Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
On
Conducted a t
“INDIAN OIL CORPORATION LTD.”
Barauni Refinery
Submitted to
University of Allahabad
1
For the degree of
MBA- FIN
(Session 2011-13)
Submitted by:
Subhash Kumar
MBA 1st Year
INDEX
Chapter- I: INTRODUCTION
∙ Introduction
∙ Importance of investment decision
∙ Objective of the study
∙ Limitations
∙ Research Methodology
2
● Introduction
● Background
● Products
● Refineries
● IOCL Groups
● International Rankings
● Competitors
● Vision
● Mission
● Values
● Objectives
● Production performance
● Financial performance
● Board of Directors
● Pipelines Division
● SWOT Analysis
● Barauni Refinery
● Introduction
● Nature of investment decisions
● Purchase Process
● Process of Investment decisions
3
● Importance of Investment decisions
● Types of Investment decisions
● Investment Evaluation criteria
● Cost effective Analysis
● Project planning
∙ Sources of finance
∙ Payback period
∙ Average rate of return
∙ Net present value
∙ Internal rate of return
∙ Profitability index method
∙ Findings
∙ Suggestions
4
CHAPTER – I
Introduction
5
Introduction:-
To take up new project involves a capital investment decision and it is the top
management’s duty to make a Situation and feasibility analysis of that particular project
and means of financing and implementing it financing is a rapidly expanding field
which focuses not on the credit status of a Company, but on cash flows that will be
generated by a specific Project.
Capital budgeting has its origins in the natural resource and infrastructure sectors. The
current demand for Infrastructure and capital investments is being fueled by
6
Deregulation in the power, telecommunications, and transportation sectors, by the
globalization of product markets and the need for manufacturing scale, and by the
privatization of government-owned entities in developed and developing countries.
The capital budgeting decision procedure basically involves the evaluation of the
desirability of an investment proposal. It is obvious that the firm most have a
systematic procedure for making capital budgeting decisions. The procedure must be
consistent with the objective of wealth maximization. In view of the significance of
capital budgeting decisions, the procedure must consist of step by step analysis.
2. They affect the risk of the firm; it is difficult to reverse capital investment decisions
because the market for used capital investments is ill organized and /or most of the
capital equipments bought by a firm to meet its specific requirements.
Limitations:
a) Since the procedure and polices of the company will not allow to disclose
confidential financial information, the project has to be completed with the available
7
data given to us.
b) The period of study that is 4 weeks is not enough to conduct detailed study of the
project.
c) The study is carried basing on the information and documents provided by the
organization and based on the interaction with the various employees of the respective
departments.
d) Time limitation. The duration of the project is short to collect the required
information accurately.
e) The study is confined to IOCL, Barauni.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Intensive research has been done during this project to find out the necessary
information regarding both financing and evaluation activities carried out in Barauni
Refinery and the various projects that are being implemented to optimize profit and
product yield. While working in the organization, I got much of the information during
the practical work. The methodology applied to gather the necessary information is
discussed as follows.
I collected information dealing with projects from finance department. These data
and information were studied and analysed properly to present the report in this form.
During the internship period, I went through Material Management Manual, Oil
Management Manual, Brochures, Financial Appraisal and Annual Operation Report
provided by IOCL, Barauni. Documents, books and last but not the least websites were
also referred to get enough information for the completion of the project.
The information for the study is obtained from two sources namely.
1. Primary Sources
2. Secondary Sources
Primary Sources:
8
interactions with concerned officers & staff, either individually or collectively; some of
the information has been verified or supplemented with personal observation. These
sources include.
1. Thorough interactions with the various department Managers of Barauni Refinery.
2. Guidelines given by the Project Guide.
Secondary Sources:
This data is from the number of books and records of the company, the annual reports
published by the company and other magazines. The secondary data is obtained from
the following.
a) Collection of required data from annual records, monthly records, internal Published
book or profile of IOCL.
b) Other books and Journals and magazines
c) Annual Reports of the company
9
CHAPTER-II COMPANY
PROFILE
10
INTRODUCTION
Indian Oil Corporation Limited, or Indian Oil, (BSE: 530965, NSE: IOC) is an Indian
state-owned oil and gas corporation with its headquarters in New Delhi, India. The
company is the world's 98th largest public corporation, according to the Fortune Global
500 list, and the largest public corporation in India when ranked by revenue. Indian Oil
and its subsidiaries account for a 47% share in the petroleum products market, 34%
share in refining capacity and 67% downstream sector pipelines capacity in India. The
Indian Oil Group of Companies owns and operates 10 of India's 21 refineries with a
combined refining capacity of 65.7 million metric tons per year. The President of
India owns 78.92% (1.9162 billion shares) in the company. In FY 2011 IOCL sold 64.1
million tons of petroleum products and reported a PBT of 90.96 billion, and
the Government of India earned an excise duty of 257.899 billion and tax of 16,500
million. It is one of the five Maharatna status companies of India, apart from Coal India
Limited,NTPC Limited, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation and Steel Authority of India
Limited. Indian Oil operates the largest and the widest network of fuel stations in the
country, numbering about 19,463 (15,946 regular ROs & 3,517 Kissan Sewa Kendra).
It has also started Auto LPG Dispensing Stations (ALDS). It supplies Indane cooking
gas to over 62.4 million households through a network of 5,456 Indian distributors. The
company has also been adjudged No.1 in petroleum trading among the national oil
companies in the Asia-Pacific region.
BACKGROUND
Indian Oil began operation in 1959 as Indian Oil Company Ltd. The Indian Oil
Corporation was formed in 1964, with the merger of Indian Refineries Ltd. In 1965 the
Corporation entered the field of LPG for domestic cooking and distribution started
under the name `Indane' in selected cities of the Eastern region.
PRODUCTS
Indian Oil's product range covers petrol, diesel, LPG, auto LPG, aviation turbine fuel,
lubricants, naphtha, bitumen, paraffin, kerosene etc. Xtra Premium petrol, Xtra Mile
diesel, Servo lubricants, Indane LPG cooking gas, Autogas LPG, IndianOil Aviation
are some of its prominent brands.
Recently Indian Oil has also introduced a new business line of supplying LNG
(liquefied natural gas) by cryogenic transportation. This is called "LNG at Doorstep".
11
REFINERIES
In Assam
● Digboi Refinery, in Assam, is India's oldest refinery and was commissioned in
1901. Originally a part of Assam Oil Company, it became part of Indian Oil in
1981. Its original refining capacity had been 0.5 MMTPA since 1901.
Modernization project of this refinery was completed by 1996 and the refinery
now has an enhanced capacity of 0.65 MMTPA. UOP licensed the technology
for the Coking process in this refinery.
● Guwahati Refinery, the first public sector refinery of the country, was built with
Romanian collaboration and was inaugurated by Late Pt. Jawaharlal Nehru, the
first Prime Minister of India, on 1 January 1962. Its capacity is 1 MMTPA.
● Bongaigaon Refinery became the eighth refinery of Indian Oil after merger of
Bongaigaon Refinery & Petrochemicals Limited w.e.f. 25 March 2009. It is
located at Dhaligaon in Chirang district of Assam, 200 km west of Guwahati.
In Bihar
● Barauni Refinery, in Bihar, was built in collaboration with Russia and Romania.
It was commissioned in 1964 with a capacity of 1 MMTPA. Its capacity today
is 6 MMTPA.
In Gujarat
● Gujarat Refinery, at Koyali (near Vadodara) in Gujarat in Western India, is
Indian Oil’s second largest refinery. The refinery was commissioned in 1965. It
also houses the first hydro cracking unit of the country. Its present capacity is
13.70 MMTPA.
In West Bengal
● Haldia Refinery is the only coastal refinery of the Corporation, situated 136 km
downstream of Kolkata in the Purba Medinipur (East Midnapore) district. It was
commissioned in 1975 with a capacity of 2.5 MMTPA, which has since been
12
increased to 7.5 MMTPA
In Uttar Pradesh
● Mathura Refinery was commissioned in 1982 as the sixth refinery in the fold of
Indian Oil and with an original capacity of 6.0 MMTPA. Located strategically
between the historic cities of Delhi and Agra, the capacity of Mathura refinery
was increased to 8.8 MMTPA.
In Haryana
● Panipat Refinery is the seventh and largest refinery of Indian Oil. The original
refinery with 6 MMTPA capacity was built and commissioned in 1998. Panipat
Refinery has since expanded its refining capacity to 15 MMTPA.
● It is believed that the future IOCL refinery will be Paradeep Refinery. It is
expected to be handed over in 2012.
IOCL GROUP
IOCL Group consists of Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. and the following subsidiaries:
13
International rankings
Indian Oil is the highest ranked Indian company in the Fortune Global 500 listing, at
the 98th position in 2011. It is also the 18th largest petroleum company in the world
and the No. 1 petroleum trading company among the national oil companies in the
Asia-Pacific region. IOCL was featured on the 2011 Forbes Global 2000 at position
243. It is the fifth most valued brand in India according to an annual survey conducted
by Brand Finance and The Economic Times in 2010.
Competitors
VISION OF IOCL
A major diversified, transnational, integrated energy company, with national leadership
and a strong environment conscience, playing a national role in oil security & public
distribution.
MISSION OF IOCL
IOCL has the following mission:
VALUES OF IOCL
Values exist in all organizations and are an integral part of any it. Indian Oil nurtures a
set of core values:
● CARE
● INNOVATION
● PASSION
● TRUST
IOCL has defined its objectives for succeeding in its mission. These objectives are:
● To serve the national interests in oil and related sectors in accordance and
consistent with Government policies.
● To ensure maintenance of continuous and smooth supplies of petroleum
products by way of crude oil refining, transportation and marketing activities
and to provide appropriate assistance to consumers to conserve and use
petroleum products efficiently.
● To enhance the country's self-sufficiency in crude oil refining and build
expertise in laying of crude oil and petroleum product pipelines.
● To further enhance marketing infrastructure and reseller network for providing
assured service to customers throughout the country.
● To create a strong research & development base in refinery processes, product
formulations, pipeline transportation and alternative fuels with a view to
minimizing/eliminating imports and to have next generation products.
● To optimize utilization of refining capacity and maximize distillate yield and
gross refining margin.
● To maximize utilization of the existing facilities for improving efficiency and
increasing productivity.
● To minimize fuel consumption and hydrocarbon loss in refineries and stock loss
in marketing operations to effect energy conservation.
15
● To earn a reasonable rate of return on investment.
● To avail of all viable opportunities, both national and global, arising out of the
Government of India’s policy of liberalization and reforms.
● To achieve higher growth through mergers, acquisitions, integration and
diversification by harnessing new business opportunities in oil exploration &
production, petrochemicals, natural gas and downstream opportunities overseas.
● To inculcate strong ‘core values’ among the employees and continuously update
skill sets for full exploitation of the new business opportunities.
● To develop operational synergies with subsidiaries and joint ventures and
continuously engage across the hydrocarbon value chain for the benefit of
society at large.
Production Performance
Indian Oil refineries recorded the highest ever crude processing of 55.6 MMT during
the year 2011-12, recording an overall capacity utilization of 102.6%. Refineries have
achieved over 100% capacity utilization for the fifth year in a row despite planned M&I
shut downs.
a) Marketing -
b) Refineries -
c) Pipelines -
d) R&D -
e) Petrochemicals -
f) Gas -
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
17
QUARTER-WISE PROFIT & LOSS, Rs. crore
18
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
● Shri R. S. Butola
Chairman w.e.f. 28.02.2011
● Shri P. K. Goyal
Director (Finance)
w.e.f. 02.05.2011
● Shri Michael Bastian
Independent Director
● Shri G. C. Daga
Director (Marketing)
● Shri P. K. Sinha
Government Director
● Shri Nirmal Kumar Poddar
Independent Director
● Shri B. N. Bankapur
Director (Refineries)
● Shri Sudhir Bhargava
Government Director
● Dr. Sudhakar Rao
Independent Director
w.e.f. 30.05.11
● Shri K. K. Jha
Director (Pipelines)
● Prof. (Dr.) Indira J. Parikh
Independent Director
● Shri B. M. Bansal
Chairman & Director (P&BD)
upto 31.01.2011
● Dr. R. K. Malhotra
Director
(Research & Development)
w.e.f. 05.08.2010
● Shri Anees Noorani
Independent Director
19
PIPELINES DIVISION IN IOCL
Indian Oil, the pioneer in cross-country petroleum product pipeline in the Indian
subcontinent.
Constructed and commissioned its first petroleum product pipeline, Guwahati- Siliguri
Pipeline in the year 1964. Since then Indian Oil has mastered the art and technology of
pipeline engineering. Over the last four decades the pipeline network of
Indian Oil has grown to 9273 km with a capacity of about 62 million metric tonnes per
year. IOCL owns approximately 67% of India’s total throughput capacity. Pipelines
offer a cost effective, energy efficient, safe and environment friendly method to
transport petroleum products from refineries to demand areas and crude oil from import
terminals as well as domestic sources to the inland refineries. India being a vast
country, a wide network of pipelines is required for transporting petroleum products to
interiors from refineries and crude oil to the refineries.
Indian Oil’s sustained pursuit and implementation of proven safety and environmental
management systems have brought rich results. All operating pipeline units have been
accredited with ISO 9000 and ISO 14001 certificates.
● Effective cost.
● Efficient energy.
● Safe.
● Environment friendly method of transportation.
FUNCTIONING OF PIPELINE
SWOT ANALYSIS
21
STRENGTHS
As India's flagship national oil company, Indian Oil accounts for 56% petroleum
products market share, 42% national refining capacity and 67% downstream pipeline
throughput capacity
Indian Oil is one of the leaders in providing engineering, construction and consultancy
services to the pipeline industry. Highly qualified professionals with vast experience
execute pipeline projects from concept to commissioning and provide services for
construction supervision and project management.
Indian Oil is strengthening its existing overseas marketing ventures and simultaneously
scouting new opportunities for marketing and export of petroleum products in foreign
markets. Two wholly owned subsidiaries are already operational in Sri Lanka and
Mauritius, and regional offices at Dubai and Kuala Lumpur are coordinating expansion
of business activities in Middle East and South East Asia regions. The Corporation has
launched eleven joint ventures (listed separately) in partnership with some of the most
respected corporate from India and abroad.
WEAKNESSES
IOCL has managed to significantly cut its borrowing cost due to high share of foreign
exchange debt. Its share of foreign exchange borrowings is increasing with foreign
exchange loans crossing 50% of its total debt compared to 42% at the end of the last
financial year.
The decisions relating to administration are taken at the corporate level. Even minor
proposals are to be referred to the top management. This leads to a delay in
22
decision-making.
Among the public sector oil companies, Indian Oil Corporation is the only one to
follow a weak marketing strategy. It is only in the recent years that the company has
started to market its products. However, still the efforts seem to be weak when
compared with the competitors like BPCL and HPCL
PROMOTION POLICY
Most of the public sector companies seem to suffer from these lacunae. The employees
are promoted mainly on the basis of experience and not on the efforts and initiatives
displayed by the employee in his work. This results in de motivation and lack of
interest for their work on the part of the hardworking employees, who then tend to shift
jobs to satisfy their need for self-esteem.
TENDER PROCESS
The policy of selection of the lowest bidder tends to affect the quality of the
products/services on some occasions. A more simplistic procedure is also likely to
generate some savings for the company, since tendering process leads to expenses on
account of advertisement.
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS
23
Entry of Big Private players
The opening up of the oil sector for private players poses a threat even for this well
established company. With Indian players like Reliance and Essar and foreign player
like Shell planning their entry into the Indian scenario, the road seems to be tough for
Indian Oil.
IOCL, BARAUNI
The second public sector oil refinery was built in collaboration with Russia and
Romania. Situated 125 kilometres from Patna, it was built with an initial cost of Rs
49.40 crore. Barauni Refinery was commissioned in 1964 with a refining capacity of 1
Million Metric Tonnes per Annum (MMTPA) and it was dedicated to the Nation by the
then Union Minister for Petroleum, Prof. Humayun Kabir in January 1965. After
de-bottlenecking, revamping and expansion project, its capacity today is 6 MMTPA.
Matching secondary processing facilities such Resid Fluidised Catalytic Cracker
(RFCC), Diesel Hydrotreating (DHDT), Sulphur Recovery Unit (SRU) have been
added. Theses state of the art eco-friendly technologies have enabled the refinery to
produce environment- friendly green fuels complying with international standards.
Barauni Refinery was initially designed to process low sulphur crude oil (sweet crude)
of Assam. After establishment of other refineries in the Northeast, Assam crude is
unavailable for Barauni. Hence, sweet crude is being sourced from African, South East
Asian and Middle East countries like Nigeria, Iraq & Malaysia. The crude is brought up
to Haldia by Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) from where it is pumped through
pipeline to Barauni. With various revamps and expansion project at Barauni Refinery,
capability for processing high -sulphur crude has been added high-sulphur crude oil
(sour crude) is cheaper than low sulphur crudes thereby increasing not only the capacity
but also the profitability of the refinery.
The crude movement take place in very large crude carriers (VLCC) up to the Bay of
Bengal but due to the poor sea condition can’t reach Haldia port directly. This
necessitates transhipment of crude in high sea to smaller vessels which in turn bring the
crude up to the port where it is unloaded in custom bonded tanks before being pumped
through HBCPL. This particular movement of transhipment involves additional costs in
the nature of
2. Demurrage of VLCC
3. Additional wharfage
Major Achievements
1. Barauni Refinery bagged the prestigious Five Star Grading in Jan’02 after audit
conducted in Nov’01 under the new scoring system of British Safety Council. Barauni
refinery is the first in India to receive a five star grading under the new scoring system.
25
3. As on 1st April’ 02, Barauni Refinery established a new record of 1246 days
Fire-Free run (02.11.98 to 31.03.02) of the refinery.
4. As on 1st April’ 02, Barauni Refinery completed 416 accident free days thereby
surpassing 5 million accident free man hours.
5. Highest ever BS-III MS annual production of 770 TMT achieved surpassing the
previous best of 517 TMT in 2010-11.
6. Highest ever BS-III HSD annual production of 2740 TMT achieved surpassing the
previous best of 2568 TMT in 2010-11.
26
Functions of the Finance Department
● Establish and maintain a system of financial scrutiny and internal checks and
render advice on financial matter including examination of feasibility studies
and detailed projects reports.
● Maintain the financial accounts, cost accounts and other relevant books and
records in accordance with the various statutory and other requirements.
● Advise on corporate cash planning, credit policy and pricing policies of the
corporation.
● Ensuring that the corporation acts in all financial and accounting matters as per
approved policies of the corporation within the framework of government
policy for public enterprises.
27
● To provide high quality financial staff support for decision-making and control
to all levels of management – corporate, divisional, unit and location to enable
the achievement of overall corporate objectives and goals.
● To maintain, review and update all relevant accounting records, systems and
procedures for discharging the fiduciary responsibilities and enabling
compliance with statutory obligations.
28
● The endeavor to complete all plans projects within stipulated time and within
stipulated cost estimates.
Financial Goals
● To keep the level of inventories below the level fixed by the board and
outstanding debts, loans & advances and claims at bare minimum.
INANCE
PROJECT F
29
INTRODUCTION:-
An efficient allocation of capital is the most important finance function in the modern
times. It involves decisions to commit the firm’s funds to the long-term assets. Capital
budgeting for investment decisions is of considerable importance to the firm since they
tend to determine its value by influencing its growth, evaluation of capital budgeting
decisions. Project financing involves identifying the project, determining the feasibility
of the project, identifying sources of finance for the project, mitigating the risk and
monitoring implementation of the project.
The investment decisions of a firm are generally known as the capital budgeting, or
capital expenditure decisions. A capital budgeting decision may be defined as the
firm’s decision to invest its current funds most effectively in the long- term assets in
anticipation of an expended flow of benefits over a series of years. The long-term assets
are those that affect the firm’s operational beyond the one year period. Investment
decisions generally include expansion, acquisition modernization and replacement of
the long-term assets. Sale of a division or business (Divestment) is also an investment
decision. Decision like the change in the methods of sales distribution, or an
advertisement campaign or a research and development program have long-term
implications for the firm’s expenditures and benefit, and therefore, they should also be
evaluated as investment decisions. The following are the features of investment
decisions.
30
PROCESS OF INVESTMENT DECISIONS:-
Capital Budgeting is a complex process which may be divided into the following
phases.
Capital Budgeting Process:-
Fixing priorities:-
After evaluating various proposals, the unprofitable proposals may be rejected straight
away. But it may not be possible for the firm to invest immediately in the all the
acceptable proposals due to limitation of funds. Hence, it is very essentials to rank the
various proposals and to establish priorities after considering urgency, risk and
profitability involved there in.
Implementing proposals:-
Performance Review:-
Performance review, or post – completion audit, is a feedback device. It is a means for
comparing actual performance with projected performance. It may be conducted, most
appropriately, when the operations of the project have stabilized.
It is useful in several ways.
32
I. It throws light on how realistic were the assumptions underlying the project.
II. It provided a documented log of experience that is highly valuable for decision
making.
A company may add capacity to its existing product lines to expand existing operations.
For example, the Barauni Refinery may increase its plant capacity to produce more
bitumen. It is an example of related diversification. A firm may expand its activities in
a new business. Expansion of a new business requires investment in new products and
new kind of production activating within the firm. If packing manufacturing company
invests in a new plant and machinery to produce ball bearings, which the firm has not
manufactured before, this represents expansion of new business or unrelated
diversification. Sometimes a company acquires existing firms to expand its business.
Independent investments
Independent investments serve different purposes and do not compete with each other.
For example, a heavy engineering company may have been considering expansion of
its plant capacity to manufacture additional excavators and addition of new production
facilities to manufacture a new product.
Contingent Investments
Contingent investments are dependent projects; the choice of one investment
necessitates understanding one or more other investments for example, if a company
decides to build a factory in a remote, backward area, it may have to invest in houses,
roads, hospitals, schools, etc., and the total expenditure will be treated as one single
investment.
PROJECT APPRAISAL
Technical Appraisal
Economic Appraisal
Ecological Appraisal
Impact of project on quality of :- Air, Water, Noise, Vegetation, Human life
Major projects ,such as these, cause environmental damage
Power plants
Technical: will the project work? Has due attention been paid to technical factors
affecting the project design? Given the human and material resources identified, can the
project activities be undertaken and outputs achieved within the time available and to
35
the required standards?
Financial: can the project be financed? Will there be sufficient funds to cover the
expenditure requirements during the life of the project?
Economic: will the nation and society at large be better off as a result of the project?
Will the project benefits be greater than the project costs over the life of the investment
when account is taken of time (namely, is the Net Present Value of the project positive
at the test discount rate)?
Social and gender: what will be the effect of the project on different groups, at
individual, household and community levels? How will the project impact on women
and men? How will they participate in various stages of the project cycle? Will the
social benefits of the project be greater than the social costs over the life of the
investment when account is taken of time?
Institutional: are the supporting institutions in place? Can they operate effectively
within the existing legislative and policy environment? Has the project identified
opportunities for institutional strengthening and capacity building?
Environmental: will the project have any adverse effects on the environment? Have
remedial measures been included in the project design?
Political: will the project be compatible with government policy, at both central and
regional levels?
Sustainability and risk: will the project be exposed to any undue risks? Will the
project benefits be sustainable beyond the life of the project?
Likely damage & the cost of restoration
Financial Appraisal
• Whether the project is financially viable?
o Servicing debt
o Meeting return expectations
36
TECHNICAL APPRAISAL
● Is the technology proven or tested? If not, has it ever been successful elsewhere
and can that success be replicated in current context and conditions?
● Does the technology/ process/ equipment technically fit with the facility’s
existing technology/ process/ equipment & machinery? If not, what aspects of
the technology / process do not fit and what measures is the implementing
agency planning to take in this regard?
A checklist evaluating the proposed implementation plan to assess whether the project
can be implemented as per schedule and requirements should be reviewed and should
form part of the project report. Below is a sample of such a checklist:
b. Selection of suppliers
SOCIAL APPRAISAL
A social appraisal reviews the project design and the process of project identification
through to implementation and monitoring, from a social perspective. Particular
attention is paid to the likely impact of the project on different stakeholders, their
opportunities for participation, and the project’s contribution to poverty reduction.
Stakeholders have different abilities to influence the outcome of a project. Often target
beneficiaries are in a relatively weak position to influence the outcome of a project
whereas much of the control lies in the hands of secondary and key stakeholders (at B).
The former may be frustrated by a lack of access to information or be placed in a weak
social position due to traditional hierarchies.
In contrast the latter may have the time, money, and organizational capacity or political
power necessary to influence the project; however, if they are not interested in the
project, they could pose a risk to the project’s success by withholding support. Thus
recommendations from the social appraisal may be to
38
1 Stakeholders are individuals or organizations who, directly or indirectly, stand to gain
or lose from a given development activity or policy. Distinction is drawn between
primary stakeholders who are directly affected and would include the principal
project beneficiaries, secondary stakeholders who are indirectly affected, and key
stakeholders who are the agents of change.
The stakeholder analysis identified several groups of primary stakeholders who would
benefit directly from a proposal to rehabilitate 120 km of rural roads using labour-based
methods. Distinction could be drawn between those who would benefit during the
process of rehabilitation (road workers and local businesses) and those who would
benefit from using the roads once they were rehabilitated.
Most of the power to ensure the successful outcome of the project lay in the hands of
secondary and key stakeholders. This relationship had implications for the project
design and implementation. It was envisaged that several key stakeholders, together
with primary stakeholders, would work in partnership during project implementation
and monitoring, under the control of the contractor.
This includes an analysis of economic soundness of the project and the quantification
and valuation of costs and benefits to ensure financial viability.
● Identify project benefits and costs (distinguishing between capital and recurrent
costs)
● Calculate the net cash flow by comparing benefits with costs over the life of the
investment
● Discount the net cash flow by expressing all future benefits and costs in present
values in order to take account of people’s preference for time
● Sum the discounted net cash flow to calculate the Net Present Value (NPV)
● Calculate the Internal Rate Of Return (IRR), the discount rate at which the
NPV equals zero (representing the maximum interest rate a project could pay
39
and still break even)
● Conduct a sensitivity analysis to determine how sensitive the results are to
changes in key variables.
Discount rates
Often governments and donors set test discount rates that vary according to the type of
project. At present, discount rates for public sector investments stand at 12%; for
projects with a strong poverty or environmental focus, rates may be as low as 3%. For
private sector investments, discount rates usually reflect commercial rates of interest.
The internal rate of return is a very popular method of project appraisal and it has much
to commend it. In particular it takes into account the time value of money. Basically,
what the IRR tells you is the rate of return you will receive by putting your money into
a project. It describes by how much the cash inflows exceed the cash outflows on an
annualized percentage basis, taking account of the timing of those cash flows.
IRR is also referred to as the ‘yield’ of a project.
Project Evaluation
40
Project evaluation is a high level assessment of the project to see whether the project is
worthwhile to proceed and whether the project will fit in the strategic planning of the
whole organization. Project evaluation helps to decide which of the several alternative
projects has a better success rate, a higher turnover.
● Risk Analysis
● Demand Analysis
● Project Cost Estimation
● Revenue Analysis
● Financial Analysis
● Project Selection Criteria
1. RISK ANALYSIS
Risk analysis is a technique to identify and assess factors that may jeopardize the
success of the project. Risks associated with capital investment proposals can be
broadly classified as:
Financial Risk
Other Risk
Financial Risk
Financial risk is defined as the possibility that the actual return on an investment will be
different from the expected return. Many techniques are available for determining
financial risk involved with the projects like Risk adjusted Discount Rate, Certainty
Equivalent, Sensitivity Analysis, DCF, Break Even Analysis, Probability Assignment,
Standard Deviation etc.
41
Other Risks
Other risks constitute risks which may be an obstacle in the success/ Completion of the
project. Risks which can be included in other risk are:
Availability Risk
Completion (technical and timing) Risk
Counterparty credit risk
Country (political) Risk
Inflation Risk
Input and throughput Risk
Market (demand) Risk
Technological Risks
2. DEMAND ANALYSIS
Success of a project depends on the projects usage potential and user willingness to
pay.
Demand analysis involves forecasting the demand on the basis of market surveys and
manufacturing capacity of the unit and this is decided through the study of demand and
supply. The potential users, their habits, and possibility of changing these habits, the
pricing of the products, the designing are studied under demand forecasting. In the
demand analysis we check if there is a scope for laying a pipeline, if the demand at
destination is less, then a pipeline is not required.
The major Steps in demand analysis are:
Accurate estimation of costs is vital for the effective evaluation of the project since it is
important for knowing the financial feasibility of the project. The capital costs and
operating costs of the project is considered in this step.
The following factors needs to be kept in mind while estimating costs.
4. REVENUE ANALYSIS
Revenue analysis is estimation of the revenues which would be earned in the future.
Revenue projections are formed on the basis of Output sales. It helps in finding out the
profits/ losses in the future. Revenue analysis is all the more important in project
finance because the debts have to be repaid through the revenues generated by the
project. For a company, revenue is income that a company receives from its normal
business activities, usually from the sale of goods and services to customers. Some
companies also receive revenue from interest, dividends or royalties paid to them by
other companies. It also includes all net sales, exchange of assets etc. Savings made by
a company is also revenue for it. Revenue analysis as discussed earlier is estimating the
revenues that would be earned from the project, once it is implemented.
In IOCL, depending upon the project features, any one of the following method is used
for estimating revenue.
2) Based on NRF (Notional Railway Freight): If the Crude/Product was not
transported through pipeline, it should have been transported through roadways or
railways. Revenue in this method is the amount saved by transporting the product/crude
through pipeline, rather than transporting it through railways/roadways. Normally the
revenue is considered to be 75 % of NRF.
3) Based on IRR: In some cases, the IRR of the project is estimated first and based on
that the expected revenue for arriving at that IRR is calculated.
Thus, usually where we consider revenue either as notional earnings or corporate
savings.
43
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 The financial analysis of a project is vital for assessing the viability of the
project and hence provides valuable information to the decision-maker. Financial
analysis produces an estimate of the financial gains, which accrue, to the
Corporation after implementation of the project.
1.2 The financial analysis entails determination of year-wise cash flow of the
project, computation of key decision criterion like internal rate of return (ROI &
ROE), net present value (NPV) of cash flows, debt service coverage ratio (DSCR)
and break even (BE) analysis etc.
2.1 Determination of year-wise cash flows is the most crucial step of the financial
analysis. The cash flows are determined for three components namely:
a) Initial Investment
b) Operating Cash Flows
c) Terminal Cash Flows
This component of cash flow mainly represents net cash outlay in the period in
which the asset is purchased or constructed. In other words, initial investment
comprises of the total project cost as indicated in the capital investment proposal
and includes incremental value of working capital, wherever required.
The components of cash flow present year-wise cash flow generated from
operation after the project has been commissioned. The capacity utilization is not
taken more than 60% in the first year and at more than 90% from second year
onwards till project life cycle.
Operating Income
Operating Expenses
The operating expenditure of a project includes the cost of chemicals and
consumables, utilities (like power, water, and fuel) repairs and maintenance, wages
and salaries, rent and insurance, depreciation, other administrative expenses etc.
The expenses under these various heads are estimated on a realistic set of
assumptions and past experience, wherever applicable. The basis for estimating the
expenditure is clearly indicated in the proposal.
The cash flow in the terminal year of the project mainly represents the salvage
value of the project plus release of incremental working capital. Salvage value is
considered as under:
For cash flow determination and financial analysis, the life of project is assumed as
15 years from the date of completion, unless the project life is shorter.
a) Cash inflow can occur by increase in cash revenue and / or cash saving through
reduction in operating costs.
b) Cash outflow can occur by increase in operating expenses and / or decrease in
cash revenue, apart from outgo for initial capital investment.
c) The net cash flow is estimated on ‘after tax basis’, as payment of taxes is an
outflow of cash.
d) For calculation of IRR, all financial charges arising due financial leverage like
interest payment / dividend payment shall not be considered as cash outflows.
Similarly, tax shield / benefit allowable due to such financial charges shall also not
be considered as cash inflow / outflow.
Financial Evaluation
45
After determination of cash flow the next logical step is to financially evaluate the
proposal. The evaluation is carried out through following two methods:
i. Internal rate of return (IRR) is the discounting rate at which present value
of cash inflow is equal to present value of cash outflow. In other words, the
discount rate that yields a ZERO net present value is called Internal Rate of
Return.
ii. IRR is computed and indicated for all capital investment proposals.
iii. Normally Projects having IRR of less than hurdle rate (i.e. cost of capital +
premium) is considered as commercially viable and therefore, it is fully
justified on non-commercial grounds, wherever applicable.
i. The present value of a future sum of money can be found by discounting it
to the present point in time or year ‘O’ at the required rate of return/
discount rate. Required rate of return shall not less than cost of capital.
ii. The present value of each years’ net cash flow is calculated, starting from
the year ‘0’ till complete project life i.e. 15 years. The discounting rate
adopted is the hurdle rate.
iii. The project having positive net present value, is considered to be
commercially viable.
i. For debt financed projects, Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) is also to
be calculated. So as to ascertain the debt serving capability of the project.
DSCR is calculated as under:
46
Break Even Units =
The computed IRR is compared with benchmark IRR (hurdle rates). Hurdle Rates are
calculated based on Weighted Average Long Term Cost of Capital (WACC) along with
project specific risk premium. Hurdle Rates are revised annually after approval of
competent authority.
As approved for
Type of Project
2010-11
Combined Projects having
linkage 13%
with one or more department
Marketing Division Projects 13%
Petrochemical, Gas and Power 14%
Projects
Through JVs
On IOC's B/Sheet 16%
E&P Projects 19%
Global Projects 14%
Core areas/ Diversification
E&P 18%
Projects for
operational/statutory __
requirement and Quality
Projects.
Notes:
i. The above rates are based on Debt: Equity ratio of 1:1 and may be applied for
all non-plan projects and projects costing less than Rs 250 Crores.
ii. For other projects, project specific hurdle rate is evolved based on the funding
pattern and anticipated specific borrowing costs.
iii. Hurdle rate for global projects are only indicative and vary from country to
country depending upon country risk.
47
Summary of Financial Analysis
i. Cash flow estimates along with IRR, NPV, DSCR & Break Even Analysis is
attached to the proposal. Capacity utilization is not taken more than 90%
throughout the project life cycle for all projects.
ii. A statement of assumptions made for financial analysis is also enclosed.
iii. The more sophisticated and mathematical methods of investment appraisal,
particularly NPV and IRR are used practically.
1. Introduction
1.1 After presentation of financial analysis of the project, the capital investment
proposal indicates an analysis of risk and uncertainty involved in the proposal.
1.2 All capital investment proposal involves some risk or uncertainty with respect
to their completion, capacity utilization, fulfillment of specified need, safety and
profitability etc. as the underlying assumptions made at the project formulation
stage may not hold well during the project life.
2 Types of Risks
Risks associated with capital investment proposals can be broadly classified as:
● Financial Risks
● Other Risks
TAX CALCULATION
In project finance basically three types of taxes are calculated while doing financial
analysis and these are:
MAT Credit
When a company pays tax under MAT, tax credit is allowed in respect thereof during
the years when the company pays normal corporate tax. The tax credit earned is the
difference between the amount payable under MAT and the regular tax. The amount of
MAT credit can be set-off only in the year in which the company is liable to pay tax as
per the regular tax. MAT credit will be allowed carry forward facility for a period of
five assessment years immediately succeeding the assessment year in which MAT is
paid.
MAT CALCULATION
First of all, the book profits are calculated using the formula
MAT loss is added to the book profit to obtain the adjusted book profit on which the
MAT is calculated @ 11.33% (MAT rate).
Long term capital gains: Gains on assets held for more than 36 months before they
are sold or transferred. In case of shares, debentures and mutual fund units the period of
holding required is only 12 months. Rate of tax applied on long term capital gains is
22.66% (20% tax + 10% surcharge + 3% education cess).
Short term capital gains: Gains on assets held for less than 36 months are included in
this category. Rate of tax applied on short term capital gains is 15%.
49
CALCULATION OF CAPITAL GAIN
Net capital gain is calculated with help of formula:
Net Capital Gain = Gross Gain (Cost of Acquisition + Indexation Cost) – Expenses on
Sale
Indexation Cost = Original value X Present year Index
Capital gain is calculated at 22.66% of Net Capital Gain.
As per the IOCL guidelines, Capital gains tax is calculated on the terminal value of the
project at the end of 15 years, which is estimated to be 30% of Capex + Cost of land.
Interest & repayments are not applicable on projects where Capex less than 100
Crores.
If the project’s Capex is more than 100 Crores, then debt and equity is considered
in 1:1 ratio.
Interest rate is considered as per the latest bank lending rates, which is annually
revised by Project Appraisal Group.
Repayments are made on reducing interest rate method.
IRR consider time value of money (Cash flows are converted into present value).
It takes into account all cash inflows and outflows occurring over the entire lifetime
of the project.
IRR is consistent with the overall objective of maximizing the net worth.
50
EVALUATING A PROJECT ON THE BASIS OF IRR METHOD:
To evaluate a project through IRR method, IRR of the project is compared with the
predetermined hurdle rate. Hurdle rate is the minimum rate of return that must be met
for a company to undertake a project. It is calculated with the help of Capital Asset
Pricing
Model (CAPM).
If IRR exceeds the required rate hurdle rate, the project would be accepted and if IRR is
lower than required hurdle rate, the project would be rejected.
51
Unit : Indian Oil Corporation Limited, Barauni
Projected expenditure: Rs. 533.98 Lacs in 2012-13 and Rs. 4001.02 Lacs in 2013-14
IRR – 15.43%
ROI – 19.81%
Payback period – 7.96 Years.
52
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY OF INVESTMENT FOR CAPACITY
ENHANCEMENT OF HEAT EXCHANGE BLOWERS
INCREM
ENTAL TOTAL
BASIS BASIS
Parameters IRR% ROI% Payback IRR% ROI% Payback
100% Equity 0.1543 19.81 7.96 16.95 37.55 7.22
10% reduction in physical sale 13.81 16.67 8.4 11.36 26.43 8.93
10% increase in material cost 3.32 4.19 11.59 -2.22 -4.97 12.29
10% increase in investment 14.28 17.55 8.25 16.39 34.4 7.35
10% reduction in physical sale, 1.88 2.15 13 _ -15.58 13.14
10% increase in material cost
& investment
Analysis
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
53
B. PHASING OF INVESTMENT: Investment is planned of Rs. 534 Lakhs in
2011-12 and Rs. 4001 Lakhs in 2012-13. Investment will be completed in around 21
months from approval. Category-wise breakup i.e. P&M and civil facilities has been
furnished. The benefit of commercial production will be available from year 2013-14.
F. INVENTORY: Holding period of raw material and components has been taken as
45 days of material consumption and work in progress as 75 days of turnover.
H. CAPITAL STRUCTURE: Funding pattern for the scheme has been assumed on
100% equity basis.
J. INCOME TAX: Corporate tax has been taken as per prevailing rate of 30%, with
additional surcharge of 10% and 3% educational cess. Thus effective tax works out to
be 33.99%.
Incremental Basis
The calculation is based on incremental basis which means some part of the input
is taken from old input which is already there in the organization. And the
invested amount is Rs. 4535.00 Lakhs
As per the data calculated by the project department it shows separately IRR & payback
period which comes to
IRR = 15.43%
Payback period = 7.96 years
1. IRR should be greater than or equal to current rate of interest for loan (13%, as
approved for 2010-11)
2. Payback period should be less than or equal to 10 year. As decided by the
management.
Interpretation:
1. As the value of IRR, 15.43 which is more than the current hurdle rate i.e.
13%
2. Payback period as calculated comes to 7.96 which are again less than 10
years. It means that the amount of investment can be recovered
maximum in 8 years.
3. Average value of the profit after tax for 12 years is Rs. 898.30 Lakhs
which is quite high.
4. The return on investment is 19.81%.
4. With 10% reduction in Material, Investment & 10% reduction in physical sale:
In this case all the contingencies above are taken together
a. As per taking this contingency the calculated value of IRR is coming to 1.88%
b. If such condition occurs then also the organization will have the profit after tax
of Rs. 107.22 Lakhs and the return on investment will be 2.15%.
c. The payback period is coming to 13 years which means that the organization
56
will recover the invested amount in 13 years.
d. The total output is Rs. 14000 Lakhs.
After checking the sensitivity on all grounds of contingencies it is found that hardly
there is any chance of making loss, otherwise we are making a profit in all cases. That’s
why the proposal is being accepted.
CONCLUSION
IOCL is a leading organization in India, and is one among the Maharatna. IOCL
maintains the standard, quality of services and the brand image through its
entrusted with the task of carrying out its various roles efficiently. The business
also does the sensitivity analysis so that in case of any contingency the
organization will not have loss. Overall, the financial performance of the
57