ENGSTAT: QUIZ 2

*__ NAME: ______________________________

I. Choose the best answer. Show you solutions for each problem solving item. Write your answers on the
first page of your test booklet. (70 PTS)

1. Building J has 9 elevators. In how many ways can Edward reach the 13th floor and leave the same
floor by any elevator?
(A) 18 (B) 81 (C) 72 (D) 22
2. Tony has 5 different polo and 4 trousers. Assuming that each polo can be worn with each trousers,
how many different polo-trousers does he have?
(A) 24 (B) 20 (C) 36 (D) 72
3. John needs two additional secretaries, one for making his coffee and another one for taking down
notes for him. In how many ways can these positions be filled if there are 9 applicants for making
his coffee and 5 applicants for taking down notes for him?
(A) 14 (B) 42 (C) 45 (D) 50
4. Three married couples have purchased tickets for a stage play. Spouses are to be seated next to
each other and the six seats are in a row. In how many ways can the six people be seated?
(A) 96 (B) 12 (C) 24 (D) 48
5. Three members of an organization volunteered to serve as President, Treasurer, and Secretary. In
how many ways can the three assume the positions?
(A) 5 (B) 6 (C) 12 (D) 8
6. Find the largest possible number of trials necessary to unlock a safe with a four-digit access code.
Luckily, you know the digits are 2, 3, 6, 8 but not the order of the digits.
(A) 24 (B) 48 (C) 36 (D) 96
7. In how many different ways can a chairperson and secretary be selected from a committee of 9
people?
(A) 18 (B) 36 (C) 72 (D) 81
8. A basketball team consists of two centers, five forwards, and four guards In how many ways can
the coach selects a starting five of one center, two forwards, and two guards?
(A) 100 (B) 120 (C) 60 (D) 30
9. During an acquaintance party, each person shakes hands with all the other in the party. If there
were a total of 91 handshakes, how many persons attended the party?
(A) 12 (B) 13 (C) 14 (D) 15
 10. If 60 of a department store’s customer are female and 75 of the female customers have charge
accounts at the store, what Is the probability that a customer selected at random is a female and
has a charge account?
(A) 0.45 (B) 0.35 (C) 0.38 (D) 0.42
11. Which of the following are true statements?
I. The probability of an event is always at least 0 and at most 1.
II. The probability that an event will happen is always 1 minus the probability that it won’t happen.
III. If two events are mutually exclusive, the probability that at least one event will occur is the
sum of the respective probabilities of the two events.
(A) I and II (B) I and III (C) II and III (D) I, II, and III
12. Suppose that there are five outcomes to an experiment and a program in the computer generates
the respective probabilities of the outcomes to be 0.4, 0.5, 0.3, 0, and -0.2. The proper conclusion
is that;
(A) The sum of probabilities is equal to 1.
(B) It is not possible to have an outcome of 0.
(C) One of the outcomes will occur 50% of the time.
(D) There is an error in the computer program.

Item 13 – 14: High school students were classified both according to GPA and whether or not they are
consistently skipped classes. The table below shows the summary of the results.

Grade Point Average

<2.0 2.0 – 3.0 >3.0 Total
Many skipped 80 25 5 110
Classes
Few skipped 175 450 265 890
classes
255 475 270

13. What is the probability that a student has a GPA between 2.0 and 3.0?
(A) 0.025 (B) 0.227 (C) 0.450 (D) 0.475
14. What is the probability that a student has a GPA under 2.0 given that he has skipped many classes?
(A) 0.080 (B) 0.281 (C) 0.314 (D) 0.727
15. Suppose you toss a coin ten times and it comes up heads every time. Which of the following is an
accurate statement?
(A)By the law of large numbers, the next toss is more likely to be tails than another heads.
 (B)By the properties of conditional probability, the next toss is more likely to be heads given that
ten tosses in a row have been heads.
(C)The probability that the next toss will be head is 0.5
(D)The next toss is more likely to be head because what comes up on the next toss is influenced
by the past tosses.

16. A computer technician notes that 40% of computers fail because of the hard drive, 25% because of
the monitor, 20% because of disk drive, and 15% because of the microprocessor. If the problem is
not in the monitor, what is the probability that it is in the hard drive?
(A) 0.400 (B) 0.533 (C) 0.625 (D) 0.750
17. Suppose that among 6,000 students at a High School, 1500 are taking tutorial courses and 1800
prefer joining extracurricular activities. If taking tutorial courses and joining extracurricular
activities are independent, how many students are both taking tutorial courses and join
extracurricular activities?
(A) 300 (B) 330 (C) 450 (D) 825
18. How many different outcomes are possible if a die is tossed seven times?
(A) 42 (B) 5040 (C) 117,649 (D) 279,936
19. Suppose that 2% of a clinic’s patients are known to have cancer. A blood test is developed that is
positive in 98% of patients with cancer, but is also positive in 3% of patients who do not have
cancer. If a person who is chosen at random from the clinic’s patients is given the test and it comes
out positive, what is the probability that the person is actually has cancer?
(A) 0.02 (B) 0.40 (C) 0.50 (D) 0.60
20. Supposed that there are “n” persons enters a chess tournament in which each person is to play one
game against each other. What is the total number of games played?
(A) 2n/(n-1) (B) 2(n-1)/n (C) n(n-2)/2 (D) n(n-1)/2
21. The distribution of data from the following events are examples of Poisson distribution except;
(A) the height of males in a class (C) the number of defective machine
(B) the number of storms per year (D) the number of graduates per program
22. Find the probability of getting a prime number thrice by tossing a die 5 times.
(A) 31.25% (C) 33.55%
(B) 32.45% (D) 34.65%
23. A box contains 50 hinges of which 10 are defective. A robot grabs 5 hinges simultaneously from
the box at random. Assuming that the hinges are separately identifiable, find the probability that
not more than two hinges grabbed by the robot are defective?
(A) 2948/3125
(B) 2942/3125
(C) 2946/3125
 (D) 2944/3125
24. The yearly mortality rate for Filipino from prostate cancer has been constant for decades at about
25 of every 100,000 men. This rate has not changed in spite of new diagnostic techniques and new
treatments. In a group of 100 Filipino men, what is the probability that at least 1 will die from
prostate cancer in a given year?
25. (A) 0.0025 (B) 0.0247 (C) 0.0975 (D) 0.975
26. The probability of a simple event is equal to 1 divided by the total number of outcomes for the
experiment.
(A) Classical Probability
(B) Relative Frequency Concept of Probability
(C) Subjective Probability
(D) False Probability
27. A coffee machine can be adjusted to deliver any fixed number of ounces of coffee. If the machine
has a standard deviation in delivery equal to 0.40 ounces, what should be the mean setting so that
an 8-ounces cup will overflow only 2.5% of the time?
(A) 7.22 ounces (B) 7.99 ounces (C) 8.01 ounces (D) 8.78 ounces
28. Population P1 and P2 are normally distributed and have identical means. However, the standard
deviation of P1 is twice the standard deviation of P2. What can be said about the percentage of
observation falling within two standard deviation of the mean for each population?
(A) The percentage for P1 is twice the percentage for P2.
(B) The percentage for P1 is greater than, but not necessarily twice, the percentage of P2.
(C) The percentages are identical.
(D) The information is incomplete to compare the percentage of observation.
29. For various outcomes for the corresponding experiments care not equally likely. Also, uses past
data or generate new data by performing experiment a large number of times.
(A) Classical Probability (C) Subjective Probability
(B) Relative Frequency Concept of Probability (D) Law of Large Numbers
30. The probability assigned to an event based on subjective judgment, experience, information, and
belief.
(A) Classical Probability
(B) Relative Frequency Concept of Probability
(C) Continuous Probability Distribution
(D) Subjective Probability
31. According to SWS poll taken in September 2014, 15% of the public have responded to a telephone
call-in poll. In a random group of five people, what is the probability that exactly two people have
responded to a call-in poll?
(A) 0.138 (B) 0.165 (C) 0.300 (D) 0.835
 32. A basketball player sinks 50% of his shots. What is the probability that he makes exactly 3 of his
next 4 shots?
(A) 0.5 (B) 0.3333 (C) 0.25 (D) 0.75
33. Find the probability of getting a prime number thrice by tossing a die 5 times.
(A) 31.25% (B) 32.45% (C) 33.55% (D) 34.65%
34. Find the probability of getting exactly 12 out of 30 questions on a true or false question?
A) 6% (B) 7% (C) 8% (D) 9%
35. What is your probability of getting exactly half of the answers correct if you guess the first 34
items of part I of this exam?
(A) 0.001021 (B) 0.01821 (C) 0.00690 (D) 0.009

II. Problem Solving (30 PTS)

1. Assume that the number of telephone calls coming into the central switchboard of an office building is
distributed as a Poisson random variable. The average number of telephone call coming into the
switchboard is four calls per minute.
a. Find the probability that no calls will arrive in a given 1-minute period. (0.0183)
b. Find the probability that at least two calls will arrive in a given 1-minute period. (0.908)
c. Find the probability that at least two calls will arrive in a given 2-minute period. (0.997)