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Article history: Chemical and mechanical coupling are the most important factors affecting wellbore instability. The
Received 3 February 2015 main objective of this research is to propose a wellbore stability analysis model for shale gas reser-
Received in revised form voirs. A mathematical model was proposed to analyze wellbore stability based on a quantitative so-
20 May 2015
lution for stress induced by mechanical, hydraulic and chemical effects, and the effective stress tensor
Accepted 21 May 2015
around the borehole in a cylindrical coordinate system was also obtained. Anisotropic mechanical
Available online 14 June 2015
properties and changes in the strength of shale rocks were collected from tri-axial compression ex-
periments, direct shear tests and the literature. To examine for shear failure along the weak plane and
Keywords:
Shale gas
across the weak plane, the effective stress tensor in a cylindrical coordinate system was transformed
Wellbore stability into the weak plane's local coordinate system and integrated into the strength criteria of the weak
Chemical-mechanical coupling plane. In addition, the failure regions around a horizontal well were simulated at different drilling
Weak plane times and for different drilling directions, and the real causes of wellbore instability for well X201-H1
Anisotropic strength in the Sichuan basin were analyzed. The results indicate that the nonlinear evolution equation for the
strength parameters obeyed the logistic model; the strength parameters decreased drastically as the
soaking time increased over the first five days, after which the strength parameters decreased slowly.
In addition, pore pressure increased and solute concentration decreased under the condition Cm < C0,
while pore pressure decreased and solute concentration increased under the condition Cm > C0. The
decrease in strength and the increase in pore pressure have significant impacts on the stability of
wellbores within shale gas reservoirs. Pore pressure propagation changes the effective normal stress
on the weak plane of the wellbore and results in the stress concentration exceeding the strength
envelope. In traditional models, failure regions occur only on the surface of a borehole; however, in
the new model, failure regions can also occur in the interior of a formation, and they can occur within
four zones around a wellbore's circumference. The decrease of shale strength and the increase of pore
pressure under the condition of water-based mud (WBM) has a greater impact than in oil-based mud
(OBM), which help define the critical equivalent mud weight (CEMW) requirements at which the rate
of collapse increases rapidly. To maintain borehole stability, a series of approaches must be adopted,
including reasonable mud weight (MW), mud system, well path, physical plugging, etc. This model can
be used to analyze the failure regions around boreholes and calculate the CEMW needed to maintain
wellbore stability at different times. This model is different from, and more practical than, the
traditional model.
© 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction years (Zou et al., 2010; Wang et al., 2013). A new official report from
the EIA (2014) has indicated that shale gas resources are abundant
Shale gas, an unconventional natural gas produced from around the world, and shale gas has the potential to play a critical
organic-rich shale, has been paid increasing attention in recent and decisive role in the global energy market in the future (Yuan
et al., 2014). Shale gas resources are also abundant in China and
have already been identified in certain areas. The technically
recoverable resources in China have been estimated between
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: matianshou@126.com (T. Ma), chenping@swpu.edu.cn 10 1012 m3 and 15 1012 m3 (Wang et al., 2013). Because the
(P. Chen). native permeability of shale gas is extremely low, horizontal well
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jngse.2015.05.028
1875-5100/© 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 73
drilling and hydraulic fracturing are typically used to enhance the models have considered the impact of mechanical and chemical
recovery of these hydrocarbon resources (Wang et al., 2013; Yan coupling on wellbore stability. Some researchers have addressed
et al., 2014; Ma and Chen, 2014a). However, shale gas reservoirs this issue; however, most of them have only focused on hydro-
are often characterized by tight matrix, well-developed bedding mechanical coupling or thermo-hydro-mechanical coupling (Cui
planes and micro-fissures, and they are rich in clay mineral, which et al., 1997; Abousleiman and Cui, 1998; Ekbote, 2002; Yuan
makes them robustly anisotropic and highly water-sensitive (Ma et al., 2013, 2014). And while a large number of researchers have
and Chen, 2014a; Yan et al., 2014). The borehole instability prob- studied the influence of mechanical and chemical coupling on
lems that often occur in shale bedding planes rich in clay minerals wellbore stability related to hydration and interactions with dril-
are often associated with equivalent mud weight (EMW, either ling mud (Chen et al., 2003a; Cheng et al., 2006; Lu et al., 2012,
static or circulating equivalent density), in situ stress, wellbore 2013; Li et al., 2012a; Yan et al., 2013; Ma and Chen, 2014a),
orientation, and chemical reactions, among other things. The single these researchers have still failed to consider the influence of
most important cause of wellbore instability is incorrect EMW (Fjar comprehensive factors such as wellbore inclination, anisotropic in
et al., 2008; Chen et al., 2008a; Zoback, 2012; Lee et al., 2012). Too situ stress, anisotropic rock strength, mechanical and chemical
low of an EMW can cause shear failure around the borehole, which coupling, downhole pressure (or EMW), the changes in the shale
can lead to cave-ins and hole collapses; too high an EMW can cause strength, etc., on the unstable zone around the borehole or the
tension failure around the borehole, which can lead to lost mud or critical collapse pressure. Therefore, the main objective of this
lost circulation. research is to propose a semi-analytical model and method of
Maintaining wellbore stability is an important issue in the oil wellbore stability analysis for shale gas formations, in which the
and gas industry because problems with borehole instability can rock material is assumed to be poroelastic, have anisotropic
significantly increase drilling NPT (non-productive time), the strength behaviors and have variable strength, while the multi-
length of the drilling cycle, and drilling costs and can decrease the field coupling is assumed to be both mechanical and chemical;
efficiency of exploration and development (Aadnoy and Ong, in addition, the anisotropic elasticity behavior and dynamic con-
2003; Fjar et al., 2008; Chen et al., 2008a; Kang et al., 2009; ditions of wellbore pressure are ignored.
Zoback, 2012; Yan et al., 2014). With these factors in mind, the
purposes of researching wellbore stability are (1) to reduce well 2. Chemical-mechanical collapse pressure model for shale
construction costs by eliminating borehole instability related to
the NPT, (2) to optimize the design of a well's trajectory on the 2.1. The propagation of pore pressure
basis of in situ stress and rock properties, and (3) to provide
guidelines for the design of the mud weight (MW) used to drill Wellbore collapse occurs when exposure to mud causes the
each well in order to keep the borehole from failing during and propagation of pore pressure (Mody and Hale, 1993; Yu et al.,
after drilling. Various researchers have proposed wellbore stability 2001; Yu, 2002; Van Oort, 2003; Yu et al., 2003; Chen et al.,
analysis methods, all of which assume that rock is linear elastic 2003b, 2010; Zeynali, 2012). Mody and Hale (1993) assume that
and has isotropic strength (Bradley, 1979; Cheatham, 1984; Zoback shales can act as semi-permeable membranes, with hydraulic
et al., 1985; Zhou et al., 1994; Aadnoy and Ong, 2003; Fjar et al., pressure, osmotic pressure and electrical potential gradients
2008; Chen et al., 2008a; Kang et al., 2009; Zoback, 2012; Lee acting as the driving forces on those membranes. However, elec-
et al., 2012). However, because the anisotropic nature of shale trical potential gradients are generally seldom taken into account
gas reservoirs, the propagation of pore pressure and the chemical in pore pressure propagation models, leaving hydraulic pressure
reactions therein are ignored, these methods may result in and osmotic pressure gradients as the driving forces in these
incorrect wellbore stability results when applied to wellbores in models, where the equation of osmotic pressure is expressed as
shale gas reservoirs. Aadnøy (1987) proposed a semi-analytical (Mody and Hale, 1993),
model to study the effects of anisotropic strength, borehole
inclination, in situ stress, etc., to solve the issues of wellbore RT a
p p0 ¼ Im ln shale (1)
instability that result from drilling in formations with anisotropic V amud
rock strengths. The results of that study indicated that rocks
would fail along weak planes under certain conditions, which had where p is pore pressure, MPa; Im is membrane efficiency; T is the
significant effects on wellbore stability. Following Aadnøy, various absolute temperature, K; R is the perfect gas constant; V is the
researchers proposed new methods to determine wellbore sta- partial molar volume of water, l/mol; ashale is the activity of water
bility by assuming that rocks were transversely isotropic materials for pore fluid; amud is the activity of water for drilling mud; and p0 is
with anisotropic strength behaviors (Aadnøy and Chenevert, 1987; the original pore pressure, MPa.
Aadnøy, 1988; Ong and Roegiers, 1993, 1996; Ong, 1994; Okland
and Cook, 1998; Gupta and Zaman, 1999; Zhang, 2008, 2009; 2.1.1. General equation for water transport in shales
Chen et al., 2008a,b; Pei, 2008; Al-Bazali et al., 2009; Younessi Solvent transport is driven by hydraulic pressure, osmotic
and Rasouli, 2010; Tan et al., 2010; Jin et al., 2013; Hou et al., 2013; pressure gradients, as well as changes in solute concentration and
Zhang, 2013). Their works indicated that neglecting the effects of pore pressure. As a result, the solvent flux equation can be
anisotropy could result in incorrect results. Despite these efforts to expressed as (Yu et al., 2001; Yu, 2002),
modify the wellbore stability models, numerous accidents asso-
ciated with wellbore instability in shale gas reservoirs have been Jv ¼ k1 Vp nRTk2 VCs (2)
reported (Yan et al., 2013, 2014; Ma and Chen, 2014a,b,c). Zoback
(2012) and Lee et al. (2012, 2013) found that the shapes and ori- where Jv is the solvent flux, l; k1 is the hydraulic diffusion coeffi-
entations of failure regions are significantly affected by anisotropic cient, m2/(Pa s); k2 is the membrane efficiency, m2/(Pa s); n is the
strength, and a few researchers have also studied the influence of mole number of solute ions; and Cs is the solute concentration of
anisotropic strength on instability regions around the borehole pore fluid, mol/l.
(Lee et al., 2012, 2013; Ma and Chen, 2014b). In addition, a few According to the principle of mass conservation, the conserva-
researchers have investigated the influence of multiple weak tion of mass applied to the solvent can be expressed as (Yu et al.,
planes (Liu et al., 2014; Chen et al., 2014a). However, none of these 2001; Yu, 2002),
74 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
vr Cs ðr ¼ rw ; q; g; tÞ ¼ Cm
þ V$ðrJv Þ ¼ 0 (3) (11)
vt pðr ¼ rw ; q; g; tÞ ¼ pm
where Jv is the volumetric flux of the solvent; r is the fluid density, where rw is the radius of the borehole, m; Cm is the solute con-
g/cm3; and t is time, s. centration of the drilling mud, mol/l; and pm is the downhole
Because the fluid in pore spaces is slightly compressible, we pressure, MPa.
must consider the elastic of fluid in the equation of state. As a result, The external boundary of the borehole can be expressed as,
the density of fluid can be expressed as,
Cs ðre /∞; q; g; tÞ ¼ C0
r ¼ r0 e cr ðpp0 Þ
zr0 1 þ cr ðp p0 Þ (4) (12)
pðre /∞; q; g; tÞ ¼ p0
where p0 is atmospheric pressure, MPa; r0 is the density of fluid where re is the radius of the external boundary of the borehole, m;
under atmospheric pressure, g/cm3; and cr is fluid compressibility, C0 is the original solute concentration of the fluid in the pore space,
MPa1. mol/l; and p0 is the original pore pressure, MPa.
Substituting Eq. (4) into Eq. (3), we get,
vt cr Cs ðr; q; g; t ¼ 0Þ ¼ C0
(13)
(6) pðr; q; g; t ¼ 0Þ ¼ p0
ri ¼ rw þ ði 1Þh
vp k1 1 v vp nRTk2 1 v vCs (14)
¼ r þ r (8) tk ¼ kt
vt cr r vr vr cr r vr vr
where
2.1.2. General equation for ion transport in shales 8
> re rw
The transport of solutes will also change the solute concentra- >
<h ¼ n
tion of the pore fluid. The solute concentration profile can be (15)
>
> t
simulated using the following diffusivity equation (Yu, 2002), :t ¼
m
vCs
Deff V2 Cs ¼ 0 (9) where t is the time interval, s; h is the space interval, m; m is the
vt
number of time intervals; n is the number of space intervals; i is
where Cs is the solute concentration of the pore fluid, mol/l, and Deff the grid node of space, i ¼ 1,2,3,……,nþ1; and k is the grid node of
is the diffusion coefficient, m2/s. time, k ¼ 0,1,2,3,……,m. Consider a typical borehole which has a
In general, pore pressure propagation around a borehole can be borehole radius (rw) of 0.108 m and a boundary radius (re) of
simplified to a two dimensional plane; therefore, the general 1.08 m. If we assume a space interval of 0.02rw, then the number of
equation for ion transport in shales can be transformed into cy- space intervals (n) is 180. The number of time intervals (m) can be
lindrical coordinates and can be expressed as, arbitrary.
The differential equations using Eqs. (8) and (10) were solved
vCs 1 v vCs with a backward temporal differentiation formula and a central
Deff r ¼0 (10)
vt r vr vr spatial differentiation formula. In this scenario, the differential
equation for Eq. (10) can be expressed as,
Eqs. (7) and (9) are the general equations for water and ion
transport in shales, and Eqs. (8) and (10) are the general equa-
k1 Deff t k 2Deff t k
tions in cylindrical coordinates for water and ion transport in Cs;i ¼ r C
ðiþ0:5Þ s;ðiþ1Þ þ 1 þ Cs;ðiþ1Þ
ri h2 h2
shales. (16)
Deff t k
rði0:5Þ Cs;ði1Þ
ri h2
2.1.3. Boundary conditions
The inner boundary of the borehole can be expressed as, We then combined the solution conditions to solve the
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 75
differential equation, in which the solution conditions must be 2.2. Effective stress tensors around a borehole
expressed as unit nodes,
8 2.2.1. Coordinate systems
> k
< Cs;1 ¼ Cm
> To propose a model for the effective stress tensor around a
k
Cs;ðnþ1Þ ¼ C0 (17) borehole, a number of coordinate transformations must be per-
>
> formed (Lee et al., 2012; Ma and Chen, 2014b). Three different
: C0 ¼ C
s;i 0 coordinate systems (CSs) are involved (Fig. 2) in the shale gas
reservoir borehole stability problem: (1) The global coordinate
Similarly, the differential equation for Eq. (8) can be expressed
system (GCS) (N,E,Z); (2) The local coordinate system of the
as,
selected borehole (BCS) (xb,yb,zb); and (3) The local coordinate
nRTk2 t h i
system of the weak plane (WCS) (xw,yw,zw). Once these coordinates
pk1
i þ 2
k
rðiþ0:5Þ Cðiþ1Þ 2ri Cik þ rði0:5Þ Cði1Þ
k
ri h cr are identified, rotation matrices, which transform the components
of the stress tensor from one CS to the other, can be obtained (Lee
k1 t 2k t k t
¼ 2 rði0:5Þ pkði1Þ þ 1 þ 21 pki 12 rðiþ0:5Þ pkðiþ1Þ et al., 2012).
ri h cr h cr ri h cr
As shown in Fig. 2(a), Z is the vertical axis, while N and E are
(18) horizontal axes in the GCS. The vertical stress (sv) generally acts in
The boundary conditions, initial conditions and the result of Eq. the vertical direction. Therefore, the azimuth angle (U) of the
(16) were then combined to solve the differential equation, where, maximum horizontal stress (sH) expresses the relationships be-
the boundary conditions and initial conditions must be expressed tween the local coordinates of in situ stress components and the
as unit nodes, GCS. As a result, the rotation matrix of the transformation of the in
situ stress tensor from the local coordinates to the GCS can be
8 k expressed as,
< ps;1 ¼ pm
>
2 3
pks;ðnþ1Þ ¼ p0 (19) cos U sin U 0
>
: 0 E ¼ 4 sin U cos U 05 (20)
ps;i ¼ p0
0 0 1
It is not difficult to see that pore pressure is coupled with water
and ion transport in shale (Yu, 2001). Therefore, to solve the pore where U is the azimuth angle of the maximum horizontal stress, ( ).
pressure profile, we can first solve Eq. (16) and then solve Eq. (18). As shown in Fig. 2(a), the local borehole frame (xb, yb, zb) is
The flowchart of the solution is illustrated in Fig. 1. A computer based on the orientation of the borehole, where zb defines the axis
program that can calculate the solute concentration profile and of the borehole, while xb and yb form the local normal cross-
pore pressure profile using Eqs. (16) and(18) was developed in section. The inclination angle of the borehole (ab) and the azi-
Matlab. muth angle of the borehole (bb) express the relationships between
Table 1
The degree of anisotropy for the elasticity modulus of different shales.
is approximately 1.46, while the maximum degree of anisotropy 2.2.3. Stress induced by chemical reactions
derived from tri-axial compression experiments is approxi- Local stress induced by chemical reactions can be expressed as
mately 1.25. (Yu et al., 2001; Yu, 2002),
Jin et al. (2012) and Ong (1994) researched the effect of 8
anisotropic elasticity behavior on stress distribution around >
> Zr
>
> 0 ap ð1 2vÞ 1
boreholes, and their results showed that anisotropic elasticity >
> sr ¼ ½pðr; tÞ p0 rdr
>
> 1v r2
behavior has a relatively small impact, especially when the >
>
>
>
rw
degree of anisotropy is low (<1.25). Therefore, we can ignore >
< 8 9
Zr
the influence of anisotropic elasticity behavior on stress dis- 0 ap ð1 2vÞ < 1 =
>
> sq ¼ ½pðr; tÞ p0 rdr ½pðr; tÞ p0
tribution. As shown in Fig. 2, the mechanical model of an in- >
> 1v : r 2 ;
>
>
clined well is assumed to be under a plain strain condition, >
> rw
>
>
which means there is no displacement along the z b axis. >
> a ð1 2vÞ
>
: s0z ¼ p ½pðr; tÞ p0
Therefore, the quantitative solutions for stress induced by in 1v
situ stress and the hydraulic effect are as follows (Bradley, (28)
1979; Chen et al., 2008a; Zoback, 2012; Lee et al., 2012; Ma
and Chen, 2014b), where s0r ; s0q ; s0z are the radial stress, hoop stress and axial stress
8 2 2
>
> sxx þ syy r2 sxx syy 4
rw rw 4
rw rw r2
>
> sr ¼ 1 w þ 1 þ 3 4 cos 2 q þ txy 1 þ 3 4 sin 2 q þ w pm
>
> 2 r 2 2 r 4
r 2
r 4
r 2
r2
>
>
>
>
> 2 4 4
>
> s þ syy rw sxx syy rw rw r2
> sq ¼ xx
> 1 þ 1 þ 3 cos 2 q t 1 þ 3 sin 2 q w pm
>
> 2 r 2 2 r 4 xy
r 4
r2
>
>
>
>
>
> rw2 2
>
> rw
< sz ¼ szz 2v sxx syy 2 cos 2 q 4vtxy 2 sin 2 q
>
r r
(24)
>
> 2 4 2 4
> s s r r rw rw
>
> t ¼
xx yy
1 þ 2 w
3 w
sin 2 q þ t 1 þ 2 3 cos 2 q
>
>
rq
2 r2 r4
xy
r2 r4
>
>
>
>
>
> 2
>
> r2 rw
>
> trz ¼ txz 1 w cos q þ tyz 1 sin q
>
> r2 r2
>
>
>
>
>
> r2 r2
>
: tqz ¼ tyz 1 þ w cos q txz 1 þ w sin q
2 2
r r
The stress components for the local wellbore coordinates can be induced by chemical reactions, respectively, MPa; and ap is Biot's
expressed as, constant, dimensionless.
2 3
sxx txy txz 2.2.4. Effective stress tensor model
sinsituBCS ¼ 4 txy syy tyz 5 ¼ ВЕT sinsitu EBT (25) The stress tensors around the borehole are induced by me-
txz tyz szz chanical, hydraulic and chemical effects. Therefore, considering
2 3 Biot's effective stress law and combining Eqs. (24) and (28), the
sH 0 0 local stress components around the borehole can be obtained
sinsitu ¼ 40 sh 0 5 (26) through the following equation,
0 0 sv
8
Substituting Eqs. (20), (21) and (26) into Eq. (25), the following >
> sr ðt Þ ¼ sr þ s0r ap pðr; t Þ
>
>
>
> s ðt Þ ¼ sq þ s0q ap pðr; t Þ
equation is obtained, < q
sz ðt Þ ¼ sz þ s0z ap pðr; t Þ
8 (29)
> sxx ¼ sH cos2 ab cos2 bb þ sh cos2 ab sin2 bb þ sv sin2 ab > trq ðt Þ ¼ tqz
>
>
>
> >
>
> t ðt Þ ¼ trz
>
> : rz
>
> syy ¼ sH sin2 bb þ sh cos2 bb tqz ðt Þ ¼ tqz
>
>
< szz ¼ sH sin2 ab cos2 bb þ sh sin2 ab sin2 bb þ sv cos2 ab
It also can be expressed as,
txy ¼ sH cosab cosbb sinbb þ sh cosab cosbb sinbb (27)
>
>
>
> tyz ¼ sH sinab cosbb sinbb þ sh sinab cosbb sinbb where sr(t), sq(t), sz(t) are effective radial stress, effective hoop
>
>
>
> t ¼ sH cosab sinab cos2 bb þ sh cos ab sinab sin2 bb
stress and effective axial stress at different times, respectively, MPa;
>
: xz and tqz(t), trq(t), trz(t) are three components of the effective shear
sv sin ab cos ab stress at different times, MPa.
The effective stress tensor around the borehole in a cylindrical
where sr, sq, sz are the radial stress, hoop stress and axial stress,
coordinate system can be expressed as,
respectively, MPa; tqz, trq, trz are three components of the shear
stress, MPa; n is Poisson's ratio, dimensionless; sxx, syy, szz, txy, tyz, 2 3
sr ðtÞ trq ðtÞ trz ðtÞ
txz are the stress components of the local wellbore coordinates, sccs ðtÞ ¼ 4 trq ðtÞ sq ðtÞ tqz ðtÞ 5 (31)
MPa; and sH, sh, sv are the maximum horizontal stress, minimum trz ðtÞ tqz ðtÞ sz ðtÞ
horizontal stress and vertical stress, respectively, MPa.
78 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
8
>
> 2 2 2
>
> r2 sxx þ syy rw sxx syy 4
rw rw 4
rw rw ap ð1 2vÞ 1
>
>
sr ðtÞ ¼ w p m þ 1 þ 1 þ 3 4 cos 2 q þ t xy 1 þ 3 4 sin 2 q þ
1v
>
> r 2 2 r 2 2 r 4
r 2
r 4
r 2
r2
>
> Z
>
>
r
>
> ½pðr; tÞ p0 rdr ap pðr; tÞ
>
>
>
> r
>
w
>
> 2 4 4
>
>
2
rw sxx þ syy rw sxx syy rw rw ap ð1 2vÞ
>
>
sq ðtÞ ¼ p m þ 1 þ 1 þ 3 cos 2 q txy 1 þ 3 sin 2 q
1v
>
> r 2 2 r 2 2 r 4
r 4
>
>
8
<1 Z
9
>
<
r
=
½pðr; tÞ p rdr ½pðr; tÞ p ap pðr; tÞ
0 0
:r 2 ; (30)
>
>
rw
>
> r2
>
> sz ðtÞ ¼ szz 2v sxx syy w cos 2 q 4vtxy w
r2
sin 2 q þ
ap ð1 2vÞ
½pðr; tÞ p0 ap pðr; tÞ
>
> 2 2 1v
>
>
r r
>
> 2 4 2 4
>
> t ðtÞ ¼
sxx syy
þ
rw
rw
q þ t þ
rw
rw
cos 2 q
>
>
rq
2
1 2
r2
3
r4
sin 2 xy 1 2
r2
3
r4
>
>
>
> 2 2
>
> t ðtÞ ¼ t
rw
q þ t
rw
sin q
>
>
rz xz 1
r2
cos yz 1
r2
>
>
>
> 2 2
>
> t ðtÞ ¼ t þ
rw
q t þ
rw
sin q
: qz yz 1
r2
cos xz 1
r2
If we calculate the maximum and minimum principal stresses 2.3.1. The anisotropic strength of shale rock
and apply them to the strength criteria, the collapse pressure The anisotropic properties of rock are a very important topic in
needed to prevent wellbore collapse can be obtained. Generally, the the research and practice of rock engineering. Natural shale rocks
collapse pressure can be converted to an equivalent mud weight in are more or less anisotropic. To study the influence of weak planes
engineering, which is called the critical equivalent mud weight on shale mechanical properties, standard core samples of
(CEMW). F25 mm 50 mm were obtained, as shown in Fig. 3, j is the angle
between the surface of the weak plane and the axis of the stan-
dard core sample. Complete stressestrain curves for different
2.3. The anisotropic strength of shale and changes in strength with
angles (j) of Longmaxi shale under uniaxial compression are
exposure to mud
shown in Fig. 4. In addition, the anisotropy of shale strength has
also been tested by a large number of researchers (Jaeger, 1960;
Shale gas reservoirs are characterized by tight matrix, well-
Chenevert and Gatlin, 1965; Pinto, 1970; Jaeger, 1971; Vernik
developed bedding planes (weak planes) and are rich in clay
and Nur, 1992; Aoki et al., 1993; Ong, 1994; Vernik and Liu,
mineral, which makes them strongly anisotropic and highly water-
1997; Niandou et al., 1997; Willson et al., 1999, 2007; Pei, 2008;
sensitive. To understand this anisotropy and changes in strength
Jaeger and Cook, 2009; Sondergeld and Rai, 2011;
that occur with exposure to mud, we identified a large number of
Kanitpanyacharoen et al., 2011; Wang et al., 2012; Li et al.,
mechanical rock strength properties of shale from the literature,
and we tested the mechanical rock strength properties of the
Longmaxi shale.
Fig. 3. Schematic diagram of shale coring. Fig. 4. Complete stressestrain curves of the Longmaxi shale.
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 79
Table 2
The strength anisotropy of different shales.
No. Type Confining Compressive strength under different j (s1-s3)/MPa Max./MPa Min./MPa max./min. Data sources
pressure/MPa
0 15 30 45 60 75 90
1 Green River I 6.90 252.09 207.31 160.04 218.27 221.89 216.82 229.13 252.09 160.04 1.58 McLamore and Gray,
2 Green River I 34.48 345.45 321.14 260.23 299.22 304.08 305.84 321.87 345.45 260.23 1.33 1967
3 Green River I 68.97 438.88 421.40 370.42 405.68 422.95 420.37 427.09 438.88 370.42 1.18
4 Green River I 103.45 538.52 518.56 471.30 516.49 512.66 519.38 528.59 538.52 471.30 1.14
5 Green River I 172.41 716.69 683.70 664.37 667.36 685.25 693.22 693.73 716.69 664.37 1.08
6 Green River II 6.90 148.66 / 93.51 / 119.86 / 128.81 148.66 93.51 1.59
7 Green River II 34.48 203.07 / 148.27 / 177.41 / 188.09 203.07 148.27 1.37
8 Green River II 68.97 282.48 / 211.31 / 252.64 / 262.63 282.48 211.31 1.34
9 Green River II 103.45 356.32 / 278.88 / 320.91 / 330.55 356.32 278.88 1.28
10 Green River II 172.41 493.21 / 404.27 / 442.12 / 464.65 493.21 404.27 1.22
11 Tournemire 1.00 35.60 / 20.17 23.27 25.50 31.63 47.06 47.06 20.17 2.33 Niandou et al., 1997
12 Tournemire 5.00 60.14 / 35.63 41.11 44.86 / 58.62 60.14 35.63 1.69
13 Tournemire 20.00 105.19 / 83.93 77.94 108.61 / 102.81 108.61 77.94 1.39
14 Tournemire 40.00 144.00 / 113.01 109.84 / / 136.43 144.00 109.84 1.31
15 Tournemire 50.00 159.84 / 129.71 130.00 / / 154.87 159.84 129.71 1.23
16 Niutitang 0 66.90 / / / / / 69.10 69.10 66.90 1.03 Yang et al., 2013
17 Niutitang 10 125.38 / / / / / 105.63 125.38 105.63 1.19
18 Niutitang 20 121.89 / / / / / 126.27 126.27 121.89 1.04
19 Niutitang 40 145.35 / / / / / 99.845 145.35 99.85 1.46
20 Niutitang 0 102.5 / 11.43 21.24 37.23 / 92.23 102.50 11.43 8.97 Chen et al., 2014
21 Niutitang 10 150.78 / 97.17 76.47 87.21 / 127.84 150.78 76.47 1.97
22 Niutitang 20 178.74 / 123.2 106.21 137.49 / 152.79 178.74 106.21 1.68
23 Niutitang 30 222.92 / 163.52 214.35 215.05 / 201.6 222.92 163.52 1.36
24 Niutitang 40 225.86 / 151.71 186.7 191.79 / 186.77 225.86 151.71 1.49
25 Niutitang 50 235.9 / 217.05 230.49 242.47 / 234.36 242.47 217.05 1.12
26 Silurian 0 69.15 58.68 39.54 23.83 32.77 48.78 64.68 69.15 23.83 2.90 Yuan et al., 2013
27 Silurian 0 103.5 74.73 52.16 75.35 111.07 121.24 143.07 143.07 52.16 2.74 Yu et al., 2014
28 Silurian 20 168.37 121.74 115.54 130.54 168.99 192.81 215.88 215.88 115.54 1.87
29 Silurian 0 103.8 72.9 52.1 74.7 111.4 121.8 143.2 143.20 52.10 2.75 Yan et al., 2014
30 Haynesville 50 143.73 / / / / / / 143.73 143.73 / Li et al., 2012b
31 Haynesville 60 171.92 / / / / / / 171.92 171.92 /
32 Haynesville 90 209.19 / / / / / / 209.19 209.19 /
33 Eagle Ford 30 39.16 / / / / / / 39.16 39.16 /
34 Eagle Ford 50 / / / / / / 214.09 214.09 214.09 /
35 Barnett 20 / / / 40.56 / / / 40.56 40.56 /
36 Barnett 60 / / / / / / 391.25 391.25 391.25 /
37 Longmaxi 0 69.18 / / / / / 151.93 151.93 69.18 2.20 Yang et al., 2013
38 Longmaxi 53 / / / / / / 261.47 261.47 261.47 /
39 Longmaxi 54 / / / / / / 270.03 270.03 270.03 /
40 Longmaxi 40 106.81 / / / / / 175.35 175.35 106.81 1.64 Jin et al., 2012
42 Longmaxi 0 124.26 / 47.22 / 108.76 / 121.64 124.26 47.22 2.63 Jia et al., 2013
43 Longmaxi 10 148.78 / 79.88 / 143.18 / 143.78 148.78 79.88 1.86
44 Longmaxi 20 205.65 / 102.65 / 151.65 / 173.34 205.65 102.65 2.00
45 Longmaxi 30 229.14 / 143.3 / 178.83 / 192.06 229.14 143.30 1.60
46 Longmaxi 18 120.5 / 26.3 11.3 31.7 / 198.95 198.95 11.30 17.61 Li et al., 2012a
47 Longmaxi 31 185.5 / 83.7 75.9 50 / 216.6 216.60 50.00 4.33
48 Longmaxi 0 100.34 80.61 53.46 77.52 115.75 120.13 126.89 126.89 53.46 2.37 Wang et al., 2012
49 Longmaxi 0 153.3 100.3 96.1 191.8 182.5 218.5 216.7 218.50 96.10 2.27 Testing data
50 Longmaxi 30 264.1 168.4 220 284.5 275.8 350.7 292.7 350.70 168.40 2.08
51 Longmaxi 60 362 272.6 286.6 354.8 348.6 391.3 314.7 391.30 272.60 1.44
52 Average 212.06 155.59 2.31
2012a, 2012b; Josh et al., 2012; Cho et al., 2012; Kim et al., 2012; j ¼ 90 , and minimum strength when j is between 10 and 40
Vasin et al., 2013; Horne, 2013; Das, 2013; Ma and Chen, 2014b; (Lee et al., 2012). The experiment results in this study showed that
Tang, 2014; Chen et al., 2014; Heng et al., 2014). The data on the the angle (j) of minimum strength is approximately 30 .
anisotropic strengths of different shales collected from tri-axial
compression experiments and the literature are listed in Table 2.
2.3.2. The main failure modes of shale rock
These data indicate that the behavior of anisotropic rock is
The results of the tri-axial compression experiments showed
different in different directions, which means the strength of
that there are multiple modes for shale rock failure, as shown in
shale changes with the angle (j). These studies were also per-
Fig. 5. Three different failure modes are involved under low
formed to characterize the anisotropy of strength. The ratio of
confining pressure: (1) Splitting failure along the axis, typically at
maximum and minimum strength is approximately 1.03e17.61,
0 j 15 ; (2) Shear sliding failure along the weak plane,
and the average ratio is approximately 2.31. There are great dif-
typically at 15 j 60 ; and (3) Shear failure across the weak
ferences between slippage along and shear across the weak plane.
plane, typically between 65 j 90 . Two different failure
Generally, shale rock attains maximum strength either at j ¼ 0 or
modes are involved under high confining pressure, shear sliding
80 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
failure along the weak plane, typically at 15 j 60 , and shear
Data sources
Zhang, 2009
Testing data
Testing data
a key factor.
Liu, 2009
1965
2.3.3. The shear strength of intact rock and a weak plane
To understand the shear strength of shale rocks, standard core
60 MPa
samples of 50 mm 50 mm 50 mm were cored, and direct shear
1.39
1.33
1.17
1.32
1.30
2.66
1.09
1.96
1.71
1.21
2.44
1.86
tests were conducted on Longmaxi shale. In addition to these tests,
40 MPa
collected from the literature. These data and the data from the
1.46
1.36
1.25
1.38
1.31
2.93
1.14
2.06
1.89
1.26
2.45
1.96
direct shear tests are listed in Table 3. To distinguish the strength
difference between intact rock and weak planes, we calculated the
20 MPa
compressive strength of intact rock and weak planes under
1.61
1.44
1.42
1.55
1.33
3.57
1.30
2.31
2.35
1.36
2.47
2.23
different confining pressures. We also drew a cross-plot of the
compressive strength between the intact rock and a weak plane, as
0 MPa
shown in Fig. 6.
2.03
2.12
2.45
4.32
1.61
7.06
4.75
3.93
5.81
1.89
2.64
3.98
The relationship between the compressive strength of intact
rock and the weak plane can be expressed as,
60 MPa
251.70
265.18
148.91
163.81
125.55
85.11
370.55
127.43
168.94
244.66
171.11
141.43
40 MPa
189.33
183.91
105.28
111.44
86.56
60.44
250.82
89.54
117.88
174.33
119.10
99.39
intact rock and the weak planes is approximately 1.61e7.06 at
s3 ¼ 0 MPa, 1.30e3.57 at s3 ¼ 20 MPa, 1.14e2.93 at s3 ¼ 40 MPa,
and 1.09e2.66 at s3 ¼ 60 MPa. In other words, the strength ratio
20 MPa
gradually decreases with the confining pressure. There is a great
126.95
102.64
61.65
59.07
47.56
35.78
131.09
51.65
66.82
104.01
67.10
57.35
difference between shear failure along and across the weak
plane.
0 MPa
64.57
21.37
18.02
6.70
8.57
11.11
11.35
13.76
15.75
33.68
15.09
15.31
2.3.4. Changes in shale strength with exposure to mud
The shale strength changes when a shale is exposed to mud, and
4w/( )
37.23
21.80
26.57
18.78
6.00
45.54
18.00
25.92
33.86
26.39
20.81
Weak planes
5.30
6.10
2.07
3.07
5.00
2.32
5.00
4.93
8.98
4.68
5.28
different muds (water-based and oil-based), and the experimental
results from the literature are listed in Table 4. We used a nonlinear
curve fit method, a logistic model, to fit the experimental data, as
60 MPa
349.15
352.23
174.96
216.07
162.63
226.32
403.59
249.40
288.64
297.13
416.86
262.39
The compressive strength data were calculated using the Mohr-Coulomb criteria.
shown in Fig. 7.
Strength of intact rock under different
40 MPa
276.56
249.90
131.33
153.69
113.03
177.04
287.02
184.30
222.92
219.36
291.21
195.22
20 MPa
203.97
147.57
87.70
91.31
63.43
127.76
170.45
119.21
157.21
141.59
165.56
128.05
131.38
45.24
44.07
28.93
13.83
78.48
53.89
54.12
91.50
63.81
39.90
60.88
0 MPa
Shear strength parameters for different shales.
40/( )
34.61
42.30
21.80
30.96
25.17
25.00
45.00
32.00
32.23
36.22
46.50
32.76
c0/MPa
34.48
10.00
14.92
8.19
4.39
25.00
11.16
15.00
25.24
16.18
7.96
16.61
Tournemire
Longmaxi 1
Pedernales
Longmaxi
Longmaxi
Trafalgar
DB shale
Permian
Shangta
M shale
Pierre 1
Chang
Type
Table 3
No.
Fig. 5. Schematic of the main failure modes of shale rock (modified from Niandou
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
et al., 1997).
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 81
Fig. 6. The relationship of compressive strength between intact rock and a weak plane.
strength parameters for the intact rock and weak planes of shale
rocks. The evolution equations of strength parameters are listed in
Table 5. These equations define the changes in shale strength with
exposure to mud.
Two different failure modes, shear failure along and across the
weak plane, are involved in the in situ test. Therefore, the strength
criteria of shale rock can be characterized by different factors based
on the primary failure modes.
where
8 w
< snw ¼r
sffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
xx
2 (34)
: tw ¼ twxy þ tw xz
2
Table 4
Changes in strength parameters with exposure to mud.
Fig. 8. The solution flowchart for the chemical-mechanical wellbore instability model.
84 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
No. Parameter/unit Value To study the effect of the azimuth angle of a borehole on its
1 Measured depth (MD)/m 2420
stability, the failure regions around the horizontal well were
2 True vertical depth (TVD)/m 1610 simulated under drilling conditions along the direction of
3 Borehole size/m 0.216 maximum horizontal stress (sH), the direction of minimum hori-
4 Maximum horizontal stress/MPa 85.43 zontal stress (sh), the dip direction of the weak plane, and the strike
5 Azimuth angle of maximum horizontal stress/( ) N109 W
of the weak plane; the calculated results are shown in Figs. 12e15.
6 Minimum horizontal stress/MPa 45.98
7 Vertical stress/MPa 62.44 The failure regions around the horizontal well when drilling along
8 Initial pore press/MPa 26.65 sh (19 ) are shown in Fig. 12, the failure regions around the hori-
9 Mud weight/(g∙cm3) 1.80 zontal well when drilling along sH (109 ) are shown in Fig. 13, the
10 Solute concentration of pore fluid/(mol/L) 1.00
failure regions around the horizontal well when drilling along the
11 Solute concentration of WBM/(mol/L) 0.75
12 Solute concentration of OBM/(mol/L) 1.25
strike of the weak plane (42 ) are shown in Fig. 14, and the failure
13 Diffusion coefficient of solute/(m2/s) 4.9E-10 regions around the horizontal well when drilling along the dip
14 Diffusion coefficient of hydraulic impact/(m2∙Pa1∙s1) 8.41E-18 direction of weak plane (132 ) are shown in Fig. 15. In these figures,
15 Membrane efficiency/(m2/(Pa.s)) 4.97E-17 the solid color regions are stable and the other colors are unstable.
16 Compressibility of pore fluids/MPa1 1.45E-4
We can draw the following conclusions from the data presented in
17 Formation temperature/K 323.15
18 Porosity/% 5.00 Figs. 12e15:
19 Poisson's ratio 0.22
20 Biot's effective stress coefficient 0.80 (1) The failure regions around the horizontal well did not occur
21 Initial cohesion of intact rock/MPa 25.24 in the commonly seen “dog ear” shape. Instead, the weak
22 Initial internal friction angle of intact rock/( ) 32.23
23 Initial cohesion of weak plane/MPa 4.93
planes led to failure regions that formed in a square shape,
24 Initial internal friction angle of weak plane/( ) 25.92 which mirrored typical physical experimental results
25 Dip angle of weak plane/( ) 7.00 (Okland and Cook, 1998; Li et al., 2012; Lee et al., 2012; Ma
26 Dip direction of weak plane/( ) N132 E and Chen, 2014b). The “dog ear” shape occurred in
27 Inclination angle of borehole/( ) 0e100
Fig. 12(a) such that the failure regions occur within two
28 Azimuth angle of borehole/( ) 0e360
29 Time/hours 0e720 ranges (338 e22 , 158 e202 ) around the wellbore circum-
ference in the shale gas formation. The square shape was
seen in Figs. 12e15(b)e(h), and these figures reveal that
failure regions occur within four ranges around the wellbore
circumference in the shale gas formation. In other words, if
3.2. Pore pressure propagation around a wellbore
weak planes in a shale reservoir are significantly developed,
the formation around the borehole may shear more easily
Fig. 9 shows the solute concentration and pore pressure pro-
along the weak planes. The effect of anisotropic strength is
files for a case study at six different times. These figures reveal
detrimental to wellbore stability, which increases the risk of
the effect of WBM (Cm < C0). A solute concentration difference
collapse in horizontal wells.
(0.25 mol/L) between WBM and the shale formation significantly
(2) The failure regions around the horizontal well gradually
increases the pore pressure and decreases the solute concentra-
enlarge at different times, with the enlargement rate of the
tion near the wellbore. However, the influence of water and ion
failure regions at a maximum in the early stage after drilling
transport in and out of the shale will result in an increase in the
(especially the first five days), as shown in Figs. 12e15. In
pore pressure in the region near the borehole (compared to the
particular, the evolution law of strength parameters reveals
poroelastic solution), and a decrease in the solute concentration
that water and ion transport in to or out of shale reduces its
will lead to changes in rock strength and other properties. As a
compressive strength, and the early period of exposure to
result, wellbore stability decreases compared to the initial state.
mud is the main period when changes in shale strength
The fundamental theory of the effect of pore pressure on well-
occur. The impact of the strength parameters decreases
bore stability is based on the effective stress law and Mohr's
drastically as the soaking time increases in the first five days;
stress circle. As shown in Fig. 10, the Mohr's stress circle gradually
after that, the strength parameters' effect decreases slowly.
shifts to the left with an increase in pore pressure, and as a result,
In addition, pore pressure propagation also affects wellbore
the stress around the borehole more easily exceeds the strength
stability. Pore pressure build-up will result in poorer well-
envelope and shear failure across or along the weak plane.
bore stability later in drilling, while a reduction in pore
Fig. 11 shows the solute concentration and pore pressure profiles
pressure will result in better wellbore stability as the time
at six different times in order to reveal the impact of OBM (Cm > C0)
increases. Therefore, a decrease in shale strength and an in-
on wellbore stability. A solute concentration difference (0.25 mol/L)
crease in pore pressure are detrimental to wellbore stability.
between a shale formation and OBM significantly decreases the
In other words, changes in shale strength and pore pressure
pore pressure and increases the solute concentration near the
propagation are key factors that induce wellbore instability.
borehole. However, the influence of water and ion transport into
In the first five days of drilling, the effect of the decrease in
and out of the shale leads to a decrease in the pore pressure in the
shale strength is larger than the impact of the increase in
region near the borehole (compared to the poroelastic solution). As
pore pressure; after that, the effect of pore pressure increases
a result, wellbore stability improved compared to the initial con-
may be larger than the impacts of a decrease of shale
dition. The functional mechanism of pore pressure on wellbore
strength.
stability runs opposite the mechanism shown in Fig. 10. Mohr's
(3) The failure regions around the horizontal well gradually
stress circle gradually shifts to the right with a decrease in pore
enlarge under the conditions of OBM and WBM; however,
pressure, and as a result, the stress around the borehole more easily
the enlargement rate of the failure regions under the
stays under the strength envelope.
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 85
Fig. 9. Solute concentration and pore pressure profiles around the borehole under the condition of WBM.
Fig. 10. The fundamental theory of the influence of pore pressure on wellbore stability.
condition of WBM is greater than that of OBM at the same decrease in shale strength under WBM conditions was larger
drilling time, as shown in Figs. 12e15(c)-(h). In particular, than under OBM conditions. Therefore, the OBM wellbore is
pore pressure increased and strength decreased when drilled more stable than the WBM wellbore.
by WBM, while both pore pressure and strength decreased (4) The failure regions in the traditional model occur only on the
when drilled by OBM. In addition, the amplitude of the surface of borehole. However, in the new model, failure
86 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
Fig. 11. Solute concentration and pore pressure profiles around the borehole under the condition of OBM.
regions may also occur in the interior of the formation, as (6) Wellbore instability is generally caused by in situ stress, pore
shown in Figs. 12e15. These results agree with typical results pressure propagation, anisotropic strength, and changes in
from the literature (Yu, 2002). The real cause of failure re- shale strength. The impacts of pore pressure propagation and
gions on the wellbore surface and inside the formation is the changes in shale strength depend on time, so wellbore
pore pressure propagation. In other words, water and ion stability is also a function of time.
transport into or out of the shale increases the pore pressure
around the borehole. Therefore, the surface and inside of the
wellbore must be considered in order to calculate the CEMW 3.4. CEMW and failure regions in the field case
requirements to avoid collapse.
(5) Figs. 12e15 also show the wellbore stability condition after (1) Figs. 16 and 17 show the CEMW requirements to prevent
the azimuth angle of the borehole was changed to orient it collapse when drilling a stable horizontal well at different
along the path of the minimum horizontal stress sh (19 ), the times under WBM and OBM conditions. The CEMW re-
path of maximum horizontal stress sH (109 ), the strike of quirements for collapse at different times are plotted as a
the weak plane (42 ), and the dip of the weak plane (132 ). function of the azimuth angle of the borehole. When time
These figures reveal that the horizontal borehole become increases from 0 day to 5 days, and from 5 to 10 days, the
more stable when the azimuth angle of the borehole is CEMW requirements for collapse increase rapidly under the
changed to follow the path of maximum horizontal stress sH condition of WBM; and the amplification of the CEMW is
(109 ), while the horizontal borehole becomes more unsta- approximately 0.19e0.26 g/cm3 after 5 days of drilling and
ble when the azimuth angle of the borehole is changed to 0.31e0.43 g/cm3 after 10 days of drilling. Conversely, the
follow the path of minimum horizontal stress sh (19 ). CEMW requirements for collapse increase slowly under the
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 87
Fig. 12. The failure regions at different times when drilling at 19 .
88 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
Fig. 13. The failure regions at different times when drilling at 109 .
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 89
Fig. 14. The failure regions at different times when drilling at 42 .
90 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
Fig. 15. The failure regions at different times when drilling at 132 .
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 91
Fig. 18. The failure regions at different times under the WBM condition for well X201-H1.
T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98 93
Fig. 19. The failure regions at different time under the OBM condition for well X201-H1.
94 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
Fig. 20. Horizontal wellbore stability analyses of well X201-H1 in Longmaxi shale.
Fig. 21. The failure regions of different EMW of well X201-H1 under the OBM condition.
96 T. Ma, P. Chen / Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 26 (2015) 72e98
Fig. 22. The failure regions of different EMW of well X201-H1 under the WBM condition.
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Al-Bazali, T.M., Zhang, J., Wolfe, C., Chenevert, M.E., Sharma, M.M., 2009. Wellbore
Sichuan Province (Grant No. 2015SZ0003) and the Basic Research instability of directional wells in laminated and naturally fractured shales.
Subject of the State Key Laboratory of Oil & Gas Reservoir Geology J. Porous Media 12 (2), 119e130.
and Exploitation (Southwest Petroleum University) (Grant No G3- Aoki, T., Tan, C.P., Bamford, W.E., 1993. Effects of deformation and strength anisot-
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