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Confidentiality Notification:
This technical and economic proposal and the information inside is provided solely for the purpose
of exploring business opportunities between ZED Solar Limited and ICI Pakistan Ltd, and may not
be disclosed to any third party or used for any other purpose without the express written permission
by ZED Solar Limited
Copyright Notification:
No part of this ZED Solar Limited document may be reproduced except as authorized by written
permission. The copyright and the foregoing restriction extend to reproduction in all media.
© 2017, ZED Solar Limited All rights reserved.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
iii
CONFIDENTIAL
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
ICI aims to minimize its reliance and cost for power from grid and diesel
generators by installing solar PV grid tied system at their Quarry in Tobar located
near Khewra. The installation of solar PV system will provide clean and cost
effective power supply with the added advantage of self-sufficiency. Depending
upon the grid sanctioned load, available area and power demand, 247 kWdc solar
PV system is proposed to be installed at the facility.
Initial information has been collected in a site visit and information provided by
the client. Client prefers to have solar PV system proposal with options having
Chinese and German solar inverters.
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CONFIDENTIAL
INTRODUCTION
ZED Solar Limited has the capacity and expertize to deliver solar projects reliably
right from the inception, professionally execute the project through the design,
development, construction and commissioning stages and actively support in
operation and maintenance during the complete lifetime of the solar plant. ZED
Solar monitors remotely the power production from its installed solar systems and
takes proactively corrective actions if necessary.
ZED Solar is tied-up with world renowned tier-1 suppliers of solar panels, inverters
and other components that are proven in performance, efficiency and
robustness.
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CONFIDENTIAL
TECHNICAL PROPOSAL
The proposed site for the solar power site is a Quarry located in Tobar near Khewra.
The land area proposed for solar field is shown in following figure, whole area will
not be utilized.
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CONFIDENTIAL
With the provided information, currently, there is one IESCO 3 Phase connection
at industrial tariff B2 Time of Use with 310 kW sanctioned load. Voltage is 400V at
50 Hz.
Power consumption of the facility from past year electricity bill (March-17 to Feb-
18) is 767,200 kWh. Grid power consumption per month has a step increase in Jan
2018, this can be due to increase in pumping capacity.
Past year grid electricity cost is 11,537,278 PKR. Diesel generator usage for
backup and diesel consumption data is not available.
80,000
Grid units (kWh)
60,000
40,000
20,000
-
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
According to IESCO Industrial Time of Use tariff B2, per unit direct cost of electricity
in off-peak hours is calculated as 12.91 PKR/kWh, with PM relief subsidy it is
calculated as 9.91 PKR/unit.
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CONFIDENTIAL
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CONFIDENTIAL
Preliminary sizing has been done with top of the line Chinese and German
Inverters.
Double row landscape panel arrangement will be used. Solar PV panels rows will
be mounted facing south in unequal rows with about 0.6m inter-row spacing for
easy access, minimum shading loss and optimum area utilization. No major
shading from nearby objects is observed.
The basic arrangement of the Solar PV system is shown in the following figure.
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CONFIDENTIAL
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CONFIDENTIAL
Parameters Values
Solar panels
Solar panel (rated power at STC each panel) 325 Watts
Total number of solar panels 760
Solar panels type Polycrystalline
Solar panels brand Talesun, Jinko, Trina or equivalent (Top ranked
as per Bloomberg Tier 1 list)
Dimensions 1960mm x 992mm x 40mm
Weight 22.5 kg
Compliance to international standards IEC 61215; Design qualification and type
approval
IEC 61701; Salt mist corrosion testing
IEC61730; PV module safety qualification
IEC 62716; Certified for ammonia corrosion
*STC = Standard Test Conditions; 1000 W/m2 & IEC 62804; Certified for Potential Induced
Degradation
25 degrees Celsius, air mass ratio 1.5
Hail Test; 45mm diameter ice-ball 30.7 m/s
speed
Inverter
Inverter type Grid tied, three phase with built-in MPPT tracker
and advanced safety features
Inverter capacity 60 kW
Inverter brand (no. of inverters) Goodwe (04) or SMA (04)
Mounting structure
.Mounting structure and fasteners Galvanized steel
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CONFIDENTIAL
Irradiance sensor 01
Module temperature sensor 01
Ambient temperature sensor 01
Wind meter (Anemometer) 01
Cable ducts and trays PVC pipes (popular) buried in solar field
DC Breakers 05 (Schneider)
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CONFIDENTIAL
Cable ducts and trays PVC pipes (popular) buried in solar field
WARRANTIES
Solar panels 10 Years product warranty, that is, free from defects of
materials and workmanship
25 Years performance warranty, that is
- Less than 2.5% peak power degradation in 1st year
- Less than 0.7% peak power degradation in next 24
years
Inverter 5 years
Mounting structure Lifetime
Accessories Warranty 1 year
Note: Warranties of solar panels, inverters, inverter manager, weather sensors (if
any), are subjected to manufacturer’s terms and conditions.
ZED Solar will provide immediate replacement of faulty panels and will handle the
warranty claim on behalf of client during warranty period.
ZED Solar will arrange a replacement inverter for the time in which a faulty inverter
is repaired or replaced by the manufacturer under warranty claim. ZED Solar will
handle the warranty claim for inverters on half of client during warranty period.
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CONFIDENTIAL
*ZED Solar will advise only, corrective action will be taken by client.
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CONFIDENTIAL
SOLAR RESOURCE
180.0
160.0
140.0
120.0
kWh/m^2
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
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CONFIDENTIAL
For the proposed solar power system size, total calculated annual power
generation is 351,565 kWh/year.
The daily average solar power supply curves for each month are given as below.
The cumulative monthly production from proposed solar system is as given below.
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
Note: Grid or backup generator power availability is mandatory for grid tied solar
inverters to work and generate solar power.
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CONFIDENTIAL
With the proposed solar PV system installed annual share of solar power in total
annual power consumption will be 45.8%.
Following graph shows the total grid power consumption (based on grid bills from
March 2017 – Feb 2018), the calculated monthly power share by solar and the
expected reduced grid power consumption with installed solar PV system.
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
kWh
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
Total Demand (kWh) Energy from PV (kWh) Reduced Energy from Grid (kWh)
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CONFIDENTIAL
For the proposed solar power system size, total calculated annual power
generation is 350,554 kWh/year.
The daily average solar power supply curves for each month are given as below.
The cumulative monthly production from proposed solar system is as given below.
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
Note: Grid or backup generator power availability is mandatory for solar inverters
to work and generate solar power.
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CONFIDENTIAL
With the proposed solar PV system installed annual share of solar power in total
annual power consumption will be 45.7%.
Following graph shows the total grid power consumption (based on grid bills from
March 2017 – Feb 2018), the calculated monthly power share by solar and the
expected reduced grid power consumption with installed solar PV system.
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
kWh
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-
mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan feb
Total Demand (kWh) Energy from PV (kWh) Reduced Energy from Grid (kWh)
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CONFIDENTIAL
ECONOMIC PROPOSAL
ESTIMATED SAVINGS
The direct unit (kWh) price of electricity at IESCO Industrial tariff as calculated in
previous section is 12.91 and 9.91 PKR/unit without and with PM relief fund subsidy
respectively. With the installed solar project the estimated savings in grid bill is as
follows.
Saving in Saving in
Saving in Saving in
grid bill grid bill by
grid bill by grid bill by
Total by solar Total solar
solar solar
Energy installed Energy installed
installed installed
Months Generated (with PM Generated (with PM
(w/o PM (w/o PM
by PV relief by PV relief Fund
relief Fund relief Fund
(kWh) Fund (kWh) Subsidy)
Subsidy) Subsidy)
Subsidy) (PKR)
(PKR) (PKR)
(PKR)
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CONFIDENTIAL
PROJECT COST
Payment Schedule
1st Payment – 40% Advance 8,704,766 PKR 9,039,464 PKR
2nd Payment – 40% at receiving major
equipment (panels, mounting structure 8,704,766 PKR 9,039,464 PKR
and inverters) at site
Prices are subject to change due to currency and commodity price fluctuations. Prices
are only fixed at time of signing of contract. Quoted prices are valid for 30 days.
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CONFIDENTIAL
With the limited time available for the preparation of the proposal, following
assumptions are taken.
The proposed marked area at site, as given in the proposal, for solar field
installation will be provided to ZED Solar by the client, levelled, cleared and
free of obstructing objects.
It was desired by client to include water sprinkling system in the solar field
for cleaning of solar panels. Because of time constraints the cost of such
system is not included in the proposal. ZED Solar manufactures and offers
fully or semi-automated cleaning system based on an indigenous cleaning
robot. Its cost is mostly justified for the solar PV systems installed at non-
walking industrial or commercial rooftops. The possibility of the deployment
of one such system or water sprinkling system at proposed site can be
discussed and finalized later.
Safe storage of materials, equipment, tools etc will be provided by the
client.
Team will include 15 workers and two engineers, approximately project
execution time is 50 calendar days. It is assumed that messing, lodging and
transportation to and from site will be provided by client during project
execution.
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CONFIDENTIAL
The levelized cost of energy (LCOE) per unit of electricity generated from the
proposed solar power system over the life time of the project is 4.56 and 4.73
PKR/kWh with Goodwe and SMA inverters respectively.
Discount rate 4% 4%
Inflation rate in O&M 5% 5%
Inflation rate in IESCO Bills 3% 3%
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CONFIDENTIAL
The estimated annual cash flow for the solar project with Goodwe inverter w/o
PM relief fund subsidy is as follows.
Annual Grid Annual
Total Cost
Electricity unit Gross Annual Net Cumulative
CAPEX OPEX of Solar
Yrs Generated Cost Savings Savings Cash Flow
(PKR) (PKR) Energy
by Solar (PKR (PKR) (PKR) (PKR)
(PKR)
(kWh) /kWh)
0 21,761,915 21,761,915 (21,761,915)
1 93,404 93,404 351,565 12.91 4,538,884 4,445,480 (17,316,435)
2 98,074 98,074 349,104 13.30 4,642,325 4,544,251 (12,772,184)
3 102,978 102,978 346,661 13.70 4,748,124 4,645,146 (8,127,038)
4 108,127 108,127 344,234 14.11 4,856,334 4,748,207 (3,378,832)
5 113,533 113,533 341,824 14.53 4,967,009 4,853,476 1,474,645
6 119,210 119,210 339,432 14.97 5,080,208 4,960,998 6,435,643
7 125,170 125,170 337,056 15.42 5,195,986 5,070,815 11,506,458
8 131,429 131,429 334,696 15.88 5,314,402 5,182,973 16,689,431
9 138,000 138,000 332,353 16.35 5,435,517 5,297,517 21,986,948
10 144,900 144,900 330,027 16.85 5,559,393 5,414,492 27,401,441
11 152,145 152,145 327,717 17.35 5,686,091 5,533,946 32,935,386
12 159,753 159,753 325,423 17.87 5,815,677 5,655,925 38,591,311
13 167,740 167,740 323,145 18.41 5,948,217 5,780,476 44,371,788
14 176,127 176,127 320,883 18.96 6,083,776 5,907,649 50,279,437
15 184,934 184,934 318,636 19.53 6,222,426 6,037,492 56,316,929
16 194,180 194,180 316,406 20.11 6,364,235 6,170,055 62,486,984
17 203,889 203,889 314,191 20.72 6,509,276 6,305,386 68,792,370
18 214,084 214,084 311,992 21.34 6,657,622 6,443,538 75,235,908
19 224,788 224,788 309,808 21.98 6,809,349 6,584,561 81,820,470
20 236,027 236,027 307,639 22.64 6,964,534 6,728,507 88,548,977
21 247,829 247,829 305,486 23.32 7,123,256 6,875,427 95,424,404
22 260,220 260,220 303,347 24.02 7,285,595 7,025,375 102,449,779
23 273,231 273,231 301,224 24.74 7,451,634 7,178,403 109,628,182
24 286,893 286,893 299,115 25.48 7,621,457 7,334,564 116,962,746
25 301,237 301,237 297,022 26.24 7,795,150 7,493,912 124,456,658
Total Saving 146,218,574
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CONFIDENTIAL
The estimated annual cash flow for the solar project with Goodwe inverter with
PM relief fund subsidy is as follows.
Annual Grid Annual
Total Cost
Electricity unit Gross Annual Net Cumulative
CAPEX OPEX of Solar
Yrs Generated Cost Savings Savings Cash Flow
(PKR) (PKR) Energy
by Solar (PKR (PKR) (PKR) (PKR)
(PKR)
(kWh) /kWh)
0 21,761,915 21,761,915 (21,761,915)
1 93,404 93,404 351,565 9.91 3,484,188 3,390,784 (18,371,131)
2 98,074 98,074 349,104 10.21 3,563,593 3,465,519 (14,905,613)
3 102,978 102,978 346,661 10.51 3,644,807 3,541,829 (11,363,784)
4 108,127 108,127 344,234 10.83 3,727,872 3,619,745 (7,744,038)
5 113,533 113,533 341,824 11.15 3,812,830 3,699,297 (4,044,741)
6 119,210 119,210 339,432 11.49 3,899,725 3,780,515 (264,226)
7 125,170 125,170 337,056 11.83 3,988,600 3,863,429 3,599,203
8 131,429 131,429 334,696 12.19 4,079,500 3,948,071 7,547,274
9 138,000 138,000 332,353 12.55 4,172,472 4,034,471 11,581,746
10 144,900 144,900 330,027 12.93 4,267,562 4,122,662 15,704,408
11 152,145 152,145 327,717 13.32 4,364,820 4,212,675 19,917,082
12 159,753 159,753 325,423 13.72 4,464,294 4,304,542 24,221,624
13 167,740 167,740 323,145 14.13 4,566,035 4,398,295 28,619,919
14 176,127 176,127 320,883 14.55 4,670,095 4,493,968 33,113,887
15 184,934 184,934 318,636 14.99 4,776,527 4,591,593 37,705,481
16 194,180 194,180 316,406 15.44 4,885,384 4,691,204 42,396,684
17 203,889 203,889 314,191 15.90 4,996,722 4,792,833 47,189,517
18 214,084 214,084 311,992 16.38 5,110,597 4,896,513 52,086,030
19 224,788 224,788 309,808 16.87 5,227,068 5,002,280 57,088,310
20 236,027 236,027 307,639 17.38 5,346,192 5,110,165 62,198,475
21 247,829 247,829 305,486 17.90 5,468,032 5,220,204 67,418,679
22 260,220 260,220 303,347 18.44 5,592,649 5,332,429 72,751,107
23 273,231 273,231 301,224 18.99 5,720,105 5,446,874 78,197,981
24 286,893 286,893 299,115 19.56 5,850,466 5,563,574 83,761,555
25 301,237 301,237 297,022 20.15 5,983,798 5,682,561 89,444,116
Total Saving 111,206,032
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CONFIDENTIAL
With the estimated savings the payback period with Goodwe inverter w/o PM
relief fund subsidy is 4 years.
120,000,000
100,000,000
80,000,000
60,000,000
PKR
40,000,000
20,000,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
(20,000,000)
(40,000,000)
Years
With the estimated savings the payback period with Goodwe inverter with PM
relief fund subsidy is 6 years.
80,000,000
60,000,000
40,000,000
PKR
20,000,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
(20,000,000)
(40,000,000)
Years
23
CONFIDENTIAL
The estimated annual cash flow for the solar project with SMA inverter w/o PM
relief fund subsidy is as follows.
Annual Grid Annual
Total Cost
Electricity unit Gross Annual Net Cumulative
CAPEX OPEX of Solar
Yrs Generated Cost Savings Savings Cash Flow
(PKR) (PKR) Energy
by Solar (PKR (PKR) (PKR) (PKR)
(PKR)
(kWh) /kWh)
0 22,598,661 22,598,661 (22,598,661)
1 93,404 93,404 350,554 12.91 4,525,826 4,432,422 (18,166,239)
2 98,074 98,074 348,100 13.30 4,628,969 4,530,895 (13,635,344)
3 102,978 102,978 345,663 13.70 4,734,463 4,631,486 (9,003,859)
4 108,127 108,127 343,244 14.11 4,842,362 4,734,235 (4,269,624)
5 113,533 113,533 340,841 14.53 4,952,719 4,839,186 569,562
6 119,210 119,210 338,455 14.97 5,065,592 4,946,382 5,515,944
7 125,170 125,170 336,086 15.42 5,181,037 5,055,866 10,571,811
8 131,429 131,429 333,733 15.88 5,299,112 5,167,684 15,739,494
9 138,000 138,000 331,397 16.35 5,419,879 5,281,879 21,021,373
10 144,900 144,900 329,077 16.85 5,543,398 5,398,498 26,419,871
11 152,145 152,145 326,774 17.35 5,669,732 5,517,587 31,937,458
12 159,753 159,753 324,486 17.87 5,798,945 5,639,193 37,576,651
13 167,740 167,740 322,215 18.41 5,931,103 5,763,363 43,340,014
14 176,127 176,127 319,959 18.96 6,066,273 5,890,146 49,230,160
15 184,934 184,934 317,720 19.53 6,204,524 6,019,590 55,249,751
16 194,180 194,180 315,496 20.11 6,345,925 6,151,745 61,401,495
17 203,889 203,889 313,287 20.72 6,490,548 6,286,659 67,688,154
18 214,084 214,084 311,094 21.34 6,638,468 6,424,384 74,112,539
19 224,788 224,788 308,917 21.98 6,789,759 6,564,971 80,677,509
20 236,027 236,027 306,754 22.64 6,944,497 6,708,470 87,385,979
21 247,829 247,829 304,607 23.32 7,102,762 6,854,934 94,240,913
22 260,220 260,220 302,475 24.02 7,264,634 7,004,414 101,245,327
23 273,231 273,231 300,357 24.74 7,430,195 7,156,964 108,402,292
24 286,893 286,893 298,255 25.48 7,599,529 7,312,637 115,714,928
25 301,237 301,237 296,167 26.24 7,772,723 7,471,486 123,186,414
Total Saving 145,785,075
24
CONFIDENTIAL
The estimated annual cash flow for the solar project with SMA inverter with PM
relief fund subsidy is as follows.
25
CONFIDENTIAL
With the estimated savings the payback period with SMA inverter w/o PM relief
fund subsidy is 5 years.
120,000,000
100,000,000
80,000,000
60,000,000
PKR
40,000,000
20,000,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
(20,000,000)
(40,000,000)
Years
With the estimated savings the payback period with SMA inverter with PM relief
fund subsidy is 6 years.
80,000,000
60,000,000
40,000,000
PKR
20,000,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
(20,000,000)
(40,000,000)
Years
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27
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31
CONFIDENTIAL
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