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Bright Yellow = Can Edit

Matt Yellow = Past Data or My


Assumptions TOP Market Market
See Others Tabs for Charts All Time High # Coins Cap Share Safe Margin & Go To Majority # Coins
Valuation vs Trendline 730% -35%
Date 7-Jan-2018 25-Nov-2018
Trendline (Log Regression) 100B 200B
Price Tot Market Cap 830B 130B
Bitcoin Cash ($BCH) $3,785 16.8M 63.5B 7.7% $190 17.5M
Ethereum ($ETH) $1,448 96.8M 140.2B 16.9% $111 103.8M
Bitcoin Core ($BTC) $19,665 16.9M 332.3B 40.0% $3,800 17.4M
Tesla ($TSLA) $383
Crypto Exposure 10% 51%
Cash / Tesla 90% 49%
Portfolio Value
Crypto Exposure
Invest / Divest Crypto
BCH u Buy? / Total
ETH u Buy? / Total
BTC u Buy? / Total
Cash / Tesla
This Step ON=1/OFF=0
How Much
Market Loss vs Low & Should Market Loss vs More Loss Top
Cap Domin. ATH Be Invested # Coins Cap Domin. ATH than BTC? Rebound # Coins
-50% 4%
15-Dec-2018 30-May-2019
209B 271B
105B 282B
3.3B 2.6% -95% $75 17.5M 1.3B 1.3% -98% 16.71% $470 17.8M
11.5B 8.9% -92% $83 103.8M 8.6B 8.2% -94% 12.25% $280 106.4M
66.2B 50.9% -81% $3,150 17.4M 54.9B 52.5% -84% $8,900 17.7M
$190 178.0M
61% 26%
39% 74%
Domin. Domin.
------- 90% Chance -------
Market Loss vs Market % Portf. New High Market % Portf.
Cap Domin. ATH Today # Coins Cap Tot. Coins Undervaluat. # Coins Cap Tot. Coins
-8% -55%
8-Jun-2019 1-Aug-2019
276B 300B
254B 135B
8.4B 3.0% -88% $395 17.8M 7.0B 2.8% $172 17.8M 3.1B 2.3%
29.8B 10.6% -81% $248 106.4M 26.4B 10.4% $109 105.9M 11.6B 8.6%
157.9B 56.0% -55% $8,000 17.7M 142.0B 55.9% $4,065 17.7M 71.9B 53.2%
$205 178.0M
46% 64%
54% 36%
$100,000 $74,030
$0 0% $20,030 27%
$46,000 46% $27,271 37%
116 116 0 116
185 185 0 185
5.8 5.8 0 5.8
$54,000 54% $54,000 73%
0
Domin. Domin.
Loss From 75% Chance ------- Loss From 60% Chance -------
Top Test/Double Market % Portf. Top NEW Market % Portf.
Rebound Bottom # Coins Cap Tot. Coins Rebound Bottom # Coins Cap Tot. Coins
-63% -80%
1-Sep-2019 1-Oct-2019
330B 363B
121B 73B
-63% $135 17.8M 2.4B 2.0% -71% $42 17.8M 748.3M 1.0%
-61% $88 105.9M 9.3B 7.7% -69% $35 105.9M 3.7B 5.1%
-54% $3,465 17.7M 61.3B 50.4% -61% $1,958 17.7M 34.6B 47.6%

69% 80%
31% 20%
$69,723 $36,540
$15,723 23% $15,049 41%
$32,509 47% $14,183 39%
241 357 337 694
369 555 407 962
9 15.1 7 22.4
$21,491 31% $7,308 20%
1 1
Safe Margin &
Loss From Go To Pot. Potential Top Pot.
Top Minority Market Rew. (4y after Market Rew.
Rebound Exposure # Coins Cap Domin. 100x? Bottom) # Coins Cap Domin. 100x?
350% 750%
1-May-2023 1-Jul-2023
3.0T 3.2T
13.5T 27.2T
-91% $47,583 19.3M 0.9T 7% 120 $143,805 19.3M 2.8T 10% 364
-88% $15,588 130.0M 2.0T 15% 63 $47,110 130.0M 6.1T 23% 190
-78% $70,311 19.2M 1.4T 10% 9 $212,494 19.2M 4.1T 15% 27
$1,605 249.2M 0.4T 8 $6,421 249.2M 1.6T 31
49% 10%
51% 90%
years 2011 2013 2018 2023.25
bull (bottom to top) 1 2 3 3.75
bear (top to bottom) (=1/2 Bear) 0.5 1 1.5
total cycle 1.5 3 4.5
longer cycle compared to previous cycle 100% 50% 25%
Last chart by Awe & Wonder, done 3th Of May 2019

Help on how to estimate where trendline exactly is in future, If trendline is: % between
1/8th between 1T and 10T, is 1.5T 1 8 12.50%
18.75%
1/4th between 1T and 10T, is 1.8T 1 4 25.00%
1/3rd between 1T and 10T, is 2.1T 1 3 33.33%
1/2 between 1T and 10T, is 3.2T 1 2 50.00%
2/3rd between 1T and 10T, is 4.6T 2 3 66.67%
3/4th between 1T and 10T, is 5.6T 3 4 75.00%
81.25%
7/8th between 1T and 10T, is 7.5T 7 8 87.50%
Equals in Log 1T to 10T Billion
0.15 1.5 1,500
0.17 1.7 1,650
0.18 1.8 1,800
0.21 2.1 2,100
0.32 3.2 3,200
0.46 4.6 4,600
0.56 5.6 5,600
0.66 6.6 6,550
0.75 7.5 7,500
This chart is a photoshop update on 21st of May 2019, so trendline was not recalculated with latest data and only is calculated
atest data and only is calculated till 3th of May, see other tab

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