www.ReliaSoft.com
www.Weibull.com



  

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QALT 10



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QALT 11



4

5  <
4- 
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Average Use = 10 hours a week!

1 Week = 168 hr

Possible Acceleration Factor = 16

QALT 12



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Life=exp(a/stress)

QALT 21



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QALT 22



3##    

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➫  *  ( $ 7 ( %
➫   5   $%
Probability Plot
99.00
Unreliability, F(t)

50.00

10.00

5.00

1.00
0.01 0.10 1.00 10.00 100.00 1000.00 10000.00
Time, (t)

QALT 23



# # 5   

QALT 24



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Probability Plot

 *  ( 

100.00
50.00

Reliability, R(t)
10.00
5.00

➫ -  1.00

 *  ( 

0.50

0.10

Probability Plot
&  

 0.05


 
 
$"
99.90
0.01
10.00 68.00 126.00 184.00 242.00 300.00
Time, (t)
50.00
Unreliability, F(t)

7 ( 

Probability Plot
99.90
10.00

 
"
5.00

Unreliability, F(t)
1.00
0.50

0.10 50.00
0.05

0.01


 
 10.00

 
"
5.00
10.00 100.00 1000.00
Time, (t) 1.00
0.50
0.10
0.05
0.01
10.00 100.00 1000.00
Time, (t)
QALT 26



 5   

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QALT 27



7*  ( -  8

➫  -  '*  ( '
(Mean, Median, R(x), F(x), λ, β, η, µ, σ)
Weibull Distribution with η() as a function of stress

QALT 28



 

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QALT 29



5 ( # # 5   

 
7 ( *  ( &   5   
R eliability vs Stress S urface

QALT 30



3##     

5   
➫  5   

-  9 
 
  

L(V ) = C ⋅ e V

QALT 31



➫  
5   

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 B
1 − A− 
L(V ) = ⋅ e  V
V
➫ )#5   

-  9 
 
    
1
L(V ) =
K ⋅V n

QALT 32



➫ 2  5   

φ b 
 + 
L(U ,V ) = A ⋅ e V U 

➫ 2  5   

C
L(U , V ) = B
−
n V
U e
QALT 33



  

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s ≠ f(t)

Stress is time independent!

QALT 38



  

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s = f(t)
Stress is time dependent!
(Quasi time independent)
QALT 39



  

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Stress is time dependent!

s = f(t)
QALT 40



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L(V ) = C ⋅ e V
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B
ln( L(V )) = ln(C ) +
V
QALT 43



  

QALT 44



A Look at the Parameter B

➫ Depending on the application (and
where the stress is exclusively
thermal), the parameter % can be
replaced by,

EA activation energy activation energy

B= = =
K Boltzman's constant 8.623 × 10 −5 eV ⋅ K −1

QALT 45



A Look at the Parameter B,

cont.
➫ Note that in this formulation, the activation
energy must be known apriori.
➫ If the activation energy is known then there is
only one model parameter remaining, &.
➫ Because in most real life situations this is rarely
the case, all subsequent formulations will
assume that this activation energy is unknown
and treat % as one of the model parameters.

QALT 46



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QALT 47



 7 (
β
β −1 t
β t − 
η 
f (t ) = ⋅   e
η η 
B

η = L(V ) = C ⋅ e V

➫ .  
β
β −1  t 
  − 
β  t 
B
 
f (t , V ) = ⋅
B   e  C ⋅e V 


B

C ⋅ e  C ⋅ eV
V


QALT 48



QALT 49



  /

➫   $    %
( # 

# '
LUSE
AF =
L Accelerated
➫ /    '
B B
 B B 
LUSE C ⋅e Vu
e Vu  −
V V


AF = = B
= B
=e  u A 
L Accelerated
C ⋅e VA
e VA

QALT 50



& 

➫ 
 
( 
 
BA@C
.


β = 4.291


B = 1861.618


C = 58.984
QALT 51



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QALT 55



)   

➫ 2  
φ b 
 + 
L(U ,V ) = A ⋅ e V U 

➫ 

C
L(U , V ) = B
−
n V
U e
QALT 56



 

Generated by: ReliaSoft's ALTA - www.ReliaSoft.com - 888-886-0410 Generated by: ReliaSoft's ALTA - www.ReliaSoft.com - 888-886-0410

Life vs Stress Life vs Stress

1000.00 10000.00
Life

Life
100.00 1000.00

10.00 100.00
358.00 368.40 378.80 389.20 399.60 410.00 0.20 1.00
Temperature Relative Humidity

QALT 57



  

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QALT 58



  
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QALT 59



    & 

QALT 60



  
Probability Lognormal

99.00
IPL/Log
Data 2
90
F=6 | S=0
180
F=6 | S=0
Unreliability

50.00

10.00
➫
- 
5.00

5   
Adamantios Mettas
ReliaSoft Corp.
10/9/00
2:19:18 PM
1.00
1.00 10.00 100.00
Number of Cycles

Std=0.1459, K=1.1264E-5, n=1.8740

QALT 61



100.00
At 45o
Life vs Stress

IPL/Log
  '
At 45º Cycles
Mean Life=71.6 Data 2
Median
Mean Life
45
F=12 | S=0

Acceleration Factor vs Stress

20.00
IPL/Log
Life

10.00 Data 2
45
F=12 | S=0
16.00

Acceleration factor
12.00

ReliaSoft Corp.
10/9/00
2:24:48 PM
1.00
10.00 100.00 1000.00 8.00
Stress

Std=0.1459, K=1.1264E-5, n=1.8740

4.00

Note that the base 45
data yielded ReliaSoft Corp.

10/9/00
2:21:02 PM
0
an MTTF estimate of 70.33 cycles 10.00 48.00 86.00 124.00 162.00 200.00
Stress
(utilizing a lognormal distribution).
Std=0.1459, K=1.1264E-5, n=1.8740

QALT 62



#-G

➫  &H
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 m 
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L( X ) = e  i =1 

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QALT 63



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L(V (t )) = Ce  V (t ) 

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QALT 64



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QALT 65