Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
James Heckman
University of Chicago
and
University College Dublin
“It doesn’t matter if you try and try and try again, and fail. It
matters much if you try and fail, and fail to try again.”
– Charles Kettering
“OCEAN”
Openness Agreeableness
Conscientiousness
Extraversion Neuroticism
“Grit” Persistence
Tenacity
PISA AFQT
NCLB
rgument
kills
vidence .10
Probability
ritical and
ensitive
eriods
.05
nvironment
ntuitive
stimates .00
lustration 0 – 20 21 – 40 41 – 60 61 – 80 81 – 100
Percentile
ummary
Cognitive
Noncognitive
Note: This figure plots the probability of a given behavior associated with moving up in one ability distribution for someone after
Note: This figure
integratingplots thedistribution.
out the other probability ofthealinesgiven
For example, behavior
with markers associated
show the effect with ability
of increasing noncognitive moving
after up
in one ability integrating the cognitive ability.
distribution for someone after integrating out the other distribution. For
example, the lines with markers show the effect of increasing noncognitive ability after
integrating the cognitive ability.
Source: Heckman, Stixrud, and Urzua (2006).
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0
-0.2 -0.2
-0.4 -0.4
-0.6 -0.6
-0.8 -0.8
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile of Cognitive Capability Distribution Decile of Socioemotional Capability Distribution
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0
-0.2 -0.2
-0.4 -0.4
-0.6 -0.6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile of Cognitive Capability Distribution Decile of Socioemotional Capability Distribution
olarization .10
gument
kills
.08
vidence
Probability
itical and
.06
ensitive
eriods
nvironment .04
tuitive
stimates .02
ustration 0 – 20 21 – 40 41 – 60 61 – 80 81 – 100
Percentile
ummary
Cognitive
Noncognitive
Note: This figure plots the probability of a given behavior associated with moving up in one ability distribution for someone after
integrating out the other distribution. For example, the lines with markers show the effect of increasing noncognitive ability after
Note: This figure
integratingplots theability.
the cognitive probability of a given behavior associated with moving up
in one ability distribution for someone after integrating out the other distribution. For
example, the lines with markers show the effect of increasing noncognitive ability after
Source:
integrating the Heckman,
cognitive Stixrud, and Urzua (2006).
ability.
0.8 0.8
Probability and
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile Decile
Notes: The data are simulated from the estimates of the model and our NLSY79 sample. We use the standard convention that higher deciles are associated with higher values of the variable.
The confidence intervals are computed using bootstrapping (200 draws).
2.5
2.0
2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10
Decile
Notes: The data are simulated from the estimates of the model and our NLSY79 sample. We use the standard convention that higher
deciles are associated with higher values of the variable. The confidence intervals are computed using bootstrapping (50 draws).
Probability
Probability of daily smoking by age 18 (males)
0.4
0.2
0
2 2
4 4
6 6
8 8
Decile of Cognitive
10 10 Decile of Noncognitive
0.8 0.8
Probability and
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile Decile
Notes: The data are simulated from the estimates of the model and our NLSY79 sample. We use the standard convention that higher deciles are associated with higher values of the variable.
The confidence intervals are computed using bootstrapping (200 draws).
1 1
0.8 0.8
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile of Cognitive Capability Distribution Decile of Socioemotional Capability Distribution
1 1
0.8 0.8
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0.9 0.9
0.8 0.8
0.7 0.7
0.6 0.6
0.5 0.5
0.4 0.4
0.3 0.3
0.2 0.2
0.1 0.1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile of Cognitive Capability Distribution Decile of Socioemotional Capability Distribution
0.6 0.6
0.5 0.5
0.4 0.4
0.3 0.3
0.2 0.2
0.1 0.1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile of Cognitive Capability Distribution Decile of Socioemotional Capability Distribution
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0
-0.2 -0.2
-0.4 -0.4
-0.6 -0.6
-0.8 -0.8
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile of Cognitive Capability Distribution Decile of Socioemotional Capability Distribution
0.9 0.9
0.8 0.8
0.7 0.7
0.6 0.6
0.5 0.5
0.4 0.4
0.3 0.3
0.2 0.2
0.1 0.1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile of Cognitive Capability Distribution Decile of Socioemotional Capability Distribution
0.55 0.55
0.5 0.5
0.45 0.45
0.4 0.4
0.35 0.35
0.3 0.3
0.25 0.25
0.2 0.2
0.15 0.15
0.1 0.1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Decile of Cognitive Capability Distribution Decile of Socioemotional Capability Distribution
1
Mean cognitive score
.5
0
3 5 8 18
Age (years)
College grad Some college HS Grad Less than HS
Each score standardized within observed sample. Using all observations and assuming
data missing at random. Source: Brooks-Gunn et al. (2006).
ation 55
ent
50
45
Score Percentile
ce
40
and
ve 35
30
nment
e 25
tes 20
Cognitive Dynamics
105
100 Treatment
95
90
IQ
85
80 Control
75
Entry 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Age
1
.8
.8
.6
.6
density
density
.4
.4
.2
.2
0
0
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5
.6
.5
.5
.4
.4
density
density
.3
.3
.2
.2
.1
.1
0
0
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5
.08
.08
.06
.06
density
density
.04
.04
.02
.02
0
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
percentile percentile
Notes: The total treatment effects are shown in parentheses. Each bar represents the total treatment effect normalized to 100
percent. One-sided p-values are shown above each component of the decomposition. “CAT total” denotes California
Achievement Test total score normalized to control mean zero and variance of one. Asterisks denote statistical significance: *
– 10 percent level; ** – 5 percent level; *** – 1 percent level. Monthly income is adjusted to thousands of year-2006 dollars
Notes: The total treatment effects are shown in parentheses. Each bar represents the total treatment effect normalized to 100
percent. One-sided p-values are shown above each component in each outcome. “CAT total” denotes California Achievement
Test total score normalized to control mean zero and variance of one. Asterisks denote statistical significance: * – 10 percent
The 1986-87 Jamaican Study enrolled 129 stunted children age 9-24 months that lived
in poor disadvantaged neighborhoods of Kingston, Jamaica (Walker et al., 1990).
Gave psychosocial stimulation to growth-retarded toddlers living in poverty in Jamaica
in the late 80’s.
The intervention was a one-hour weekly visit from a community health worker over a
2-year period that taught and encouraged mothers to interact and play with their
children in ways that would develop their children’s cognitive and socio-emotional skills.
Large effects on earnings of a randomized intervention that gave cognitive and
socioemotional stimulation to stunted toddlers living in poverty.
Nutritional supplement effects were transient. Stimulation substantially increased
average earnings and employment for both genders.
Treatment group earnings caught-up to the earnings of a matched non-stunted
comparison group.
The findings show that simple socio-emotional stimulation early in childhood in
disadvantaged settings can have a substantial effects on labor market outcomes and
reduce inequality later in life.
A main mechanism is through personality skills.
Average job 0.7
Average job Full Time
0.7
0.6 0.6
0.5 0.5
0.4 0.4
0.3 0.3
0.2 0.2
0.1 0.1
0 0
‐2 ‐1.5 ‐1 ‐0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 ‐2 ‐1.5 ‐1 ‐0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
0.8
TCfjT_d TCfjC_d
0.7
Average job Non Temp TCfjT_d TCfjC_d
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
‐2 ‐1.5 ‐1 ‐0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
0.7
Cognitive 0.7
Externalizing
0.6 0.6
0.5 0.5
0.4 0.4
0.3 0.3
0.2 0.2
0.1 0.1
0 0
‐2 ‐1.5 ‐1 ‐0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 ‐2 ‐1.5 ‐1 ‐0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
0.8
TCfjT_d TCfjC_d
0.7
Internalizing TCfjT_d TCfjC_d
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
‐2 ‐1.5 ‐1 ‐0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2