MARKET
Ye
Apartment Construction Outpaced by Demand;
High Initial Yields Attract Out of State Investors
Local employment and household gronthoister demand for housing
TheAtanta rental market isgrovingasthemetroconlinves to expand
its employment base. Duringthe recovery jobs grew at anaverage annul
atoofS ponont Ahigh-sllol labor oreo, oecwtiv housingaptions
and lect international igh vetoattmetcomorite healquneters
as Mercedes ena and Norfll Southern. Ascareer opportunities in
‘Atlanta expand, eb seckers ste relocating throughout the market, creat
additional demana for apurtne tained household gront wil
keep apartment trends postive, compressing the vacancy rateapd driving
theaverageefletive rental ate higher.
*.Thea
{rowing rental demand hes t absorb new construction. Develon-
‘meat has increased apartment iavertoryby7 percent since 2015 The bulk
‘ofthe new supply hasbeen Cass luxury apartmentsin Downtown and
Migtown Atlanta, The affluent suburb of Buckbead isalso experiencing
‘apd apartment srowth, providing high-income residents with more
rental optionsin thesubsiarket, The West Atlanta submarket expects
alargedepositof inventory over the next 18 months.Sixproject here
arecurrently under co
ruction with completion dates xtendinginto
2021. Outsidethe perimeter, development in Atlnt's surrounding
submarketsisstrongas well The Alpharetta/Curnming submarket wll
receive more thar 900 rental UBits With this years constructor
Local Apartment Yield Trends
— Ayaronene Cap hae
6 NN
10-Yoer Treasury Rete
ate
2
copratehing meth eerage tough IQ Tra rotor Mech 2?
Marcus ¢ Millichap
Multifamily 2019 Outlook
®
1300.
nt beconpete
®
40 BASIS POINT
CONSTRUCTION
Conetrctionin At
all increas by
28ppercen in200. Ths isthe second
anges annul delivery inthe eye.
VACANCY:
‘Vacancy wil fall to 49 percent in 2009.
Last year vacaney ell 90basis points
from 62 percent
RENTS:
‘The averate eectiverent climbs to
$1290 per month in 2019. The average
(4io INCREASE
annua ret growth
(63 percent.
Investment Trends
+ 12018 thetotal numberof transactions decreased yearoveryearfor
‘hens time sincethedownturn in 2009 Since the trough curing the
cmeossnersarelookingto
andexchange intolarser sees
vital on the cuit gains
+ 12016 ma
sultraket located nortinestof Downtown Athata where propertie
vestorsfecused on assets in the Cumnberanl/Galletia
traded with average cp ratesin the low-s percent range: Compared
with th ter submarkets, this area had the
+ Onaverage cap ratesin Atlanta are in the high-5to low-6 percent range
[Newer Class A properties in Sandy Springs provide the metws lowest
Westside Allarta submarket provide the highest first
averaging 70 percent,Renee sid
Eviptoyinant Teds 1019 ~ 12-Month Poriod
Metre — Unie states EMPLOYMENT
s 2.2% increase intotal employment Y-0-¥
Bs + Sincetast ped, ore than 60:00 obshave bren created nthe
5 ‘lana met. Over these prevousannualpetod the markt
po row aol 8, 900poiions, loo 2 percent sin
£ service sector, wich add approximately 14700 obsiathe
oe past nats. Thetrade, transportation and utilis, ad
wor eauee one Iieure and hospitality eters slsopoted payoltaditions
Completions and Absorption = ——
= Completions Absorption CONSTRUCTION
‘ 9,180 unite completed ¥-0-
Re + Total completions inthe metro averthe past 2 months are doin 26
& percent froma thos prvi tine oro Darin thinnest
ze W) ‘Stl, 2017 was the eakyearforconstraton wth 8.70 net
anartnets. Thsvear wil bethesecodhlehest nal mount
1 + diy Aaa kde eed ie larestammun of aw
: lsat yeu with approxima 3180ne reals
Vacancy Rate Trends
— Metro — United States VACANCY
_ GO basis point decrease in vacancy Y-O-Y
a” + Altheendofthesirs quarter Atlanta's vacangy rate 653
e percent, 0 bass points down fromtas yer At its pean 2009,
is ®) te metros vacancy rate was 100 percent
Og ey ingrowing armor reskent are moving tthe area forts
proxiity to Buckhead, Operation in hissubmarketighesed
wore nner e ‘as points, ringing the rate to 4.9 percent
Rent Trends
Monthy Reet — YO. Rent Change RENTS:
00 = 6.8% increase in the average effective rent Y-0-Y
3 sso af + tke percent irene during the pevusourquaters the
z i average efecthve ont climbedto $1,225 per month in March
Eevee oes
—_ ae incoming. perntio 9¢permorth. TheClas Daven
i monthly ental rite vse 77 percent to $1182andCls Aled Wy72
iin os percent to $1458per moatDemographic Highlights
Five-Year Population Growiht
571,100
fe
Five-Year Household Growih*
231,700
SUBMARKET TRENDS
Lowest Vacancy Rates |Q19
Smyrna smo
oath Cobh County come
Douglas
Soath Dekalb County s7% 200
Virgins Highlands
Morningsie oe ee
Midtown Alama me 40
sus?
1000
s1904
i225
$$
lI9 Population Age 20-94 [Q10 Median Household Income
(Percent of toxal population)
aero 21%
ter $67,240
US.stetan $08,299
wT {00 Total Housohotde
Populaionof Age 25+ BRD) 1 97%
Porcent with Bachelor's Degrees**
sare 36% FB) om 63%
usaverge 30%
SALES TRENDS:
Heavy Trading in Previous Years Increases Buyer
Competition for Listed Assets
+ Trade velocity decrewedover the past 12 months eadingia March,
down proximate 8 percent from the orevicus veri. Thehesw
tradingover the past three yearshas limited the numberof assets
availabe toexchangeint, pushing up the vluefor those iste
‘The rst quarter average sale price per unitroseby 3. percent,
bringing the average o €16,c00perdoon Cap rates dipped models
down 20 basispointsto an average inital return of 9 percent
‘utlon Assets are atractng out-of statebuyers Many California na
Now York based investors are explering the market insearchof first year
_ylcids that are 160-200 bass points higher than theirhorme metos.
Sales Trends
Slee — Prov Groh
Average Pro per it 000)
8
«6 ill oo
feng 12nd vag 100
visi seen Sin, nl pt natn