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original article Annals of Oncology 21: 2220–2226, 2010

doi:10.1093/annonc/mdq221
Published online 28 April 2010

Treatment-emergent hypertension and outcomes in


patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer
receiving chemotherapy with or without the vascular
endothelial growth factor receptor inhibitor cediranib:
NCIC Clinical Trials Group Study BR24 
R. Goodwin, K. Ding, L. Seymour, A. LeMaı̂tre, A. Arnold, F. A. Shepherd, M. Dediu,
T. Ciuleanu, D. Fenton, M. Zukin, D. Walde, F. Laberge, M. Vincent, P. M. Ellis & S. A. Laurie*
from the NCIC Clinical Trials Group, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
NCIC Clinical Trials Group, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada

Received 17 December 2009; revised 5 March 2010; accepted 8 March 2010

Background: Hypertension (HTN), a recognized adverse effect of angiogenesis inhibitors, may be a potential
biomarker of activity of these agents. We conducted a retrospective analysis to examine the incidence and predictors
of the development of on-treatment HTN with the vascular endothelial growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitor
cediranib, and the relationship of this adverse event with treatment outcomes.
Patients and methods: BR24 was a double-blind placebo-controlled phase II trial of carboplatin/paclitaxel
original
article

chemotherapy with either daily oral cediranib or placebo in patients (n = 296) with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer
(NSCLC). Exploratory analyses characterized relationships between HTN, baseline variables, and efficacy outcomes.
Results: New onset or worsening of preexisting HTN (treatment-emergent HTN) was more frequent in patients
receiving cediranib (68 versus 45%, P < 0.0001). Factors associated with HTN in all randomized patients were good
performance status and treatment with cediranib. In both arms, treatment-emergent HTN was associated with
improved efficacy outcomes, but there was no evidence of a differential treatment effect, with nonsignificant interaction
P values.
Conclusions: In advanced NSCLC, HTN is frequent in patients receiving chemotherapy, with or without cediranib.
The development of HTN was favorably prognostic in these patients, but not predictive of a differential outcome with
cediranib.
Key words: angiogenesis inhibitor, biomarker, predictive marker

introduction increased survival in selected patients with advanced non-


small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) [5], although a survival
Tumor growth and metastasis are dependent on new blood advantage was not observed when combined with cisplatin/
vessel formation, which is driven by vascular endothelial gemcitabine [6].
growth factor (VEGF) [1]. Inhibition of angiogenesis is an Biomarkers of clinical benefit that help to improve selection
important new treatment strategy. Angiogenesis inhibitors (AI) of therapy for patients include pretreatment predictive factors,
targeting the tyrosine kinases (TK) of the VEGF receptors such as mutations in the epidermal growth factor receptor
(sunitinib and sorafenib) are approved for hepatocellular [2] [EGFR] for EGFR inhibitors. It may also be possible to identify
and renal cell carcinomas [3, 4]. In an Eastern Cooperative early, treatment-emergent surrogates of efficacy, allowing
Oncology Group (ECOG) study, bevacizumab, a monoclonal patients who are unlikely to respond to discontinue therapy.
antibody against VEGF plus carboplatin/paclitaxel (C+P) The development of rash in patients treated with the EGFR
inhibitor erlotinib was associated with a survival benefit in
*Correspondence to: Dr S. A. Laurie, Division of Medical Oncology, Ottawa Hospital
Cancer Centre, University of Ottawa, 501 Smyth Road, Ottawa Ontario, Canada patients with NSCLC and pancreatic carcinoma [7, 8], and in
K1H 8L6. Tel: +1 613-737-7700 ext 70175; Fax: +1 613-247-3511; patients with NSCLC receiving cetuximab with chemotherapy
E-mail: slaurie@ottawahospital.on.ca [9]. There are no validated predictive biomarkers for selecting
 
Presented in part at the Annual Meeting of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, patients for AI therapy [10] nor are there any arising during
Orlando, Florida, May 2009. therapy that serve as surrogates for outcome.

ª The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society for Medical Oncology.
All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org
Annals of Oncology original article
Hypertension (HTN) is a known adverse event (AE) of AIs, were given. Briefly, cediranib/placebo was discontinued for grade 4 HTN or
although its mechanism is unclear. VEGF induces vasodilation for uncontrollable moderate (150–179/100–109) to severe but
by stimulating nitric oxide release from endothelial cells [11]. asymptomatic (>180/>110) HTN. Cediranib/placebo was held only for
In patients treated with sorafenib, measures of vascular stiffness severe asymptomatic HTN or if moderate HTN was not controlled after
increased [12]; VEGF inhibition may lead to vasoconstriction the addition of two drugs; in either of these situations, if restarted, the dose
and increased peripheral vascular resistance. Reduced was reduced.
microvessel density (rarefaction) has been proposed as
a potential cause [13, 14]. Given its high incidence, HTN may statistics
Exploratory analyses characterized the relationships between HTN and
be a useful pharmacodynamic surrogate of outcome.
baseline variables (age, gender, ECOG performance status [PS], stage,
NCIC Clinical Trials Group (NCIC CTG) study BR.24 was
smoking history, histology, lactate dehydrogenase [LDH], albumin, past
a randomized double-blind phase II trial of daily oral cediranib
history of HTN, body surface area [BSA]) and efficacy outcomes. Chi-
or placebo in combination with C+P in advanced NSCLC.
square test or Fisher’s exact test was used to assess association between
Cediranib (AZD2171, Recentin; AstraZeneca, Macclesfield,
categorical variables, and logistic regression model was used to identify
UK) is a potent inhibitor of the TK activity of all VEGF factors predicting for the development of HTN.
receptors. In the primary phase II efficacy analysis, cediranib 30 A Cox regression model with HTN as a time-dependent covariate
mg daily with chemotherapy increased response rate (RR; 38% examined whether HTN could predict the outcomes of OS and PFS in both
versus 16%, P < 0.0001) and progression-free survival (PFS; univariate and multivariate analyses. The OS was defined as from the
hazard ratio [HR] 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56–1.08, time of randomization to the date of death or was censored at the last
P = 0.13) over C+P alone [15]; in a final analysis of all 296 known date alive.
patients (45 and 30 mg), a similar HR for overall survival (OS) Landmark analyses were also performed, with the time-points for the
was seen (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.57–1.06, P = 0.11). development of HTN at either the end of cycles 1 or 2, to see if early-onset
This retrospective exploratory analysis examined the HTN, before the first response assessment, predicted for outcome, and
incidence and predictors of HTN in BR.24, its association with included all patients who were alive at the time-point. These time-points
other AE and effects on drug delivery, and its potential represented roughly the median time to onset of HTN (cycle 1), and the
surrogate effect for efficacy. time of the first response assessment (cycle 2), which was also a point at
which the majority of HTN events had occurred in each arm. Kaplan–Meier
curves were used to summarize distributions of the time-to-event
patients and methods outcome and compared with the log-rank test.
study population
Patients with previously untreated stage IIIB/IV NSCLC received
results
carboplatin (area under the curve = 6) and paclitaxel (200 mg/m2) every
3 weeks for six to eight cycles, with daily oral cediranib/placebo, which patient population
was continued as monotherapy after chemotherapy completion in the Of 296 patients accrued, 294 who received at least one dose
absence of intolerable toxicity or disease progression. The initial cediranib/
of cediranib/placebo are included in this analysis (Table 1).
placebo dose was 45 mg/day (n = 45) with an early amendment to
The study population was generally balanced although more
30 mg/day (n = 251) due to toxicity concerns. The main efficacy results
cediranib patients were age >60 (52% versus 40%, P = 0.05) and
have been reported previously [15].
had adenocarcinoma (57% versus 45%, P = 0.08). The arms
Patients were assessed every cycle for toxicity, graded using Common
were balanced for factors that could potentially influence the
Toxicity Criteria Adverse Event (CTCAE), version 3.0 (National Cancer
Institute, Bethesda, MD), and every 6 weeks for response by RECIST [16].
development of HTN, such as a past history of HTN, body
mass index, and creatinine clearance.
blood pressure measurements
Patients with a history of HTN were eligible provided that at enrolment predictors of HTN
blood pressure (BP) was <150 mmHg systolic and <100 mmHg diastolic, In univariate analyses, ECOG PS of 0 predicted HTN in both
and there was no history of poorly controlled or labile HTN, or poor the cediranib (P = 0.02) and placebo groups (P = 0.008;
compliance with antihypertensive medications. BP was recorded weekly by Table 2). For cediranib, female sex (P = 0.004), normal LDH
a health professional for cycles 1–3, then every 3 weeks until off protocol. (P = 0.015), and no prior peripheral vascular disease (P =
0.015) predicted HTN; in the placebo arm, nonsquamous
HTN toxicity and management histology (P = 0.006), age > 60 (P = 0.018), and a history of
For this analysis, HTN was defined as either new-onset HTN or worsening diabetes (P = 0.046) also predicted HTN. Among all 294
grade (CTCAE v3.0) from baseline in a patient with a past history of HTN patients, factors that independently predicted HTN were
using AE data and actual BP measurements. For preexisting HTN, any treatment with cediranib, good PS, and a normal LDH; neither
increase in drug dosage or initiation of a new antihypertensive agent was a past history of HTN nor smoking status (ever versus never
called grade 3.
smoking or current smoking) predicted for HTN.
An algorithm developed by NCIC CTG during phase I studies of this
agent [17] suggested antihypertensive agents to initiate or add, given the
purported mechanism of HTN and preclinical data regarding cediranib-
incidence of HTN
associated HTN [18], while minimizing both potential drug interactions Cediranib patients were more likely to develop any grade HTN
with cediranib, and dose reductions and interruptions of cediranib/placebo. (68% versus 45%, P < 0.0001), as well as grade 3/4 HTN
Guidelines on holding, dose reducing, or discontinuing cediranib/placebo (16% versus 3%, P < 0.001; Tables 3 and 4). The median time

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original article Annals of Oncology

Table 1. Baseline characteristics of study population by arm

Placebo (all patients, Cediranib (all patients, Cediranib 30 mg/day Cediranib 45 mg/day
n = 146), n (%) n = 148), n (%) (n = 126), n (%) (n = 22), n (%)
Age, median (range) 58 (39–81) 61 (35–82) 60 (35–77) 64 (42–82)
Gender, female 61 (41) 62 (42) 53 (42) 9 (41)
Stage, n (%)
IIIB 23 (16) 19 (13) 16 (13) 3 (14)
IV 123 (84) 129 (87) 110 (87) 19 (86)
ECOG, n (%)
0 39 (27) 33 (22) 26 (21) 7 (32)
1 or 2* 107 (73) 115 (78) 100 (79) 15 (68)
Histology, n (%)
Adeno 65 (45) 85 (57) 74 (59) 11 (50)
Squamous 37 (25) 27 (18) 24 (19) 3 (14)
Other 44 (30) 36 (24) 28 (22) 8 (36)
History of HTN, n (%) 48 (33) 39 (26) 32 (25) 7 (32)
BSA, median 1.80 1.82 1.80 1.86
BMI, median 24.95 24.52 24.34 24.86
Creatinine clearance, median 90.93 89.94 91.19 84.80
*
ECOG 2 patients were only included in the cediranib/placebo 45 mg/day cohort (n = 45).
ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; HTN, hypertension; BSA, body surface area; BMI, body mass index.

Table 2. Multivariate analysis of HTN adverse event predictors in all patients on cediranib, headache was the only symptom
patients correlating with HTN (P = 0.007). For patients on placebo,
no correlations were found.
Odds ratio 95% CI P value
ECOG > 0 0.3 0.1–0.5 0.0001 HTN as a surrogate of treatment effect
Increased LDH 0.5 0.3–1.0 0.03 When the relationship between efficacy and HTN as a time-
Receiving cediranib 2.9 1.7–4.9 0.0001 dependent covariate was examined, it revealed that for
cediranib patients, developing HTN reduced the risk of death
Other factors in the model, which were not predictive were gender, stage,
by 38% (HR new/worsening HTN versus without: 0.62, 95%
histology, smoking history, albumin (normal versus low), body surface area
CI 0.38–1.03, P = 0.06), while for placebo patients, it reduced
(<2 versus ‡2), histories of HTN/cerebrovascular disease/renal disease/
the risk of death by 51% (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.30–0.80, P =
diabetes/coronary artery disease/hypercholesterolemia. CI, confidence
interval; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; LDH, lactate
0.0045). Multivariable Cox regression analysis of all 294
dehydrogenase. patients showed that HTN independently predicted OS (HR
0.7, 95% CI 0.5–1.0, P = 0.06). In cediranib patients, HTN
to onset was 13.5 days in the cediranib arm (range 1–168 days) was not significantly associated with RR (42 versus 35%, P =
and 18.5 days in the placebo arm (range 1–200 days); the 0.48) or with significantly improved PFS (HR 0.78, P = 0.28).
median time to onset of grade 3/4 HTN was 16 days in the Similar results for RR (27 versus 13 %, P = 0.03) and PFS
cediranib-treated patients (range 1–65 days). While there were (HR 0.87, P = 0.49) were observed for those patients on
numerically more patients with grade 1/2 HTN at 45 mg of placebo. The interaction-by-treatment arm statistics were
cediranib, there were no episodes of severe HTN in this cohort nonsignificant for RR (P = 0.23), OS (P = 0.73), and PFS
and there was no clear evidence of a dose response for HTN, (P = 0.66).
likely due to small sample size. Landmark analyses (Table 5), performed at the two time
points, gave similar results and were consistent with the results
of the time-dependent covariate Cox regression model,
impact on drug delivery
demonstrating increased OS among patients with HTN in both
Effects on drug delivery were minimal. HTN was the cause arms, without evidence of a differential treatment effect.
of reduction or discontinuation of cediranib/placebo in only Figure 1 displays the Kaplan–Meier curves for the landmark
11 patients (9 cediranib, 2 placebo); only one patient analyses.
interrupted chemotherapy.

sequelae of HTN discussion


Correlations between HTN and other relevant AEs such as HTN, a mechanistic effect of AI, is seen with both bevacizumab
headache, intracranial bleeding, abnormal fundoscopy, [19] and VEGFR TK inhibitors [20, 21]. HTN occurs and peaks
proteinuria, and worsening creatinine were examined. For early (within the first 3 weeks of therapy) with the TK

2222 | Goodwin et al. Volume 21 | No. 11 | November 2010


Annals of Oncology original article
Table 3. Worst grade of HTN reported on study by treatment arm

Grade Placebo (all patients, Cediranib (all patients, Cediranib 30 mg/day Cediranib 45 mg/day
HTN n = 146), n (%) n = 148), n (%) (n = 126), n (%) (n = 22), n (%)
0 80 (55) 48 (32) 44 (35) 4 (18)
1/2 62 (42) 77 (52) 59 (47) 18 (82)
3 4 (3) 22 (15) 22 (17) 0
4 0 1 (1) 1 (1) 0

Table 4. New onset HTN or worsening HTN grade by treatment arm

Placebo (all patients, Cediranib (all patients, Cediranib 30 mg/day Cediranib 45 mg/day
n = 146), n (%) n = 148), n (%) (n = 126), n (%) (n = 22), n (%)
New onset HTN 40 (27) 72 (49), P = <0.0001* 60 (48) 12 (55)
Worsening HTN grade 26 (18) 28 (19) 22 (17) 6 (27)
New onset HTN or 66 (45) 100 (68), P < 0.0001* 82 (65) 18 (82)
worsening HTN grade
*
P value is compared with placebo cohort.
HTN, hypertension.

Table 5. Landmark analyses

Incidence, Response Median PFS Median survival


HTN (%) rates (months) (months)
End cycle 1
Cediranib (n = 144) 40 +HTN 40% Interaction 5.7 Interaction 10.7 Interaction
2HTN 41%, P = 1.0 P = 0.31 5.7, HR 0.69, P = 0.37 8.5 HR 0.62, P = 0.94
P = 0.09 P = 0.07
Placebo (n = 146) 27 +HTN 26% 5.3 15.9
2HTN 17%, P = 0.24 5.0, HR 0.94, 8.0, HR 0.62,
P = 0.76 P = 0.09
End cycle 2
Cediranib (n = 138) 58 +HTN 40% Interaction 6.6 Interaction 11.4 Interaction
2HTN 47%, P = 0.49 P = 0.27 5.7, HR 0.63, P = 0.35 7.7, HR 0.51, P = 0.99
P = 0.03 P = 0.007
Placebo (n = 143) 33 +HTN 23% 5.5 15.9
2HTN 18%, P = 0.5 4.9, HR 0.85, 7.5, HR 0.52,
P = 0.44 P = 0.02

HTN, hypertension; HR, hazard ratio; PFS, progression-free survival.

inhibitors [12, 22]; the median time to onset and to maximal that the greater incidence is related to greater cediranib
BP increase with bevacizumab is later [23, 24]. In the phase I exposure since the majority of patients developed HTN before
trial of single-agent cediranib, HTN was a dose-limiting toxicity their first response assessment; furthermore, the multivariate
in nine patients [25]. In phase I studies of cediranib in analysis adjusted for HTN as a time-varying covariate.
combination with cisplatin/gemcitabine [26] and C+P [17], Cediranib dosing is not body weight based, but HTN was not
grade 3/4 HTN was observed in 7 of 15 and 7 of 20 patients, associated with BSA, and bevacizumab is dosed by weight.
respectively, and led to the development of the treatment Cediranib pharmacokinetics did not differ by sex. Thus,
algorithm used in this protocol. greater cediranib exposure due to fixed dosing does not likely
In BR.24, new or worsening HTN was observed in account for the increased risk in women, and the reason why
approximately two-thirds of patients receiving cediranib, with women may be inherently more susceptible to HTN from AI is
a median time of onset of 2 weeks. Predictors of cediranib- unknown.
induced HTN included female gender and good PS, which Treatment-emergent HTN was also observed in 45% of those
were also predictors of bevacizumab-induced HTN in the receiving placebo. This comparatively high rate of documented
ECOG trial [27]. Although both good PS and female gender HTN is likely due to the frequent protocol-mandated
are themselves favorably prognostic in NSCLC, it is unlikely monitoring, the fact that data were abstracted centrally based

Volume 21 | No. 11 | November 2010 doi:10.1093/annonc/mdq221 | 2223


original article Annals of Oncology

NCIC CTG TRIAL BR.24 NCIC CTG TRIAL BR.24


Overall survival in AZD2171 arm Overall survival in placebo arm
100 100
HTN No HTN HTN No HTN

80 80
Percentage

Percentage
60 60

40 40

20 20

0
0
0 4 8 12 16
Time(Months) 0 4 8 12 16
# at Risk Time(Months)
No HTN 87 58 30 11 2 # at Risk
57 34 19 9 5 No HTN 107 72 32 12 4
HTN
HTN 39 30 15 9 3
Summary Statistics:
Test for equality of groups: Log Rank: p=0.0704 Summary Statistics:
Test for equality of groups: Log Rank: p=0.0863
Median (95%C.I.): No HTN: 8.5 (7.6,10.3), HTN: 10.7 (7.9,21.8)
Median (95%C.I.): No HTN: 8.0 (6.6,10.5), HTN: 15.9 (6.3,24.6)
Hazard Ratio (95%C.I.): HTN/No HTN: 0.62 (0.37,1.05)
Hazard Ratio (95%C.I.): HTN/No HTN: 0.62 (0.35,1.08)

NCIC CTG TRIAL BR.24


NCIC CTG TRIAL BR.24 Overall survival in placebo arm
Overall survival in AZD2171 arm
100 HTN No HTN
100
HTN No HTN

80 80
Percentage

60
Percentage

60

40
40

20
20

0
0 4 8 12 16 0
# at Risk Time(Months)
58 40 17 7 2
0 4 8 12 16
No HTN Time(Months)
HTN 80 52 32 13 5 # at Risk
No HTN 96 65 28 11 4
Summary Statistics: HTN 47 37 19 10 3
Test for equality of groups: Log Rank: p=0.0074
Median (95%C.I.): No HTN: 7.7 (6.9,10.1), HTN: 11.4 (8.8,21.8) Summary Statistics:
Hazard Ratio (95%C.I.): HTN/No HTN: 0.51 (0.31,0.84) Test for equality of groups: Log Rank: p=0.0185
Median (95%C.I.): No HTN: 7.5 (6.3,10.5), HTN: 15.9 (8.0,24.6)
Hazard Ratio (95%C.I.): HTN/No HTN: 0.52 (0.30,0.91)

Figure 1. Landmark analyses: Overall survival for patients with and without HTN, by treatment arm. Top panels: Landmark analyses end of cycle 1. Bottom
panels: Landmark analyses end of cycle 2.

on individual measurements and to underreporting in other Prompt institution of therapy likely prevents more severe
trials. HTN arising during therapy with standard cytotoxics has HTN, and may decrease the risk of other AE described with
not been well described. In a previous NCIC CTG trial (BR.18), AI that may also be partly mediated by HTN. This includes
the same C+P regimen led to a rate of HTN reported as an congestive heart failure, myocardial ischemia, reversible
AE of only 1% [28]. More recently, others have shown that posterior leukoencephalopathy syndrome, and cerebrovascular
HTN occurs in patients receiving standard chemotherapy hemorrhage and ischemia, none of which were observed in
alone, albeit at a lower rate and of lesser severity than when BR.24. Cediranib-induced HTN was not associated with other
combined with an AI [29–31]. In BR.24, the incidence and AE except headache, suggesting that this symptom should
severity were both significantly less on the placebo arm, with prompt an assessment of BP in a patient receiving AI.
only 3% developing grade 3 HTN comparable with the rate of An association between treatment-emergent HTN and
grade 3/4 HTN documented in the C+P alone arm of other improved outcomes with bevacizumab and VEGFR TK
trials evaluating AI in advanced NSCLC [5, 32]. The possibility inhibitors has been observed in a variety of tumor types,
that a patient may be receiving an AI potentially accounts for including colorectal [33], pancreatic [34], and renal cell
the increased reporting of HTN as an AE in those receiving carcinomas [35, 36]. These reports of patients treated with
chemotherapy alone in a blinded trial. HTN did not lead to an AI (with or without chemotherapy) have compared those
significant reductions in treatment delivery, suggesting that who develop HTN with identically treated patients who do not.
oncologists are comfortable managing this class-specific Similar findings have been observed with bevacizumab in
toxicity, and confirming the usefulness of the algorithm. NSCLC. An analysis of patients enrolled to the bevacizumab

2224 | Goodwin et al. Volume 21 | No. 11 | November 2010


Annals of Oncology original article
arm of the ECOG study suggested increased OS and PFS in Correlating HTN and outcomes with on-treatment changes
those with HTN compared with those without HTN [27]. in serum VEGF and other markers of angiogenesis could help
In a review of over 2000 patients treated with bevacizumab in to elucidate if this hypothesis was plausible. The VEGF gene is
conjunction with a variety of chemotherapies for advanced highly polymorphic, and variants that appear to be associated
NSCLC, median survival was 18.8 months in those who with a decreased risk for HTN were detected in a trial of
developed HTN and 12.9 months in those who did not [37]. paclitaxel and bevacizumab in advanced breast cancer [39];
Analyses of single-arm studies, or of only the AI arm of these were not the same alleles that were favorably prognostic,
a randomized study, do not distinguish whether HTN is and in that trial, HTN was associated with OS on the
predictive of benefit from AI, or if HTN is simply prognostic. bevacizumab arm. An imbalance in these polymorphisms
To our knowledge, our analysis is the first to evaluate the between treatment arms may account for differences in rates of
potential surrogate biomarker effect of HTN in both arms of HTN and the unexpected findings between HTN and outcome
a randomized study. While limited because it was a randomized in BR.24; an analysis of patient samples is ongoing. Finally,
phase II with a modest sample size and for which OS was not HTN may be a marker for an as yet unidentified surrogate for
the primary end point, the trial was blinded, patients had chemotherapy efficacy.
frequent BP monitoring, and careful recording of all These data suggest that treatment-emergent HTN is common
antihypertensive/concomitant medications, and thus the data not only in patients with advanced NSCLC receiving systemic
are robust. We have shown that those patients who developed therapy with an AI, but also in those receiving a standard
HTN had better efficacy outcomes, but this association was, chemotherapy, and may be underreported. Since HTN occurs
surprisingly, in both arms. The magnitude of the effect, as early with TK inhibitors, frequent monitoring for the first
measured by HRs, was similar in each arm, and the interaction cycles of therapy, and also if patients develop headache, seems
P values were not significant. Although the sample size was prudent, to permit continuation of AI therapy, and to prevent
small, there was not even a trend in favor of a treatment effect, more serious HTN-related consequences. The development
and the results of all analyses were similar. As there was no of HTN on therapy appears to be favourably prognostic, but
OS difference between the two study arms in this trial, one did not predict benefit from cediranib in this clinical trial.
cannot conclusively say there is no differential surrogate
effect of HTN on survival; however, the lack of observed
differential effect in RR or PFS makes it unlikely that HTN is
funding
a surrogate for efficacy. The NCIC CTG is supported by the Canadian Cancer Society.
We performed two different types of analyses to evaluate the AstraZeneca provided partial funding and cediranib/placebo
relationship between HTN and outcome to try to obviate the for BR.24.
potential bias introduced by the fact that HTN will occur at
different times, and that patients who continue on therapy
longer because they are benefiting from treatment have
disclosures
a greater chance of developing HTN. The time-dependent FAS, PME and MD have recived honoraria from AstraZeneca.
covariate analysis includes and classifies all patients LS has research funding and stock ownership from
appropriately, but it is possible that if early dropouts or deaths AstraZeneca. RG, KD, AL, AA, TC, DF, MZ, DW, FL, MV, and
occur before the onset of HTN, this would make the no-HTN SAL have no conflicts of interest.
arms look worse, and give rise to an artificial association
between HTN and favorable outcome. The landmark analyses references
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Volume 21 | No. 11 | November 2010 doi:10.1093/annonc/mdq221 | 2225


original article Annals of Oncology

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2226 | Goodwin et al. Volume 21 | No. 11 | November 2010

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