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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Today crypto currencies have become a global phenomenon known to most people. While
still somehow geeky and not understood by most people, banks, governments and many
companies are aware of its importance. In 2016, you‘ll have a hard time finding a major
bank, a big accounting firm, a prominent software company or a government that did not
research crypto currencies, publish a paper about it or start a so-called block chain-project.
But now the revolutionary crypto currency is seeing free fall and no one’s sure where the
bottom lies. The study will be conducted through the use of research analysis. Its goal is to
understand the history, General Position of crypto currency and the downfall of crypto
currency.
To conduct this dissertation project, no primary data was taken but this project rely on the
secondary data collected through various research papers and annual report on crypto
currency.
This dissertation project contains in the first phase Introduction and objectives of the project.
Second phase contains review of literature, review of literature is divided into two parts and
they are theoretical review and research review. Third phase contains research methodology.
Fourth phase contains data analysis. Fifth phase contains observation and findings. And the
last phase contains the conclusion along with bibliography references.
The observations that were made during this project are as follows. Crypto currency markets
have lost more than $60 billion in value in less than a week, following a price crash that
has caused bit coin, ethereal and ripple to hit their lowest levels since 2017The price falls
appear even more dramatic given the remarkable period of stability that preceded them,
which had prompted some analysts to warn that the lack of any major market movement
since early September would likely be the "calm before the storm."Speculation around why
the crypto currency collapse has happened focuses not on bit coin but its spin-off, bit coin
cash. On 15 November, the rival cryptocurrency experienced something called a hard fork,
whereby a brand new cryptocurrency was created. This led to uncertainty in the market and a
major sell-off of bitcoin cash. With a market cap of around $4 billion, bitcoin cash is the
world's fourth most valuable cryptocurrency, however more than half of its value has been
wiped off since the downfall. It is not clear if or when the crypto market will level out, with
many of the price predictions from earlier this year now looking improbably optimistic.
Following are the findings made doing this project,Crypto currency if properly regulated and
given a free market can decentralize the financial system. Youth are the most who are
investing in crypto currency. Even if the price is going down there are people who are still
buying crypto currency and its market volume is increasing.
Hence its necessary to understand crypto currency its history, general position around the
world and why is it being a revolutionary innovation is in a down fall. This project helps to
understand combining multiple research paper data and studying it and reaching on a
conclusion.
OBJECTIVE & SCOPE
Objectives:-
To study the history of crypto currency.
To understand the general position of crypto currency.
To examine the downfall of crypto currency.
Scope:-
LITERATURE REVIEW
Theoretical
Understanding the history of crypto currency
1998 to 2008 was the time when crypto currency was introduced to the world; there had
been previous attempts at creating online currencies with ledgers secured by encryption.
Two examples of these were B-Money and Bit Gold, which were formulated but never
fully developed.
During 2008 The domain name "bitcoin.org" was registered on 18 August 2008. On 31
October 2008, the mystery guy Mr Satoshi Nakamoto posted paper called Bitcoin – A
Peer to Peer Electronic Cash System to a mailing list discussion on cryptography. whose
real identity remains a mystery to this day.
2009 was the beginning of Bitcoin software which was made available to the public for
the first time and mining – the process through which new Bitcoins are created and
transactions are recorded and verified on the blockchain.
2010 was the first time when Bitcoin is valued As it had never been traded, only mined,
it was impossible to assign a monetary value to the units of the emerging cryptocurrency.
In 2010, someone decided to sell theirs for the first time – swapping 10,000 of them for
two pizzas. If the buyer had hung onto those Bitcoins, at today’s prices they would be
worth more than $100 million.
2011 was the time when Bitcoin increases in popularity and the idea of decentralized
and encrypted currencies catch on, the first alternative crypto currencies appear. These are
sometimes known as altcoin and generally try to improve on the original Bitcoin design
by offering greater speed, anonymity or some other advantage. Among the first to emerge
were Namecoin and Litecoin. Currently there are over 1,000 crypto currencies in
circulation with new ones frequently appearing.
Shortly after the price of one Bit coin reaches $1,000 during 2013 for the first time, the
price quickly begins to decline. Many who invested money at this point will have suffered
losses as the price plummeted to around $300 – it would be more than two years before it
reached $1,000 again.
Perhaps unsurprisingly for a currency designed with anonymity and lack of control in
mind, Bitcoin has proven to be an attractive and lucrative target for criminals. In January
2014, the world’s largest Bitcoin exchange Mt.Gox went offline, and the owners of
850,000 Bitcoins never saw them again. Investigations are still trying to get to the bottom
of exactly what happened but whatever the story, someone dishonestly got their hands on
a haul which at the time was valued at $450 million dollars. At today’s prices, those
missing coins would be worth $4.4 billion.
One cryptocurrency came close to stealing Bitcoin’s thunder, in 2016 as enthusiasm grew
around the Ethereum platform. This platform uses cryptocurrency known as Ether to
facilitate blockchain-based smart contracts and apps. Ethereum’s arrival was marked by
the emergence of Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs). These are fundraising platforms which
offer investors the chance to trade what are often essentially stocks or shares in startup
ventures, in the same manner that they can invest and trade cryptocurrencies. In the US
the SEC warned investors that due to the lack of oversight ICOs could easily be scams or
ponzi schemes disguised as legitimate investments. The Chinese government went one
further, by banning them outright.
A gradual increase in the places where Bitcoin could be spent contributed to its continued
growth in popularity, during a period where it’s value remained below previous peaks.
Gradually as more and more uses emerged, it became clear that more money was flowing
into the Bitcoin and cryptocoin ecosystem. During 2017, this period the market cap of all
cryptocoins rose from $11bn to its current height of over $300bn. Banks including
Barclays, Citi Bank, Deutsche Bankand BNP Paribas have said they are investigating
ways they might be able to work with Bitcoin. Meanwhile the technology behind
Bitcoin blockchain has sparked a revolution in the fintech industry and beyond which is
only just getting started.
2018 has been a rough year for Bitcoin users, especially ones who held on assuming the
price would keep ascending. Many sold their Bitcoins while they could, and the price has
steadily dropped all year. As of this writing, Bitcoin's price is at $6,542.78, a decline of
67%.
By the end of the year total market cap of crypto currency drop by -78.85%. In which
bitcoin fell -73%, ethirium fell by -82%, XRP fell by -84%, BCH fell by 93%, EOS fell
by -66%.(Coingecko yearly report 2018, market dynamics of top five coins)
General position of crypto currency
Crypto currencies by country (Thomson Reutres, 25 Oct 2017):-
Introduced in 2008, Bitcoin was heralded for its potential to disrupt the traditional banking
model for businesses and consumers alike. In this research, we’ve looked at governmental
attitudes toward cryptocurrencies. The picture produced across the world is patchy. Some
countries have become global advocates, while others have actively banned cryptocurrencies
completely, with various shades in between.
The most notable disrupter is Japan, which has passed a law accepting Bitcoin as legal tender.
At the other end of the spectrum, Bangladesh passed a law in 2014 stating that anybody
caught using the virtual currency could be jailed under the country’s strict anti-money-
laundering laws.
To understand the general position worldwide this project focuses on major countries and
their decisions which would affect the growth of crypto currency.
1. United States – The U.S. has the highest number of cryptocurrency users, the highest
number of Bitcoin ATMs and also the highest Bitcoin trading volumes globally.
However, there is a differing picture state by state: Texas, Kansas, Tennessee, South
Carolina and Montana appear to be the friendliest based on state regulation, whereas
New York, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Hawaii, Georgia, North Carolina,
Washington and New Mexico have regulations not favorable to virtual currency. The
other 37 states/territories are gray areas currently.
2. Japan – Japan has eliminated the consumption tax on Bitcoin trading on April 1, 2017,
when it officially declared Bitcoin as a legal tender. Japan also eliminated the
possibility of double taxation on trading of Bitcoins.
3. China – In late 2013, China’s Central Bank (the People’s Bank of China) barred
financial institutions from partaking in digital currency and Bitcoin transactions, but
individuals are free to trade as they wish – Chinese yuan to Bitcoin is the most traded
daily fiat to Bitcoin pair.
4. Germany – The German government released a report in August 2013 saying that
Bitcoins should be treated as a trading activity and therefore be subject to capital
gains taxes unless they were held for a year or more. The German Federal Ministry of
Finance further clarified its position by saying that Bitcoin should be treated as a unit
of account and private money and should therefore be subject to sales taxes and VAT.
5. United Kingdom – The Bank of England continues to monitor Bitcoin technology,
while it continues to be classified as private money, with VAT applied and also
subject to capital gains tax, where there P&Ls are involved.
6. Argentina– Bitcoins are not legal currency strictly speaking, since they are not issued
by the government monetary authority and are not legal tender. Therefore, they may
be considered money but not legal currency, since they are not a mandatory means of
cancelling debts or obligations.
7. Australia – Removing Bitcoins from double taxation policies, the government also
legalized Bitcoin and said it can be used just like money.
8. Bangladesh – Bangladesh Bank issued a warning against conducting transactions in
cryptocurrency, and reportedly stated that such use is punishable by up to 12 years in
jail.
9. Bolivia – The Bolivian government has banned the use of Bitcoin in the belief that it
will allow tax evasion and monetary instability.
10. Brazil – The Brazilian government has declared that Bitcoin is not a currency but an
asset and therefore subject to 15 percent capital gains taxes above a threshold.
11. Bulgaria – Bulgaria has accepted the digital currency. Its National Revenue Agency
had issued new taxation guidelines stating that income from the sale of digital
currencies such as Bitcoin will be treated as income from the sale of financial assets
and taxed at a rate of 10 percent.
12. Canada – In November 2013, the Canada Revenue Agency declared that Bitcoin
payments should be treated as barter transactions. The Canadian federal government
also announced its intention to regulate Bitcoin through its anti-money laundering and
counter-terrorist financing legislation.
13. Chile– The first Bitcoin exchange in Chile, where citizens can buy Bitcoin with
pesos, launched in 2015 with funding from the Chilean government. This would
appear to be in line with the Chilean government’s ambition to transform itself into an
innovation and entrepreneurial hub for Latin America. The government has also
committed to providing regulation and oversight in the form of financial audits and
anti-money laundering regulation.
14. Czech Republic – The Czech government recently introduced a law requiring virtual
currency exchanges determine the identity of customers. Alongside this, the country’s
authorities will also soon add a Value Added Tax (VAT) to virtual currencies in the
near future.
15. Denmark – The Danish government and Financial Supervisory Authority have
announced that Bitcoin businesses will be taxed in a normal manner, and individuals
will not be subject to taxation from trading. “The Danish central bank is considering a
digital-only e-krone.”
16. Estonia – Bitcoins and digital currencies could be declared as an alternative payment
means, subjecting them to capital gains liabilities and VAT.
17. Finland – The Finnish regulatory body has declared that Bitcoin should be treated as
an asset and be subject to VAT and capital gains, although the capital gains losses
would not be deductible.
18. Israel – Israel’s government is set to apply capital gains tax to Bitcoin sales,
categorizing digital currencies as a type of property.
19. Italy – Tax authorities appear to be treating Bitcoin as a form of currency. They have
clarified purchases and sales made with Bitcoin remain exempt from VAT.
However, Italian tax officials appear to be applying income tax to speculative uses of
Bitcoin, or events in which money is made during a sale or purchase. Those buying
Bitcoins outside of the scope of speculative activity, it indicates, aren’t required to
pay income tax.
20. Kazakhstan – Seeking to become the regional hub for cryptocurrencies. In June 2017,
Kazakhstan announced plans to begin selling blockchain based bonds, and the
country’s President announced that, “It is high time to look into the possibility of
launching the international payment unit. It will help the world get rid of monetary
wars, black marketeering and decrease volatility at markets.”
21. Luxembourg– In April 2016, it granted a payment institution license to a Bitcoin
exchange, making the company the first nationally licensed Bitcoin exchange in the
world.
22. Mexico – The Mexican government has not banned the use of alternative digital
currencies outright but instead is in talks with government regulators to try and
introduce their own form of Bitcoin and their own blockchain specific to Mexico.
23. The Netherlands – In June 2013, the Dutch Finance Minister released a report that
gave Bitcoin the status of an item of barter, meaning it needed no specific licensing or
compliance requirements. He said, “Bitcoin is not a financial product as defined by
law; purchase or sale of Bitcoins is not a financial service either, so the financial
services act does not apply.”
24. Nigeria – On January 19, 2017, the Central Bank of Nigeria “officially outlawed
digital currencies.” The CBN cited reasons like money laundering and terror financing
to prohibit banks to use, hold or transact virtual currencies, and they should ensure
“existing customers that are virtual currency traders have effective AML/CFT
controls.”
25. Norway – The Norwegian tax authorities declared at the end of 2013 that “Bitcoins
don’t fall under the usual definition of money or currency” and therefore making them
subject to the usual capital gains tax laws, but Norway’s largest online-only bank,
Skandiabanken, recently announced plans to offer clients the ability to link their
regular bank accounts with their Coinbase account.
26. Philippines – In February 2017, BSP the Philippine Central Bank said it plans to
officially regulate local Philippine Bitcoin exchanges as remittance companies and
recognize Bitcoin as a legitimate payment method, while issuing a proper regulatory
framework for Bitcoin users, exchanges and companies.
27. Poland – It has officially recognized the trading and mining of virtual currencies as an
“official economic activity” but has said that regulation should come from the EU.
28. Portugal – Taxable, but unregulated.
29. Russia – The Russian Deputy Finance Minister has stated that regulators will be
looking to recognize Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies legally next year. The
government is eager to tackle money laundering, which certainly incentivizes greater
oversight and regulation, ultimately leading to its legitimacy.
30. Singapore – In early 2014, the Singapore government declared Bitcoin as a good
purchased to purchase goods and therefore subject to a specific tax. The Monetary
Authority of Singapore then required exchanges and ATM providers to Green-list, or
de-anonymize their users to allow while simultaneously declaring that virtual
currencies such as Bitcoin are not securities and not subject to regulation.
31. South Africa – The South African Revenue Service has stated that any transaction or
speculation in Bitcoin is subject to general tax rules; it has added that it is the
responsibility of both citizens and residents of South Africa to report each and every
Bitcoin transaction detail to the South African Revenue Service.
32. Spain – Notable among EU members, Spain is lobbying to establish a cryptocurrency
regulatory framework. The Spanish government has confirmed that cryptocurrencies
are exempt from Value Added Tax, and Spain has whole streets full with Bitcoin-
friendly stores. Plus, many Bitcoin companies call Spain their home, and Spanish
banks BBVA and Bankinter now invest in Bitcoin companies.
33. Sweden – Looking to shift to digital currency, the central bank’s decision to cut
interest rates into negative territory has led to an increase in demand, supporting
appetite for Bitcoins and alternatives to protect capital. Unlike neighboring Denmark,
the Swedish regulator has publicly declared Bitcoin as a legal currency.
34. Switzerland – Switzerland’s financial markets regulator has approved the first Swiss
private bank for Bitcoin asset management, potentially paving the way for other
global banks to offer digital currency products.
35. Turkey – The Turkish authorities have issued guidance saying that Bitcoin does not
meet the standards of electronic money and that the volatility leaves users with a high
level of risk; a major Bitcoin exchange has ceased operations after local banks closed
the main accounts of the company without prior notice.
36. Ukraine – Despite vague Government regulations and political uncertainty in some
areas, a major bank announced the ability to purchase Bitcoins in any of its
nationwide ATM terminals.
37. Vietnam – The government has moved from banning Bitcoin in 2014 to now wanting
to streamline the industry so as to be able to tax, monitor and eliminate any so-called
negative impacts.
Down fall of crypto currency
Jasper Lawler Short-term horizon, research analyst, macro, ETF investing nov 22 2018:-
The price of bitcoin has plunged by over a quarter in the past week. Nov. 20th 2017 saw
bitcoin drop another 7% to below $4,500, as it extended 14% losses. The most well-known
cryptocurrency is trading at a one-year low. While it has been a rough period for long-term
holders, the volatility has been a bonus for crypto traders willing to trade short.
The recent price action represents a 77% decline from bitcoin's December peak at $19,511.
That is a bubble popping personified. As the price was running up in 2017, there was clear
euphoria above-and-beyond the fundamental benefits of digital currencies and the
blockchain. What we are witnessing is the collapse of that euphoria.
Following are the seven reasons that for the fall of cryptocurrency according to (Jasper
Lawler Short-term horizon, research analyst, macro, ETF investing nov 22 2018)
1) Public awareness
Crypto enthusiasts point to similar percentage declines through bitcoin's short history. We
would differentiate the recent price drop in bitcoin from similar past examples. The level of
public awareness was much greater this time around.
Research:-
(Authors: Adem Efe Gencer, Emin Gun Sirer, Ittay Eyal, Robbert van Renesse)
The authors have described the mining algorithm and scalability, which give details
about the key blocks for throughput during transactions.
7. Confidential Transaction ( Author: Gregory Maxwell) In this paper, the author has
focused on the methodology to follow in order to hide the payment values in a
cryptographic transaction.
Research Methodology
Introduction: -
Definition: -
Research Design:
Simple Random Sampling is done. This is the most famous and simple method of sampling
where each unit of the client is equally probable of getting included in the sample. Sample
random sampling says that: There is an equal chance of each element of the clients to be
included in sample and choices are independent to each other and each possible sample
combination has an equal chance of being chosen.
A) SECONDARY DATA: -
Observation:-
1. Cryptocurrency markets have lost more than $60 billion in value in less than a week,
following a price crash that has caused bitcoin, ethereum and ripple to hit their lowest
levels since 2017
2. On 15 November, the rival cryptocurrency experienced something called a hard fork,
whereby a brand new cryptocurrency was created. This led to uncertainty in the
market and a major sell-off of bitcoin cash.
3. With a market cap of around $4 billion, bitcoin cash is the world's fourth most
valuable cryptocurrency, however more than half of its value has been wiped off since
the downfall.
Findings:-
1. Crypto currency if properly regulated and given a free market can decentralize the
financial system.
2. Youth are the most who are investing in crypto currency.
3. Even if the price is going down there are people who are still buying crypto currency
and its market volume is increasing.
Conclusion
BIBLIOGRAPHY