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A Symbol-Busting Approach To Astro-Trading Analysis by format, which you can read online anytime.
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in trading and can’t make any money. Step 4. Chart Examples
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BY LORRIE V. BENNETT forecasts using several wave based techniques...
Students of Gann should be familiar with the phrase “Wheels within Wheels.” This is a phrase
originally lifted from Ezekiel’s description of the throne of God in the Bible. Like many things Gann,
it can be taken to mean a number of different things; when one veils one’s meaning, the natural
result is many different possible interpretations.
Doing a cursory Internet search before writing this article, I found numerous modern traders using
this phrase to reinforce their own particular approaches to what these words might mean in the
context of financial markets. Not one to break with tradition, I’ll take a stab at it myself, and in the
process show you some interesting techniques that can be used on stock indices.
Let’s break this down a bit. First of all, what’s a wheel? It’s a round thing that rolls because of
its circular shape. Easy, right? This (obviously) suggests a cycle, because any given point on the
wheel keeps coming back around over and over again as it turns. That’s the important part of it
all, and why we as traders care about this so much: the thing that happened in the past is going
to come back around and happen again in the future.
So what “thing” might it be that happened in the past, which might come back around again?
The first chart is of the SPY for last year. On Feb 9, the SPY made an important low at 252.92,
What I’ve done is taken the price of that low, then projected it forward into the future. If we take
the low at 252.92, then count forward 252.92 solar degrees, we get another low in October. The
two lows are connected by the PRICE of the first low (the past) translated into TIME (the future).
That’s crazy, right? I’m not going to do a bunch of examples of this, because I’m just going to use
it as a stepping stone, but I suggest you go to your charts and fool around with this sort of thing
yourself. If you’ve never done it before, you’ll be pleasantly surprised at what you can find.
Back to our example. If we take this as a cycle, with the price of the low coming back around to
create another low, that means we had one full revolution of this wheel between those two low
points on this chart. In other words, that’s one wheel. But the phrase isn’t “wheel,” it’s “wheels
within wheels.”
Ok, this is one rotation of the wheel from the perspective of solar degrees. Given that we’re using
the Sun, what are some obvious ways we might look for cycles within this cycle? There are lots of
options.
You could go with 4, because of four seasons in the year. Or, you could go with eight, because 360
degrees divided by 8 is 45, and that’s always good. Or, you could go by 12. I’m not going to go
through all the combinations since I don’t have space, but let’s look at 8. 252.92, the price of the
I’ve marked the 31 degree points with letters from A to G. Some of those minor points were great
(the highs at A and G, for example), while others were minor (like the high at E). They weren’t
always exact, because markets never are, but, AND THIS IS A BIG BUT, all of them without
exception were highs. Isn’t that curious? Why would they all be highs? Because, within that smaller
wheel, there’s a nail that keeps coming back around to us, and that nail is a high point, not a low.
I don’t know about you, but I’m one of those people who really doesn’t like doing math all day
long on my chart. I like looking at patterns and pictures, so I tend to approach everything I do,
especially Gann, from the perspective of geometry and pattern, rather than raw numbers. Let’s
make a shift so we can continue the conversation.
We just saw how price can be used as a time cycle, with the help of our friend the Sun. What about
getting rid of the price component altogether, and looking at pure astro? Here’s what that might
look like:
The second cycle at the bottom is a subdivision of the higher cycle. Count the number of reversals
(half-cycles) that this faster cycle makes in the time the larger cycle takes to make one complete
movement from low to low. You’ll get eight (8 half-cycles, 4 full cycles), just like we did in the
previous example. This is a wheel within a wheel, in the domain of planetary time. What would a
wheel within a wheel within a wheel look like?
Let’s move away from daily charts and zoom into a four minute chart of the ES:
I’ve synched up our important high to the high in the red line. Can you see the wheel working
through price now? What exactly is that red line, you may be asking. It’s a helper tool from an
upcoming book I wrote for Sacred Science Institute, called Trading with Selene’s Chariot.
I couldn’t really write about the big proprietary tools in the book for this article, so I figured I’d
write about this instead, especially since it’s easy to grasp and can be used on its own. Given the
title of the book, and the discussion we’ve just had in the past two paragraphs, you should be
able to figure it out pretty easily. Besides, you can’t really call yourself a student of Gann and not
expect to solve a few puzzles along the way!
This cycle gave us the low of the day on the 14th, the high of that day, and then the afternoon low.
It also gave us a minor high on the 15th. Let’s scroll forward...
Recent highs are more powerful than past ones unless those past ones are really gigantic. So, on
the 15th, we see the red cycle fizzle, but when we place a new cycle at the low of the day there
(the blue line, keyed to the green arrow), we catch the high of the day.
Notice that there are two bumps in the red line, one bump for each of these places. The night
session causes the cycle to break up on the day-session chart we’re trading, which is why it’s not
a perfect sine wave. Setting the two tips of the “W” in the cycle to those places solved for the low
of the day as I’m writing this article, which is at point “C”.
This may seem like a very simpleminded technique, just dragging a cycle from highs and lows, but
consider that in the last three days, this simple approach has successfully called either the high or
low of the day on the largest futures market in the world. These are not cherry-picked examples
either, these just happen to be the last three days on the chart at the time I sat down to write this
article.
If you think back to God’s chariot and Ezekiel’s description of it rolling on wheels within wheels,
ask yourself what effect such a powerhouse would have on Earth. As those wheels turn, so does
spring turn to summer, and summer to fall. The wheels within those wheels govern the cycle of day
and night, and also of high and low tide. All the cycles that we see on this planet are connected to
these wheels in some way, and that includes prices of the S&P futures on an intraday time frame.
Next time one of your trading buddies waxes poetic about their new-fangled adaptive moving
average calculation, ask them whether or not their moving average is connected to day and night
and life and death here on Earth. And then one-up them by telling them that your technique
actually is…
Who’s really got the bigger stick? That’s the advantage we have as traders using natural law,
which we enjoy both in terms of analytical power, as well as in bragging rights when talking shop
with our buddies over a pint after the close.
Sean Erikson is a retired fund manager and has been studying Gann and Natural Law for the last
25 years. He is the author of ‘Trading with Selene’s Chariot’, due to be released by Sacred Sci-
ence Institute in April (see: www.sacredscience.com/Erikson/Trading-with-Selenes-Chariot.htm).
All charts in this article courtesy of Wave59.
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By Eric Penicka
In order to understand harmonics and periodicity and how they may apply to the market, we
must define them.
Periodicity:
Word forms: plural periodicities
What is periodicity and how can it be defined and applied to stocks and commodities?
In part 1 of this article in the last issue, harmonics were explored. In this article, the idea of
harmonics will be expanded. Instead of looking at a single harmonic, multiple harmonics will be
looked at to create an example of a periodic recurrence.
Using multiple harmonics together will create a periodicity, or cyclic occurrence where 2, 3 or
more harmonics come together in price or time. Time will be explored in this article even though
this concept can be applied to price too. One price example will be given to close the article.
A periodic recurrence is a point where 2, 3 or more numbers come together, or close together, in
a tight window of time.
For example, using the numbers of 2, 3 and 5 for simple cycles/ harmonics, the objective is to
find when do they come together and meet.
The simplest way to solve this is to just multiply them together. 2 * 3 * 5 = 30.
In this case this is the lowest number solution to define the coming together point of these three
cyclic counts.
The number 30 is the periodic recurrence of the three cycles of 2, 3, and 5 coming together.
Now carrying this idea forward, a periodic cycle can be made taking any number of known
harmonics from a stock or commodity and using these to find the longer periodic recurrence
which will identify future cyclic points in time where this periodicity will potentially trigger a good
trading opportunity.
When the number 27 is used in conjunction with two more harmonics which are active in TSLA
stock, a periodic time recurrence can be found which will be identified on the chart to give solid
trading opportunities.
There is a multifunction Excel spreadsheet which was created for the owners of my Gann
Science book posted in the forum on the Sacredscience.com website. Part of this Excel
workbook is a sheet which does periodicity calculations to identify the important periodic
recurrences for a stock or commodity.
The following screenshot shows the Excel spreadsheet using the example of 2, 3, and 5 cycles.
Moving to the stock of TSLA, the harmonic of 27 will be used with two other of the known
harmonics for this stock to find a long term periodic cycle recurrence point.
The lowest number in Tesla that is active using three harmonics is the number 1430-1431. The
following chart shows the first hit of 1431 measured from the first trade day that comes in to a
minor swing high that triggers a correction lasting 2 weeks.
This number 1431 can also be used to measure from any highs and lows in the stock price to
project future points forward. An interesting part of this concept is that projecting from what
most would consider to be smaller swing points can project much bigger turns. In the first
screenshot to follow, the point of origin of where the 1431 measurements are taken from is
shown. Five projections are made, all from secondary swing points.
In order to incorporate the number 1431 into price, let’s consider floating the decimal so it
becomes a price range of 143.1, since an actual range of 1431 is too high for the price of this
stock.
Measuring from the major high at the first hit of the 1431 on the prior chart gives us the
This scientific square-out triggered a $65 up-move in 4 trading days and curtailed the down
trend. Options were cheap at the bottom of this run down.
These harmonic techniques represent some of the simplest principles taught in my book, GANN
SCIENCE – The Periodic Table & The Law of Vibration. Please see the following link, which
provides more details and contents of this new course:
www.sacredscience.com/Penicka/Gann-Science.htm
FOR A MUCH MORE DETAILED WRITE-UP, CONTENTS, SAMPLE CHARTS & ARTICLES SEE:
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The performances of the best matching patterns are displayed in the chart below. When
performance is alike the past markets could witness another strong correction in 2019. Since
this is a long term pattern, it needs a larger time band width of around 3 months.
Typically during the 1st green wave up, also in 2001-3, the correction starts with a sharp
decline, when the indicator at the bottom of the chart (black line) below starts to decline from its
maximum above 2. The red line indicator is a volatility indicator, above 1 and rising means high
volatility.
When the green indicator is in the middle of its high above 1, historic performance shows that
normally a decline will happen, therefore pointing to the period June-September. History also
shows that if the indicator on the bottom has a reading above 2, making several tops, that
the occurrence of a larger bear market is more likely, pointing to a level in the Dow of around
21000-22000 points.
Historic performance with same pattern displayed in chart above. Time pattern circled in RED,
that coincides with corrections. Green line is Pattern and direction, red line is volatility when
rising and nearing 1, black line is strong correction when above 2. The colored lines in the chart
itself are historic performances when same pattern active.
Trading is based upon the swings in the indicator from top to bottom and vice versa. So a short
trade (red arrow)-writing calls- will appear when the indicator starts to decline. A long trade
(green arrow)-writing puts- when indicator rises again from a bottom. The strike price is 0.5%
above the SPX price when writing calls and 0.5% below the market price when writing puts. This
way a trade will still have full profit as long as it stays within this bandwidth. If not the trade is
stopped out
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With a capital of 150k 3 years trading options resulted in a profit of 144k, almost 100% return
with a max drawdown of ca. 5.5%.
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Successful trading is a function of the quality or probability to predict the future price direction,
combined with choosing the best appropriate trading strategy, multiplied by the participation
rate or investment rate. In this publication, we focus on swing trading and longer-term investing
from IRA and margin accounts by trading stocks and their options.
To define trading success or failure let us compare our trading results to the performance of the
S&P 500 Index by picking an example where we examine the development of BRK/B, Berkshire
Hathaway to the S&P 500, represented by SPY (ETF of the S&P 500 Index) for a 12-month-
period, March 2019.
The chart says: BRK/B is down by -2.35% while the S&P 500 is up +1.55%; thus, BRK/B
underperformed the index by -3.9% in a 12-month-comparison. Where do you stand?
Trade Quality is the likelihood that you can predict the future price development based on
your system: Commonly available systems have a positive expectation of about 53% to predict
the future price-move of an asset. High probability starts at 65%. The difference is in the
algorithms used: RSI, Moving Averages, MACD, and so on, perform on the rate of about 53%. To
predict with a higher probability, a different system that is measuring pre-price-move-preceding
changes in supply and demand is imperative.
- Long strategies
- Short strategies
- Covered strategies
- Spreads (credit and debit)
When we give each of those strategies the same importance, it results in a 25% ratio for each
strategy component. Meaning: if you only use one, your strategy performance rate is 25%;
when using them all of them 100%. The applicability of the best fitting trading strategies shall
be system/indicator based.
The Participation Rate defines your rate of investment. It can reach from 0% (all in cash) to
100% (all invested): Assuming that your system and strategies are allowing you to find trades
for constantly staying invested. Unfortunately, the average trader or investor is only invested at
a rate of 50% or lower, while we see the minimum investment rate to strive for at 80%.
Trader-1: Average System at 53%, only long strategies (25%), and 50% invested.
Trader-2: High probability at 65%, applying all four trading strategies (100%), at an 80%
investment rate.
To rate their performance, we are multiplying each variable and calculate a factor:
As a result of the equation, Trader-2, who is using high predictability, applying multiple trade
strategies and being higher invested, has 7.8-times higher likelihood for success than the
average investor (Trader-1). You can play with the numbers by multiplying factors, and it will tell
what is needed to strive for success.
Now that we formulated what is essential to beat the index and achieve positive returns let
analyze the individual components. In a first example, we examine the situation for a long-term
investor, focusing on trading the QQQ (ETF of the NASDAQ 100 Index): The price-move of an
index is harder to predict than the one of an individual stock, but we take on the challenge.
We will operate with NLT Top-Line signals from a weekly char, giving us pre-defined entries,
exits, stops or trade adjustment levels, using the following decision-making rules:
- We only trade when the set price threshold is surpassed in the next candle.
- Red/Blue signals have a reach of five bars to target-1 or 10-bars to target-2.
- Up/Down signals from the comparison chart have a reach for 3-bars or 1-SPU.
- Purple signals have a reach for 3-bars or 1-SPU.
- Orange signals have a reach for 10-bars or 2-SPU’s.
- We only trade with the trend, represented by the boxes piling up and never against on
the first reversal, but on the second instance.
The top left of the QQQ-Chart shows a dashboard and bar-by-bar you can read the following:
- SPU (Speed Unit): our measure of the expected price move after a confirmed signal:
$5.5. The green color tells that we have increased statistical volatility at the currently
measured bar or 3.1% based on the price of the instrument.
- The blue color on Trend shows at the current bar an uptrend with a no further trend
continuation measure at the current bar.
- Target and Stop tell you where to enter and exit positions.
- Favorable measures the expected risk of the trade in relation to the expected reward:
The chart shows a 1.5-times higher reward than risk at the current bar.
In total, the system produced seven trade situations with confirmed entries in the following
weeks and performance:
Out of seven trade situations, four were long, and three short; thus, you need trade strategies
for both directions, regardless of the type account you are trading from, else you were missing
out on more than 40% of the trading opportunities.
When we are talking about trading strategies, we want you to apply one of the following in
respect to the trade situations deriving from your chart setups:
helping you in building a financial plan and action plan so you can strive for your desired results.
Here an example for a $10k long-term investment account, striving for doubling in 12-months:
In the above portfolio, considering clear cut risk guidelines, only two types of the option trading
By the smaller account size, stock trades were not considered; however, stock trades will be
needed when the account grows further.
Here are our dynamic risk strategies, investing odds-based considering the risk to reward setup
for every trade situation and the strength of the signal:
By the above table: We do not enter into a trade at unfavorable setups and then dynamically
increase our risk appetite by the strength of the individual situation.
Based on a $10k account, applying a long-Put or Call strategy on a strong trade setup, you
would position size as follows:
In our day-to-day acting, we are making life easy for you and provide Excel-based calculation
models where you fill in the entry conditions, and they return the situation appraisal and
proposed contract size.
To trade Options in your IRA brokerage account, you must obtain authorization from the
brokerage firm. The broker will add the options trading authorization to your account after
reviewing your paperwork.
Since the IRA rules do not allow margin trading, the types of options strategies permitted in an
IRA are limited to those that do not require margin coverage.
Each broker sets the limits on which options strategies are allowed in an IRA account.
The following gives you an example for CAT, appraising a longer-term trade situation based on a
1-φ risk assessment, total risk assessment, and on an annual return perspective.
• The 1-φ risk assesses the trade based on its average expected price dynamic in the
observed time-frame: On a weekly perspective, the situation appraises as favorable.
• On the max risk assessment, the appraised situation turned out to be risky and outside
of our regular risk appetite.
• On an annual return perspective, the trade cleared as favorable.
In the appraised situation, a credit spread was considered, allowing for producing a return if
the price development of CAT goes up, stays sideways, or turns less than $1.80 against you.
We hope you see now, why credit spreads are a robust tool to generate long-term income even
when the share price only moves sideways. If you were able to make such returns in 53-day
periods regularly, you are striving for a 119% annual return. By limiting your strategy to just
trading stocks, such return rates in sideways markets are not achievable.
The model also calculates an early out (exit) price of $0.58; allowing you, after your order fills,
to immediately enter an exit order for the position by covering the short-spread for $0.58,
producing a $1.22 return per share controlled rather than bringing the trade to expiration. With
the help of the early-out-price, you can shorten the investment cycle, increase your annual
return and invest in the next income opportunity that your system shall provide.
From this financial model, you get notified about critical price levels, where an adjustment of the
trade shall take place, and you shall roll the position forward and potentially down: An invaluable
knowledge to have rather than accepting a loss.
We can translate the same concept into a swing trading perspective, where we assume the
following reward/risk and time in a trade per strategy:
The other potential trade situations were not fulfilling the rules of the trading system.
All rules of each trading system shall be documented in writing, and we sure help you in putting
individual trading plans and rule-based trading together in a guideline that helps to repeat the
same action over and over.
To demonstrate that signals and situations repeat themselves, we pick the most recent chart for
QQQ (at the time of writing this article):
Combine a reliable system (rule-based trading) with appropriate trading strategies and achieve a
high investment rate as the basis of your future trading success.
There is undoubtedly more to learn that we were able to share here. To experience trading
and investing on a deeper level, we published a new book, available at
Amazon:
Book summary: Regardless if you want to trade for a living, manage
your retirement accounts, build wealth, you need a solid knowledge base
to enjoy financial market success. This book describes the fundamentals
needed to trade today’s markets, regardless if you favor stocks, options,
futures, or FOREX and if the markets go up, down or move sideways.
There is a certain amount of complexity to consider when operating in
the financial markets; else, it would be easy to make money, and we
want to help you with a concept on hand to de-complex the happening.
In many detailed examples and graphics, you will be supported for
establishing what is needed to participate in the financial markets our days. Learn the concepts
and decide if you want to establish them on your own or trust into a market-proven system and
concept.
This book will be eye-opening for you regardless of the stage of a trader or investor you are: You
will learn in 16 chapters how to select the right assets by specified setups, position size, define
your entries, exits, stops, stay engaged, and strive for continuous returns. Link to Amazon...
click.
Suri Duddella is a private trader for the past 24+ years trading U.S. Equities, Options and
Futures from a Short-Term to Long-Term perspective using Automated Chart Patterns and
Algorithmic Trading Systems. Suri Duddella authored and published a book and chart patterns
poster “Trade Chart Patterns Like The Pros.” Suri Duddella also publishes a weekly Magazine
“Chart Patterns & Algo. Trader” for Automated Chart Patterns & Algorithmic Trading Setups and
Analysis. Suri’s Research Website (FREE): http://www.suriNotes.com
Chart patterns form purely as a result of knowledge-based bias work in the markets. The learned
behavior of traders to buy and sell above and below the key support and resistance levels or
around critical price levels (highs, lows, pivots) creates price barriers in the form of trendlines
or channels. These barriers become action/reaction lines and form geometric structures (Chart
Patterns). Successful pattern trading requires the knowledge of chart pattern formation,
its arrangement, and its market manipulation. The recognition of patterns and its body of
knowledge of how to react and what to expect helps a trader’s success.
Traders are always analyzing ‘Trends’ and ‘Reversals.’ Their eternal question is ‘Can the trend
continue?’. Knowing trends and trend reversals are critical for any traders success, but it
is a difficult proposition to predict trend continuation or reversal accurately. Chart patterns
classification of ‘Continuous’ or ‘Reversal’ patterns helps traders to identify specific patterns and
expect their outcome from current price action.
Traders move prices between key support and resistance areas (a tug of war) as their perception
shifts between optimism and pessimism. This movement of price adhering to key support and
resistance areas creates chart patterns. Reversal patterns exhibit a total shift of trends from
bullish to bearish or bearish to bullish in a single pattern structure. Examples of the reversal
patterns are ‘Head and Shoulders,’ ‘Double Tops and Bottoms’ or ‘Spike Patterns (V-Patterns).’
A knowledge of reversal patterns helps traders to estimate the ‘end of trends’ to execute trades
in a timely fashion for maximum gains. This knowledge also helps traders to time the trades in
the opposite direction and to place smaller stop levels.
Here I discuss three key reversal patterns (U, V, and W) and present examples of how to trade
them. Please note, all these three patterns do have complimentary bearish patterns and would
attempt to discuss in future articles.
Round-Bottom patterns are long-term patterns and usually form at the end of downtrends.
Round-Bottom formed in up trends are continuous patterns and may qualify as ‘Cup with Handle’
patterns. The shallow bottoming process could extend the prices side-ways movement for weeks
to months before prices start to rise. This structure of the shallow bottom followed by rising
prices creates the ‘Round-Bottom’ or U-shape pattern.
Trading U-Patterns
One of the essential requisite for the U-Patterns is ‘down-trend’ in the prices. At the end
of a down-trend, a consolidation phase (or during the soft U-bottom) ensues. During this
consolidation phase, the prices tend to make smaller ranges and also may take a longer time
to form the pattern. This feature may be atypical in most bottoming processes. Volume plays a
key role in analyzing this pattern. As prices falling in the first phase of the pattern, (left side),
volume tends to be higher and gradually it tapers off during the consolidation phase (U-Shape).
The volume begins to increase as prices start to breakout.
1. Downtrend
2. U shaped Pattern (Round-Bottom)
3. Volume
4. Breakout
5. Target
U-Shaped patterns (round-bottom) are considered to be bullish patterns. Once the prices close
above the neckline, look for increased volume to confirm the breakout. A long entry is placed
above the high of the bar closed above the neckline. The stop loss is placed below two or three
bar-low from the entry bar (below neckline). The profit target is measured by the depth of the
round-bottom pattern and projecting its height from the neckline. Once the prices reach about
50% of its intended target range, trail stops may be employed to protect the profits.
Example 1: The following example shows Citigroup (C) and its U-shaped round bottom pattern
and its trade analysis.
Citigroup chart shows a “U” (round-bottom) pattern formed at the end of its downtrend. The
volume during its breakdown phase was higher than normal. Citigroup closed above the neckline
($38.21) with higher volume to signal the long trade. A stop was placed below the neckline
($36.5). The pattern depth is $7.5 ($38.5 - 31). The profit target ($45) is computed using the
pattern depth ($45 = $38.5+$7) from the neckline.
Example 2: The following example shows Array Biopharma (ARRY) and its U (round bottom)
pattern as a continuation pattern. ARRY formed a round-bottom pattern in an uptrend and
continued its trend up after its breakout.
V Patterns
The “V” Patterns have the letter “V” shape as prices shift their momentum from an aggressive
sell-off (Bearish) to aggressive rally (Bullish). It is a relatively rare pattern with extreme angles
and maybe not easy to recognize until it is formed. The V-Pattern is a powerful reversal pattern
seen in all markets, all time-frames and in all instruments. The “V” patterns are formed when its
Trading V-Patterns
The “V” pattern consists of rapid price action and may not be suited for all casual investors.
The critical aspect of the V pattern is it must have a sharp downtrend followed by a quick and
sharp uptrend reversal. Look for 1-3 bar reversals at the bottom of the pattern to signify the
sharp reversal process. The volume increases during phases of the breakdown (down-shift
momentum) and breakout (up-shift momentum). There may be a few ways to trade this pattern,
but the most conservative way is to trade a long entry once the pattern is complete and retraces
back to the neckline (as a pullback). Aggressive traders may enter on the trendline breakouts at
the bottom, but the failure rate with simple trendline breakouts is very high (52%) compared to
the Neckline breakout (64%) reaching its 62-79% target range.
Example 2 shows the collage of current emerging V bottom Patterns in SPY, QQQ, XLK,
ORCL,V,MA, CVX
Sharp Downtrend
Rise from key support level to form first low.
Mid Peak about 10-20% from the first low.
Second bottom from 3-10% first bottom.
Breakout over mid-peak (hump) levels
Target
Example 1 shows AMD Chart with a “W” pattern (double bottom) from Oct. 2018 to Dec. 2018.
After forming a double pattern with lows of $16.03 and $16.17 and the mid-peak ($23.85),
price traded above a resistance level (23.85) to signify the breakout.
Example 2 shows trading the “W” patterns using an aggressive ABC Bullish Pattern confirmed
●Stocks/Futures/Commodities/FX
●Daily/Weekly/Monthly Analysis
●Sector/Indexes Analysis
●Earnings Stocks/Patterns/Analysis
email: surinotes2@gmail.com
Throughout recent history, the US Presidential election cycle has prompted increased volatility
and price consolidation. This happens because the US Presidential elections are really the
biggest change of leadership on the planet for all economies and people. This year, the show is
getting started a bit earlier than most.
Before the 2016 US Presidential elections, we witnessed an incredible sideways price rotation
that began in 2015 and carried all the way up to just a few months before the US elections.
We expect this year to be even more volatile and dramatic. This year, with over 25 contenders
attempting to challenge President Trump and an incredibly diverse array of future policies
available for anyone willing to try to digest the various campaign promises, it seems somewhat
obvious that the world will get caught up in the action that will likely transpire over the next 20+
months.
It is our opinion that a number of factors could drive a very large price rotation in the US stock
market before the end of 2019 and into 2020. Our biggest concern is the US Federal Reserve
inching rates 25 to 50 basis points higher without understanding that the US and global equities
markets should see diminished optimism headed into a US election cycle. This could be the
“straw that broke the camel's back” scenario. If the US fed attempts to raise interest rates while
the US stock market enters a period of highly volatile trading and diminished overall optimism
headed into the election cycle – the outcome seems rather obvious – a very deep price decline is
about to hit.
Additionally, another concern we have is the continued strength of the US Dollar. We believe
the current US election cycle will decrease optimism regarding the future strength of the US
economy and, thus, decrease the strength of the US Dollar. The reason we believe this to be the
case is that the US Dollar had rotated lower 12+ months before a US Presidential election event
4 out of the 5 past elections. Each instance of these price declines ranged between -8% to
-15%. In some cases, the US Dollar recovered substantially moving closer to the actual election
date – we believe this will be the case again in 2020.
We have been warning our followers that Gold will likely explode higher this year after forming
a momentum base near April 21~24, 2019. Our initial target is above $1500 by August/
September 2019. After that, we expect prices to stall briefly, then skyrocket to levels above
$1650~1700 near the end of 2019. We believe all of these swings in price are correlated to the
indecision and uncertainty that are a result of the US election cycle and the possibility of the US
Fed raising rates and/or some type of currency revaluation event happening.
We believe the $22k level of the DOW Industrials are the key target to create an expanding
wedge formation as this downside price rotation explodes. This move will catch many investors/
traders off guard and will create a level of panic in the global markets. We believe this move will
end in December 2019 or early 2020 with a Deep V bottom formation – very similar to the move
in December 2018.
The US Dollar will likely consolidate into a sideways Flag formation over the next few weeks
before breaking down towards the 90 to 91 level. We believe this move, as well as a move
in precious metals, will lead the US stock market to move later this year. In other words, we
believe the US Dollar and the precious metals will be the first to show weakness; then the US
stock market will break lower following this weakness. Our researchers believe an ultimate
downside target for the US Dollar would be near 86 to 89.
We believe the majority of this move will conclude near the end of 2019 or into early 2020. Our
research team believes 2020 will be a rather flat year with a strong potential for a partial upside
recovery to take place. Within the election cycle years, it is very common to see increased
volatility and sideways price action. Gold and Silver may continue to push higher if there are
In conclusion, be prepared for some incredibly big moves over the next 6+ months and prepare
for an incredible buying opportunity early in 2020. If our research is correct, the next 18+
months may become one of the greatest opportunities for skilled traders to profit from some
wild price swings. Beyond 2020, our researchers suggest even more opportunity exists – but
we'll have to wait till we get closer to the elections to verify our proprietary predictive modeling
results.
With a total of 55 years of technical analysis and trading between Brad Matheny, and myself
Chris Vermeulen, our research and trading signals makes analyzing the complex and ever-
changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to
provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available
today. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership
service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and Trading
Courses are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been
fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM June/July/August
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM May/June/July 2019
2017 628
Gann Grids Ultra “Master’s” Version 1
Market Timing Through The Eyes Of The Market Masters
By Rob Giordano
The
Our “New” 2019 release of Gann Grids Ultra has been upgraded to include several new features
from the works of Gann, Bayer, Elliot, Andrewes, Jenson, Dewey, Parker, Gillen and others.
I’m sure if WD had viewed GGU’s clean, crisp charts, astro and static cycle functions, angles and
draw tool capabilities as well as its dynamic overlay routines, he’d be proud as each are almost
identical to his original hand drawn charts!
In 2019 we are also releasing a brand new version of Gann Grids for REAL TIME and EOD called
Gann Grids Ultra “Master’s” Version 1 this version not only includes all of the Gann Grids Ultra
Advanced version 8.0 features, but also include many new and improved applications
Also, In 2019 Our “NEW” Combined Views of The Masters Education Package will be
released!
This package will include a full working Version of GGU “Master’s” version EOD, a 2 volume
series on the masters methods by way of biography’s, book reviews, combined concepts and
hundreds of on screen snapshots of each tool in action.
After dozens of years testing and re-testing many different market forecasting systems,
invented and explained by the numerous so called modern day forecasting masters, I have come
to the following conclusion: To me it was only the above small group of traders which show an
accuracy ratio well above the laws of chance. I came to this conclusion only after several key
factors had been found hidden within their legendary books and courses.
What I Feel They Found Through the use of their special hand-drawn charts, combined
with unique mathematical forecasting tools, insights and overlays, I feel they were able to see
at a single glance many support and resistance levels hidden within the markets they were
researching. These sets of support and resistance level calculations could only be found through
trial and error research on every concept each had to offer. However, it was only after the proper
price scale was found using a proto-type of our original Gann Grids ultra software combined with
their unique planetary energy instructions did many accurate and documented forecasts come to
light weeks and at times even months in advance.
How Can our software help you I feel our New “Gann Grids Ultra software will help
unlock even more of the hidden “why’s” behind many the masters unique and unorthodox
methods. This has been accomplished by adding many new tools to our on screen applications.
Each new feature can easily be overlaid and viewed on screen, one at a time or all at once on
most stocks, commodity and index thus allowing any astro and cyclical research to be completed
in just minutes. In the past it would have taken days, weeks or even months to complete by
hand as most Gann students already know.
Setting up actual price and time models for most stocks, commodities and indexes is even more
of a reality with our new 2019 «Master›s» version
WD Gann
Harmonically perfect, user defined grids per square inch chart settings
Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Yearly chart capabilities (Real-time version also includes a semi-
weekly chart option)
Bar and candlestick chart capabilities ( switch from open, high, low and close bar chart to
candlestick chart)
Capability to include or exclude weekends and holidays ( trading day or calendar day chart
settings)
Price counts from any A/B range ( know how much a market can run in any A/B swing
range )
Time counts from any A/B range ( know how far a market can run in any A/B swing range)
Divide any A/B price range by Gann’s divisions of 8, (or user defined %)
Divide and A/B time range by Gann’s Divisions of 8 (or user defined %)
User defined Numerical squares overlay allows user to draw any size Gann square directly on
your chart…45, 52, 90, 144, 180 ext.
Gann’s full, Half and Quarter Squares overlay tool is based on the work of Carl Futia. This
overlay tool gives mathematically perfect time and price measurements as described by both
Gann and Futia
Scan all Gann cycle years by monthly and weekly highs and lows
Scan any Gann planetary price channel on screen as an overlay ( both individual planet and
midpoints of combined planets can be plotted as an overlay)
Bayer’s Ellipse: This function uses a user defined ellipse size which can be overlaid directly
on your chart, in any direction. This new feature mirrors George Bayer ellipse research almost
perfectly for advanced Bayer research
Bayer’s mirror point research: Bayer, in his research discovered not only do natal planet
locations have an important place when searching for pivot points but also their exact mirror
point locations as written about within his books. You can now add any natal planet and its
mirror counterpart to any astro wheel chart
Bayer’s Progressed planets aspecting Natal and Mirror points: This tool function uses any
progressed planet, ( especially the moon) MC and/or ASC and gives the exact time and dates
they cross over and aspect your chosen charts natal and mirror point locations
Bayer’s Hot Zodiac Degree research: Not only did Bayer believe astro fingerprints ( unique
planet to planet aspects) were important for forecasting potential pivot points, but he also
described many exact zodiac degrees locations ( Zodiac “Hot” spots ), special Longitude,
latitude, declination locations and speed differential between 2 planets to be important as well.
All this and more can be researched as each has a special tools within our astro package
RN Elliot
A/B range price divisions based on Elliot’s Fibonacci sequence
A/B range time divisions based on Elliot’s Fibonacci sequence
Fibonacci price/time overlay from highs, lows or zero
Edward R Dewey
Static Time Cycle Research tool : highlight any user defined time cycles based on specific
numbers …I.E scan a static 15, bar 81, bar 144 bar or even a 237 bar cycle starting from any
high price , low price or date and show all dates directly on your chart up to 5 years into the
future ( with or without variance)
Composite Cycle Research Tool: you can combine as many user defined cycle lengths and
produce it’s unique composite. This composite can then be price offset to be viewed directly
under your charts open, high, low and close bars, looking for matches to any of your markets
time/price pivots.
Allen Andrews
Allen Andrews pitchfork trendline draw tool
Astro tool package can be used by anyone testing the works of : Ann Parker, Gorge
Bayer, Jack Gillen, WD Gann along and many others.
List of astro tools:
Zodiac degree research: Ann Parker, though not being a financial cycle researcher per-say
was however an astrologic researcher of natural disasters going back hundreds of years. Parker
found that ( as did Bayer, Johndro, sepherial and others) eclipse zodiac degree locations
throughout an coming year held many high ENERGY points when triggered by aspects of the
moving planets. This concept also hold true for planets retrograde degree, direct degree and
major prices points converted into zodiac degree longitude. Once these points are understood
and known you can scan all planets aspecting these locations then plot each date directly on your
chart up to 5 years into the future.
Jack Gillen also wrote several great books on stock and commodities market forecasting based
on what he felt were universal “Hot” zodiac degrees. He felt as each planet crossed over one of
his hot zodiac points you should watch for a potential change in trend.
Robert Giordano
Natural Energy Tool: After researching many different astrological and astronomical periods
falling within any week, month or year I designed my universal energy application to be set
up at the bottom of any chart as an energy indicator. What it does is set up groupings of up to
10 astronomical energy triggers by stacking one on top of the another. Though it only takes 1
energy point to trigger a trend change, I found the higher the grouping ( higher the bar) the
better the odds of a change in trend. This indicator also goes back 40 years in the past and 5
years in the future
This
version of Gann grids also features 20 modern technical indicators. I found when using 50/200
day moving average and Energy tool combined with MACD, various draw tools and fingerprints
dates many leading time and price projections become apparent.
$999 for The Combined Views Of The Master’s Education Package ( software included)
$600 for Combined Views Of The Master’s 2 volume series only (No software included)
If interested in a pre-release confirmation to the above pricing, please Email me
direct at; pvtpoint@aol.com or visit www.pvtpointmktres.com
Also, Since we have a working agreement with Traders World, We are giving its
subscribers an introductory 10% discount for all orders purchased through its site.
This discount will stay in effect until fall 2019….If you’re a Traders world subscriber
looking to lock in the pre-release pricing discount, please contact me direct for pre-
authorization, then use the Code GGUTWD10% when ready to order.
Sign Up to be Notified when the software is ready and to lock in your 10% discount
Go here:
https://tradersworld.com/gann-grids-sign-up-notification/
IMPORTANT …The Pivot Point site is being upgraded to a more advanced version so
please periodically check back for a more complete screen shot description of the
Master version’s tools.
Thank You
Robert Giordano
As of writing this on 20th April S&P 500 (SPX) is trading @2905.03. After making a low of 2346.58 on 26th December
2018, we have seen a sharp bull rally of more than 550 points in last 4 months. So far all time high of S&P is 2940.91 made
on 21st September 2018.
What’s next?
A. Is S&P moving to a new all time high surpassing the previous high of 2940.91?
B. Or S&P going to see severe decline after retesting the previous all time high?
C. In case S&P moving to a new all time high, what is the price target?
D. If S&P reverse to downtrend after retesting the previous all time high, how low it can go?
E. Along with price targets we will also be keen to know the time windows when above moves are expected to take
place?
Being a market forecaster I have always believed in trying to identify the exact time & price target instead of adding
pages to make a story. A trader basically needs two things entry/target price & the time window when these targets are going
to be materialised. If you are an option (call/put) trader, these time target along with price target can bring fortune.
In today’s write-up I would like to share my views, how I see s&p in coming weeks/months,
A. How high or low it can go?
B. Time windows where we can see severe decline in S&P?
Before anything I would like to add how we derive at those calculations (basis of our calculations). After trying almost all
the possible branches of mathematics to forecast the financial market (astrology, cycles, numerology, geometry, And Artificial
intelligence etc) I prefer to use astro-numerology to derive time & price target which gives reliable results. We never claim we
are 100% right but as we have both time & price targets we can always enter a trade with tight stops and can make decent
profit if market moves in our predicted direction.
Cut the long story short, let’s discuss what I am expecting in s&p in coming weeks/ months.
As per our calculations:
A. S&p 500(SPX) should make an important high (ideally the high of year 2019) @3037-3063 (to be more precise the
exact high should come @3037
B. In worst case S&P 500 won’t be able to give a daily close above 3140 in entire decade of 2011-2020. This is the worst
possible target of S&P for entire decade of 2011-2020
C. For long term traders s&p is a great short opportunity @3037-3063 with tight stop of 3064 day closing basis
D. The day s&p will give a daily close above 3064 it will confirm its heading to its final decade high of 3140 which will be
a sell opportunity of lifetime with tight stop of 3141 day closing basis
E. Immediately I am expecting sharp decline in S&P between 25th April-5th May 2019 where quick profit can be made
with least risk. For entry/target & stop pls see our flagship publication Weekly Market Forecast Newsletter (22 -26
April 2019) released every Sunday
We will discuss more about S&P along with oil & gold in our next article. We request you to read the disclaimer
carefully. Hope your find our research useful & informative. For a subscription to the SA Market Forecaster click here.
UPDATE: Global stock indices will again coollpase between 18-27th of May.
Best wishes
Anoop Kumar Agarwal
www.stock-commodity-forecasting.com
Disclaimer
Any contents of these site/email/newsletter/predictions are not intended to be construed as investment advice. The goal of these site/email/newsletter/predictions is to provide data that
may be helpful for informational purposes only; each user is fully responsible for his own investment activities and should never act upon the information contained within these site/email/
newsletter/predictions, without first consulting with a professional investment advisor or broker. In no event shall ‘SA’ Market Forecaster, its agents, affiliates or employees, be liable for any
loss or damage (direct, consequential or otherwise) arising out of the use or content of this site or email.
Testimonial
I did not believe that astrology worked very well for trading but you have convinced me that it
does work from watching your market calls. Good job. I know many astro forecasters and they
are not all that accurate.You seem to be the best I have seen. I do like your format using the
newsletter and the whatsapp for daily updates. Also you are differnt from others when you can
indicate the strenght of a stock or commodity. Your calls have been quite accurate and your
buys with stop have been accurate.
Larry Jacobs - Editor of Traders World Magazine
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This review highlights the TrendCatcher system which is their most popular system that Alchemy
sells. This is basically what it does:
To illustrate the system view the following upper and bottom charts:
The upper chart uses all the indicators of the system. Look at the upper chart for trade setups
and the bottom chart is a faster time frame that triggers the entries. The buy zones are the
green bars in the upper chart. When price drops down into the buy zone the price bars turn
green. When that happens you wait for the oversold signal on the lower chart which is marketed
by cyan dots.
So you can see in the middle to the upper chart where the market comes down into the buy
zone and the corresponding timing lows with cyan dots which are buys on the lower chart.
The blue dots mark the trailing stops on the upper chart.
An additional tool is the divergence indicators, which are the orange and magenta dots on the
top charts which gives you a warning signal that the market might be running out of stream and
you might be looking at a market reversal. If you see this type of divergence you should tighten
up your stop between the last low and new swing high which gives you a better exit price.
This is a system that is very easy to use and it is a simple trend trading system, yet it is very
effective and powerful. It identifies the market trend and displays low risk entry points. Its self-
adaptive trading stop minimizes the initial risk while staying with the trend for longer moves.
The built in strong trend detector measures the market strength. With the bigger trend filter
this trend confirmation method eliminates a large percentage of whipsaws, while filtering out a
significant amount of noise when the market is in a trending consolidating phase. At the same
time it captures a majority of big market moves. The new market reversal alerts generate
warning signal for tightening up stops, as well as exiting all positions. The added entry triggers
confirm momentum changes that increase the probability of entering into the right direction of
the market.
If you are looking for a simple buy comprehensive trading system using TradeStation I would
recommend the Alchemy TrendCatcher System by Joe Jogerst. For more information go to:
http://www.tradingalchemy.com
You can ask the program to reveal the most powerful cycles for your financial instrument.
The program analyses all turning points, provides their statistical analysis and
displays the most probable support/resistance levels.
Charting Tools, Fibonacci levels, Pitchforks, Gann Angles and many other
traditional charting tools are available.
I’ve been an employee and a business owner. Both placed a lot of money in someone else’s
pocket. Whether it was the company or the tax man and it seemed to be a lot of headaches for
little return.
It was a dream to quit my day job and learn to trade the stock market. And, so my journey
began. Now, 30 years of trading and coaching experience later, I am living my dream! Another
part of that dream was to help others avoid some of the difficult lessons learned along the
way so Hit and Run Candlesticks was founded. Now every day in our live trading room, it is
a pleasure to not only live the dream but to share with others what I’ve learned. The most
important lesson learned was that you can enter with low-risk on a short-term trade, grab your
profits and sleep well at night. The bottom line has become simplicity equals success.
It is a great experience to teach others who are looking to take that next step to transition to
Trading for a Living and to see them prosper from their efforts.
In January of 2018, I decided to post my live trading results in an account opened for just for
that purpose so that it could be demonstrated to others that it can be done and how to start
with a small account and grow it through the year.
A trading account was opened with $5,100 on January 1, 2018. The monthly account statements
and trades done were shared. The starting amount of $5,100 was chosen because it is an
attainable amount for almost anyone to have to start a trading account, a reasonable starting
point for young and/or new traders. The original goal was to double the money in the account
without a time period in mind. How quickly could the money be doubled when starting with such
a small account? I called this process the “Road to Wealth.”
Since I’ve been trading for over 30 years, I do have an advantage over a new trader, but like a
new trader, I had never traded an option before opening this account. Like many new options
traders, my thinking was that options were very complex, hard to understand and trade for a
reasonable profit. Since I was already a successful trader, it was my ‘why fix it if it isn’t broken’
type of thinking.
Already knowing how to read a chart, how to interpret price action, how to recognize trends,
and recognize buy signals was very helpful. I have built a career trading, have trained countless
people how to read charts, how to trade and how to successfully become a trader. I currently
train people with accounts from $1,000 to people with millions of dollars available for trading.
In the Hit and Run Candlesticks live trading room, we focus on relatively short-term swing
trading, with an emphasis on candlestick trading. In 2018, I traded 99% options in this
My initial goal was to double the account and so I started trading options for the first time ever.
Remember, the objective was to make simple directional call and put trades. Long calls were
purchased if I thought the trade was up and long puts if I thought the trade was a move down.
Trading in this account began by buying 1 contract at a time, which cost anywhere from $250-
$500 per trade, depending on the price of the contract.
I already had a set of rules that have used for my trading for many years so I also made a set of
rules for options and stuck to them. I used the two in combination - rules for the trade, then the
rules for the option purchase. My rules for the trade are as follows:
Having my basic trading rules in place, now it was important to establish and apply rules for
options trading. My very simple set of rules were easy to understand and to execute. First, I
would find the chart that met the rules above. Then, I would apply my options rules that follow:
These rules work well because when there is enough open interest, there is liquidity – meaning
that there are buyers and sellers in that specific option contract. A delta of .70 implies that if
the stock moves up $1.00, I will make at least .70 and the trade will work in my favor. And, an
expiration date of greater than 50 days, gives the trade time to work.
The options rules are strict, but can be modified just a little. With open interest, you need to be
able to get in and out of the trade easily. Delta can be .68 or .80, but not much more or less.
Time until expiration can adjust according to your plan for the trade.
For example, if there is a trade leading up to an earnings event, anticipating a run up or down
into earnings, there may only be an expiration date 30 days out since the trade will be over
before the earnings event. The rules are strict, but one needs to know the tolerances.
Speaking of tolerance, I had to adjust my patience with options, because I learned very quickly
In a stock trade, when the stock goes up or down 3%, your gains/losses are 3%, but with
options trading the gains/losses are much greater in that 3% move. The exact percentage
depends on many factors beyond this article. I still traded from the chart. I still had the same
rules as a stock trade, my stops were still in the same place, and my targets were in the same
area.
My ‘Road to Wealth’ journey was a challenging one, especially knowing that I had a commitment
to post the monthly results to the public and was a ‘newbie’ options trader. It was a successful
experiment that turned out better than I ever anticipated. My objective was to double the
trading account and by December 31, 2018, the increase was a large 307% for the year. To say
that I am now an options trading fan would be an understatement and it is my goal to share this
process with others.
https://hitandruncandlesticks.com/
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The world is totally confused about weather, global warming and climate change. These are three different
subjects. The environment has nothing to do with weather. The cities are warmer by 4 degrees in the summer
time due to black tarmac, glass, power lines under roads, less trees and grass areas etc. These are all things
that attract more heat and you wonder why governments keep building roads and infrastructure, its an
oxymoron what they are saying. The cities are growing around the original places where the gauges were set.
This is called “Unban heat islands” and gauges should be in the shade 10 miles away from any city and major
buildings like the old days, not at an airport behind a jet engine. In the winter there has been no increase in
temperatures as was shown in the northern hemisphere with many cold records broken up to 148 years old in
February 2019. Let me give you an example if I have a black and white car, when it rains it rains the same
amount on the two cars, when its freezing cold in winter the cars are the same temperature, but in summer the
black car is hotter and the white car is colder. The climate is the average of the weather over a period of time,
they never tell us where they measure it from how long the data goes back as well as they fudge the figures
like the video on my face book where the BOM fudged the figures from readings from acorn 1 to acorn 2 by
23% and deleted the hottest day ever from 125 f to 112 f in Australia. So when you do this you automatically
get a new hot record. The weather is a natural cycle and can’t be measured by going back 30 years when the
earth is billions of years old. If you look up poles melting, global cooling etc. in old newspaper articles (put in
newspaper articles about poles melting etc.) the scientist stories change with the weather at the time, they are
only reporters, there’s never been a scientist in the world that could predict the weather and you certainly cant
do it with computer models (to make a program to forecast you need to be able to have the knowledge to
forecast, none of them have that, that’s why they are all paid by the government). The word scientist was only
invented in 1823, before those astronomers did all weather forecasting by hand, for thousands of years. Inigo
Jones, W.T.Foster and W.D.Gann all did their sunspots cycles and planetary cycles by hand. These people
were a million times smarter than a scientist with a university degree.
Here is proof models don’t work, because if all models could forecast you would only have one line, why would
you have 100s of lines which none are correct, why do they do 100 year forecast, updated every year, then
updated very 3 months, then update every two weeks then update every three days, then updated every 6
hours? It’s a 6 hours forecast then, not 100 years.
The Southern Hemisphere always has more droughts as its closer to the sun due to the
23.5-degree tilt of the earth. Also when sunspots on the sun are north of the suns equator you
get more rain in northern hemisphere and drought in south hemisphere and visa versa as the
chart enclosed.
Inigo looked at cycles from Jupiter out for long-term droughts and floods. There are of course some places
around the world that have more rain in low sunspots but very few. Each country and town has to be studied
separately for there own cycles of weather.
Pluto – now
Neptune – no affect till 2033
Uranus – no affect
Saturn – now
Jupiter – 2020, 2031,2044
The smaller cycle also have to be studied for other rain cycles.
Bio
David has been using and studying the methods of W.D.Gann since 1983. Also studying
1-800-288-4266
www.TradersWorld.com
www.TradersWorldOnlineExpo.com
Introduction
Let me start by introducing myself. I am a full time trader, trainer and software developer in
the futures markets. I run a real time trading room two hours each trading day. I have traded
for over 20 years, and concentrate primarily on the currency (FOREX), crude oil, gold, and stock
index futures markets, such as the S & P E-mini. In a previous career, I was a practicing C.P.A.
in the state of Florida.
I have developed a full suite of charts and indicators known as the Trendicators™ and a market
analyzer known as the TradeFinder™, as well as a number of automated trading systems and
automated buy, sell and trade management systems.
What follows are the fundamental elements you need to be consistently profitable in the futures
markets. I have also included information below that is crucial to your overall success and in
managing your risk.
Preparation for trading profitably consists of market observation over a period of time so that
the trader can build confidence in knowing what usually happens in the market and how to profit
from the recurring market behavior that repeats itself every day. To take advantage of cycles in
the markets, observe the typical move that a market moves after it moves up or down out of a
range contraction pattern.
To achieve an entry point with low risk, wait for the market to retrace down near the green
signal line in an up move and up near the red signal line in a down move as noted in the
following chart example:
Risk Management
A primary downfall of beginning traders lies in not knowing how to manage risk. The use of
protective stop losses (known as stops); is one important tool in trading futures. An even more
important tool is known as position sizing. Position sizing answers the question of how many
contracts you should trade in the futures markets, and how many shares you should buy or short
in the stock market.
We know that trading is all about how to react to your successes as well as trades that
don’t go your way. No discussion of trading would be complete without a discussion of risk
management. For futures trading, risk management is established with a combination of the
use of stop orders combined with position sizing. You need to pair a proven strategy along
with risk management. Risk management is accomplished, in general, by never taking a “big”
loss on any one trade. I suggest that you start by making sure that on any one trade, you do
not risk any more than one percent of your trading account. You will need to calculate before
you enter a trade whether you would be risking more than one percent of your trading account.
To calculate position size you need to know some basic information such as the following:
Account Size
Risk Percentage that you are assuming
Tick value of contract you are trading
Number of ticks of your initial stop loss order
Platform
As you develop your trading skills, I suggest that you use a professional trading platform that
Trading in simulation mode will help you to develop your confidence and an overall methodology
that fits your personality.
Please let us know if you need any help in developing your approach to profitable
trading.
If you have any questions on the material in this publication, please send an e-mail to Steve
Wheeler at support@navitrader.com www.navitrader.com 800-987-6269
The information within this article as well as all charts shown are for educational purposes only
and not a recommendation to buy or sell any futures contract. RISK WARNINGS: Trading stocks,
options, futures and foreign exchange carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all
investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your monetary objectives, level
of experience, and risk tolerance. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or
all of your deposited funds and therefore you should not speculate with capital that you cannot
afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading and seek advice from
an independent advisor if you have any doubts. *HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE
MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION
IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES
SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED
BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. Past returns are not indicative of future results.
NaviTrader, Inc. and NaviTrader.com provide programs and services that are for educational
purposes and not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any futures, foreign exchange,
stocks, ETFs and/or options market trades. Past performance does not guarantee or imply any
future success.
It looks like 2018 set quite a few records! The exponential advance that carried over from
December 2017 into January ’18 finally reached a terminal peak on January 31st at 26616.70,
Dow Jones (DJIA) and 2872.87, the S&P 500 – both then staged an inverted ‘V’-shaped reversal
decline that initially shaved -4.6% off values. CNN reported it was the ‘scariest day on Wall
Street in years…the biggest decline since August ’11…the Dow plunged almost 1,600 points -
easily the biggest point decline in history during a trading day’. That was only the beginning
though! Declines continued through February until it formed a low 2-weeks later - but by that
time, indices were down by -11.8% per cent.
Volatility continued afterwards – it only took another 2-weeks for the S&P 500 to trade up
by +10% per cent – which was just prior to a downswing into the early-April lows, a decline
of -8.8% per cent! By that time, sentiment turned really bearish - Investors Intelligence
reported that ‘Bulls’ declined from 47.6 to 42.2 which was the lowest bullish reading since right
before the US presidential election of November 2016. The number of ‘Bears’ rose marginally but
remained at a low historical figure of 18.6.
USA Today reported ‘the U.S. stock market suffered its biggest October decline since the 2008
financial crisis, prompting shaken investors to reassess the staying power of a bull run that
began more than nine years ago’. Following rallies into November, markets declined again in
early-December. London’s Financial Times reported ‘Volatility leaves Wall Street set for worst
December since Great Depression’. Christmas Eve’s (December 24th’s) decline was particularly
severe as the Dow (DJIA) gapped lower by 667 points delivering a -19.8% per cent psychological
punch from October’s high. The S&P 500 registered a decline of -20.2% per cent, the threshold
that many economists define as a ‘bear market downtrend’.
But it’s not just economists that have turned bearish since the markets declined to that 20% per
cent threshold – mainstream Elliott Wave practitioners have also sounded the alarm-
bells too, forewarning of a secular-bear downtrend underway! But if we pick through the
evidence, and remain objective with it, then a very different, more bullish outlook for
Wall Street and global indices emerges.
Review - 2018
With such volatile price-swings over the last year, you might think they’re impossible to predict,
but in actual fact, the opposite is true! – THEY ARE PREDICTABLE!
Just after the late-January ’18 downswing, our analysis identified the February low in the S&P
In this update, a more complex correction for the larger 4th wave was depicted as a declining zig
zag, [a]-b]-[c] where wave [b] would trade back towards the Jan’18 high. Wave [c] would then
collapse lower towards 2458.50+/-. This was later modified to an expanding flat but importantly,
it maintained the Feb. ’18 to Sep.’18 upswing, from 2532.69 to an eventual high of 2490.91 as
completing into a zig zag – see fig #3.
Validating the Feb-Sep.’18 upswing as a zig zag ensured the following decline would simply
be the third and final sequence of the complex 4th wave corrective pattern forecast back
in February ’18. Logically, through dedication, that itself went a long way in confirming
the continuation of the secular-bull uptrend.
But it’s dangerous to rely on the analysis of just one index, like the S&P 500. In our annual
2019 STOCK INDEX VIDEO REPORT PART I, we’ve cross-referenced the S&P’s corrective
pattern with over 30 other indices and economic indicators, including an Elliott Wave overlay/
wave count of the U.S. Consumer Sentiment index, Consumer Confidence, Price-to-Book and
Price-to-Sales ratios, even Robert Shiller’s P/E CAPE ratio – all point towards the concept of
The dominant Elliott Wave theme is that September/October’s highs ended a five wave impulse
uptrend that began from the financial-crisis lows of Oct.’08/March ’09 - but is this correct? If
the S&P 500 and Dow Jones indices are analysed in isolation, then there’s a reasonable chance
this ended a five wave ‘structure’. But when examining the same pattern in log-scale and
overlaying Fibonacci-Price-Ratio analysis to verify, the pattern begins to degrade – no
confirmation is forthcoming.
Furthermore, back in year-2000 at the height of the dot.com boom and several years later at
the highs of October 2007, developed market indices formed corresponding terminal highs with
Emerging Markets and Commodities – positive corrections combined with terminal Elliott Wave
uptrends formed at the same time. They declined together in corrective synchronisation in the
sell-offs that followed. But synchronised EW-pattern highs never happened in 2018. In
fact, Emerging Markets and Commodities are still engaged in five wave uptrends that resumed
in early 2016 and are far from completed. Yes, they began corrective downswings in 2018 but
that’s all. But that means the secular-bull uptrend for U.S. and other global indices is still in
upside progress!
Peter Goodburn is the senior Elliott Wave 60-Day Money Back Guarantee
analyst at WaveTrack International and is
the author of the monthly institutional Elliott
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WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM May/June/July 2019 96
A Symbol-Busting Approach
To Astro-Trading Analysis
By Tim Bost
An awareness of planetary cycles and their often mysterious correlations with events on Earth
has been a part of human culture for thousands of years. The actions of the planets, the
“wandering stars,” were carefully observed and recorded by ancient astronomer-priests, who
named the planets after deities and assigned each of them unique personalities and energetic
expressions. The positions of the planets against the symbolic backdrop of the zodiacal “circle
of animals” and the angular relationships between the planets themselves became the basis for
forecasting the fate of nations, the success or failure of agricultural and commercial endeavors,
and the likelihood of fortune in speculative ventures.
Even to this day, as a part of that rich tradition in the world of financial astrology and its
practical applications in market analysis and astro-trading, there’s still often a strong emphasis
on the roles played by outer planets as key indicators of market trends, business activities, and
economic directions. Although the planets may no longer be identified as deities, they’re still
considered active forces in determining speculative success.
This powerful pair of planets comes up again and again in the literature of financial astrology and
in contemporary comments on potential astrological influences on current market conditions.
Jupiter has a symbolic heritage as a planet of growth and expansion. It is associated with
wealth, good luck, big opportunities, positive feelings, and broad-minded, optimistic expressions
of good humor and conviviality. Jupiter is typically connected with major expansions of
commercial activity, rising prices and big business in general.
Saturn, on the other hand, is traditionally seen as a factor which puts the brakes on, both in
The distinction between these two planets is clearly a dramatic one. In many respects, Jupiter
and Saturn can be considered polar opposites, at least in terms of their potential effects on
market trends. But Jupiter and Saturn not only present contrasting energies that can be
reflected in the markets on the basis of their distinctly different individual influences. They also
work together on an ongoing basis, in dynamic relationship to each other.
Jupiter and Saturn have markedly different orbital periods, with Saturn taking 29.5 years to
make its orbital cycle around the Sun, something which Jupiter accomplishes in approximately
12 years. This difference in orbital periods is partially what allows for the two plants to operate
in tandem as well, with a combined or synodic cycle of approximately 20 years. That is to say,
Jupiter and Saturn meet in a conjunction of celestial longitude at twenty-year intervals for a
brief period, and then exhibit a full array of angular relationships during the following 20 years.
This ever-changing kaleidoscope of arc openings between the two planets, when it is assessed
by knowledgeable astro-traders who are willing to be steadfast in objective analysis, has proven
to be a useful tool for understanding many nuances of the trading environment.
Here’s the challenge. While the study of Jupiter/Saturn dynamics can give us many opportunities
for exploring their correlations with market trends, turning to these two planets as providers of
reliable trading insights can sometimes add confusion to our efforts at market analysis.
For the most part, that confusion is directly related to the assumptions we make about Jupiter
and Saturn based on their traditional symbolic roles, carried over straight from the world of
ancient astrology.
When that happens, many traders who are relatively inexperienced in the application of astro-
trading tools and approaches will sometimes make erroneous assumptions about the correlations
between Jupiter and Saturn with market trends.
For example, if they happen to see upcoming astrological factors that suggest there will be a
predominant influence from Saturn just ahead, they may conclude that it is time to sell the
market short, since Saturn is associated with lower prices. In real-world activations however,
significant Saturn influences on the market are more often associated with trading bottoms,
basing market action, and relatively slow-moving periods of price consolidation. In other words,
The same principles can of course be applied as well to our understanding of Jupiter and its
impact on the markets. While we may be expecting to see expanding opportunities in the
markets in association with a significant emphasis on Jupiter, it’s often more likely that we will
see a trading top instead. When prices hit new highs, it’s not unusual to see significant price
pullbacks and trading consolidation just ahead.
As we try to explore the impact of Jupiter and Saturn acting in relationship to each other, if we
succumb to a nagging tendency to slip back into unconscious application of symbolic meanings,
we can often compound the confusion significantly. The unanswered questions multiply:
When prices rise to a new level and then hit stubborn resistance, what is the planetary
combination that’s really driving that action? If Jupiter is pushing prices higher and Saturn is
providing a strict limit to the price expansion, then which planet has the stronger influence? As
the alignment between the two plants begins to shift, what does that mean for future prices?
While attempts to answer such questions and to fathom the nuances of planetary relationships
can make for compelling study and lively conversation, they can also ironically compound
uncertainty and confusion to such an extent that it actually inhibits our ability to trade
effectively.
As an example of this process, let’s take a look at specific times of high Jupiter influence.
While there are many astrological dynamics that can effectively increase the power of Jupiter’s
potential impact, for the sake of clarity and simplicity we will just focus on one particular Jupiter
phenomenon: the times that the planet slows down in its apparent forward motion from a
geocentric perspective and then pauses to begin a period of retrograde motion. Astrologically
this is known as a Jupiter retrograde station.
For the purposes of our back-testing we have chosen to use the historical data from the daily
price action of the Standard and Poors 500 Index of U.S. equities.
In presenting the results of this research, we’re projecting the average price movement on
charts that have a vertical zero point line signifying the date of the Jupiter retrograde station.
The price trends are shown for 30 days prior to and following the Jupiter retrograde station date,
to the left and right of the vertical zero point line. Note that all of these charts show average
price action calibrated in calendar days, and not trading days, before and after the station date.
It’s worth noting, however, that this pattern of a price advance leading into the Jupiter
retrograde station and a follow-up period of range-bound trading is only an average response
to this planetary phenomenon. In general, it tells us what to expect in the equities markets
whenever Jupiter goes retrograde. When individual iterations of the Jupiter retrograde station
take place, we can expect to see some deviations from this pattern on a case-by-case basis.
In fact, in examining historical examples of pattern deviations, it has become apparent that
additional filtering may enhance our forecasting ability in specific Jupiter retrograde station
events.
The disadvantage in using this filter is that there are necessarily fewer examples of Jupiter
retrograde stations in any specific sign of the zodiac than there are in all zodiac signs combined.
This means that the results of our back-testing are less robust statistically than our broader
general assessment.
To help ameliorate that situation, we have also combined our look at individual zodiac signs into
groups of those signs based on the elemental designations from the astrological tradition, which
places each sign of the zodiac into one of four categories corresponding to the ancient elements
of fire, earth, air and water.
Here’s what we have discovered using that approach. Our charts show the net results for each of
the four elemental groups, along with the specific zodiac signs that comprise that group.
When we look at the S&P responses to Jupiter retrograde stations in fire signs as a group, the
results are remarkably similar to the pattern that we found with the entire universe of stations
– a price advance moving into the date of the station, followed by congested trading action.
But the individual fire signs provoke surprisingly varied results. Jupiter retrograde stations
in Aries tend to generate a sharper, more immediate price decline in the S&P. Stations in Leo
show big price swings starting about two weeks before the station and continuing for the
month afterwards, with a broad but well-defined trading channel. Jupiter retrograde stations in
Sagittarius, on the other hand, are typically accompanied by an unbroken rally in S&P prices that
starts about three weeks prior to the station and continues as a bullish move with only a slight
hesitation around the time of the station.
[Figure 3]
Jupiter retrograde stations in earth signs tend to bring about shorter periods of trading
congestion following the station, with a much sharper price decline thereafter. When the station
is in Taurus it creates a sharply-defined trading peak and a strong decline. Stations in Virgo
and Capricorn have more extended periods of trading congestion after the station date, with
Capricorn stations bringing more bearish results overall than the ones in Virgo.
[Figure 4]
The
price pattern following Jupiter retrograde stations in air signs is quite intriguing, with two weeks
of congestion, a sharp price decline, and then a vigorous rebound that ultimately pushes into
a higher trading range. The individual sign results are definitely a mixed bag, with the stations
in Gemini producing bearish results, stations in Libra bringing a bullish bias, and stations in
Aquarius essentially trading flat.
[Figure 5]
The price action prior to Jupiter retrograde stations in water signs tends be a bit more volatile
than we’ve seen elsewhere, but the station dates mark a immediate bearish trend. The Jupiter
retrograde stations in Scorpio and Pisces also tend to provoke immediate price declines, but
the Jupiter retrograde stations in Cancer bring trading bottoms and a decidedly bullish outcome
following the station.
A more pragmatic consideration is the question of how we can apply this knowledge to our
trading. If we combine this information with other planetary and technical market observations,
we can get valuable signal confirmations.
But if we try to use Jupiter retrograde stations by themselves in our trading, the limitations are
obvious.
Jupiter retrograde stations only come once a year, so if we want to base the trading strategy
solely on them we won’t be trading very actively. Our trading opportunities are even more
limited if we want to trade Jupiter stations in a particular zodiac sign – if we missed the trading
opportunity with the Jupiter retrograde station Libra in 2017, for example, will have to wait until
2029 to get another chance.
Even so, knowing the probable effects of Jupiter retrograde stations can help us formulate more
accurate long-range forecasts. By understanding and anticipating emerging market trends, we
can position ourselves more wisely and become much more effective in spotting high-probability
short-term trading opportunities.
Seasonal trading is the concept of trading off of cycles driven by the time of the year. From
January through December the Forex market is constantly trading, and currency pairs are
fluctuating due to global news and politics. Wading through the daily news to predict trends can
be time consuming and exhausting. Seasonal trading utilizes already compiled historical pricing
data to identify trends in the Forex market. As a trader it is important to understand Seasonal
trading is one tool among many; paired with other tools such as price action, a trader can
identify trends in the Forex market with less work.
Below is a chart of the EUR/USD currency pair; reflected is the 30-year average. Seasonal
trading provides insight into historical trends to help identify entry and exit points. On the
horizontal axis, we have the days of the month, and the vertical contains a spot rate with a par
value of 1.
Let’s utilize the chart in an example where we are going to use seasonal trading to leverage
our trade. In our example, we are bullish on the EUR/USD. Depending on the time of year we
may decide to hold more euros then we would normally because of the seasonal trends. If we
are entering October, historically in the forex markets, the euro has performed well against the
dollar; indicating the euro will appreciate to the dollar. As a trader, I may increase my position
during the September to December months to take advantage of the potential uptrend. On the
contrary, in January when the euro starts to depreciate against the dollar, a seasonal trader will
sell a portion of their holdings in the EUR/USD.
While seasonal trading is not a clear indicator, it is a widely accepted concept among many Forex
traders. Proven track records amongst many currency pairs return positive correlations between
currency trends and the seasons. January has always been seen as a negative month for the
Another favorite seasonal trading pair is CAD/USD. This common seasonal trading trend reflects
the Canadian dollar rallying against the dollar starting in the second quarter of the year. This may
correlate with other seasonality trends such as oil prices, or metal prices which have known to
affect the price of the Canadian dollar.
Let’s use the above chart in another example. In this example, the plan is to swing trade the
CAD/USD currency pair. The strategy will be to enter the position once the CAD has confirmed
the trend upward in early April. Once the trade has been entered, a stop loss ~ 8% off our
purchase price is entered. If the seasonal trends hold we should make a profit. We don’t need
to time the entry perfectly, just wait for the trend to be confirmed before entering the position.
As we near the end of May we can decide to leave the stop in place or perhaps tighten the stop
loss price to liquidate the trade. For the second half of the year, the strategy would be to sell or
short our position in CAD/USD during the final quarter of the year once we confirm the trend has
reversed downward.
Forex trading is just one area we can apply seasonal trading strategies. Seasonal cycles are
apparent among many businesses and commodities. The concepts reviewed can be applied to
numerous other markets and can help build confidence in an investment decision. Seasonal
trading in Forex coupled with additional trading strategies like price action can help an investor
trade with greater confidence and less emotion.
In the first instance, the Santa Clause Rally occurs towards the end of the year, with the stock
market having the tendency to rise during that period. The explanation behind this rally is that
most investors are happy around the Christmas period and for that reason, they tend to buy
more stocks, and this helps push the prices higher.
However, there is no definite date as to when the Santa Claus Rally begins or ends. A look at the
chart below shows the S&P 500 performance over the years, revealing that most of the time, the
Santa Claus Rally does happen.
The January Effect comes immediately at the start of the year, with stock prices usually
experiencing a downtrend following the rally in December. However, the stock market tends to
pick up around April, with data showing that this month is perhaps the strongest for the market.
Sell in May and Go Away is a famous saying by stock traders as the market tends to
underperform between May and August. During this period, traders usually buy and hold stocks,
and wait for October to April when the prices go up.
The Presidential cycle happens once every four years, especially during the midterm elections
period. The stock market has a tendency to perform excellently during the midterm elections,
with the gains sustained months after the polls have been concluded.
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Successful trading is all about objectively trading high-odd setups, entering with proper position
size, then using proper money/risk management to manage in between.
As Master Traders, we trade any liquid stock, ETF, option, commodity or currency with a
compelling pattern on Multiple Time Frames (MTF) using Technical Strategies (MTS).
This article will teach you will one of Master Trader’s most compelling bullish setups: The Bullish
and Bearish 1-2-3 Continuation patterns.
Some novice stock and option traders naively believe that nobody can predict price action. We
beg to differ, and our staggering results prove otherwise.
The basic long setup is made up of three bars. A Wide Range Bar (+WRB) that opens near
the low of the range and closes near the high of the range, an inside bar (trades inside of the
+WRB), and a break above the inside bar’s high. A few bullish inside bars are fine. It’s simple,
but there is more to a quality setup.
The best +123’s set up from a base or consolidation as shown here. Master Trader also teaches
how to trade them from bullish gaps, shakeout patterns, and other setups using MTS.
Then we want what we call a “price void,” which means there is insignificant price resistance to
the left for long trades, allowing the stock to move higher easily.
We actually prefer two inside consolidation days with the more current bar trading under the low
of the prior inside bar, but in all cases both bars remaining in the upper 40% of the +WRB.
The shallower the retracement of the inside bars into the +WRB the better since that shows
stronger demand. Retracements greater than the 40% area on a closing basis decrease the
quality of the setup.
The entry is to simply buy over the highest bar. The initial stop is under the low of the +WRB to
give it breathing room. Thereafter, after one complete bar after entry, raise the stop to under
the low of inside candles and then go into trail mode per your Trading Plan (e.g., trail pivots and
tighten when climactic or nearing resistance).
With this bullish setup, you can buy the stock or use bullish option strategies using MTS.
In Master Trader’s Weekly Options Trader, these are awesome setups in which to sell puts and
bull put credit spreads under the +WRB.
In selling options around compelling short-term turning points, you profit from the rapid decay
of the option’s value into expiration in a few days – and the stock can still go against you
somewhat to make full profit!
A Wide Range Bar (+WRB) is a power bar. Its range is at least twice as large as normal range
candles which you can see easily. We want little to no tails (wicks). The +WRB represents
solid buying (demand) throughout the entire candle. Master Trader calls these +WRB Igniting
candles.
Now, the inside candle(s) which remain in the top 1/3 of +WRB is a bullish consolidation on a
smaller time frame. On the example shown above with a daily chart, the two bullish inside days
would have an incredibly bullish 15-Min. chart in a fairly tight trading range (which would be 52
bullish candles based on NYSE’s market trading hours).
This is because demand is strong and buyers are stepping up to accumulate shares on small pull
backs intra-day. View the bullish inside consolidation day(s) like a “launching pad” to advance
the stock higher on the breakout.
However, if the issue retraces more than 50% and rallies all the way back near the high of the
+WRB, that’s okay. It signals that buyers stepped up aggressively on the dip.
As mentioned, all high-probability setups taught in MTS apply to any time frame. Here are three
setups on a stock, all setting up within the first 30 minutes of trading on the opening 15-Min.
candle’s strength.
The first one happened after a slightly bearish gap, but closed with a bullish engulfing +WRB
breakout bar, followed by a bullish inside doji candle. It then had three more bullish inside bars
but never triggered over the highs. Remember, we require that confirmation.
This first setup was taking too long. The +123 should trigger as expected based on the +WRB.
The second one occurred after a slight bullish gap, but closed with a bullish +WRB breakout bar,
closing over the prior day’s high, which is strength. The next candle was a bullish inside doji
candle. The entry is over the high of the two candles, initial stop under the +WRB. Then after
one complete 15-Min. candle after entry, you move the stop to under the inside candle’s low,
and follow your trail/management rules.
The third was similar to the second, but with a more bullish gap, but closed with a +WRB
breakout bar. Then it had two bullish inside candles, but the second one traded under the low of
the first inside bar, which is preferred since the sellers could not drive it lower after taking out a
Notice on the following day the +WRB near the market open (second bar, reversing the long
legged opening doji bar) was strength. The next bar was not an inside bar so it is technically
not a +123, but Master Traders would still trade it long based on other MTS and candlestick
concepts.
In all examples, there was a price void to the left, making each high-probability “no-brainer”
trade which we gave our subscribers in the Green Trading Room.
The setup is the same as the +123, just the opposite, with a Bearish Wide Range Bar (-WRB),
followed by one or more bearish inside candles in the lower third of the -WRB. The entry is
under the lows, and management the same. Here’s an example:
This was a beautiful -123, with the –WRB being a closing breakdown bar igniting a new move
lower. This was a very bearish trading range. In fact, since the first bear gap noted, there is
very bearish price action, all of which is taught in Master Trader Strategies (MTS).
Also notice that in the 2-month trading range, retracements were shallow, green bars had no
bullish follow through and were ignored, and the Topping Tails (TT) at the d50-MA were all
failed attempts to breakout. After the closing -WRB breakdown, the odds of lower prices were
staggeringly high. All of these concepts are taught in great detail in MTS.
Conclusion
Successful traders only need a few compelling patterns to generate profits and wealth through
trading and investing in the markets. It then becomes your job to wait for those setups, and
execute and manage with property money and trade management using the Master Trader
Method (MTM).
The bull and bear 1-2-3 continuation patterns – as explained – are some of Master Trader’s
favorite, highly reliable setups. They can be traded on any time frame. The setup and
management are the same. Overlaying MTS will allow you to pick the best ones confidently.
Good trading!
Master Trader and You Building Your Financial Future Together, see https://mastertrader.com
Happy trading! If you have any questions or comments, please e-mail Dan Gibby at Dan@
mastertrader.com
Dan Gibby, Managing Director of MasterTrader.com, possess more than 25 years’ experience
in equity and options trading, with expertise in technical analysis, using options to hedge and
speculate, and portfolio/asset management. He formed Master Trader with Greg Capra to
provide education to stock and option traders as well as consult for money managers and high
net worth investors on option strategies to generate superior risk adjusted returns.
The real key to being continuously successful in trading and investing lies in the ability to
synthesise long-term cycles with short-term cycles.
One of the masters of this concept was the legendary trader WD Gann.
2019 is a critical year.
Why?
Quite simply because it’s 90 years on from the 1929 crash. Not only that, it’s 180 years from the
1839 collapse.
Therefore we have huge cycles coming together right now. At some point within the next year or
so we are likely to see a major sell-off if not, a major panic.
Careful analyses of the markets running up to final highs reveal some interesting facts.
Major blow off moves took place into these major highs. And if you understand these, you will be
taking part in very profitable moves.
And then, as people like Jesse Livermore and indeed, William Gann, were aware, you could be
in a position to take advantage of a life changing short position whilst the rest of the world goes
into fear and panic.
2019 to 2020 is one of the most critical time windows of our lifetimes.
Here is why!
The vast majority of traders and fund managers do not know the value of long term cycles.
So knowing when they are about to occur will not only enable you to protect your assets but also
capitalise on the opportunity.
Back in 1929 the western world went through the Wall Street Crash.
By the time the low had come in the Dow Jones Industrial Average had fallen by 90%
It was deemed to have been a freak event, but it wasn’t. It was predictable. Legendary trader
Jesse Livermore shorted the market down making hundreds of millions of dollars.
In the 1830s, again economies were booming. This time it was canal building and land
speculation.
It all came to a head in 1837, but then the market crashed further two years later:
2019 also sees the 180 year anniversary from 1839 crash.
Now take a look at this chart - it shows the 90 year cycle from 1929 to present.
Note the halfway point: 1974. This is a logarithmic chart.
This is when the OPEC lead Arab Oil Crisis was taking place bringing America and Europe to its
knees.
Oil prices quadrupled. Markets collapsed.
We believe that between now and the end of 2020 we are likely to see a major financial
situation.
At the Market Timing Report we will be using our shorter term cycles to identify key time
windows so that you can protect your assets and benefit from the crisis whist the masses
panic.
However The Market Timing Report offers far more than this.
By identifying short-term cycles and relating them to the long term cycles, we are often able to
identify major highs and lows to the exact day.
The Market Timing Report Profit Finding Oracle System really comes into play with Commitment
of Traders Data.
Commitment of Traders Data (CoT) is invaluable in judging the direction of the market - any
market that is reported. By comparing and contrasting three sets of data, a directional bias can
be ascertained.
HOWEVER the problem is….. CoT traders know something is about to happen BUT they do not
know EXACTLY when it will happen. If you are unfamiliar with CoT data the easy way to explain
it is as follows:
The number of positions held by three different groups in any market are measured and
compared.
Large Speculators - these are hedge funds - these guys are usually trend followers so they are
always wrong at the end of a move and get burnt.
The Commercials - these are producers and therefore hedgers - these guys are pretty much
always right as they drive the market.
The Small Speculators - these guys are pretty much always wrong.
By comparing their respective positions the direction or trend of a market can be ascertained.
But as I mentioned before - it is very difficult to time markets using this information.
These are key dates - which we provide every month in our reports - when there is a high
probability of a change in trend. In this chart you can see the CoT data - the blue green and red
lines represent the three categories:
Brown shows the commercials or hedgers/producers. This group usually controls the market.
KEY POINTS to note are that CoT data is retrospective - in other words you DO NOT KNOW at
the time if a level is peaking.
Remember that CoT data may not be issued for several weeks if there is a government
shutdown.
You will see that we have placed dashed red lines through the points where the market reverses.
After all, this is what we trade.
On most occasions these reversals have not been clear from the CoT data.
Now take a look at the chart below.
Here you can see how the Profit Finding Oracle Histograms from The Market Timing Report
AND
In fact you can see future turn points calculated into the future.
These are the two red lines to the right of the chart projecting into 2020.
This is the power of The Market Timing Report.
It helps you accurately identify the timing of the reversals, often to the day.
CoT data will help you decide the direction of the move.
But you don’t even need to use CoT data - you can use this with your own trading system.
One of the better kept secrets is that of sentiment.
When the majority of traders and investors reach a consensus about the direction of a market,
it’s usually a major warning.
It’s basically a signal that the market is about to move in the opposite direction.
In other words, the masses are usually wrong.
Such a reading was clearly signalling a potential change in trend. The big question was when
exactly would it take place – the next day, the next week, or the following month?
The warning was given but trading a top is difficult. If you are long, when exactly do you get
out? If you›re looking to go short, when exactly do you get in?
The market actually turned 9 days later and the price of oil collapsed by a massive 78%.
This is where The Market Timing Report can really help.
The Market Timing Report identifies specific time windows when trend changes are likely
to occur.
Given that we have a weekly and a daily cycle coming together, cycles suggest that this is the
day the market will turn.
And so it did! Market sentiment gives us advance warning of a potential change in trend in a
market. Most people don’t know exactly when this will happen. The Market Timing Report can
give you the exact dates.
At the time of writing, late April 2019, we are seeing sentiment extremes as well as
Commitment of Traders data all suggesting a change in trend coming in Orange Juice. Most
importantly, we also have a histogram peak as well. Thus suggests that this market is likely to
reverse imminently.
As you can see from this article we have the ability to fine tune long term cycles, with medium
and short term cycles and thus identify market moves down to the exact day.
Here longer term cycles are shown along the bottom, then weekly cycles are highlighted in the
centre row. The top line shows a cycle peak that aligned with the exact day of the high!
The Market Timing Report can add great accuracy to many trading systems and in so doing
boost profits. We are on the lookout for key turning points relating to the 90 year cycle which we
believe will offer the opportunity of a lifetime.
Try the Market Timing Report now – RISK FREE and also receive our 2019 Special Report
showing the market patterns potentially expected for this year.
Andrew Pancholi is the author of The Market Timing Report and is a Board Member of The
Foundation for The Study of Cycles.
Andrew has recently authored W D Gann’s Coffee Course.
He is also co author of the bestselling book “Zero Hour”.
www.markettimingreport.com
Testimonials:
Special Offer $675/yr normally $1500/yr “I've known Andrew for a number of years. He
knows cycles better than anybody I've ever met,
Click to Buy Offer ends December 30th and I've studied cycles all my life”
Harry S Dent
At Market Timing Report, our aim is to issue high probability, low risk trade Renowned Forecaster and New York Times Best
Selling Author
research across various markets including commodities, stocks and
foreign exchange. “I believe you get what you pay for and you have
a superior product.There are others that try to
do what you do but they miss the target so
Often markets will demonstrate periods of rising prices, periods of
many times. This is as good as it gets for analysis.”
declining prices and periods where prices consolidate. Prior alerts to Chris Fletchall Hedger and Trader, USA
possible and probable turning points are highly useful to our clients.
This allows them to: “Andrew Pancholi’s Market Timing Report is
consistently the most accurate cycles forecast
there is for traders of major markets”
Potentially enter a trading campaign earlier and stay in longer Peter Temple Futurist - Speaker - Cycles Expert,
World Cycles Institute
Avoid entering a campaign when the market could potentially reverse
direction I have subscribed to many newsletters over the
years and by far this is the best. The reasons are
Aid option traders who are seeking steady movement in the underlying the combination of these 3 factors. 1) Its concise.
prices Typically, under 18 to 25 pages covering many
markets with predictions cleanly laid out
segmented nicely so you can access and review
There are 3 elements required to enter a low-risk trading campaign: the information quickly. 2) Its accountable. In
Market hits price target; each issue, he goes over the last issues predic-
tions, to demonstrate the accuracy. It’s sort of a
A Key time cycle is present; “backtest” of the plan so you will become more
A trigger setup is in place;. confident and comfortable with his predictions
3) He tells you how he does it. He will show you
the trendlines, pivots, and other cycle concepts
Market Timing Report has developed proprietary systems based on 18 years as well as pitchforks, how they are drawn and
of research into market behaviour. Our research shows that markets do why they are drawn, so that you can understand
follow a series of cycles or waves with differing amplitudes and lengths. a bit of how he does it, and also this builds your
confidence in his predictions. These 3 factors
Whilst regular seasonal cycles often reflect consistent change in price when combined offer a very unique value that is
direction, their accuracy is not always reliable. sincere and able to be applied by the trader.
Accuracy is important, of course, but building
your internal confidence every month is critical
By adding what we call as well. This is the reason why this newsletter is
"DNA" action we are able to improve the accuracy of forecasting and also by far the best I have ever encountered.
identify time cycles which act as triggers for moves and reversals. Jeff Rapaport
Trader
Stocks, Futures and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those
with sufficent risk capital should consider trading. Affiliate Disclosure - this ad contains links which are a means for this magazine to earn money.
We are currently developing trading models for various trading programs with our new product Ranger and
noticed something rather fascinating. By the way, we use the same version of Ranger that we license to our
clients.
Our development process starts with the most simple strategy variant and then progresses adding various
layers of complexity.
At its most basic, Ranger can be configured as a basic range breakout strategy. Consider the following results.
We tested a range breakout variant with our proprietary walk-forward analysis (WFA) matrix on NASDAQ
futures from 1-1-2007 through 12-31-2017. The performance for the Walk-Forward Analyses produced the
following results – the total for all WFAs was a loss of $385,410 with an average WFA loss of $35,037. Not
terribly inspiring to say the least.
However, having confidence in our trading technology and research methods we “slogged on.”
Next step. Consider, then, the same strategy and variable range with the application of one of
our proprietary filters. That same WFA matrix produced a profit of $629,850 and an average gain of $57,259.
What a difference a filter can make! That particular filter is our proprietary Trend Indicator. This indicator can
tell us, among other things, when a market is quiet. The results above are the difference between an unfiltered
range breakout and a range breakout from a quiet state.
Ranger is an EasyLanguage program which runs in TradeStation. Locked it is $2,500 and unlocked $5,000.
Trend Indicator is one of three proprietary indicators which are included with the unprotected version.
Ranger is a serious tool for the serious trader. If you would like to put Ranger to work for your own trading
email me at bob.pardo@pardocapital.com for further information. The included Tutorial will have you up and
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Warm Regards,
Bob Pardo
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Introduction
Do you think institutional traders, hedge fund managers, and large investors wake up each
morning and decide which stocks to buy and sell?
With portfolios containing hundreds if not thousands of different names, these pros simply
cannot make impulsive decisions to buy and sell shares.
Instead, they plan months ahead of time to buy and accumulate more shares, or to sell and
distribute shares if they no longer want to own them.
They “schedule” their buys before strong financial results are announced, getting in ahead of the
herd before the stock trades higher.
On the other hand, they “schedule” their sells before weak financial results hit the news, getting
out before the stock tanks.
Because these large establishments buy and sell millions and millions of shares with their
transactions, their huge volume can literally move the stock price up or down.
Imagine knowing the buying and selling “schedules” of these large establishments.
Imagine being able to buy a stock BEFORE the pros get in and drive the price higher.
Imagine being able to sell a stock BEFORE the pros get out and cause the price to tank.
Here is the good news – the buying and selling schedules for Wall Street pros are hidden in plain
sight! In fact, you can get this information for free on financial websites such as Yahoo Finance.
All you need to do is perform some data mining, and you’d see the secret Wall Street “schedule”.
In the next 9 minutes that will take you to read this report, you’ll discover how to find out
exactly when Wall Street are buying and selling stocks. I’ll give you 5 stocks that Wall Street
has on their buying and selling schedules every year, so you too can ride their coattail and profit
from it in the future.
Let’s take a look at a few institutional stocks to see how Wall Street pros buy and sell them
based on their “schedule”.
Take Ingersoll-Rand (Symbol: IR) as an example. The stock has moved up on strong volume
between April 11 and May 18 in 22 of the past 24 years.
If April 11 is a holiday, the entry is shifted to the next trading day, and if May 18 is a holiday, the
exit is shifted to the next trading day as well to keep the “schedule” consistent.
The only years that this “schedule” didn’t work were 1998 and 2004.
That’s a 92% win rate just by following a simple “schedule”, with an average profit of 8.14%
each year.
Using options would increase the ROI to 50% to 100% each year.
Don’t believe it? Let’s look at Ingersoll-Rand’s stock prices going back to 1995:
Then, after May 18, they tell investors to buy the stock from them!! This way, they lock in
profits from the stock sale, and they make money on your commissions as well.
After that, without the institutional demand, the stock falls on its own weight and that’s one of
the biggest reasons why investors lose money.
The good news is, you can easily find this data on Yahoo Finance or any other free stock data
source.
Simply plug in your favorite stock, do some basic data-mining, and you too can profit from these
highly accurate “schedules” … every year.
Let’s look at another stock that the pros from Wall Street have on their buying “schedule”.
Amgen Inc. (Symbol: AMGN) has a strong bias to move up in July. The stock moved up 18 of
the past 20 years between July 6 and July 27.
If July 6 is a holiday, the entry is shifted to the next trading day, and if July 27 is a holiday, the
exit is shifted to the next trading day as well to keep the “schedule” consistent.
From 1998 through 2017, only 2000, and 2011 were losers.
Incredible.
The average profit is a solid 8.88% each year during this scheduled period, and using options
would easily increase the ROI to between 50% and 100%.
Profitable trading is now defined by having the right information at the right time.
Imagine having the ability to trade different stocks only during their highly accurate “schedules”.
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) has an average ROI of 8.88% over a 21-day period with an annualized
return of over +130% ROI per year.
You must be wondering by now, do these “schedules” work for stocks going down as well?
Skechers USA Inc. (Symbol: SKX) has traded down 17 of the past 19 years between September
14 and September 27 with an average drop of 6.82% during this period each year.
That’s 89% win rate shorting this stock in a pre-dominantly bullish market.
Those who prefer not to short stocks can use a simple bearish options strategy to profit from
this “schedule” with 50% to 100% ROI.
Let’s look at SKX’s prices since 1999 to see this “profit schedule” in action. Remember, if
September 14 is a holiday, the entry is shifted to the next trading day, and if September 27 is a
holiday, the exit is shifted to the next trading day as well to keep the “schedule” consistent.
For those who prefer not to short stocks, using options to trade this schedule is a great way to
exponentially increase the potential ROI.
Buying a simple put on September 14 2017 yielded a 67% ROI by September 27 2017. During
that “schedule”, shorting the stock would only returned 4%.
Using options easily increased the ROI by over 16X – it is by far the most profitable way to trade
these “schedules”.
Hasbro Inc., (Symbol: HAS) was founded in 1923, and the company has made its fortune by
selling games related products, anything from the traditional board games to today’s electronic
toys and gadgets.
While gurus on financial news channels talk about “Santa Claus Rally” for stocks every year, this
stock has traded down leading up to Christmas 10 of the past 11 years (91% of the time).
On average, the stock dropped 4.61% each year between November 28 and January 14. If
November 28 is a holiday, the entry is shifted to the next trading day, and if January 14 is a
holiday, the exit is shifted to the next trading day as well to keep the “schedule” consistent.
For those die-hard fundamental analysts, were board games sales that bad for Hasbro over
the past decade? Was the company not selling enough Monopoly games? Battleships? Captain
America shields? Disney Frozen figurines?
Or was it simply large banks and hedge funds dumping the stock during this exact “schedule”
every year?
Buying a simple call spread for ROK on November 13 2017 yielded a 92% ROI. During that
“schedule”, buying the stock was profitable but only returned 1%. Using options increased the
ROI by over 92X in this situation.
With such a high winning %, why would you not trade the “schedule”?
Summary
IR, AMGN, SKX, HAS, and ROK are just 5 of the hundreds of stocks that Wall Street pros buy
and sell on a regular “schedule”.
Through data mining, we too can know this “schedule” and profit from it.
Imagine knowing precisely when institutional buying and selling happen every week.
How much time would it save you when finding trading opportunities?
Remember, we are not trying to beat Wall Street – all we are doing here is to copy their trading
schedules and ride their coattail to achieve wealth.
I encourage you to use this technique and find these profit schedules for as many stocks as
possible.
And if you can use options to trade these “scheduled” setups, your
ROI will be 50% to 100% on a safe and consistent basis.
https://www.certustrading.com/pscfo1
Volume shows where the professionals are buying and selling: Professional traders
acknowledge Volume as a leading indicator. We use Volume to confirm the strength
of a trend or no demand. The markets are extremely efficient and will normally return
to fair value. Many traders see Volume as an indicator which signals a price movement
prior to it happening. (accumulation or distribution) Hawkeye Volume is at the heart of
our suite of unique and powerful trading indicators and tools. It’s designed to help you
exploit trends and capture profits from the market. See Trader’s Purchase Options
Stocks, futures and options trading contains substantiaql risk and is not for every investor. Only risk
capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading.
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The seven deadly sins…food, clothing, firing, rent, taxes, respectability and children,
Nothing can lift those seven millstones from man’s neck but money;
And the spirit cannot soar until the millstones are lifted.
The most difficult are items 1 and item 3 simply because they are time consuming. Both
however, are very necessary and should be carefully worked on.
When you start setting your goals, be realistic. This is very difficult, because all families would
like to own their house and have a cottage on a beautiful lake with a yatch moored close by.
They would like their children to be educated free of debt, with the best education available and
still have enough savings so, that when they reach retirement age, they can retire in comfort.
They would also like to know that when they die, there will be assets to pass on to their heirs.
Much of the above can be achieved depending on one’s present and future income and by
applying this system of budgetary control. Today with life expectancy extending towards 100
years, because of advances in medicine, one must plan carefully.
List your goals and then prioritize them. For example, what is more important, your yatch at the
cottage or your children’s education? Spreadsheet 3 is a spreadsheet suggesting a goal-setting
budget. You must never forget that money is a limited resource and should be employed in a
manner that maximises the achievement of your objectives. This means that you must identify
how your hard earned money will be spent. This is what a budget is all about.
What are your goals? Below is a list of that they may look like.
You should list the amount of dollars needed to achieve your objective over a period of time.
For example, let us assume that you require $50,000 to finance a child’s university fees in ten
years time. If compounded interest of 3% can be earned on monthly savings net of inflation and
taxes with money you have saved at the end of every month, using a financial calculator you can
determine that a monthly savings of $357.80 will achieve your objective. Do consider a tax free
saving plan when saving for a child’s post secondary education. Many countries do offer a tax
free Education Savings plan.
By listing your goals in a Goal Setting Worksheet, you can determine the amount of monthly
payment needed to meet those goals. Rather than investing all your money in a Guaranteed
Investment Certificate (GIC) at a low rate of interest, you should diversify your savings across
a spectrum of growth investments. Historically, growth over ten years should be in the region
of 8% to 10% per annum. By calculating a monthly sum to meet these goals, one is in effect
turning savings into a monthly expense that has to be met.
A word of warning. Never set a goal at unrealistic levels. This is probably the most common
cause for the failure of a savings strategy. Rather, start small, with an initial goal the family
believes that it can meet. After a period of time, that goal can be adjusted as you become
accustomed to new expenditure levels and saving levels.
Preparing a budget is something all successful companies spend a great deal of time working
on. It is part of their yearly plan; forecasting growth and profitability. If the company is a public
company, a shortfall of these expectations can severely effect the price of its shares.
You can also earn profits out of your income, by using a budget as an expense control. The
degree of success is directly proportional to the amount of effort put into your budget. Your plan
should always be simple, because anything too complicated becomes an effort to manage and is
soon neglected. For example, adjusting your pet allowance so that you can spend more time at
your hairdresser is a waste of time and effort.
In preparing a budget, prepare it in the simplest and least time consuming way. To do so, you
must have a standard against which to measure how economical your own monthly expenses
are, relative to your income.
I believe that all expenses can be categorized into only seven categories. I have chosen seven,
1. Accommodation.
2. Food , Child care, Education.
3. Capital Expenditure.
4. Contingency Fund.
5. Transportation.
6. Annual Holiday.
7. Wild Living.
You may find that you are not in agreement with one or two of the aspects suggested. For
example you may have purchased a motorcar which is more expensive than your budget allows.
In a case like this, adjust your budget temporarily. You can always readjust your budget when
the motorcar has been paid off.
In the illustration shown below, I have used a monthly income for two earners of $4,500. Your
monthly income may be different to the example shown, if so, simply put in your own figures.
It is the expense ratios that are important. Should your income salary over time increase by,
let us say, 20%, this does not mean that you should increase your budgeted figures. It is far
better to allocate the additional cash flow among your many priorities, such as savings. Only
increase your expenses ratios and categories if absolutely necessary. Take a page from the book
of Warren Buffet, the multi billionaire. He still lives in the same house he purchased many years
ago.
In preparing a budget example, I have chosen a ratio factor of one to twenty (1::20). This is
the important part of your budget. I decided on this factor, after examining the expenses of a
number of income groups. The factor may be flexible within limits, but I do recommend that you
adhere to it initially. The figures chosen are purely a guideline that you should change to suit
your needs as you familiarize yourself with the budget system.
Using a pencil and paper or the spreadsheet on your computer, allocate your expenses into
the various expenditure groups shown in Spreadsheet 3. Look at the standards suggested and
compare them to your actual expenditure. All your calculations should be done on gross income.
The category, wild living, deserves a special note. Expenses listed here are your pocket money,
the lottery ticket, the candle lit dinner for two, the night at the movies or any other monies
splurged without a feeling of guilt. Enjoy spending it.
1. This category is subdivided into the following stages as you prepare your budget.
2. Recording irregular expenses, quarterly, yearly or any other period other than daily or
monthly
3. Recording monthly commitments, such as expenses that have to be met monthly eg. Rent;
mortgage payments; Hydro (electrical); car lease payments etc.
4. Recording daily expenses; analyzing and categorizing them.
a. IRREGULAR EXPENSES.
I am assuming that your monthly income can be categorized and more or less fits the worksheet
of Irregular Commitments as shown in the spreadsheet 4. The next step is to categorize those
expenditures that occur less than once a month. Some of these items would be quarterly
expenses; some half yearly and others yearly. For example, Hydro (electrical account) may be a
quarterly expense, while property taxes may occur twice a year. Xmas, Valentines day and so-on
are yearly expenses.
The example shown of irregular occurring expenses as listed on the worksheet, is not a
comprehensive list. You may find many more to add on, such as Thanksgiving; Birthdays,
Anniversaries etc. Different people have different items, dates and amounts. In the example, I
have shown life insurance as an annual amount because one saves money by paying it yearly
in advance rather than monthly. All the money allocated in the List of Irregular Commitments
should be placed in a savings account.
The next stage is to allocate these irregular paid items over the expenditure groups in the
monthly family budget as shown in spreadsheet 5.
This is your blueprint for channelling and controlling your spending, with one view in mind, to
have a surplus. The monthly budget statement should be revised at least once a year, in line
with your annual pay increase and again during the year, should special circumstances arise,
such as a lottery win, a gift or extraordinary medical expense. Control must always be achieved
before spending, because once the money is spent, it is GONE.
Where possible, try to pay everything in cash, because if you do not have any cash, you cannot
spend. Credit card companies entice you to buy on a credit card, by seducing you with air-miles
or gifts. This should not be ignored as, in a way, it is a form of savings, but credit card spending
should be regarded as cash spending. It should be religiously recorded and balanced against
your cash on hand each day by noting the expenses in a weekly tally of receipts. I recommend
that you do not have more than one credit card and make sure that the card is paid in full every
month. Never forget, credit card debt is expensive. The interest charged on an outstanding
b. MONTHLY COMMITMENTS.
It is very important to identify all expenses that are paid monthly in the Monthly Commitment
spreadsheet. This spreadsheet shows you just how simple it is to keep track of your standard
monthly expenses. If kept properly and balanced at frequent intervals during the month, you will
know exactly when to put on the brakes, before you spend too much.
By updating and balancing spreadsheet 9 at the end of each week, you will know how your
finances stand, well before you run into any kind of trouble. Spreadsheet 9 is your Daily
Spending Analysis spreadsheet. The columns are as follows.
This part of the budgeting is the most time consuming because you are identifying where the
money went. By knowing where your money has gone you can look for avenues to reduce
unnecessary expenses. At the same time, you also want to know where the money came from.
Have you used money from savings, earnings, a birthday gift, a loan? Are you spending next
month’s money by using your credit card? All this is very important and very necessary for your
records. It should be dutifully listed, at least one a week.
Spreadsheet 9, Daily Spending Analysis, is therefore very important. The columns are self
explanatory. The column ‘Other’ refers to credit cards. The columns 1 to 7 refer to categories
you are already familiar with. Note that you should enter the total spent in the Total column and
then record whether the payment was by Debit card, Cash, Cheque, Credit Card or anything
else not listed. Finally you must enter the amount in the appropriate Category column.
With each subtotal, when you transfer the amount to your Monthly Expenditure Control
Worksheet, round off each figure as shown. Transfer the figures every week to the correct
At the end of each month, total up all the columns and cross cast (add the totals of each column)
with the total. This total is very important because it represents the total monies in cash and
credit that you have spent during the month. By looking through the columns, you can see
exactly where your money went. When you owe money on a credit card, you can also see to
whom you owe and what your cash commitment is for the following month. Always pay your
credit card monthly. I cannot stress this enough. Following the budget, you should always have
sufficient funds to meet the payment. Also, do pay any interest bearing debt as soon as possible
in full. I cannot stress hard enough that interest charged on an outstanding balance on your
credit card is excessive, and eats into your income.
By recording all credit purchases, at all stages during the month, you can determine your
indebtedness, i.e. what you owe, and you can reduce your spending in the coming month to
decrease that debt.
Credit and debit cards have a psychological affect on a person that results in non-accountable
spending. It is so much easier to hand over a piece of plastic rather than cash. Financial
institutions and retail outlets are encouraging shoppers to use a credit card, because they know
that a shopper will be inclined to spend more than they should. As I keep pointing out, the
company that issues a credit card can then earn money, not only on a yearly credit card charge,
but on a HUGH interest rate charge on outstanding debt. They lure you with Air miles and other
incentives on points accumulated, all negligible when compared to the extremely high yearly
interest rate on outstanding debt.
Then there are Gold and Platinum cards, wooing you with STATUS. You should be very, very
careful. Recently when a shopper was offered a credit card at a store to receive a discount on
purchases and it was rejected because the customer already had a credit card, the client was
declared a BAD DEBT, reducing their credit status. This can happen all the time, costing you time
and money to re-instate your credit rating. The answer? Only go with one credit card, and stay
away from any company that offers a discount if you take their credit card. It can cost you in the
long run if you are not careful.
When you purchase with cash, if you have $50 in your pocket and you spend $20, then you know
how much money you have in your wallet. Your spending is controlled. Make a point of recording
in a notebook, or in an spreadsheet on your computer, all your purchases. Furthermore, before
making a purchase, ask yourself it it is a ‘would like to have’ or is it a ‘need to have.’ If the
former, do not make the purchase. You will be surprised at how much you save.
A lottery ticket is exactly the same as cash dropped into the collection box of the homeless
Don’t bother keeping a record of ‘pettiness’. Only keep note of the important aspects of your
daily spending. Do not forget that if you are budgeting for a business, parking tickets are tax
deductible, so do keep track of parking fees.
Bonus Income.
If you are lucky enough to receive a Xmas bonus, add half the money to your savings account.
Enjoy the other half. You deserve it.
During your first few months of budgeting, you will probably find that you are overspending
in certain categories, and under spending in others. Adjust the categories until your budget
balances. Once this has been achieved, you will find that it will serve you well until your income
increases, when you can re-adjust your budget.
If you see that you are overspending drastically, then you do have a problem because it is
always difficult to cut back on spending. You do want to realize your dreams and your goals
though, so you will just have to bite the bullet. Fortunately, it is not ‘forever.’ As you become
debt free and become accustomed to living with a budget, you will find that savings and worry-
free sleep go hand in hand. Persevere and make your budget your friend. The reward is well
worth the initial hardship.
SUMMARY
No matter how chaotic your finances are when you start your budget plan, you will find that by
having control over your income and expenditure, your finances will start falling into place. Once
you have caught up with your arrears, such as debt, start a savings plan. Used intelligently, the
Budgeting Plan will set you free from all financial worries. You will effectively steer a course that
will lead you to financial independence.
Finally, if all the above is too complicated, and lets face it, it is, turf this book into the
nearest garbage can, count your pennies and try to survive. Let your Bank worry about
you and whatever savings you have. Picking fruit on a farm and living a simple life is
far easier and in a way, rewarding. As John Maynard Keynes wrote,
The love of money as a possession as distinguished from the love of money as a means to
the enjoyment and realities of life, will be recognised for what it is, a somewhat disgusting
morbidity, one of those semi-criminal, semi-pathological propensities which one hands over with
a shudder to the specialists in mental disease.
BRAKENSTROOM
Short stories of South Africa.
http://www.jacobashersinger.com/
http://patroosp.blogspot.ca/
http://koospetroos.blogspot.ca/
I've been investing in individual equities for nearly 50 years (40 professionally), and I've never
owned one that didn't pay a dividend. I don't remember hearing about dividend "achievers",
"champions", or "aristocrats" back in the '70s; I just felt that dividend payers were a safer
investment than the others.
Over the years, up markets and down, I came up with additional "quality checks" to assure
myself (and my clients) that the companies we owned were "fundamentally" better than most.
Adding a NYSE only restriction and, a B+ or better S & P ranking requirement upgraded the field.
Then, a "less than 5% in any one entity" diversification discipline, managed the risk "inside"
each portfolio.
High quality dividend paying companies seem to fall less precipitously during corrections and
tend to rise faster during rallies. Rarely do "achievers" cut their dividends or go out of business.
You can ride out the storms called corrections much more securely in boats of this quality.
In the three major meltdowns since the 70's, only government intervention during the "financial
crisis" caused any high quality dividend payers to go under.
For me, these "risk minimized" equities, were dubbed "Investment Grade Value Stocks"(IGVS),
and they were the only ones ever finding their way into managed portfolios... but problems
developed in spite of the quality, diversification, and income.
Rallies kept getting longer and corrections lasted months instead of years. As profits were
realized, fewer and fewer IGVSs were at suitable prices for new purchases... splits seemed
less frequent. Elevated valuations increased market risk while reducing current dividend yields.
Equity buckets contained too much cash, particularly in times of low interest rates.
Over the years, private REITs, MLPs, and some equity CEFs were used as equity bucket "fillers"...
many of the former were those that reside on the "dividend achievers" list. More recently these
non-individual equities have pretty much become the primary occupant.
Managed equity CEFs were particularly interesting as they contain many "dividend achievers" but
in vehicles that lend themselves more easily to trading and profit compounding... this in addition
to the huge dividends they produce.
The latest "dividend achievers" list contains 260 equities; over the years, I've traded nearly 60%
The "achievers" have increased their dividends every year for at least 10 years. The 133
"champions" and 57 "aristocrats" have increased dividends for 25 or more years; both have
fewer REITS and MLPs inside, but roughly the same current yield as the "achievers"... less than
3%. Few, if any, pay monthly, and I'm guessing that year end "bonus" dividends, capital gains
distributions, and returns of capital (ROC) are a rarity.
Yes, there are situations when an ROC is a good thing... when you have the luxury of reinvesting
it selectively as opposed to spending it. Those who criticize ROC securities are the same folk who
either sell securities annually (directly depleting capital) or hold huge uninvested reserves to
provide their clients with monthly spending money
Many equity dividend investors use DRIP (dividend reinvestment programs) arrangements to
automatically purchase more shares of the companies they own, regardless of current price,
thus perpetuating the low current yield that is pervasive in such programs. In my experience,
equity dividend portfolios tend to be highly concentrated in a small number of positions, thus
creating poor diversification in an otherwise high quality environment.
Equity dividend programs (with DRIP activated) allow investors to operate on "auto pilot"
while both portfolio values and annual income numbers tend to move higher over time. Such
complacency is dangerous. Because even though the portfolio income is growing, the current
yield is falling, and unable to ever bring the portfolio into a state of "retirement readiness".
Depending upon how many REITs or MLPs are in the mix, the spending money will always be
well below the minimum 4% withdrawal level that most advisors deem necessary to withdraw
during retirement. Eventually, monthly expenses and emergency needs will be met through the
sale of securities. A capital preservation problem in IRA portfolios; a possible tax problem for all
others.
Improving Yields & Diversification While Lowering Long Term Tax Liability
A yield improvement (not quite steroidal) could easily be "programmed" into equity dividend
portfolios... keeping in mind that there are over 250 "achievers" to choose from. Instead of
"DRIPing" the dividends, use the monthly cash flow to add to positions that have fallen in price,
thus increasing current yield and reducing cost basis at the same time.
Next, establish profit taking targets (I use 10% with equities, less during market highs and
corrections) and discipline yourself to pounce without looking back. Compounding the capital
gains by establishing new positions restores sound diversification to otherwise poorly diversified
portfolios.
While these actions will improve income and diversification, they will not bring portfolios to
Retirement readiness is a state of portfolio income preparedness that allows you to make this
statement, unequivocally:
Neither a market correction nor higher interest rates will have a negative impact on my
retirement income; in fact either condition will help me grow my income even faster.
Unless your portfolio is generating more income than you are withdrawing, you will be forced to
liquidate assets to pay the bills; the equity dividend approaches I've seen would have trouble
preventing this from happening.
I'm going to describe an approach which will contain much of the same "stuff" that a normal
equity dividend portfolio contains... but please understand that I would never actually design a
retirement portfolio that is solely invested in equities.
No matter how good the companies are, equities are never as safe as income purpose securities,
and rarely, if ever, produce the same level of income.
Equity closed end funds (CEFs) are professionally managed portfolios designed to produce both
gains in market value and exceptional dividend income. My portfolios contain selections from a
67 fund selection universe with dividend histories of from 5 to 90 years... an average of 19.5
years. Only nine have less than 10 years payment experience for you to examine.
These "select" CEF portfolios are provided and managed by 32 different institutions, including:
Blackrock, Eaton Vance, Fidelity, Gabelli, Cohen & Steers, John Hancock, and Nuveen. The
average current yield is over 9%; the average price just $13.60. The two lowest % dividend
producers (ADX and PEO) have a long history of paying significant annual "special" dividends...
check it out at cefconnect.com.
Forty-one of the funds pay monthly dividends, the other 26 pay quarterly. All sectors are
represented, public REITs and MLPs are included within several CEFs, and the average fund
contains 188 individual positions. Only five have less than 50 positions inside. Profits have been
realized on 45 of the 67 positions... since January 11th 2019.
Even if you were to bump up your annual retirement drawdown to 6% per year, this equity
CEF universe could allow you to selectively reinvest (compound) the remaining 3% + all of
the capital gains and "special" dividends received throughout the year.... a perpetual "working
capital" growth machine.
---------------------------------------------
So, I have a suggestion for all of you who are equity dividend believers, and I agree that it is
a safer and more sustainable approach than any of the much more speculative varietals I've
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By Ron Jaenisch
Have you ever wondered how others make over 100% in less than a year? A group studied
those who did it and found that there actually is a method to it. The group is now working at
demonstrating it on youtube, as their software is being built .
The research started with examining the trading of Larry Williams. In the late 1980’s, he set out
to prove to himself once and for all that he was a great trader. He entered the Robbins World
Cup Trading Championship where he rocketed $10,000 into a mind-numbing $1.13 Million before
year end. While the accomplishment is beyond impressive, as Larry has mentioned, it was very
stressful and not worth doing again.
After examining the writings of Larry, found that to break them down to a small straight forward
set of rules that can be used in nearly any market was not easy. As a result it was time to move
on.
Then the staff of precisiontrader.com looked at the work of Alan Hall Andrews. In the 1970’s, he
sent out a newsletter via mail carrier on thursday with instructions as to what to tell the broker
on monday morning. The newsletter had a section where he reviewed what had occurred so
far, a section called orders indicated (which are instructions for a broker), A section called case
study, which discussed the know how behind the trades and a miscellaneous section. A page of a
1971 and 1984 newsletter is at the end of this article.
The result of studying his 1970’s newsletters was that there was a treasure of insights, which
turned into an excellent source of know how for software. In addition to the newsletter he
sent out pages of instructional material each week. The giving of the insights went away after
Professor Andrews wife passed and he went a long mourning period. In the 1980’s he sent out
newsletters, with the assistance of Dr. Caldwell that were missing the detailed instruction of the
trading know how and the orders indicated section and were only useful for marketing a 50 page
course, which Dr. Caldwell threw together.
In addition, the letters in the 1970’s were typically focused upon a select group of futures in
which he would initiate a position at the start of a trend that would last for weeks. Very often
he would only use very specific patterns that he knew had a very high probability of being
profitable. Unfortunately the newsletter in the 1980’s was focused upon swing trading in a
variety of turures, without all of the detailed instruction.
When it came to asset allocation Andrews only hinted at it. As you can see in his newsletters he
insisted on always having short as well as long positions, in order to have what he considered a
balanced portfolio.
When it came to money management, it appears that his primary concern was to use the $5,000
initial margin as efficiently as possible and put on additional positions as he is able, considering
his margin available from profits, positions and stops.
Many traders like to have stops that are moved on a daily basis. By only placing orders once a
week, in his orders indicated section, it was not possible to have constantly changing orders.
Basically this was a set it and forget it style of trading.
As you can see in the chart above price made it down to the median line several weeks later.
This is a typical Andrews style trade. Set it and forget it.
To achieve their dreams, traders have a much higher mountain to climb than they realize. By
not understanding the problem, they stay stuck in self-limiting patterns. Emotions and trading
mindset do not appear on a trader’s “must have” radar until pain forces them into recognizing
the deficits in their trading performances. After getting gashed several times or experiencing
the death of a thousand tiny cuts, they start considering that their head game may be part of
the problem – only to discover it’s a very large part.
They have chased external solutions to their trading performance, adding stuff to reduce risk
and increase prediction to the point that it gets unwieldy and cumbersome to use. They have
also bounced around different experts’ rooms – believing that the solution is “out there” waiting
to be found. Years (and lost opportunity) pass while they are stuck in the pursuit of the fallacy
of the Holy Grail. Finally, those who are left standing discover it is their mindset that is the real
root of the problem. And they are poised to fix it. But even if they want to get to the meat of
the problem and fix it – what exactly is the problem with their trading psychology?
What if the problem were more than your mental performance psychology? What if the problem
in your trading performance was bigger than just a few cognitive adjustments to thought
reframing (the quick fix)? What if you could not just take the bull by the horns and will your
way to winning? What if the problem was really rooted in your brain and biology of survival –
far beyond personal flaws in performance psychology? The truth is that tweaking your
psychology is never going to be enough to solve this trading problem of performance under the
stress of risk and potential loss rooted in the survival instincts of your limbic brain. And your
primal emotional brain just does not behave the way you want it to. It does not think. It
emotes. What does that mean?
Here’s a quote from Stephen Porges, PhD, (an imminent neuro-researcher of primal emotional
systems and their regulation in brain and body) in his book, The Healing Power of Emotion.
“Our (central) nervous system functions as a sentry by continuously evaluating risk in the
environment. Through neural surveillance mechanisms, our brain identifies features of risk and
safety. Many of the features of risk and safety are not learned, but rather are hardwired into
These adaptive strategies are automatic (implicit) and out of conscious awareness (explicit).
They do not think as you understand it – they are hardwired to react for short term
survival. Now, let’s apply the reality of what Porges is declaring to you, the trader. First, notice
that the brain is built to evaluate risk (your capital) in the environment (the markets). Second,
your brain comes front-loaded with hardwired automatic responses that are adaptive to short
term survival, rather than long term gain (a bummer for the long term probability mindset
needed for trading effectively). The third part is that this is going on behind your back, out of
your awareness. And what are you doing as a trader? You are evaluating risk and safety from a
thinking brain perspective, while the brain is handling the job from a primal, emotional brain
position. Who do you figure is going to win this fight? It’s a slam dunk. And the thinking brain
never sees the hijacking coming. Under the conditions of risk and stress, it never gets the
memo in the first place until after the fact.
The trader is focused on planning his trade and then trading his plan. This is where the edge in
probability favors the trader. That is your rational thinking brain’s solution to probability
enhancement. It seems only logical to do it this way. Unfortunately, we have anointed logic and
the thinking brain as the king (which blinds you to the power of the emotional brain), when
really it is only the servant to the primal instincts of survival for the emotional brain. And guess
what happens when you walk into a trading situation with a determination that you are going to
“plan your trade, and trade your plan”? This logical approach rarely succeeds. And if it did go
according to plan, there would be a lot more successful traders than there are. What happens
instead is that your thinking brain is simply, and unceremoniously, over-written by a far more
primitive and powerful competitive system in the brain/mind that you bring to the performance
of trading. That highly prized thinking brain was locked out of the brain’s decision-making tree.
And you were unaware of this.
Let me give you an example of how lighting fast decisions are really made in trading. The
circumstances will be unique, but look at the guiding principle that drives decision making in the
brain that finally filters into your trading mind.
A certain client has a problem with impulsive and revenge trading that bedevils him. He will
jump into trades that, in retrospect, he knows were not in his trading plan for the day. He also
revenge trades and will not let go of a position that has gone against him and simply will not
give up, fighting to the last ounce of his strength. He’s perplexed. He knows better than this,
but he cannot stop himself.
Just getting enough to eat at times was a life or death situation for him and his family. And
they were depending on him to be able to beg, borrow, or steal enough food to survive. He had
to succeed or his family would suffer. He literally faced life and death situations with only his
wits to help him. He had to win the day – everybody was depending on him. These were the
environmental circumstances that his limbic brain had mandated in order for him to survive.
Consider what his brain learned about survival – “you must win, everybody is depending on you
in the darkest hours”. This adaptive learning was key to him and his family in order to survive
against incredible odds. And it was hardwired into him as a successful survival strategy at the
level of the limbic brain – and before thinking.
Limbic (Emotional) Learning Migrates from the Past to the Present Moment
Now fast forward several decades. He is an adult now whose drive has produced success on a
large scale. He owns a conglomerate company that has hundreds of employees. This fierce
need to succeed (or else) drove him to financial success that few achieve. Then he began
trading. That’s where the trouble began. He had been hardwired to not take a loss (it’s lethal,
remember) and he had to succeed because many were depending on him. The brain is
evaluating risk and safety for its short term survival mandate. In trading, where the brain is
supposed to evaluate risk and safety in the context of long term probability potential,
unconscious (implicit) adaptive responses the emotional brain made in another time and place
are triggered in the face of the uncertainty of risk and safety by the short term survival instincts
experienced long ago. Limbic learning swamps the rational trading plan.
In that moment the thinking brain simply is not accessible. The automatic response to the
threat of uncertainty and risk is: He MUST succeed because everyone is depending on him.
When he experiences a trade going against him, the mental model is exactly the emotive
response of his limbic brain to the situation. Thinking is pushed aside until it is safe. Remember
in his adaptive response to challenges of uncertainty and risk is a mandate to succeed at all
costs. In the new environment of trading, the response to perceived threat is disastrous.
This is how the limbic brain learns how to interact with the environment of potential risk and
threat. Look at your own trading to see what limbic learning is managing your encounters with
uncertainty and risk. It does not have to be as dramatic as the real life example above.
Scarcity thinking is adaptive and is rampant in the families of the world. The point is that the
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM May/June/July 2019 160
survival instincts of your limbic brain will adapt to solutions to uncertainty, threat, opportunity,
and risk. Once it finds a solution that works for the short term survival of the organism
(trader), it will lock the answer into a permanent response pattern to perceived threats or
opportunities. And until you learn how to unlock these unconscious (implicit) remedies, you are
stuck with them. That’s the rub.
Up until this moment psychology is not the driver of the reactivity to uncertainty and risk. This
is the way a mammalian brain evolved to deal with the challenges of living and stress. Now
let’s take these limbic learnings (that are happening below conscious threshold) as they work
with the thinking brain. Those limbic solutions to managing uncertainty take on the power of
beliefs. At first it is all about survival in the moment. As psychology awakens, beliefs about
your capacity to deal with uncertainty begin consolidating from these limbic learnings. Now
instead of just a survival adaptation working with conditions in the environment, the organism
(the trader) encodes beliefs that are at the root of the limbic solution.
As psychology arises from its biological ground, the trader comes to believe certain things about
him or herself. That they are inadequate (not smart enough), have to win to matter, don’t
deserve success, or are powerless to influence their destiny. These beliefs, once formed and
encoded into psychology, are projected onto the markets. This is where you figure out that you
are trading your beliefs about your capacity to manage the challenges of life. And then a story
(called a narrative) is created in the emerging mind that explains what the limbic or emotional
brain has already decided. Now you have psychology interfacing with biology.
Traders tell stories about their beliefs of winning and losing. About making things happen and
being in control. The alpha wants to win to prove himself, while the perfectionist wants to do
everything right so he will not lose. It is these stories that constitute your psychology of
winning, off being right, or of never measuring up. And as you tell these stories to yourself and
act on these stories, you find out if they are effective at extracting capital from the
markets. The story and the beliefs that drive your narrative are revealed in the health of your
trading account. At the core are the beliefs that arose from the limbic response to the
challenges of uncertainty and risk. The thinking brain simply created a story to justify what the
limbic or emotional brain decided. That is where traders arrive in their trading, get stuck, and
stay stuck – until they come to understand that beliefs, like limbic learnings, are fluid and
adaptable.
This is the link between your emotional brain adapting you to survive in an environment
(remember our friend who survived the death squads) and the psychological beliefs that arise
from those learnings. Every time you experience fear in some aspect of trading, you are
experiencing the adaptive limbic learning that has given rise to your beliefs about your capacity
to manage uncertainty. Your trading account reveals whether or not those beliefs, rooted in the
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The first couple million I made as a trader used a trading system that was only a couple lines of
code. That was over 20 years ago. Now that I have had over 2 decades to refine that knowledge
from that original signal, I will now share with you these concepts and how I have refined them
to make the super trading systems that we use today to trade for high win percentages.
This concept is based on what I call the “Push-Pull.” One thing is working in one way or direction
and the other is pitted against it such that the market gets “stretched.” The component that is
not stretched out is the predictive one. The other component is statistically unlikely and poised
to revert back to normal. When these two such things are in opposition, you are often ripe for
movement in the opposing direction to the stretch. How did the system work? Back in those
days, we traded on day charts. These days with volatility being what it is, we take advantage
of these moves intraday mostly where we can trade multiple times daily and for high win rates
historically. The concepts remain the same. Some of my students are trading this way 20-40
times per day. One of them told me the other day he is winning 92/93 trades in a week. This
takes some refinement, of course, but the concepts stand the test of time. I’ll give you some
resources for just this kind of refinement at the end of this article.
The original system looked at the monthly mid point; dividing the interval of the month in half.
An 11 period moving average could split the market like this for practical purposes, since that
interval is half the month. If the market is below that, then it may be poised to go up. If below
it, then it is more likely poised to go down, given certain other conditions are met that we are
calling the “squeeze” or the “Stretch.” This leads me to a couple rules we know to be generally
true:
Market Tenet #3: Markets tend to trade to certain amounts of range expansion in a given
interval (we call this “Probability to Extend”). You could also call this targeting. The difference
being that Probability to Extend is constantly retargeting during the day “as you go.”
These three principles are just a few of many, but these main ones are at the core of most great
trading systems.
The second component of the original system was to look at market breadth as a leader of price
action. Breadth is a form of order flow that is directional. So simply (and the system really
was just these two lines of code), If you were below the midpoint and the breadth / order flow
was rising, then buy. If it was above and order flow was declining, then sell. Then a couple lines
of code for stop loss orders and that was it. So simple, yet so good as it allowed me to be and
launched me into living life as a trader ever since.
In all my 20+ years of system development, I have never seen a complicated system or rule set
work over time. The best trading systems tend always to be simple like this; often just a couple
few lines of code. You can however take this idea further to make super systems by combining
several (or more) uncorrelated systems each with its own probabilities. This opens the door
for what I call probability stacking and this is exactly how you can get high win percentages
as mentioned in the title of this article. A system designed this way will have an extremely
low probability for failure because each component stands on its own resulting in a Super
System. These are the methods we use these days and I am going to show you how to do this
now. So, let’s now take a look at the 3 methods/principles mentioned above, each of which is
independent and opens the door for probability stacking to make a “Super System.”
In the chart below you will see two indicators. The top one, or the one in the second panel of
the chart is called the Trapped Trader Oscillator. This tool takes a number of different metrics of
order flow and combines them into a simple graphic that is easy to see and interpret with some
simple patterns. The second tool we’ll combine with this, is the background colors on the chart.
So, we will simply look for the color to be green for buys and red to sell. So, you will see a red
bar on red to sell and a green on green bar to buy. These background colors are about 75% to
continue for at least a bar and, the pattern I am about to show you called the “3 Dot Pattern”
is also about the same 75%. Statistically when these are combined, you get 90% to continue;
called “Probability Stacking.” I have marked the 3 dot pattern out for you on the chart (labeled
“3D”); simply look for 3 lower or higher dots and then for price to go with that following. Note
also the background colors as described.
If a market is moving sideways we often call it choppy. This is another way of saying the cycle is
small. Markets with small cycling widths are choppy, but what is little known is the fact that as
the cycle gets wider, it squeezes the market into expansion in range (which is ultimately what we
trade for). Nobody wants to be trapped in a choppy market so this method has multiple benefits
as it can help to keep you out of that chop. Based on our research, an expanding cycle predicts
range expansion at about the 80% probability level without regard to anything else. If you add
the Trapped Trader Oscillator that we discussed above, it goes generically to about 84%. If you
combine other factors, then even higher. On the chart below I have pointed out the pattern
that we call the “T2” pattern. It happens when the Smart Momentum (in the 3rd panel) is going
down while price is going up. See the chart below for this pattern:
Probability to Extend
The probability to extend tells us that the market will extend its range during some parts of
the day over others. Range expansion commences from the open of each day and then as it
goes, the probability it will go further reduces. Also, if the market gets too far ahead of itself,
it will often consolidate or reverse. This can often happen at key levels. For example, in the
chart above you can see the market had moved 98 ticks into the period marked D. We know
historically if this market goes 98 ticks on this chart, it is almost double normal, so a reversal or
consolidation is likely.
The table below is for the Probability to Extend. We know for example that at the end of
B period labeled on the table as AB, the market is 98% to expand by 157% of the already
Combining all these factors together, you are getting a generic stacked theoretical and historical
probability to over 95%; thus a “Super System”. You might have noticed this article focused
on win percentage as a key issue. My experience trading over the years has taught me that the
single most important factor in trading is win percentage and those who focus on it and refine
on that metric achieve the best results. This article has been about doing just that. If your win
percentage as a trader is not where you would like it, and you are interested in learning more
about the kinds of concepts in this article and many more, I encourage you to join us in the
OilTradingRoom.com. You can also learn more about the tools and systems behind the concepts
in this article through IndicatorSmart.com.
Rob is President of Axiom Research & Trading Inc. and the mother company to the
OilTradingRoom.com, IndicatorSmart.com and ManifestingYourFuture.guru. Rob has been the
largest Emini S&P trader in the world at various times and has won the prestigious Robbins
World Cup Emini Trading Championship. He has been a trading system developer for nearly
three decades. He is a proven researcher, trading educator, presenter, and mentor helping
others to achieve their dreams as traders.
What sets these traders apart from other traders? Many think that beating the markets has
something to do with discovering and using some secret formula. The traders in this book
have the right attitude and many employ a combination of fundamental analysis, technical
analysis principles and formulas in their best trading strategies.
Trading is one of the best ways to make a lot of money in the world if one does it right. One
needs to find successful trading strategies and implement them in their own trading method.
The purpose of this book is to present to you the best trading strategies of these traders so
that you might be able to select those that fit you best and then implement them into your
own trading.
I wish to express my appreciation to all the writers in this book who made the book possible.
They have spent many hours of their time and hard work in writing their section of the book
and the putting together their video presentation for the online expo.
Finding out your trading method is extremely important to produce a profitable benchmark
that can be replicated in your live account. Perhaps the best way to find a successful
trading method is to listen to many expert traders to understand what they have done
to be successful. The best way to do that is to listen to the Traders World Online Expos
presentations. This book duplicates what these experts have said in their presentations,
WWW.TRADERSWORLD.COM May/June/July 2019 169
which explains what they have done to find their own trading method.
If you have a trading method that gives you a predictable profit, then that type of objectivity
contributes to your trading edge. The problem with most traders is that being inconsistent
will never allow them to have an edge. After you find your trading method that you feel
comfortable with, you must have the following:
By reviewing all the methods given in this book by the expert traders, it will give, you the
preliminary steps that you need to find your footing in finding your own trading method.
Reading this book and by seeing the actual recorded presentations on the Traders World
Online Expo site can act as a reference tool for selecting your method of trading, investment
strategies and tactics.
It took many of these expert traders in this book 15 – 30 years to finally come up and find
the answers to find their trading method to make consistent profit. Finding your trading
method could be then much easier when you read this book and incorporate the techniques
that best fit your personality and style from these traders. This book will enable you to that
fastest way to do that.
So if you want help to find your own trading method to be successful in the markets then
buy and read this book.
The book was written by a large group of 35 expert traders, with high qualifications, most
of who trade professionally and/or offer trading services and expensive courses to their
clients. Some of them charge thousands of dollars per day for personal trading! These
expert traders give generally 45-minute presentations covering the same topics given in
this book at the Traders World Online Expo #12. By combining their talents in this book,
they introduce a new dimension to finding a profitable trading edge in the market. You can
use ideas and techniques of this group of experts to leverage your ability to find an edge to
successfully trade. Using a group of experts in this manner to insure your trading success is
unprecedented.
You’ll never find a book like this anywhere! This unique trading book will help you uncover
the underlying reasons for your lack of consistency in trading and will help you overcome
poor habits that cost you money in trading. It will help you to expose the myths of the
market one by one teaching you the right way to trade and to understand the realities of
risk and to be comfortable with trading with market. The book is priceless!
Parallels to the Traders World Online Expo 12
It was written by over 30 expert traders. The book was designed to help you
develop your own trading edge in the markets to put you above others who
don’t have an edge and just trade by the seat of their pants. 90% of traders
actually lose in the markets and the main reason is simply that they don’t have an edge.
All of the writers in this book are very experienced and knowledgeable of different ways. Each
of them has their own expertise in trading the markets. What sets these traders apart from
other traders? Many think that beating the markets has something to do with discovering and
using some secret formula.
The traders in this book have the right attitude and many employ a combination of fundamental
analysis, technical analysis principles and formulas in their best trading strategies. This gives
The purpose of this book is to present to you the best trading strategies of these traders so
that you might be able to select those that fit you best and then implement them into your
own trading style. I wish to express my appreciation to all the writers in this book who made
the book possible. They have spent many hours of their time and hard work in writing their
section of the book and the putting together their video presentation for the online expo.
This is one of the finest trading books you’ll ever see about trading. The
reason is that it comes from a group of expert pro traders with multiple
years of experience.
The traders in this book have through experience the right attitude and employ a combination
of technical analysis principles and strategies to be successful. You can develop these also.
Trading is one of the best ways to make money. Apply the trading methods in this book and
treat it as a business. The purpose of this book is to help you be successful in trading.
From this book you will get all the strategies, Indicators and trading methods that you need
to make big profits in the markets.
• Seasonality
• MACD
• Stochastics
• Moving Averages
• Trailing Stops
• Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions
All of the charts in this book are produced using my favorite charting software Market-Analyst®.
I have also arranged for you to get a FREE trial so that you might have the chance to actually
work with these indicators with a real charting platform.
You will also be able to view the video presentations that I personally created so you can
see how these indicators can be setup and followed with clear and concise step-by-step
instructions. After you understand how these indicators work, I would then recommend that
you go to WorldCupAdvisor.com and consider following Craig Haugaard’s real-time trades.
This one-of-a-kind book teaches you how to identify the direction of the markets and trade
the markets by using popular trading indicators. This is done by concise instructions backed
by learning videos, hands on practice with real trading software and by following real-time
trades of a master trader.
This book is an enhanced Edition which means that the articles are backed with audio visual
presentation links. Most of the presentations are in HD quality and are put together by the
writers of the articles in the book and really help the learning process.
Successful trading is based on knowledge and having the right psychology to trade the markets.
This book will lift your trading to a much higher level and will save you an enormous amount
to time.
Rob Mitchell is the president of Axiom Research & Trading, Inc. and has
been a trading system developer for over 20 years and has developed a
number of commercially successful trading systems. He has at various
times been the largest eMini S&P trader in the world. Rob has also acted
as a Commodity Trading Adviser, has traded for hedge funds and has won
the Robbins World Cup eMini trading championship in the past. Rob is
a trading teacher and mentor and is the founder and head trader of Oil
Trading Room which is devoted to providing advanced educational resources to traders at all
levels.
In the rest of the book I will explain to you some of the trading ideas of Rob that he uses in
both his Oil Trading Room and in his World Cup Advisor Account. You can then actually see and
understand how some of his ideas work.
I am not going to tell you exactly how Rob used the ideas to make his return of 57% on a
$10,000 investment. That information is not public and belongs only to Rob.
I will tell you some of the trading ideas he uses and help you understand how these ideas work.
I would then recommend that you go to World Cup Advisor and consider following Rob’s trades.
You will be able to automatically mirror Rob’s trades in your own brokerage account with World
Cup Leader-Follower AutoTrade™ service. You will also be able to see what his trades look like
on your own charts and better understand why he made the trades.
In the rest of the book I will explain to you some of the trading ideas Takumaru said he used
I am not going to tell you exactly how Takumaru used the ideas to make his return of 122.6%
on a $10,000 investment. That information is not public and belongs only to Takumaru.
I will tell you which indicators he used and help you understand how these indicators work.
Michael Trading: Learn about some of the trading tools he used $4.99
Michael Cook, was the first-place finisher in the 2014 WORLD CUP
Championship of Futures Trading® with a 366% net profit. In this
book there is a detailed interview with Michael with questions and
answers of exactly what he used to win the championship. In this
book I will explain to you the indicators that he said he used in the
interview. You can then actually see and understand how they work.
Here are some the indicators and methods that he said he used: 1)
Moving Averages 2) Seasonality 3) Cycles 4) Seasonality 5) Price
Patterns 6) William’s %R 7) Long with Stops 8) Commitment of
Traders Report You will also be able to download a video presentation
that I personally created so you can see how these indicators can be
setup and followed in a step-by-step manner. After you understand
how these indicators work, I would then recommend that you go to WorldCupAdvisor.com and
consider following Michael Cook’s trades.