option Price
2 Risk-Neutral Valuation
3 Examples
One-Step Binomial Model
Initial stock price is S0 . The stock price can either move up

from S0 to S0 u or down from S0 to S0 d ( u > 1; d < 1).
At time T , let the option price be Cu if the stock price moves

up, and Cd if the stock price moves down.
Example 8.1:
Sketch the binomial trees for the stock and option price.
The purpose is to find the current price C0 of a

European call option.
One-Step Binomial Model
From the figures we can calculate
E[ST ] = qS0 u + (1 − q)S0 d.
and
E[CT ] = qCu + (1 − q)Cd .
Example 8.2:
Can we use this expectation to price our option?
Risk-free Portfolio
Now, we set up a portfolio consisting of a long position in ∆

shares and short position in one call
Π = ∆S − C
Example 8.3
Using this portfolio show that this value for ∆
Cu − Cd
∆=
S0 (u − d)
gives a constant payoff ΠT = K at maturity.
No-Arbitrage Argument
Can we price this now? With no risk in the payoff the answer is
YES! If ΠT = K we have
Π0 = Ke−rT
since the payoff is fixed we just discount at the risk-free rate.

Example 8.4
Using this value for Π0 and ∆, sub back into earlier equations
and rearrange to obtain the following formula for the call option
price
C0 = e−rT [pCu + (1 − p)Cd ] .
Risk-Neutral Valuation
By no-arbitrage arguments we derive the current call
option price is
C0 = ∆S0 − (∆S0 u − Cu ) e−rT ,
where
Cu − Cd
∆=
S0 (u − d)
.
Alternatively, we can interpret this as a Risk-Neutral

Valuation
C0 = e−rT (pCu + (1 − p)Cd ) ,
where
erT − d
p= .
u−d
Our subjective probability of up movement q does not

appear in the final formula.
This is because ΠT = K same value on up or down
movement.
The value p appears in the formula and can be thought of
as a probability.
It is the probability implied by the market.
Fair price of a call option C0 is equal to the expected value
of its future payoff discounted at the risk-free interest rate.
For a put option P0 (or in fact any financial contract) we
have the same result
P0 = e−rT (pPu + (1 − p)Pd ) .
Example
Example 8.5:
A stock price is currently $40. At the end of three months it
will be either $44 or $36. The risk-free interest rate is 12%.
What is the value of three-month European call option with a
strike price of $42? Use no-arbitrage arguments and risk-neutral
valuation.
Lecture 9
1 Risk-Neutral Valuation
2 Risk-Neutral World
3 Two-Steps Binomial Tree
Reminder from Lecture 8. . .

Call option price:
C0 = e−rT (pCu + (1 − p)Cd ) ,

erT −d
where p = u−d .
Example 9.1:
Show that in order for No-Arbitrage to hold in a one step
binomial tree model we require
d < erT < u
and hence
0 ≤ p ≤ 1.
Risk Neutral Valuation
We interpret the variable 0 ≤ p ≤ 1 as the probability of an

up movement in the stock price.
This formula is known as a risk-neutral valuation.
The probability of up q or down movement 1 − q in the
stock price plays no role whatsoever! Why???
Risk Neutral Valuation
Let us find the expected stock price at t = T :

erT −d erT −d
Ep [ST ] = pS0 u+(1−p)S0 d = u−d S0 u+(1− u−d )S0 d = S0 erT .
This shows that stock price grows on average at the risk-free

interest rate r. Since the expected return is r, this is a
risk-neutral world.
In the Real World: In a Risk-Neutral World:

E [ST ] = S0 eµT Ep [ST ] = S0 erT
Two-Step Binomial Tree
Example 9.2:
What is a Risk-Neutral World?
Risk-Neutral Valuation:
C0 = e−rT Ep [CT ]
The option price is the expected payoff in a risk-neutral

world, discounted at risk-free rate r.
Two-Step Binomial Tree
Now the stock price changes twice, each time by either a

factor of u > 1 or d < 1.
Assume that the length of the time step is ∆t such that
T = 2∆t.
After two time steps the stock price will be S0 u2 , S0 ud or
S0 d2 .
Example 9.3:
Draw the two step tree for stock prices.
Option Price
The call option expires after two time steps producing

payoffs of Cuu , Cud and Cdd respectively.
Example 9.4:
Write down formula for Cuu , Cud and Cdd in terms of S0 , E, u
and d.
Option Price
Example 9.5:
Draw and annotate the two step tree for option prices.
We apply the risk-neutral valuation backward in time:
Cu = e−r∆t (pCuu + (1 − p)Cud )
Cd = e−r∆t (pCud + (1 − p)Cdd ) .

Current option price:
C0 = e−r∆t (pCu + (1 − p)Cd ) .
Option Price
Example 9.6:
Substitution gives
C0 = e−2r∆t p2 Cuu + 2p(1 − p)Cud + (1 − p)2 Cdd ,

(1)
for the option price. What do p2 , 2p(1 − p) and (1 − p)2

represent?
Option Price
Finally, the current call option price is
C0 = e−rT Ep [CT ] , T = 2∆t.
The current put option price can be found in the same way:
P0 = e−2r∆t p2 Puu + 2p(1 − p)Pud + (1 − p)2 Pdd

or
P0 = e−rT Ep [PT ] .
Two-Step Binomial Tree Example
Example 9.7:
Consider six months European put with a strike price of £32 on
a stock with current price £40. There are two time steps and in
each time step the stock price either moves up by 20% or moves
down by 20%. Risk-free interest rate is 10%. Find the current
option price.
Lecture 10
1 Binomial Model for Stock Price
2 Option Pricing on Binomial Tree
3 Matching Volatility σ with u and d
Binomial model for the stock price
Continuous random model for the stock price:

dS = µSdt + σSdW
The binomial model for the stock price is a discrete time model:
The stock price S changes only at discrete times ∆t, 2∆t,

3∆t, ...
The price either moves up S → Su or down S → Sd with

d < er∆t < u.
The probability of up movement is q.
Stock Price Movement in the Binomial Model
Let us build up a tree of possible stock prices. The tree is called

a binomial tree, because the stock price will either move up or
down at the end of each time period. Each node represents a
possible future stock price.
We divide the time to expiration T into several time steps of

duration ∆t = T /N , where N is the number of time steps in the
tree.
Example 10.3: Let us sketch the binomial tree for N = 4.
We introduce the following notations:
Snm is the n-th possible value of stock price at time-step

m∆t.
Then Snm = un dm−n S00 , where n = 0, 1, 2, ..., m.
S00 is the stock price at the time t = 0. Note that u and d are
the same at every node in the tree.
For example, at the third time-step 3∆t, there are four possible
stock prices: S03 = d3 S00 , S13 = ud2 S00 , S23 = u2 dS00 and
S33 = u3 S00 .
At the final time-step N ∆t, there are N + 1 possible values of

stock price.
Call Option Pricing on Binomial Tree
Example 10.4: Let us sketch the option tree for N = 4.
We denote by Cnm the n-th possible value of call option at
time-step m∆t.
Risk Neutral Valuation (backward in time):
Cnm = e−r∆t pCn+1

m+1
+ (1 − p)Cnm+1 .

er∆t −d
Here 0 ≤ n ≤ m and p = u−d .
Final condition: CnN = max SnN − E, 0 , where

n = 0, 1, 2, ..., N , E is the strike price.
The current option price C00 is the expected payoff in a

risk-neutral world, discounted at risk-free rate r:
C00 = e−rT Ep [CT ] .
Call Option Pricing on Binomial Tree
Example: N = 4.
Matching volatility σ with u and d
We assume that the stock price starts at the value S0 and the
time step is ∆t. Let us find the expected stock price, E [S] , and
the variance of the return, var ∆S

S , for continuous and
discrete models.
Expected stock price: Continuous model: E [S] = S0 eµ∆t .

On the binomial tree: E [S] = qS0 u + (1 − q)S0 d.
Example 10.6: First equation: qu + (1 − q)d = eµ∆t .
Variance
of the return: Continuous model:
var ∆SS = σ 2 ∆t (Lecture 2)
Example 10.7: On the binomial tree: var ∆S

S =
q(u − 1)2 + (1 − q)(d − 1)2 − [q(u − 1) + (1 − q)(d − 1)]2 =
2
qu2 + (1 − q)d2 − [qu + (1 − q)d] . 2
2
Recall: var [X] = E X − [E (X)] .
Second equation: qu2 + (1 − q)d2 − [qu + (1 − q)d]2 = σ 2 ∆t.

Third equation: u = d−1 .
eµ∆t −d
From the first equation we find q = u−d .
This is the probability of an up movement in the real world.

Substituting this probability into the second equation, we
obtain
eµ∆t (u + d) − ud − e2µ∆t = σ 2 ∆t.
Using u = d−1 , we get
1
eµ∆t (u + ) − 1 − e2µ∆t = σ 2 ∆t.
u
This equation can be reduced to the quadratic equation.
(Examples Sheet 4 , part 5).
From
1
eµ∆t (u + ) − 1 − e2µ∆t = σ 2 ∆t.
u
√ √ √
one can obtain u ≈ eσ ∆t ≈ 1 + σ ∆t and d ≈ e−σ ∆t .
These are the values of u and d obtained by Cox, Ross, and

Rubinstein in 1979.
Recall: ex ≈ 1 + x for small x.
Lecture 11
1 American Put Option Pricing on Binomial Tree
2 Replicating Portfolio
American Option
An American Option is one that may be exercised at any
time prior to expire (t = T ).
We should determine when it is best to exercise the option.
It is not subjective! It can be determined in a systematic

way!
The American put option value must be greater than or

equal to the payoff function.
Example 11.2: If P < max(E − S, 0), then there is obvious

arbitrage opportunity.
We can buy stock for S and option for P and immediately

exercise the option by selling stock for E.
E − (P + S) > 0
American Put Option on a Binomial Tree
We denote by Pnm the n-th possible value of put option at
time-step m∆t.
European Put Option:

Pnm = e−r∆t pPn+1
m+1
+ (1 − p)Pnm+1 .

Here 0 ≤ n ≤ m and the risk-neutral probability

r∆t
p = e u−d−d .
American Put Option:

Pnm = max max(E − Snm , 0), e−r∆t pPn+1
m+1
+ (1 − p)Pnm+1 ,

where Snm is the n-th possible value of stock price at

time-step m∆t.
Final condition: PnN = max E − SnN , 0 , where

n = 0, 1, 2, ..., N , E is the strike price.

Example
Example 11.4: Evaluation of American Put Option on
Two-Step Tree:
We assume that over each of the next two years the stock
price either moves up by 20% or moves down by 20%. The
risk-free interest rate is 5%.
Find the value of a 2-year American put with a strike price
of $52 on a stock whose current price is $50.
In this case u = 1.2, d = 0.8, r = 0.05, E = 52.

e0.05 −0.8
Risk-neutral probability: p= 1.2−0.8 = 0.6282
Replicating Portfolio
The aim here is to calculate the value of call option C0 .
Let us establish a portfolio of stocks and bonds in such a way

that the payoff of a call option is completely replicated.
Final value: ΠT = CT = max (S − E, 0)
To prevent risk-free arbitrage opportunity, the current values

should be identical. We say that the portfolio replicates the
option.
The Law of One Price: Πt = Ct .
Consider replicating portfolio of ∆ shares held long and N

bonds held short.
The value of portfolio: Π = ∆S − N B. A pair (∆, N ) is called a
trading strategy.
Task
How to find (∆, N ) such that ΠT = CT and Π0 = C0 ?
Example: One-Step Binomial Model.
Example 11.5: Initial stock price is S0 . The stock price can

either move up from S0 to S0 u or down from S0 to S0 d. At time
T , let the option price be Cu if the stock price moves up, and
Cd if the stock price moves down.
The value of portfolio: Π = ∆S − N B.
When stock moves up: ∆S0 u − N B0 erT = Cu .
When stock moves down: ∆S0 d − N B0 erT = Cd .
We have two equations for two unknown variables ∆ and
N.
Current value: C0 = ∆S0 − N B0 .
erT −d
Prove: C0 = e−rT (pCu + (1 − p)Cd ) , where p = u−d .
(Examples Sheet 5 )
Lecture 12
1 Black-Scholes Model
2 Black-Scholes Equation
The Black-Scholes model for option pricing was developed by

Fischer Black, Myron Scholes in the early 1970’s. This model is
the most important result in financial mathematics.
Black - Scholes model
The Black-Scholes model is used to calculate a call price using:

stock price , strike price E, volatility, time to expiration, and
risk free interest rate.
The Black - Scholes model involves several explicit assumptions.
Over the years since the first derivation they have all been
relaxed to try and make the model more realistic.
Black - Scholes Assumptions
Assumptions
One can borrow and lend cash at a constant risk-free
interest rate.
The stock price follows a Geometric Brownian motion with
constant expected return and volatility.
No transaction costs.
The stock does not pay dividends.
Securities are perfectly divisible (i.e. one can buy any
fraction of a share of stock).
No restrictions on short selling.
Basic Notation
We denote by V (S, t) the value of an option. We use the

notations C(S, t) and P (S, t) for the value of a call and a put
when the distinction is important.
Task
To derive the famous Black-Scholes Equation:
First, we set up a portfolio consisting of a long position in one

option and a short position in ∆ shares. The value of the
portfolio is Π = V − ∆S.
Task
To find the number of shares that makes this portfolio risk free.
Itô’s Lemma and Elimination of Risk
The change in the value of this portfolio in the time interval dt

is: dΠ = dV − ∆dS, where dS = µSdt + σSdW .
Using Itô’s lemma:
1 2 2 ∂2V

∂V ∂V ∂V
dV = + σ S 2
+ µS dt + σS dW
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S ∂S
we get
1 2 2 ∂2V

∂V ∂V ∂V
dΠ = + σ S + µS − ∆µS dt+ σS − ∆σS dW
∂t 2 ∂S 2 ∂S ∂S
How to eliminate risk?

∂V
Choose ∆ = ∂S .
Black-Scholes Equation
∂V
This choice results in a risk-free portfolio Π = V − ∂S S whose
increment is
1 2 2 ∂2V

∂V
dΠ = + σ S dt
∂t 2 ∂S 2
No-Arbitrage Principle
The return on a risk-free portfolio must be rdt.
so we get
dΠ
= rdt
Π
and 2
∂V
∂t + 12 σ 2 S 2 ∂∂SV2
∂V
=r
V − ∂S S
Black-Scholes Equation
Which we can write as

∂2V

∂V 1 ∂V
+ σ2S 2 2 = r V − S
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
and finally we obtain the Black-Scholes equation
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V
+ σ 2 S 2 2 + rS − rV = 0
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
Scholes received the 1997 Nobel Prize in Economics. It was not
awarded to Black in 1997, because he died in 1995.
Black received a Ph.D. in applied mathematics from Harvard
University.
European Call Option Value
If a PDE is of backward type, we must impose a final condition
at t = T . For a call option, we have
C(S, t = T ) = max(S − E, 0).
Figure: Plot of a European Call Option value against stock

price.
E
C(S, t = 0)
C(S, t = T )
0
E 2E ST
Lecture 13
1 Boundary Conditions for Call and Put Options
2 Exact Solution to the Black-Scholes Equation
Boundary Conditions
We use C(S, t) and P (S, t) for call and put options. Boundary
conditions are applied for zero stock price S = 0 and S → ∞.
Examples 13.1 and 13.2: Boundary conditions for a call
option:
C(0, t) = 0 and C(S, t) → S as S → ∞
The call option will never be exercised if S = 0.

The call option is certain to be exercised as S → ∞.
Example 13.3: Boundary conditions for a put option:
P (0, t) = Ee−r(T −t) and P (S, t) → 0 as S→∞
If St = 0 then the put is just the present value of E.

The put option is never exercised as S → ∞.
Exact Solution
The Black-Scholes equation
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V
+ σ 2 S 2 2 + rS − rV = 0
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
with appropriate final and boundary conditions has the explicit
solution:
C(S, t) = SN (d1 ) − Ee−r(T −t) N (d2 ),
where
Z x
1 y2
N (x) = √ e− 2 dy (cumulative normal distribution)
2π −∞
and
ln(S/E) + (r + σ 2 /2)(T − t) √
d1 = √ , d2 = d1 − σ T − t.
σ T −t
Call Price Premium
E Maximum Value

Actual Value Speculative Value



Intrinsic Value



0
0 E ST
Example
Example 13.5: Calculate the price of a three-month European
call option on a stock with a strike price of £25 when the
current stock price is £21.6. The volatility is 35% and the
risk-free interest rate is 1% p.a.
Example
In this case S0 = 21.6, E = 25, T = 0.25, σ = 0.35 and r = 0.01.
The value of a call option is C0 = S0 N (d1 ) − Ee−rT N (d2 ).
First we compute the values of d1 and d2 :
ln(S0 /E) + (r + σ 2 /2)T

d1 = √
σ T
ln(21.6/25) + (0.01 + (0.35)2 /2) × 0.25
= √ ≈ −0.7335
0.35 × 0.25
√ √
d2 = d1 − σ T = −0.7335 − 0.35 × 0.25 ≈ −0.9085
Since
N (−0.7335) ≈ 0.2316, N (−0.9085) ≈ 0.1818,
we obtain
C0 ≈ 21.6 × 0.2316 − 25 × e−0.01×0.25 × 0.1818
C0 ≈ 0.4689
The Limit of Higher Volatility
Example 13.6: Let us find the limit
lim C(S, t).

σ→∞
We know that
C(S, t) = SN (d1 ) − Ee−r(T −t) N (d2 ),
and
ln(S/E) + (r + σ 2 /2)(T − t)
d1 = √
σ T −t
can be written as
√ √
ln(S/E) r T −t σ T −t
d1 = √ + +
σ T −t σ 2
Then in the limit σ → ∞, d1 → ∞.
The Limit of Higher Volatility
√
Now since d2 = d1 − σ T − t, in the limit σ → ∞, d2 → −∞.
Thus limσ→∞ N (d1 ) = 1 and limσ→∞ N (d2 ) = 0.
Therefore
lim C(S, t) = S.
σ→∞
and this is the upper bound (or maximum value) for the call
option!!!
Lecture 14
1 ∆-Hedging
2 The Greeks
Delta for European Call Option
∂C
Example 14.2: Let us show that ∆ = ∂S = N (d1 ).
First, find the derivative ∆ = ∂C

∂S by using the explicit solution
for the European call C(S, t) = SN (d1 ) − Ee−r(T −t) N (d2 ).
∂C ∂d1 ∂d2
∆= = N (d1 ) + SN 0 (d1 ) − Ee−r(T −t) N 0 (d2 )
∂S ∂S ∂S
∂d
1
= N (d1 ) + SN 0 (d1 ) − Ee−r(T −t) N 0 (d2 )
∂S
We need to prove

SN 0 (d1 ) − Ee−r(T −t) N 0 (d2 ) = 0.
See Examples Sheet 7.
Delta-Hedging Example
Example 14.3: Find the value of ∆ for a 6-month European call
option on a stock with a strike price equal to the current stock
price (t = 0). The interest rate is 6% p.a. and the volatility
σ = 0.16.
Delta-Hedging Example
Now for a delta hedge on a call option we have ∆ = N (d1 ),

where
ln(S/E) + (r + σ 2 /2)(T − t)
d1 = √ .
σ T −t
We find
ln(1) + (0.06 + (0.16)2 × 0.5) × 0.5

d1 = √ ≈ 0.3217
0.16 × 0.5
and therefore
∆ = N (0.3217) ≈ 0.6262
Delta for European Put Option
Example 14.4: Let us find the Delta for a European put option
by using the put-call parity:
S + P − C = Ee−r(T −t) .
Differentiate it with respect to S to get

∂P ∂C
1+ − = 0.
∂S ∂S
Then rearrange to get

∂P ∂C
= − 1 = N (d1 ) − 1.
∂S ∂S
Greeks
The option value: V = V ( S, t ; σ, r, T ).

|{z} | {z }
variables parameters
Greeks represent the sensitivities of options to a change in an

underlying variable or parameter on which the value of an
option is dependent.
Delta:
∆ = ∂V
∂S measures the rate of change of option value with
respect to changes in the underlying stock price
Gamma:
2
Γ = ∂∂SV2 = ∂∆
∂S measures the rate of change in ∆ with
respect to changes in the underlying stock price.
N 0 (d1 )
See Examples Sheet 7. Γ = √
Sσ T −t
.
Greeks
Vega:
∂V
∂σ measures the sensitivity to volatility σ.
√ 0
One can show that ∂V
∂σ = S T − tN (d1 )
Rho:
∂V
ρ= ∂r measures the sensitivity to interest rate r.
One can show that ρ = E(T − t)e−r(T −t) N (d2 ).
The Greeks are important tools in financial risk management.

Each Greek measures the sensitivity of the value of derivatives
or a portfolio to a small change in a given underlying parameter.
Lecture 15
1 Black-Scholes Equation and Replicating Portfolio
2 Static and Dynamic Risk-Free Portfolio
The aim is to show that the option price V (S, t) satisfies the
Black-Scholes equation
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V
+ σ 2 S 2 2 + rS − rV = 0
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
Consider replicating portfolio of ∆ shares held long and N
bonds held short. The value of the portfolio is: Π = ∆S − N B.
Recall that a pair (∆, N ) is called a trading strategy.
Example 15.2: How to find (∆, N ) such that Πt = Vt ?
SDE for a stock price S(t): dS = µSdt + σSdW .
Equation for a bond price B(t): dB = rBdt.
By using Itô’s lemma, we find the change in option value
∂2V

∂V ∂V 1 ∂V
dV = + µS + σ 2 S 2 2 + σS dW
∂t ∂S 2 ∂S ∂S
By using self-financing requirement that dΠ = ∆dS − N dB, we

find the change in portfolio value as
dΠ = ∆(µSdt + σSdW ) − N rBdt = (∆µS − rN B)dt + ∆σSdW
Equating the last two equations dΠ = dV , we obtain

1 2 2 ∂2V
∆ = ∂V
∂S , − rN B = ∂V
∂t + 2 σ S .
∂V
∂S 2
Since N B = ∆S − Π = ∂S S − V , we get the classical
Black-Scholes equation
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V
+ σ 2 S 2 2 + rS − rV = 0.
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
Static Risk-free Portfolio
Let us remember the Put-Call Parity. We set up the portfolio
consisting of a long position in one stock, long position in one
put and a short position in one call both with the same
maturity and strike price. Then the value of the portfolio is
Π = S + P − C.
The payoff for this portfolio is
ΠT = S + max(E − S, 0) − max(S − E, 0) = E
The payoff is always the same whatever the stock price is at t = T .

Using the No-Arbitrage Principle, we obtain
St + Pt − Ct = Ee−r(T −t) .
This is an example of complete risk elimination.
Definition
The risk of a portfolio is the variance of the return.
Dynamic Risk-free Portfolio
Put-Call Parity is an example of complete risk elimination when

we carry out only one transaction in call/put options and
underlying security.
Let us consider the dynamics risk elimination procedure.
We could set up a portfolio consisting of a long position in one
call option and a short position in ∆ shares.
The value is Π = C − ∆S.
We can eliminate the random component in Π by choosing
∂C
∆= .
∂S
This is a ∆-hedging strategy! It required a continuous
rebalancing of the number of shares in the portfolio Π.
Lecture 16
1 Options on Dividend-Paying Stock
2 American Put Option
Options on Dividend-Paying Stock
We assume that in a time dt the underlying stock pays out a

dividend D0 Sdt where D0 is a constant dividend yield.
Now, we set up a portfolio consisting of a long position in one

call option and a short position in ∆ shares.
The value is Π = C − ∆S.
The change in value of this portfolio in the time interval dt:
dΠ = dC − ∆dS − ∆D0 Sdt.
Using Itô’s Lemma:
1 2 2 ∂2C

∂C ∂C
dC = + σ S 2
dt + dS
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
we find
1 2 2 ∂2C

∂C ∂C
dΠ = + σ S − ∆D0 S dt + dS − ∆dS
∂t 2 ∂S 2 ∂S
We can eliminate the random component in dΠ by choosing

∆ = ∂C
∂S .
Modified Black-Scholes Equation
This choice results in a risk-free portfolio Π = C − S ∂C

∂S
whose increment is
1 2 2 ∂2C

∂C ∂C
dΠ = + σ S − D0 S dt.
∂t 2 ∂S 2 ∂S
No-Arbitrage Principle: the return from this portfolio must

be rdt.
∂C 1 2 2 ∂ 2 C

dΠ ∂C ∂C
= rdt or + σ S −D0 S =r C −S .
Π ∂t 2 ∂S 2 ∂S ∂S
Thus we obtain the modified Black-Scholes PDE:

∂C 1 ∂2C ∂C
+ σ 2 S 2 2 + (r − D0 )S − rC.
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
Solution to the Modified Black-Scholes
Equation
Let us find the solution to the modified Black-Scholes equation
in the form
C(S, t) = e−D0 (T −t) C1 (S, t).
Task
Prove that C1 satisfies the Black-Scholes equation with r
replaced by r − D0 .
If we substitute C(S, t) = e−D0 (T −t) C1 (S, t) into the modified

Black-Scholes equation, we find the equation for C1 in the form
∂C1 1 2 2 ∂ 2 C1 ∂C1
+ σ S 2
+ (r − D0 )S − (r − D0 )C1 .
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
The auxiliary function C1 (S, t) is the value of a European Call
option with interest rate r − D0 .
Solution to the Modified Black-Scholes
Equation
Examples Sheet 8: show that the modified Black-Scholes

equation has the explicit solution for the European call
C(S, t) = Se−D0 (T −t) N (d10 ) − Ee−r(T −t) N (d20 ),
where
ln(S/E) + (r − D0 + σ 2 /2)(T − t)
d10 = √
σ T −t
and √
d20 = d10 − σ T − t
American Put Option
Recall that an American Option is one that may be exercised at

any time prior to expiry (t = T ).
The American put option value must be greater than or
equal to the payoff function.
If P < max(E − S, 0), then there is an obvious arbitrage

opportunity.
Valuing a contract such as this can be very difficult and

there are no explicit analytic solutions for the American
put option.
American Put Option
The American put problem can be written as a free boundary

problem (commonly found in fluid mechanics).
We divide the price axis S into two distinct regions:
0 ≤ S ≤ Sf (t) and Sf (t) < S < ∞,
where Sf (t) is the exercise boundary. Note that we do not

know a priori the value of Sf (t).
When S > Sf (t), early exercise is not optimal and P (S, t)
satisfies the Black-Scholes equation.
The boundary conditions at S = Sf (t) are
∂P
P (Sf (t), t) = max(E − Sf (t), 0), (Sf (t), t) = −1.
∂S
Lecture 17
1 Bond Pricing with Known Interest Rates and Coupon

Payments
2 Zero-Coupon Bond Pricing
Bond Pricing Equation
Definition
A bond is a contract that yields a known amount (nominal,
principal or face value) on the maturity date, t = T . The bond
may pay a coupon (interest payment) at fixed times.
If there is no coupon payment, the bond is known as a

zero-coupon bond.
Let us introduce the following notation:

V (t) is the value of the bond, r(t) is the interest rate, and K(t)
is the coupon payment rate.
Equation for the bond price
dV
= r(t)V − K(t).
dt
The final condition is: V (T ) = F .
Zero-Coupon Bond Pricing
Example 17.3: Let us consider the case when the coupon

payment rate is K(t) = 0.
dV
The solution of the equation dt = r(t)V with V (T ) = F can be
written as
Z T
V (t) = F exp − r(s)ds .
t
dV
Let us show this by integrating V = r(t)dt from t to T .
Z T
ln V (T ) − ln V (t) = r(s)ds
t
or Z T
V (t)
ln =− r(s)ds
F t
Example
Example 17.4: A zero-coupon bond, V , issued at time t = 0, is
worth V (t = 1) = 1 at maturity T = 1. Find the bond price
V (t) at time t < 1 and V (0), when the continuous interest rate
is
r(t) = t2 .
Example
Solution: Since maturity is T = 1, one can find

Z 1 Z 1
1 1
r(s)ds = s2 ds = − t3
t t 3 3
Therefore
Z 1 3
t −1
V (t) = exp − r(s)ds = exp ,
t 3
and
1
V (0) = exp − = 0.7165
3
Bond Pricing for Continuous Coupon Bonds
Let us consider the case when the continuous coupon payment

rate K(t) > 0. The solution of the equation dV
dt = r(t)V − K(t)
can be written as
Z T
V (t) = F exp − r(s)ds + V1 (t),
t
where Z T
V1 (t) = C(t) exp − r(s)ds
t
It can be shown that this gives the explicit solution
Z T Z T Z T
V (t) = exp − r(s)ds F + K(y) exp r(s)ds dy ,
t t y
See See Examples Sheet 9 for details.
Lecture 18
1 Measure of Future Values of Interest Rate
2 Term Structure of Interest Rates (Yield Curve)
Measure of Future Value of Interest Rate
Recall that the solution of the zero-coupon bond is

Z T
V (t) = F exp − r(s)ds .
t
Now let us introduce the notation V (t, T ) for bond prices. Bond
prices are usually quoted at time t for different value of T .
Yield
We define
ln(V (t, T )) − ln(V (T, T ))
Y (t, T ) = − ,
T −t
as a measure of the future values of interest rate, where V (t, T )
is taken from financial data.
Then we can write

R
T
ln F exp − t r(s)ds − ln F
Y (t, T ) = −
T −t
so that Z T
1
Y (t, T ) = r(s)ds
T −t t
Measure of Future Value of Interest Rate
Let us differentiate V (t, T ) with respect to T :

Z T
∂V (t, T )
= F exp − r(s)ds (−r(T )) = −V (t, T )r(T ),
∂T t
therefore
1 ∂V (t, T )
r(T ) = − ,
V (t, T ) ∂T
This is the interest rate at the future date T
(forward rate).
Term Structure of Interest Rates (Yield
Curve)
We can say that Y (t, T ) is the average value of the interest rate
r(t) in the time interval [t, T ]. Therefore the bond price can be
written as
V (t, T ) = F e−Y (t,T )(T −t)
We define the term structure of interest rates (yield curve):
T
ln(V (0, T )) − ln(V (T, T ))
Z
1
Y (0, T ) = − = r(s)ds
T T 0
as the average value of interest rate in the future.
Example
Example 18.4: Assume that the instantaneous interest rate r(t)

is
r(t) = r0 + at,
where r0 and a are positive constants.
Bond Price:
RT RT
V (t, T ) = F e− t r(s)ds
= F e− t (r0 +as)ds
.
a 2 −t2 )
V (t, T ) = F e−r0 (T −t)− 2 (T .
Term structure of interest rate:
1 T
Z
aT
Y (0, T ) = r(s)ds = r0 + .
T 0 2
Risk of Default
There exists a risk of a default bond, V (t, T ), when the

principal is not paid to lender as promised by the borrower.
How can we take this into account?
Consider a 1 year bond, V (0, 1), that has probability p of
defaulting on repayments
Bond Tree: Price:
u0 V (0, 1) = e−r (F (1 − p) + 0.p)

p
and therefore the yield is
u

V (0, 1) H
HH Y (0, 1) = − ln(e−r F (1 − p)) + ln F
HH
1−p Hu Y (0, 1) = r − ln(1 − p)
F
Risk of Default
In this case the bond has a yield of the form
Y (0, 1) = r + s
and the positive parameter s is called the yield spread w.r.t

risk-free interest rate r.
Let us find it:
s = − ln(1 − p) = p + O(p2 ) ≈ p
which means that the spread is approximately the probability

of default in that year.
In fact, if we model default as a Poisson process with intensity
λ(t) we find the yield spread is
1 T
Z
s(T ) = λ(s)ds
T 0
Lecture 19
1 Asian Options
2 Derivation of a PDE for Asian Options
Asian Options
Definition
An Asian Option is a contract giving the holder the right to
buy/sell an underlying asset for its average price over some
prescribed period.
The floating strike Asian put option has the final condition:
1 T
Z
V (S, T ) = max S − S(t)dt, 0 .
T 0
We introduce a new variable:
Z t
dI
I(t) = S(t)dt or = S(t).
0 dt
The final condition can now be written as

I
V (S, I, T ) = max S − , 0 .
T
Using Itô’s lemma:
1 2 2 ∂2V

∂V ∂V ∂V
dV = + σ S 2
dt + dS + dI
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S ∂I
and setting up a hedging portfolio we find
1 2 2 ∂2V

∂V ∂V ∂V
dΠ = + σ S 2
dt + dS − ∆dS + dI
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S ∂I
We can eliminate the random component in dΠ by choosing

∆ = ∂V
∂S .
Modified Black-Scholes Equation
By using No-Arbitrage Principle, and the equation
dI = Sdt
we can obtain the modified Black-Scholes PDE for the Asian

option price:
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V ∂V
+ σ 2 S 2 2 + rS − rV + S =0
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S ∂I
The value of an Asian option must be calculated numerically
(no analytic solution!).

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Introduction to Financial Mathematics

2 Time Value of Money

3 Continuous Model for Stock Price

MATH20912 Introduction to Financial Mathematics

Lecturer in Financial Mathematics

• J. Hull, Options, Futures and Other Derivatives, 7th Edition,

Test in week 6, 12pm Friday 9th March: 20%

Monday 9am-10am Stopford Building Theatre 1

Notes will be provided in advance of lectures. There are gaps in

50% additional examples or detailed explanation on board

Financial Markets are where financial contracts are bought

• Stock Markets, such as London Stock Exchange, etc.

• Bond Markets, where participants buy and sell debt securities.

• Futures and Option Markets, where derivatives are traded.

Financial Contract is a written agreement between two

Example 1.1: Writing a Contract

Shares have been around for hundreds of years

and are still being issued today.

The market price of a contract is objective – it is the price

Money is the circulating medium of exchange as secured by

We assume throughout that the value of the money in the

How do we value money in the future? There are several ways...

where T is expressed in years.

Definition: Compound interest rate

Definition: Continuous compounding

Example 1.2: Time value of money

Investors are primarily interested in the return on investment.

Example 1.3: Why Buy Shares?

A set of historical returns for the SMP-500 over nearly 50 years

Let S(t) represent the share price at time t. How to write a

• σdW describes the stochastic change in the share price, where

Example 1.4: Modelling Return

On the left we show computer simulations with µ = 0.08 and

2 Properties of Wiener Process

3 Approximation for Stock Price Equation

In general to create a random walk we take successive

To model stocks we use a normal distribution as the

Example 2.1: Random Walks

Sketch this random walk with ∆t = 1. You

• Simulations of a Wiener process:

Example 2.3: Wiener process pdf

• The increment ∆W = W (t + ∆t) − W (t) can be written as

• E[(∆W )] = 0 and E[(∆W )2 ] = ∆t.

Answer: ∆S = 0.288 + 4.16X

2 Distribution for ln S(t)

3 Solution to Stochastic Differential Equation for Stock Price

We assume that f (S, t) is a smooth function of S and t.

Find df if dS = µSdt + σSdW

Example 3.1: Itô’s Lemma

Example 3.2: Itô’s Lemma

Hint: remember that adding together normal distributions

Now we have found that

where S0 = S(0) is the initial stock price.

Example 3.3: Log normal distributions

Answer: ln S(0.5) ∼ N (3.759, 0.020)

The probability density function of X = ln S(t) is

The random function S(t) can be found from

Example 3.4: Exact Formula

Example 3.5: Sketching the pdf

eµt 2eµt 3eµt St /S0

2 European Call and Put Options

3 Payoff Diagrams, Short Selling and Profit

A Derivative is a financial contract whose value depends on

Examples: forwards, futures, options, swaps, CDS, etc.