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GLOBALIZATION:
A Cautionary Tale

Risk goes hand in hand with opportunity, yet managers often fail
to accurately account for the risks they will face in global markets.
by Robert Salomon

THESE DAYS, BUSINESS SPEAK OPTIMISTICALLY about the successfully and exploit in their home country—will
prospects of globalization, and for good reason. Globalization translate simply and to other countries, yielding simi-
has fostered an increasingly interconnected world, with nearly lar levels of They fail to account for real and salient
$30 trillion in goods and services traded and more than $1 trillion between nations and to consider how those
in corporate investment in 2013 alone. Advances in information ences generate operational risks that may negatively impact
technology and transportation have facilitated this — connecting their business.
developed and developing worlds and lifting some 400 million There is no shortage of examples. In just the past 20 years,
people out of poverty. companies including IKEA, Tesco and Walmart
There is no turning back: nations are now inextricably have been hobbled by globalization. Of course, globalization’s
linked through global trade and investment. Accordingly, lead- challenges do not just large companies. The harsh reality
ers often see themselves as explorers embarking on a mission to is that no business is immune from the kinds of mistakes I will
conquer unexplored lands. They salivate at the potential describe.
for double-digit sales growth and are seduced by opportunities
that promise to slash costs by half or more, simply by shifting Fighting the Home-Field Advantage: IKEA in Russia
operations overseas. In the 15 years since IKEA entered Russia, it has struggled
Sadly, most companies fail to convert this potential into to generate largely due to Russia’s legal
Failure in global markets is an epidemic, with no signs system and its political and social makeup, in which corruption
of abating. Why? Because executives often make dangerous as- is commonplace.
sumptions about what it takes to succeed in global markets. They IKEA opened its outlet in Moscow in 2000, and almost
tend to assume that their current business model — one they immediately, the local utility company demanded bribes in

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Failure in global markets is an epidemic, with no signs of abating.

exchange for maintaining an uninterrupted electricity supply label products. Instead of appealing to an underserved niche,
to the store. IKEA’s managers — determined to do things above- Tesco got stuck in the middle, offering neither enough variety
board and accustomed to a political and social environment that to draw customers away from convenience stores nor adequate
disdains bribes and kickbacks — opted to rent generators to pro- gains in convenience to woo customers from supermarkets.
tect against the threat to its power supply. Tesco learned the hard way that it is important to under-
This seemed like a clever solution; only later would IKEA stand the local consumer culture. Management was overconfi-
discover that its own employee charged with managing the com- dent about its business model and the benefits of imposing what
pany’s relationship with the Russian generator company was it knew about English customers onto the market in the U.S.
involved in a kickback scheme to artificially inflate the price of There was a good reason the middle-market niche had not
the generator service. When IKEA sought redress in Russian civil been filled: it did not appeal to local cultural tastes. Customers
court, the judge not only ruled against IKEA, but also slapped the were already being well served by convenience stores and super-
company with a fine for breach of contract with the generator markets. Ultimately, Tesco’s mistake cost it dearly: it chose to
company. IKEA learned a hard lesson: even when laws exist to exit the U.S. market in 2013 after year-over-year operating losses
protect the interests of foreign investors, local courts do not al- and total losses of nearly $2 billion.
ways enforce them. There remains a large and unwritten home-
field bias in the local court system, and IKEA suffered an expen- Misreading the Overall Environment: Walmart in China
sive — and avoidable — loss that has prevented the company from In some cases, a company’s difficulty with global expansion
achieving profitability targets in Russia. stems not solely from a poor understanding of the host country’s
social, political or economic environment, but from a combina-
Lost in Cultural Translation: Tesco in the U.S. tion of circumstances that interfere with the business model.
For British grocery retailer Tesco — one of the largest in the Since opening its first superstore in Shenzhen in 1996,
world — failure in its expansion to the United States was largely Walmart’s ongoing troubles in China reflect a fundamental mis-
the result of its insufficient understanding of the U.S. consumer understanding of China’s consumers and culture. Chinese con-
market. The company opened a chain of small-format grocery sumers, unlike those in the U.S., differ widely from city to city
stores in Arizona, California and Nevada in 2007 at a cost of $436 in their needs and tastes. Walmart therefore struggles to find
million. It positioned its new ‘Fresh & Easy’ stores in a niche be- the right product mix to offer in all 117 cities and 25 provinces in
tween typical U.S. convenience stores (such as 7-Eleven) and lo- which it operates.
cal supermarket chains (such as Safeway), hoping to appeal to Like IKEA, Walmart has also suffered from troubled rela-
what it perceived as an underserved middle market. The Fresh tionships with politicians — both local and national — and the
& Easy store format offered a wider selection of staple products company has had its fair share of run-ins with the law. On one
than convenience stores and yet more convenience than super- occasion, the Chinese government fined Walmart for violating
markets (for customers who wanted to get in and out of the store local and national laws and even forced it to close stores tempo-
quickly). It also offered a mix of products between that of up- rarily for purported product violations. Walmart paid the fines,
scale, high-end stores (such as Whole Foods) and mass-market in spite of the fact that the company believed the claims to be
stores like Walmart. unfounded.
Unfortunately, Tesco misread the needs of American shop- Even if Walmart could harmonize its product offerings
pers, who became confused by its mix of branded and private- with consumer needs in China and avoid cultural and political

58 / Rotman Management Spring 2016

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Starbucks’ operating margins in Japan — its second-largest
market in terms of revenue — are half those of its U.S. business.

missteps, the company’s greatest challenge remains an eco- The statistics are staggering: globalizing companies take
nomic infrastructure that is problematic and under-developed. about three months longer and spend anywhere from five to 25
China simply cannot accommodate one of Walmart’s greatest per cent more than domestic companies just to get their busi-
strengths: an ultra-efficient and technologically-advanced sup- nesses off the ground. Foreign companies pay higher wages, on
ply chain. What was largely responsible for Walmart’s success in average, than their domestic competitors. They are also more
the U.S. has led to its downfall in the Chinese economic environ- likely to get sued than domestic companies and more likely to
ment. The company did not anticipate that scaling up its business lose local lawsuits. All of this translates into a higher general
model there would present so many problems. cost structure for foreign firms and significantly higher rates of
Since 1996, Walmart has opened 400 stores in China, and failure for global business expansions compared to domestic
maintaining a retail footprint this large in a country that is so business expansions.
complex presents numerous logistical challenges. Walmart’s Even those companies that are lucky enough to achieve prof-
struggles highlight the difficulties inherent in transferring a com- itability in global markets tend to earn lower returns in their for-
petitive advantage rooted in supply-chain efficiency — that is, lo- eign-market operations than in their domestic ones. Starbucks,
gistics — to a country lacking a sophisticated technological and for example, which has been relatively successful in global mar-
physical infrastructure. kets, has operating margins in Japan — its second-largest mar-
Although China has led the globe in infrastructure invest- ket in terms of revenue — that are half those of its U.S. business.
ment over the past several years, outside of its largest cities (e.g., Similarly, Lincoln Electric, one of the world’s largest and most
Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen), its infra- profitable welding equipment manufacturers, has been making
structure remains more than problematic. The efficient transport profits in Asia that are only one-third of those in the U.S., while its
of goods from one region to another is a challenge for Walmart, profitability in South America is about half that in the U.S.
not just because of China’s sheer physical size, but also because The banking industry, which has embraced globalization
its air, ground, and rail infrastructure is not up to the company’s more than other industries, suffers from widespread global
standards. To date, Walmart has not been able to supply its stores mismanagement, fierce local competition, and regulatory chal-
efficiently enough to generate a profit, and its China business has lenges that have caused industry-wide global profitability to
struggled to generate profits for nearly two decades. decline. Studies show that foreign banks tend to achieve lower
Unlike Tesco and IKEA, which each faced one prominent is- levels of profitability than similar domestic banks, and large
sue, Walmart in China faced a number of cultural, political, and banks such as Citibank and HSBC are no exception. They have
especially economic obstacles that, combined, have persistently significantly eroded profit margins through global expansion.
dogged it. As a result, Walmart has consistently underperformed Less formidable global competitors such as ABN-AMRO and
in this huge and potentially lucrative market. Worst of all, had Royal Bank of Scotland have been felled by misguided at-
it taken a more tempered approach to China, some of its losses tempts to globalize.
could have been avoided. Despite the precedent of these high-profile global failures
and struggles, global expansion continues apace. Companies
Some Common Ground have increased their globalization at a rate far greater than the
These three high-profile failures reveal corporate misjudgment rate of inflation. Thomas Friedman is renowned for claiming
that is, unfortunately, more the norm than the exception. Global- that the world is flat, in not one, but two best-selling and wide-
izing companies habitually underperform in foreign markets. ly quoted books — The World is Flat (2005) and Hot, Flat, and

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Crowded (2008). Friedman posits that information technology is largely economic challenges as well as a combination of other
revolutionary in that all people and countries bear an increasing difficulties. Had the managers of each of these firms focused
resemblance; he suggests that borders between countries are be- less on the ‘flatness’ of the economic landscape and more on
coming increasingly irrelevant. the specific terrain of each market into which they were ex-
While advances in information technology are indeed in- panding, these globalization anecdotes would have had much
creasing at a rapid rate, and those advances have certainly fa- happier — and more profitable — endings.
cilitated the efficiency of communications across borders, it does
not follow that all peoples and countries will one day converge The Concept of Institutional Distance
so as to become nearly indistinct. Despite what business pundits To improve your understanding of global business, to make bet-
who exhort globalization would have us believe, important dif- ter expansion decisions, and to better manage the complexities
ferences between countries remain, and information technology inherent in an organization with geographically far-flung op-
simply does not fully bridge the political, economic, and cultural erations, managers need a more sophisticated understanding of
divides between countries. institutions. They need to appreciate how nations differ in insti-
For example, Rotman Professor Richard Florida and IESE tutional makeup, how institutional differences between nations
Professor Pankaj Ghemawat have demonstrated that the world support or impede business practices, and how those differences
is not as flat as Friedman purports. Countries vary on a host of manifest as increasing risks (and costs). More important, they
dimensions, and the ways in which they differ have important need to be able to assess risks and account for them in strategic
implications for how companies ought to globalize — and how and financial analyses.
globalizing businesses will perform. These differences make it As you might expect, successful global expansion is more
incredibly challenging to manage far-flung global corporations. likely in a country that is institutionally similar to your own —
And therein lies the managerial challenge. It seems that man- where you not only speak the language, but also understand
agers of globalizing companies have taken Friedman’s words to the culture as well as the political and economic environments.
heart, and as a result, they are unaware of how differences be- Many managers make the mistake of assuming a certain degree
tween countries will impact their business. Too often, they un- of similarity between their firm’s home country and the one it
derestimate the extent to which such differences will negatively seeks to expand to. It is, of course, trickier to conduct business
influence the bottom (or top) line, only to learn through a series in a country that varies significantly from your own. Managers
of costly and painful lessons that the challenges of globalization often find themselves lost in such situations — struggling to un-
are real and complex. derstand local norms, customs, and cultural nuances. They make
Ultimately, institutional factors (political, cultural and eco- costly and unnecessary mistakes when they misread or misjudge
nomic) that distinguish countries are at the root of the poor per- the local cultural, political, and economic environments.
formance of many global enterprises. In the examples discovered There is a long history of studying institutional differences
above, IKEA, Tesco and Walmart all struggled with global expan- in academic circles in the fields of Economics, Psychology, So-
sion, and each faced a unique set of pressures and obstacles spe- ciology and Anthropology. The academic literature has even
cific to the countries in which they operated that impeded their devised terminology to describe institutional differences across
expansion efforts: for IKEA, the issue was largely political; for countries: we scholars refer to such differences as institutional
Tesco, the challenge was cultural; and Walmart encountered distance. When institutions are similar across countries, insti-

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The greater the differences between your current context and the context
into which you would like to expand, the more challenging it will be.

tutional distance is small. For example, institutional distance is In closing


relatively small between Canada and the United States, between Institutional distance is not a new concept in the academic lit-
Spain and Mexico, and between the United Kingdom and Aus- erature. We have long understood the challenges it can pose, and
tralia. When institutions differ substantially between countries, we have made great strides in measuring it. And yet the ways in
institutional distance is great. For example, institutional distance which we academics have conceptualized institutional distance
is relatively great between China and the United States, between have been of very little use to managers. As a result, managers
India and Brazil, and between Indonesia and Spain. tend to underestimate the risks of globalization; they focus on the
If you’re a manager or a business owner, think about institu- measurable — the top-line growth potential or the headline cost
tional distance in the context of your own business. What are the savings associated with globalization — rather than on the poten-
factors that make your business a success in your home market? tial (and, in fact, likely) downside risks that we know go hand in
Are these factors similar in other regions to which you seek to ex- hand with expansion to institutionally-distant countries.
pand? Of course, this could apply even to expansion into another The world of global business is an exciting one, with plen-
town, city, or state or to expansion from a rural market to an ur- ty of opportunities. By keeping these cautionary tales in mind,
ban one, or vice versa. Do a thought experiment that begins to along with a firm respect for institutional distance, you can begin
break down the institutional (political, cultural, and economic) to appreciate that differences in political, cultural, and economic
features of your own home country and consider those features institutions are at the root of globalization’s challenges.
in terms of institutional distance to other countries in which you
are considering doing business. The greater the differences be-
tween your current context and the context into which you would
like to expand, the more challenging it will be to expand there.
It should be clear that institutional distance relates to but
is not the same as geographic distance. Countries that are geo-
graphically distant can be also institutionally close, such as the
U.S. and the UK. In fact, some pairs of countries are institution-
ally closer than other pairs that are closer geographically. For ex-
ample, the U.S. shares more institutional commonality with the
UK and Australia than it does with Mexico.
Moreover, institutional distance is relative. Institutional
proximity by no means guarantees success in global expansion,
as the Tesco example illustrates. Tesco hails from the UK, a coun-
try that shares an institutional history with and is institutionally
similar in many respects to the U.S., and yet Tesco still struggled
with cultural differences between the two countries. While it Robert Salomon is an Associate Professor of International
Management at the NYU Stern School of Business. He is
would be far easier for Tesco to operate in the U.S. than in Chi-
the author of Global Vision: How Companies Can Overcome
na, globalizing to an institutionally-similar country still requires the Pitfalls of Globalization (Palgrave Macmillan, 2016), from
overcoming numerous institutional obstacles. which this article is adapted.

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