Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Seminar 2018
Foodservice
Solutions
How is Decision Lab tracking
Foodservice Consumption?
• Since April 2016, Decision Lab is tracking the out of home eating and
drinking market in the key cities Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh City and Da Nang
• The Foodservice Monitor tracks all food & drink consumed out of home
on a daily basis with an annual sample size of 15,000 completed
interviews
• The respondents are Vietnamese consumers aged 15+ who also report
on the consumption by children (under 15 years) who were present at
the eating out occasion
Methodology
40%
DA NANG
752,057 10%
ONLINE VIETNAMESE COMMUNITY MEMBERS
HO CHI MINH
750,561
12,387,681
Total HO CHI MINH
6,432,322
adult population
(Vietnamese aged 15 years old and above in
HCMC, Hanoi, Danang)
We monitor 7 Main Channels
61,771 133
Monitor 4% 59,903 8% 8% 154 5%
HCMC HCMC
59,929 9% 170 5%
DA NANG DA NANG
500M
15T
450M
10T
478M 474M 496M 492M
436M 443M 453M 435M 452M 400M
5T
418M 350M
T 300M
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
50%
These two
channels
39%
40% currently
34%
30% 30% account for the
30% 28% 28% 28%28%
25%
24%
22%
25% 25% 25% majority of
20% OOH visits by
consumers
10%
across all
0%
demographic
Male Female 15-24 25-34 35+ Ha Noi HCMC groups in
Gender Age group Location Vietnam
Full service Restaurants (n = 10,288) Quick service Restaurants (n = 7,293)
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018
14
• Market share of FSR & QSR - % visits and servings
Market share of Full Service (FSR) & Quick Service (QSR) restaurants - % visits and servings
35%
Full service
32% 33%
29% and Quick
30%
26% service
25%
21% 20%
restaurants are
20%
17% the two most
15%
14%
important
10% channels for
5%
Manufacturers
0%
of various
Total OOH visits Total Non-alcohol RTD Total Alcohol Total Dairy-based product
consumption consumption product consumption
categories
Full service restaurants (n = 10,288) Quick service restaurants (n = 7,293)
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018
15
• Visits to Full service & Quick service restaurants by quarter (in million)
Visits to Full Service (FSR) & Quick Service (FSR) restaurants by quarter (in million)
144M
138M
145M
151M service
142M
130M
131M 129M
138M
114M
135M
122M
restaurants
109M
110M 118M 102M
98M
officially took
90M
over as the
-21%
largest
70M
Foodservice
50M channel in
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
16
The growth of Full service restaurants has been fueled
mostly by women, and consumers above 35 years old
Year over Year Traffic Growth rate of key demographic groups in FSR
20% 20%
20% 18%
0%
Male Female Ha Noi HCMC Da Nang 15-24 25-34 35+ Class A Class B Class C Class D
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018 n = 10288
17
• Visit and Average spending per head per visit to Full service Restaurants
Visit and Average spending per head per visit to Full service Restaurants (FSR)
160M
+11%
250K
Indeed,
151M
improving
138M
140M 131M 129M
145M
135M
142M
200K traffic has
118M been the key to
120M 150K
the revival of
100M 100K Full service
89K
78K
95K
83K 89K 85K 88K
77K
restaurants
80M 50K
-7%
60M 0K
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018 n = 10288
18
Within Full service channel, Casual restaurants serving
BBQ and Japanese dishes are the ones with highest
growth rate in 2018
• YOY Traffic growth of key sub-segments in FSR
n = 10288 n = 10288
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018 19
Meanwhile, Quick service outlets have been suffering from
declining visits from all consumer groups, especially the
lower middle class and people aged 25+
• Year over Year Traffic Growth rate of key demographic groups in Quick service restaurants
Year over Year Traffic Growth rate of key demographic groups in Quick Service Restaurants (QSR)
Male Female Ha Noi HCMC Da Nang 15-24 25-34 35+ Class A Class B Class C Class D
0%
-10% -5%
-7%
-20% -16%
-18%
-22% -20% -20% Channel’s growth
-23%
-25% -21%
-30%
-32%
-35%
-40%
-45%
-50%
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018 n = 7293
20
Visit and Average spending per head per visit to Quick service Restaurants (QSR)
170M 250K
It is
151M plummeting
150M
138M 140M 200K footfall that
130M 122M has damaged
114M 150K
110M 102M
109M Quick service
98M
100K restaurants
90M 68K
58K 51K 54K 50K 52K
62K 57K over the past 2
70M
50K years
50M 0K
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
21
Among various types of Quick service outlets, Cafes,
Bakeries and Juice/Smoothie shops are those that witness
the biggest drop in visits
Market share of key sub-segments in QSR -
% visits YOY Traffic growth of key sub-segments in QSR
Juice/
QS Fast Food Smoothie
QS Vietnamese Vietnamese Cafes Bakery restaurants shops
0%
8%
5% Coffee/Tea
8% 32%
Bakery -10%
-10%
Fast Food
-20% -17%
22%
Juice/ Smoothie -22%
25%
-30%
Other -29% -30%
-40%
n = 7293 n = 7293
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018
This does not mean Vietnamese are cutting down on
these products. On the contrary, consumption of coffee,
juice, and smoothies has increased in the past year
Coffee beverage* servings Juice & Smoothies* servings Baked goods* servings
400M 300M 6% 4%
27% 271M
329M 254M 567M
600M 543M
300M
258M
200M
400M
200M
100M
200M
100M
0M 0M 0M
Q4 2016 to Q3 Q4 2017 to Q3 Q4 2016 to Q3 Q4 2017 to Q3 Q4 2016 to Q3 Q4 2017 to Q3
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
* Include non-RTD, freshly prepared * Include non-RTD, freshly prepared *Baked goods include types of
drinks only n=2237 drinks only n=2805 bread, sandwich, cookies, cakes, etc. n=5206
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018
Vietnamese are switching to other channels to
consume these daily food and drink items, leaving
QSR to suffer
YOY Traffic growth with Coffee* YOY Traffic growth with Juice/Smoothie* YOY Traffic growth with Baked goods
consumption in channels - % visits consumption in channels - % visits consumption in channels - % visits
Source: Decision Lab’s Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018
So, what are the key takeaways?
It’s a mixed bag of opportunity and challenges
Vietnamese have started to come back to Full However, their spending per visits has not really
service restaurants improved over the past year
It’s still a tough game for Quick service ➢ Operators do need to re-evaluate the effectiveness
restaurants, especially those selling Coffee/ Tea, of their promotional campaign and make some
Juice/ Smoothie, and Bakeries. changes that aim at higher consumer spending.
26
“Women are the CEO of the
household. They often act as
the chief purchasing officer.
They purchase on behalf of
themselves, but also their
husbands and kids.”
Mary Van Note, partner of Ginger Consulting LLC, a Minneapolis-based branding firm
that’s served names in the industry such as Starbucks, McDonald’s, Taco Bell, and
Sonic Drive-In.
27
The myths about
female diners
28
MYTH 1:
Women are more
likely to be
concerned about
health when
eating out
Compared to men, a significantly lower proportion of women
state “health” as a driver to select a foodservice outlet
MEN WOMEN
16% 12%
C H O S E H E A LT H Y F O O D A N D C H O S E H E A LT H Y F O O D A N D
D R I N K S A S T H E R E A S O N TO V I S I T D R I N K S A S T H E R E A S O N TO
A C E R TA I N O O H O U T L E T C H O O S E A C E R TA I N O O H O U T L E T
Women are also less health-conscious about their food
selections than their counterparts
MEN WOMEN
19% 15%
C H O S E H E A LT H A S T H E R E A S O N C H O S E H E A LT H A S T H E R E A S O N
O F C E R TA I N F O O D C H O I C E O F C E R TA I N F O O D C H O I C E
Women only show more deliberate health concern when it
comes to the drinks they consume
MEN WOMEN
21% 26%
C H O S E H E A LT H A S T H E R E A S O N C H O S E H E A LT H A S T H E R E A S O N
O F C E R TA I N D R I N K C H O I C E O F C E R TA I N D R I N K C H O I C E
MYTH 2:
Women prefer to
sit down and enjoy
their meal on
premises
Women consume on-premises much less than men. They
instead show a higher preference for off-premises
consumption
MEN WOMEN
60% 47%
OF MALE OOH VISITS WERE ON OF FEMALE OOH VISITS WERE ON
PREMISE PREMISE
MYTH 3:
Women love a good
discount and would
use vouchers much
more than men
Women and men are not so different when it comes to using
vouchers/promotions for eating out
MEN WOMEN
6% 7%
OF MALE OOH VISITS UTILIZED OF FEMALE OOH VISITS UTILIZED
VOUCHERS VOUCHERS
Who are the typical female consumers in
the Out of Home market?
• Classes C or D (SEC)
* Source: Decision Lab Foodservice Monitor Aggregate data from Q4 2017 to Q3 2018
To be fair, the traffic growth in the past year came from
both genders, with men bringing in the bigger increase
42
While female consumers have started to spend
visibly more
57,829 đ 59,732 đ 3%
43
YOY Average spending growth by Gender
20%
Indeed,
15%
16%
women have
10%
12%
spent more for
5%
5% 5% Out of Home
2% 2%
0%
1%
Male consumption
Female across all the
-5%
-4%
channels in the
-10%
-12%
-10%
-9%
past year
-15%
-20%
-25% -22%
FSR QSR Street food CVS Canteen Alcohol
places
YOY Traffic growth by consumption type – in % Average spending by consumption type – in VND
30%
23%
E AT ONLY
20% 16%
10%
42,907 VND
2%
0%
-2%
0% E AT & D R INK
-10%
-12% 81,224 VND
-20%
Eat only Drink only Eat & Drink
Male Female
FEMALE AVERAGE SPENDING IN TOTAL OOH
Source: Aggregate Foodservice Monitor data from Q4 2016 to Q3 2018 n = 27591 n = 13339
45
As a result, women’s contribution to the market
revenue has increased by a whopping 10%
-8% +10%
MALE SALES CONTRIBUTION TO THE TOTAL OOH FEMALE SALES CONTRIBUTION TO THE TOTAL OOH
n = 14252 n = 13339
31%
14% 24%
18%
12% Male visits are concentrated on
6% Breakfast and Lunch, while
11% 9% 9% female visits are more spread out
3% across occasions.
Breakfast Morning snack Lunch Afternoon snack Dinner Late night snack
100%
When it comes
5%
to cuisine
7%
1%
8% 4%
100%
68% 68%
62%
47%
50%
27% 30%
19%
2% Male
0%
-2% Female
-13% -15%
-21% -27%
-50% -33%
-52%
-71%
-100%
Fast Food Italian Kitchen BBQ Hotpot Japanese Korean Other Asian Western
• For Food manufacturers, convenient • The growing influence of women on the foodservice market is
solutions for take-away and deliveries real: they are going out more and they are willing to spend
to ease the off-premise consumption more
will definitely get the interest of the • They are not as health conscious when eating out as perceived
female population so no need to stress out on healthy food options for now.
• For Drink manufacturers, “health” is • Make sure most of your offerings include both food and drink
important in your key product items to capture women’s habit.
message. In addition, make sure you
• Look into your menu to see if you can tailor particular items to
have products that capture women
meet women’s snacking needs.
during daytime snacking occasions.
51
Vietnamese’ quest to
explore foreign
cuisine
Definitions
Quick service restaurants and Full service restaurants Quick service restaurants and Full service restaurants
that serve cuisines as below: specialized in Vietnamese cuisine. Pre-coded chains
• Vietnamese include:
Quick service restaurants Full service restaurants specialized Quick service restaurants and Full
specialized in fast food. Pre-coded in Italian cuisine and pizza. Pre- service restaurants specialized in
chains include: coded chains include: higher-end burgers, French and
• KFC • Pizza Hut Mexican cuisines. Pre-coded
chains include:
• Lotteria • Pizza Company
• Al Fresco’s
• Jollibee • Pizza 4P’s
• Relish & Sons
• Domino’s Pizza • Capricciosa
• Jaspas
• Burger King • Pendolasco
• District Federal
• McDonald’s • Namo Artisanal Pizzeria
• Bonjour Resto
• Five Star Chicken and etc.
and etc.
and etc.
54
Definitions
Quick service restaurants and Full Full service restaurants specialized Quick service restaurants and Full
service restaurants specialized in in Hotpot. Pre-coded chains service restaurants specialized in
BBQ, regardless of the grill style include: Japanese cuisine, including sushi,
(e.g. Western, Japanese, Korean…). • Kichi Kichi ramen and udon outlets. Pre-
Pre-coded chains include: coded chains include:
• Hutong – Hot Pot Paradise
• Quan Ut Ut • Sushi Hokkaido Sachi
• Ashima
• SumoBBQ • Tokyo Deli
• Hotpot Story
• Gogi House • Marukame Udon
• ThaiExpress
• King BBQ • Daruma
• MK Restaurants
• Tasaki BBQ • Sushi Kei
and etc.
• Mr. Park • YEN Sushi & Sake Pub
• Pepper Lunch • Sukiya
• Hotto • NamBento
and etc. and etc.
55
Definitions
Quick service restaurants and Full service restaurants Quick service restaurants and Full service restaurants
specialized in Korean cuisine, including Korean fried specialized in Chinese, Thai and Indian cuisine. Pre-
chicken outlets. Pre-coded chains include: coded chains include:
• K-Food • Crystal Jade Kitchen
• Poki Poki • San Fu Lou
• Mi Han Quoc • Baozi
• Hanuri • Bamboo Dimsum
• GAXEO Chicken • Lac Thai
• Don Chicken • Tuk Tuk Thai Bistro
• Papa’s Chicken • Tandoor
and etc. • Spices
and etc.
56
Preference of cuisines in Full Service and Quick Service Restaurants - % visits
The
dominance of
Vietnamese
80% 5% 2%1%1%
1%
1%
%1% cuisine in the
Out of Home
market is
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
undisputable
*Full Service and Quick Service Restaurants, excluding Coffee/Tea, Bakery, Juice/Smoothie and Ice Cream n = 13730
outlets
Besides the obvious advantage of convenience, Vietnamese
cuisine claims its dominance thanks to the innate ability to
replace home cooked meals
60% 53%
47%
44%
41% 40%
40% 35% 36% 37%
32% 33% 33%
30% 31%
27%
20%
0%
Convenient Did not want to Quality of food Clean Taste of food Good value for Friendly service
location cook environment money
58
Vietnamese dishes are typically chosen to satisfy hunger
quickly, conveniently, and at a good value for money
60%
51% 51%
40% 35%
30%
27% 27% 25%
24% 23% 22% 21% 21%
20% 17%
13%
10% 9% 9% 8%
6% 5%
2% 3%
0%
Favorite dish Convenience Good value Hunger To energize Health To share To eat alone To treat To try Other
for money myself something
Vietnamese cuisine Non-Vietnamese cuisine new
59
Fast food, the biggest type of non-Vietnamese
cuisine consumed, has been suffering from a
significant lost of traffic year over year…
Market share of non-VN cuisines in FSR and QSR in year ending Q3 2018
- % visits Fast food outlet visits
1%
Fast Food
-17%
8%
BBQ
9%
Other Asian
39%
9% Hotpot
Italian Kitchen
10% Japanese YOY TR A F F IC G R O W TH
10% Korean
13%
Western
n = 2962
60%
…leaving the
49%
46%
37%
market to the
40%
23%
giant hands of
20% players
0%
specialized in
-6% BBQ, Hotpot
-20% -17% and Japanese
-40%
-40%
cuisine
-60%
-61%
-80%
Fast Food BBQ Other Hotpot Italian Japanese Korean Western
Asian Kitchen
61
• YOY average spending growth of non-VN cuisines
Average spending per head per visit and YOY growth among types of Non-Vietnamese cuisine
YOY average spending growth % Average spending in year ending 2018 (VND)
62
Consequently, the market pie has shifted significantly:
further away from Western foods and heavily toward
Asian-centric cuisine
Market share of non-VN cuisines in FSR and YOY sales contribution growth of non-VN cuisines
QSR in year ending 2018 - % sales
80%
59%
51%
43%
Fast Food 38% 34%
40%
8%1% BBQ
23%
10% Japanese
Hotpot
0%
11%
Italian Kitchen
20% Other Asian -40% -25%
12%
Korean -42%
14%
Western -59%
-80%
Fast BBQ Japanese Hotpot Italian Other Korean Western
Food Kitchen Asian
n = 2962 n = 2962
BBQ H OTP OT JA PA NE S E
YOY VISITS INCREASE YOY VISITS INCREASE YOY VISITS INCREASE
40% 42%
BBQ and Japanese cuisine are
more preferred for dinner, while
38% 50% Hotpot strikes a balance and is
equally chosen for both meals.
Lunch time Dinner time
100%
Hotpot and
21% 19% BBQ
80%
35%
restaurants
27% show amazing
60%
44% capability to
39% accommodate
40%
consumers’
55% needs across
20%
35%
27% different party
0%
sizes
BBQ Restaurants Hotpot Restaurants Japanese Restaurants
Vietnamese eat Vietnamese food, but they have ➢ To Operators currently in these winning
also shown more appetite for BBQ and Asian- segment, stay focused, listen to your consumers
centric cuisine such as Hotpot and Japanese and be ready to adapt as competition from new
foods. and current players is definitely getting more
fierce.
Young female consumers are the growth
engine of restaurants offering these cuisines. ➢ To all Operators that specialize in foreign cuisine,
look into how you can adapt some of these
restaurants’ success drivers, e.g. facilitative
environment for special occasions, appeal to
women, great service, exciting interaction
between consumers and food, etc.