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AÑO TPFLCM1 Y1 TPFLCF2 Y2 TDCH3 X1 TDCM4 X2 IPH825 X3

1980 77.40000 51.50000 6.900000 7.400000 7.99000


1981 77.00000 52.10000 7.400000 7.900000 7.88000
1982 76.60000 52.60000 9.900000 9.400000 7.86000
1983 76.40000 52.90000 9.900000 9.200000 7.95000
1984 76.40000 53.60000 7.400000 7.600000 7.95000
1985 76.30000 54.50000 7.000000 7.400000 7.91000
1986 76.30000 55.30000 6.900000 7.100000 7.96000
1987 76.20000 56.00000 6.200000 6.200000 7.86000
1988 76.20000 56.60000 5.500000 5.600000 7.81000
1989 76.40000 57.40000 5.200000 5.400000 7.75000
1990 76.40000 57.50000 5.700000 5.500000 7.66000
1991 75.80000 57.40000 7.200000 6.400000 7.58000
1992 75.80000 57.80000 7.900000 7.000000 7.55000
1993 75.40000 57.90000 7.200000 6.600000 7.52000
1994 75.10000 58.80000 6.200000 6.000000 7.53000
1995 75.00000 58.90000 5.600000 5.600000 7.53000
1996 74.90000 59.30000 5.400000 5.400000 7.57000
1997 75.00000 59.80000 4.900000 5.000000 7.68000
1998 74.90000 59.80000 4.400000 4.600000 7.89000
1999 74.70000 60.00000 4.100000 4.300000 8.00000
2000 74.80000 59.90000 3.900000 4.100000 8.03000
2001 74.40000 59.80000 4.800000 4.700000 8.11000
2002 74.10000 59.60000 5.900000 5.600000 8.24000
2003 73.50000 59.50000 6.300000 5.700000 8.27000
2004 73.30000 59.20000 5.600000 5.400000 8.23000
2005 73.30000 59.30000 5.100000 5.100000 8.17000
2006 73.50000 59.40000 4.600000 4.600000 8.23000

TDCH3 X1 TPFLCM1 Y1 X^2 X*Y X-MEDIA DE X Y- LA MEDIA DE Y


77.40000 6.900000 5,990.7600 534.060 -67.96 -5.04
77.00000 7.400000 5,929.0000 569.800 -68.36 -4.54
76.60000 9.900000 5,867.5600 758.340 -68.76 -2.04
76.40000 9.900000 5,836.9600 756.360 -68.96 -2.04
76.40000 7.400000 5,836.9600 565.360 -68.96 -4.54
76.30000 7.000000 5,821.6900 534.100 -69.06 -4.94
76.30000 6.900000 5,821.6900 526.470 -69.06 -5.04
76.20000 6.200000 5,806.4400 472.440 -69.16 -5.74
76.20000 5.500000 5,806.4400 419.100 -69.16 -6.44
76.40000 5.200000 5,836.9600 397.280 -68.96 -6.74
76.40000 5.700000 5,836.9600 435.480 -68.96 -6.24
75.80000 7.200000 5,745.6400 545.760 -69.56 -4.74
75.80000 7.900000 5,745.6400 598.820 -69.56 -4.04
75.40000 7.200000 5,685.1600 542.880 -69.96 -4.74
75.10000 6.200000 5,640.0100 465.620 -70.26 -5.74
75.00000 5.600000 5,625.0000 420.000 -70.36 -6.34
74.90000 5.400000 5,610.0100 404.460 -70.46 -6.54
75.00000 4.900000 5,625.0000 367.500 -70.36 -7.04
74.90000 4.400000 5,610.0100 329.560 -70.46 -7.54
74.70000 4.100000 5,580.0900 306.270 -70.66 -7.84
74.80000 3.900000 5,595.0400 291.720 -70.56 -8.04
74.40000 4.800000 5,535.3600 357.120 -70.96 -7.14
74.10000 5.900000 5,490.8100 437.190 -71.26 -6.04
73.50000 6.300000 5,402.2500 463.050 -71.86 -5.64
73.30000 5.600000 5,372.8900 410.480 -72.06 -6.34
73.30000 5.100000 5,372.8900 373.830 -72.06 -6.84
73.50000 4.600000 5,402.2500 338.100
2035.100 167.100 153,429.4700 12,621
145.364286 11.935714

705.840
964
0.732

-47238
964
-49.01827

0.56338
IPH6 X4
6.840000
7.430000
7.860000
8.190000 Chart Title
8.480000 12.000000
8.730000
8.920000 10.000000
9.130000
8.000000
9.430000
f(x) = 0.7324423045x - 49.0182716254
9.800000 R² = 0.3173997595
6.000000
10.190000
10.500000 4.000000
10.760000
11.030000 2.000000
11.320000
11.640000 0.000000
73.00000 74.00000 75.00000 76.00000 77.00000 78.00000
12.030000
12.490000
13.000000
13.470000
14.000000
14.530000
14.950000
15.350000
15.670000
16.110000
16.730000

XMEDIA*Y
XMEDIA^2 YMED^2A MEDIA
4,619.144 25 342.25
4,673.676 21 344.26
4,728.527 4 346.28
4,756.073 4 347.28
4,756.073 21 347.28
4,769.876 24 347.79
4,769.876 25 347.79
4,783.698 33 348.29
4,783.698 41 348.29
4,756.073 45 347.28
4,756.073 39 347.28
4,839.190 22 350.31
4,839.190 16 350.31
4,895.001 22 352.32
4,937.070 33 353.83
4,951.133 40 354.33
4,965.216 43 354.84
4,951.133 50 354.33
4,965.216 57 354.84
4,993.441 61 355.85
4,979.318 65 355.34
5,035.930 51 357.36
5,078.598 36 358.87
5,164.476 32 361.89
5,193.261 40 362.90
5,193.261 47 362.90
0.000 0 0.00
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.56338243
Coeficiente 0.31739976
R^2 ajustado 0.29009575
Error típico 1.28341727
Observacione 27

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 19.1476695 19.1476695 11.6246575 0.00221382
Residuos 25 41.1789972 1.64715989
Total 26 60.3266667

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción -49.018272 16.1940639 -3.0269284 0.00565935 -82.370571 -15.665973 -82.370571
TPFLCM1 Y1 0.7324423 0.21482427 3.40949519 0.00221382 0.29000345 1.17488116 0.29000345

Análisis de los residuales Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Observación
Pronóstico TDCH3 X1
Residuos Percentil TDCH3 X1
1 7.67276274 -0.7727627 1.85185185 3.9
2 7.37978582 0.02021418 5.55555556 4.1
3 7.0868089 2.8131911 9.25925926 4.4
4 6.94032044 2.95967956 12.962963 4.6
5 6.94032044 0.45967956 16.6666667 4.8
6 6.86707621 0.13292379 20.3703704 4.9
7 6.86707621 0.03292379 24.0740741 5.1
8 6.79383198 -0.593832 27.7777778 5.2
9 6.79383198 -1.293832 31.4814815 5.4
10 6.94032044 -1.7403204 35.1851852 5.5
11 6.94032044 -1.2403204 38.8888889 5.6
12 6.50085506 0.69914494 42.5925926 5.6
13 6.50085506 1.39914494 46.2962963 5.7
14 6.20787813 0.99212187 50 5.9
15 5.98814544 0.21185456 53.7037037 6.2
16 5.91490121 -0.3149012 57.4074074 6.2
17 5.84165698 -0.441657 61.1111111 6.3
18 5.91490121 -1.0149012 64.8148148 6.9
19 5.84165698 -1.441657 68.5185185 6.9
20 5.69516852 -1.5951685 72.2222222 7
21 5.76841275 -1.8684128 75.9259259 7.2
22 5.47543583 -0.6754358 79.6296296 7.2
23 5.25570314 0.64429686 83.3333333 7.4
24 4.81623776 1.48376224 87.037037 7.4
25 4.66974929 0.93025071 90.7407407 7.9
26 4.66974929 0.43025071 94.4444444 9.9
27 4.81623776 -0.2162378 98.1481481 9.9
Gráfico de probabilidad normal
15
10

TDCH3 X1 5
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil

Superior 95.0%
-15.665973
1.17488116
AÑO TPFLCM1 Y1 TPFLCF2 Y2 TDCH3 X1 TDCM4 X2 IPH825 X3 IPH6 X4
1980 77.40000 51.50000 6.900000 7.400000 7.99000 6.840000
1981 77.00000 52.10000 7.400000 7.900000 7.88000 7.430000
1982 76.60000 52.60000 9.900000 9.400000 7.86000 7.860000
1983 76.40000 52.90000 9.900000 9.200000 7.95000 8.190000
1984 76.40000 53.60000 7.400000 7.600000 7.95000 8.480000
1985 76.30000 54.50000 7.000000 7.400000 7.91000 8.730000
1986 76.30000 55.30000 6.900000 7.100000 7.96000 8.920000
1987 76.20000 56.00000 6.200000 6.200000 7.86000 9.130000
1988 76.20000 56.60000 5.500000 5.600000 7.81000 9.430000
1989 76.40000 57.40000 5.200000 5.400000 7.75000 9.800000
1990 76.40000 57.50000 5.700000 5.500000 7.66000 10.190000
1991 75.80000 57.40000 7.200000 6.400000 7.58000 10.500000
1992 75.80000 57.80000 7.900000 7.000000 7.55000 10.760000
1993 75.40000 57.90000 7.200000 6.600000 7.52000 11.030000
1994 75.10000 58.80000 6.200000 6.000000 7.53000 11.320000
1995 75.00000 58.90000 5.600000 5.600000 7.53000 11.640000
1996 74.90000 59.30000 5.400000 5.400000 7.57000 12.030000
1997 75.00000 59.80000 4.900000 5.000000 7.68000 12.490000
1998 74.90000 59.80000 4.400000 4.600000 7.89000 13.000000
1999 74.70000 60.00000 4.100000 4.300000 8.00000 13.470000
2000 74.80000 59.90000 3.900000 4.100000 8.03000 14.000000
2001 74.40000 59.80000 4.800000 4.700000 8.11000 14.530000
2002 74.10000 59.60000 5.900000 5.600000 8.24000 14.950000
2003 73.50000 59.50000 6.300000 5.700000 8.27000 15.350000
2004 73.30000 59.20000 5.600000 5.400000 8.23000 15.670000
2005 73.30000 59.30000 5.100000 5.100000 8.17000 16.110000
2006 73.50000 59.40000 4.600000 4.600000 8.23000 16.730000

TDCH3 X1 TPFLCM1 Y1 X^2 X*Y X-MEDIA DEY-XLA MEDIA DE YXMEDIA^2 YMED^2A


51.50000 7.400000 2,652.2500 381.100 -1,494.90 -157.40 2,234,726 24,775
52.10000 7.900000 2,714.4100 411.590 -1,494.30 -156.90 2,232,932 24,618
52.60000 9.400000 2,766.7600 494.440 -1,493.80 -155.40 2,231,438 24,149
52.90000 9.200000 2,798.4100 486.680 -1,493.50 -155.60 2,230,542 24,211
53.60000 7.600000 2,872.9600 407.360 -1,492.80 -157.20 2,228,452 24,712
54.50000 7.400000 2,970.2500 403.300 -1,491.90 -157.40 2,225,766 24,775
55.30000 7.100000 3,058.0900 392.630 -1,491.10 -157.70 2,223,379 24,869
56.00000 6.200000 3,136.0000 347.200 -1,490.40 -158.60 2,221,292 25,154
56.60000 5.600000 3,203.5600 316.960 -1,489.80 -159.20 2,219,504 25,345
57.40000 5.400000 3,294.7600 309.960 -1,489.00 -159.40 2,217,121 25,408
57.50000 5.500000 3,306.2500 316.250 -1,488.90 -159.30 2,216,823 25,376
57.40000 6.400000 3,294.7600 367.360 -1,489.00 -158.40 2,217,121 25,091
57.80000 7.000000 3,340.8400 404.600 -1,488.60 -157.80 2,215,930 24,901
57.90000 6.600000 3,352.4100 382.140 -1,488.50 -158.20 2,215,632 25,027
58.80000 6.000000 3,457.4400 352.800 -1,487.60 -158.80 2,212,954 25,217
58.90000 5.600000 3,469.2100 329.840 -1,487.50 -159.20 2,212,656 25,345
59.30000 5.400000 3,516.4900 320.220 -1,487.10 -159.40 2,211,466 25,408
59.80000 5.000000 3,576.0400 299.000 -1,486.60 -159.80 2,209,980 25,536
59.80000 4.600000 3,576.0400 275.080 -1,486.60 -160.20 2,209,980 25,664
60.00000 4.300000 3,600.0000 258.000 -1,486.40 -160.50 2,209,385 25,760
59.90000 4.100000 3,588.0100 245.590 -1,486.50 -160.70 2,209,682 25,824
59.80000 4.700000 3,576.0400 281.060 -1,486.60 -160.10 2,209,980 25,632
59.60000 5.600000 3,552.1600 333.760 -1,486.80 -159.20 2,210,574 25,345
59.50000 5.700000 3,540.2500 339.150 -1,486.90 -159.10 2,210,872 25,313
59.20000 5.400000 3,504.6400 319.680 -1,487.20 -159.40 2,211,764 25,408
59.30000 5.100000 3,516.4900 302.430 -1,487.10 -159.70 2,211,466 25,504
59.40000 4.600000 3,528.3600 273.240 0 0
1546.400 164.800 88,763 9,351
110.457143 11.771429

-2358.380
5245
-0.450

167087
5245
31.85760

-0.88463
XMEDIA*YM
EDIA
235,297.26
234,455.67
232,136.52 TPFLCM1 Y1
232,388.60 10.000000
234,668.16 9.000000
234,825.06 f(x) = - 0.4496606162x + 31.8575991458
8.000000
235,146.47 R² = 0.7825658275
7.000000
236,377.44
6.000000
237,176.16
237,346.60 5.000000

237,181.77 4.000000
235,857.60 3.000000
234,901.08 2.000000
235,480.70 1.000000
0.000000
50.00000 52.00000 54.00000 56.00000 58.00000 60.00000 62.00000
4.000000
3.000000
2.000000
1.000000
236,230.88 0.000000
236,810.00 50.00000 52.00000 54.00000 56.00000 58.00000 60.00000 62.00000

237,043.74
237,558.68
238,153.32
238,567.20
238,880.55
238,004.66
236,698.56
236,565.79
237,059.68
237,489.87
0.00
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.88462751
Coeficiente 0.78256583
R^2 ajustado 0.77386846
Error típico 0.6606948
Observacione 27

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 39.276689 39.276689 89.9773272 9.2066E-10
Residuos 25 10.9129406 0.43651762
Total 26 50.1896296

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 31.8575991 2.71801668 11.7208991 1.1876E-11 26.259739 37.4554593 26.259739
TDCH3 X1 -0.4496606 0.04740436 -9.4856379 9.2066E-10 -0.5472917 -0.3520295 -0.5472917

Análisis de los residuales Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Observación
Pronóstico TPFLCM1 Residuos
Y1 Percentil TPFLCM1 Y1
1 8.70007741 -1.3000774 1.85185185 4.1
2 8.43028104 -0.530281 5.55555556 4.3
3 8.20545073 1.19454927 9.25925926 4.6
4 8.07055255 1.12944745 12.962963 4.6
5 7.75579012 -0.1557901 16.6666667 4.7
6 7.35109556 0.04890444 20.3703704 5
7 6.99136707 0.10863293 24.0740741 5.1
8 6.67660464 -0.4766046 27.7777778 5.4
9 6.40680827 -0.8068083 31.4814815 5.4
10 6.04707977 -0.6470798 35.1851852 5.4
11 6.00211371 -0.5021137 38.8888889 5.5
12 6.04707977 0.35292023 42.5925926 5.6
13 5.86721553 1.13278447 46.2962963 5.6
14 5.82224947 0.77775053 50 5.6
15 5.41755491 0.58244509 53.7037037 5.7
16 5.37258885 0.22741115 57.4074074 6
17 5.1927246 0.2072754 61.1111111 6.2
18 4.9678943 0.0321057 64.8148148 6.4
19 4.9678943 -0.3678943 68.5185185 6.6
20 4.87796217 -0.5779622 72.2222222 7
21 4.92292823 -0.8229282 75.9259259 7.1
22 4.9678943 -0.2678943 79.6296296 7.4
23 5.05782642 0.54217358 83.3333333 7.4
24 5.10279248 0.59720752 87.037037 7.6
25 5.23769067 0.16230933 90.7407407 7.9
26 5.1927246 -0.0927246 94.4444444 9.2
27 5.14775854 -0.5477585 98.1481481 9.4
Gráfico de probabilidad normal
10

TPFLCM1 Y1
5

0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil

Superior 95.0%
37.4554593
-0.3520295
AÑO TPFLCM1 Y1 TPFLCF2 Y2 TDCH3 X1 TDCM4 X2 IPH825 X3 IPH6 X4
1980 77.40000 51.50000 6.900000 7.400000 7.99000 6.840000
1981 77.00000 52.10000 7.400000 7.900000 7.88000 7.430000
1982 76.60000 52.60000 9.900000 9.400000 7.86000 7.860000
1983 76.40000 52.90000 9.900000 9.200000 7.95000 8.190000
1984 76.40000 53.60000 7.400000 7.600000 7.95000 8.480000
1985 76.30000 54.50000 7.000000 7.400000 7.91000 8.730000
1986 76.30000 55.30000 6.900000 7.100000 7.96000 8.920000
1987 76.20000 56.00000 6.200000 6.200000 7.86000 9.130000
1988 76.20000 56.60000 5.500000 5.600000 7.81000 9.430000
1989 76.40000 57.40000 5.200000 5.400000 7.75000 9.800000
1990 76.40000 57.50000 5.700000 5.500000 7.66000 10.190000
1991 75.80000 57.40000 7.200000 6.400000 7.58000 10.500000
1992 75.80000 57.80000 7.900000 7.000000 7.55000 10.760000
1993 75.40000 57.90000 7.200000 6.600000 7.52000 11.030000
1994 75.10000 58.80000 6.200000 6.000000 7.53000 11.320000
1995 75.00000 58.90000 5.600000 5.600000 7.53000 11.640000
1996 74.90000 59.30000 5.400000 5.400000 7.57000 12.030000
1997 75.00000 59.80000 4.900000 5.000000 7.68000 12.490000
1998 74.90000 59.80000 4.400000 4.600000 7.89000 13.000000
1999 74.70000 60.00000 4.100000 4.300000 8.00000 13.470000
2000 74.80000 59.90000 3.900000 4.100000 8.03000 14.000000
2001 74.40000 59.80000 4.800000 4.700000 8.11000 14.530000
2002 74.10000 59.60000 5.900000 5.600000 8.24000 14.950000
2003 73.50000 59.50000 6.300000 5.700000 8.27000 15.350000
2004 73.30000 59.20000 5.600000 5.400000 8.23000 15.670000
2005 73.30000 59.30000 5.100000 5.100000 8.17000 16.110000
2006 73.50000 59.40000 4.600000 4.600000 8.23000 16.730000
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.99990456
Coeficiente 0.99980912
R^2 ajustado 0.99974885
Error típico 0.1212125
Observacione 26

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 6 1462.22084 243.703474 16586.9649 2.8045E-34
Residuos 19 0.27915692 0.01469247
Total 25 1462.5

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 2010.68441 12.6602073 158.819233 3.845E-31 1984.1863 2037.18253 1984.1863
77.4 -0.7539535 0.13461413 -5.6008498 2.1157E-05 -1.0357041 -0.4722029 -1.0357041
51.5 0.46871468 0.05569776 8.41532329 7.8395E-08 0.35213792 0.58529143 0.35213792
6.9 -0.0531574 0.12069238 -0.4404372 0.66459045 -0.3057695 0.19945463 -0.3057695
7.4 -0.0166567 0.19822904 -0.0840276 0.93391356 -0.4315548 0.39824144 -0.4315548
7.99 -1.4353966 0.21546554 -6.6618383 2.2665E-06 -1.8863711 -0.984422 -1.8863711
6.84 2.09959035 0.07064946 29.7184215 2.1572E-17 1.95171934 2.24746137 1.95171934

Análisis de los residuales Resultados de datos de probabilidad

ObservaciónPronóstico 1980 Residuos Percentil 1980


1 1980.81411 0.185892 1.92307692 1981
2 1982.1237 -0.1236999 5.76923077 1982
3 1982.98212 0.0178845 9.61538462 1983
4 1984.07864 -0.0786412 13.4615385 1984
5 1985.18279 -0.1827876 17.3076923 1985
6 1985.89522 0.10477561 21.1538462 1986
7 1986.93537 0.06462513 25 1987
8 1987.96545 0.03454518 28.8461538 1988
9 1989.07189 -0.0718867 32.6923077 1989
10 1990.03854 -0.0385397 36.5384615 1990
11 1991.11502 -0.1150179 40.3846154 1991
12 1991.84425 0.15574507 44.2307692 1992
13 1992.84653 0.15346803 48.0769231 1993
14 1994.15224 -0.1522399 51.9230769 1994
15 1994.98493 0.01506724 55.7692308 1995
16 1996.0232 -0.0232012 59.6153846 1996
17 1997.02332 -0.0233225 63.4615385 1997
18 1997.90132 0.09868297 67.3076923 1998
19 1998.99571 0.00429125 71.1538462 1999
20 1999.95713 0.04287426 75 2000
21 2001.15195 -0.1519511 78.8461538 2001
22 2001.90616 0.09384354 82.6923077 2002
23 2003.0855 -0.0855027 86.5384615 2003
24 2003.86717 0.13282903 90.3846154 2004
25 2004.95556 0.04443829 94.2307692 2005
26 2006.10217 -0.1021718 98.0769231 2006
Gráfico de probabilidad normal
2020
2000

1980 1980
1960
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil

Superior 95.0%
2037.18253
-0.4722029
0.58529143
0.19945463
0.39824144
-0.984422
2.24746137

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