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May 30, 2019

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Ques paper mte

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1

A

ASSIGNM

MENT BO

OOKLET

T

P me

(B.Scc./B.A./B.C

Com.)

OBABILIT TICS

It is com

mpulsory to

o submit the Assignm

ment before

e filling in the

Term-En nd Examinaation Form.

Sch

hool of Scien

nces

Indira Gandhi National Open

O Univeersity

M

Maidan Gaarhi, New Delhi-11006

D 68

(2019)

Dear Student,

Please read the section on assignments in the Programme Guide for Elective Courses that we sent you

after your enrolment. A weightage of 30 per cent, as you are aware, has been earmarked for continuous

evaluation, which would consist of one tutor-marked assignment for this course. The assignment is in

this booklet.

Before attempting the assignment please read the following instructions carefully.

1) On top of the first page of your answer sheet, please write the details exactly in the following format:

NAME: ……………………………………………

ADDRESS: ……………………………………………

……………………………………………

……………………………………………

COURSE CODE: …………………………….

COURSE TITLE: …………………………….

ASSIGNMENT NO.: ………………………….…

STUDY CENTRE: ………………………..….. DATE: ……………………….………………...

TO AVOID DELAY.

2) Use only foolscap size writing paper (but not of very thin variety) for writing your answers.

3) Leave 4 cm margin on the left, top and bottom of your answer sheet.

4) Your answers should be precise.

5) While solving problems, clearly indicate which part of which question is being solved.

6) This assignment is to be submitted to the Study Centre as per the schedule made by the study centre.

Answer sheets received after the due date shall not be accepted.

We strongly suggest that you retain a copy of your answer sheets.

7) This assignment is valid only upto December, 2019. If you have failed in this assignment or fail to

submit it by December, 2019, then you need to get the assignment for the year 2020 and submit it as

per the instructions given in the programme guide.

8) You cannot fill the Exam Form for this course till you have submitted this assignment. So solve it

and submit it to your study centre at the earliest.

2

Assignment

(To be done after studying all the blocks)

Assignment Code: MTE-11/TMA/2019

Maximum Marks: 100

1. a) The life of the bulbs produced by two companies A and B are given below:

(in hours) (No. of bulbs) (No. of bulbs)

500-700 5 4

700-900 11 30

900-1100 26 12

1100-1300 10 8

1300-1500 8 6

60 60

which company’s bulbs are more consistent from the point of view of length of life?

Give reasons for your answer. (5)

1 2

b) There are two coins – one unbiased with P(H) = , the other biased with P(H) = .

2 5

One of these coins is selected and tossed 5 times. If the head comes up at least twice,

the coin is assumed to be unbiased. Find the level of significance and power of the

test. (5)

and 4X − Y = 3, and the second moment of X about the origin is 2, find

b) If 20% of the memory chips made in a certain plant are defective, find the probability

that in a lot of 100 randomly chosen chips for inspection

3. a) 15 market stocks had the following percentage changes in value over the past years:

3 0 6 −5 −2

5 − 18 20 14 18

− 10 10 50 − 20 14

3

Compute the range, median, 20th percentile and inter-quartile distance for this data. (4)

⎧6xy 2 ; 0 ≤ x ≤ 1, 0 ≤ y ≤ 1

f ( x , y) = ⎨

⎩ 0; otherwise.

and variance of the distribution. (3)

4. a) If a random variable X 1 has mean 4 and variance 9, while the random variable X 2

has mean − 2 and variance 5, and the two are independent, find

i) E (2X1 + X 2 − 5)

⎧2 e −2 x ; x ≥ 0

f (x) = ⎨

⎩0 ; x < 0.

Find

ii) P [ X − μ ≥ 1] .

with the result obtained in part (ii). (6)

Find an estimator of λ using

6. a) A manufacturing firm produces steel pipes in three plants with daily production

volume of 500, 1000 and 2000 units, respectively. According to past experience, it is

4

known that the fraction of defective outputs produced by the three plants are 0.005,

0.008 and 0.010, respectively. If a pipe is selected from a day’s total production and

found to be defective, then

ii) identify most likely plant which has produced it. (6)

b) Let X1 , X 2 ,..., X16 be a random sample from a N(μ, σ 2 ) with σ 2 = 25 and sample

mean X = 60 . Find a 95% confidence interval for μ . (4)

7. a) Find the mean deviation from mean for the following data: (3)

20 2

18 4

16 9

14 18

12 27

10 25

8 14

6 1

and p, both unkown. Obtain estimators of n and p, using method of moments. (4)

⎧2

⎪ if x ≥ 1

f (x) = ⎨ x 3

⎪⎩0 otherwise

Show that E(X) exists and E(X) = 2 but Var (X) does not exist. (3)

⎧θ −1 e − x / θ , θ > 0, if x > 0

f ( x, θ) = ⎨

⎩0 , otherwise

n

Show that X = n −1 ∑X

i =1

i is unbiased for θ . (4)

1 30

2 25

3 18

4 10

5

5 22

6 15

X2 +Y2

1 −

f ( X, Y ) = e 2

,−∞ < X, Y < ∞

2π

of electricity, (ii) defects in machinery, (iii) carelessness of workers and (iv)

conspiracy, whose probabilities are respectively 0.25, 0.2, 0.5 and 0.75. The

probability that

10. Which of the following statements are true or false? Give a short proof or a counter

example in support of your answer. (10)

coefficient between (2 + 5x ) and (−2 y + 3) is − 0.75 .

2

ii) If P(A) = 0.5, P(A ∪ B) = 0.7 and A and B are independent events, then P(B) = .

5

n

X i2

iii) Let X1 , X 2 ,..., X n be a random sample of size n from N(0, σ 2 ). Then S02 = ∑

i =1 σ2

follows normal distribution.

v) The mean deviation is least when deviations are taken about the mean.

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