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Chapter-1
Introduction
Meaning
Aims and objectives
Need for study
Scope of study
Importance
Functions of Election commission
Chapter-2: Review of Literature
Chapter-3: Methodology
1. Straight line method in time series analysis and ratio to
trend method
Chapter-4: Data Analysis and Interpretation
Chapter-5: Benefits
1. Benefits
2. Limitations
3. Suggestions
Chapter-6: Conclusion
Chapter-7: Biblography
TITLE: An Election report of different kinds
of voters in Thummalapalem village.
Election commission
INTRODUCTION:
The Election Commission of India is an autonomous constitutional
authority responsible for administering election processes in India. The
body administers elections to the LokSabha, RajyaSabha, state
Legislative Assemblies in India, and the offices of the President and Vice
President in the country. The Election Commission operates under the
authority of Constitution per Article 324, and subsequently
enacted Representation of the People Act.
Meaning:
A formal and organized choice by vote of a person for a political office
or other position
Election commission:
Image
Election commission is the authority that is responsible for the
control and administration of elections in India.
It was established on 1950 after the constitution of India came into act and
currently there are 500 employees.
Holding periodic free and fair elections by ensuring that they issue code
and conduct to the parties and candidates involved.
It allows symbols to be used by the political parties.
Prepares election rolls and update votes lists from time to time.
They provide dates and schedules for election in the country.
The commission can nullify the election in case of any malpractice.
The commission can remove any candidate in case he/she violates the
code of conduct.
Make sure that the elections are free and conducted fairly.
Issue the code of conduct for every political party and candidate.
Set up rules and prepare electoral rolls.
Maintain discipline during election process.
State Legislatures
Vice- President
Governors (though not elected)
Speakers/Chairperson
Importance:
Elections form the bedrock of the largest democracy in the world -
India. Since Independence, as many as 15 LokSabhas have been formed through
elections, the first one being held in 1951-52. The methodology of election is
through universal adult suffrage, whereby every citizen of India over 18 years
of age is an eligible voter in the eyes of the Constitution. Elections provide a
way to the people to assert their voice, opinion and choose the person whose
priorities and ideas matches with them most. In India the elections are not new
and they started taking place before the independence from British rule itself.
But before independence the franchise was quit limited and very few were
having rights to participate and vote. After independence, India adopted
universal adult suffrage and each adult Indian got the right to vote.
Change of leadership: Elections in India are also a platform for the public to
voice their resentment against a ruling party. By voting for other parties and
helping elect a different government, citizens demonstrate that they possess
ultimate authority.
Political participation: Elections open the door for new issues to be raised in
public. If a citizen of India wishes to introduce reforms that are not the agenda
of any of the parties, he or she is free to contest the elections either
independently or by forming a new political party.
Demarcation of Constituencies
Electoral Rolls
Recognition of Political Parties and Allotment of Symbols
Scrutiny of the Nomination Papers
The Conduct of the Poll
Election Expenses
Advice to President
(i)Demarcation of Constituencies:
To facilitate the process of elections, a country has to be divided into several
constituencies.
The task of delimiting the constituencies is generally performed by a
Delimitation Commission. But the power to delimit parliamentary and
Assembly constituencies for the first general elections in 1951 was conferred on
the President. The President’s delimitation order was to be released on the
advice of the Election Commission which also consulted Parliamentary Advi-
sory Committees set by the Speaker of Parliament and the Speaker of the
respective legislative Assembly to which the delimitation proposal pertained
The Election Commission distributed the seats district-wise in each one of the
States and directed the Chief Electoral Officers to prepare proposals for the
physical demarcation of Constituencies according to the prescribed criteria. As
on outcome of the recommendation of the Election Commission the Parliament
enacted the Delimitation Act, 1952.The Delimitation Commission was to
consist of three members, two of whom were the nominated by the President
from serving or retired judges of the Supreme Court or High Courts while the
Chief Election Commissioner was to be an ex-office member.
(ii)Electoral Rolls:
The second important but tedious function of the Election Commission is to
prepare for identification the up-to-date list of all the persons who are
entitle for voting at the poll.
(iii) Recognition of Political Parties and Allotment of Symbols:
A new part (Part IV A) has been added to the Representation of the People
(Amendment) Act, 1951 on registration of political parties. Section 29 A now
inserted provides for registration with the Commission, of associations and
bodies of individual citizens of India as political parties for purpose of this Act.
This provision came into force from June 15, 1989. A recognized political party
has been classified either as a National Party or a State Party under paragraph 7
of the Elections Symbol Order, 1968.
Another important function of the Election Commission is to allot symbols to
the political parties and the candidates, and also to accord recognition to the
political parties. The Commission has specified certain symbols as reserved and
others as free. The reserved symbols are only available for candidates sponsored
by the political pin ties and the free symbols are equally available to other
candidates.
The Returning Officer summarily but judicially examines all the nomination
papers and decides the objection rose. He is also to see whether the requisite
requirements of security deposit, election symbol, election agent, etc., have also
been fulfilled.
Within 10 days from the last date of filing the returns, the Returning Officer
submits to the Election Commission, a list of all the candidates and their agents
together with their returns as a also his observations in respect of candidates
who have failed to lodge returns in the specified time and in accordance with
the procedure prescribed by law.
The Commission scrutinizes the accounts and decides whether the returns are in
proper form and whether they have been lodged in time. In case of default, it
notifies the candidates or their agents of their disqualification by publishing
these in the official Gazette.
There are two limitations on the exercise of plenary power of the Election
Commissioner. First, when Parliament or any State legislature has made a valid
law, relating to or in connection with elections, the Commission shall act in
conformity with such law.
1. The Government will be on toes and work extra, beyond working hours
in offices.
2. The opposition witch-hunt will stop . The investigating agencies will
work on genuine cases and not on political cases.
3. The foreign tours of Ministers will be reduced thereby increasing
productivity.
4. The Government on power will promote welfare schemes than
promoting programmes of their own political parties.
5. There will be faster conversion of bills into legislative act.
6. The Government will work even on national and public holidays
thereby improving image of country which says there are more than
100 holidays in year.
7. The manifesto and promises made last year will remain fresh on
memory of electorate.
8. The building and consolidation of vested interests and nexus wil
CHAPTER-3
METHODOLOGY
1.Straight line method in time series analysis and
ratio to trend method:
Male
80
70
60
50
40
Male
30
20
10
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age Female
18-27 35
28-37 79
38-47 66
48-57 37
58-67 35
68-77 27
78-87 6
Female
90
80
70
60
50
40 Female
30
20
10
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age Male Female
18-27 44 35
28-37 60 79
38-47 70 66
48-57 34 37
58-67 24 35
68-77 30 27
78-87 3 6
90
80
70
60
50 Age
40 Male
30 Female
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
As per 2016
Age Male
18-27 48
28-37 97
38-47 76
48-57 47
58-67 43
68-77 23
78-87 3
2016 Male
80
70
60
50
40
30
20 2016 Male
10
0
Age Female
18-27 36
28-37 72
38-47 67
48-57 63
58-67 43
68-77 20
78-87 2
Female
80
70
60
50
40
Female
30
20
10
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age Male Female
18-27 48 36
28-37 97 72
38-47 76 67
48-57 47 63
58-67 43 43
68-77 23 20
78-87 3 2
120
100
80
60 Male
Female
40
20
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age male
18-27 52
28-37 100
38-47 82
48-57 51
58-67 47
68-77 25
78-87 3
male
120
100
80
60
male
40
20
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age Female
18-27 44
28-37 77
38-47 69
48-57 65
58-67 32
68-77 18
78-87 2
Female
90
80
70
60
50
40 Female
30
20
10
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age Male Female
18-27 52 44
28-37 100 77
38-47 82 69
48-57 51 65
58-67 47 32
68-77 25 18
78-87 3 2
120
100
80
Age
60
Male
40 Female
20
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
AS per 2018 list of data, we see that
Age Male
18-27 54
28-37 101
38-47 79
48-57 48
58-67 47
68-77 24
78-87 1
Male
120
100
80
60
Male
40
20
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age Female
18-27 43
28-37 86
38-47 69
48-57 70
58-67 42
68-77 20
78-87 1
Female
100
90
80
70
60
50
Female
40
30
20
10
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age Male Female
18-27 54 43
28-37 101 86
38-47 79 69
48-57 48 70
58-67 47 42
68-77 24 20
78-87 1 1
120
100
80
60
Male
40 Female
20
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
From the following data , we consider the class intervals to estimate
the future increment of male and female population of voters by
year 2019 , by using straight line method
∑Yt=na+b∑X
198=4a+b(0)
a=198/4
a=49.5
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
34=0+b(20)
b=34/20
b=1.7
yt=a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=49.5+(1.7)(5)
=58
∑Yt=na+b∑X
158=4a+b(0)
a=158/4
a=39.5
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
32=39.5(0)+b(20)
b=39.5/20
b=1.6
yt=a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=39.5+(1.6)(5)
yt=48
∑Yt=na+b∑X
358=4a+b(0)
a=358/4
a=89.5
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
126=0+b(20)
b=126/20
b=6.3
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=89.5+(6.3)(5)
=121
∑Yt=na+b∑X
314=4a+b(0)
a=314/4
a=78.5
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
26=0+b(20)
b=26/20
b=1.3
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=78.5+(1.3)(5)
=85
76.75=4a+b(0)
a=76.75/4
a=19.1875
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
33=0+b(20)
b=33/20
b=1.65
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=19.1875+(1.65)(5)
=85
∑Yt=na+b∑X
268=4a+b(0)
a=268/4
a=67
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
2=0+b(20)
b=2/20
b=0.1
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=67+(0.1)(5)
=68
∑Yt= na+b∑X
180= 4a+b(0)
a= 180/4
a= 45
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
46=0+b(20)
b=46/20
b=2.3
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=45+(2.3)(5)
=57
∑Yt=na+b∑X
235=4a+b(0)
a=235/4
a=58.75
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
521=0+b(20)
b=521/20
b=26.05
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=58.75+(26.05)(5)
=189
Age category of males (58-67)
∑Yt=na+b∑X
161=4a+b(0)
a=161/4
a=40.25
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
73=0+b(20)
b=73/20
b=3.65
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=40.25+(3.65)(5)
=59
∑Yt=na+b∑X
152=4a+b(0)
a=152/4
a=38
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
10=0+b(20)
b=10/20
b=0.5
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=38+(0.5)(5)
=41
102=4a+b(0)
a=102/4
a=25.5
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
-16=0+b(20)
b=-16/20
b=-0.8
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=25.5+(-0.8)(5)
=22
∑Yt=na+b∑X
85=4a+b(0)
a=85/4
a=21.25
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
-23=0+b(20)
b=-23/20
b=-1.15
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=21.25+(-1.15)(5)
=16
∑Yt=na+b∑X
10=4a+b(0)
a=10/4
a=2.5
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
-6=0+b(20)
b=-6/20
b=-0.3
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=2.5+(-0.3)(5)
=1
Age category of females (78-87)
∑Yt=na+b∑X
11=4a+b(0)
a=11/4
a=2.75
∑XYt=a∑X+b∑X2
-14=0+b(20)
b=-14/20
b=0.7
yt= a+b(t-2016.5)
=a+b(5)
=2.75+(0.7)(5)
=6.25
BY 2019, ESTIMETED MALE POPULATION
Age Male
18-27 58
28-37 121
38-47 85
48-57 57
58-67 59
68-77 22
78-87 1
140
120
100
80
Male
60 Age
40
20
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Age Female
18-27 48
28-37 85
38-47 68
48-57 189
58-67 41
68-77 16
78-87 6
Female
200
180
160
140
120
100
Female
80
60
40
20
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Age Male Female
18-27 58 48
28-37 121 85
38-47 85 68
48-57 57 189
58-67 59 41
68-77 22 16
78-87 1 6
200
180
160
140
120
100 Male
80 Female
60
40
20
0
18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 58-67 68-77 78-87
Chapter-5
Benefits
Benefits:
1. The Government will be on toes and work extra, beyond working
hours in offices.
2. The opposition witch-hunt will stop . The investigating agencies
will work on genuine cases and not on political cases.
3. The foreign tours of Ministers will be reduced thereby increasing
productivity.
4. The Government on power will promote welfare schemes than
promoting programmes of their own political parties.
5. There will be faster conversion of bills into legislative act.
6. The Government will work even on national and public holidays
thereby improving image of country which says there are more
than 100 holidays in year.
7. The manifesto and promises made last year will remain fresh on
memory of electorate.
8. The building and consolidation of vested interests and nexus will
stop.
2.Limitations:
1. In the haste to rush the policies and legislation, there would be
lesser debate and public opinion may be sidsidelined.
2. The executive have three years of tenures under Transfer Act.
The second line of executive will work only for one year which
will be inadequate to familiarise with the department working.
3. The concentration of Minister in charge will be more in his
constituency than in his office.
4. There would be tremendous working load on Election
Commission to update list of voters and conduct frequent
elections.
5. The four years period from national parliament will also have to
be extended to state legislature and Local self Government
bodies. There would be elections seen all round the years.
6. There will be wastage of national wealth. corruption would
increase to catch up with expenses of elections.
7. The would be more cases of violence and booth rigging.
3.Suggestions: