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25 September 2018
Current % %
Indices Value 1D YTD India Monsoon Rainfall 9% below Normal as of Sept. 24
Sensex 36305 (1.46) 6.60
Nifty 10967 (1.58) 4.15 Asian markets are trading mixed tracking cues from Wall
BSE – Mid Cap 15221 (2.40) (14.60)
Street overnight. Nikkei is trading higher by 0.17%
BSE – Sml Cap 15334 (2.72) (20.26)
SGX Nifty Fut 11046 0.17 - Shanghai is trading lower by 0.42% while Hang Seng is shut
Sectors –Performance (BSE)
for trading due to holiday. Indian indices are expected to
IT 15788 2.06 39.99
Teck 7829 1.37 22.17 open marginally higher. Sgx Nifty is trading higher by
Oil & Gas 14903 (0.96) (8.48)
0.20%
Realty 1841 (5.10) (29.41)
Auto 22403 (3.75) (16.26)
The U S markets ended mixed amid concerns over of more political turmoil
Telecom 1082 (3.30) (35.42)
in the US after reports said Deputy Attorney General was resigning from
Index FY18E FY19E FY20E
his post. The Dow Jones lost 181 points or 0.68% to close at 26,562 and the
SensexEPS 1,436 1,806 2,276
P/E 25 20 16 NASDAQ gained6 points or 0.08% to close at 7,993.
NiftyEPS 458 559 696
What to watch
P/E 24 20 16
India Monsoon Rainfall 9% Below Normal as of Sept. 24
FII Trading activities in Cash
Date Net MTD CYTD Government plans to raise $2.8 bn by merging Power Firms
FII 21/09 825 (3107) (8399)
DII 24/09 1528 5595 75033
Corporate
Figs. in Rs Cr., Source: Bloomberg.
Infosys has been awarded contract worth CAD $80.3 mn by Public
Current % %
Global Indices Services and Procurement Canada (PSPC) to modernize and automate
Value 1D YTD
Dow 30 26562 (0.68) 7.46
Nasdaq 7993 0.08 15.79 their procurement processes.
DAX 12351 (0.64) (4.39)
Nikkei 225 23916 0.10 5.06
Dilip Buildcon announced that it has been selected as lowest bidder
FTSE 100 7458 (0.42) (2.98)
for new EPC project worth Rs 601 cr in Rajasthan.
Hang Seng 27499 (1.62) (8.09)
Shanghai 2783 (0.53) (15.86)
Kajaria Ceramics board has approved buying 3m shares in unit
Bovespa 77984 (1.84) 2.07
STI Index 3231 0.36 (5.06)
Kajaria Floera; To invest up to $1m for incorporation U.S. unit.
Source: Bloomberg; As on 8.30 am IST
La Opala RG 72 52 58 225
25 September 2018 2
Investment Picks
Target % Target %
Company CMP Company CMP
Price Upside Price Upside
25 September 2018 3
Technical View (Equity)
Daily call
Index CMP % up/dn S2 S1 P R1 R2
Nifty 10,974.90 -1.51% 10805 10890 11030 11115 11255
Sensex 36305.02 -1.46% 35760 36035 36490 36760 37220
Comments:
Nifty opened on a flat note but selling led the index downwards to end near the low of the day. Nifty closed at
10975 with a loss of 168 points.
On the daily chart the index has formed a long bearish candle and remained restricted within previous session’s
High-Low range indicating indecisiveness at current levels. The index is moving in a Lower Top and Lower
Bottom formation on the daily chart indicating negative bias. The chart pattern suggests that if Nifty breaks and
sustains below 10940 level it would witness selling which would lead the index towards 10900-10860 levels.
However if index crosses above 11020 level it would witness pullback rally which would take the index towards
11100-11150. Nifty is trading below 20 ,50 and 100 day SMA's which are important short term moving averages,
indicating negative bias in the short to medium term. Nifty continues to remain in a downtrend in the short term,
so exit on small pullback rallies to be our preferred strategy.
The daily strength indicator RSI is moving downwards and is quoting below its reference line indicating negative
bias. However momentum oscillator Stochastic has turned positive from the oversold zone indicating a possible
consolidation or an up-move in the near term.
The trend deciding level for the day is 11030. If NIFTY trades above this level then we may witness a further rally
up to 11115-11255-11340 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below 11030 levels then we may see some profit
booking initiating in the market, which may correct up to 10890-10805-10660 levels
Stocks to focus for intraday Long Igl, Infy, Kansainer, Reliance, LTI, Lalpathlab, TCS
Stocks to focus for intraday Short Adanipower, Bank of India, BEML, Bhartiairtel, CCL,
Dmart,Tatasponge, VRLLOG, Jswsteel
25 September 2018 4
Technical View (Currency)
Daily call
Index CMP % up/dn S2 S1 P R1 R2
USD/INR
72.65 0.67% 72.14 72.40 72.58 72.84 73.02
(Future)
Comments:
USDINR opened with a upward gap and remained in positive terrain throughout the day. USDINR
closed at 72.65 with a gain of 0.67 %.
On the daily chart USDINR has formed a small bullish candle forming higher High-Low formation
compare to previous session indicating positive bias. Since past couple of weeks USDINR continue to
consolidate within 73-71.60 levels indicating short term sideways trend and hence any either side
breakout will indicating further direction. USDINR is sustaining above its 20 and 50 day SMA which
signals bullish sentiments in near term.
The chart pattern suggests that if USDINR crosses and sustains above 72.70 level it would witness
buying which would lead USDINR towards 72.85-73 levels. However if USDINR breaks below 72.50
level it would witness selling which would take USDINR towards 72.30-72.20 levels.
The daily strength indicator RSI and the momentum oscillator Stochastic both are in negative territory
which supports bearish bias ahead.
25 September 2018 5
Daily Support/ Resistance of Nifty Companies
25 September 2018 6
EPS changes during the week
25 September 2018 7
DAILY DERIVATIVES 25 September 2018
FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 522 crores and were
Buyers in Index Options to the tune of 212 crores, Stock Futures
were Sellers to the tune of 1310 crores. FII's were Net Sellers in
derivative segment to the tune of 577 crores.
Sym bol Fut Price % Chg Open Interes t % Chg Sym bol Fut Price % Chg Open Interes t % Chg
CUMMINSIND 694.15 0.01 1060500.00 0.17 PIDILITIND 1095.20 -0.03 3913000.00 0.19
TCS 2206.00 0.05 9381000.00 0.11 MUTHOOTFIN 433.00 -0.05 3829500.00 0.18
OIL 218.50 0.00 4428897.00 0.08 RBLBANK 530.15 -0.06 5916000.00 0.13
HCLTECH 1100.55 0.01 9560600.00 0.05 PVR 1284.55 -0.04 1088800.00 0.11
NIFTY HIGHLIGHTS
Ÿ The Nifty September rollover stands at 17.98% on Monday compared to 23.02% on same day of previous expiry. The
Market wide September rollover stands at 28.59% on Monday as compared to 32.2% on same day of previous expiry.
Ÿ The rollover cost in the September series stands at 0.4 on Monday compared to 0.31 on same day of previous expiry.
Ÿ The Nifty September rollover is lower than its Three months average of 20.78% and lower than its six months average of
18.8% as on today. The market wide rollover is lower than its three months average of 30.8% and lower than its six months
average of 27.93%.months average of 59.96%.
SECTOR HIGHLIGHTS
COMPREHENSIVE ROLLOVERS
% Rollover Roll Cost % Rollover Roll Cost % Rollover on Same day of previous expiries L6 Months % Rise /
NSE Symbol
Today Last Expiry Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Avg Fall
NIFTY 17.98 0.40 23.02 0.31 21.35 15.18 17.35 17.94 40.59 22.57 -20.34
BANKNIFTY 15.57 0.45 18.61 0.32 14.19 12.02 17.19 13.54 24.23 16.63 -6.37
CNXIT
ACC 8.16 0.54 14.75 0.44 18.13 19.53 24.87 26.14 30.59 22.34 -63.47
ADANIENT 69.22 0.48 47.20 0.35 41.13 13.98 14.27 19.69 37.23 28.92 139.38
ADANIPORTS 19.46 0.43 20.24 0.49 26.64 6.39 16.69 8.92 30.48 18.23 6.77
ADANIPOWER 58.15 1.01 62.80 0.74 67.41 27.45 38.14 31.05 48.92 45.96 26.52
AJANTPHARM 30.10 0.49 34.80 0.54 53.75 15.36 15.10 19.07 38.15 29.37 2.48
ALBK 40.18 -0.41 38.21 0.86 44.11 30.25 25.85 26.33 37.29 33.67 19.32
AMARAJABAT 20.90 -0.22 14.53 0.42 22.87 24.10 17.34 10.07 25.28 19.03 9.82
AMBUJACEM 10.98 0.59 12.42 0.45 13.09 13.09 14.12 9.12 33.50 15.89 -30.90
ANDHRABANK 41.24 0.76 39.51 31.78 24.08 24.93 41.57 33.85 -100.00
APOLLOHOSP 18.51 0.49 18.76 0.13 30.32 22.06 30.53 20.06 33.57 25.88 -28.49
APOLLOTYRE 15.36 0.42 14.81 0.45 18.32 20.04 17.35 15.90 21.11 17.92 -14.29
ARVIND 19.49 0.57 30.10 0.50 20.44 17.22 23.30 25.89 41.32 26.38 -26.11
ASHOKLEY 17.49 0.62 25.23 0.49 23.33 25.85 24.13 15.42 32.56 24.42 -28.38
ASIANPAINT 22.96 0.47 14.35 0.46 28.93 16.23 17.57 13.45 34.84 20.90 9.88
AUROPHARMA 34.85 0.52 47.56 0.50 28.48 44.82 26.21 26.87 40.65 35.77 -2.56
AXISBANK 26.51 0.48 32.81 0.53 36.34 19.25 38.27 18.94 42.86 31.41 -15.60
BAJAJ-AUTO 14.09 0.45 23.00 0.50 28.69 27.35 19.02 10.37 39.38 24.64 -42.80
BAJAJFINSV 14.26 0.49 20.66 0.46 21.32 24.08 24.97 10.47 18.90 20.07 -28.94
BAJFINANCE 39.15 0.51 24.88 0.51 25.42 20.21 27.94 15.88 27.40 23.62 65.74
BALKRISIND 19.17 0.46 15.51 0.56 18.99 26.22 33.60 17.17 36.61 24.68 -22.34
BALRAMCHIN 39.25 0.61 37.38 22.16 25.95 17.38 33.47 29.27 -100.00
BANKBARODA 34.23 0.46 29.40 0.50 23.59 26.19 23.51 21.41 36.83 26.82 27.62
BANKINDIA 31.92 0.54 32.65 0.53 26.50 25.28 28.63 25.55 42.47 30.18 5.77
BATAINDIA 15.55 0.57 28.04 0.08 24.48 17.42 14.20 17.06 29.01 21.70 -28.35
BEL 23.88 0.51 25.04 0.51 29.02 26.92 17.93 22.91 35.02 26.14 -8.65
NOTE : Blank fields represents stocks not in F&O list in respective expiries.
NOTE : Blank fields represents stocks not in F&O list in respective expiries.
NOTE : Blank fields represents stocks not in F&O list in respective expiries.
NOTE : Blank fields represents stocks not in F&O list in respective expiries.
Disclosures:
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Research Team
Sr. No Name Designation E-mail
1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & Derivative Analyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in
2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in
3 Miraj Vora Derivative Analyst miraj.vora@axissecurities.in
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5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in
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25 September 2018 8
Disclosures
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5
Market Indsite:
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solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Nothing in this report constitutes
investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your
specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who
must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific
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securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors
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investors. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options another derivatives as well as non-investment grade
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