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Research

Direct medical cost of stroke in Singapore


Charmaine Shuyu Ng1, Matthias Paul Han Sim Toh2,3*, Jiaying Ng1, and Yu Ko4**

Background Globally, stroke is recognized as one of the main 16 million first-occurrence strokes occur around the world each
causes of long-term disability, accounting for approximately year, accounting for 5·7 million deaths (2). In 2010, stroke-related
5·7 million deaths each year. It is a debilitating and costly
disability was judged to be the third most common cause of
chronic condition that consumes about 2–4% of total health-
care expenditure. reduced disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) (3). Much of the
Aims To estimate the direct medical cost associated with available epidemiologic data on stroke come from Europe, the
stroke in Singapore in 2012 and to determine associated United States and Australia, with little data from countries in Asia
predictors. other than China, India, and Japan (4). In Singapore, stroke is the
Methods The National Healthcare Group Chronic Disease Man-
fourth leading cause of death, accounting for 9·0% of total deaths
agement System database was used to identify patients with
stroke between the years 2006 and 2012. Estimated stroke- in 2013. It has a prevalence of 3·7% and an incidence of 1·8 per
related costs included hospitalizations, accident and emer- 1000 person-years, and it is among the top 10 causes of hospital-
gency room visits, outpatient physician visits, laboratory tests, ization (5,6).
and medications. Stroke is a debilitating and costly chronic medical condition.
Results A total of 700 patients were randomly selected for the
Worldwide, stroke consumes about 2–4% of total healthcare
analyses. The mean annual direct medical cost was found to be
S$12 473·7, of which 93·6% were accounted for by inpatient expenditure, and in developed countries stroke accounts for more
services, 4·9% by outpatient services, and 1·5% by A&E ser- than 4% of direct healthcare costs (7). The total annual costs have
vices. Independent determinants of greater total costs were been variously estimated at US$40 billion in the United States (8),
stroke types, such as ischemic stroke (P = 0·005), subarachnoid AUS$1.3 billion in Australia (9), and £8·9 billion in the United
hemorrhage (P < 0·001) and intracerebral haemorrhage
Kingdom (10). A study conducted in Singapore in 1996 estimated
(P < 0·001), shorter poststroke period, more than one compli-
cations (P = 0·045), and a greater number of comorbidities the mean direct cost for hospital care to be S$7547, with ward
(P = 0·001). charges accounting for the majority of the total cost (11).
Conclusion There is a considerable economic burden associ- With a rapidly aging population, the number of elderly citizens
ated with stroke in Singapore. The type of stroke, length of in Singapore will likely triple to 900 000 by 2030, and a conse-
poststroke period, and stroke complications and comorbidities
quent increase in the prevalence of stroke is expected (12,13). It is
are found to be associated with the total costs. Efforts to
reduce inpatient costs and to allocate health resources to focus timely to examine the factors influencing the cost of stroke care in
on the primary prevention of stroke should become a priority. order to provide local information to the government, healthcare
Key words: cost analysis, cost of disease, cost-of-illness, economic burden, providers, and policymakers who are responsible for establishing
healthcare costs, stroke healthcare priorities and taking advantage of potential savings.
Their decisions will ultimately dictate how the economic burden
Introduction of a disease is distributed.
Therefore, this study aims to identify the total direct medical
Globally, stroke is the second most common cause of death and cost of the four main stroke types in Singapore: (1) ischemic
one of the main causes of long-term disability (1). Approximately stroke (IS), (2) subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), (3) intracere-
Correspondence: Matthias Paul Han Sim Toh*, Information bral hemorrhage (ICH), and (4) transient ischemic attack (TIA).
Management, Central Regional Health Office, National Healthcare Furthermore, it aims to examine the relationship between the
Group, 3 Fusionopolis Link, #04-08 Nexus@one-north, 138543,
total estimated costs and individual demographic characteristics,
Singapore.
E-mail: matthias_toh@nhg.com.sg type of stroke, length of poststroke period, and medical comor-
Yu Ko**, School of Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Taipei Medical bidities and complications.
University, 250 Wu-Hsing Street, Taipei City 11031, Taiwan.
E-mail: nancyko@tmu.edu.tw
1
Department of Pharmacy, Faculty of Science, National University of
Methods
Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
2
Information Management, Central Regional Health Office, National Study design
Healthcare Group, Singapore, Singapore This study adopted a prevalence-based epidemiological approach,
3
Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore
and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
employing a bottom-up methodology to estimate different cost
4
School of Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Taipei Medical University, components. The prevalence approach can yield more precise
Taipei, Taiwan estimates because it ascertains the current economic burden of a
Received: 17 December 2014; Accepted: 1 June 2015; Published online 14
disease rather than projected ones (14) and is commonly used in
July 2015 illnesses that produce long-term sequelae (15). The perspective
for this study was that of the National Healthcare Group (NHG)
Conflict of interest: None declared.
institutions. This study was approved by the National Healthcare
DOI: 10.1111/ijs.12576 Group Domain Specific Review Board (NHG-DSRB).

© 2015 World Stroke Organization Vol 10, October 2015, 75–82 75


Research C. S. Ng et al.

Data source mated using the total before-subsidy charges, which is the total
This was a study of stroke patients who had received care in any of medical bill before any deductions made by government subsidies
the NHG institutions between January 1, 2006 and December 31, and insurance claims. Costs estimated were for a period of one-
2012. The NHG is an integrated public healthcare delivery system, year; all resources utilized for the year 2012 were reported in
which consists of three acute care hospitals, one national center, Singapore currency (S$) using year 2012 prices.
nine primary care clinics and three specialty institutes. The NHG Costs of inpatient care and A&E services were estimated by the
provides primary care, inpatient, specialist outpatient, and 24 h total charge, which was determined by the length of stay and the
emergency services for the population in the central and western resources used. A&E visits that resulted in hospitalization and
parts of Singapore (16). The nine primary care clinics, known as rehabilitation services provided during hospitalization were
polyclinics, handled 3·7 million visits in 2010, which accounted included as inpatient costs. Physician visits included visits to
for 60% of the entire public sector (17). Data were drawn from the primary care clinics (polyclinics) and specialist outpatient clinics
NHG Chronic Disease Management System (CDMS), which was (hospitals). The standardized rate at all NHG primary care clinics
commissioned in 2007 with the aim to build a registry that helps and hospitals was used as the unit costs for physician visits. Costs
to provide seamless care for patients with chronic diseases and to were estimated by multiplying the number of physician visits by
facilitate greater efficiency in outcome measurement. The system the unit cost of a visit. Costs of medications and laboratory tests
links administrative and key clinical data of patients with stroke were estimated via the same method. As there is no stroke-specific
within the NHG healthcare cluster, including physician visits, medication or laboratory test, the most commonly prescribed
medication, and laboratory test records (16,18). medications and ordered laboratory tests for stroke patients were
included in the cost estimation. All unit costs were provided by
Patient selection
the NHG and were in Singapore dollars. Direct nonmedical costs,
The International Classification of Diseases Ninth Revision (ICD-
such as out-of-pocket expenses and indirect or productivity costs
9-CM) was used to identify patients with stroke. The patients
for loss of work, were not included in this study.
were selected if found to have diagnostic codes between 430 and
436 as a primary or secondary diagnosis, in addition to having Statistical analysis
pharmacy medication records and laboratory data available in the Logarithmic transformation of the cost data was performed as
CDMS. Commonly encountered stroke complications and healthcare cost data are often positively skewed due to a relatively
comorbidities were also identified using ICD-9-CM codes, while small proportion of patients incurring extremely high costs
medications and laboratory data were extracted based on inpa- (19,20). Descriptive statistics (frequency, percentage, mean,
tient and outpatient encounters registered with the CDMS. median, standard deviation, and 90th percentile) were used to
Informed consent was not obtained from the patients as the data present costs and patients’ demographics. Multiple linear regres-
were de-identified prior to analysis. sion analyses were performed to determine the predictors of the
This study included patients who were at least 21 years of age total costs. All statistical analyses were performed using spss
and had an ICD-9-CM code between 430 and 436 or attended version 22.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).
treatment for stroke in any NHG institution during the study
period. Patients were stratified by stroke types: IS, SAH, ICH, and Results
TIA. Patients were also further divided into two groups: acute and
Patient characteristics
prevalent. They were classified as acute if their first-ever stroke
A total of 8230 (2144 acute; 6086 prevalent) stroke patients in the
occurred in the year 2011 and prevalent if their first episode of
NHG CDMS (2006–2012) were identified. After random sam-
stroke occurred between 2006 and 2010. To determine the date of
pling, 700 patients were included in the analyses, of which half
stroke onset, only the first hospitalization for each acute patient
were acute and half prevalent. The socio-demographic profile of
was included, and when prevalent patients presented with mul-
the patients is shown in Table 1. Of the overall patient sample,
tiple episodes of strokes during the study’s time frame, the most
more than half were male (55·1%), and most were Chinese
recent stroke type other than TIA was used for patient classifica-
(83·1%). The mean ± SD age was 62·7 ± 13·5 years and the mean
tion. In addition, acute and prevalent patients needed to have at
length of poststroke period was 1·7 ± 1·5 years. Of the 350 preva-
least one record in the CDMS in the year 2012 and 2013, respec-
lent patients, only 12·3% had one or more inpatient visits during
tively, to ensure survival poststroke. Patients with strokes other
the one-year observation period compared with 93·1% in the
than IS, SAH, ICH, and TIA were excluded. Stratified sampling
acute group. Urinary tract infection (UTI) (19·0%) and pneumo-
was conducted to ensure a representative sample of different types
nia (6·0%) were the most common stroke complications among
of stroke. For this study, 150 IS patients, 50 SAH patients, 100 ICH
the cohort. The three most common medical comorbidities were
patients, and 50 TIA patients were randomly selected for acute
dyslipidemia (85·6%), hypertension (76·6%), and diabetes melli-
and prevalent groups, giving a total of 700 patients for analysis.
tus (DM) (32·1%).
Resource use and cost estimation Among the four types of stroke, men comprised slightly more
Direct stroke-related costs were classified by the type of service, than half of the patients in the IS (60·0%), ICH (62·0%), and TIA
which included inpatient hospitalization, accident and emergency (55·0%) groups, while only 27% of the patients were male in the
(A&E), and ambulatory outpatient care (physician visits, labora- SAH sample. On average, patients with SAH tended to be younger
tory tests, and medications). The total medical costs were esti- than those with the other types of stroke. The mean length of

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C. S. Ng et al. Research
Table 1 Socio-demographic and clinical characteristics of patients by type of stroke, CDMS 2006 to 2012

n (%)* or mean ± standard deviation

Overall IS SAH ICH TIA


Characteristic (n = 700) (n = 300) (n = 100) (n = 200) (n = 100)

Age (years) 62·7 ± 13·5 65·7 ± 13·6 55·4 ± 13·9 61·7 ± 11·9 62·8 ± 13·1
Gender
Male 386 (55·1) 180 (60·0) 27 (27·0) 124 (62·0) 55 (55·0)
Female 314 (44·9) 120 (40·0) 73 (73·0) 76 (38·0) 45 (45·0)
Race
Chinese 582 (83·1) 239 (79·7) 82 (82·0) 178 (89·0) 83 (83·0)
Malay 65 (9·3) 36 (12·0) 11 (11·0) 9 (4·5) 9 (9·0)
Indian 35 (5·0) 18 (6·0) 4 (4·0) 8 (4·0) 5 (5·0)
Others 18 (2·6) 7 (2·3) 3 (3·0) 5 (2·5) 3 (3·0)
Poststroke period (years) 1·7 ± 1·5 1·6 ± 1·4 1·7 ± 1·5 1·7 ± 1·5 1·7 ± 1·5
Length of stay (days)
Acute (n = 350) 27·4 ± 39·7 23·0 ± 30·7 39·3 ± 44·1 39·0 ± 51·4 4·9 ± 7·8
Prevalent (n = 350) 1·9 ± 9·4 2·3 ± 9·2 1·0 ± 3·1 2·5 ± 13·3 0·7 ± 3·0
At least one inpatient visit
Acute (n = 350) 326 (93·1) 141 (47·0) 50 (50·0) 99 (49·5) 36 (36·0)
Prevalent (n = 350) 43 (12·3) 18 (6·0) 7 (7·0) 14 (7·0) 4 (4·0)
Stroke complications
Urinary tract infection 133 (19·0) 48 (16·0) 35 (35·0) 44 (22·0) 6 (6·0)
Pneumonia 42 (6·0) 15 (5·0) 9 (9·0) 16 (8·0) 2 (2·0)
Acute myocardial infarction 17 (2·4) 6 (2·0) 0 (0·0) 5 (2·5) 6 (6·0)
Deep vein thrombosis 8 (1·1) 3 (1·0) 2 (2·0) 2 (1·0) 1 (1·0)
Gastrointestinal tract bleeding 8 (1·1) 4 (1·3) 1 (1·0) 3 (1·5) 0 (0·0)
Decubitus ulcer 3 (0·4) 1 (0·3) 0 (0·0) 2 (1·0) 0 (0·0)
Comorbidities
Dyslipidemia 599 (85·6) 291 (97·0) 56 (56·0) 155 (77·5) 97 (97·0)
Hypertension 536 (76·6) 247 (82·3) 41 (41·0) 174 (87·0) 74 (74·0)
Diabetes mellitus 225 (32·1) 120 (40·0) 11 (11·0) 60 (30·0) 34 (34·0)
Chronic kidney disease 102 (14·6) 56 (18·7) 4 (4·0) 27 (13·5) 15 (15·0)
Ischaemic heart disease 99 (14·1) 48 (16·0) 5 (5·0) 24 (12·0) 22 (22·0)
Atrial fibrillation 68 (9·7) 44 (14·7) 3 (3·0) 13 (6·5) 8 (8·0)
Heart failure 38 (5·4) 19 (6·3) 3 (3·0) 12 (6·0) 4 (4·0)
Peripheral vascular disease 27 (3·9) 17 (5·7) 1 (1·0) 4 (2·0) 5 (5·0)
Retinopathy 9 (1·3) 7 (2·3) 0 (0·0) 2 (1·0) 0 (0·0)

*Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. CDMS, Chronic Disease Management System; TIA, transient ischemic attack; IS, ischemic
stroke; SAH, subarachnoid hemorrhage; ICH, intracerebral hemorrhage.

poststroke period was also similar among the four stroke types. higher than the median cost estimates in patients with SAH and
Similar to the overall patient sample, patients with different stroke 4·4 times in patients with ICH, demonstrating that a small pro-
types had UTI and pneumonia as common complications, portion of patients with extremely high costs had a substantial
while dyslipidemia, hypertension, and DM were common influence on the mean estimates. The mean costs of patients with
comorbidities. IS and TIA were less influenced by outliers. While inpatient costs
consistently contributed to the majority of the total costs in all
Annual costs of stroke four stroke groups, patients with TIA had a higher proportion of
The mean annual direct cost of stroke was estimated to be resource consumption for outpatient services than the other
S$12 473·7 (US$1·0 = S$1·2 as of December 31, 2012) (21), of types. Furthermore, in outpatient costs, physician services consis-
which S$11 672·5 was for inpatient services, S$188·7 for A&E tently accounted for the majority of the total expenditure, fol-
services, and S$612·5 for outpatient services (Table 2). Of the total lowed by laboratory tests and medications (Table 2).
healthcare expenditure, the main cost driver was inpatient costs Healthcare expenditure across all services was substantially
(93·6%), while A&E services (1·5%) were only a small portion of higher in acute patients than in prevalent patients. The mean
the total costs. The major source of costs for outpatient services annual costs were S$22 721·3 (acute) and S$2226·2 (prevalent), of
was physician visits, which accounted for 4·9% of the total health- which 95·5% and 73·5%, respectively, were accounted for by inpa-
care expenditure and 75·0% of total outpatient expenditure. tient services. Outpatient services were more utilized in the preva-
The average cost of care for patients with SAH (S$22 990·9) was lent group, which is evident when comparing the proportion of
the highest, followed by patients with ICH (S$16 600·6), IS outpatient costs to the total costs in each group. Although the
(S$9138·5), and TIA (S$3708·5). The mean costs were 4·1 times proportion of outpatient costs in physician services, laboratory

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Research C. S. Ng et al.

Table 2 Direct medical costs incurred at different sites of care by type of stroke

Site of care IS (n = 300) SAH (n = 100) ICH (n = 200) TIA (n = 100) Overall (n = 700)

Inpatient
Cost (S$) 2 491 036·8 2 246 490·7 3 140 451·2 292 791·0 8 170 769·7
Percentage of total cost (%)* 90·9 97·7 94·6 79·0 93·6
Mean 8303·5 22 464·9 15 702·3 2927·9 11 672·5
SD 15 742·1 34 614·8 43 657·7 7228·2 29 374·2
Median 2286·0 5324·4 2549·4 1232·7 2013·9
90th percentile 23 719·2 59 640·1 40 987·3 4508·4 33 877·7
Accident & Emergency
Cost (S$) 55 553·2 12 892·3 41 599·3 22 012·6 132 057·4
Percentage of total cost (%)* 2·0 0·6 1·3 5·9 1·5
Mean 185·2 128·9 208·0 220·1 188·7
SD 284·3 211·8 302·5 375·5 296·2
Median 58·7 0·0 111·0 128·0 0·0
90th percentile 538·7 394·9 633·7 588·2 523·5
Outpatient
Cost (S$) 194 960·1 39 702·4 138 061·6 56 043·7 428 767·8
Percentage of total cost (%)* 7·1 1·7 4·2 15·1 4·9
Mean 649·9 397·0 690·3 560·4 612·5
SD 620·2 534·7 1396·6 439·9 892·8
Median 482·7 225·3 383·3 485·7 415·8
90th percentile 1469·4 914·0 1336·8 1227·9 1255·0
Outpatient physician visits
Cost (S$) 134 753·1 35 213·8 115 355·9 38 726·9 324 049·7
Percentage of total outpatient cost (%)* 69·1 88·7 83·6 69·1 75·6
Mean 449·2 352·1 576·8 387·3 462·9
SD 443·4 519·8 1357·1 300·6 816·0
Median 306·7 209·3 277·8 315·0 281·6
90th percentile 1013·8 670·7 1064·4 822·5 912·0
Outpatient laboratory tests
Cost (S$) 41 823·7 2816·9 15 934·3 11 271·0 71 845·9
Percentage of total outpatient cost (%)* 21·5 7·1 11·5 20·1 16·8
Mean 139·4 28·2 79·7 112·7 102·6
SD 196·5 57·5 107·5 135·0 156·2
Median 88·6 0·0 59·3 81·8 71·7
90th percentile 355·3 123·1 193·7 277·5 245·8
Outpatient medications
Cost (S$) 18 383·3 1671·8 6771·4 6045·8 32 872·2
Percentage of total outpatient cost (%) 9·4 4·2 4·9 10·8 7·7
Mean 61·3 16·7 33·9 60·5 47·0
SD 101·6 60·6 84·7 112·3 95·1
Median 29·5 0·0 5·9 27·0 14·7
90th percentile 154·4 6771·4 80·7 126·6 122·1
Total cost
Cost (S$) 2 741 550·1 2 299 085·4 3 320 112·1 370 847·4 8 731 594·9
Mean 9138·5 22 990·9 16 600·6 3708·5 12 473·7
SD 16 095·6 34 748·5 43 755·2 7479·4 29 517·2
Median 3109·3 5601·7 3801·1 1888·3 2929·2
90th percentile 26 213·1 60 193·7 41 368·2 5619·3 35 102·1

*Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. TIA, transient ischemic attack; IS, ischemic stroke; SAH, subarachnoid hemorrhage;
ICH, intracerebral hemorrhage.

tests, and medications was similar in the two groups, the poststroke period, more than one stroke complication, and a
mean total physician visit cost was higher in acute patients greater number of comorbidities. This model explained 61·0% of
(Table 3). the variance in costs (Table 4). Compared with patients with TIA,
the mean annual total cost of patients with IS was 18·2% higher
Predictors of total costs (P = 0·005), while the increase in the total costs of patients with
Cost predictors were investigated using multiple linear regression SAH (41·0%, P < 0·001) and ICH (29·2%, P < 0·001) was even
with log transformation. A higher total cost of stroke was signifi- greater. Age, gender, and race were not independently associated
cantly associated with stroke type (IS, SAH, and ICH), shorter with the total cost.

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C. S. Ng et al. Research
Table 3 Comparison of medical costs incurred at different sites of care Table 4 Factors influencing the total annual cost of stroke (n = 700)
between acute and prevalent stroke patients
Characteristic β-coefficient 95% CI P value
Acute Prevalent
stroke stroke Individual level factors
Site of care (n = 350) (n = 350) Age (per year increase) 0·001 −0·003 0·004 0·634
Gender
Inpatient Male (reference)
Cost (S$) 7 598 109·3 572 660·5 Female −0·045 −0·133 0·042 0·307
Percentage of total cost (%)* 95·5 73·5 Race
Mean 21 708·9 1636·2 Chinese (reference)
SD 38 419·7 7075·2 Malay 0·083 −0·063 0·228 0·265
Median 9118·6 0·0 Indian 0·013 −0·178 0·204 0·891
90th percentile 50 220·4 3280·0 Others 0·117 −0·147 0·380 0·385
Accident & Emergency Stroke type
Cost (S$) 108 898·0 23 159·4 TIA (reference)
Percentage of total cost (%)* 1·4 3·0 IS 0·182 0·055 0·308 0·005
Mean 311·1 66·2 SAH 0·410 0·243 0·577 <0·001
SD 335·4 182·0 ICH 0·292 0·157 0·427 <0·001
Median 245·2 0·0 Poststroke period
90th percentile 683·7 273·0 Acute <1 year (reference)
Outpatient Prevalent 1 to 3 years −1·230 −1·326 −1·133 <0·001
Cost (S$) 245 433·6 183 334·2 Prevalent >3 years −1·411 −1·519 −1·303 <0·001
Percentage of total cost (%)* 3·1 23·5 Stroke complications
Mean 701·2 523·8 None (reference)
SD 813·0 959·1 1 complication 0·103 −0·005 0·211 0·061
Median 477·3 385·7 >1 complications 0·207 0·004 0·410 0·045
90th percentile 1522·1 899·9 Comorbidities
Outpatient physician visits Number of comorbidities 0·055 0·022 0·089 0·001
Cost (S$) 190 299·0 133 750·7 (per 1 increase)
Percentage of total outpatient cost (%)* 77·5 73·0
Mean 543·7 382·1 TIA, transient ischemic attack; IS, ischemic stroke; SAH, subarachnoid
SD 696·1 914·4 hemorrhage; ICH, intracerebral hemorrhage.
Median 340·9 234·6
90th percentile 1237·5 624·9
Outpatient laboratory tests
stroke types as well as costs among acute and prevalent patients in
Cost (S$) 39 109·3 32 736·6 both inpatient and ambulatory settings in Singapore.
Percentage of total outpatient cost (%)* 15·9 17·9 The average one-year cost estimate per stroke patient in the
Mean 111·7 93·5 present study was S$12 473·7 (US$10 190·3), and this figure
SD 187·1 117·0 appears to be higher than those reported in other Asian countries.
Median 34·4 82·9
90th percentile 330·1 193·9
Two studies in Korea reported an estimate of approximately
Outpatient medications KRW$8 million per patient (22,23), while in China it costs
Cost (S$) 16 025·4 16 846·8 CNY$30 438·3 per patient for the management of stroke (20).
Percentage of total outpatient cost (%)* 6·5 9·2 Notably, direct medical costs reported in the American (24) and
Mean 45·8 48·1 European (25,26) continents were much higher than those esti-
SD 105·4 83·8
Median 10·3 18·8
mated in this study. Nevertheless, the comparison of mean total
90th percentile 113·6 126·6 cost with other studies was hindered by the estimation of only the
Total cost first year (acute) or hospitalization costs and the limited number
Cost (S$) 7 952 440·9 779 154·1 of stroke types included in most studies as well as the differences
Mean 22 721·3 2226·2 in the levels of stroke severity and the types of costs included
SD 38 490·9 7269·5
Median 9938·0 444·6
among studies.
90th percentile 53 080·3 4925·8 Despite the differences in total costs estimated, inpatient costs
remain the main cost driver, which is consistent with previous
*Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
stroke COI studies (9,20,27). The high costs in inpatient services
are often strongly correlated to length of stay (LOS) (28,29), where
Discussion a higher LOS results in higher costs. Previous studies (30,31) have
also reported that having complications was associated with a
This prevalence-based cost-of-illness (COI) study involved a large significant increase in the LOS. With the many complications
captive population with stroke in Singapore. The analysis was accompanying a stroke, it is inevitable that inpatient care domi-
based on administrative, clinical, and cost data retrieved from the nates the total healthcare expenditure. This fact underlines the
NHG disease registry from 2006 to 2012. This is the first study to need for effective preventative measures and careful treatment of
provide estimates of the distribution of costs among the different these complications. Furthermore, early mobilization and careful

© 2015 World Stroke Organization Vol 10, October 2015, 75–82 79


Research C. S. Ng et al.

monitoring of clinical parameters seem to be beneficial as well to higher resource consumption. For example, stroke patients
(32,33). In terms of outpatient costs, physician services contrib- with multiple complications and/or comorbidities would natu-
uted to the bulk of the total expenditure, which is understandable rally require medications for each condition, further driving up
as there is a surge in patient demands. One study (34) proposed the healthcare cost of stroke survivors (53). As such, efforts to
increasing the caseload of physicians, which provides opportuni- prevent stroke complications could result in a decrease in medi-
ties for physicians to develop cost-effective as well as technically cation costs and overall cost of care by shortening LOS and reduc-
effective medical treatment skills to deal with the high demands. ing the number of postacute stroke follow-up visits. Thus,
This may also make them more savvy in coordinating the various decreasing stroke patients’ rate of developing complications
treatment elements and discharge planning, leading to a reduction and/or comorbidities in addition to good control of cardiovascu-
in costs related to care content. As outpatient physicians are lar risk factors through patient-targeted disease-management
central to the healthcare system, efforts to contain physician could be beneficial in reducing overall healthcare costs for stroke
spending without compromising the quality of care will have treatment.
positive effects on all healthcare services. This study is not without limitations. First, data were drawn
As in previous studies, patients with SAH were younger, had from a large operational healthcare database and, as such, relied
lower outpatient costs, and higher overall costs compared with on the accuracy and completeness of the records. However, the
other cerebrovascular diseases (35–38). This young age could lead NHG CDMS has been used in several studies and is recognized as
to greater lifetime costs, due to long-term management of the providing well-validated and comprehensive data (17,54). The
disease and loss of productivity costs (8,39,40); these possibilities integration of both administrative and clinical data allows a
raise a concern for the national economy because of the dimin- detailed characterization of the patient at the index date and was
ishing workforce. On the other hand, due to the nondisabling also useful in running prediction models. Second, patients with
nature of TIA, these patients are more commonly managed as stroke other than IS, SAH, ICH, and TIA, along with indirect and
outpatients than inpatients (41) and incur lower overall health- intangible costs and out-of-pocket expenses, were not examined
care costs, which was confirmed by the regression analysis in the in this study. Moreover, rehabilitation costs were included in the
present study. Consistent with our study finding, the general con- cost estimation only if the services were provided during hospi-
sensus was that hemorrhagic strokes were more costly than IS and talization. These limits in scope have likely underestimated the
TIA (27,42,43), given the frequent need for neurosurgery and true cost of stroke. In addition, due to the lack of data, stroke
intensive monitoring with high levels of subsequent morbidity severity, which is an important predictor of costs, was omitted
(24,44,45). from the analysis. Third, the study population was limited to the
Cost of stroke care within the first year of stroke occurrence is public healthcare sector in Singapore. Nevertheless, the strength
concerning, with healthcare use being substantially higher when of this prevalence-based COI study lies in that all cases of stroke
compared with prevalent patients (10,26,46). This vast disparity are included for a specified year, which allows for a cross-section
was mainly due to inpatient costs dominating the burden for acute of patients in various stages of the illness. Further health eco-
stroke cases with high ward charges and diagnostic tests. The nomic evaluations alongside controlled intervention studies are
severity of the disease coupled with multiple follow-up visits at needed to draw definitive conclusions, in order to determine if the
outpatient clinics could also be possible explanations (26,29). The changes in severity of the disease, as assessed by laboratory-
present study’s cost estimates for the acute phase are noticeably derived measurements, would alter the overall cost.
much higher than those obtained by three previous studies done
in Singapore (11,47,48). Chow et al. (47) estimated an average cost Conclusion
of S$6783, while S$7547 was reported by Venketasubramanian
and Yin (11) and S$2410·8 by Saxena et al. (48). However, it should This study provides a comprehensive cost analysis for the stroke
be noted that these earlier studies only estimated hospitalization population in Singapore. The results indicate that stroke type,
costs. Furthermore, Chow et al. included only patients with IS, length of poststroke, period as well as stroke complications and
while Saxena et al. estimated costs in a community hospital comorbidities are significant determinants of the total cost of
setting. The heavy inpatient focus of hospitals is not cost-effective care. With an aging population, the prevalence of stroke in Sin-
for the management of chronic diseases. Data for diseases such as gapore will continue to grow in the years to come, resulting in a
asthma and congestive heart failure (49,50) clearly indicate that heavy burden on health budgets. Hence, it is important to under-
cost savings come from what happens over the long term outside stand what drives costs in order to further underscore the need for
of hospitals to prevent acute episodes from occurring (51), and effective preventive therapies, timely critical care, and well-
much of these savings may have been the result of empiric iden- designed rehabilitation programs to contain stroke-related
tification of barriers to efficient diagnosis and management as well healthcare costs and to enhance the quality of life in our aging
as more aggressive discharge planning. society.
Our study findings further confirm epidemiologic evidence in
the literature that complications and comorbidities tend to Acknowledgements
increase the cost of care. A study by O’Brien and colleagues (52)
found that complications that are initially relatively low in cost The authors would like to thank Ms. Lin Jen and Dr. Yin Min
could progress to become more costly in the advanced stages due Thaung for their assistance in study design and data extraction.

80 Vol 10, October 2015, 75–82 © 2015 World Stroke Organization


C. S. Ng et al. Research
Author contributions 21 OANDA Corporation. Currency converter. New York, NY: OANDA
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C. S. N., Y. K. and M. P. H. S. T. designed the study; C. S. N. and J. 22 Rha JH, Koo J, Cho KH et al. Two-year direct medical costs of stroke in
N. performed the analysis and prepared the manuscript; Y. K. and Korea: a multi-centre incidence-based study from hospital perspec-
M. P. H. S. T. provided data analysis advice and revision of the tives. Int J Stroke. 2013; 8:186–92.
final manuscript. All authors read and approved the manuscript. 23 Lim SJ, Kim HJ, Nam CM et al. Socioeconomic costs of stroke in
Korea: estimated from the Korea national health insurance claims
database. J Prev Med Public Health. 2009; 42:251–60.
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