Documente Academic
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1850-1947
Author(s): Colin Simmons
Source: Modern Asian Studies, Vol. 19, No. 3, Special Issue: Papers Presented at the Conference
on Indian Economic and Social History, Cambridge University, April 1984 (1985), pp. 593-622
Published by: Cambridge University Press
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',
'De-industrialization
Industrializationand the
Indian Economy, c. 1850-1947
COLIN SIMMONS
Universityof Salford
II
593
4
Amiya Bagchi is one of the rare breed of scholars who manage to write with
conviction about industrialization in the post- as well as the pre-Independence eras. Few
orthodox economic historians feel at ease with the latter period, and even fewer
development economists are willing to venture very far back into the past. It is no
accident that Bagchi is inspired by the Marxian approach and this imparts a very useful
degree of unity to his work, cf. his 'Long-term Constraints on India's Industrial Growth
1951-68' in E. A. G. Robinson and M. Kidron (eds), EconomicDevelopmentin South Asia
(London, I970); A. K. Bagchi and N. Banerjee (eds), Changeand Choicein Indian Industry
(Calcutta, 198I), esp. the Introduction; and The Political Economy of Underdevelopment
(Cambridge, I982)-in addition to his well-known book and series of articles on
industrialization and de-industrialization.
5 As
reported in the Times Higher Educational Supplement,27 January 1984.
emerge and the differences within the tradition are perhaps as profound
as they are between it and the rest of their peers.15 Neither the
theoretical framework(s) nor the forays into history (especially those
conducted by one of the most well-known exponents of the Radical
School, A. G. Frank) have been acceptable to the majority of the
profession, and though their works are sold in seemingly great number,
they do not feature as standard fare in the normal undergraduate diet.
This attempt to ignore, discredit, or freeze-out an alternative mode of
thinking has further divided an already quite confused situation, and
the aspiring Third Worldist is now confronted by an array of competing
strands of thought which have emerged in recent years from the two
main parent disciplines, history and economics.16 A badly-needed
element of vigour has been added to the debates, and on those (all too
rare) occasions when the rival protagonists actually engage one another
in open dispute over common ground-such as the controversy
surrounding the 'marginality' or otherwise of the 'Periphery' to
European economic advance over the fifteenth to the eighteenth
centuries17-then much can be learned (and enjoyed). Plurality,
though a hard chore, has compensations: indeed, it is surely the critical
stuff which pushes out the frontiers of the subject.
III
18
Bairoch, 'Industrialization Levels'. It is as well to note that these estimates were
made prior to the appearance of a number of recent-but still highly questionable-sta-
tistical compilations, such as Alan Heston's reworking of India's national income data,
as reported in his Chapter IV in the CambridgeEconomicHistory of India, [C.E.H.I.], vol. 2.
19 The
widely acknowledged difficulties of arriving at a rigorous general definition of
this term (see the discussion between A. K. Cairncross and N. Kaldor, 'What is
de-industrialisation?' in F. Blackaby (ed.), De-industrialisation (London, 1977), pp. 5-25)
are, of course, greatly compounded when data relating to the behaviour of crucial
variables-particularly the real value of sectoral output shares, total output, and the
levels of sectoral and total employment-are sketchy or simply absent. Quite clearly,
time-series of absolute values and volumes are required before we can properly refute or
validate the claim of de-industrialization; but it is precisely over the period 1750-I880
that such data, at least in the aggregate, are most scarce, fragmentary and crude. We are
therefore faced with a number of unpalatable choices: we can extend the time-period
forward (as did Thorner, see fn. 20 below)-and so omit what was probably the most
significant relevant era; examine particular regions (Bagchi) or industries (Desai,
Twomey) in the hope that they are somehow 'representative' and can hence be
generalized; rely upon extremely indirect evidence such as the relative figures produced
by Bairoch (a decline in the share of a rapidly growing level of output says little about
absolute trends, of course, and the per capita estimates are only marginally more useful
in this context: the case of the British economy in the late nineteenth century is
instructive); abandon the terms and the connotation altogether, as suggested by I. M. D.
Little, 'Indian Industrialization before I945', in M. Gersovitz et al. (eds), The Theoryand
Experienceof EconomicDevelopment:Essays in Honour of Sir W. A. Lewis (London, 1982), fn.
I, p. 369, and seconded, perhaps not surprisingly, by D. Lal, The Povertyof Development
Economics(London, I 983), pp. 84ff; or use it in a frankly wide and non-technical sense to
refer to the process discussed here.
TABLE I
Distribution of World Manufacturing Output
175o-1980 (% sharesof total)
Third Developed
India* China World Countries
TABLE 2
Comparative*per-capita Levels of Indus-
trialization (index numbers)
1750 7 7 8
800o 6 7 8
I830 6 7 II
i860 3 7 i6
i88o 2 9 24
1900 I I2 35
I9I3 2 20 55
1928 3 3? 71
1938 4 5I 8I
1953 6 40 I35
I980 i6 353 344
McCloskey (eds), The Economic History of Britain Since 700oo:Vol. 2, I860 to the I970s
(Cambridge, 98 ), esp. pp. 86-97. Earlier work on the New England Colonies and the
effects of the Navigation Acts paved the way for this initiative; and on the narrower
question of imperial investments see L. E. Davis and R. A. Huttenback, 'The Political
Economy of British Imperialism: Measures of Benefit and Support', Journal of Economic
History XLII (i) I982; and the controversy between D. 0. Flynn and D. St Clair, and
Davis and Huttenback, 'The Social Returns to Empire', Journal of Economic History
XLIII (4) I983. As far as the imperial experience of the US is amenable to such an
approach, see S. Lebergott, 'The Returns to US Imperialism 1890-1929' also in the
Journalof EconomicHistoryXL (2) 1980.
TABLE 3a
The Growth of the SecondarySector igoo-oi to 1946-47
i9oo-oi I946-47
I. Mining:
i. Value of output (Rs million)* 199 430
ii. Share of total net output (%) 0.49 0.65
iii. Average annual rate of growth,
I900o-o to I946-47 (%) 1.98
2. Manufacturing:
i. V* 664 4841
ii. S I.6 7.2
iii. % A 5.I4
3. Small-scale Industries:
i. V* 3825 5979
ii. S 9.6 8.9
iii. % A 1.59
4. Secondary Sector as a whole:t
i. V* 4688 11 250
ii. S 1.69 i6.8i
iii. % A 2.9
I882-83 i89g-90oo
I. Mining:
i. Value of Output (Rs million) 34 153
ii. Share of total net output (%) o. 0.4
iii. Average annual rate of growth,
1882-3 to I899-1900 (%) I0.
2. Manufacturing:
i. V 282 870
ii. S 0.84 2.26
iii. % A 7.38
3. Small Scale and Services:*
i. V 8196 9604
ii. S 24.4 24.9
iii. % A 1.02
controversial), and it is these which ultimately find their way into the
obligatory 'industry' sections of the more general studies.30
The further one delves back into the nineteenth century the more
hazy our vision becomes since there are precious few works available
which are written in this survey genre.31 There are probably two main
30
cf. see B. L. C. Johnson, Developmentin South Asia (London, 1983), ch. i-for a
popular account; Little, 'Indian Industrialization', and Lal, DevelopmentEconomics, for
the neo-Classical position; B. Davey, The Economic Developmentof India (Nottingham,
I975), ch. IV, and A. Sen, The State, Industrialization and Class Formation in India: A
Neo-Marxist Perspective on Colonialism, Underdevelopmentand Development (London,
1982)-for a Radical view; and N. Charlesworth, British Rule, ch. III, D. K. Fieldhouse,
Colonialism 181z-1945 (London, I98I), R. von Albertini with A. Wirz, EuropeanColonial
Rule, i88o-g94o: The Impact of the West on India, South-eastAsia and Africa (Oxford, 1982),
esp. pp. 48-67, and K. de SchweinitzJr., The Rise and Fall of British India: Imperialismor
Inequality (London, 1983), esp. ch. 5-for a more general perspective.
31 The most often
quoted is that ofR. L. Lidman and L. I. Domrese, 'India', in W. A.
Lewis (ed.), Tropical Development,i88o-i9I3 (London, I970), esp. pp. 318-29, but this is
now dated and only really considers the three decades prior to the outbreak of the first
world war. The literature (in English) emanating from the Soviet Union is, as might
have been expected, disappointingly shallow and unoriginal, cf. G. K. Shirokov,
Industrialisationof India (Moscow, 1973), and V. Pavlow et al., India: Social and Economic
Development,i8th-2oth Centuries(Moscow, 1975), esp. ch. 3.
reasons for this. First, the 'modern' parts of the sector only really got
going after the mid-century, so that in 1868-69, the manufacturing and
mining sub-sectors between them only produced some Rs 53 million
worth (k3.53 million) of output-equivalent tojust o.175% of the total
net product; and three decades later (I900-0 I), the combined figure of
Rs 863 million (?57.5 million) though representing a substantial rise,
still only amounted to a mere 2.16% of the total.32 Secondly, it is well
known that small-scale industry has not attracted very much research
attention33 and hence there is no real body of literature that the
potential surveyor can call upon; so, even at this very broad aggregate
level, we remain very much in the dark.
When we begin to descend from these lofty heights down to industries
and firms-thereby hopefully going closer to the springs of growth, or
the sources of stagnation and decline-the veil over our subject has only
been lifted a mite further. Bearing in mind the 'industrialisation-first'
stratagems embodied in the planning documents and proclaimed on
innumerable political platforms on the one hand, and the pervasive
respect accorded to Gandhian ideals ('translated' by E. F. Schumacher
into a readily acceptable contemporary economic formula) on the other;
and given the passage of time since Independence with the consequent
reduction in the need for engaging in polemic; and finally the absolute
number of potential students, it is little short of astonishing that today
we can call upon no more than a tiny handful of modern accounts of the
emergence and functioning of a sector which, in 1946-47, contributed
Rs I11250 million (C844.6 million), or just under 17% of total output
(Table 3a). This ignorance is most marked with respect to the
small-scale industry and 'firm' grouping-still the largest sub-sector at
the time of Independence (Rs 5979 million or 9% of N.D.P.)-so that it
remains, as Professor Morris aptly remarks, 'almost totally terra
incognita'.34We are, of course, a little better placed as far as the other two
sub-sectors are concerned. The more overtly intrusive presence of the
large-scale urban factory establishments and, to a lesser extent, the
plantations and mines, with their obvious manifestations-a substantial
proletariat,35 considerable European involvement and financial inter-
32 Derived from
Heston, I983 (see fn. I8), Tables 4.3A and 4.3B.
33
M. Twomey's recent study of textiles (see fn. 20), is a welcome exception to the
general rule, but is unlikely to be a general harbinger.
34
M. D. Morris, 'The Growth of Large-Scale Industry to I947', in C.E.H.I., vol. 2, p.
676.
35 The emergence of the labour force has probably attracted more research interest in
recent years than any other single aspect of modern industrialization. Since Professor
Morris's tilt at what he called the 'traditional view' which seemed to stress the problems
change over the period is still very rudimentary, and although we may
intuitively harbour several probably highly germane suppositions
notably those revolving around the implications of different factor prices
vis-a-vis capital-goods supplying countries, and the alleged results of
entrepreneurial conservatism with respect to plant vintage and writing-
down policy (as far as the organized sector is concerned)-definite
information is at a premium.40 Secondly, the spatial or regional aspects
of industrial location and relocation have yet to be systematically
examined. To date we are still short of detailed historical narrations of
the rise-and fall (Murshedabad)-of 'industrial' village clusters,
districts, townships, towns, cities and regions. We seem to know a great
deal about the political, social, military and architectural fabric of
colonial cities-but their economic development has not generally been
accorded anything like the same degree of emphasis (usually it tends to
be relegated to background or contextual reference), and the less
well-known, non-metropolitan places--including the princely states-
have received scant interest. Of course, this is but one element within the
wider ambit of regional diversity; and the problem of determining the
most appropriate unit of analysis in the general study of the subcon-
tinent is still a matter of controversy. The sooner we are able to fill in
some of the gaps the more valuable will be the contribution of economic
historians to this particular issue.
Though far from comprehensive, this necessarily discursive survey of
what we lack in the way of informed descriptive work leads us directly
towards the two remaining lacunae already alluded to above, namely
the atheoretical approach of many, but of course by no means all
commentators, and the failure to invoke a comparative perspective;
indeed, there is clearly a strong relationship between these and what I
take to be our key weakness-the lack of a monographic tradition. I
suppose that in some ideal world of scholarship, description, theory,
comparison and contrast are intimately bound up together and, to the
extent that they are separable in the sense of individual predilection, a
constant tension exists between them so that a particular advance or
40
Paradoxically,althoughfew economichistoriansof modernIndia.have seemed
interestedin delvinginto technologyand thechoiceof technique,thesubjectappearsto
be attractingthe attentionof the pre-Britishand especiallythe Mughalspecialists(see
K. Currie,'The Developmentof Petty CommodityProductionin Mughal India',
Bulletinof Concerned
AsianScholars,14 (I) 982, and especially I. Habib, 'Technology and
Barriers to Social Change in Mughal India', IndianHistoricalReview,V, nos 1-2, July
I978-Jan. I979). Apart from the usual disclaimer of lack of information about the
'unorganized'sector, the main reason for this neglect seems to be related to the
'borrowed'natureof technologypriorto the secondworldwar.
IV
61
Preface p. xviii.
63
D. Lal, The Poverty of DevelopmentEconomics.