Sunteți pe pagina 1din 17

ANALISIS DE TENDENCIA

ESTACION: TIMICURILLO PROVINCIA: MAYNAS


DEPARTAMENTO: LORETO DISTRITO: INDIANA
ALTITUD: 106 msnm

PRECIPITACION ACUMULADA MENSUAL (mm)


600
AÑO ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL
1992 250 310 314 348
1993 309 258 336 500 399
1994 166 144 199 364
1995 545 214 320 400 361
1996 172 507 317 450
1997 161 314 186 348
1998 281 185 416.4 300 442.9
1999 418.4 357.1 332.8 315.7
2000 162.6 81.6 320.7 200 447.4
2001 278.81 228.2 302.5 244.7
2002 249.51 289.93 437.8 298.01
100
2003 277.4 210.51 375.4 76.1
2004 149.2 159.8 256.8 268.02
2005 170.01 259.8 490.52 0 267.7
92 92 92 92 93 93 93 93 94 94 94
2006 200.41 156.51 396.9 19 19 19 211.3
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19
2007 298.71 45.42 278.9 280.7
2008 238.41 257.3 139.51 127.7
2009 386 264.3 448.6 412.11
2010 218.13 204.4 357.04 160.82
2011 265.7 125.61 409.82 338.63
2012 245.44 257.01 497.92 347.61
2013 264.92 403.1 308.5 226.4
2014 298.2 240.2 344.1 391.6

VALOR MENS. t
250 1
310 2
314 3
348 4
198 5
297 6
124 7
236 8
209 9
283 10
259 11
274 12
HISTOGRAMA
MAYO JUNIO JULIO AGOSTO SETIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE
198 297 124 236 209 283 259
201 185 139 176 179 306 512
201 163 140 349 231 168 232
328 430 138 110 272 292 334
345 182 161 166 205 401 296
493 250 198 212 112 116 279
262.5 88.6 57.9 208.9 89.3 240.8 181.5
280.2 230.6 234.1 75.1 66 187.9 174.8
176.6 127.6 161.1 196.5 181.6 187.61 144.1
106 40.31 172.81 87.71 161.3 111.5 235.9
422.2 83.2 279.8 201.6 198.4 237.9 252.51
459.41 266.82 105.42 163.9 101.8 234.5 223.61
290.9 261.51 122 219.71 193.4 142.1 284.2
164.51 200.8 172.1 122.61 210.7 293.8 109.8
92 92 93 93 93 93 94 94 94 94 95 95 95 95 96 96 96 96 97 97 97 97 98 98 98 98 99 99 99 99 00 00 00 00 01 01 01 01 02 02 02 02 03 03 03
19 19 19 19 19 373.31
19 19 19 19 19191.6
19 19 19 19125.11
19 19 19 19 19143
19 19 19 19 19313.32
19 19 19 19 19 1205.2
9 20 20 20 20 20 295.22
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2
96.4 225.8 25.62 168.81 104.4 207.8 151.91
130.01 116.5 152.61 94.73 233.7 330.91 319.4
193.61 209.4 223.72 206.9 122.4 174.01 310.41
263.01 199.42 122.91 73.41 76.73 28.42 81.7
176.61 246.7 130.02 109.51 211.73 173.51 181.01
217.7 163.52 190.01 65.41 184.92 114.2 127.3
334.1 241.81 49.45 262.4 147.9 192.8 306.9
HISTOGRAMA
DICIEMBRE P.ACUM.ANUAL PRECIP.ACUM PROMEDIO
274 3102.0 3102.0 258.5
302 3302.0 6404.0 275.2 250
265 2622.0 9026.0 218.5 310
326 3670.0 12696.0 305.8 314
287 3489.0 16185.0 290.8 348
200 2869.0 19054.0 239.1 198
204.9 2659.7 21713.7 221.6 297
280.8 2953.5 24667.2 246.1 124
270.5 2457.9 27125.1 204.8 236
349.5 2319.2 29444.4 193.3 209
340.46 3291.3 32735.7 274.3 283
331.42 2826.3 35562.0 235.5 259
310 2657.6 38219.6 221.5 274
374 2836.4 41056.0 236.4 309
01 01 01 02 02 02 02 03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 05 06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12
20 20 20 20 20 20 401.6
20 20 20 20 20 20 203013.5
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 44069.4
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 251.1
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 258
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2
334.3 2218.8 46288.2 184.9 336
242.62 2383.4 48671.6 198.6 399
358.02 3309.5 51981.1 275.8 201
186.52 1972.5 53953.6 164.4 185
274.11 2643.0 56596.6 220.2 139
170.43 2581.5 59178.0 215.1 176
242.2 2980.5 62158.5 248.4 179
306
512
302
166
144
199
364
201
163
140
349
231
168
232
265
1992 1 250
1992 2 310
1992 3 314
1992 4 348
1992 5 198
1992 6 297
1992 7 124
1992 8 236
1992 9 209
0 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 21992
0 20 20 20 20 10
20 283
1992 11 259
1992 12 274
1993 1 309
1993 2 258
1993 3 336
1993 4 399
1993 5 201
1993 6 185
1993 7 139
1993 8 176
1993 9 179
1993 10 306
1993 11 512
1993 12 302
1994 1 166
1994 2 144
1994 3 199
1994 4 364
1994 5 201
1994 6 163
1994 7 140
1994 8 349
1994 9 231
1994 10 168
1994 11 232
1994 12 265
1995 1 545
1995 2 214
1995 3 320
1995 4 361
1995 5 328
1995 6 430
1995 7 138
1995 8 110
1995 9 272
1995 10 292
1995 11 334
1995 12 326
1996 1 172
1996 2 507
1996 3 317
1996 4 450
1996 5 345
1996 6 182
1996 7 161
1996 8 166
1996 9 205
1996 10 401
1996 11 296
1996 12 287
1997 1 161
1997 2 314
1997 3 186
1997 4 348
1997 5 493
1997 6 250
1997 7 198
1997 8 212
1997 9 112
1997 10 116
1997 11 279
1997 12 200
1998 1 281
1998 2 185
1998 3 416.4
1998 4 442.9
1998 5 262.5
1998 6 88.6
1998 7 57.9
1998 8 208.9
1998 9 89.3
1998 10 240.8
1998 11 181.5
1998 12 204.9
1999 1 418.4
1999 2 357.1
1999 3 332.8
1999 4 315.7
1999 5 280.2
1999 6 230.6
1999 7 234.1
1999 8 75.1
1999 9 66
1999 10 187.9
1999 11 174.8
1999 12 280.8
2000 1 162.6
2000 2 81.6
2000 3 320.7
2000 4 447.4
2000 5 176.6
2000 6 127.6
2000 7 161.1
2000 8 196.5
2000 9 181.6
2000 10 187.61
2000 11 144.1
2000 12 270.5
2001 1 278.81
2001 2 228.2
2001 3 302.5
2001 4 244.7
2001 5 106
2001 6 40.31
2001 7 172.81
2001 8 87.71
2001 9 161.3
2001 10 111.5
2001 11 235.9
2001 12 349.5
2002 1 249.51
2002 2 289.93
2002 3 437.8
2002 4 298.01
2002 5 422.2
2002 6 83.2
2002 7 279.8
2002 8 201.6
2002 9 198.4
2002 10 237.9
2002 11 252.51
2002 12 340.46
2003 1 277.4
2003 2 210.51
2003 3 375.4
2003 4 76.1
2003 5 459.41
2003 6 266.82
2003 7 105.42
2003 8 163.9
2003 9 101.8
2003 10 234.5
2003 11 223.61
2003 12 331.42
2004 1 149.2
2004 2 159.8
2004 3 256.8
2004 4 268.02
2004 5 290.9
2004 6 261.51
2004 7 122
2004 8 219.71
2004 9 193.4
2004 10 142.1
2004 11 284.2
2004 12 310
2005 1 170.01
2005 2 259.8
2005 3 490.52
2005 4 267.7
2005 5 164.51
2005 6 200.8
2005 7 172.1
2005 8 122.61
2005 9 210.7
2005 10 293.8
2005 11 109.8
2005 12 374
2006 1 200.41
2006 2 156.51
2006 3 396.9
2006 4 211.3
2006 5 373.31
2006 6 191.6
2006 7 125.11
2006 8 143
2006 9 313.32
2006 10 205.2
2006 11 295.22
2006 12 401.6
2007 1 298.71
2007 2 45.42
2007 3 278.9
2007 4 280.7
2007 5 96.4
2007 6 225.8
2007 7 25.62
2007 8 168.81
2007 9 104.4
2007 10 207.8
2007 11 151.91
2007 12 334.3
2008 1 238.41
2008 2 257.3
2008 3 139.51
2008 4 127.7
2008 5 130.01
2008 6 116.5
2008 7 152.61
2008 8 94.73
2008 9 233.7
2008 10 330.91
2008 11 319.4
2008 12 242.62
2009 1 386
2009 2 264.3
2009 3 448.6
2009 4 412.11
2009 5 193.61
2009 6 209.4
2009 7 223.72
2009 8 206.9
2009 9 122.4
2009 10 174.01
2009 11 310.41
2009 12 358.02
2010 1 218.13
2010 2 204.4
2010 3 357.04
2010 4 160.82
2010 5 263.01
2010 6 199.42
2010 7 122.91
2010 8 73.41
2010 9 76.73
2010 10 28.42
2010 11 81.7
2010 12 186.52
2011 1 265.7
2011 2 125.61
2011 3 409.82
2011 4 338.63
2011 5 176.61
2011 6 246.7
2011 7 130.02
2011 8 109.51
2011 9 211.73
2011 10 173.51
2011 11 181.01
2011 12 274.11
2012 1 245.44
2012 2 257.01
2012 3 497.92
2012 4 347.61
2012 5 217.7
2012 6 163.52
2012 7 190.01
2012 8 65.41
2012 9 184.92
2012 10 114.2
2012 11 127.3
2012 12 170.43
2013 1 264.92
2013 2 403.1
2013 3 308.5
2013 4 226.4
2013 5 334.1
2013 6 241.81
2013 7 49.45
2013 8 262.4
2013 9 147.9
2013 10 192.8
2013 11 306.9
2013 12 242.2
AÑO EST. SANTA CRUZ t X´(t)
1992 3026.0 1 3026.0
1993 3337.0 2 3337.0
1994 2738.0 3 2738.0
1995 2997.0 4 2997.0
1996 2867.0 5 2867.0
1997 3378.8 6 3378.8
1998 3160.5 7 3160.5
1999 2827.6 8 2827.6
2000 3125.0 9 3125.0
2001 2981.5 10 2981.5
2002 2990.9 11 2990.9
2003 2936.6 12 2936.6
2004 2995.5 13 2995.5
2005 2408.6 14 2408.6
2006 3408.4 15 3408.4
2007 3131.3 16 3131.3
2008 2708.8 17 2708.8
2009 3086.2 18 3086.2
2010 2904.2 19 2904.2
2011 2916.0 20 2916.0
2012 2847.1 21 2847.1
2013 2921.9 22 2921.9
11.5 2986.1
n 22
ti.Tm
3026 2986.1
6674
8214 11.5
11988
14335 34017.9
20272.8
22123.5 St 6.49
22620.8
28125 Stm 227.52
29815
32899.9 R -0.218
35239.2
38941.5 Bm -7.64
33720.4
51126 Am 3073.92996
50100.8
46049.6
55551.6
55179.8
58320
59789.1
64281.8
-Si |Tc|<Tt se acepta la Hp, el quiebre no es significativo al 95% d
------>NO ES NECESARIO CORREGIR LA INFORMACION.

-Si |Tc|>Tt se rechaza la Hp, se acepta Ha por lo que el quiebre e


95% de probabilidades.
------>ES NECESARIO CORREGIR LA INFORMACION.

Tc=0.999<Tt=2.086
DE LOS CALCULOS REALIZADOS TENEMOS:
NO SE DEBE CORREGIR LA INFORMACION!!
Tc -0.999

CALCULO DEL Tt: Para α/2=0.025 y G.L=20

Tt 2.086

bre no es significativo al 95% de probabilidades.


LA INFORMACION.

pta Ha por lo que el quiebre es significativo al

NFORMACION.

MOS:Tc=0.999<Tt=2.086
FORMACION!!

Interese conexe