Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
of Research & Development, Kunwon Engineering Co. Ltd., regarding whether to keep one (1) or no (0) unit in stock based
Seoul, Korea on two suppositions: adherence of demand to Poisson
The conceptual phase of capital projects is of strategic distribution and the possibility of placing an emergency order
importance - an economic at this early stage is critical to the with a lower than usual lead time, whenever a shortage
owners’ decision-making with limited information. The occurs.
current study developed a comprehensive but practical B. Low Consumption
system that can be used in such an early phase for economic
The items which consume an average of 300-500 units is
evaluation of capital building construction projects. The
termed as low cost items which results to be one was
system integrates four analytical steps: project planning,
suggested by Wanke (2005). According to Tyworth (1992),
construction costs estimation, projection of incomes and
theNormal distributionconstitutes a reasonable
expenditures, and economic evaluation. Due to the
approximation for high consumption items, but not for low
integration, the system effectively manages the information
consumption ones. In the case of the later items, distribution
flow from the planning to the evaluation, in which any
is typically asymmetric and possesses a high probability of
changes from the initial plan are fully accounted for multiple
demand equal to zero. For examples on the practically of the
alternates.
implementation of these distributions in Excel, readers should
In the system, users predict construction cost using
refer, for instance, to Hopp and Spearman (2008) and Wanke
a combined estimating method with historical project data
(2011a) – for Poisson distribution – and Silver et al. (1998)
and assembly costs. The system performs the tabulation of all
and Tyworth and Ganeshan (2000) – for Gamma distribution.
incomes and expenditures based on the automated calculation
Besides, as detailed next, these distributions hold
as well as users’ inputs and then the economic evaluation
straightforward relations between their defining parameters
based on project cash flow, which is generated using an
and the mean and variance of the variable of interest.
automated scheduling method.
System performance has been tested in terms of its accuracy C. Mass Consumption
and efficiency through case study. According to Rosa et al. (2010), the classic lot size/reorder
G. A building cost estimation model based on functional point out among mass consumption item inventory
elements (Hakan YAMAN, Elçin TAŞ Istanbul Technical management models. According to this, whenever the stock
University, Faculty of Architecture, Istanbul Turkey) position reaches reorder point (OP) (Love 1979; Silver et al.
1998; Muckstadt2004; Sherbrooke 2004; Hopp and
The objectives of this paper is to introduce a generic
Spearman 2008). In practice, the size of lot Q is determined
computer aided building cost estimation model based on
by the traditional Order Quantity formula (Harris 1913) and
functional elements for Turkish construction sector projects
the reorder point is defned as to assure a service level measure
which will be used in feasibility and schematic design phases.
(Eppen and Martin 1988; Rego et al. 2011). It should be
The research design was based on the building functional
known that format of distributed lead-time demand
elements method and a building cost estimation model based
determines the safety stock embedded within the reorder
on functional elements works on a cost database was
point (Keaton 1995).Traditionally, lead-time demand is
suggested. Underlying principles and basic steps of cost
modeled using a Normal distribution (Silver and Peterson
estimation based on functional elements was explained by
1985). Due to the properties of this distribution. the safety
means of computer-based cost estimation process. In order to
factor K for a specifc service level is the same as of the
automate the manual building cost estimation process, the
standard normal distribution curve, Z, which can be found in
software based on functional elements was developed. The
several statistics and logistics textbooks such as, for example,
software is currently in the testing phase and is being used for
Levine et al. (2005) and Ballou (2006). Various studies,
educational purposes. Making use of both public sector and
however, criticize this approximation. According to Mentzer
current market prices in the cost estimation process,
and Krishnan (1988), this approximation is only valid if the
increasing number of projects stored in the database for more
Normal distribution is defned between the interval of -∞ and
accurate results, estimating costs of different types of projects
+∞.
and estimating the structural functional element percent more
precisely are suggested for future research.
As the number of the similar projects in database is IV. FACTORS AFFECTING:
increased, the accuracy of the cost estimation is also A. Volume and Mix:
increased. Estimators and graduate students can use the The change in volume is estimated by the volume of new and
software to estimate building cost of residential projects in used vehicle sales and leases, to the extent to which Cost
feasibility and schematic design phases. purchased. The installment sale and lease contracts, to which
Cost Credit provides wholesale financing, the sales price of
III. METHODOLOGY: the vehicle finance, the stages of dealer inventories, Cost-
A. Very low Consumption sponsored by self -financing programs exclusively through
Cost Credit, and the availability of cost- funding for purchase
There are cases were the consumption has been recorded an
of retail installment .
average of less than one unit per year. Accordingly these
Financing Margin: Financing margin variance is
authors, control the cost of items by prior checking with
defined as the periodical change in financing margin yield
experience and past year data records. Thus, a binary total
multiplied by the present period receivables at exchange
cost model was developed to support decision-making
rates. This calculation is performed at the product and country [4] Breugelmans, E., Campob, K., Gijsbrechts (2006),
level and then aggregated. Financing margin yield equals “Opportunities for active stock-out management inonline
revenue, which equals less interest expense and scheduled stores: The impact of the stock-out policy on online
depreciation for the time period, divided by average stock-out reactions 2006 NewYork University.
receivables for the period. Published by Elsevier Inc.
Credit Loss: Credit loss is the change in provision [5] Bucklin, L.P. (1965), "Postponement, speculation, and
for losses at prior period of exchange rates. For observatory the structure of distribution channels", Journalof
purpose, management splits the provision for credit losses Marketing Research, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 26-32 Byoungho,
primarily into net charge-offs and the change in the allowance J., (2004) “Achieving an Optimal Global Versus
for credit losses. Net charge-off changes are estimated by the Domestic Sourcing Balance under Demand
number of repossessions, severity per repossession, and Uncertainty”. International. Journal of Operations and
recoveries. Changes in the allowance for credit losses are Production Management.BradCost. Vol.24, Iss 11/12,
calculated by changes in historical trends in credit losses and p.1292
recoveries, changes in the composition and size of Cost [6] Chan, L.M.A., Muriel, A., Shen, Z-J.M., Simchi-Levi, D.
Credit’s present portfolio, changes in trends in historical used and Teo C-P.(2002) Effectivezeroinventory-ordering
vehicle values, and changes in economic conditions. policies for the single-warehouse multiretailer problem
with piecewise linear cost structures”.Management
B. Lease Residual:
Science. Linthicum: Vol.48.
Lease residual changes to residual performance at pre period [7] Kapuscinski, R., Zhang, R.Q., Carbonneau, P., Moore,
exchange rates. For observatory purposes, management splits R., and Reeves, B., (2004) “Inventory Decisions in Dell's
residual performance primarily into residual gains and losses, Supply Chain” Interfaces. Linthicum:Vol.34
and the change in supplemental depreciation. The estimated [8] Eisenhardt, Kathleen M. (1989), “Building Theories
amount of gain and loss changes are derived through the from Case Study Research,” Academy of Management
number of vehicles returned to Cost sold, and the difference Review. Vol. 14, No. 4, pp. 532-550.
between the auction value and the depreciated value of the [9] Ellram, Lisa M. (1996), “The Use of the Case Study
vehicles sold. Method in Logistics Research,” Journal of Business
C. Exchange: Logistics. Vol. 17, No. 2,pp. 93-139.
[10] Fleischmann, M., van Nunen, J.A.E.E., and Grave, B.,
Reflects the changes in pre-taxation results calculated from
(2003) “Integrating Closed-Loop Supply Chains and
the conversion of converting functional currency income to
Spare-PartsManagement at IBM” Interfaces. Linthicum:
U.S. dollars. Primarily includes operating expenses, other Vol.33, Iss. 6; pg. 44
revenue, and insurance expenses at pre period exchange rates. [11] Graman, G.A. and Magazine, M.J., (2006)
The Change in operating expenses are estimated by salaried
“Implementation issues influencing the decision to adopt
personnel costs, facilities costs, and costs associated with the
postponement” International Journal of Operations &
origination and servicing of customer contracts. In general,
Production Management;Volume: 26 Issue: 10; pg.
other revenue changes are primarily driven by changes in
[12] Handfield, R.B. (2002), "Reducing costs across the
earnings related to market valuation adjustments to supply chain", Optimize, Dec., pp. 54-60.
derivatives (primarily related to movements in interest rates), [13] Imai, M., “Will America's corporate theme song be "Just
and other miscellaneous items.
in Time"?” (1998). The Journal for Qualityand
Participation. Cincinnati: Vol.21, Iss. 2; pg. 26, 3 pgs
V. CONCLUSION
In this phase we have taken the various factors that would
create an impact in providing the exact analysis of estimated
amount for building contractors, customers and to the civil
engineers. Furtherly we are analyzing various cases were the
errors are recovered through various methodologies which
would save any people to construct a building based on their
own constructed budget.
REFERENCES
[1] Andel, Tom, and Daniel A. Kind. "Flow It, Don't Stow
It." Transportation and Distribution May 1996.
[2] Bergin, Sarah. "Make Your Warehouse Deliver: New
Developments in Warehouse Management Systems
Inspire New Productivity in Needy Operations."
Transportation and Distribution. February 1997.
[3] Billington, C., Callioni, G., Crane, B., Ruark, J.D. (2004)
“Accelerating the Profitability of Hewlett-Packard's
Supply Chains”. Interfaces. Linthicum: Jan/Feb 2004.