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Table of Contents
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1. Personalized Stock Investment Portfolio
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4 Defenders: 40% stocks in defensive investing / dividend
investing / indices ETF investing / long term investing
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large number of stocks more than 30 is only suitable for
large institute or professional funds with resources to
monitor many stocks closely. For retail investors, instead
of increasing the number of stocks more than 10, the limited
resources could be optimized by filtering selected
fundamentally strong stocks which will help to minimize the
unsystematic risks further. In addition, a smart investor
may only invest in growing sectors with higher demand in
products or services, over several countries with growing
economies. This is an integration of stocks from Level 1
(business) to Level 2 (sector) to Level 3 (countries) to Level
4 (world).
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Figure 2. Sample 10 global and local stocks in a portfolio
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2) Ein55 Top 10 Global Stocks
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business with stable growing fundamental is supported by
strong economy in China with large population. Temasek
is a major shareholder, providing stability to the share
prices, an additional shield of defense for investors. With
increasing US and global central bank interest rates, the
outlook for banking and finance stocks are positive as the
net interest margin (NIM) will help the global banks to grow
in earnings until the next global financial crisis.
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affordable option for retail investors, pro-rated at 1/1500
price of the Class-A stock, about $222 / share currently.
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Disney’s power is with its intangible asset of brand (see
Figure 5), for so many years, from watching Disney
cartoons to movies and all kinds of Disney related products.
Everyone of us still has a childhood dream which becomes
real only in the world of Disney.
Walt Disney stock price has been falling for a few years
from its peak of $120, currently at Ein55 Optimism of 56%,
corrected near to its fair price. A strong fundamental stock
bought at peak price could be considered as risky from
Ein55 Optimism point of view as the downside is more than
the upside. Even at mid optimism of fair price, it may not
be suitable to buy for a smart investor as there is no
discount given as safety margin. A better action is to wait
for the future opportunity, let the discounted price comes to
us one day. In the last stock market cycle, an investor could
apply Optimism Strategy developed by Dr Tee to buy Walt
Disney at $24 (25% Optimism) in year 2009, selling at $120
(75% Optimism) in year 2015 with potential gain of 5 times.
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of component stocks. Famous ETFs providers are SPDRs,
iShares, PowerShares, ProShares, Vanguard, etc. For
stocks ETFs, it could be related to stock indices, sectors or
a group of stocks selected by the fund managers, either
actively or passively managed.
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2.5) Café de Coral (Hong Kong, HKEx: 0341)
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Analysis (FA) to confirm Café de Coral indeed has strong
earnings and cash flow records.
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2.6) Public Bank (Malaysia, Bursa: 1295)
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Public Bank is a defensive stock, suitable for long term
investing, share price correction during global financial
crisis is relatively less than other global giant stocks. While
waiting for the giant stock to recover, the Public Bank pays
about 3% dividend yearly to shareholders, which is
comparable or better than interest rate of fixed deposit in
bank which has no capital appreciation. One should learn
to take calculated risk, investing in bank stocks (as a
partner of bank), instead of lending money as cheap loan to
bank (as a customer of bank), because the difference in
long term investment return is tremendous: average of 15%
yearly return in stock investment (bonus of 3% dividend) vs
yearly return in fixed deposit return of 3% in Malaysia banks
and 1% in Singapore banks. A smart investor would treat
bank stock as a new form of fixed deposit.
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2.7) Hongkong Land (Singapore, SGX: H78)
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consistent growing net asset value. If an investor owns
Hongkong Land at current share price, it is as good as
owning a portion of Hongkong Land properties at 60%
discount. This is a combination of value investing (buying at
discount) and growth investing (company with growing
business, share price went up 8 times over the past 15
years).
However, a trader or investor needs to apply optimism
strategies to know the investment clock, when to buy and
sell Hongkong Land. Due to cooling measures of property
in Hong Kong and Singapore with slowdown in economy,
the market sentiment has corrected Hongkong Land to low
optimism. In the past 1 past year, Singapore and Asian
stock markets have been bearish, the Ein55 Optimism of
Hongkong Land has dropped to an attractive level of 17%.
Hongkong Land has been under both Level 2 crisis
(bearish Singapore property market) and Level 3 crisis
(Hong Kong Hang Seng Index at low optimism) over the
past few years, buy low may get lower for undervalue stock,
more suitable for medium term stock trading, technical
analysis should be integrated before entry as a trader.
Undervalue stocks with good assets (eg. property or
cash) are considered very safe investment, especially with
60% discount in price to book ratio. If Hongkong Land goes
bankrupt (although it is unlikely), a smart investor would be
profitable because after liquation, the value of company is
still more than the share price paid at 40% of valuation.
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2.8) CapitaLand Mall Trust (Singapore, SGX: C38U)
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In general, a good REIT should have strong
fundamentals and DPU (Distribution per Unit) should grow
over the time. At the same time, we could also profit from
good REITs through capital appreciation of share price and
net asset value of properties. A good REIT investor not only
knows how to choose the REIT, but also masters the
investment clock to buy / sell / hold the REIT.
CapitaLand Mall Trust (CMT) is one of the Top 10 REITs
in Singapore, owning 70% of the shopping malls in
Singapore (see Figure 10), business is supported by the
Singapore economy and purchasing power of increasing
population over the decades. The DPU, dividends and
operating cashflow are increasing over the years, current
dividend yield is about 5%. At the same time, an investor
could have profited 3 times in capital gains of share price
from IPO holding till now.
Ein55 Optimism of CMT is 35% currently, implying the
upside is more than downside for its share price in long term
perspective. When Optimism is below 25% for CMT (Level
1), aligning with Level 2-4 low optimism, it will be an ideal
time to become REITs investor. The dividend yield could
be significantly increased if an investor could wait patiently
for this REIT giant to fall down in share price during the next
regional or global financial crisis. After buying low, when
the REITs have recovered again, an investor will have an
option to sell high to take profit for capital gains or hold long
term for passive income.
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2.9) Genting Singapore (Singapore, SGX: G13)
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Genting Singapore has suffered huge correction in
share price to about 1/3 of the peak price over the past few
years, earnings of Genting Singapore and global casino
stocks were declining due to slowdown in global economy.
Weaker Malaysian Ringgit and anti-corruption in China
have further reduced the gamblers from these 2 main
markets. The net asset value (NAV) of Genting Singapore
is still growing gradually, helping to stabilize the business.
Genting Singapore is a cash cow, financially strong with
strong sponsor of Genting Berhad, parent company in
Malaysia. Casino is nearly a monopoly business with few
licenses, future earning is protected by probability of games
and increasing population and tourists. Global casino is a
cyclic business, a gambler may stop gambling for a period
of time but not permanently. When global economy has
improved, the gamblers would come back again to support
the casino business due to instinct. For trader and investor,
the only question is what price to buy for casino stocks?
Genting Singapore has been recovering from low
optimism in casino sector crisis over the past few years,
Ein55 Optimism drops again to 25%, undervalue at current
share price, owing to bearish stock market in the past 1 year.
Genting Singapore is more suitable for cyclic trading, as
long as the price trend is still positive. Similar to a casino
business, Ein55 Optimism is a probability calculator, we
could evaluate the reward to risk ratio, safely considering a
good stock if we could wait for the giant to fall down.
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2.10) Keppel Corp (Singapore, SGX: BN4)
Figure 12. Oil & Gas crisis is opportunity for Keppel Corp
For example, over the last few years of crude oil crisis,
stock prices of global oil & gas stocks were significantly
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corrected. Some of the weaker stocks (eg. Swiber, Marco
Polo Marine, Ezra, etc) could not even survive through the
winter time of Oil & Gas as their revenue is mainly related
to crude oil industry. Therefore, a smart investor would not
simply buy low for share price because even a stock at 1
cent per share could become zero when it goes bankrupt,
the remaining asset after liquidation is not even sufficient to
pay back the debt, leaving nothing to the shareholders.
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The key of stock trading and investing is to match our
goals with our personalities, there are at least 10 different
strategies to choose for 10 different stocks. When Ein55
Optimism Strategies are combined with Fundamental
Analysis (value investing & growth investing), Technical
Analysis (support / resistance / trends), and Personal
Analysis (mind control of greed and fear), it is very powerful
when one is able to take the right action (Buy, Hold, Sell,
Wait or Short) at the right time aligning with own personality.
Acknowledgements
The author is grateful to educational partners: iFAST, CIMB
Securities, City Index, CMC Markets, Lim & Tan, Phillip Securities, UOB
Kay Hian, Maybank & Kim Eng Securities, KGI, Shareinvestor.com,
SIAS, Capitaland, Investing Note, Share Investment Magazine, Wealth
Directions, Cyberquote, Ein55 graduate and mentors, blog readers and
workshop audience for supporting the Ein55 investing education
programs to guide the general public towards the right path of
investment.
Disclaimer
All financial instruments including equity and derivative investment
involve risk. Transacting in financial instruments is inherently risky and
uncertain. Past results are not indicative of future perform. No system
or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee profits or
ensure freedom from losses. The author, SMARTS Enterprise LLP,
Ein55 Pte Ltd and partners shall not be liable to the reader or participant
for any damages, claims, expenses or losses of any kind (whether
direct or indirect) suffered by the reader or participant arising from or in
connection with the information obtained from the publications,
newsletters, blog, forum, courses or trainers.
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Appendix: Free Investment Courses by Dr Tee
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Bonus #1 for Reader: FREE Dr Tee Investment Course
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Bonus #2 for Reader: Dr Tee Investment Forum
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