Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
FINAL REPORT
February 2012
Prepared for:
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
Prepared by:
Oriental Consultants Co., Ltd.
Ides Co., Ltd.
PREFACE
This report shows the results of the “Study on Private-Initiative Infrastructure Projects in Developing Countries in
FY2011” contract awarded by The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry to Oriental Consultants Co., Ltd and
Ides Co., Ltd.
This study, “Study on the New Cebu Container Port and the Redevelopment of the Existing Cebu Port in the
Republic of the Philippines” deals with the issue of a new container terminal development project to cope with the
problems caused by the congestion of the existing Cebu port and the shallow water depth of the Cebu international
container berths. The feasibility to realize the project for construction of the New Cebu Container Port and for
Redevelopment of the Existing Cebu Port are studied to ensure the success of this Project. The total cost of the
project is estimated as Japanese Yen 17.8 billion (equivalent 9.9 billion pesos) including VAT.
We, all members of the Study Team, hope this study will contribute to putting the plan into practice, and will be
gratified if the result helps the relevant government officials understand and drive the Project forward.
February 2012
Oriental Consultants Co., Ltd.
Ides Co., Ltd.
Project Site Map (1)
Manila
Key Plan of
Philippines
0 25 50 km
Location Map
(Source: Study Team)
Cebu Baseport
Proposed Site
Minglanilla of New Port
(Consolacion)
Cebu South
Mactan North
Mactan South
0 5km 10km
Executive Summary
(1) Background and Necessity of the Project .......................................................................................... 1
(2) Basic Policy Concerning Decisions on Project Content .................................................................... 3
(3) Description of the Project .................................................................................................................. 18
(4) Implementation Schedule ................................................................................................................... 25
(5) Feasibility of Implementation ............................................................................................................ 27
(6) Possible Japanese Firms’ Participation in the Proposed Project ........................................................ 29
(7) Concrete Schedule for Realizing the Project and Risks Inhibiting Its Realization ................................ 30
(8) Project Location Map ......................................................................................................................... 32
The Study of the development of Cebu Port was started with the JICA report, ”The Study on the Cebu Integrated
Port Development Plan in the Republic of the Philippines” in 2002 In the JICA Study the short-term and
long-term development plans were proposed including preliminary design, cost estimate, economical/financial
analysis and environmental and social impacts assessment.
After the JICA report in 2002, a study on the feasibility of Japan’s ODA loan, which focused particularly on
STEP ODA in 2003, was conducted by the study group which was commissioned by the Ministry of Economy,
Trade and Industry in Japan.
In the study report made by JICA in 2004, “The Study on the Master Plan for the Strategic Development of the
National Port System in the Republic of the Philippines,” PPOSS (Philippine Port System Strategy) worked out a
strategic national port master plan with the target year 2024 and an urgent development plan with the target year
2009. Cebu Port is designated as one of six major national gateway ports (major ports for international container
trade) in this national plan.
In addition, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA) issued a report in 2010, “The
Comprehensive Asia Development Plan,” in which Cebu Port is also identified as the major port of the Philippines
that needs to be developed urgently.
However, due to a policy change by the proponent of CPA, a proposal for development by a private investor and
no agreement by the local government, development of the New Cebu Port has not materialized.
Ten years have passed since the JICA study in 2002. Nowadays, the congestion has become more serious due to
increasing cargo volume. The congestion of the international and domestic container terminals is remarkable. In
order to handle the increasing container cargo, two quayside gantry cranes installed in 2003 were increased to four
gantry cranes in 2010 and will increase to five gantry cranes in 2012 with seventeen RTGs. For other
cargoesexcept containers, due to the very narrow apron area, congestion during the loading and unloading is much
more serious. Therefore, the efficiency of cargo handling decreases and the safety of port operations will become
an issue.
According to information from the shipping companies, the water depth in front of the wharf is too shallow for
efficient and economical international shipping operation from/to Kaohsiung, Pusan, Hong Kong and Singapore.
They have a lease contract for empty container stocking in the city proper because of the lack of available land in
the terminal. Deepening of the berth to accommodate bigger container ships is very difficult because of the
structure of the berth, pier type with a retaining wall. Expansion of the wharf into the sea is also difficult due to
the narrow strait between Cebu Island and Mactan Island.
1
The Aquino Government started in 2010, announced that national projects should utilize a PPP scheme in order to
reduce the governmental burden by introducing private investment. DOTC follows the same policy and is
examining their handling projects on the practicality of introducing PPP schemes.
In this Study, the past study JICA 2002 is reviewed taking into account the recent economy and port surrounding
conditions. Then, the Project will be renewed applying a PPP scheme, i.e., survey how we can introduce private
investment to the Project considering finance methods and procedures.
On the other hand, the cooperating proponent, Mitsubishi Corporation, intends to participate in the operation of
the new container terminal as one of the Japanese groups considering partnership with Filipino companies and to
confirm the realization of the Project. Another proponent, Nippon Steel Corporation, intends to participate in the
supply and construction of the large steel pipe sheet pile type structure for the New Cebu Port. This Study
examines and evaluates the various procedures for construction of the New Cebu Container Terminal and for port
development and shall provide a proposal with action plans from the viewpoints of the private firms in order to
ensure implementation.
2
(2) Basic Policy Concerning Decisions on Project Content
In the 2002 JICA Report, five candidate sites were proposed as shown in Figure 1. As the PPP scheme is
assumed for this project, the estimated construction cost is used as the most important factor for evaluation of the
site selection even though other factors such as ease of access to the New Port and safe navigation of the ships are
also important. To compare the sites, rough port planning was done to calculate the major volume of quantity such
as dredging, reclamation, container berth and breakwaters to estimate the construction cost. The Consolacion site
is the most economical and recommendable considering evaluation factors as shown in Figure 2. Therefore, the
preliminary design, cost estimate of the Project implementation, and economical and financial analysis were made
based on the Consolacion site.
Cebu Baseport
Minglanilla Consolacion
Cebu South
Mactan North
Mactan South
3
Figure 2 Comparison of Construction Cost for Candidate Sites
5%
A1 83% Assume 1.0
Consolacion 12%
A3 Breakwater
83% 92% 24% 47% 2.5
Mactan South Reclamation Dredging Road
2) Technical Review
- Economic Framework
The Government of the Philippines formulated the basic strategic policy on national economic development
entitled, “The Philippine Development Plan 2011 – 2016.” In this Plan, the Government sets the corresponding
targets of a high economic growth rate of 7 to 8% per year for at least 6 years. On the other hand, considering
growth rate forecast of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), an annual growth rate of 4.9% until 2016 and
5.0% after 2016 has been established in this study as a conservative estimate.
- Cargo Demand
The actual annual growth rate of the total cargo volume was over 3% after 2000 at Cebu Baseport. A high
correlation (coefficient of determination=0.8297) has been observed between total cargo volume and GRDP.
Based on the above growth rate of the economic framework, total cargo volumes are estimated as 16 million tons
and 24 million tons in 2020 and 2030 respectively.
- Forecast by type of trade
Cargo volume of import, export, domestic loading, and domestic unloading are forecasted either through
correlation analysis or elasticity analysis with GRDP. Import growth rate is the biggest among all cargoes from
2010 to 2030 and import cargo will reach 7.9 million MT around 2030, which exceeds the domestic unloading
volume of 7.8 million MT.
- Forecast by Package Type
4
Four package types of bulk cargo, break-bulk cargo, container cargo, and rolling were forecasted. Shares by
package type are set for each trade type taking into account the past achievements and recent development. Thus,
cargo volume by trade type and by package type can be estimated.
- Demand Forecast for International Containers (TEU)
To forecast the future foreign container volume, a correlation analysis between container volume (TEU) and
GRDP of Region VII is implemented. A high correlation between the two variables is confirmed with a
determination coefficient of 94.0%. Resultant foreign container volume is estimated at 343,000 TEU in 2020, and
594,000 TEU in 2030.
Cargo volume by trade type by package type can be estimated as shown in Table 1.
Among international container, domestic container, international bulk and international general cargo, the rate of
increase in the international container demand forecast is 5.5% per year and the others are 2.5%. The tariff of
domestic container handling is set at 60 - 70% of the international container value. Therefore, the priority to move
international containers to the New Port is thought to be highest from the viewpoint of financial feasibility for the
private terminal operator.
The timing of opening the New Port should be adjusted to the time the cargo volume of the existing port reaches
5
its full capacity. The handling capacity of the international container terminal of the existing port is estimated as
approximately 300,000 TEU per year. Referring to the result of the demand forecast curve, the time of opening
the New Port is proposed to be the year 2018. The initial capacity of container handling of the New Port is
expected to be 400,000 TEU per year and is scheduled to increase to 500,000 TEU per year by 2023 by installing
additional QCs and RTGs. The demand forecast of international container and New Port development are shown
in Figure 3.
700
Phase 2 Expansion
600
500
200
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2018
2023
Year
The berth length of the New Port is considered as two berths in order to prevent ship-waiting time. With a long
berth one next generation container ship of 3,000 TEU and one present average sized ship of 1,000 TEU can berth
at the same time. Also, the long berth can accommodate two ships of the present maximum size of 2,000 TEU at
the same time as shown Figure 4.
The location of the reclamation area has been decided to be the area where sea level is around 0.00 m in order to
6
minimize reclamation and dredging volume and the location of the berth to be the area where sea level is around
-13.0 m. The reclamation area is moved 200 m to the south from the JICA study. The reclamation area is located
approximately 250 m from the shoreline so that the mangrove plants can be saved by water exchange through tide
flow. The access road is planned to be an elevated bridge-way for the same reason. The layout plan of New Cebu
Port is shown in Figure 5.
The container terminal layout is planned with consideration of the maximum handling capacity of 500,000 TEU
containers. Four gantry cranes (initially three) with a capacity of 15 container rows, a 450 m long berth, a terminal
area, and a back yard for port operation facilities have been studied as shown Figure 6.
Cebu North Coastal Road is one of the major development projects of the DPWH in the Metro Cebu area to
develop Cebu province. A length of 1.39 km out of 6 km of Cebu North Coastal Road was completed in 2009 by
DPWH. The new access road of the New Cebu Container Port will be connected to Cebu North Coastal Road.
Two traffic lanes are required for each direction based on the traffic forecast and an elevated bridge-way on the
shoreline and a cutting mound type road near Cebu North Coastal Road has been designed. A trumpet type
interchange near Cebu North Coastal Road will be constructed by DPWH. The terminal layout and bird’s eye
view are shown in Figures 6 and 7.
7
Figure 6 Terminal Layout Plan of New Cebu Port
8
- Cebu Baseport
A study must be done on reorganizing the existing port functions after shifting the international container terminal
from the existing port to the New Port. In addition, in redevelopment of the existing port, it is also important to
establish a safe and convenient port station and to create commercial space closely related to the people’s life
activities.
The background and necessity of the redevelopment Project are explained from following points:
- CPA has to reshuffle the layout of the existing port based on the future port demand forecast.
- Income from the international container terminal will vanish for the existing port. It is considered that the
Project is a financially closed unit in which the financial aspects of the New Port are separate from those of
the existing port. In order to raise the feasibility of the Project, cost saving and introduction of alternative
income sources will be required.
- It has been observed that the high risk of accidents in the cargo handling operation and passenger traffic is
mainly due to the narrowness of the cargo yard in the vicinity of the quay-wall. It is essential that CPA ensure
improvement of the safety.
- The guarantee of a safe and comfortable trip is important for passengers who use the port to depart to / arrive
from Manila, Mindanao, etc. using a ferry or RORO.
- To improve the financial status of regional citizens, a strategy must be developed where the port, as a center
of commercial activities, will activate the economy. The PPP policy introducing private finance for
development is based on this activation of the economy.
- Taking advantage of the location close to the urban core of Cebu, a part of the Cebu Baseport area will be
redeveloped for commercial and business use. Thereby, a combination of town and open space is created and
will contribute to the promotion of redevelopment in the urban core.
In order to clarify the present condition of the existing port, the berthing time of each berth, berth occupancy ratio,
cargo operation (in and out), yard operation, handling capacity, etc. should be observed and analyzed. One of the
most important factors in port planning is the berth occupancy ratio, which is shown in Figure 8 for international
container and bulk berth.
9
Figure 8 Berth Occupancy Ratio of International Terminal
100%
Others
90%
Rice
80% Container
67%
70%
Berth Occupancy
54%
8%
60%
50%
23%
40%
25% 27%
30% 57%
8%
20% 5% 13%
The international terminal handles both container and bulk / general cargo and it is not easy to evaluate congestion
separating these functions. Therefore, it is assumed that all international cargoes will be handled at the berths B2 -
B5 (4 berths, 515 m long) by 2018 as discussed. The limit capacity of the berth occupancy is assumed at 65%. The
following figures show the curve of demand for international container and international bulk/general cargo
10
calculated by the commodity-wise demand forecast.
Figure 9 Demand Forecast of International Container and Rate of Increase from Present Year 2011
600 594
Throughput (1,000 TEU)
500
400 343
306
300 70% Increase
202
200
51% Increase
100
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Figure 10 Demand Forecast of Bulk / General Cargo and Rate of Increase from Present Year 2011
Import/Export Bulk (MT)
2,500
2,000
Throughput (1,000MT)
1,500
1,106
960
1,000
98% Increase
559
500 72% Increase
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
From these figures, international containers are estimated to increase 51% over the present throughput volume,
while international bulk / general cargo will increase 72% by 2018. On the other hand, the current berth
occupancy ratios of international container and bulk / general cargo berths (B2 - B5) are estimated at 15%
(container) and 29% (bulk / general). From this information, berth occupancy before New Port opening (2018) is
calculated as shown in Figure 11. It is foreseen that the occupancy ratio will increase to 71% (B2 - B5 total),
which will nearly reach the maximum capacity.
11
Figure 11 Forecast of Berth Occupancy Ratio before Opening New Port (2018)
Berth Berth
Total Berth
Occupancy Occupancy
Occupancy
Container Bulk/Brkbulk
At present 2011 15% 29% 43%
51% Increase 72% Increase
2018年 22% 49% 71%
(Source: Study Team)
The same calculations were made for other domestic containers, bulk, general cargoes and passengers to prepare
the short-term development plan in 2020.
The location of commercial development sites by private sectors or public space sites such as a parks, etc. at Cebu
Baseport, is considered from the following viewpoints:
- Requirement of facilities and equipment as renewal port
- Appropriate location, function and scale as a commercial/public area in consideration of surrounding land
use and the city master plan
- Circulation of port-related traffic and other traffic
- Intention of redevelopment by private landowners in the port zone
- Private developer’s view on redevelopment
- Profitability of CPA land by sale or lease.
Regarding the location of the commercial development sites or public sites at Cebu Baseport, the following three
places are assumed as proposed sites with the Existing International Container Port area recommended as the most
feasible space.
- Existing International Container Port area
- Existing private lots in Port area
- The area around Fort San Pedro
12
Figure 12 Proposed Sites for Commercial Development or Public Space
Sites proposed
Site for Commercial for
or Public Spaces
Based on the above study, the Redevelopment Plan of the Baseport and Bird’s Eye View are shown Figures 13
and 14.
Passenger
Superferry
Bulk/General
Container Yard
Parking Parking
Commercial
Development
13
Figure 14 Bird’s Eye View of Cebu Baseport (2020)
14
Figure 15 Proposed Layout Plan of Existing Port 2030
International Domestic
Bulk/General Ferry/RORO/General
Passenger
Superferry
Bulk/General
Parking Parking
Commercial
Development
15
Figure 16 Proposed Layout Plan of Existing Port after 2030
Passenger boats
Ship Passenger
Center
Parking Parking
Commercial
Development
c) Preliminary Design
16
anchor pile is the most economical and suitable for the new container port. Two traffic lanes are required for each
direction based on the traffic forecast and a bridge type superstructure in the coastline area and a cutting mound
type road near Cebu North Coastal Road is recommended. The typical substructure type will be multi-column
with a pier-head type pier and a bored pile foundation. The column section will be a circular shape, especially in
the seashore area, to minimize the streaming inhibition because it is the most economical and widely used in the
Philippines.
d) Construction Cost
The Project cost estimated for the construction of New Cebu Port and the redevelopment of Existing Cebu Port
separately. The Project cost consists of civil work, building, utilities, container handling equipment, detailed
engineering cost, construction supervision cost, right of way acquisition cost and administration cost. Based on the
plan of New Cebu Port (Figure 6) and the redevelopment plan of Existing Cebu Port (Figure 13), rough quantities
were calculated for the facilities and estimated the cost. Cost of right of way for the access road is estimated using
the current price of the public works.
For the assessment of environmental issues, dredged materials from the New Cebu Port will be disposed in the
deep sea. In order to mitigate seawater contamination, a silt protector should be provided during the disposal of
the dredged material. There is small area of mangrove trees in the proposed site. It is assured that the number of
new mangrove trees that are planted will exceed the numbers that are cut down during the construction as
instructed by DENR.
In general, in the Philippines, fundamental facilities are the responsibility of the public while operation is the
responsibility of private companies. Firstly, construction costs, which should be kept as low as possible,
reclamation costs, which need an application to the central government for approval, berth cost and pavement
17
costs, which are relatively high, should be burdened by the public. Private institutions should shoulder the over
investments and expenditures as much as possible. Whether funds for facilities are to be provided by public or
private sectors, should be studied through pattern analysis.
b) Implementation Schedule
Based on the above demarcation, the implementation schedule is verified by each demarcation and reviewed for
expected completion and commencement of operation based on the demand forecast.
c) Evaluation of Finance
The possibilities to realize the both project for construction are studied including the case study of the facilities to
be shouldered by public or private.
The contribution to economic effectiveness is considered and verified in the cases with execution and without
execution.
The proposals of the Study Team are compiled based on the above verifications.
The timing of commencement and appropriate demarcation is proposed in consideration of the implementation
schedule and financial evaluation.
The amount and investment objectives are proposed for the Japan ODA.
18
(3) Description of the Project
New Cebu Container Port will be constructed to cope with the congestion of the existing Cebu port and the
shallow water depth of the container berths. The redevelopment of the existing Cebu port will be implemented
including vacant area of the container terminal. The component of the new Cebu port is to construct international
container berths, container terminal and port related facilities and existing port is to construct expansion of berth,
floating passenger berths, domestic container terminal and passenger terminal.
The Project cost has been estimated for the New Cebu Port and the redevelopment of the existing Baseport.
The Project cost consists of civil work, building, utilities, container handling equipment, detailed engineering cost,
construction supervision cost, ROW acquisition cost, and administration cost.
19
b) Existing Baseport
- FIRR (Base Case): Overall Project 8.98%, CPA 4.34%, Operator 18.01%
- Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity analysis was carried out for a total of 6 cases: cost increase (Case I), revenue decrease (Case II), and
both cost increase and revenue decrease (Case III). In the case of 10% cost and revenue variance for the Overall
Project, the FIRR are 7.62% (Case I), 7.48% (Case II), and 6.13% (Case III) as shown below.
20
Table 4 Financial Evaluation of the Project
Assuming a Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of 2.16% for CPA and 6.43% for TO, both of which are
derived from financial plans, the resulting NPVs are PHP 2,087 million and PHP 3,366 million, respectively.
Further, B/C Ratios are 1.29 for CPA and 1.59 for TO under the same discount rates.
As shown in the table below, the New Cebu Port Project has an EIRR of more than 15% for all of the cases in the
sensitivity analysis except for the worst scenario case.
Assuming the social discount rate of 15%, the Benefit Cost ratio (B/C) for the Base Case is 1.29. On the other
hand, the NPV of the Project is calculated at PHP 1,860 million.
b) Cebu Baseport
21
Sensitivity analysis was carried out for the same 6 cases as the financial evaluation. In the case of a 10% cost and
revenue variance for the Project, FIRRs are 4.86% (Case I), 4.76% (Case II), and 3.81% (Case III) as shown
below.
Assuming the WACC is 7.0%, the NPV of the Cebu Baseport Project is calculated at PHP -85 million and the B/C
ratio is 0.89.
As shown in the table below, the Cebu Baseport Project has an EIRR of more than 15% for all of the cases in the
sensitivity analysis except for the worst scenario case.
Assuming the social discount rate of 15%, the Benefit Cost ratio (B/C) for the Base Case is 1.24. On the other
hand, the NPV of the Project is calculated at PHP 105 million.
In general, the New Cebu Port Project has both high FIRR and EIRR values except for the worst scenario case in
the sensitivity analysis. On the other hand, there is a possibility that the FIRR of the Cebu Baseport Project is less
than the WACC of the Project while the EIRR of the Project is expected to be higher than 20%. It should be noted
however, the FIRR of the Baseport Project will improve and the financial problems mentioned above will be
resolved if the CPA plot is sold instead of leased or if a project fund with lower interest is secured through ODA
assistance. Taking these circumstances into consideration, both Projects can be judged to be sound and feasible.
22
3) Evaluation of Environmental and Social Impacts
3)-1 General
This Study focuses on the environmental and social impacts in the area of the New Cebu Port about 10 km north
of the existing Baseport and the redevelopment area in the existing Baseport.
- Seawater Quality
Dissolved oxygen content and chemical oxygen level are much higher than the DENR limits. The levels of
cadmium in the New Port and arsenic at the Cebu Port site are critical. Other heavy metals are below the DENR
limits but excessive levels of total coliform and fecal coliform, both indicators of pollution from anthropogenic
sources, were observed to be very high in the New Port and existing Baseport.
- Sea Bottom Sediment Quality
Lead pollution in Baseport and New Port is significantly higher at ten times the Japan limit. Other heavy metals
are below the DENR limits. The chemical oxygen level is far higher than the DENR limits in both ports.
- Air and Noise
All levels of air quality parameters fall below the maximum limits set by DENR. This indicates relatively good air
quality at these sites.
- Marine Ecology
In the existing Baseport, the absence of marine vegetation and macrobenthos, which fish feed on, and regular
dredging in the harbor limit the survival of fishes in the area. The mangroves along the shoreline near the New
Port site showed the characteristic features of the substrate in the study area. Corals and associated macrobenthos
were observed near the Baseport site. The sea grasses provide nutrients for juvenile fishes and other marine
organisms in the area. No rare, threatened or endangered species of algae have been encountered.
With implementation of the New Cebu Port and redevelopment of Cebu Baseport, environmental improvement
around the Project site is expected as follows:
- By construction of the New Cebu Port, larger-sized vessels with emission control systems can use the port.
Reduction of CO₂ emission per TEU is expected. Due to construction of the New Cebu Port, the access
distance from Mactan Island will be shortened and the congestion around the existing Baseport will thus be
reduced.
- With construction of the New Cebu Port and redevelopment of the Baseport, cargo volumes will increase and
industrial/regional development in the hinterland and surrounding areas will follow. An increase in job
opportunities and local economic development is expected.
23
3)-3 Negative Environmental and Social Impacts of the Project
All impacts on the environment and society are relatively good at both sites.
The remarkable environmental and social impacts for the both sites are indicated below;
Baseport
Operation of constructed facilities is expected to generate mainly positive impacts including: improvement in the
overall CPA efficiency in handling of cargoes and passengers, increase in space for business and recreation,
increased employment and livelihood opportunities, improved CPA financial resources, improvement in workers’
living standards and increased business and tourism activities and importantly.
- According to DENR, an EIA shall be prepared to apply for ECC because of the New Port.
- Land acquisition for construction of the access road is necessary. Coordination with DPWH and Consolacion
town is necessary to adjust the intersection and transition area to the Cebu North Coastal Road designed by
DPWH.
- EIA should provide legal proof to show its authority to reclaim and develop the New Cebu Port site. This
should be done together with an application for a special land patent from the Land Management Bureau of
DENR and a Presidential Proclamation for reservation of the Project site as a container port zone.
- CPA must consult with DENR Provincial Environment and Natural Resource Office (PENRO) and/or the
Community Environment and Natural Resource Office (CENRO) as well as the Protected Area, Wildlife and
Coastal Zone Management Service of DENR-7 to obtain clearance to acquire and develop the port site.
- CPA must also coordinate with the Philippine Reclamation Authority on its plan to carry out offshore
reclamation of Consolacion town.
- CPA must coordinate with DENR and Philippine Coast Guard Regional Office – Region 7 for confirmation of
designated/approved disposal site for dredged materials during port construction.
24
b) Cebu Baseport
Since the Cebu Baseport involves redevelopment including expansion/modification of the existing port facility,
existing DENR guidelines indicate that the EPRMP document must be prepared by CPA.
25
(4) Implementation Schedule
After the authorization and approval of the New Cebu container Port by the Philippine government, the following
will be done: the application for a soft loan, employment of the consultant, conduction of detailed design,
preparation of PQ and tender documents, selection of contractor of the civil works and implementation of
construction of the works. It is estimated the period of implementation of detailed design and preparation of tender
documents, construction of civil works and fabrication/installation of container handling equipment are one year,
two and a half years, and one year respectively.
2) Existing Baseport
After the authorization and approval of the New Cebu container Port by the Philippine government, the following
will be done: application for a soft loan, employment of consultant, conduction of detailed design, preparation of
PQ and tender documents, selection of contractor of the civil works and implementation of construction of the
works. It is estimated the period of implementation of detailed design and preparation of tender documents,
construction of marine works and construction of business/commercial center are eight months, fifteen months
and two years respectively.
26
Table 9 Implementation Schedule of Cebu Baseport (PPP Scheme)
2014 to
Description of Works Month 2011 2012 2013 2018 2019 2020 2021
2017
Redevelopment of Baseport
1 Implementing Public Portion by CPA
(1) Study on New Cebu Container Port by METI 6
(2) Submission and Review of New Cebu Container Port to NEDA by DOTC 3
(3) Preparation of EIA and Obtain ECC by CPA 3
(4) Financial Arrangement and Requests for Project Loan by CPA/DOTC 12
(5) Procurement of Consultants for the engineering study 3
(6) DD - PQ + T/D Preparation by Consultant 6
(7) PQ for procurement of contractor by CPA 3
(8) Tendering for procurement of contractor by CPA 4
(9) Contract negotiation and signing the contract with CPA 3
(10) Construction works 15
1) Demolision of Bldgs 4
2) Widening of wharf (w=10m) 10
3) Fabrication and instllation of pontoon (45mx15m) 12
4) Yard Construction 4
5) Teminal bldg (3 stories) 10
27
(5) Feasibility of Implementation
The purpose of this section of the report is to evaluate both the Cebu New Port and Baseport Projects from
financial and economic, technological, capability of the project implementation by CPA and advantages for
Japanese private firms.
- Regarding the Base Case, the Project is judged to be financially viable because the FIRR are expected to be
higher than WACC both for CPA portion and TO portion. In addition, EIRR of the Project is expected to be
about 20%, which is higher than the cut-off rate of 15% currently adopted in the Philippines. The Project is
judged to be healthy from a national economic viewpoint. Cash balance will be minus from 2018, but turns to
be plus after the two years of operation. Taking these circumstances into consideration, the Project can be
judged to be sound and feasible.
- A comparative study of five proposed sites was done to select the most appropriate port in the JICA study in
2002. Specific port planning was done for the main facility such as berth, reclamation, dredging and
breakwater to calculate rough quantities for the proposed sites and the cost estimate in this study. Based on the
comparison, the Consolacion site is the most recommendable from the economical aspects, accessibility to the
Baseport, future expansion, adjustability to the airport and environmental conditions.
- The port function of the Baseport is international cargoes (container, bulk and general cargo) and domestic
cargoes (container, ferry and RORO) and passengers. Maintaining this function, international container should
be transferred to the New Port considering a PPP scheme. The rate of increase in the international container
demand forecast is 5.5% per year. The rate is not very high compared to the rates of other major ports in Asia.
Therefore, if we assume the international container terminal should be moved to the New Port, the initial
investment share for the public sector should be set at a high level in order to reduce the burden encountered
by the private sector.
- The timing of opening the New Port should be adjusted to the time the cargo volume of the existing port
reaches capacity. The handling capacity of the international container terminal of the existing port is estimated
as approximately 300,000 TEU per year. The capacity of container handling should be increased step by step
considering the efficiency and feasibility of the New Port.
- CPA became independent of PPA in 1992 and operates and maintains all ports in Cebu province. CPA is
financially sound and designates the new PMO to operate the new project. A financial specialist and lawyer
should be employed for the Project because CPA has no experience with PPP schemes.
28
2) Cebu Baseport
- Regarding the Base Case, FIRR of the Project is estimated at 5.81%, which is less than WACC. The FIRR of
the Project will however, become higher than WACC if a project fund with a lower interest rate such as an
ODA loan and CPA’s retained earning can be used. In addition, EIRR of the Project is expected to be about
20%, which is higher than the cut-off rate of 15% currently adopted in the Philippines. Therefore, the Project is
judged to be healthy from a national economic viewpoint. Cash flow of CPA Re-Development Project was
calculated based on the assumption that CPA will borrow a long-term loan from Treasury Bank. The cash
balance of CPA was minus for almost all of the period, and the minus in cash balance will be accumulated.
Selling or leasing the port land should be considered carefully giving comprehensive consideration for the best
use of the port land.
- Based on the movement of international container to the New Port, Baseport redevelopment should be planned
to use the vacant area of the international container yard for mitigation of the congestion of the port area for
target year 2020. The cargo operation is carried out in a way that the cargo transported from private storage by
trucks is directly loaded onto the ship; therefore, berth occupancy is taken into account quantitatively for the
port planning method.
- Income from the international container terminal will vanish due to the Baseport Redevelopment Project. In
order to raise the feasibility of the Project, cost saving and introduction of alternative income sources will be
required.
- Regarding the port layout of 2030, overflow cargo from the port capacity should be moved to the New Port.
Port related parties have suggested that most of the cargo terminals should eventually be moved to the newly
developed port outside the downtown area of the city.
Taking the variety of elements mentioned above into consideration, both the Cebu New Port and Baseport
Projects are judged to be feasible for implementation from financial, economic, technological, and social and
environmental aspects.
29
(6) Possible Japanese Firms’ Participation in the Proposed Project
Regarding the participation in the terminal operation, all Japanese operating oversea terminals are efficiently and
satisfactorily managed in Indonesia and Vietnam. As Japanese construction firms and suppliers have also acquired
knowledge in international competitive bidding, there is a high possibility of participation in the construction of
the New Cebu Container Terminal because of their experience in the Philippines.
2) Cebu Baseport
Japanese consulting firms have extensive experience in redevelopment of Japanese ports; therefore, there is an
advantage for Japanese Consulting Firms to participate in the Study for Redevelopment of the Baseport. Japanese
consulting firms have the intension to participate in redevelopment of the large scale business/commercial and
tourist area in the Baseport in 2030.
30
(7) Concrete Schedule for Realizing the Project and Risks Inhibiting
Its Realization
1) Implementation Schedule
The following stages are generally applied for processing PPP scheme projects. The master plan will be
implemented in four (4) stages for the Partnership Project, “Planning of Partnership Projects,” “Preparation of
Feasibility Study of the Partnership Projects,” “Transaction for Partnership Project” and “Management for
Implementation of the Partnership Project.”
- CPA will be required to authorize the draft master plan as reviewed and updated by the current Study.
- CPA will identify and select the Project components to be implemented by PPP scheme based on the draft
master plan.
- CPA shall apply for Project resolution by the government and permit the implementation of the proposed
Project by PPP Scheme.
- CPA shall review the suggestion, recommendation and proposal of the full scale feasibility study.
- CPA will check and confirm the full scale feasibility study such as assessment, evaluation, the readiness of the
Project implementation, scope and cost of the public and private responsible portions, the financial returns of
the Project by CPA and private concessionaire, traffic demands, and implementing schedule of operation.
- CPA shall conduct the environmental survey by updating the previous EIA study carried out in 2002 under the
JICA study in order to obtain the approval of the EIA from the regional environmental agency.
- CPA shall prepare the documents required for procurements of concessionaire, such as prequalification
documents, tender documents, draft partnership agreement documents, PQ and tender evaluation criteria for
selection of concessionaire in coordination with DOTC, MOF and Agencies responsible for PPP.
- CPA shall prepare the financial arrangement of the Project components responsible by CPA.
- CPA may procure a consultant for the engineering study of the Project and a contractor for the construction
works of the CPA portion.
31
Stage 4:Management for Implementation of Partnership Project
- Manages the performance of the partnership Project and monitor commercial operation.
- Manage various issues stemming from construction works in the construction stage.
- Conduct asset appraisal and management in the expiration of partnership agreement stage.
The types of risks in PPP projects for infrastructure provision are categorized as “political risk,” “project
performance risk” and “demand risk.” The executing agency and its supervisory ministry will be responsible for
checking and supervising the following aspects:
- Evaluation of Project feasibility and prioritization with regard to national development priorities are undertaken
by DOF and NEDA. DOTC and CPA shall prepare all documents carefully and assist DOF and NEDA to
clarify the all issues.
- Political Risk: To provide compensation to an asset owner/business enterprise based on a risk-sharing scheme
between the Government and Business Enterprise.
- Demand Risk: When demand becomes lower revenue than the minimum total revenues guaranteed by the
Government on which the agreement was based, extension of contract and/or other financial compensation may
be granted.
- If there is a delay of land acquisition or increase in land price, CPA will compensate the cost.
- If there is a delay in approval of commencement of commercial operation, delay in tariff adjustment and
changes, there will be an extension of contract and/or other financial compensation.
32
(8) Project Location Map
Figure 18 Location Map of the Project
Project Location
33
Chapter 1
Overview of Republic of Philippines and Port Sector
(1) Economic and Financial Conditions of Republic of Philippines
This section describes the socio-economic conditions in the county and Central Visayas designated as Region
VII. The population in the Philippines was about 19 million in 1948, and it increased to about 88.5 million in
2007 (4.6 times). The annual average rate of population growth has fallen gradually from a peak of 3.08% for
the ten years from 1960 to 1970 to 2.04% from 2000 to 2007.
The population in 1980 in Central Visayas was less than 4 million but increased to about 6.4 million in 2007
(1.69 times) accounting for 7.2% of the Philippine population. The population growth rate of Central Visayas
from 1980 is less than the growth rate of the whole country except for the five years from 1995 to 2000.
1-1
2) Gross Domestic Product and Regional Gross Domestic Product
Changes of the GDP in the Philippines and Region VII are shown in the following Table 1-1-3. In 2010, the
GDP of the Philippines amounted to 5,701,539 million pesos at constant 2000 prices, and the annual growth rate
in the Philippines during this period was about 4.6%. Although it fell to 1.1% in 2009 under the influence of the
world economic crisis, etc., it recovered to 7.6% in 2010.
On the other hand, the GDP of Region VII in 2009 amounted to 102,053 million pesos at constant 1985 prices,
and the annual growth rate was about 4.8%. Therefore, the growth rate of Region VII was slightly higher than
that of the Philippines as a whole.
Table 1-1-3 Change of Regional Gross Domestic Product (in million pesos)
3) Income Level
The average household income levels of the Philippines and Region VII are as below. The annual average
household income of Region VII in 2006 was about 84% of the Philippines rate. The growth rate of Region VII
from 1997 to 2006 was 70% compared to 40% for the Philippines, and the gap with the national level has been
decreasing.
1-2
(2) Overview of Port Sector
There are over 1,300 ports at present in the Philippines. Ports in the Philippines are classified into public ports
built and managed by public sectors and private ports built and managed by private sectors. In principle, all
ports are under the control of PPA (Philippine Ports Authority) and CPA (Cebu Port Authority) which means
the port authority can check and control all ports including private ports in this region from the viewpoint of
regional development and efficient port function arrangement.
The CPA was created through R.A. 7621 in 1992 to administer all ports located in Cebu province, effectively
separating them from the PPA system. CPA began operations and took over all Cebu ports on 01 January 1996,
15 years ago.
Both port authorities are under the supervision of the Department of Transportation & Communications
(DOTC) for purposes of policy coordination. There are no other port authorities in the Philippines at present.
There are 122 ports in the PPA port system designated by the Management-Executive Committee of the PPA.
These ports consist of 19 Baseports, which function as hub ports both in foreign and domestic trade, and 103
Terminal Ports. There are Port Management Offices at each Baseport, and Terminal Offices at each Terminal
Port.
There are 113 ports at present in Cebu province under control of CPA. These ports are classified into two main
groups: Government ports and Private ports. Government ports consist of 10 Primary Ports, which include Cebu
Baseport and 32 Secondary Ports. Government ports are owned by CPA except for a few municipal ports which
are funded by municipalities. CPA is basically responsible for the maintenance of these ports. The main office is
at Cebu Baseport and there are 4 branch offices at Toledo, Danao, Santa Fe and Argao. Private Marine Facilities
consist of Private Ports (52), Shipyards/Drydocks (14), Fish Ports (3) and a Marina (1).
For small ports, the following decisions were made according to the approval of the NEDA Board, which was
convened in September 1990.
DOTC shall coordinate the programming and implementation of future municipal / tertiary / feeder port projects
1-3
while actual implementation and maintenance of these projects shall be devolved to the local government unit,
with DOTC providing technical supervision and engineering design standards. Actual construction and
rehabilitation of these ports is carried out by Project Management Service of DOTC at the national government's
expense, while maintenance and operation is carried out by local governments. However, local governments do
not have enough funds or technical skill at present.
The Department of Transportation and Communications is responsible for the maintenance and expansion of
viable, efficient and dependable transportation and communications systems as effective instruments for
national recovery and economic progress. It exercises general supervision over air, land and water transportation,
postal service and telecommunications.
The Water Transportation Planning & Project Development Division of Transportation Planning Service is in
charge of port related activities. The main functions of the Water Transportation Planning & Project
Development Division are as follows:
a) Coordinates with Marine Industry Authority and the Ports Authority with regards to the plans and programs
for the development of water transportation to draw up the integrated maritime transportation master plan for the
country;
b) Identifies and / or rationalizes water transportation needs and facilities in the country including maritime
navigational facilities;
c) Maintains liaison with other government and private offices / organizations related to water transportation
particularly the local shipping firms to know their requirements and needs with regards to safety at the ports and
waterways;
1-4
(3) Present Situation of Cebu Region and Port
Metro Cebu, which consists of seven cities and six municipalities, had a population of 2.31 million in 2007, and
accounts for 36.2% of the Region VII population. The annual average rate of population growth is gradually
falling and was 2.54% from 2000 to 2007 in comparison with 1995 to 2000. However, it has exceeded the
1.49% of Region VII and 2.04% of the Philippines as a whole.
2) Economic Zones
According to the Philippine Economic Zone Authority (PEZA) website, as of August 2011, the number of
operating economic zones in the Province of Cebu is 30 (12% of 248 operating economic zones in the
Philippines), and those being developed in the Province of Cebu is 13 (13% of 100 economic zones being
developed in the Philippines) (Table 1-3-2). The number of companies that have moved into the economic zones
under operation is 385 in total, and the number of companies that have moved into the major economic zones is
increasing steadily and is 2.7 times greater than the number in 1997 (Table 1-3-4).
1-5
Table 1-3-3 Manufacturing Economic Zones in Cebu Province
as of 31 August 2011
Operating Economic Zone 1 Cebu Light Industrial Park
Location Basak, Lapu-lapu City, Mactan, Cebu
Developer/Operator : Cebu Light Industrial Park Inc.
Region / Area R-VII / 62.49 (hectares)
2 Cebu South Road Properties
Location South Reclamation Project, Cebu City
Developer/Operator : City Government of Cebu
Region / Area R-VII / 295.69 (hectares)
3 Mactan Economic Zone
Location Lapu-Lapu City, Mactan, Cebu
Developer/Operator : Philippine Economic Zone Authority
Region / Area R-VII / 119.37 (hectares)
4 Mactan Ecozone II
Location Basak, Lapu-lapu City, Mactan, Cebu
Developer/Operator : Acoland Inc.
Region / Area R-VII / 63.3 (hectares)
5 MRI Ecozone
Location Sabang, Danao City, Cebu
Developer/Operator : Mitsumi Realty , Inc.
Region / Area R-VII / 28.29 (hectares)
6 New Cebu Township
Location Cantao-an, Naga, Cebu
Developer/Operator : MRC Allied Industries Inc.
Region / Area R-VII / 122.83 (hectares)
7 West Cebu Industrial Park
Location Arpili & Buanoy, Balamban, Cebu
Developer/Operator : Cebu Industrial Park Developers Inc.
Region / Area R-VII / 160.86 (hectares)
Economic Zones Being 8 Polambato-Bogo Economic Zone
Developed Location Polambato, Bogo, Cebu
Developer/Operator : WenMar Development Corp.
Region / Area R-VII / 41.71 (hectares)
(Source: PEZA)
According to the Provincial Development and Physical Framework Plan (PDPFP) 2008-2013 of the province of
Cebu, there are two economic zones located on the west coast of Cebu Island: Mira Nila Ecozone in Aloguinsan
and Toledo City Economy Zone (in the proposal stage). In addition, Balili property development of Naga city in
Cebu has applied to PEZA for status as an economic zone.
According to the Department of Trade and Industry on Cebu Provincial Office’s website, the plan for the Mira
Nila Ecozone, which Mira Nila Land Development Corporation is developing, is scheduled to construct the
following facilities in the vast area of 1,200 ha (short period) to 2,800 ha (mid-term).
1-6
- Eight resort complexes
- Two golf courses
- Over 500 hectares of high-tech employment services including manufacturing/assembly facilities
- Wastewater treatment plant with treatment capacity of 400 cubic meters per day
- A wide range of types and densities of housing opportunities
- A comprehensive town center including commercial, service, civic, medical, cultural and religious facilities
and activities
- Retirement and resort/recreational facilities
- A new major regional airport/seaport
- A college/university site.
Balili property development of Naga City is scheduled to establish an industrial zone of about 9.7 hectares
(reclaimed land), a coal ash disposal site by KEPCO (the Korean Electric Power Co.), a seaside park, a seaport,
waste-to-energy facility, etc. in a site of about 27 hectares.
ティナ・アン
BRGY. バランガイ
TINA-AN, NAGA
セブ州ナガ市
バリリ・プロパティ
開発計画
凡例
海岸線
道路
提案道路
廃棄物熱源転換設備用地(5.3ha)
韓国電力開発用地(9.9ha)
埋立地(10.53ha)
提案港
マングローブ林(14.4ha)
After his inauguration as President, Benigno S. Aquino III, President of the Republic of the Philippines, directed
the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) to coordinate the formulation of the Philippine
1-7
Development Plan for 2011-2016 in order that his program of government that is based on his “Social Contract
with the Filipino People” might be formulated. This plan has been formulated and it adopts a framework of
inclusive growth, which is high growth that is sustained, generates mass employment, and reduces poverty.
With good governance and anticorruption as the overarching the theme of each and every intervention, the plan
translates into specific goals, objectives, strategies, and programs and projects all the things that we want to
accomplish in the medium term.
In this plan, the infrastructure development program is described as follows: “The Plan’s infrastructure
development program aims to contribute to inclusive growth and poverty reduction. It will support the
performance of the country’s economic sectors and ensure equitable access to infrastructure services, especially
as these affect the people’s health, education, and housing. Toward these ends, the government will accelerate
the provision of safe, efficient, reliable, cost–effective, and sustainable infrastructure.”
The objectives and strategies which shall be pursued across all infrastructure subsectors are to optimize
resources and investments, to attract investments in infrastructure, to foster transparency and accountability in
infrastructure development, to adapt to climate change and mitigate the impacts of natural disasters, and to
provide productive employment opportunities. In these, encouraging Public-Private Partnership (PPP) and
tapping the private sector for the financing, construction, operation, maintenance, and rehabilitation of major
infrastructure in high-priority areas, such as transportation, power and water is stated as a policy for attracting
investments in infrastructure.
Six strategic plans are set to realize “a safe, secure, efficient, viable, competitive, dependable, integrated,
environmentally sustainable, and people-oriented Philippine transportation system” for the transport sector, and
the strategic plans relevant to this Project are as follows:
- Separate the regulatory and operation functions of transport and other concerned agencies
1-8
In line with the goal of separating the operation and regulation functions of transport agencies, the port, rail and
air transport organizations shall be restructured.
“Provincial Development and Physical Framework Plan (PDPFP)” prepared by Provincial Planning and
Development Office, which was approved in June 2010, shows the plans, the projects, and activities
corresponding to the development strategy of the Province of Cebu in the period from 2008 to 2013. The
provincial government of Cebu opted to give priority to provision of three basic services, roads, water, and
electricity under the Good Roads and Bridges, Water, and Electrification Now (GWEN) Program.
In order to support business and tourism infrastructure as an individual program, two international ports are
planned as follows: “The development of the Naga International Port and the Lilo-an International Port will
further boost Cebu’s profile as the shipping capital of the country. The development of these ports in the north
and in the south will decongest the existing international port in the city, and free ships from the burden of
having to negotiate the increasingly tricky Mactan Channel.”
“The Study on the Master Plan for the Strategic Development of The National Port System in the Republic of
the Philippines” was conducted by JICA in January 2004. The Philippine Port System Strategy (PPOSS) drawn
up in the study is extracted in Table 1-3-5. In the strategy, Cebu Port is selected as one of the international
gateway ports as a major "window" to the world that will be developed until 2024.
1-9
Table 1-3-5 Philippine Port System Strategy
1. Establishment a fast, economical, reliable and safe maritime transport network accelerating
of
Mission the development of national economy
2. Formation of maritime transport bases to support regional society
Establishment of a nationwide port development plan coordinated with the plans of various port
management public corporations
Port classification International gateway port (Gateway port), Principal international trade
port (Principal port), Major port (including RORO port for major
corridors), Regional port
LEGEND
: International Gateway
Port
: Principal International
Trade Port
: 2 Lane Nat’l Roads
: 4 Lane Nat’l Roads Subic Manila
Batangas
Cebu
Iloilo
Strategies
for CDO/MC
Planning
Zamboanga
Davao
General Santos
Principles for planning
1) Establishment of 1) Concentrated Development of Specific International Container
nationwide Gateway Bases
maritime transport 2) Improvement of Domestic Container Transport Efficiency
3) Development of Facilities for Break Bulk and Bulk Cargo
4) Port Planning at the Greater Capital Region
5) Formation of Major Corridors
2) Formation of 1) Enhancing the Mobility of People and Goods in the Region
maritime transport 2) Securing Transportation Bases to Support Daily Life in Remote
bases to support Islands
regional society 3) Supporting Social Reforms
Investment in long term development plan (2004-2024); about 150
Strategic development billion pesos
port Investment in short term development plan (2004-2009); about 41
billion pesos
Modification of port administration as well as improvement of port management/operation
Management
- Establishment of National Plan for Port Development (NPPD) Council
and
- Increasing cargo handling efficiency
Operation
- Appropriate port tariff setting
Investment Investment scheme and proper financial resource allocation for feasible port development
and - Proposed financial policies for public port development
Financing - Acceleration of private sector participation to port projects
(Source: The Study on the Master Plan for the Strategic Development of The National Port System in the
Republic of the Philippines)
1 - 10
d) National Plan of Roads
“The Study of Master Plan on High Standard Highway Network Development in the Republic of the
Philippines” was conducted by JICA in July 2010. High standard highway (HSH) Development Master Plans on
three areas, Metro Manila and its 200 km radius sphere, Metro Cebu, and Tagum-Davao-General Santos (TDG)
Corridor, were proposed in the study.
The HSH development strategy stating that HSH network shall be limited to HSH-2, since formation of HSH-1
is difficult in Metro Cebu, was established and the HSH network to be developed by 2030 is proposed as shown
in Table 1-3-6 and Figure 1-3-2.
1 - 11
Figure 1-3-2 Proposed HSH-2 Network: Metro Cebu
(Source: The Study of Master Plan on High Standard Highway Network Development in the Republic of the
Philippines)
“The Master Plan Study on the Strategy for the Improvement of National Airports in the Republic of the
Philippines” was conducted by JICA in March 2006. In the study, the following nine strategies for improved
management of national airports system were identified, and the following eleven action plans were produced to
cover the strategies. Expansion of the terminal area at Mactan Cebu International Airport, one of nine
international airports, is indicated on the Development Plans for Long Term Development Phase (2016-2025).
Table 1-3-8 Master Plan for Improved Management of National Airports System
Strategies Corresponding Action Plans for Year 2006-2010
1. Revision of Airport Classification 1. Airport Classification
2. Development of Airport Standards and 2. Airport Safety Standards and Certification
Implementation of Certification System System
3. Establishment of Airport Strategy for the Greater 3. Strategies for the GCR Airports
Capital Region 4. Improvement of Airport Facilities
4. Improvement of Airport Facilities 5. Cost Recovery and Rational Pricing Regulations
5. Improvement in Cost Recovery and 6. Creation of Airports Authority of the Philippines
Establishment of Rational Pricing 7. Amendment to the CAAP Bill
Regulations 8. Local Airport Ownership Program
6. Organizational Restructuring in Airport 9. Airport Security
Management 10. Data Quality and Management
7. Transfer of Airports to LGUs 11. Education and Training
8. Strengthening of Airport Security
9. Improvements in Data Quality and Management
(Source: The Master Plan Study on the Strategy for the Improvement of National Airports in the Republic of the
Philippines)
1 - 12
4) Present Situation of Cebu Port
Figure 1-3-3 shows the present utilization and management offices (MO) of every port quay-wall. The results of
the field survey and interviews are described below.
Figure 1-3-3 Present Utilization and Management Offices (MO) of Every Port Quay-wall
Passenger Passenger
The line “ ” in Figure 1-3-3 shows the boundary of the official port area of Cebu Port. Of this area, the
colored land is owned by CPAs, while the white area is owned by private institutions or other authorities. The
CPA area is small and used for ship cargo handling purposes. The privately owned area is used for warehouses or
storage of empty containers.
As shown in the figure, most of the land behind the quay-wall is owned privately, which prevents CPA from
expanding port facilities. On the very narrow apron of the quay, many container ships, RORO, ferries and
passengers are berthing and their cargos are transported, thus the congestion of the port is very serious.
To change or develop land use in the boundary of the port area, permission must be given by the Land Owners
Association and the CPA. A representative of the Land Owners Association concurrently holds the post of CPA
board member.
1 - 13
b) Port Management Offices
Although Cebu Port is managed by CPA, the port is divided into 5 parts and each part has a Port Management
Office (MO1 - MO5). These management offices are responsible for berthing/de-berthing of arriving ships and
account of port charges, etc. CPA also manages the public/private ports on Cebu Island in addition to the Cebu
Baseport. Table 1-3-9 shows the berth numbers and handling commodities of each management office of Cebu
Baseport.
Table 1-3-9 Berth Numbers and Cargo Types of Each Management Office of Cebu Baseport
Management
Berth No. Cargo Types
Office
MO1 B1~B5 International Container, International Bulk & General Cargo
MO2 B6~B17 Domestic Container, Domestic Bulk & General Cargo, Passenger
MO3 B18~B23 Domestic Container, Domestic Bulk & General Cargo, Passenger
MO4 B24~B27 Domestic Bulk & General Cargo, Passenger
MO5 B28~B29 Domestic Bulk & General Cargo, Passenger
(Source: Study Team)
The major import bulk cargoes are salt and silica. At the B1 docking area, three (3) silos for imported bulk goods
were installed through co-investment of CPA and OPASCOR (terminal operator). However, they have not started
operation yet. Most of the rice cargo is imported in the form of bags by general cargo ships. Other imported
cargoes are steel, heavy equipment and spare parts, etc. There is little cargo exported from Cebu Baseport.
【MO2 (B6~B17)】
B6 is for domestic containers. A gantry crane is mounted on the quay. However, sometimes domestic containers
are handled at B8 ~ B10 which have no quay cranes. The reasons the containers are handled without quay cranes
include the shortage of quay length due to poor berth-window control and the reluctance of shipping companies to
pay extra costs for the crane charge.
B8~B9 are used for the Superferry which sails between Manila, Cebu and Mindanao, etc. Usual arrivals of the
Superferry are 7 ~ 8 times a week. Berthing hours of the Superferry are normally short with a minimum 3 hours
1 - 14
per arrival. The following table shows the arrival record of Superferry as one example.
24-Aug Wed
Passengers are carried by most ROROs. Passengers walk on the apron where forklifts and trailers are busily
working. The terminals for passengers are located at B13 and B14. Though boarding passengers are transported
from the terminal to the ship berth, some of the disembarking passengers walk from the ship to the gate guided by
security officers.
B13 and B14 are used for passenger boats. At B13 there is a CPA passenger terminal, from where fast-craft boats
sail to Bohor, Negros or Mindanao, etc. At B14 there is a private passenger terminal operated by Aboitiz
Transport Systems, from where fast-crafts (Supercat) depart to Bohor and Samal.
【MO3 (B18~B23)】
At B18~B19 and B21~B23 cargo operations of middle or small-sized RORO are performed. The apron width of
these berths is smaller than that of the MO2 area, thus the congestion on the apron is more serious. Berthing
directions of these ships are mostly perpendicular to the quay-face. Most of these RORO also carry passengers.
1 - 15
B20 is the jetty called Pier 3 projecting to the seaside. A passenger terminal building is installed on the jetty. At
this jetty, middle-sized fast crafts with a length of 35~40 m (mainly departing to Bohor) and conventional ships
with a length of 40~50 m (departing to Leyte or Bohor) berth.
B23 is also a jetty similar to B20 called Pier 2. This jetty was previously used for passengers, but the terminal
building was demolished and it is now used for a cargo jetty. Here, passengers are not observed. Ships with 40~70
m LOA berth.
Currently, all international containers have been loaded/unloaded at B2-5 except some shipments by domestic
feeder vessels and ferries. The cargo handling has been undertaken by Oriental Port & Allied Services
Corporation (OPASCOR) assigned by CPA. However, OPASCOR have mainly focused berth cargo operation
under the contract with the shipping agencies for handling in the same manner as general cargo as no integrated
terminal operator exists. OPASCOR is also working on storage and delivery but these operations are not managed
entirely under their control.
The berth cargo operation can be workable on a 24-hour basis but currently, the terminal has been operating
with only 5 vessels of 1000 TEU class per week regularly with low occupancy and utilization of the yard and
cargo handling equipments. The productivity of gantry crane achieves 25 containers per hour with 2 cranes
working per vessel in normal operation.
4)-3 Cargo operation – International bulk and general cargo vessel (B1)
Cargo operation of bulk and general cargo vessels at B1 has been undertaken by a quay general-purpose crane
and/or ships cranes. OPASCOR is responsible for cargo operation. The B1 berth and the backreach area are not
separated with a fence or partition from the container berth B2. Under such arrangements, the discharged cargo
has to be hauled immediately to the storage facility outside the terminal. Imports are dominant at Cebu. The
vessels stay for a few days for cargo operation with certain berth occupancy but it could possibly affect the
alongside schedule of arrival of container vessels for the next berth.
1 - 16
Table 1-3-11 B1 Vessel Calling and Cargo Handling Data
2009 2010
(Source: OPASCOR)
The B6 berth has a terminal facility with a quay gantry crane to handle domestic containers. However, the
domestic container vessels also dock at B2-5 for MCC and B10 for others. The cargo operation is undertaken by
Cebu Integrated Arrastre (CIA), who was assigned by CPA in May 2010, and they provide one gantry crane and
straddle carriers. Similar to the international container terminal, cargo operation has been focused entirely on the
loading/unloading work at the quay. The containers have been hauled between their off-dock CY and the terminal
due to the short storage capacity. The containers loaded immediately onto the vessel are stocked at the container
yard. The crane productivity is 26.7 containers per hour/crane. The cargo operation record of the stevedore shows
that they are handling 20~230 moves per vessel for 7-8 vessels berthed weekly but the berth occupation and
equipment working ratio are at low levels. It has been observed that the ships cranes have been utilized in parallel
or instead of gantry cranes because the shipping carriers and agencies do not want to pay extra charges.
The majority of the cargo has been shipped with containers that are loaded on the chassis. The cargo operation is
completed in a short port stay (3-6 hours) with high productivity. Inbound cargo is dominant due to the main route
from/to Manila, and the outbound cargo is generally empty containers. The cargo operation involves using the
trailer heads prepared at the shore and hauling the discharged containers immediately to the container depot at
Mandaue. The stevedore company, USDI have undertaken the cargo operation.
Superferry carries around 14,000 passengers monthly from/to Manila and Cagayan as the main transportation
mode between islands. For the boarding passengers, the transportation bus is available but actually, it has been
observed that this service does not comply with the demand of all passengers who have to walk through the gate
of Pier 4 when they disembark.
1 - 17
4)-6 Cargo/Passenger operation – Domestic RORO Vessels
Large-sized RORO vessels of more than 5000 GWT normally use B 9-10 for docking alongside the berth. The
medium vessels less than 5000 GWT have used B 11-12, and B 15-17 for berthing in Mediterranean style. The
small vessels of less than 500DWT have used B19、B21-22、B24-25, etc. in Mediterranean style. Most of the
small and medium-sized RORO vessels provide cargo ramps and passenger access in the stern. Thus, berthing in
Mediterranean style can save space and contribute to quick and easy operation. The large RORO vessels load
containers as the majority as well as mobiles but the major cargoes of small and medium vessels are palletized
cargo and break-bulk general cargoes with small to large lots that are labor intensive and require small forklifts for
cargo operation.
The stats of Aug.,2011 shows that the embarkation/disembarkation recorded about 500 passengers per calling for
the large RORO vessels and about 100~350 for the small and medium vessels but the numbers vary in the most
cases depending upon the callings. The passengers have to walk around the cargo operation area unsafely. The
vessels are scheduled to arrive at evening and sail out at night for arrival at destination in next morning.
1 - 18
5) Regional Development Plan at New Port Candidate Locations
The JICA Report in 2002 proposed 5 candidate locations for new port development. This section describes the
recent regional development plan made by local municipalities.
Cebu Baseport
Minglanilla Consolacion
Cebu South
Mactan North
Mactan South
5)-1 Consolacion
There is no large-scale development project on the outskirts of a proposed site for the new port in the Municipality
of Consolacion. The Comprehensive Land Use Plan 2001-2010 of Consolacion Municipality is a land use plan
that shows the heavy industrial zones are coordinated to the south of the provincial road (Figure 1-3-5). The
proposed site surrounded by the heavy industrial zones is already designated as an international port zone, and is
separated clearly from the residential and commercial zones.
1 - 19
Figure 1-3-5 Urban Core Zoning Map of Consolacion Municipality
1 - 20
5)-2 Mactan North
There is a reclamation plan by Lapu-Lapu City on the outskirts of a proposed site for the new port in Mactan
North. In the plan, the total developed land area is 450 hectares, and a multiple urban development including a
port is planned on the area divided into five sections (Figure 1-3-6).
1 - 21
5)-3 Mactan South
There is a huge reclamation plan by the province of Cebu on the outskirts of a proposed site for the new port in
Mactan South. In the plan, the total developed land area is 2,421 hectares, and a multiple urban development
including a port is planned on the area divided into seven sections (Figure 1-3-7). Relocating Mactan-Cebu
International Airport to this area has also been proposed.
MANDAUE CITY
OLANGO ISLAND
Parcel 1
Area=405 has
Parcel 1 Maritime City (Port Zone) 405 has
CORDOVA Parcel 2 Cebu New City 1 (Urban/Mixed 594 has
Use Township)
Parcel 2
Area=594 has
Parcel 3 Cebu New City 2 518 has
Parcel 7
(Residential/Reclamation
Area=112 has Township)
Parcel 5
Parcel 3 Area=204 has Parcel 4 Mactan Aqua Ville 472 has
Area=518 has
(Tourism and Resort Precint)
1 - 22
5)-4 Cebu South
The Cebu South Road Properties Project is ongoing by Cebu City on the outskirts of a proposed site for the new
port in Cebu South. Although this project was originally designed to provide an area for industrial use, the plan
was changed for complex use. For 39% of the 275.09 hectares of developed land, the use is not yet fixed (Figure
1-3-8). In the block near the proposed site for the new port, a residence-based complex development is being
carried out.
池 A(61.13ha)
POND
SM
SM(売却済)
(30.41ha)
PHIL INVEST
フィルインベスト
(JV)(39.02ha) 提案
RIVER
河川
凡 例
LEGEND売却済(52.03ha)
共同事業(39.02ha)
フィルインベスト(売却)(10.65ha)
PHIL INVEST 貸付(3.15ha)
: SOLD OUT
寄付(12.35ha)
空地(107.41ha)
池 A(61.13ha)
合計面積 275.09ha
1 - 23
5)-5 Minglanilla
There is a reclamation plan by the Municipality of Minglanilla on the outskirts of a proposed site for the new port
in Minglanilla. The total developed land area is 300 hectares, and landfill is planned with a phased approach
(Figure 1-3-9). The reclamation of the blocks near the proposed site for the new port is in the first phase of
planning.
1 - 24
Chapter 2
Study Methodology
(1) Contents of the Study
Based on a review of the feasibility of several candidates, the new port location has been selected considering
planning of a new container terminal. The economic and financial analysis is carried out. The port development
plan should be proposed maximizing the utilization of a STEP scheme under a Japanese Yen loan and private
sector initiatives. At the existing Cebu Port, the redevelopment port plan including the port facilities is to be
proposed after the container terminal facilities are moved to a new location. The economic effects by revitalizing
the logistic system are analyzed after port planning in consideration of environment friendliness. A discussion on
methodology of Public-Private Partnership is included as well as sharing of the capital between public and private
sectors. The scope of the studies is as below.
JICA’s “The Study on the Cebu Integrated Port Development Plan in the Republic of the Philippines (2002)” and
“The Study on the Master Plan for the Strategic Development of the National Port System in the Republic of the
Philippines (2004)” are to be reviewed.
The present situation and future plan of Cebu Baseport and nearby facilities, utilization/operation (no. of ships
calls, cargo operation, yard, details of cargoes), port customer activities, cargo storage conditions, and
socio-economic activities in the port area and port hinterland regions are studied and analyzed by extracting the
issues.
Through collecting the port statistics and relevant data for port activities and referring to the previous data in past
reports, the cargo/traffic demand forecast for Cebu Baseport is provided. The cargo demand should be forecasted
based on cargo type, e.g. container, general cargo, etc.
The current progress and forecast for all studies of the relevant development plans after 2002 (Master plan,
National plan, Port, Road, Private investment, etc) are studied as well as for other candidates for the new port. The
feasibility and consistency for this Project are examined and confirmed.
Based on the cargo demand forecast, the development plan for new and existing ports are assessed and confirmed
2-1
in consideration with the master plan and development of an effective policy.
6) Public-Private Partnership
The plans for utilization of the port area after the relocation of the international container terminal will be
reviewed and assessed. In particular, the possibility of introducing a PPP scheme in the renovation Project through
use of a financing scheme, source of funds and investment scheme will be considered. Given that property sales in
the Cebu area are currently becoming more active, the possibility of private sector participation in business
opportunities other than port related transportation industries, such as development of amenity facilities, will be
assessed, and scenarios will be provided.
Scenarios of the renovation Project will include an assessment of possible sources of funds and economic impact
of the Project on the local society, such as the increase in job opportunities and impact on tourism. The roles and
responsibilities of both public and private sectors will be clearly defined in accordance with the improvement of
other existing port facilities.
The cost estimate is reviewed with updated construction costs for the new container terminal and the existing
Cebu Baseport.
The new container port will be evaluated from the viewpoint of the national economy by comparing the costs and
benefits of “With case” and “Without case.” A comprehensive economic evaluation of the new container port is
carried out by calculating the EIRR with the NPV and R/C ratio being shown if applicable. Financial analysis is
carried out based on a private operator under concession building the appropriate facilities and managing the
terminal. The terms and conditions of the concession with the private operator will be examined in view of the
advantage of STEP with the possible introduction of a Japanese yen loan. FIRR will be calculated to examine the
financial feasibility of the new container port.
Regarding the existing Cebu Baseport, construction of a passenger terminal and redevelopment of RORO
berth/fast ship berth will be proposed. The EIRR of the proposed redevelopment Project at the existing Cebu
Baseport will be calculated based on “With case” and “Without case.” The FIRR will be calculated to examine the
financial feasibility of this Project after the redevelopment cost and income of the port charges, etc. are estimated.
9) Environmental Study
Screening and classification of the new container port and redevelopment of the Baseport will be done based on
the Environmental Guidelines of both JICA and JBIC. Checklist reports for both the new container port and
redevelopment of the Baseport using JBIC’s checklist and JICA’s checklist issued in April will be done.
Receiving an Environmental Compliance Certificate issued by the Environmental Management Bureau is essential
2-2
in order to get a STEP loan. As the JICA EIA was performed 10 years ago, it will be reviewed extracting the
possible problems and issues so that the ECC can be obtained without problem.
The feasibility of the STEP loan and private sector initiative is studied after the construction costs in the JICA
study report done in 2002 are reviewed.
2-3
(2) Method of Study / Organization
2-4
Figure 2-2-2 The organization of CPA
Office of the
Cebu Port Commission
Office of the
General Manager
Office of the
Deputy General Manager
2-5
Figure 2-2-3 Organization of the Study Team
Engineering/Port Plannning
Local Support Masatoki Nakanishi
Ichiro Miyakoshi Port & Harbor Department
General Manager Global Consulting H.Q.
Manila Office Oriental Consultants Co.,Ltd.
Oriental Consultants Co.,Ltd.
Port Development Planning
(Redevelopment of Old Port)
Local Support Akiko Nakashima
Manila Office Planning Department
Mitsubishi Corporation Global Consulting H.Q.
Oriental Consultants Co.,Ltd.
PPP Project
【Cooperative Company】
(PPP/Financing/Cost Effects)
Fumio Nakai
Toshiro Tsutsumi
Manager
Ides Inc.
Transportation Infrastructure
Business unit
Demand Forecast・Economic/Fincace
Infrastructure Project Division
Analysis
Mitsubishi Corporation
Hiroshi Kato
Ides Inc.
【Cooperative Company】
Takashi Suzuki Design/Port Facilities
Manager Atsushi Sato
Project Development Division Port & Harbor Department
Nippon Steel Corporation Global Consulting H.Q.
Oriental Consultants Co.,Ltd.
Plannning/Operation,Container
Terminal
Kazutoshi Tsuchiya
Port & Harbor Department
Global Consulting H.Q.
Oriental Consultants Co.,Ltd.
Environment/Social Impact
CATALINO T. TACLIBON JR.
ESS International Consultancy Corp.
(Sub-contract)
2-6
(3) Schedule of the Study
The period of study is from August 17th, 2011 to February 16th, 2012 and includes the work in Philippines
consisting of the 1st and 2nd trip shown in Table 2-3-1.
2011 2012
August September October November December January February
(Work in Japan)
① Preparation
② Analysis/Discussion
③ Preparation of Final report
(Work in Philippine)
④ First Trip to Manila/Cebu
⑤ 2nd Trip to Manila/Cebu
(Submission of The Report)
⑥ Draft Report Submitted in 12/22
⑧ Final Report Submitted on 2/16
The field work of the study has proceeded and includes the interviews and meeting with the counterpart, CPA and
various stakeholders relating to the development plan. The major meetings and interviews are summarized in
Table 2-3-2.
Table 2-3-2 The record of Major meetings and interviews
Month/Date Meeting/Inteview Name of Counterpart Name of Attendance
First Field Work
Meeting with the Manila branch of Mitsubishi Corp. and H.Yasuhara, Group manager of Mitsubishi Corp.
8 31
cooperative company Nippon Steel Corp. H.Nakahara, General Manager of Nippon Steel Corp.
2-7
Month/Date Meeting/Inteview Name of Counterpart Name of Attendance
Port viist at Cagayan de
9 15 Phividec Industrial Authority Dante E.Clarito、Port Management Dep.
Oro
Port viist at Cagayan de
Cagaya De Oro port office of PPA Claro P. Fontanilla Division Manager
Oro
Felomino Lin, President of the Association
19 Interview Port Zone Lot Owners Association
Robin Ong, Vice-President
2-8
Chapter 3
Justification, Objectives and
Technical Feasibility of the Project
3.1 Demand Forecast
1) Economic Framework
The Government of the Philippines formulated the basic strategic policy on national economic development and
geographical utilization of territorial areas entitled, “The Philippine Development Plan 2011 – 2016”. In this Plan,
the Government focuses on creating mass employment and reducing poverty as the main visions, and sets the
corresponding targets of a high economic growth rate of 7 to 8% per year for at least 6 years with an average of
one million jobs created annually. Therefore, based on the government plan, two (2) options for the economic
framework can be proposed for the demand forecast of Cebu Port: Option I: 8% and Option II: 7% during
2011-2016.
On the other hand, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has been periodically forecasting the future economic
growth rate of individual nations worldwide. Although mid/long term forecasting of economic growth of a
nation/region is one of the most challenging tasks, the IMF economic forecast is reputed to be the most reliable
and trustworthy. Therefore, based on the IMF economic forecast, an annual growth rate of 5% for the midterm in
the Philippines can be proposed as the economic framework (Option 3).
Taking the realized growth rates and future prospects on economic growth in the Philippines explained above into
consideration, three (3) options on GDP growth rate during the period from 2011 to 2030 are summarized in Table
3-1-1.
Japan has been the No. 1 trading partner for Philippines for a long time, but is currently suffering from the effects
of a severe natural disaster in the northeast region of the mainland. The United States has also been experiencing
economic stagnation for the past couple of years. Further, the EU has been having trouble with financial issues in
some member countries and is recently seen as unstable. Taking these circumstances into consideration, it is
advisable to avoid an opportunistic forecast on the future economic framework, both for international and
domestic situations. In this Study, Option 3 is chosen as the economic framework for the demand forecast because
it is the most conservative.
It has been confirmed that the past growth rates of Region VII have followed the same tendency as those of the
national average. Therefore, the forecasted future growth rates shown in Table 3-1-1 Option 3 are also applied to
Region VII.
3-1
Table 3-1-1 Economic Framework for Demand Forecast
Year 2000-2007 2010 2011 2012-2016 2017-2020 2021-2030
Philippines Realized(%) 1.76%-7.09% 7.3%
Region VII Realized (%) 2.34%-8.61% 7.3%
Option 1 (PDP High) 5.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0%
Economic
Option 2 (PDP Low) 5.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0%
Framework
Option 3 (IMF WEO) 4.7% 4.9% 5.0% 5.0%
Note: PDP: Philippine Developmant Plan, WEO: World Economic Outlook
(Source: Study Team)
Cebu Baseport is the second largest in the Philippines in terms of port throughput only after Manila Port, and its
annual cargo handling volume reached 12 million metric tons. Cebu Baseport not only supports the economies
and lives of people on Cebu Island but also serves for socioeconomic activities and welfare promotion in the
entire Visaya region.
The total cargo volume handled at Cebu Baseport has been increasing more than 3% per year on average for the
past 10 years. A high correlationship (coefficient of determination=0.8297) has been observed between the total
cargo volume and Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP). Total cargo volumes handled at Cebu Port are
estimated to be 16 million tons in 2020 and 24 million tons in 2030, by applying future GRDP (see Table 3-1-2
and Figure 3-1-1).
Figure 3-1-1 Historical Trend and Forecast of Total Cargo Handling Volume at Cebu Port
Realized Forecast
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
MT
10,000,000
5,000,000
0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
(Source: Study Team)
3-2
3) Forecast By Trade Type
Total cargo volume, calculated in the previous section, shall be further classified by trade type (export, import,
domestic loading, and domestic unloading). In general, international cargo are handled and stored at separate
locations from the domestic ones because of customs levies and regulations imposed on foreign ships and cargoes.
Differences in cargo handling efficiency between loading and unloading activities may be another reason why
cargo volume by trade type is required.
Cargo volumes by trade type for the last 6 years at Cebu Baseport are shown in Figure 3-1-2. In 2010, domestic
unloading is listed as the largest category (5.4 million MT), next is domestic loading (4 million MT), then Import
(2.2 million MT), and Export (0.9 million MT), in order.
Figure 3-1-2 Historical Trend of Cargo Volume by Trade Type at Cebu Port
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
MT
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Year
Cargo volume by trade type is forecast either through correlation analysis or elasticity analysis with GRDP.
Elasticity is the ratio of the percent change in one variable to the percent change in another variable. It is a tool for
measuring the responsiveness of a function to changes in parameters in a unit-less way.
An example of correlation analysis for import cargo volume is shown Figure 3-1-3, and that of elasticity analysis
for domestic loading cargo volume is shown in Figure 3-1-4.
Resulting forecasted cargo volumes by trade type are summarized in Table 3-1-3 and Figure 3-1-5. Cargo volume
at Cebu Baseport is expected to expand with an average annual growth rate of 3.2% for the 20 years between 2010
and 2030. Regarding trade type, import cargo is expected to increase by 6.6% per year, and will reach 7.9 million
MT around 2030, which exceeds the domestic unloading volume (7.8 million MT).
3-3
Figure 3-1-3 Correlation Analysis Between Import Volume and GRDP
2,500,000
1,000,000
MT
500,000
0
60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000
6.96
6.94 y = 0.4338x + 4.2464
R² = 0.6334
6.92
Log (MT)
6.90
6.88
6.86
6.84
6.000 6.050 6.100 6.150 6.200
Log (Philippine GDP, PhP Million)
(Unit: MT)
Year 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 AGR
(1) Total Import 2,211,923 3,083,000 4,316,000 5,895,000 7,911,000 6.58%
(2) Total Export 894,898 985,000 1,087,000 1,201,000 1,326,000 1.99%
(3) Total Inbound 5,362,023 5,376,000 6,079,000 6,878,000 7,782,000 1.88%
(4) Total Outbound 4,006,447 4,845,000 5,347,000 5,904,000 6,518,000 2.46%
Total (1)~(4) 12,475,291 14,289,000 16,829,000 19,878,000 23,537,000 3.23%
Total By Regression 12,475,291 13,842,005 16,392,102 19,658,013 23,826,235 3.29%
(Source: Study Team)
3-4
Figure 3-1-5 Historical Trend and Forecast of Cargo Demand by Trade Type at Cebu Port
10,000,000.00
8,000,000.00
6,000,000.00
MT
4,000,000.00
2,000,000.00
0.00
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
Cargo volume by trade type is further classified by package type. In the CPA cargo statistics, cargo is classified
into four package types: bulk cargo, break-bulk cargo, container cargo, and rolling. Forecast of cargo volume by
package type is useful because cargo handling efficiency and equipment to be used varies by package type.
The historical trend of shares by package type for domestic outbound cargo at Cebu Baseport is shown in Figure
3-1-6. Shares by package type in 2020 are set for each trade type as shown in Table 3-1-4 taking into account the
past achievements and recent development. Thus, cargo volume by trade type by package type can be estimated as
shown in Table 3-1-5.
70%
60%
50%
Share
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Year
3-5
Table 3-1-4 Composition by Trade Type by Package Type
Trade Type Foreign Import Foreign Export Domestic Inbound Domestic Outbound
Year 2010 2020 2010 2020 2010 2020 2010 2020
Bulk 7.3% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.74% 3.0% 4.42% 2.0%
Breakbulk 16.8% 15.0% 0.0% 2.5% 42.59% 45.0% 52.35% 53.0%
Containerized 75.9% 75.0% 100.0% 97.5% 45.81% 45.0% 34.89% 35.0%
Rolling 5.87% 7.0% 8.34% 10.0%
Containers are generally loaded and unloaded using gantry cranes (sometimes called Ship to Shore Cranes), which
are installed at the wharf, and empty containers are not an exception in this practice. In the case of bulk cargo or
break-bulk cargo, only cargo is subject to handling activities. However, in the case of containers, the cargo itself is
not the subject of handling activities but the container is. Therefore, in the former case, Metric Ton (MT) is
usually used as a unit of cargo volume, but in the latter case, for foreign containers in particular, TEU is generally
used as the unit of measurement.
Therefore, to forecast the future foreign container volume, a correlation analysis between container volume (TEU)
and GRDP of Region VII is implemented in addition to the MT basis forecasting explained above. A high
correlation between the two variables is confirmed with a determination coefficient of 94.0%. Resultant foreign
3-6
container volume is estimated at 343,000 TEU in 2020, and 594,000 TEU in 2030.
(Unit: TEU)
Year 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Total Foreign 103,944 128,803 202,213 257,000 343,000 454,000 594,000
Actual Forecast
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
TEU
300,000
200,000
100,000
-
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
A total of some 11 million people embark and disembark every year at Cebu Baseport, and 12 million passengers
were recorded in 2005 (see Table 3-1-7 and Figure 3-1-8). The number of passengers at Cebu Baseport has been
stable over the past ten years. It is worthy to note that the number of passengers at Manila port is less than two
million per year and that the total number of passengers at all PPA ports is about 50 million per year. It is quite
clear from these records that Cebu Baseport is the center of maritime passenger traffic in Philippines.
Empirical records show that the correlationship between numbers of passengers and socioeconomic indices such
as per capita GRDP is low, and that the number of passengers has been stable over years. Therefore, it is
estimated that number of passengers at Cebu Baseport in 2030 will be 12 million, which is the largest number in
the past recorded at this port.
Table 3-1-7 Historical Trend and Forecast of Passenger Traffic at Cebu Baseport
(Unit:'000 Passenger)
Year 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Baseport Passenger 10,059 11,945 10,994 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000
3-7
Figure 3-1-8 Historical Trend of Passenger Traffic at PPA Ports and Cebu Baseport
60,000,000
50,000,000
Passengers
40,000,000
30,000,000
20,000,000
10,000,000
0 00
02
04
06
08
10
20
20
20
20
20
20
Year
Cebu Baseport registered a total of 29,963 shipcalls in 2010, of which 29,554 were for domestic trade and 409
were for foreign trade. The Total Gross Registered Tonnage (GRT) for foreign trade vessels has been increasing
rapidly in recent years while the number of shipcalls for this category has been rather stable for the same period.
This is attributed to the fact that the size of vessels engaged in foreign trade has been increasing year by year and
reached nearly 12,000 GRT per ship on average in 2009 (see Table 3-1-8).
The total GRT for foreign trade at Cebu Baseport is forecast by regression analysis with cargo throughput (MT)
for the past 5 years. The total GRT is estimated by a single regression formula with a coefficient of determination
of 83.2%. The resulting 27 million GRT in 2030 should be regarded as indicative only because an insufficient
number of observations are used in this analysis.
3-8
3.2 Cebu New Port
Cebu City is one of the major cities in the Philippines and the hub of the Visayas Region (VI, VII, VIII) whose
population accounts for approximately 20% of the country. Cebu Port is the public port located in Cebu City, and
has been the regional hub of the Visayas for a long time.
In the study report by JICA in 2004, “The Study on the Master Plan for the Strategic Development of the National
Port System in the Republic of the Philippines,” the PPOSS (Philippine Port System Strategy), a strategic national
port master plan with the target year 2024 and an urgent development plan with the target year 2009, was
developed. Cebu Port is designated as one of six major national gateway ports (major ports for international
container trade) in this national plan.
In addition, the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA) issued a report in 2010, “The
Comprehensive Asia Development Plan,” in which Cebu Port is also identified as the major port of the
Philippines.
Regarding study reports on Cebu Port, there is, “The Study on the Cebu Integrated Port Development Plan in
Republic of the Philippines” made by JICA 2002, in which it is pointed out that the heavy congestion of cargo
operation and the passenger terminal and the delay in the modernization of port facilities should be improved. The
report proposes new port development in a suburb of Cebu City in order to handle the increasing future cargo
demand. Following this JICA study, METI carried out a study on the possibility of a Japanese ODA loan
particularly focused on STEP ODA. In spite of these project promotion efforts, the project was shelved during
reorganization of CPA in the same period. In addition, project suspension was also caused by complications
during local private investment discussions and issues on coordination between CPA and local autonomies.
Ten years have passed since the JICA study in 2002. Nowadays, the congestion has become more serious due to
the increasing cargo volume.
The Aquino Government, started in 2010, announced that the national projects should utilize PPP schemes
introducing private investment in order to reduce the government burden. DOTC follows the same policy and is
examining their current projects on the practicality of introducing a PPP scheme. Both CPA and DOTC intend to
apply PPP to this Cebu Port Project. To proceed with the Project, it is necessary to review and update the past
study carried out by JICA in 2002 and to revise the Project to suit the PPP scheme. The feasibility of the Project
and the method for applying for Japan’s ODA should also be surveyed.
In this Study, the 2002 JICA study is reviewed taking into account the recent economy and port surrounding
conditions and the Project is revised applying the PPP scheme; i.e., survey how to introduce private investment to
3-9
the Project. In the matter of the selection of the new port location, more attention is paid to initial investment cost
and comparing the candidate locations because it is essential for the financial status of private investors as well as
the public authority, CPA. For the Study on PPP, analyzing investment sharing between public and private sectors
and determining the optimum cost distribution is proposed through preliminary financial analysis.
3 - 10
(2) The Study for Determination of the Project Contents
In the 2002 JICA report, five candidate sites were proposed and two sites were selected after comparing the five
on natural conditions, access to the existing port, safe ship navigation, restrictions due to aircraft navigation of
Mactan Airport, access network with industrial parks, land acquisition, and environmental aspects. The two sites
were further compared regarding construction cost and one site, “Consolacion,” was finally proposed.
Cebu City
Minglanilla Consolacion
Cebu South
Mactan North
Mactan South
Figure 3-2-2 shows the comparison results of the JICA report in 2002. The comparison was made in the manner
that each category has a full mark of 5 points, then three way evaluations were attempted, i.e., Standard
Evaluation, Weighted on Environmental Aspects, and Weighted on Construction Cost. The results show: the
Standard Evaluation gives 1st Cebu South (75pts) 2nd Consolacion (73pts), Weighted on Environmental Aspects
gives 1st Cebu South (78pts) 2nd Consolacion (73pts), and Weighted on Construction Cost gives 1st Consolacion
(74pts) 2nd Cebu South (23pts). This evaluation does not represent the difference of construction cost accurately
because it is expressed by points rather than in a qualitative way. In order to clarify the clear cost difference, we
have drawn a rough port plan for each site location. Then, the costs are calculated for comparison in this Study.
3 - 11
Figure 3-2-2 Result of Comparison on Five Candidate Sites, JICA Study 2002
90
79
80 75 74
73 73 72
70
70 65 67 66 65 67
64
61 60
60
50
40
A3 Mactan South
A2 Mactan North
A5 Minglanilla
A4 Cebu South
A1 Consolacion
30
20
10
0
STANDARD EVALUATION WEIGHTED ON WEIGHTED ON
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSTRUCTION COST
ASPECTS
Figure 3-2-3 shows the port plan for each candidate site.
Every plan has reclaimed land sized 600 m x 500 m with a quay-wall length of 600 m. Reclamation and dredging
costs are estimated with volumes calculated by means of plotting layout onto a sea chart. Referring to the JICA
report, northern Mactan has calm sea conditions while southern Mactan has rather rough seas with the highest
wave height being 4 m. For the southern Mactan area, a breakwater is considered and its cost is estimated. An
access road is made connecting to the existing road, the length is measured, and its cost is estimated.
3 - 12
Figure 3-2-3 Port Plans of Each Candidate Site
A1A1Consolacion
Consolacion
A2A2 MactanNorth
Mactan North Alternative 2 Mactan North
Wave Direction
Wave Direction
Alternative 5 Minglanilla
A5A5
Minglanilla
Minglanilla
Figure 3-2-4 shows the comparison of the construction costs of the five candidate port sites. As shown in the
figure, assuming the cost of Consolacion as 1.0, the costs of other candidates are, Mactan North 1.4, Mactan South
2.5, Cebu South 2.7 and Minglanilla 3.0. The cost at Consolacion is very low because: 1) reclamation volume is
small because the area is shallow (±0.0m), and 2) dredging volume is small because the seabed at the face of the
quay and its off-shore area is more than -13 m.
3 - 13
Figure 3-2-4 Comparison of Port Construction Cost of Each Candidate Location
5%
A1 83% Assume 1.0
Consolacion 12%
A3 Breakwater
83% 92% 24% 47% 2.5
Mactan South Reclamation Dredging Road
Table 3-2-1 shows the comparison of each candidate location considering six factors including the previously
described cost of construction.
A2 A3 A4 A5
Item A1 Consolacion
Mactan North Mactan South Cebu South Minglanilla
Future
Expansion Good A Narrow C Good A Good A Good A
Potential
10 km 10 km 15 km 7.5 km 18 km
Access Baseport North Coast. A Thr. Mactan B Thr. Mactan C South Coast. A South Coast. B
Road Bridge Bridge Road Road
Conflict with Close to
No conflict A C No conflict A No Conflict A No Conflict A
Air-navigation Air Route
Evaluation B (-) C C C
A
PPP Viewpoint Air navigation Cost is too high Cost is too high Cost is too high
3 - 14
【A1 Consolacion】
Consolacion is the plan with the least cost. For introducing a PPP scheme, the Consolacion plan is the most
advantageous as it can start with low initial investment cost. For future expansion potential, there is space to
extend the reclamation and the quay-wall 1,000 ~ 1,500 m toward the east although a private marina for pleasure
boats is located there (a preliminary negotiation was made during the 2002 JICA study). Regarding accessibility
to the existing port, the North Coastal Road has been completed up to an area near the new port location and will
be extended in the near future. There are no restrictions due to aircraft navigation because the Mactan Airport
runway is located a safe distance from the port quay-wall. Some mangrove trees are in the planned reclamation
area. Conservation and re-plantation are required to ensure that reclamation is separated from the existing
shoreline so that water passage can be secured while effectively maintaining the mangrove environment. The
number of replanted mangrove trees should be equal to or above the number of trees removed for the newly
developed reclaimed land. Small fishing activities have been observed so some compensation might be required.
3 - 15
the Project. In particular, the existing road for access to the villages is narrow and requires widening for port
traffic use. Many houses will have to be relocated along the existing road.
【A5 Minglanilla】
The construction cost of the new port at Minglanilla is estimated at 3 times the cost of Consolacion. The high cost
is due to requirements of dredging and building of a breakwater. The high cost for the breakwater is caused by the
steep and deep seabed topography. The expansion potential is high as the density of residential houses is low on
the surrounding shore. For access to the existing port, the distance is approximately 18 km using the state highway
and the South Coastal Road.
3 - 16
(3) Description of the Project
To plan the new port, first we have to determine what functions of the existing port should be moved to the new
port. In this Study, the functions to be moved are proposed taking into account the previously discussed port
demand forecast and the saving of the initial investment considering the introduction of a PPP scheme to the
Project.
In the existing port, there is a small space alongside the quay-wall for handling cargoes, which is the major cause
of congestion. There is no space for expansion as the land immediately behind the quay apron is owned by the
private sector. Expansion toward the offshore area is also limited because the navigation channel is close to the
quay-wall as the port is located at in a narrow strait between two islands. From these geographical conditions and
heavy congestion, it has been proposed for a long time that the port should be relocated to a new port to be
developed in the suburbs of metropolitan Cebu.
Out of these functions, the candidates to be relocated in the first step decided through discussions with CPA and
port operators are the International Container, International Bulk/General, and Domestic Container terminals.
If we consider the characteristics of a PPP business scheme, in other words, the requirement of repayment of debt
owed by investors for initial investment, the functions that should be moved in the first step should be ones that
are financially feasible.
Figure 3-2-5 and Figure 3-2-6 show the demand forecasts of international/domestic container and international
bulk/general cargo terminals.
3 - 17
The rate of increase in the international container demand forecast is 5.5% per year. The rate is not very high
compared to the rates of other major ports in Asia. Therefore, if we assume the international container terminal
should be moved to the new port, the initial investment share for the public sector should be set at a high level in
order to reduce the burden encountered by the private sector.
The rate of increase for domestic containers in the same forecast is 2.5% per year. The rate is lower than that of
international containers. The tariff (Container Handling Charge) of domestic container handling is controlled by
CPA and it is set at 60 - 70% of the international value in order to preserve the domestic market of cargo
transportation. Therefore, the priority to move domestic containers to the new port is thought to be lower than
international from the viewpoint of financial feasibility for the private terminal operator.
500 Container
(TEU)
400
343
300
200
100
Past Record Forecast
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
515
500
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
3 - 18
Regarding international bulk/general cargo, if we assume it is moved with international containers, it is good for
the custom office as import/export procedures can be controlled at one place. The rate of increase in the forecast
shows 6% per year. There is little export as the most of the cargo are imports. The major commodities are rice
(general cargo), salt (bulk cargo), silica (bulk cargo) and steel cargo (general cargo), etc. Moving the international
bulk/general cargo to the new port is not recommended for the following reasons:
- Because most of the international cargo is imported while very little is exported, the increase of cargo is
thought to depend heavily on the regional GDP of Cebu. Looking at the statistics during 2000 - 2010, cargo
volume shows high and low levels. Such unstable growth might have a bad effect on the financial deal of new
port operations.
- According to a comment made by NFA regarding the future forecast of rice imports (it is the major import
cargo, 200,000~300,000 MT/year, approx. 50% of total imports), they are expected to decrease because under
a new national policy, the country will try to become self-sufficient for the domestic supply of rice.
- CPA built three bulk silos through co-investment with OPASCOR (private operator of international terminal)
recently, and is currently preparing to start importing grain. If port functions of bulk imports are moved to the
new port, this investment may become wasteful.
By these evaluations, it is recommended that only the international container terminal should be moved to the new
port. For other functions such as international bulk/general or domestic containers, it is recommended to survey
the timing of relocation to a time when recovery of investment will be nearly completed or when it is estimated
the risk is sufficiently reduced.
The timing of opening the new port should be adjusted to the time the cargo volume of the existing port reaches
capacity. The handling capacity of the international container terminal of the existing port is estimated as
approximately 300,000 TEU per year. Referring to the result of the demand forecast curve as shown in Figure
3-2-7, the time of opening the new port is proposed to be the year 2018. The initial capacity of container handling
of the new port is expected to be 400,000 TEU per year and is scheduled to increase to 500,000 TEU per year by
2023 by installing additional QCs and RTGs.
3 - 19
Figure 3-2-7 Demand Forecast of International Container and New Port Development
700
Phase 2 Expansion
600
500
200
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2018
2023
Year
Figure 3-2-8 shows the sizes of international full container ships currently arriving in Cebu Port. The maximum
LOA (Length Overall) is 188 m (2,000 TEU equivalent), and the average LOA is 155 m (1,000 TEU equivalent).
The berth depth of the new port is set at -13.0 m taking into account the next generation feeder ships of 3,000
TEU.
3 - 20
Figure 3-2-8 LOA of Container Ships Arriving in Cebu Port
(Data: June –August 2011, International Container Ship)
35
30
25
Frequency
20
15
10
0
80-90
90-100
100-110
110-120
120-130
130-140
140-150
150-160
160-170
170-180
180-190
190-200
LOA (m)
(Source: CPA data calculated by Study Team)
The berth length of the new port is set at L=450 m as shown in Figure 3-2-9. With this berth length, one next
generation container ship of 3,000 TEU and one present average sized ship of 1,000 TEU can berth at the same
time. Similarly, this length can also accommodate two ships of the present maximum size of 2,000 TEU.
The dimensions of the reclamation yard are set at 350 m wide and 650 m long. The space should be big enough to
plot a container yard with a capacity of 500,000 TEU/year and an additional port related area.
c) Layout Plan
Figure 3-2-10 shows the layout plan of the Phase 1 Project. In order to minimize the dredging and reclamation
3 - 21
volume, the reclamation area was plotted in shallow water (+/- 0.0 m) and the face of the quay-wall is aligned on
the line where the seabed is -13 m ACD. The reclamation is located approximately 250 m from the shoreline so
that the mangrove plants can be saved by water exchange through tide flow. The access road is planned to be an
elevated bridge-way for the same reason.
Figure 3-2-12 shows the layout plan of Phase 2 development. By 2030, the international container terminal should
be extended to 650 m in berth length. In addition, the domestic container terminal (400 m in berth length) and
approximately 50% of the international bulk / general cargo terminal (520 m in berth length) should be moved to
the new port.
3 - 22
Figure 3-2-11 Birds-eye Image of Phase I Development
International
Bulk / General
Cargo Terminal
Domestic
0m
55220
Container
Terminal
International
00mm
Container 4400
Terminal
0m
66550m
Turning Basin
3 - 23
2) Container Terminal Plan
《 Berth Capacity 》
New container terminal is planned in referring to current operational conditions and with priority of the berth
productivity to enable to handle 500,000TEU in annual. The capacity is calculated based on the operational data
of current terminal operator, OPASCOR. 4 units of the 15 rows Quay Gantry Crane are planned to be installed at
450m berth. In the plan, 3 units of Quay Gantry Crane are installed initially and another 1 unit in implementation
later.
Item Unit
(Source:Study team)
T = Q x H x P x A x B x TF
Where :
T : Berth Capacity (TEU)
Q : Number of QC
H : Working Hours
P : Crane Productivity (Handling volume per hour)
A : Crane Availability
B : Berth Occupancy Ratio
TF : TEU factor (Conversion factor per box to TEU) 1.4
This capacity is proposed on the terminal plan at the initial stage based on current operational condition and
subject to extension of operational hours and to improvement of operational efficiency to cope with increase of
the handling volume.
3 - 24
《 Terminal Layout 》
《 Area of Quay/Apron 》
The planned terminal is proposed to have the quay of 450m in berth length and apron area incl. the back reach
space with 60m in width. The container yard including the back yard has 144,500 ㎡(14,5ha) with 340m in length
and 350m in width, except the access road.
M1 = ( My x Dw / Dy ) x P
Where:
S1 = M1 / L
Where:
Required area of ground slot is calculated based on the required ground slot of the required storage of each dry
containers and reefer containers :
Gy = { S1 ( 1 – h ) x i1 } + { S3 x i2 }
Where:
Gy : Area of ground slot (㎡)
S2 : Ground slot of Dry Containers (㎡)
h : Ratio of Reefer Container ground slot (10%)
S3 : Ground slot of Reefer Containers (S1 x h) (㎡)
i1 : Unit area of Dry Containers (14.9 ㎡)
i2 : Unit area of Reefer containers (19.5 ㎡)
B = Gy x J
Where:
B : Area of marshalling yard (㎡)
J : Marshalling area factor
(conversion factor to the area including yard path) (3.0)
3 - 25
The required area of the marshalling yard is shown in Table 3-2-4.
《 Area of Backyard 》
The following facilities and floor areas are proposed to be built in the backyard.
C = B x K
Total ㎡ 6,850
3 - 26
The summary of the required Terminal areas are shown in Table 3-2-6.
(Source:Study team)
3 - 27
《 Quay/apron 》
The Panamax QCs with rail span of 30.48m are to be installed at the apron. The width of the apron is 60 m. The
condition of more than 3 QCs working in parallel for one vessel is considered. After the hatch covers are removed
and stored at the back reach, the running space of yard trailers behind QCs is ensured sufficiently for 2 way traffic.
The allocation of the marine house for the rest of gang and storage of cargo lifting operation gears should be
considered in the back reach when necessary.
《 Marshalling yard 》
The marshalling yard provides 9 lanes of 40 bays x 6 slot stacking area in principle. In consideration with the yard
condition in current terminal, it is recognized that the discharged laden containers have not stayed at the terminal
for a long period and have been delivered quickly. The storage of the empties containers is supposed to increase in
view of 70% of the loading container , and to need the sufficient storage space of the empty containers in the yard.
In assumption of the operational stacking height at 3.3 ties, the sufficient number of RTGs are to be arranged
considering that the delay and stoppage during operational peak should be prevented. As planned, 18 x One over
5-6 stacking RTGs are arranged at the least. The storage of empty containers are not planned additionally because
these empties are for exported, and can be managed in the stacking yard in the same manner as other containers.
The wider west passage way is provided with 35m in width including trailer waiting lane for due to possible
trailers queue for the gate-out containers delivered. RTG steering space is not included and separately arranged.
《 Container Gate 》
The number of gates is planned at 7 lanes for main and sub gates in order to ensure quick turn time of the trailers
without any congestion in the traffic of yard. The provision of the sub-gate and flexible operation would
contribute to smooth traffic in gate-out in the peak in consideration that the majority of containers are for import.
The number of gates should be reconsidered after review.
The gate system in interface with terminal operating system is essential to ensure smooth operation and should be
studied for implementation as well as automatic gate system.
3 - 28
《 Terminal Management System 》
The current terminal does not have the system but the implementation of Terminal Operating System (TOS) for
ships planning, yard planning, yard/cargo operation, gate operation etc is definitely required for terminal
operational efficiency. Especially, the implementation of the system is essential for smooth operation including
yard operation for the customer trailers in parallel of the quay operation for 2~3 vessels in the peak time.
As the preliminary design, a typical cross section of new container berths is shown in this section. In the 2002
JICA study, a steel sheet-pile (pipe) wall structure was proposed as the most economical type of structure. In this
Study, some cost saving ideas are introduced considering a similar cross section. To reduce the cost of dredging,
the location of quay-wall is plotted 200 m south of the original proposal by JICA in 2002. It is proposed that the
most economical structural type is a steel sheet-pile wall considering the local seabed topography and available
soil data. The proposed cross section is shown in Figure 3-2-14.
3 - 29
4) Preliminary Design of Port Access Road
4)-1 Background
Cebu North Coastal Road is one of the major development projects of the DPWH in the Metro Cebu area. It is an
integral part of the overall road network system that runs parallel to the existing main north-south line of Cebu
North Road. Cebu North Coastal Road is the last remaining link to complete the arterial bypass from the southern
district of Talisay City to the central district (Cebu and Mandaue Cities) by way of the Cebu South Coastal Road
and the Mandaue Causeway, up to the northern district of Consolacion, Lilo-an, Compostela and Danao City. The
new road alignment links the northern town of Cebu to a new development area and facilities such as the proposed
Cebu International Container Port and Cebu Reclamation Development Project. Figure 3-2-15 shows the entire
Metro Cebu Urban Road Network Development Plan.
The Project of Cebu New International Container Port Access Road connects to this Cebu North Coastal Road at
Consolacion (STA. 3+100). Figure 3-2-16 shows the vicinity map of the Cebu New International Container
Terminal and Access Road.
3 - 30
CEBU NORTH
LEGEND :
ROAD
MCDP I
MCDP II
MCDP III CEBU SOUTH COASTAL ROAD
CONTRAC T PACK AGE N o. 1
MCD P III CEBU CITY SOUTH RECLAMATION Sta. -0+094 to Sta. 1+400
Leng th = 1.49 K M.
SECOND MANDAUE-MACTAN BRIDGE Bridge: 684.13m
PROPOSED CEBU CITY CIRCUMFERENTIAL
ROAD AND DISTRIBUTORS
CEBU NORTH COASTAL ROAD
BUS TERMINAL (LGU) C EBU NORTH
COASTAL ROAD
SOLID WASTE (LGU)
SECOND MANDAUE -
MACTAN BRIDGE
RT E )
P O N I TY
EX ZO C IL
N G FA
TA SIN TAL
MAN D AUE C
A ES EN
R EC LAM ATION M O NM C
P R I RO
V
N
(E RT
N O T)
3 - 31
CEBU PORTS T A IRP O- EN
A UTHO RITY C M
(PORT CARGO EQUIPMEN T)
A L A EC TR UI P
M A L Q
U- N S / E S; E
EB T IOOR K OR K
C A W W
CEBU SOUTH
COASTAL ROAD SEGMENT 3B-2
CEBU SOUTH Subway Section
ROAD Length = 0.97 KM.
(On-go ing)
Completion : June 2009
N
IO TH
AT OU
M
SEGMENT 3B-1
A YS
Offshore Ramps
C L IT
EB
Length = 0.30 KM.
C
RE U C
Completed: Jan 2006
Figure 3-2-15 Metro Cebu Urban Road Network Development Plan
SEGMENT 3A
SEGMEN T 1 Viaduct Section
TalisaySection Length = 1.62 KMS.
Length = 4.46 K MS. C omp leted: Oct. 2003
Completed: May 2004
SE GM ENT 2
Causeway Section
Length = 4.86 KMS.
Comp leted : Oct. 2002
Figure 3-2-16 Vicinity Map for Proposed Cebu New International Container Port
and Access Road connecting to Cebu North Coastal Road
Package 1 of Cebu North Coastal Road for the new Cansaga Bay Bridge across Cansaga Bay with approaches at a
length of 1.39 km was constructed in 2009 by DPWH. This Package 1 for the first approach starts at the coastal
terminus of the 4-lane Plaridel Extension in Brgy Paknaan, Mandaue City. The bridge traverses Cansaga Bay and
ends with its second approach at a junction with the existing provincial road at Brgy Tayud, Municipality of
Consolacion.
Based on the DPWH investment program, Package 2 of Cebu North Coastal Road for the construction of a new
bypass road will start at the end of the Cansaga Bay Bridge approach at Brgy Tayud, Consolacion. The new
coastal road runs in a westerly direction and ends at the junction with the existing Cebu North Road in Brgy
Jagobiao, Municipality of Lilo-an. This new alignment bypasses the heavily congested sections of the Cebu North
Road from the approach road to Fernan Bridge in Mandaue City to the town center of Consolacion.
Cebu New Sea Port Access Road will connect at STA. 3+100 in Consolacion of Package 2 for the Cebu North
Coastal Road.
3 - 32
4)-3 Preliminary Design for Access Road
a) Design Concept
The design concept of the access road is to provide safe and smooth access and efficient movement of cargo
trucks to the national road of Cebu North Coastal Road. The access road consists of 830 m for a bridge and 150 m
for earth work with a trumpet-type interchange connecting to Cebu North Coastal Road Package-2.
The following standards are mainly used as a reference in access road design.
- A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets, AASHTO 2004
- Highway Safety Design Standards Part 1 Road Safety Design Manual, May 2004, DPWH
- Japan Road Association, Road Structure Ordinance, 2004
3 - 33
c) Design Speed
The recommended design speed by the previous feasibility study was 80 km/h. In accordance with the Road
Safety Design Manual (DPWH, 2004) and considering the moderate topographic conditions and traffic safety
while staging construction, the design speed is recommended to be 80 km/h for the main access road and 60 km/h
for the ramp connecting to the new Cebu North Coastal Road.
d) Number of Lanes
According to the previous feasibility study, the traffic forecast of hourly design traffic volume was 392 veh/h in
the year 2010 and will be 983 veh/hr (11,702 veh/d) in 2020. 2 traffic lanes are required for each direction based
on the traffic forecast and the following reasons:
- Lanes in both directions are separated by a concrete curve median to provide smooth and safe traffic
movement.
- This access road is mainly used by cargo trucks going to and from New Cebu International Container
Terminal. The cargo must be able to be transported over the access road anytime even if the cargo trucks
have trouble or there is an accident along the access road.
A typical cross section for the access road is as shown in Figure 3-2-17
The proposed Plan and Profile for the access road is shown in Figure 3-2-18 for Plan and Figure 3-2-19 for
Profile.
3 - 34
Figure 3-2-18 Plan for New Cebu Container Port Access Road
Connecting Proposed Cebu North Coastal Road Package-2 by DPWH
Figure 3-2-19 Profile for New Cebu Container Port Access Road
3 - 35
g) Structural Design Standard
The Structurral Design Standard shall be in accordance with the following codes and guidelines:
The typical superstructure type will be the AASHTO Prestressed I-Girder because it is the most economical and
widely used in the Philippines.
The typical substructure type will be a multi column with pier-head type pier with a bored pile foundation. The
column section will be a circular shape, especially in the seashore area to minimize the streaming inhibition.
3 - 36
5) Future Subjects to Study
This section explains the development strategy of the new port by referring to the conceptual design and port
planning. For implementation of the Project, more detailed and practical study is required. The points to be
covered in the future study are described as follows.
3 - 37
3.3 Cebu Existing Port
As explained in Section 3.2, some of the port functions need to be relocated to the new port, as the degree of
congestion will be heavier due to an increase in cargo demand. A study must be done on CPA’s role in
reorganizing the existing port after shifting the international container terminal from the existing port to the new
port. In addition, in redevelopment of the existing port, it is also important to establish a safe and convenient port
station and to create commercial space closely related to the people’s life activities.
Hereinafter, the background and necessity of the redevelopment Project are explained from two points: the role of
CPA and from the standpoint of port users.
As examined in the former section, CPA has to prepare the answers to the following subjects after the
international container terminal is moved to the new port that is planned to commence operation in 2018.
- CPA has to reshuffle the layout of the existing port after the new port begins operation. A new layout
deployment of the port functions is required to suit the future port demand forecast.
- From the CPA’s financial viewpoint, income from the international container terminal will vanish for the
existing port. We consider the Project is a financially closed unit in which the financial aspects of the new
port are separate from those of the existing port. In order to raise the feasibility of the Project, cost saving and
introduction of alternative income sources will be required.
- It has been observed that the high risk of accidents in the cargo handling operation is mainly due to the
narrowness of the cargo yard in the vicinity of the quay-wall. Moreover, passengers suffer the same risk as
they embark / disembark RORO or ferries passing through the quay apron where a lot of heavy equipment is
being used. It is essential that CPA ensure improvement of the safety.
- The guarantee of a safe and comfortable trip is important for passengers who use the port to depart to / arrive
from Manila, Mindanao, etc. using a ferry or RORO.
- To improve the financial status of regional citizens, a strategy must be developed where the port, as a center
of commercial activities, will activate the economy. The PPP policy introducing private finance for
development is based on this activation of the economy.
In addition, if Cebu Baseport is redeveloped, the following effects are expected regarding the development plans
of the Baseport surrounding area.
3 - 38
- When passenger transport function improves and passenger's convenience and safety improve, the
convenience of moving between the surrounding areas, including the Central and Eastern Visayas regions, will
also improve. In addition, it is expected that the power of the province of Cebu and Metro Cebu as the hub of
economy and tourism will increase.
- Taking advantage of the location close to the urban core of Cebu, a part of the Cebu Baseport area will be
redeveloped for commercial and business use. Thereby, a combination of town and open space is created and
will contribute to the promotion of redevelopment in the urban core.
3 - 39
(2) The Study for Determination of the Project Contents
1) Present Status Surrounding Cebu Baseport
Commercial land use accounts for most of the Cebu Baseport vicinity, and the other land is used for institutions,
industrial, vacant land, and parks & playgrounds (Figure 3-3-1).
Land use zoning of the Cebu Baseport vicinity by an Ordinance Revising the Comprehensive Zoning Regulations
for the City of Cebu is shown in Figure 3-3-2.
The Cebu international container port area is designated as a transportation zone and the surroundings are
designated as C-2 for medium/high intensity commercial districts. The area from the northwest side of the C-2
districts to the 1st pier is designated as I-1 for low intensity industrial districts. The Central Business District
3 - 40
(CBD), the Prime Commercial Zone, and the Tourist Belt of Cebu city are located on the west side of this I-1
district.
In addition, the area from the 1st pier to Fort San Pedro, Plaza Independencia, and Cebu City Hall is designated as
the Civic Center, and the following policies are adopted in order to achieve compatible land uses relevant to the
establishment of the Civic Center:
- Undertake efforts to preserve and enhance the character of the area as a Civic Center;
- Promote the architectural design of buildings which respect the Spanish-Cebuano heritage, culture and
historical background;
- Promote or encourage the establishment of tourism-oriented projects within the site; and, to provide the
necessary support to its linkage activities including infrastructure requirements.
Furthermore, as a historical area in Cebu City, Fort San Pedro and Plaza Independencia are described as the
Heritage Core, and the area on the west side is described as the Old Down Town Area.
3 - 41
Figure 3-3-3 History Town and Civic Center of Cebu City
Development on the private land of the port zone has restrictions on height and use, and developments that do not
conform to these restrictions require approval of both the lot owners association and CPA. Reconstruction that
does not exceed 18 meters in height and does not require a change in zoning does not require approval. The
restrictions are stated on the certificate of title of land.
Figure 3-3-4 shows the data of ship length overall (LOA) of international trade ships arriving in Cebu Port during
June - August 2011. The maximum LOA was 188 m and the average was 155 m. The maximum and average LOA
of international trade ships except for container ships were 175 m and 110 m respectively.
3 - 42
Figure 3-3-4 International Ships’ LOA and Frequency of Arrival
35
Container Ship
Other Ship
30
25
Frequency
20
15
10
0
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80
80-90
90-100
100-110
110-120
120-130
130-140
140-150
150-160
160-170
170-180
180-190
190-200
LOA (m)
Figure 3-3-5 and Figure 3-3-6 show the frequency of each range of berthing time of international trade ships using
data from June - August 2011. The container ships show the longest berthing time of 30 - 40 hours, while other
ships show approximately 10 days at maximum and 3.6 days on average. The average berthing time of rice cargo
ships, which were major commodity carriers of the port, was 5.6 days.
3 - 43
Figure 3-3-5 Berthing Time of International Container Ships
30
25
20
Frequency
15
10
0
<5
5-10
10-15
15-20
20-25
25-30
30-35
35-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
Berthing Hours
Figure 3-3-6 Berthing Time of International Ships except for Container Ships
16
14
12
10
Frequency
0
(<5HRS)
(10-15HRS)
(15-20HRS)
(20-24HRS)
(5-10HRS)
0-1DAYS
1-2DAYS
2-3DAYS
3-4DAYS
4-5DAYS
5-6DAYS
6-7DAYS
7-8DAYS
8-9DAYS
9-10DAYS
11DAYS<
10-11DAYS
Figure 3-3-7 shows the berth occupancy ratio (%) of the international terminal B2 - B5 (June - August 2011).
CPA designates B2 is for international bulk / general cargo and B3 - B5 are for international containers. However,
actual use shows that the required occupancy of bulk and general ships exceeds the capacity of B2, and in some
cases, B2 is also used for bulk and general cargo handlings. Rice imports, which are the major items for general
3 - 44
cargo of the port, is seasonal. The high season of the rice import is February - August; the period of data taken for
this survey was during the high season.
The figure shows that the occupancies of B2 and B3 are in the range of 50 - 60%, which nearly reaches the berth
capacity.
100%
Others
90%
Rice
80% Container
67%
70%
Berth Occupancy
54%
8%
60%
50%
23%
40%
25% 27%
30% 57%
8%
20% 5% 13%
Figure 3-3-8 shows the berth occupancy of B6 - B23 for August 2011.
CPA designates B6 to be used as a domestic container berth and deploys 1 quay gantry crane (QC). Although the
original data did not reveal the berthing time of container ships for the berths B7 - B23, we observed some full
container ships berthing at B8 - B12. Container cargo handling at B8 - B12 is done by ships’ crane because a QC
is not installed at these berths. The main reason the users tend to use these berths even though the capacity of B6
is still not full (data shows occupancy of 40%) is that cargo owners are reluctant to use B6 due to the increased
cost of using QC.
B8 - B9 are used for the Superferry that sails Manila - Cebu - Mindanao. The Superferry usually arrives 3 - 5
times a week, and the average berthing time is 3 - 3.5 hours per arrival. Some ROROs or other ferries use B8 and
B9 while this Superferry is not berthed.
B13, B14, B20 (Pier 3) and B26 (Pier 1) are exclusively used for passenger ships. The CPA passenger terminal
building is located alongside B13, where small passenger ships berth. Their average LOA is 35 m. B14 is for the
3 - 45
private operator Supercat passenger fast crafts. The Supercat ship shuttles passengers from Cebu to Bohol or
Leyte islands. Their average LOA is 24 m. Berth occupancies of B13 and B14 are about 30%, mainly due to the
night moorings, and normal berthing time for passengers is 20 - 30 minutes; thus, these berths can afford to
accommodate more ships. B20 (Pier 3) is a long pier fixed perpendicular to the quay face line on which a
passenger building is installed. Here, fast-craft passenger ships and smaller sized ferries are berthed. The average
LOA of B20 is 35 – 45 m. The berth occupancy of B20 is also rather low at 30 - 40% and does not reach the
maximum capacity. In the past, B23 was also used for passengers, but the terminal building has been demolished
so it is used for cargo ships at present.
Passenger/Ferry 91%
90%
Container/RORO w.o. Pass. 83%
RORO with Passenger
80%
Super Ferry
70% 26%
60%
60%
6% 52%
50% 100%
42%
39% 91%
37%
40% 34%
30% 30% 30% 30%
28% 3%
30% 12%
21% 54% 31% 57%
52%
14% 18%
16% 17%
20% 39% 15%
8%
30% 30% 32%
11% 24%
10% 13%
16% 14% 13%
12% 12%
8%
3%
-
B6 B8 B9 B10 B11 B12 B13 B14 B15 B16 B17 B18 B20N B20S B21 B22 B23N
(128m) (140.0m) (125.0m) (125.0m) (125.0m) (125.0m) (125.0m) (125.0m) (125.0m) (125.0m) (125.0m) (L=90m) (L=155m) (L=155m) (130m) (130m) (155m)
(*1) (*1) (*1) (*2) (*2) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3) (*3)
Note: (*2) means assumed capacity of the berth whose number shows the maximum number of ships berthing at the same time (only for the purpose
of calculation).
(Source: Study Team)
3 - 46
Figure 3-3-9 Berths Layout Plan of Cebu Port
Passenger Passenger
3 - 47
b) Present Condition of Southern Berths (B28~B31)
The quay face of the south end of the existing port bends westward. Its quay-apron is quite small and there is only
one access way from the public road; therefore, it is highly congested.
The berths presently used for cargo are B28 and half of B29. The rest, the other half of B29 and B30 are reserved
for presidential office use, where no cargo operations are carried out.
In the Master Plan of Cebu Baseport, an area around the berths of B31-33, which were closed due to the Cebu
South Coastal Road Project, was planned to be a redevelopment area. The present situation of the area is as
follows (Figure 3-3-10):
3 - 48
3) Cargo Operation at Cebu Baseport
The handling volume of the international containers was recorded at 200,000 TEU in 2010 and is expected to
exceed 220,000 TEU in the forecast of 2011. Looking at the breakdown of 2010, the import accounted for 47%
and export for 27%, of which a large portion was loading of empty containers.
Currently, all international containers have been loaded/unloaded at B2-5 except for some shipped by domestic
feeder vessels and ferries. Cargo handling has been undertaken by Oriental Port & Allied Services Corporation
(OPASCOR) assigned by CPA. The style of cargo operation is in exactly the same manner as the general cargo
ships under a cargo operation contract between the stevedore and shipping carriers. The storage/delivery of the
containers loaded/unloaded has also been arranged by this stevedore but the billing of charges for these associated
works, including the electricity for reefers, is the responsibility of CPA. OPASCOR is assigned mainly for quay
cargo operation and not as the terminal operator who have undertaken all operations and terminal management.
The general overview of terminal facilities, cargo operation and layout are shown below.
3 - 49
Table 3-3-1 International Container Terminal – Facilities and Overview of Operation
Item Unit Q'ty Remark
Container Terminal
General cargo ships (International) also berthing
Berth Length m 514
at B-1,2
Terminal Area ㎡ 70,000
Berth Operation
Actual in 2010 for Container ships.
No. of Vessels called (Annual) Vessel 328
MCC domestic containers vessels are included.
Annual Handling Volume TEU 202,110 only for International containers
3 - 50
SHIP-TO-SHORE E
GANTRY QUAY CRANES N S
W
BERTH 2 - 130.5M BERTH 3 - 128M BERTH 4 - 128M BERTH 5 - 128M BERTH 6 - 128M
APRON APRON
HOPPER
ALPHA 1 BRAVO 1
PROPOSED COMFORT
TRANSFER ROOM
TOWER ALPHA 2 BRAVO 2
SILO 1
AREA
BAGGING
ALPHA 3 BRAVO 3
SILO 2
3 - 51
WAREHOUSE
ONE-STOP
IMPORT-EXPORT
ALPHA 5 BRAVO 5 DOCUMENTATION CENTER
(Source:OPASCOR)
PRESENT
PROPOSED ENGINEERING GATE GATE
SITE 3 CONTROL
GATE
GATE
1
FABRICATION
CFS AREA
AREA
MOTORPOOL
NFA WAREHOUSES
Figure 3-3-12 Layout of International Container Terminal
The terminal accepts late delivery of loaded containers until 2 hours after the vessel arrivals. Therefore, they
usually start loading operation subsequent to completion of the unloading operation. In view of lower occupation
of the berth, the shipping agents sometimes delay the departure time awaiting arrival/loading of the late delivered
containers but it depends on the availability of the berth and the allowance in the vessel’s schedule.
The berthing schedule of regular callers and their handling volume are summarized below.
Table 3-3-3: Berthing Schedule and Handling Volume of Regular Container Vessels (as of October 2011)
・Yard Operation
The yard capacity has 7,080 TEU stacking four containers high, and is occupied at 52-60% of capacity in normal
operation. The free storage period has been set at 6 days for the import-laden containers, 5 days for export-laden
containers and 3 days for empty containers. No specific problems regarding yard capacity have been reported
because the berthing frequency is about one vessel per day, and the free period for the export-laden containers and
3 - 52
empty containers is rather short. Storage of the reefer containers can be provided with 45 reefer plugs. Most reefer
containers are delivered to the consignees immediately after discharge due to the lack of free storage time.
a) Berth B6
CPA statistics show that the handling volume in 2010 was 247,295 TEU. According to an interview with the
stevedores, 70% of the domestic containers were moved by container vessels and the balance was carried by ferry
and large-sized RORO vessels. For the domestic container carriers, MCC transport has used B5 for
loading/unloading of 220,000 TEU annually and B6 for 40,000-50,000 TEU of National Marine / Lorenzo as B6
is for use of the container vessels with the quay gantry cranes. Other container shipping carriers have used B8-10
where no quay crane is available. Cargo operation at B8-10 is undertaken by ship’s cranes. The ferry and RORO
vessels also have used B8-10. The domestic cargo movements show the same tendency as international in that the
inbound volume is larger than the outbound of which 70% of the cargo is empty containers. The major domestic
container operators are listed as Sulpicio / Gothong Southern / National Marine / Lorenzo Shipping / MCC / 2GO
(NVOCC) / Ocean Transport / Oceanic Transport / Negros Navigation / Aboitiz.
The stevedore company, Cebu Integrated Arrastre (CIA), has been assigned to do cargo operation at B6 by CPA
since May 2010. They have provided the quay gantry crane and straddle carriers for quay cargo operation and
yard operation. They are undertaking discharge and loading cargo work similarly to OPASCOR. No terminal
management function exists. CIA is also undertaking cargo operation of the container vessels operated by their
contract carriers, which are berthing at B8.
The general overview of terminal facilities and cargo operation are shown below.
3 - 53
Figure 3-3-13 Domestic Container Terminal B6
Table 3-3-4 Domestic Container Terminal – Facilities and Overview of Operation (B6)
Container Terminal
Storage Capacity TEU 720 960 TEU after RTG operation started.
08:00-17:00 in normal operating except ships cargo
Terminal Operating Hours/d Hour 24
operation.
Container Handling Equipment
1 x 13 rows GC.
Quay Gantry Crane Unit 1
One GC to be delivered in 2012.
Straddle Carrier Unit 4 For 2/3 tiers
Berth Operation
3 - 54
・Berth Operation
The cargo operation record of the stevedore for Aug-Sep 2011 shows that they handle 20~230 moves per berthed
vessel for 7-8 vessels per week. Only one quay gantry crane is installed but the cargo operation is often carried out
through parallel operation with ship cranes because most of the container vessels are equipped with cranes. The
shipping agents have sometimes preferred to use the ship cranes even if the quay gantry crane is available because
an extra charge is incurred for use of the quay gantry crane. Because of this, the quay gantry crane has a low
utilization of 20%. The long stoppage of the crane resulted in low productivity in 2010 at 16.5 moves/hour that
improved to 25 moves/hour in 2011. 26.7 moves/hour was achieved after they contracted for productivity with
their customers and shipping agents. The main users of the shipping carriers at B6 are 2 companies: National
Marine Corp. and Lorenzo Shipping Corp.
・Yard Operation
CPA has recognized the problems of short storage and cargo handling space caused by the limited backspace of
the quay and have managed to shorten the cargo storage period by setting a short free storage period in the port
tariff (one day for inbound containers and two days for outbound containers). The container yard at B6 cannot
accommodate all containers loaded/unloaded so CIA have provided their off-dock CY, which is located at
Mandaue (2 km away from the quay) and have accepted/released the majority of the containers. The container
yard at the quay only accepts storage of containers to be immediately loaded on the vessel alongside. The
transportation between the quay and off-dock is undertaken by trailers and is accounted for by the
shipper/consignee and shipping agents. 80% of the handling containers have been shifted between the quay and
off-dock CY and the balance for direct release/acceptance at the B6 container yard. CIA is currently working on
changing the yard operation to an RTG operation to increase the storage capacity of the container yard at the quay.
They expect to start operation in 2012. No storage facility for reefer containers is provided at the container yard.
All reefer containers are currently released/accepted directly from/to the vessel. The overview of the off-dock CY
facilities is shown below.
3 - 55
CIA is going to install an additional crane in 2012, which will contribute to an increase in the handling capacity to
more than 100,000 TEU. However, achieving this goal depends on an increase in use of the quay gantry crane
instead of relying on ship cranes.
b) Berth B10
Cargo operations of other container vessels and large sized RORO vessels other than Superferry have been mainly
carried out at B10. The container vessels use their own cranes. RORO vessels use the trailers provided at the quay.
For ferry and RORO vessels, in principle, all containers are loaded with a trailer chassis for quick cargo operation
within the limited port stay. The productivity of ship cranes is reported to be 8-10 moves/hour. The major
domestic container carriers, Gothong Southern and Sulpicio, have used B10 for their ship cargo operations. The
back area of the quay is very limited and has only short-time storage space of 200-400 TEU. Thus, each carrier
provides their own off-dock CY at nearby areas and hauls the containers between the quay and off-dock CY in a
similar manner to OPASCOR and CIA. The containers that are to be immediately loaded onto the next vessel
alongside are allowed to be accepted/stored at the quay. In addition, the back area is also occasionally used for
cargo devanning and vanning space. The stevedores of B10 are CIA, USD1 and CASCOR.
In general, the small and medium-sized ferries and RORO vessels dock alongside the berth with the stern
(Mediterranean style) at Cebu Port. Superferry has exclusively used B8-9 for her berthing in ordinary style. The
cargo operation and embarkation/disembarkation have been carried out simultaneously due to the short port stay
of around 3-6 hours. The containers on Superferry have been loaded/unloaded with the chassis as well as other
cargo operation of the large sized RORO vessels. The flagship of Superferry called “Superferry 12” has the
capacity to accommodate 711 passengers and 160 trailers. The details of Superferry vessels are listed below.
3 - 56
Table 3-3-6 Details of Superferry Vessels Berthed
Capacity
Ships Name LOA GWT Passenger Trailer Calling Ports
(People) (unit)
The operator of Superferry, Aboitiz, have provided the container depot at Mandaue for off-dock CY and container
storage, and haul all unloaded containers to this depot for release to the customers.
For movement of the passengers, the number of embarkations/disembarkations for August 2011 shows 105
passengers per vessel on average for Superferry 2 and 373(embarkation) / 283(disembarkation) for Superferry 12.
These 2 ferries carry 14,000 passengers monthly. The ferry company provides bus transportation from/to the
passenger terminal at B13 for the passengers but it has been observed that this service does not comply with the
demand of all passengers, who when disembarking, have exited by walking through the gate of Pier 4.
The cargo and passenger operation for August, 2011 is listed below:
(Source:Study Team)
Note that the cargo operation for Superferry achieved higher productivity by chassis operation for containers due
to quick work required for short port stay.
3 - 57
Figure 3-3-15 Berth for Superferry B8-10
Large-sized RORO vessels of more than 5000 GWT normally use B9-10 for docking alongside the berth. The
medium vessels of less than 5000 GWT use B11-12, B15-17 to berth Mediterranean style. The small vessels of
3 - 58
less than 500DWT use B19, B21-22, B24-25, etc. in Mediterranean style. Most of the small and medium-sized
RORO vessels provide cargo ramps and passenger access in the stern. Due to this, berthing in Mediterranean style
can save space and contribute to quick and easy operation. Most vessels arrive/berth after the evening and stay
until midnight/next morning. The vessels moor tightly with very small distances between vessels (10~20 m) so
that several vessels can dock in one berth length of 125 m at the same time. Regarding cargo, large vessels load
the cargo containers with chassis, trailers and other mobile vehicles in most cases, but the majority of small and
medium vessels have palletized cargo and break-bulk general cargoes with small to large lots as the opening of
cargo ramp and height/width of the cargo deck are varied and limited. In cargo operation of these vessels, in some
cases, 3.5 ton forklifts are arranged at the cargo hold and the quay for delivery over the ramp due to the height gap
between the quay and cargo hold floor. The cargo operation for small vessels fully relies on labor-intensive work
without any equipment. Because of this, the back area of the quay becomes very congested from handling the
cargo and moving cargo handling equipment in an unsafe manner. In addition, the embarkation and
disembarkation of passengers definitely contributes to the congestion and unsafe conditions at the quay as most of
the passengers have actually exited by walking through the cargo handling area even though a transportation bus
has been arranged.
The productivity of cargo operation for these RORO and ferry vessels depends on the size of vessels and declines
from large to small because the small vessels need more labor-intensive work. The small ferries and RORO
vessels are recognized as significant transportation carriers of passengers and daily commodities between the
nearby islands.
3 - 59
Figure 3-3-18 Cargo Operation of Medium-sized RORO Vessels(B18)
3 - 60
4) Method of Planning the Existing Port
The main issue of port planning for the existing Cebu Port is how to reduce the congestion of operation at berths
and their aprons. Port planning is studied taking into account the demand forecast discussed in Section 3.1 and
assuming the international container terminal will be moved to the new port. It is assumed that the congestion can
be mitigated by eliminating the container terminal from the existing port (the new port is planned to begin
operation by 2018), but if demand increases as forecasted, the congestion will recur someday. Therefore, making
clear the degree of decreased congestion after removing the international container terminal and required facility
development for the short-term 2020 port plan is discussed.
In Cebu Port, temporary storage of cargo for loading / unloading is difficult because the CPA owned cargo
handling space alongside the quay-wall is very small. Therefore, the cargo operation is carried out in a way that
the cargo transported from private storage by trucks or trailers is directly loaded onto the ship, and the cargo on
board the ship is directly unloaded on to a wheel carrier and driven out of the port immediately. It is expected that
the capacity of the port is more dependent on the ability to berth than on the yard size for storage. Therefore, berth
occupancy is taken into account quantitatively for the port planning method.
3 - 61
(3) Description of the Project
- International container terminal will be moved to the new port according to the increase of port demand
(scheduled by 2018).
- Evaluate whether capacity of existing port is adequate or not before opening of new port.
- After commencement of operation of the new port, study is required on facility investment of the existing port
as the short-term development plan 2020.
- Considering the financial burden for CPA due to new port development, minimum required development on
the existing port should be recommended. In addition, a PPP scheme should be introduced on redevelopment
by leasing or selling part of the CPA owned port land so that the gained income will complement the budget
of the existing port.
- For the middle-term development plan targeted in 2030, some port functions should be relocated section by
section to the new port when the capacity of the existing port is saturated.
- For the further long-term plan after 2030, only the passenger terminal should remain at the existing port and
all cargo functions should be moved to the new port.
The international terminal handles both container and bulk / general cargo and it is not easy to evaluate congestion
separating these functions. Therefore, it is assumed that international container terminal will be moved to the new
port by 2018 as discussed in the former section, and the degrees of congestion are to be estimated before / after the
shifting of the international container terminal. The estimate is carried out taking the berth occupancy ratio into
account as the critical factor also considering the result of the commodity-wise demand forecast.
3 - 62
Figure 3-3-20 Demand Forecast of International Container and Rate of Increase from Present Year 2011
International Container (TEU)
700
600 594
400 343
306
300 70% Increase
202
200
51% Increase
100
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Figure 3-3-21 Demand Forecast of Bulk / General Cargo and Rate of Increase from Present Year 2011
Import/Export Bulk (MT)
2,500
2,000
Throughput (1,000MT)
1,500
1,106
960
1,000
98% Increase
559
500 72% Increase
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
From these figures, international containers are estimated to increase 51% over the present throughput volume,
while international bulk / general cargo will increase 72% by 2018. On the other hand, the current berth
occupancy ratios of international container and bulk / general cargo berths (B2 - B5) are estimated at 15%
(container) and 29% (bulk / general). From this information, berth occupancy before new port opening (2018) is
calculated as shown in Table 3-3-8. It is foreseen that the occupancy ratio will increase to 71% (B2 - B5 total),
which will nearly reach the maximum capacity.
Table 3-3-8 Forecast of Berth Occupancy Ratio before Opening New Port (2018)
Berth Berth
Total Berth
Occupancy Occupancy
Occupancy
Container Bulk/Brkbulk
At present 2011 15% 29% 43%
51% Increase 72% Increase
2018年 22% 49% 71%
(Source: Study Team)
3 - 63
a)-2 Congestion after Operation of New Port (2020)
After opening of the new port, international cargo of the existing port will be only bulk / general cargo as the
international containers will be moved from the existing port. As Figure 3-3-21 shows, cargo volume of bulk /
general is estimated to increase 98% over the present 2011 volume. Table 3-3-9 indicates the estimated figure of
berth occupancy at 2020 assuming the cargo will be handled with some berths B2 - B5. If the cargo is handled by
all B2 - B5, berth occupancy 2020 is estimated at 57%. Trial calculation shows that if 3 berths (B2 - B4) are used,
occupancy exceeds capacity, while using 4 berths (B2 - B5) gives some spare capacity.
From these analyses, it is proposed B2, B3 and B4 are to be exclusively used for international bulk / general cargo,
B5 is to be commonly used for bulk / general and domestic containers, and B6 is to be used for domestic
containers exclusively.
Table 3-3-9 Forecast of Berth Occupancy Ratio after Opening New Port (2020)
Figure 3-3-22 Demand Forecast of Domestic Container and Rate of Increase from Present Year 2011
400 365
348
Throughput (1,000 TEU)
31% Increase
300 279
25% Increase
200
100
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
3 - 64
As the calculated present berth occupancy was 39% (Figure 3-3-8), it is estimated to increase 49% by 2018. This
still gives spare capacity if the assumed capacity is 65%.
Table3-3-10 Forecast of Berth Occupancy Ratio before Opening New Port (2017)
Berth
Occupancy
At present 2011 39%
25% Increase
2018 49%
(Source: Study Team)
Table 3-3-11 Forecast of Berth Occupancy Ratio after Opening New Port (2020)
3 - 65
Figure 3-3-23 Demand Forecast of Domestic Bulk / General Cargo
and Rate of Increase from Present Year 2011
6,000 5,567
22% Increase
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Berth occupancy before new port opening (2018) is estimated at 56%, which is less than existing capacity.
Table 3-3-12 Forecast of Berth Occupancy Ratio before Opening New Port (2017)
Berth
Occupancy
Bulk/Brkbulk
At present 2011 48%
17% Increase
2018 56%
(Source: Study Team)
3 - 66
Table 3-3-13 Forecast of Berth Occupancy Ratio after Opening New Port (2020)
Berth
Occupancy
Bulk/Brkbulk
At present 2011 48%
22% Increase
2020
55%
Before Development (18 Berths)
2020
47%
B20 & B26 converted to Cargo Berth (21 berths)
Figure 3-3-24 Demand Forecast of Passenger and Rate of Increase from Present Year 2011
Passenger (Pax)
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000
Throughput (1,000PAX)
12,000 12,000
12,000 11,195
7% Increase 7% Increase
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
3 - 67
1)-3 The Suitable Location of Commercial and Public Spaces for Development
The location of commercial development sites by private sectors or public space sites such as a parks, etc. at Cebu
Baseport, is considered from the following viewpoints:
- Requirement of facilities and equipment as renewal port
- Appropriate location, function and scale as a commercial/public area in consideration of surrounding land
use and the city master plan
- Circulation of port-related traffic and other traffic
- Intention of redevelopment by private landowners in the port zone
- Private developer’s view on redevelopment
- Profitability of CPA land by sale or lease.
Regarding the location of the commercial development sites or public sites at Cebu Baseport, the following three
places as shown in Figure 3-3-25, are assumed as proposed sites.
- Existing International Container Port area
- Existing private lots in Port area
- The area around Fort San Pedro
Sites proposed
Site for Commercial for
or Public Spaces
The results comparing these three proposed sites are shown in Table 3-3-14. The existing international container
port area is suitable for the location of commercial development sites and public space sites, and the area around
Fort San Pedro is suitable for the location of public space.
3 - 68
Table 3-3-14 Comparison Table for Proposed Sites of Commercial/Public Area
Existing International Existing Private Lots in Port The Area Around
Container Port Area Area Fort San Pedro
CPA Land CPA can gain large There is almost no CPA The area of CPA land is
proceeds from land sales land. not large.
or land rental. Using a marine building
commercially requires an
agreement with the
organizations concerned.
City Planning Since this area is distant Same as left. Since this area is
from the central business positioned in Civic Center
district (CBD), the effect and an historic area of
on city planning is not Cebu City, it is important
large. for city planning.
It’s close to commercial-2 This area is close to
District. commercial areas.
There is a plan to make a
marine building into a
maritime museum.
Port Function Since it is an area that has The port will be divided While it is desirable to
depth and port facilities and it is hard to manage make the southwest side
can be easily arranged, for CPA or Private from Pier 1 into a
selling off or renting is Operator. collected public space,
wasteful. rearrangement of the
existing port function is
needed.
Private Large-scale commercial Same as left. When there are many
Sector development by private restrictions on preservation
sector is possible. and utilization of an
It is disadvantageous for Same as left. existing historical
commercial development building, the profitability
not to be redeveloped to for private sectors may
the waterfront line, to be decrease.
intermingled with port There is almost no room
functions, and to touch the It is hard for a private for large-scale commercial
arterial road, which is developer when business development by the
congested with container feasibility is dependent on private sector.
trucks. negotiation with a
landowner.
Evaluation Suitable for locating Difficult to locate
commercial buildings / public commercial buildings / public Suitable for locating
space space commercial buildings
(Source: Study Team)
Figure 3-3-26 Redevelopment Plan of the Area Around Fort San Pedro
The proposed port layout plan for 2020 is shown in Figure 3-3-27. In this plan, the international container terminal
is moved from the existing port by the target year 2018. On this occasion, the contents of redevelopment at the
existing port are as follows.
Passenger
Superferry
Bulk/General
Container Yard
Parking Parking
Commercial
Development
Figure 3-3-28 Bird’s-Eye View of Proposed Layout Plan of Existing Port 2020
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a) International Bulk / General Cargo Terminal
B2, B3, and B4 are for exclusive use for international bulk / general cargo. B5 should be common use for the bulk
/ general and domestic container in accordance to the cargo demand increase.
c) Passenger Terminal
A new terminal building is to be built in front of B13 and B14, which will integrate public/private terminal
functions presently located separately in the existing port. Terminals of Pier 1 and Pier 3 should also move into
this new terminal building. In order to hold berthing capacity for passenger ships and ferries, two lines of the new
pier in the form of floating pontoons are to be installed at B13 and B14. At present, passengers are embarking /
disembarking at other cargo berths for ROROs and ferries. The separate passenger terminals should be combined
in one terminal, which gives the advantage of safety because transportation (by bus) of passengers from/to RORO
berths will be able to be managed by a single unit office. B13 and B14 are almost at the center of the port so the
location is convenient and good for time saving for passengers.
Superferry is using B8 and B9 and will be assigned the same location because of the long size of the ship and
because it handles a large volume of cargo along with with passenger boarding. The passenger terminal for
Superferry is to be located in the new private commercial building and an elevated walkway from the terminal to
the face of the quay should be installed to ensure the safety of passengers.
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1)-5 Port Plan 2030
The proposed port layout plan for 2030 is shown in Figure 3-3-29. In this plan, parts of port functions are moved
to the new port when the capacities of each function are saturated due to an increase in demand. According to the
demand forecast study, initially, congestion of international bulk / general cargo terminal will become serious
followed by the domestic container terminal. The proposed plan is dependent on these port functions (part of the
international bulk / general and entire domestic container will be moved to new port) being moved from the
existing port.
Figure 3-3-29 Proposed Layout Plan of Existing Port 2030
International Domestic
Bulk/General Ferry/RORO/General
Passenger
Superferry
Bulk/General
Parking Parking
Commercial
Development
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1)-6 Port Plan after 2030
The proposed port layout plan after 2030 is shown in Figure 3-3-30. Port related parties have suggested that most
of the cargo terminals should eventually be moved to the newly developed port outside the downtown area of the
city in view of the social environment as well as the safety and efficiency of port operation as the present port
space is quite narrow. This study follows the same concept; thus, the plans of 2020 and 2030 represent the vision
in the process of this final port development strategy.
Passenger boats
Ship Passenger
Center
Parking Parking
Commercial
Development
Figure 3-3-31 Bird’s-Eye View of Proposed Layout Plan of Existing Port after 2030
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The contents of redevelopment at the existing port after 2030 are as follows:
The major contents of development of the existing port are floating pontoons and a passenger terminal building.
The size of the pontoon is proposed to be 45 m long, 15 m wide and 4 m deep. The total length of the quay is 135
m and can house 6 pontoon units. For the structural type of pontoons, several options are available such as steel,
fiberglass, concrete or hybrid-concrete, etc. Considering the cost, durability, ease of local procurement and
construction capabilities, concrete type pontoons are proposed. For manufacturing, ship building docks or
slipways located on Mactan Island can be used. The fabricated pontoon should be towed by tugboat and installed
at the existing port location. To attach the pontoons, concrete anchor blocks and chains will be installed. Fenders,
bollards and passenger waiting booths are to be mounted on the pontoons.
The dimensions of the passenger terminal building are 80 m x 20 m with 3 stories totaling 4,800 m2 of floor space.
For the foundation of the building, precast concrete piles are proposed because they have good durability, low cost
and are easy to procure in the local market. The structure of the building is to be made of RC beam and slab.
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Passenger waiting rooms are planned on the first and second floors and offices of shipping private firms are
planned on the third floor.
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3) Future Subjects to Study
This section presents the redevelopment strategy of the existing new port by working out the conceptual design
and port planning. For the implementation of the Project, more detailed and practical study is required. The points
to be covered in the future study are described as follows:
a) More Accurate Forecast of the Future Port Congestion based on Site Survey
In this section, port planning was carried out using the factor of berth occupancy ratio to forecast future
congestion. The data covered the period of the three months between June and August 2011. A future study
should survey data over a longer period for a more accurate evaluation.
In addition, congestion of the port depends not only on berth occupancy but also on the ability and numbers of
cargo equipment, capability of workers, etc. A future analysis should consider these different factors. To make
these factors clear, a one to three month comprehensive site survey employing record taking staff is
recommended.
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3.4 Public-Private Partnership (PPP) of the Project
PPP is considered as the latest form of Private Sector Participation Initiative in infrastructure investment. Private
participation is also called simply “Privatization,” or “Private Participation in Infrastructure (PPI),” “Private
Sector Participation (PSP)” and others (ADB PPP Handbook, September 2008).
- PPPs present a framework that-while engaging the private sector, acknowledge and structure the role for
government in ensuring that social obligations are met and successful sector reforms and public investments
are achieved. The structure of the partnership should be designed to allocate risks to the partners who are best
able to manage those risks and thus minimize costs while improving performance.
- PSP is a term often used interchangeably with PPPs. However, PSP contracts transfer obligations to the
private sector rather than emphasizing the opportunity for partnership. In the mid to the late 1990s, there was
a slowdown in public–private contracting in infrastructure sectors, which was largely precipitated by a social
backlash against the perceived preference for the private sector over the public sector in delivering
infrastructure services in developing countries.
- Privatization involves the sale of shares or ownership in a company or the sale of operating assets or services
owned by the public sector. Privatization is most common and more widely accepted in sectors that are not
traditionally considered public services, such as manufacturing, construction, etc. When privatization occurs
in the infrastructure or utilities sectors, it is usually accompanied by sector-specific regulatory arrangements
to take account of social and policy concerns related to the sale, and continuing operation of assets used for
public services.
b) Historical Background
In infrastructure, particularly in public port sectors, “Privatization” started in the 1980s with a combination of
“Public Port Reform” from the UK. The UK started selling19 public ports in 1983. Port Kelang in Malaysia
started privatization incorporating Kelang Container Terminal (KCT) in 1985. Sweden privatized the Port of
Gothenburg in 1986. New Zealand established the Port Companies Act in 1988 and started privatization. The
Philippines contracted the operation of Manila International Container Terminal to a private operator ICTSI in
1988. The Port of Singapore Authority was corporatized in 1991. Hutchison Whampoa entered into a
joint-venture agreement with Shanghai Port (PRC) in 1992. Pakistan advertized investment for Gwadar. There
have been many examples where the private sector has participated in port sector reform.
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c) Public Port Reform
Public Port Reform mainly includes two tires of reform: (1) reform of the port administration body as a regulator
and (2) reform of the port operation body as the cargo handling body.
Ports can be classified into four main models: the public service port, the tool port, the landlord port, and the fully
privatized port or private service port (ADB Best Practices for PSI, 2000; World Bank, Port Reform Tool Kit,
2001 and 2008).
Earlier in the report, “Privatization Defined: Is it the Universal Panacea? 1999”, Mr. Alfred Baird provided similar
categorization of Port Management Models as below:
In general, port reform is aimed at: (a) improving performance of the public sector (Port Authority) in providing a
regulatory frame work and financial aspect, (b) increasing operational efficiency and (c) reducing port charges.
There are many examples and forms of Private Sector Participation (PSP) in ports. ADB reviewed examples of
PSP in the port sector, and concluded that, “the Landlord model is the best structure for promoting PSP” (ADB:
Best Practice for PSI, 2000) as shown below:
• The bidding process should encourage unbundling not only of the network but also for the services within
the ports. Where ports are not financially viable, they should not be bundled with profitable ports, but
treated as stand-alone facilities that are turned over to local government or put under management
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contract using a competitive tender.
• The landlord model is the best structure for promoting PSP because it accommodates different forms of
public-private partnership while recognizing that the only fixed responsibility of the public port is the
ownership of the site.
• The most effective and efficient procedure for promoting PSP in the port sector is to lease existing
facilities with relatively short-term agreements that allow for reorganization and improvement in
productivity. Subsequently, concession agreements can be used to encourage private investment in
additional capacity. Where this capacity is required immediately, or labor problems make it difficult to
lease out existing facilities, then concessions might precede lease agreements.
• Continued public investment will be required, as it is difficult to recover the costs for basic infrastructure
in a time period reasonable to the private sector. Public investment may also be required to reduce the
barriers to entry. This is important where a new entrant would otherwise have to make a large investment
before competing with existing service providers.
• The best form of tariff regulation is market regulation; the second best is through the terms of the contract
that identify the non-competitive services requiring regulation, state the maximum rates, the formulae for
escalating these rates over time, and the arbitration procedures for discriminatory behavior in excess of
that justified by commercial pricing. The third best is the establishment of a regulatory agency outside of
the port which would apply a pricing formula related to cost recovery. All of these are preferable to a
vague procedure for negotiating future changes in tariffs.
• The private sector should assume all commercial risks. Other risks should be negotiated, based on which
party has the capability to mitigate the risk.
• The critical element in any effort to promote PSP is competition, or at least the potential for competition.
This can be provided through direct competition between private sector service providers, between public
and private service providers or between bidders in the case of an activity that does not allow
competition.
Actual examples show that the most common mode of private participation in container terminals is the “Landlord
Type” model (Private/I).
Table 3-4-3 Extent of Privatization within the Top 100 Container Ports
Considering the amount of investment made by the private sector in infrastructure in developing countries
between 1990 and 2001, the majority was made in telecommunication and electricity sectors. The investment
amount of private participation in the port sector is still limited (World Bank Working Paper 2003).
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Figure 3-4-1 Sectoral Breakdown of Investment in Infrastructure Projects with Private Participation,
1990–2001
a) Philippines:
Philippines Port Authority (PPA) was managing and operating nearly all the public ports. Cebu Port Authority
was the first port authority separated from PPA in June 1992 to administrate ports in Cebu. Subic Port is also
administrated by a separate body from PPA, but PPA is still managing most of the major public ports.
Private participation in terminal operation started when Manila International Container Terminal (MICT) was
constructed and concession of terminal operation was called for bids. PPA established a 25-year concession for
MICT. The initial concession agreement, granted under the Marcos government, failed but was re-bid under the
administration of President Aquino and won by International Container Terminal Services Inc. (ICTSI) (initially
together with Sealand), which has operated successfully until now. Subsequently, a lease was granted to Asia
Terminal International (together with P&O Terminal) for international container operation in South Harbor. The
two now actively compete for international traffic (ADB 2000).
PPA granted concessions and similar cases are followed by others such as Subic, Batangas, and recently Davao
and General Santos Ports.
On the other hand, investors are constructing business center, hotel and shopping center in the center of Cebu city.
New department store has been constructing at the back of Cebu port area by Robinson who is the major
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department in the Philippines. Almost half of lots in the south reclamation area have been sold out as of now and
some tenant has started the construction of the building. The price of land has risen up by 1.44 times from 1997 to
2007 along the Osmena avenue behind Cebu port area.
b) Other Countries
World Bank provided examples of concession and BOT in Oman and India as below (World Bank, Tool Kit
2007):
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Chapter 4
1) General
In this study environmental and social assessment for the New Cebu Port and Redevelopment of the
Existing Cebu Port Project will be examined based on the baseline survey conducted in the JICA study in
2002.
2) Natural Environmental Conditions – New Cebu Port Site and Existing Cebu Port
The characteristics of environmental conditions at the respective sites of the New Cebu Container Port
Project (NCCP) and Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project (CBPRP) are characterized in the
environmental baselines of the JICA study in 2002. No recent study of the environment is available to
update the baselines. In JICA study, field surveys were done to find out the quality and conditions of
seawater, bottom sediments, air and noise. Also, actual observations of terrestrial and marine ecology were
made to assess the quality and diversity of marine and terrestrial life in the impact zones.
Colour, temperature, conductivity and salinity levels in the harbour waters at both sites were fairly good at
the time of sampling. Dissolved oxygen content is high above the 5 mg/l critical level at NCCP and
CBPRP. Chemical oxygen levels are above the 10 mg/l maximum limit mandated by the Department of
Environment and Natural Resources (DENR). Surfactants are well below limits but grease and oil
concentrations generally exceed limits – obviously a result of pollution by shipping vessels plying the
channel and landing at Cebu Port and, in the case of the new site, ship repair activities on the southern
shores of Consolacion. The level of 0.06 -0.07 mg/l of cadmium appears high in excess of the 0.01 mg/l
DENR limit. Arsenic level is critical at the Cebu Port site but far below the 0.05 mg/l limit in Consolacion.
Mercury, lead, cyanide and hexavalent chromium levels are far below the DENR limits.
Total phosphates are slightly detectable while organophosphates are not detected. Total nitrogen of 2.5 –
3.3 mg/l at the CBPRP site is higher than the 1.6 mg/l levels at the NCCP site.
Excessive levels of total coliform and fecal coliform, both indications of pollution from androphogenic
sources, were observed in 2001. In Cebu harbour, up to 160 million MPN/100 ml and 90 million
MPN/100 ml of total coliform and fecal coliform, respectively were detected, far in excess of the 1000
MPN/100 ml limits set by DENR. In the NCCP area, a maximum total coliform count of 900 million
MPN/100 ml was observed. The same level of fecal coliform was measured at the site indicating pollution
mainly from human waste discharged to the coastal area. It is likely that over the last ten years, the level of
4-1
sewage pollution from the City of Cebu and the barangays of Consolacion and other waste discharging
coastal cities and towns along Mactan Channel have increased substantially, resulting in a worsening of
biological quality levels of seawaters at these sites. The result of the assessment of seawater quality is
shown in Table 4-1-1.
Slow deterioration of seawater quality mainly due to continued pollution discharges from adjacent
shipyard at NCCP. The active currents along narrow strait will allow relatively fast dispersion of seawater
pollutants at CBPRP.
Sea bottom sediment analyses at several points offshore of both Projects were made. As there are no
standard quality limits set up by the DENR for marine sediment quality, a comparative evaluation for the
two sites is being made here. BOD ranges from 8.6 -17.1 ppm in Cebu harbour against 9.8 – 21.1 ppm at
the NCCP site indicating higher organic pollution in the latter. COD is comparable in the higher range at
41.3 ppm. Oil and grease contamination are between 5 to 6.5 ppm at both sites while industrial phenol
contamination does not vary very much with a concentration range from less than 0.01 ppm to 0.08 ppm.
Heavy metal contamination shows less than 0.10 ppm for both cadmium and arsenic at the two sites.
Cyanide ranges from 0.01 to 0.04 ppm levels for both sites while hexavalent chromium levels do not
exceed 0.002 ppm. The levels for the above heavy metals are lower than the Japan Environmental Agency
(EA) 1990 criteria for harmful bottom sediment intended for landfill or sea dumping of 0.1 mg/l for Cd,
0.5 mg/l for As, and 1.0 mg/l for cyanide.
Lead pollution of 12.7 – 52.8 ppm in CBPRP is significantly higher than the 7.4 – 19.1 ppm levels at the
NCCP site. Both locations show toxic lead contamination that are in excess of Japan EA’s 1.0 mg/l.
Mercury levels are less than 0.01 ppm at both sites – much higher than EA’s 0.005 mg/l harmful limit. No
organophosphate contamination is detected at either site while nitrogen nutrient levels are low ranging
from 0.03 – 0.08 ppm at the Cebu port site and 0.002 – 0.14 ppm in Consolacion.
At both sites, coliform – both total and fecal – are in excess of 1.0 million MPN/100 ml and even reach 24
million MPN. Like seawater, bottom sediments are contaminated with human and animal waste in Cebu
Port harbour and at the Consolacion port site.
Slow deterioration of sea bottom sediment quality mainly due to continued pollution discharges from
adjacent shipyard in Cansaga at NCCP. Without the Project, deterioration of bottom sediments at Mactan
Channel near the Cebu Port will continue to increase even though the active currents along narrow strait, it
will continue at its current rate.
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Table 4-1-1 Seawater Quality at Existing Cebu Port Area and New Cebu Port Site
4-3
Table 4-1-2 Bottom Sediment Quality at Cebu Baseport Area and New Container Port Site
A comparison of air quality and noise levels at the existing Cebu Port and at the Consolacion port site are
shown in Table 4-1-3. Except for total suspended particulates in certain areas of Cebu Baseport complex
that exceed the DENR limit of 300 μg/Ncm, all levels of air quality parameters measured at that time fall
below the maximum limits set by DENR. This indicates relatively good air quality at these sites.
These indicators are not expected to substantially change at the site or its surroundings at NCCP. However
with the scheduled implementation and operation of North Cebu Coastal Road project, road traffic noise
will rise along the road alignment near the project site. Even without the Project, other developments in
and out of the Port area will cause increase traffic congestion near the CBPRP.
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Table 4-1-3
Air Quality and Noise Quality at Cebu NCCP and CBPRP Site, 2002
In the existing CBPRP, the absence of marine vegetation and macrobenthos, which fish feed on, and
regular dredging in the harbour limit the survival of fishes in the area. Sustenance fishing is rarely
observed near the port area due to very low productivity of the fishing area. The few who catch fish nearby
only get a small quantity of small-sized anchovies and small roundscads. These fish species are relatively
tolerant to some forms of pollution. In general, roundscad account for more than 50 percent of the total
major species caught along the coastal waters of Cebu Province. Before reclamation in the Mactan and
CBPRP area was done, good-sized big-eye trevally (talakitok), Spanish mackerel (tanigue), shad fish
(kabansi), siganid rabbitfish (samara) and grouper (lapulapu), as well as shrimp and squid were caught in
Mactan Channel. Some sea grasses are found south and north of the CBPRP area.
In 2001, the mangroves along the shoreline near the NCCP site showed the characteristic features of the
substrate in the study area. Mangrove species observed thriving in the coastal zone near the site include
Sonneratia alba (firefly mangrove) and Avicennia marina (Bungalon/Piapi). It seems that the situation of
the mangroves along the shoreline and reclamation site is the same as in 2002.
Corals and associated macrobenthos were observed near the port site. Corals identified included Galaxia
sp., Goniophora sp., Fungia sp., Pyctenia sp., Montiphora sp., Porites sp., and Tubiphora sp. Most corals
showed only folius or encrusting growth. Soft macrobenthos in the coral area north of the reclamation site
includes holothurians (Synapta sp.) and sponge. Among the molluscs, Paphia amabilis and Anadara
antiquata are the most abundant along the muddy coastline of Consolacion, in association with the
mangrove community. Seaward, the echinoderms Diadema setossum and Strongylocetrotidae sp. are more
abundant species – their presence is indicative of the relatively polluted environment as evidenced by a
BOD ranging from 13.3 mg/l to 35.4 mg/l which is higher than the DENR standard of 7-10 mg/l. Two
4-5
species of sea grasses and 8 species of algae were found. Together with mangroves north of the site, the
sea grasses provide nutrients for juvenile fishes and other marine organisms in the area. No rare, threatened
or endangered species of algae have been encountered.
Coastal mangrove stand will continue expand at gradual rate. Coastal fishery will continue slowly
detriorate at its current rate. Proliferation of seagrass is expected to remain stable as it is ten years ago. The
past and present degradation rate of corals seaward of the port site is not expected to abate without the
Project. Even without the Project, CPA will pursue base port expansion but on limited and slower rate.
However, individual and collaborative activities of LGUs, NGOs, DENR and BFAR- especially those in
south of Mactan Island will improve marine ecology in the Channel to some extent.
3) Soical Environmental Conditions – New Cebu Port Site and Existing Cebu Port
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Households without toilet facilities comprised a high 25.60%. The Municipal Social Welfare Department
maintains the program for Women’s Welfare program, Child and Youth Welfare programs, programs for
Emergency Assistance and for persons with disability. The Municipal Education, Culture and Sports
department provide sixteen public elementary schools and nine secondary schools. In 1995, the town had a
one (1) policeman per 2,135 population – still below the minimum national standard of 1 per 1,000.
- Housing and Shelter
Pressure of urbanization in the cities of mainly Cebu, Mandaue and Lapu-lapu, is making new affordable
residential lands for development relatively scarce in these cities. The proximity of Consolacion makes it a
convenient alternative for residential land supply. Thus, a number of subdivisions have grown to address
the demand of housing within Consolacion and nearby cities.
- Economy
There are 131 registered business establishments in Consolacion in 1999. About 43% of this are in the
service sector and 20% are retailers, dealers and traders. The latter are located in Poblacion (East and
West) Casili, and Pulpogan. Only about 17% are manufacturers while 14.5% are into food production.
About 68% of manufacturing industry players is predominantly in the industrial zone of Barangays Pitogo,
Tugbongan, Cansaga, and Tayud.
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1) General
For the assessment of the environmental effects, qualitative analysis will be made instead of quantitative
analysis because detailed baseline survey is necessary to conduct the quantitative analysis.
Table 4-2-1 and 4-2-2 show the impact to the environmental effects.
Construction activities resulting in improvement in the natural environment on the coastal area of Tayud,
Consolacion are limited to alteration of topography by the reclamation of 23 hectares compared with large
scale reclamation, reclamation height is from 0.0 to +3.0 m and dredging volume is small. Without
mitigation measures, negative construction impacts will result in pollution of seawater caused mainly by
offshore disposal of dredged materials, increased water turbidity and suspended solids due to reclamation
and erosion, noise and dust generation and reduction of areas for fishing. The magnitude ranges will be
minimal considering the dredging volume is 16,000 ㎥ and minimal disposed volume due to the utilization
of the reclamation. During the disposal of the dredged material silt protector should be provided to mitigate
the diffusion of the contaminated sea water. Most impacts are short in duration and only affect the vicinity
of the disposed site 25 km from New Cebu Port.
During port operations, mitigation measures are needed for largely negative impacts on seawater pollution
in the port complex, noise generation by construction heavy equipment, and greenhouse gas emissions
(largely caused by increased electricity usage by equipment and employees), but there is less impact on
pollution generated by garbage, which usually occurs at ordinary general cargo berths. Impacts on the
environment during this phase are generally minimal, with a medium to high chance of occurring. Long-
term impacts are mainly confined to the vicinity of the port complex.
Construction activities will generally cause negative environmental impacts for water pollution, solid
waste generation, dust, and noise generation by pile driving. Short-term and reversible negative impacts
will result from these activities after construction finish. These impacts are confined within the CPA port
area. An increase in occupational health and safety risks will be faced by workers involved in the
construction sites. To mitigate safety risks, safety measure clause should be included in the contract of
contractor and CPA safety staff should secure the construction site.
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Without mitigation measures in place, operation of the high-rise new multi-storey port commercial center,
elevated passenger skywalk, bulk/general cargo berths, domestic container yard, etc., will cause additional
sewage and solid wastes that could pollute harbour waters, create noise in and outside the port commercial
complex, and generate new greenhouse gas emissions from direct and indirect sources, all due to increased
electricity consumption.
g) Increase seawater
Negative Significant High Reversible Short term Seawaters in vicinity of reclamation area
turbidity & suspended solids
h) GHG Emissions Negative Minimal High Reversible Short term Atmosphere
Potential Impact Magnitud Probability of Impact
Nature Reversibility/ Geographic Extent of Impact
(Operation) e Occurrence Duration
a) Seawater/Marine
Negative Significant High Reversible Long term Port site and harbor
Pollution
b) Noise from ships and port
Negative Significant Medium Reversible Short Term Port area & areas near access roads
operation/activities
c) Impact on marine life
Negative Significant High Reversible Long term Vicinity of the project area
(Corals and mangroves)
d) Solid wastes generation Negative Significant Medium Reversible Long Term Vicinity of Port Area
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b) Increase in air pollution Negative Minimal Low Reversible Short term Vicinity of the project area
generation
e) Visual Resources and Nil to
Negative Medium Reversible Short term Vicinity of construction area
Landscape minimal
f) GHG Emissions Negative Minimal High Reversible Short term Atmosphere
Potential Impacts Probability of Reversibility/ Impact
Nature Magnitude Geographic Extent of Impact
(Operation Phase) Occurrence Permanence Duration
a) Seawater Pollution Negative Significant High Reversible Long term Vicinity of the project area
b) Noise Generation Negative Significant Medium Reversible Long term Vicinity of Port Area
c) Increase Space for Port
Positive Significant High Reversible Long-term Vicinity of existing container port area
use & for Amenities
d) GHG Emissions. Negative Moderate High Reversible Long Term Atmosphere
For the five alternative sites considered for the container port, the impacts to the natural and social
environments were compared. The initial comparative impact evaluation is presented in Table 4-2-3. No
alternative plan for a new container port with lesser environmental impact than the recommended plan was
found.
Table 4-2-3 Comparison of Potential Impacts at Five Sites
Area of
Consolacion Mactan North Mactan South SRP South Minglanilla
Impact
Marine
Ecology:
Some mangrove
Some mangrove Several mangrove Several mangrove
stands will be Grasses and
Mangroves stands will be stands will be stands will be
adversely some shrubs
adversely affected adversely affected adversely affected
affected
No significant Substantial areas Substantial areas of No significant No significant
Corals
good coral area of corals corals coral area coral area
Social:
Informal
nil Nil Many Nil Nil Nil
Settlers
Several fishpen Some
Some sustenance Some municipal Some sustenance
Fishermen and fish cage sustenance
fishermen fishermen fishermen
operators fishermen
Conforms with Conflict with air Some conflict
Land Use LGU Zoning navigation of No conflict with present No conflict
Ordinance MIA land use
Land Reclaim port site Reclaim shore Reclaim shore Reclaim shore site Reclaim shore site
Acquisition site
Widening of Widening of
New New
Access Road existing road and New construction existing road and
construction construction
new construction new construction
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With implementation of the New Cebu Port and redevelopment of Existing Cebu Port, environmental
improvement around the Project site is expected as follows:
- By construction of the New Cebu Port, larger-sized vessels with emission control systems can use the
port. Reduction of CO₂ emission per TEU is expected. Due to construction of the New Cebu Port, the
access distance from Mactan Island will be shortened and the congestion around the existing Cebu port
will thus be reduced.
- With construction of the New Cebu Port and redevelopment of the existing Cebu port, cargo volumes
will increase and industrial/regional development in the hinterland and surrounding areas will follow. An
increase in job opportunities and local economic development is expected.
Following the guidelines for project screening prescribed by Japan International Cooperation Agency
(JICA), Japan International Bank for Cooperation (JBIC) and DENR Guideline, the initial screening and
environment checklist of both Projects were prepared. The predicted environment issues were identified
and studied as indicated in Figure 4-2-1, 4-2-2, 4-3-1, 4-3-2.
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1) General
The social consequences of the NCCP and CBPRP are largely positive. Simultaneous implementation
could likely raise the impact magnitude and significance due to synergism of project execution. This
means improvement in the social and economic conditions of the impact zones. When completed, NCCP
and CBPRP will enable CPA to be more productive and operationally efficient in its functions as a result
of expanded container cargo handling capacity in the new port and better domestic container port and
bulk/general cargo berthing facilities. The new port will enable CPA to increase its annual revenue. In
parallel terms, the commercial complex at the existing Cebu port will also open new and additional sources
of revenue for CPA. Below is a discussion of the potential social consequences of implementation of both
Projects while Table 4-3-1 and Table 4-3-2 present summaries of impacts on the social environment.
23 ha reclamation, 450 m long berths, 16,500 ㎥ dredging, 600 m access road, 14 ha container yard, 4 units
of quayside gantry cranes, 16 RTGs, terminal building, container gate, water supply, power supply and
drainage system.
Construction activities will cause a significant rise in land prices – impact which is negative, irreversible,
long-term and has a high probability. This will affect lands within the immediate hinterland of NCCP
especially in Consolacion town. Positive impacts will manifest in terms of improvement in livelihood, new
employment opportunities and uplifting welfare of women and children of those who will be employed in
construction and who can engage in livelihood related to the construction of the port. All these will be
moderate in magnitude, highly probable, short-term and will cover communities within the vicinity of the
Project site including Consolacion and Liloan towns.
The 23 ha reclamation will permanently change land use by closure of a small coastal fishing area of
sustenance fishermen - a negative impact on marginal fishing which by its nature is irreversible, long-term
but minimal in magnitude due to the small number of fisherman, small scale of fishing and small
reclamation area. Other negative, highly probable and significant but reversible short-term impacts are
traffic congestion along the construction access roads and threats to occupational/health and safety of
construction employees.
4-12
Operation-phase impacts of the Project will mainly be positive and highly probable, i.e., increased land
values (positive for landowners and negative for land buyers), improved opportunities for livelihood,
employment and income, economy and growth, enhanced port productivity, efficiency and berth capacity
and improved welfare of women and children. All these are reversible and vary in terms of duration
ranging from short to long-term.
270 m floating berths, 4,800 ㎡ Passenger terminal, 4,000 ㎡ container yard and 8.5 ha
commercial/business center
Positive social impacts predominate the construction phase of the Project. In this phase, the reversible
impacts will provide more/better opportunities for employment and livelihood, uplift of women and
children’s welfare and improvement of workers’ living standards. Highly probable negative impacts that
are reversible and have short-term duration include threats to occupational health and safety of workers
hired in the construction and increased vehicular traffic in the vicinity of the port complex.
Operation of constructed facilities is expected to generate mainly positive impacts including: increase in
space for business and recreation, increased employment and livelihood opportunities, improved CPA
financial resources, improvement in workers’ living standards and in the welfare of women and children,
increased business and tourism activities and importantly, and improvement in the overall CPA efficiency
in handling of cargoes and passengers in and out of the existing port. A significant negative impact is
likely in traffic congestion in and out of the port complex due to the influx of people in the port terminal
and the commercial center. This will be a significant, highly probable, long-term but reversible impact but
due to the construction of new port, expansion of service road in the port area and construction of urban
road in the Cebu city it will be reduced.
4-13
c) Improvement of livelihood
Positive Moderate High Reversible Short term Vicinity of the project area
employment and income
d) Improved Living Standard Positive Moderate High Reversible Short term Vicinity of the project area
f) Increased Vehicular Traffic Negative Significant High Reversible Short term Roads to port site
a) Increased Land market values Positive Significant High Irreversible Long term Vicinity of the project area
b) Improvement of livelihood,
Social Environment
Positive Significant High Reversible Short term Vicinity of the project area
employment and income
c) Effect on Local Government
Positive Moderate High Irreversible Long term Municipality of Consolacion
Economy and Growth
d) Improvement of Productivity,
Positive Significant High Reversible Long term Port Area/CPA
Berth Capacity & Efficiency
e) Uplift of Women & Children’s
Positive Moderate High Reversible Short term Vicinity of the project area
Welfare
Minimal to
f) Increase in Vehicular Traffic Negative High Reversible Long term Roads to port site
moderate
g) Increase cargo handling and Cebu Port – Consolacion Port
Negative Minimal Medium Irreversible Long term
land transport expenses corridor
b) Effect on CPA Financial Resources Negative Significant High Reversible Long term Cebu Port Authority Complex
c) Improvement Workers’ Living Standards Positive Significant High Reversible Long term Vicinity of the project area
d) Uplift of Women and Children’s Welfare Positive Moderate High Reversible Short term Vicinity of the project area
Minimal/
e) Increase in vehicular Traffic Negative High Reversible Short-term Vicinity of base port complex
Moderate
f) Occupational Safety and Health Negative Significant Medium Reversible Short-term Vicinity of construction Areas
Social Environment
c) Effect on CPA Financial Resources Positive Significant High Reversible Long term Cebu Port Authority Complex
d) Improvement Workers’
Positive Moderate High Reversible Long term Vicinity of the project area
Living Standard
e) Uplift of Women and Children’s
Positive Moderate High Reversible Short term Vicinity of the project area
Welfare
f) Influx of Business locators and
tourists to new Commercial Positive Significant High Reversible Long term Vicinity of the port area
Center
g) Improved management & handling
of domestic container & bulk/ Positive Significant High Reversible Long term Vicinity of the port area
general cargoes
h) Increase in vehicular Traffic Negative Significant High Reversible Long term Vicinity of base port complex
4-14
Social Impacts
The Philippine Environmental Impact Statement System (PEISS) is embodied in the Constitution of the
Republic of the Philippines that states, “The State shall protect and advance the right of the people to a
balanced and healthful ecology in accord with the rhythm and harmony of nature.”
In 1977, the statutory policy framework for the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) for all projects
that could potentially affect the quality of the environmental was decreed through Presidential Decree (PD)
1151 - The Philippine Environmental Policy. Shortly thereafter, PD 1152, Philippine Environment Code,
was shortly promulgated. The Code established specific environment management policies and prescribed
environment quality standards to be observed in the country. Tasked to implement this code was the
National Environmental Protection Council (NEPC).
Subsequently, the PEISS was promulgated through Presidential Decree 1586 in 1978. This established an
environmental impact assessment system designed to ensure that Filipinos will enjoy a “balanced and
healthy ecology” in pursuit of economic development. PEISS requires the proponent to conduct
Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) for its project and the submission of an Environmental Impact
Statement (EIA Report) to the NEPC - now the Environmental Management Bureau (EMB) of the
Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) - for review and evaluation and ultimately for
issuance or denial of Environmental Compliance Certificate (ECC).
Over the years, a series of laws and regulations has been established to refine Philippine laws and policies
on Environmental Impact Assessment as shown in the attachment in Chapter 4.
Under the present provisions of DENR DAO 03-30, certain steps and processes must be undertaken to
initiate and complete the EIA process, and ultimately secure an ECC. The flowchart for both EIS and
EPRMP preparation is presented in Figure 4-4-1.
4-15
PROJECT
PROJECT SCREENING
Proponent Driven
DENR-EMB Driven
Proponent-driven but EIA NO ISSUE CERTIFICATE OF
outside EIA process REQUIRED? NON-COVERAGE
Yes
EIA SCOPING
UNDERTAKE EIA
SUBMIT EIA
DOCUMENT
PREPARE/SUBMI
T ADDITIONAL
INFO/DATA
REVIEW OF EIA / AI
DOCUMENT
Yes
No ISSUE/DENY
MORE INFO
ECC
NEEDED?
4-16
The DENR is mandated to implement policies and regulations related to the management and protection of
natural and social environments. Such function is defined specifically in DENR Department Order 30
Series of 2003 (DAO 03-30), and is supplemented by DENR Circular 2010-14.
Under the guidelines, projects are screened and categorized under three major groups:
- Group I – Environmentally Critical Projects (ECP) to be implemented in environmentally Critical areas
(ECA) as well as environmentally Non-Critical areas (NECA)
- Group II – Non-Environmentally Critical Projects (NECP) to be implemented in ECAs
- Group III – Non-Environmentally Critical Projects in NECAs.
Based on the DENR screening process, the New Cebu Port Project is under the category of “Transport
Facilities: Seaport, Causeways and Harbors” and falls within Group II – Non-Environmentally Critical
Project because the reclamation component is greater than 15 hectares but less than 50 hectares. However,
it is located adjacent to mangroves and within a municipal fishing area. EIS document is required by
DENR.
4-17
On the other hand, under the Philippine EIA system, an Environmental Performance Report and
Management Plan (EPRMP) must be submitted to EMB-DENR for the expansion/improvement or
rehabilitation of an existing Project. In this regards, the redevelopment of the Exiting Cebu Port is
categorize as EPRMP. This document presents critical environmental parameters (land, water, air/noise,
people) affected by the Project. Actual and observed impacts during implementation and operation which
were monitored following the EMP are then compared with baseline data collected before Project was first
implemented.
4-18
In June 2007, CPA attempted to revive the acquisition of an environmental compliance certificate as the
first step to Project implementation. After initial discussions with EMB-DENR Region 7, the EMB
requested CPA to update the 2002 baseline environmental and re-submit an updated Environmental Impact
Statement (EIS). Considering the 10-year time that has elapsed and the need to revalidate the plans prepared
in the 2002 JICA Study.
2) Recommended Action Plan of CPA for Environmental and Social Impact Assessment
Considering the 10-year time that has elapsed from the JICA study, CPA representative and study team
member discuss with DENR manila office, DENR Cebu office, PENRO, CENRO, Cebu city, Mactan city,
Consolacion, Reclamation Authority, regal office, it is found that approval from Reclamation Authority and
EPRMP application to DENR is necessary to get ECC which is not specified in 2002. Zoning regulation
was approved in Consolacion to reserve the location of new port. Issues and requirement for ECC approval
is cleared through the JICA, JBIC and DENR latest guideline. According to the DENR Cebu office,
baseline survey made by JICA 2002 may not be used totally so additional survey for sea water, sea bed, air
and noise would be necessary.
The assessment conducted in this study will assist the action plan of CPA to implement the both project as
the proponent of the project. Not only this report but also the all information and data collected in this study
will support CPA to get ECC.
It is anticipated that after completion of this METI-assisted study, the financing and implementation plan
will be drafted for review and approvals by the DOTC-CPA. Also, it is expected that CPA will prepare EIA
and EPRMP to submit DENR for ECC approval. ECC approval is the requisition of the ODA finance.
A part of the data/information in the 2002 EIA study for the Project can be partly used to shorten the
EPRMP preparation process and save any extra cost incurred for an additional study. The EIA to be
prepared for this Project shall therefore follow DAO 03-30 of DENR.
In order to proceed with this process, CPA is required to account for the cost and charges on the preparation
of EIA and assessment of EMB in the budget of fiscal year 2012. Baseline survey such as sea water, sea
bottom sediment, air and noise will be subcontracted.
4-19
Prior to/during preparation of the EIA, CPA should ensure consultation/tight communication with EMB
Region 7 in order to obtain an EEC at minimum cost and time. The process should be monitored through
regular contacts and meetings so that the issues can be identified timely with consideration of possible
measures.
- EIA report is required under the guidelines of DENR in view of the new port.
- CPA must initiate the acquisition of right of way for the port access road. Area of the acquisition is
9,000 ㎡ and no relocation of houses expected. The acquisition is required to be discussed/agreed with
DPWH and the municipality of Consolacion on the issues including the planned North Shore Road of
Cebu.
- EIA must accompany legal proof documents to show its authority to reclaim and develop the new Cebu
Port site and special land patents from the Land Management Bureau of DENR. Also, an application for
Presidential Proclamation for reservation of the Project site as a container port zone should be submitted.
- CPA should proceed consultation with PENRO and CENRO/DENR Region 7 for protection of the
reserve in order to obtain approvals of acquisition on the port land and development.
CPA must also coordinate with the Philippine Reclamation Authority on its plan to carry out reclamation
offshore of Consolacion town.
- CPA must coordinate with DENR and Philippine Coast Guard Regional Office Region 7 for
confirmation of a designated/approved disposal site for dredged materials during port construction.
Under the guidelines of DENR, the application should follow the existing EPRMP guidelines and format
since the new Cebu Port Project involves redevelopment of an existing port facility for EIA.
4-20
Attachment
Law/Regulation Date Description/Explanation/Coverage
PD 1151 June 6, 1977 The Philippine Environmental Policy – declares the broad government goals
and policy in environmental protection
PD 1152 June 6, 1977 Establishing the Philippine Environmental Code – defines specific environ-
mental quality policies, targets and standards relating to air/noise, land,
water and natural resource utilization, among others.
PD 1586 June 11, 1978 Establishing the Philippine EIS System (PEISS) including other Environ-
mental Management and Related Measures – defines the framework to
mplement the EIS system the means to reconcile impacts of development
projects on society and the natural environment.
DAO 92-21 June 5, 1992 Amending the Revised Rules and Regulations Implementing PD 1586 –
prescribes procedures in ECC applications and processing and defined roles
and functions of Department of Environment and Natural Resources
(DENR) offices to be involved in EIS and Environmental Compliance
Certificate (ECC) issuance.
DAO 94-11 Mar 28, 1994 Providing for Programmatic Compliance Procedures within the EIS System
– defines procedures for EIS compliance of programs with several project
components or phases and for programs planned for expansion
AO 300 (OP) Nov 4, 1996 Further Strengthen the Philippine EIS System and Clarifying Authority to
Grant/Deny the issuance of ECC
AO 42 (OP) Nov 2, 2002 Rationalizing the Implementation of the EIS System and Granting Authority
to EMB Director and Regional Directors to manage EIS implementation
DAO 96-37 Dec 2, 1996 Revising DAO 96-21 to further Strengthen Implementation of EIS System -
defines specific projects/industries covered/not covered by EIS, defined
process of scoping, public participation and review of EIS, among others.
DAO 99-37 Aug 23, 1999 Operationalization of the Environmental Revolving Fund (ERF) –
authorizes DENR-EMB to use funds generated from fees, fines and other
impositions authorized by PD 1586 for EIS-related functions of the agency.
DAO 2000-05 Jan 6, 2000 Revision and Streamlining the Programmatic Compliance Procedures
established under DAO- 94-11 for EIS System
DAO 2000-37 Apr 10, 2000 Prescribing Standard Costs and Fees Relative to the Implementation
of the EIS System
DAO 2003-30 Jun 30, 2003 Implementing Rules and Regulations of the Philippine EIS System –
provides for a more comprehensive and updated rules and regulations for
the implementing Philippine EIS System
4-21
DAO 2004-61 Oct 07, 2004 Delegation of DENR-EMB’s Authority to Laguna Lake Development
Authority (LLDA) to Grant or Deny ECC/Certificate Non-Coverage (CNC)
for Projects in Environmentally Critical Areas (ECAs) in Laguna Bay region
DAO 2005-02 Feb 8, 2005 Exempting Projects located in Philippine Economic Zone Areas (PEZA)
from securing ECC from Laguna Lake Development Authority
DAO 2005-06 Apr 6, 2005 Institutionalizing a System of Mandatory Environmental Insurance
Coverage (MEIC) – institutionalizes MEIC as part of ECC conditions to
compensate those adversely affected stakeholders by a Project
EO 190 (OP) Mar 31, 2003 Abolishing the Golf Course Construction and Development Committee
(GCCDC) of the Office of the President & Transferring its Powers to the
DENR – abolishes GCCDC as entity that gives permit/clearance for
construction of golf course projects in the Philippines
MC 2003-21 Sep 30, 2003 Guidelines on Availment of Reduction of Penalties for Existing Projects
Without ECC – provides Project owners guidelines to obtain lower
penalties for operating without ECC
MC-2002-15 Nov 25,2002 Scope and Guidelines for the Imposition of Applicable Fines and Penalties
for violations under the Philippine EIS System
MC 2001-01 Apr 5, 2001 Guidance on the Implementation of DAO 2000-05: Scope of the
EIS Programmatic Compliance Policy – sets guidelines in implementing
EIS compliance requirements for multi-phase and multi-component
programs, among others
MC 2004-001 April 23, 2004 Non-requirement of Barangay and/or LGU Endorsements and Locational
Clearances for CNC Applications – stops the imposition of endorsements
and clearances from LGU for the processing of Certificate of Non-Coverage
MC 2004-002 Aug 30, 2004 CNC for Barangay Micro-Business Enterprises (BMBEs) – exempts village-
based micro-enterprises from the Coverage of ECC
MC 2004-04 Oct 05, 2004 Initial Environmental Examination (IEE) Checklist for Economic Zone
Enterprises – simplifies the preparation and report format of IEE to be
prepared by locators inside Special Eco-zones
MC 2005-01 Jan 5, 2005 Procedural Manual for DENR Administrative Order No. 30
Series of 2003 (DAO 03-30) – prepares a manual of procedure for DAO-
2003-30 to be used by EIS Preparers, EIA Reviewers, DENR-EMB officials
and staff and the public
MC 2005-07 Nov 14, 2005 Environmental Performance Report and Management Plan (EPRMP)
Checklist for Economic Zone Enterprises – simplifies the preparation and
EPRMP report format for locators inside Special Eco-zones.
4-22
MO 2005-21 Dec 21, 2005 Supplemental Guidelines to MEIC – provides additional instructions/guides
to implement and comply with the mandatory environmental insurance
coverage for Projects
MO 2006-01 Feb 21, 2006 Suspension of the Implementation of the DA 2005-06 which put in place
the Mandatory Environmental Insurance Coverage for all projects covered
by the EIS system
MC 2006-003 Sept 19, 2006 IEE Checklist for Wind Energy Projects – prescribes specific IEE checklist
format specifically for wind energy projects
MC 2006-05 Dec 19, 2006 Clarificatory Guidelines in the implementation of DAO 2003-30, IRR for
the PEISS – issues clarifications and explanations on specific implement-
tation of the EIS system
MC 2007-001 Mar 09, 2007 Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) Review Manual – issues the
comprehensive manual of procedure for the review of EIA reports submitted
to EMB for ECC purposes to be used primarily by EIA reviewers and EMB
DMC 2007-08 Jul 13, 2007 Simplifying the requirements for Environmental Compliance Certificate or
Certificate of Non-Coverage Applications
DMC 2010-14 June 29, 2010 Standardization of EIS Requirements/ Enhancement of Public Participa-
tion in the Streamlined EIS system – further simplifies and reduces
mandatory documentary annexes of EIS to be prepared/filed at EMB and
provides conditions for enhanced public participation in the EIA process
(Source: Study Team)
4-23
Chapter 5
Financial and Economic Evaluation
(1) Cost Estimate for New Cebu Container Port and Redevelopment of
Existing Port
1) General
The Project cost estimated for the New Cebu Port includes an access road to the national highway and
redevelopment of the existing Baseport.
The Project cost consists of civil work, building, utilities, container handling equipment, detailed engineering cost,
construction supervision cost, ROW acquisition cost, and administration cost.
The unit prices to be used are current prices that have been applied in similar projects. Based on the preliminary
design, each quantity is determined and the construction cost is calculated by multiplying quantity by unit price.
The new container terminal consists of dredging, reclamation, container berth, revetments, road and pavement,
drainage, buildings, cargo handling equipment and utilities. The structural type of container berth is recommended
to be steel pipe sheet pile. PC girder type of bridge with precast PC pile foundation is recommended for the access
road. The layout plan of the New Cebu Container Terminal is shown in Figure 5-1-1.
5-1
Figure 5-1-1 Layout Plan of New Cebu Container Terminal
Dredged materials will be disposed in the deep sea area in front of Liloan city approximately 25 km from the new
Cebu container terminal. Special attention shall be made to provide a silt protector for the disposed dredging
material in the deep sea in order not to contaminate the sea. It is considered that environmental issues may be
minor because of the small quantity of dredged material (16,500 m³). Quarry sites for reclamation and fill
materials are in the Naga area and some material can be used from access road excavation. Quarry site of rock
material for revetment is in the Toledo area approximately 50 km from the Project site.
The layout plan for redevelopment of Cebu Baseport is shown in Figure 5-1-2. This Redevelopment Project
consists of expansion of berth, floating berth, container stocking yard, a new passenger terminal building and
demolition of the existing passenger terminal on Piers No. 1 and 3. The floating berths (pontoons) will be made of
prestressed concrete and fabricated in the shipyard or slipway.
5-2
Figure 5-1-2 Layout Plan of Cebu Baseport
Passenger
Superferry
Bulk/General
Container Yard
Parking Parking
Commercial
Development
c) Cost of Land Acquisition for the Right of Way (ROW) of Access Road
Cost of land acquisition for the access road is estimated based on the zonal value per square meter at the Project
site. The actual purchase cost of ROW is considered to be 200% to 250% of the zonal value as the market price of
the land acquisition.
LAC = A × Z × P
d) Exchange Rate
The exchange rate of the Project cost estimates is US$ 1.00=Peso 42.80=Yen 77 or Peso 1.00=Yen 1.80 as of
September 2011.
e) Others
Cost estimates for detailed engineering cost, construction supervision cost, administration cost and physical
contingency are estimated as percentages of the civil work cost as follows:
5-3
Detailed engineering cost – 2.5%
Construction supervision cost – 4.5%
Administration cost – 3.5%
Physical contingency – 10%
3) Project Cost
5-4
Table 5-1-2 Breakdown Cost of New Container Port
Local Foreign Total
Item . Description Unit Quantity
Component Component (1,000 Peso)
1 Civil Works for Container Berth
1.01 Mobilization/Demobilization and Preparatory Work % 2 49,088 32,726 81,814
Container Berth
3
1.02 Dredging Works m 16,750 1,209 4,834 6,043
1.02a Dredging m3 16,750
3
1.02b Disposal m 16,750
1.03 Container Berth (Depth -13m) m 450 256,015 1,024,059 1,280,074
1.04 Revetment East (Depth 0 ) m 200 4,667 7,001 11,668
1.05 Revetment East (Depth 0 to -1m) m 150 2,071 8,283 10,353
1.06 Revetment East (Depth (-1 to -13m) m 260 117,415 176,122 293,537
1.07 Revetment North (Depth 0) m 350 4,084 16,335 20,419
1.08 Revetment West (Depth 0) m 450 5,251 21,003 26,253
1.09 Revetment West (Depth 0 to -13m m 160 36,128 144,510 180,638
1.10 Revetment (Depth -11m) m 100 71,783 107,674 179,457
3
1.11 Reclamation m 894,000 168,303 252,455 420,758
1.12 Yard Fence m 1,250 2,229 2,229 4,457
3
1.13 Soil Improvement m 682,500 70,684 106,026 176,710
1.14 Yard Pavement (incl. Transfer Crane Foundation) m2 93,000 161,338 242,007 403,344
1.15 Reefer Container Yard (Receptacle + Stage) TEU 648 13,785 55,140 68,925
1.16 Pavement (excl. container stacking yard) m2 35,000 29,665 44,498 74,164
Other
1.17 Yard Drainage m2 146,000 4,758 19,033 23,791
1.18 Service Road m2 11,200 25,723 38,584 64,307
Sub-Total 1 - Container Berth Civil Works 1,024,195 2,302,519 3,326,713
2 Port Facilities
2
2.01 Power Supply m 146,000 20,404 81,616 102,020
2.02 Lighting System (Exterior) m2 146,000 11,312 16,967 28,279
2.03 Generator set 1 74,506 18,627 93,133
2.04 Telecommunications m2 146,000 1,088 1,631 2,719
2
2.05 Water Supply, Sewage, Firefighting m 146,000 1,789 2,410 4,199
2.06 Pump House, Water Tank m2 146,000 10,599 15,898 26,497
Environmental Treatment Facilities (Solid Waste,
2.07 LS 1 1,360 2,040 3,400
Bilge Oil, etc)
2.08 Improvement in Information Technology LS 1 8,228 74,054 82,282
Sub-Total 2 - Port Facilities 129,286 213,243 342,530
3 Building Works
3.01 Terminal Building m2 800 17,951 26,927 44,878
3.02 Equipment/container Service Area m2 1,200 18,849 28,273 47,121
3.03 Gate (In) lane 8 6,055 14,127 20,182
3.04 Gate (Out) lane 5 3,784 8,829 12,614
3.05 Weigh Bridge nr 3 2,270 5,298 7,568
Sub-Total 3 Building Works 48,909 83,454 132,362
4 ACCESS ROAD
4.01 Bridge & earthwork 129,827 241,107 370,934
Sub-Total 4 - Access Road 129,827 241,107 370,934
5 Vessel Support
5.01 Vessel Traffic Control System LS 1 - 97,653 97,653
5.02 Navigation Aids for New Cebu port LS 1 1,637 31,095 32,732
Sub-Total 5 - Vessel Support 1,637 128,749 130,385
Equipment Supply by CPA (2018: 3QGC, 13RTG, 25Trailer, 2023: 1QGC, 2RTG, 8Trailer, 2027:3RTG,)
6 Cargo Handling Equipment
6.01 Quay Gantry Crane nr 4 116,394 1,047,546 1,163,940
6.02 Rubber Tired Transfer Crane nr 18 121,515 1,093,638 1,215,153
6.03 Tractor Head (for yard) nr 33 17,285 155,561 172,845
6.04 Chassis (20' - 40') nr 33 5,762 51,854 57,615
6.05 Miscillaneous Equipment LS 1 5,820 52,377 58,197
6.06 Computer System LS 1 2,328 20,951 23,279
Sub-Total 6 - Cargo Handling Equipment 269,103 2,421,926 2,691,029
7 Others
7.01 Land m2 9,020 27,962 - 27,962
7.02 Mangrove 30,000 120 - 120
7.03 Relocation of Houses 2 2,893 - 2,893
Sub-Total 7 - Others 30,975 - 30,975
Total Construction Cost 1,633,931 5,390,998 7,024,929
(Source: Study Team)
5-5
b) Cebu Baseport
5-6
(2) Outline of Preliminary Financial and Economic Analysis
1) Financial Analysis
1)-1 Methodology
The purpose of the financial analysis is to appraise the financial viability of the Project from the viewpoint of
capital investment as to whether it can yield sufficient returns. In this Study, to measure the financial viability
quantitatively, the Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) on gross capital bases is calculated and compared
with the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) as to whether FIRR can exceed the WACC. FIRRs of the
Project will be calculated for both the New Container Port and the existing Cebu Baseport individually, and
regarding the former, FIRRs are calculated separately for CPA and the Terminal Operator.
a) Base Year
Incomes and expenses estimated in the financial analysis are expressed as the price of some fixed year throughout
the “Project Life” mentioned below. The year is called “Base Year.” In this analysis, the year 2011 is adopted as
the “Base Year” since the expenses and revenues of the Project are prepared on the basis of the current price of
the same year.
b) Project Life
It is assumed that engineering services on the New Container Port will commence in 2014 and a total of 37 years
until 2050 is adopted as the “Project Life” including the construction period for infrastructure and the operation
period of the terminal.
The following foreign exchange rates are adopted for this analysis:
PhP 1.0 = ¥ 1.8, US$1.00 = PhP 42.8 as of September 2011.
A cost-benefit analysis is conducted on the difference between the “With-the-Project” case in which an
investment is made and the “Without-the-Project” case in which no investment is made. That is, the revenues and
expenses arising from the investment for the Project are calculated in market price and compared.
5-7
A total of 200,000 TEU international containers were handled at Cebu International Port (CIP) in 2010, and its
handling capacity is estimated at about 300,000 TEU. After CIP is saturated with international containers, it is
assumed that all of the international containers will be transferred to the New Container Port and CIP will be
mainly used for domestic containers.
(-8.5m)
W
i
t
Int'l
h
o Domestic
u
t Max. Cap. = 300,000 TEU
C
a
s Administration & Management Private
e
(-13.0m) (-8.5m)
W Int'l Domestic
i Domestic
t
h International Container Port
C
a
s Commercial Private
e
Max. Cap. = 500,000 TEU
The financial internal rate of return (FIRR) is used to appraise the financial viability of the Project. The FIRR is
the discount rate that makes net present values of cash inflow and outflow during the Project life equal. The
formula is expressed as follows:
n
Ii Oi
(1 r )
i 1
i 1
0
5-8
1)-4 Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity analysis is executed to determine whether the Project will remain feasible if changes in the
assumptions used in the calculation/projections were to take place according to the degree in which they are likely
to vary from the estimated or projected values. The following three (3) cases are examined in this Study as
sensitivity analyses:
Expenses and revenues that will be generated each year during the Project life are converted to the present value
by applying the weighted average cost of the capital (WACC) as a social discount rate. Through this process,
values of expenses and revenues decrease as time passes. If the NPV is negative, the Project should probably be
rejected.
FIRR on the New Container Port Development Project is calculated in order to confirm the financial viability of
the Project as a whole. The Government of the Philippines has been working out its policy on infrastructures
development based on PPP scheme as much as possible. Therefore, FIRR will be calculated for investor-wise
(CPA and Terminal Operator) so as to evaluate the possibility of introduction of PPP scheme into this Project. In
this Study, it is assumed that, as indicated in Table 5-1-1, a Terminal Operator will invest for cargo handling
equipment and CPA will invest for civil and architectural infrastructure. Implementation scheme of the New
Container Port Development Project is discussed in Chapter 8, 1)-3.
a) Revenues
Revenues are gained by providing port services to users such as shippers and shipping lines. CPA revenues
include vessel charges, cargo charges, storage charges, arrastre share, and stevedoring share. Twenty percent
(20%) of the handling charge for international containers goes to CPA as a concession fee and the rest of the
portion belongs to the Terminal Operator. Recent CPA revenues per international container (TEU) based on CIP’s
financial documents are summarized in Table 5-2-1. Future CPA revenues are estimated by multiplying the unit
TEU revenue and estimated international TEU.
5-9
Table 5-2-1 CPA Revenues per International Container (TEU)
(Unit: PhP/TEU)
Year 2008 2009 2010 3 Years Average
Revenue Per TEU 1,255 1,191 1,043 1,163
Port related land with an area of 6.8 ha will be developed at the back of the container yard of the New Container
Port. The leasing fee for this land is estimated based on an actual lease contract on container depots near Cebu
Baseport, and is counted as CPA’s Project revenue. Furthermore, two hundred million Philippine pesos are
assumed to be transferred from the New Container Port to the Cebu Baseport as a subsidy in consideration of the
fact that about forty percent of all CPA revenues have been generated from operations at CIP, in particular,
operations of international containers.
b) Expenses
Table 5-2-2 is the estimated operator expenses for operations and maintenance by annual cargo handling capacity
(300,000 TEU, 400,000 TEU, and 500,000 TEU).
5-10
b)-3 Management Expenses of CPA
Based on past records of CIP’s expenses, management expenses including port security are estimated. In addition,
It is assumed that the New Container Port will bear forty percent (40%) of the CPA headquarters’ expenses
including personnel costs and administrative costs, and that this amount is listed as a component of the Project
expenses (CPA portion).
The resulting FIRR is shown in Table 5-2-3 for the overall Project, Table 5-2-4 for CPA’s portion, and Table
5-2-5 for Terminal Operator’s portion.
5-11
Table 5-2-3 FIRR for Overall Project
(Unit: '000 PhP)
Expenses Revenue
Revenue -
Year Cargo Handling Operation CIP Headquaters Maintenance of Renewal of Subsidy to
Civil Works Total Expenses CPA Operator Lease of Land Total Revenue Expenses
Equipment Expenses Management Management Civil Works Equipment Baseport
2014 51,984 51,984 0 (51,984)
2015 165,086 165,086 0 (165,086)
2016 817,415 817,415 0 (817,415)
2017 2,546,295 868,537 3,414,833 0 (3,414,833)
2018 2,107,772 1,737,075 3,844,847 0 (3,844,847)
2019 13,347 179,102 13,818 32,115 0 0 238,383 376,999 619,057 97,143 (200,000) 893,200 654,817
2020 179,102 13,818 32,115 0 0 225,036 399,119 655,379 97,143 (200,000) 951,640 726,605
2021 179,102 13,818 32,115 0 0 225,036 422,344 693,516 97,143 (200,000) 1,013,003 787,967
2022 179,102 13,818 32,115 0 0 225,036 446,730 733,560 97,143 (200,000) 1,077,433 852,398
2023 546,852 231,584 15,200 32,115 0 0 825,751 472,336 775,606 97,143 (200,000) 1,145,085 319,335
2024 231,584 15,200 32,115 55,213 0 334,112 499,222 819,755 97,143 (200,000) 1,216,120 882,008
2025 231,584 15,200 32,115 55,213 0 334,112 527,453 866,111 97,143 (200,000) 1,290,707 956,594
2026 231,584 15,200 32,115 55,213 0 334,112 557,095 914,785 97,143 (200,000) 1,369,023 1,034,910
2027 267,506 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 647,816 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 803,438
2028 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2029 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2030 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2031 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2032 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2033 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2034 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 226,706 607,017 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 844,238
2035 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2036 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2037 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2038 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 1,212,124 1,592,434 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 (141,180)
2039 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2040 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2041 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2042 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2043 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 1,308,852 1,689,162 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 (237,908)
2044 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2045 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2046 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
2047 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 262,979 643,290 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 807,965
2048 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 377,844 758,154 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 693,100
2049 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 226,706 607,017 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 844,238
2050 276,262 16,720 32,115 55,213 0 380,310 588,219 965,893 97,143 (200,000) 1,451,254 1,070,944
FIRR= 8.98%
5 - 12
Table 5-2-5 FIRR for Terminal Operator
The resulting FIRRs of Case I, II, and III in the sensitivity analysis explained previously are shown in Table 5-2-6.
5 - 13
Table 5-2-6 FIRR of Sensitivity Analysis
Assuming discount rates of 2.16% for CPA and 6.43% for TO, both of which are derived from the financial plan
discussed in detail in Chapter 9, the resulting NPVs are PhP 2,087 million and PhP 3,366 million, respectively.
Further, B/C Ratios are 1.29 for CPA and 1.59 for TO under the same discount rates.
Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project includes construction works for berth widening, floating pontoon,
container yard pavement and passenger terminal building, and a financial analysis will be carried out under an
assumption that CPA will be the implementation body of the Project.
a) Revenues
In the “Without” case, international cargoes are assumed to be handled at CIP and domestic cargoes are
loaded/unloaded at other wharves. It is estimated that international container throughput will reach CIP’s
maximum capacity in around 2018. After the saturation, throughput of international containers cannot increase at
Cebu Baseport.
In the “With” case, it is assumed that the New Container Port will commence operations and subsequently, all of
the international containers will be handled at the New Container Port. CIP can be used for domestic containers
after the international containers shift to the New Container Port. Hence, domestic container handling capacity at
the Baseport can be expanded. Cargo throughput except international containers at the Cebu Baseport will reach
the maximum cargo handling capacity in around 2028. The difference in cargo handling capacity between the
“With” case and “Without” case is the revenue source of the Project in the financial analysis.
CPA revenues per MT including charges to vessels, cargoes, and storage at Cebu Baseport during the period
between 2008 and 2010 are shown in Table 5-2-7. Future CPA revenues can be estimated by multiplying the unit
revenue and difference of cargo volume (MT) between the “With” case and “Without” case.
On the other hand, the Baseport will lose revenue corresponding to 300,000 TEU by shifting international
containers to the New Container Port. Decrease in revenue for this amount results in negative Project revenue in
5 - 14
the financial analysis.
(Unit:PhP/MT)
Year 2008 2009 2010 Ave.
Foreign Cargo 90.0 97.6 89.3 92.3
Domestic Cargo 22.7 24.8 23.6 23.7
(Source: Study Team)
A plot of CIP land of 8.5 ha is planned to be converted to commercial land use. Revenue by leasing the plot to the
private sector is included in the Project revenues in this financial analysis. The leasing fee of this plot is estimated
based on an actual lease contract near the Baseport. In addition, PhP 200 million is included in the Project
revenues because the New Container Port is expected to subsidize the Baseport in compensation for complete
shifting of international containers from the Baseport to the New Container Port.
b) Expenses
FIRR of the Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project is estimated at 5.81% (see Table 5-2-8).
5 - 15
Table 5-2-8 FIRR of Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project
The resulting FIRRs of Case I, II, and III in the sensitivity analysis are summarized in Table 5-2-9.
Assuming discount rates of 7.0% for CPA, the resulting NPV and its B/C Ratios of the Cebu Baseport
Redevelopment Project are PhP -85 million and 0.89, respectively.
5 - 16
1)-8 Financial Evaluation
The resulting FIRRs for CPA and TO in the base case of the New Container Port Development Project are 4.34%
and 18.01% respectively, which exceed the WACC of the Project (2.16% for CPA in the case of 85% JICA Loan,
and 6.43% for TO in the case of 70% bank loan). In addition, even in sensitivity analyses, all of the cases of 10%
variance exceed the WACC mentioned above.
Regarding the Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project, FIRR for the base case is estimated at 5.81%, which is
below the estimated interest rate of bank loan (7.0% in this analysis). It should be noted, however, that the FIRR
of the Project would be much higher if the 8.5 ha of CPA plot is sold for redevelopment instead of leased because
the CPA can earn a large amount of revenue at the beginning of the Project life.
Thus, the New Container Port Development Project is judged financially viable, and the Cebu Baseport
Redevelopment Project is also financially feasible if the financial plan is slightly improved.
2) Economic Analysis
The economic analysis is carried out to study the economic benefits as well as economic costs arising from the
Project, and to evaluate whether the benefits of the Project exceed those that could be obtained from other
investment opportunities in the Philippines.
In the economic analysis the development plan, the “With” case, is compared to the “Without” case. All of the
benefit and cost differences between the “With” case and “Without” case will be calculated in market price, then
they will be converted to economic price.
In this Study, the Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) method as well as NPV and B/C Ratio is used to
evaluate and appraise the economic feasibility of the Project. Sensitivity analysis is also conducted.
a) Base Year
As the financial analysis, the year 2011 is adopted as the “Base Year” since the market survey was conducted for
the estimation of construction costs in this year.
b) Project Life
It is assumed that engineering services on the Project will commence in 2014, and a total of 37 years until 2050 is
5 - 17
adopted as the “Project Life” including the construction period for infrastructure and the operation period of the
terminal.
For the financial analysis, the following foreign exchange rates are adopted:
PhP 1.0 = ¥ 1.8, US$1.00 = PhP 42.8 as of September 2011.
d) Economic Price
d)-1 General
For the economic analysis, all prices must be expressed as economic prices. In general, the construction costs, the
operation costs and the maintenance costs are estimated at market prices. To convert market prices to economic
prices, conversion factors are used.
Shadow Wage Rate (SWR) is also used to reflect the true economic value of labor employed in the Project. The
SWR (60 percent of legislated wage rates) is applied to the unskilled labor component of wages paid while no
SWR is required to the skilled labor. Application of these conversion factors is consistent with NEDA guidelines.
A cost-benefit analysis is conducted on the difference between the “With” case in which an investment is made
and the “Without” case in which no investment is made. That is, the benefits and costs arising from the investment
for the Project are compared.
Some 200,000 TEU of international containers were handled at CIP, Cebu Baseport in 2010, and the existing
container handling capacity of CIP is estimated at 300,000 TEU. It is assumed in this analysis that all of the
international containers will be transferred to and handled at the New Container Port after the container handling
demand exceeds the capacity at CIP. The wharf and yard of CIP will be mostly used for domestic containers.
5 - 18
2)-3 Calculation of EIRR
The Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) based on a cost-benefit analysis is used to appraise the economic
feasibility of the Project. The EIRR is the discount rate that makes the costs and benefits of a project during the
project life equal. The formula is as follows:
n
Bi Ci
(1 r )
i 1
i 1
0
Sensitivity analysis is executed to determine as to whether the Project will remain feasible from the viewpoint of
national economy when some factors vary. Based on the aforementioned NEDA Guideline, the following three (3)
cases are examined in this Study as sensitivity analyses:
Costs and Benefits generated each year during the Project life are converted to the present value by applying a
Social Discount Rate (SDR). Through this process, costs and benefits decrease as time passes. The SDR is set at
15% in this analysis following the NEDA guidelines.
In the “With” case, the New Container Port is constructed at Consolacion, and commences its operations when
demands of international containers exceed the annual handling capacities of CIP (300,000 TEU). The New Port
has an annual handling capacity of 400,000 TEU at the beginning of the operations and can expand its capacity up
to 500,000 TEU as the demand increases. In addition, larger container vessels can be accommodated at the quay
where the water depth alongside is 13 meters.
5 - 19
In the “Without” case, it is assumed that no international container handling ports are constructed on Cebu Island.
Therefore, no more than 300,000 TEU international containers can be handled on Cebu Island. Value added
corresponding to the overflow of international containers would be a loss for the national economy.
Based on the Philippine Customs statistics, the average commodity value in an exporting container is estimated at
PhP 1.3 million/Laden Export TEU (see Table 5-2-10). The percentage of operating income of the total sales is
estimated to be in the vicinity of 7%, which is generally adopted to estimate the value added in other development
studies.
Year Export Value ($'000) Export Full TEU $'000/Full TEU PhP '000/Full TEU
2006 1,560,468 53,965 28.9 1,238
2007 1,766,481 57,230 30.9 1,321
2008 1,527,040 50,368 30.3 1,298
2009 1,253,157 42,695 29.4 1,256
Av. = 1,292
5 - 20
b)-4 Benefit generated from the Port Related Area behind the Container Yard
Value added by utilizing the port related area (6.8 ha) behind the container yard at the New Container Port is
included as an economic benefit of the Project in this analysis. It is conservatively estimated that at least the lease
fee of this plot represents economic contributions.
Economic costs for initial investment are estimated at PhP 9,065 million (see Table 5-2-11), which is slightly less
than the financial costs after removing the transfer items and applying conversion factors.
Operations and maintenance costs are needed both for “With” case and “Without” case until throughput reaches
300,000 TEU. Therefore, economic costs for operations and maintenance are counted for the throughput portion
of more than 300,000 TEU. Economic cost is almost equivalent to the financial cost after applying conversion
factors and removing transfer items.
5 - 21
Table 5-2-11 Financial and Economic Costs for Initial Investment
(Unit: PhP Million)
Financial Cost Economic Cost
Local Foreign Total Total
Construction Works
Mobilization / Demobilization 49.1 32.7 81.8 85.4
Dredging 1.2 4.8 6.0 6.9
Container Berth 256.0 1,024.1 1,280.1 1,469.4
Revetment 241.4 480.9 722.3 803.9
Reclamation 168.3 252.5 420.8 461.0
Road and Pavement 308.2 507.5 815.7 898.5
Building Works 48.9 83.5 132.4 146.1
Utility Works 129.3 213.2 342.5 377.3
Access Road 129.8 241.1 370.9 411.3
Cargo Handling Equipment 269.1 2,421.9 2,691.0 3,175.4
General Requirement and Others 32.6 128.7 161.4 185.1
Consulting & Engineering
Detailed Design 51.6 120.5 172.1 193.1
Tendering 7.4 17.2 24.6 27.6
Construction Supervision 85.6 199.6 285.2 320.0
Maintenance Monitoring 3.0 6.9 9.8 11.0
Indirect total
Administrative & Engineering Overhead by PMO 105.4 0.0 105.4 99.0
Duties / Tariff (3% of Equipment & Materials ) by CPA 21.1 0.0 21.1 0.0
Duties / Tariff by Operator 52.7 0.0 52.7 0.0
Contingency Cost 105.4 245.9 351.2 394.0
VAT (12% of Total Cost) by CPA 843.0 0.0 843.0 0.0
VAT by Private Operator 231.8 0.0 231.8 0.0
Grand Total 3,140.8 5,981.1 9,121.9 9,065.0
(Source: Study Team)
The EIRR of the New Container Port Development Project is estimated at 20.02% under the conditions mentioned
above (see Table 5-2-12).
5 - 22
Table 5-2-12 EIRR of the New Container Port Development Project
(Unit: '000 PhP)
Costs Benefits
Year Cargo Handling Operation Maintenance of Renewal of Ocean Value Added of Time Cost Saving Value Added of Operation Cost Renewal Cost Benefits - Costs
Civil Works Total Costs Transport Cost Export of Export Total Benefits
Equipment Expenses Civil Works Equipment Leased Land Saving Saving
R d ti C dit C dit
2014 55,112 55,112 0 (55,112)
2015 181,989 181,989 0 (181,989)
2016 800,363 800,363 0 (800,363)
2017 2,447,627 837,222 3,284,849 0 (3,284,849)
2018 2,233,859 1,674,444 3,908,303 0 (3,908,303)
2019 14,332 179,102 0 0 193,434 665,368 148,032 215,721 97,143 179,102 2,260,500 3,565,866 3,372,432
2020 179,102 0 0 179,102 665,368 291,882 221,626 97,143 179,102 1,455,122 1,276,019
2021 179,102 0 0 179,102 665,368 430,836 227,365 97,143 179,102 1,599,814 1,420,712
2022 179,102 0 0 179,102 665,368 564,119 232,908 97,143 179,102 1,738,641 1,559,539
2023 575,633 231,584 0 0 807,217 665,368 690,892 238,226 97,143 179,102 1,870,731 1,063,514
2024 231,584 57,333 0 288,917 665,368 810,245 243,283 97,143 179,102 1,995,142 1,706,225
2025 231,584 57,333 0 288,917 665,368 921,194 248,044 97,143 179,102 2,110,852 1,821,935
2026 231,584 57,333 0 288,917 665,368 1,022,674 252,470 97,143 179,102 2,216,758 1,927,842
2027 246,005 276,262 57,333 0 579,599 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,732,069
2028 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2029 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2030 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2031 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2032 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2033 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2034 276,262 57,333 216,261 549,855 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,761,813
2035 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2036 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2037 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2038 276,262 57,333 1,156,276 1,489,870 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 821,798
2039 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,260,500 4,572,169 4,238,574
2040 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2041 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2042 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2043 276,262 57,333 1,248,547 1,582,142 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 729,527
2044 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2045 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2046 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
2047 276,262 57,333 250,863 584,457 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,727,211
2048 276,262 57,333 360,435 694,030 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,617,639
2049 276,262 57,333 216,261 549,855 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,761,813
2050 276,262 57,333 0 333,594 665,368 1,113,536 256,519 97,143 179,102 2,311,669 1,978,074
EIRR= 20.02%
Resulting EIRRs of Case I, II, and III in the sensitivity analysis explained previously are shown in Table 5-2-13.
Except for the worst scenario (cost increases & benefit decreases by 20% each), the New Container Port
Development Project has an EIRR value of more than 15 % in all cases.
Table 5-2-13 Economic Sensitivity Analysis of New Container Port Development Project
f) NPV and B/C Ratio of the New Container Port Development Project
Assuming a social discount rate of 15%, B/C ratio is calculated at 1.29 for the base case, and the NPV of the
Project is estimated at PhP 1,860 million.
5 - 23
2)-7 Economic Analysis on Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project
a) “Without” Case
The same “Without” case as explained in the financial analysis of the Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project is
assumed.
5 - 24
maintenance costs are required for 5 years after commencement of the operations.
The EIRR of the Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project is estimated at 20.97% under the conditions mentioned
above (see Table 5-2-14).
5 - 25
e) Economic Sensitivity Analysis of the Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project
The resulting EIRRs of Case I, II, and III in the sensitivity analysis are shown in Table 5-2-15. Except for the
worst scenario (cost increases & benefit decreases by 20% each), the Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project has
an EIRR value of more than 15% in all cases.
Table 5-2-15 Economic Sensitivity Analysis of the Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project
Cost Increase By 10% Cost Increase By 20%
Case I
19.18% 17.65%
Benefits Decrease By 10% Benefits Decrease By 20%
Case II
19.00% 16.96%
Cost Increase & Revenue Decrease By 10% Cost Increase & Revenue Decrease By 20%
Case III
17.34% 14.09%
(Source: Study Team)
Assuming a social discount rate of 15%, the B/C ratio is calculated at 1.41 for the base case, and the NPV of the
Project is estimated at PhP 186 million.
The leading view on economic evaluation is that the Project is feasible if the EIRR exceeds the opportunity cost of
capital. In the Philippines, it is generally considered that a project with an EIRR of more than 15% is
economically justifiable for infrastructure or social service projects. For the New Container Port Development
Project and Cebu Baseport Redevelopment Project, both cases have an EIRR of more than 20% (base case), which
is much higher than the opportunity cost of capital in the Philippines. Even after the sensitivity analysis, the
EIRRs of many cases are higher than the target. This means that the planned Projects are economically feasible.
5 - 26
Chapter 6
Planned Project Schedule
(1) New Cebu Container Terminal
- CPA (public sector) will provide the basic facilities including dredging the channels/basin, land reclamation,
container berth, revetment, road and yard pavement, drainage system, water and power supply, buildings,
access from the road bridge to the container terminal and other miscellaneous facilities that are commonly
used by various private business entities in the port and terminals.
- The private investor will provide all the necessary facilities and equipment for container terminals including
quayside gantry cranes, container yard cranes (RTG), those on land facilities of buildings, utility supply
facilities, tractors and chasses and others required for business activities.
- The terminal facilities should be made operational from 2019.
- The implementation schedule was developed on the assumption that CPA will use a soft loan to finance the
construction of the CPA portion in the new Cebu Container Terminal Development Project.
- CPA shall conduct an EIA study and obtain approval from the regional office of DENR in order to apply for a
project loan to finance the components responsible by CPA.
- The implementing sequence is prepared considering the time required for the governmental procedures
required by various agencies and departments.
- In order to be financed by a soft loan, CPA should employ a consultant who can prepare detailed engineering
documents, PQ documents and evaluation criteria thereof, tender documents for selection of the contractor of
civil works and concessionaire for the terminal operation, and assist CPA during the tender process. The
consultant shall monitor environmental issues during the construction stage.
2) Implementation Schedule
The implementation schedule of New Cebu Port studied in Section 3 is shown Table 6-1-1.
After the authorization and approval of the new Cebu Container Port by NEDA and the cabinet in the government
of the Philippines, it will be followed by applying for a soft loan, employing a consultant, conducting the detailed
design, preparation of PQ and tender documents, selecting the contractor of the civil works and implementing
construction of the works. It is estimated the period of implementation of the detailed design and preparation of
tender documents, construction of civil works and fabrication/installation of container handling equipment will be
one year, two and half years and one year respectively.
6-1
Table 6-1-1 Implementation Schedule of New Cebu Port (PPP Scheme)
Description of Works Month 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Container Terminal Development
1 Implementing Public Portion by CPA
(1) Study on New Cebu Container Port by METI 6
(2) Submission and Review of New Cebu Container Port to NEDA by DOTC 3
(3) Preparation of EIA and Obtain ECC by CPA 3
(4) Financial Arrangement and Requests for Project Loan by CPA/DOTC 12
(5) Procurement of Consultants for the engineering study 3
(6) DD - PQ + T/D Preparation by Consultant 12
(7) PQ for procurement of contractor by CPA 3
(8) Tendering for procurement of contractor by CPA 6
(9) Contract negotiation and signing the contract with CPA 3
(10) Construction works 30
1) Dredging works 4
2) Container berth construction 18
3) Revetment construction 12
4) Reclamation works 12
5) Road and pavement construction 15
6) Building works construction 10
7) Utility works construction 12
8) Access road construction 18
This Study has been made based on the assumption that the investment of the public portion will be covered by
Japanese ODA loans. The Japanese government is currently reviewing the implementation process of this loan
scheme in compliance with the request from the recipient countries for quick agreement and in strategic
consideration for the higher usability of Japanese ODA. The Japanese government announced the policy in June
2008 with respect to “Expediting of the process for Japanese ODA loans” stating that the government is aiming to
reduce the period for consultant works and preparation/procurement and complete these items within 2 years.
After the announcement, this policy has been reviewed every year and updated with subsequent amendments for
improvement. The substance of the policy is summarized as follows:
For the recipient countries who have submitted many applications and have been given ODA loans every year:
The appraisal process has been undertaken once a year in the Philippines but the applications are to be accepted
whenever necessary and processed with priority separately from other projects. The period from the completion of
this Study in February 2012 and the commencement of the detailed design in 2014 is two years; therefore, the
rational procedure should be taken, including shortening of the mission by the government and JICA or accepting
the selection of the consultant prior to exchange of notice and signing of the LA.
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(2) Cebu Baseport
- CPA (public sector) will provide the basic facilities including expansion of the berth, a floating berth, a new
passenger terminal and a container yard that are commonly used by various private business entities in the port
and terminals.
- A private investor will provide all the necessary facilities in order to implement planning, design, construction
and operation and maintenance of the business/commercial center using their own equity or loan from the city
bank.
- The business/commercial center should be made operational from 2020.
- CPA will finance the cost through a long-term loan from Treasury Bank
- CPA shall conduct an EIA study and obtain approval from the regional office of DENR.
- The implementing sequence is prepared by considering the time required for governmental procedures
required by various agencies and departments.
- CPA should employ a consultant in order to conduct detailed engineering, PQ documents and evaluation
criteria thereof, tender documents for selection of contractor of the civil work and investor, and assist CPA for
the tender process. The consultant shall monitor environmental issues during the construction stage.
2) Implementation schedule
The implementation schedule studied in Section 3 of Redevelopment Plan of Cebu Baseport is shown in Table
6-2-1.
After the authorization and approval of the new Cebu Container Port by NEDA and the cabinet in the government
of the Philippines, it will be followed by applying for a soft loan, employing a consultant, conducting the detailed
design, preparing PQ and tender documents, selecting a contractor for the civil works and implementing
construction of the works. It is estimated the period of implementation of the detailed design and preparation of
tender documents, construction of marine works and construction of a business/commercial center are eight
months, fifteen months and two years respectively.
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Table 6-2-1 Implementation Schedule of Cebu Baseport (PPP Scheme)
2014 to
Description of Works Month 2011 2012 2013 2018 2019 2020 2021
2017
Redevelopment of Baseport
1 Implementing Public Portion by CPA
(1) Study on New Cebu Container Port by METI 6
(2) Submission and Review of New Cebu Container Port to NEDA by DOTC 3
(3) Preparation of EIA and Obtain ECC by CPA 3
(4) Financial Arrangement and Requests for Project Loan by CPA/DOTC 12
(5) Procurement of Consultants for the engineering study 3
(6) DD - PQ + T/D Preparation by Consultant 6
(7) PQ for procurement of contractor by CPA 3
(8) Tendering for procurement of contractor by CPA 4
(9) Contract negotiation and signing the contract with CPA 3
(10) Construction works 15
1) Demolision of Bldgs 4
2) Widening of wharf (w=10m) 10
3) Fabrication and instllation of pontoon (45mx15m) 12
4) Yard Construction 4
5) Teminal bldg (3 stories) 10
6-4
Chapter 7
Implementing Organization
(1) Capability of the Project Implementation by CPA
The Cebu Port Authority (CPA) manages and operates the port service of the existing Cebu
Baseport. CPA owns Cebu international port, other quayside areas and some handling equipment.
The main duties of CPA are planning and development, maintenance of port facilities and
management of operation. Cargo handling activities and tugboat operations are done by private
companies. Pilotage is done by a single private company.
CPA’s role and objectives are stated in the CPA Charter as follows:
The organization of CPA is shown in the table below.
- To integrate and coordinate the planning, development, construction and operations of ports and port facilities
within CPA’s territorial jurisdiction, consistent with the needs and requirements of the region.
- To enhance the flow of international and domestic commerce passing through or utilizing the regional ports.
- To promote regional development by providing support services to sustain the growth of export and other
priority industries in the region.
Table 7-1-1 Organization Chart of CPA
Office of the
Cebu Port Commission
Office of the
General Manager
Office of the
Deputy General Manager
CPA’s territorial jurisdiction includes all government and private ports and all seas, lakes, rivers and all other
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navigable inland waterways within the Province of Cebu, including the City of Cebu and all other cities, which
may be created after R.A.7621 was signed in 1992.
- Have perpetual succession under its corporate name otherwise provided by law;
- Prescribe its bylaws and such rules and regulations as maybe found necessary to promote or enhance the
business of the authority;
- Adopt and use a seal;
- Sue and be sued in any court;
- Enter into contracts, transactions, and undertakings of whatever nature, which are necessary or incidental to
its functions and objectives, with any natural or juridical person or with any government institutions, domestic
or foreign;
- Acquire, own, hire, use, operate and dispose of personal property and to acquire, own, use, lease, operate and
dispose of real property and interests thereon and to make improvements on such real property, including the
reclamation, for port purposes, of foreshore and submerged lands within its territorial jurisdiction; which
reclaimed land shall ipso facto be deemed transferred in ownership to the Authority; and to enter into
contracts with any public or private entity for such reclamation under such terms and conditions as it may be
deemed to be for the public interest;
- Purchase, hold alienate, mortgage, pledge or otherwise dispose of the shares of the capital stock of, or any
bond, security or other evidences of indebtedness created by any other corporation or co-partnership of this or
any other country, and while the owner of said stock, to exercise all the rights of ownership, including the
right to vote thereon;
- Exercise the right of eminent domain;
- Exercise all the powers not contrary to law which may be necessary or incidental to the effectuation of its
authorized purposes or to the exercise of any of the foregoing powers, except the power to levy taxes or
assessments and, in general, to exercise in connection with property within its control all powers which may
be exercised by a natural or juridical person over its property and affairs;
- Levy dues and impose rates and charges for the use of the premises, works, appliances, facilities, or for
services provided by or belonging to the Authority, or any other organization concerned with port operations;
- Make expenditures in foreign countries to pay commissions and hire or contract experts and consultants, both
foreign and local;
- Make expenditures for promotion of the business affairs of the Authority; and
- Exercise all the powers of a corporation under the Corporation Law insofar as they are not inconsistent with
the provisions of this Act.
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5) Organization of CPA
The powers and functions of the CPA are vested in and exercised by a Cebu Port Commission of 7 members,
which is CPA’s governing and policy-making body. The Chairman of the Commission is the Secretary of the
Department of Transportation & Communications, or his designated Undersecretary.
The Vice-Chairman is elected from the remaining Commissioners and is then designated as the Cebu Port General
Manager. Except for the Chairman, the Commissioners are all appointed by the President of the Philippines to a
fixed 3-year term and represent the following sectors: ship owners and shipping operators, cargo handling labor
and business.
The daily business and operational management of CPA is directed and controlled by the General Manager.
CPA has its head office and four terminal offices, Toledo, Danao, Argao, and Santa Fe.
6) Financial Performance
6)-1 Revenue
Revenue of the CPA mainly comes from port tariffs and shares of arrastre/stevedoring. Shares of
arrastre/stevedoring come from cargo handling charges of the private cargo handling company. Private company
pays a percentage of handling charges to CPA instead of getting a franchise to handle cargoes in the port.
CPA receives a 20% share of handling charges in government ports, a 10% share in non-registered private ports
and a 3% share in registered private ports. Revenue from port tariffs comes from not only government ports but
also private ports. But, as an incentive for registration, CPA reduced the port tariff for registered private ports by
50%.
It is shown in the balance sheet of CPA in 2008-2009 that wharfage dues and shares of arrastre/stevedoring
represented 62.5% and 63.5% of all revenue in 2008 and 2009 respectively. This figure has not changed
significantly over the last 10 years.
6)-2 Expenditure
Expenditure in 2008-2009 of CPA is well balanced. Personnel cost is relatively low at about 23.8% of total
operation expenses. CPA pays a BTR dividend to the national government every year, which was 51.9% of net
income after income tax in 2008.
The financial soundness is appraised based on financial statements (Income Statement, Cash Flow Statement and
Balance sheet). The appraisal is made from the viewpoints of profitability, loan repayment capacity and
operational efficiency, using the following ratios:
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a) Profitability
c) Operational Efficiency
Operating Ratio:
Operating Expenses
100%
Operating Revenues
The operating ratio shows the operational efficiency of the terminal management entity, namely the ratio of port
revenue that is consumed by operating expenses. Generally, it must be less than 75%.
The ratio in 2008 was 54.2%
d) Working Ratio:
The rate of return on net fixed assets is low compared to the interest rate in the city. This means CPA needs to
make more efficient use of its assets.
The Debt Service Coverage ratio is relatively low, but this does not pose a problem at the moment.
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6)-5 Financial Capacity for the Project
Using the annual report of CPA 2008-2009, financial statements of CPA, and the approaches on financial capacity
evaluation outlined in Section 9, the Cebu Port Authority was found to have no capacity to self-finance the
container terminal investment using corporate funds. A significant portion of CPA’s funds is invested as market
securities, with available cash and cash equivalents.
The Executing Agency (EA) responsible for implementation of the proposed Project is the Cebu Port
Authority (CPA) under the Ministry of Transportation. The organization of CPA is shown in Table
7-1-1.
CPA has the capability to implement the proposed Project by the following organizational setup:
The Engineering Department of EA will be responsible for implementing the proposed Projects. The
EA will organize a committee called, “The Project Management unit (PMU)” for implementation of
the Project. The members of the PMU will consist of representative officials from the departments
concerned (Engineering Department, Business Department, Finance Department, etc.).
Generally, the PMU concerned will be directly involved in the Project management activities. CPA
will appoint a Project management officer to implement smooth and effective supervisory services.
The members of the committee are selected representatives from all the concerned departments of CPA to
evaluate technical aspects, feasibility of the Project, arrangement for finance of the Project, period of Project,
process of tendering for the selection of concessionaire and their performance, management and supervisory
responsible works of respective private and CPA portions, and equipment supply by a concessionaire.
The PMU will prepare contract documents with the concessionaire and check the contents of the
agreement, certify them for approval by the Board of CPA, and submit these documents to the
Ministry of Transport for final approval.
The ownership of the port facility and land estate to be developed by the PPP Scheme project should
remain with the CPA. The development of additional facilities and terminal operation of container,
should be opened to the selected concessionaire of the Philippines and/or JV with foreign private
investors.
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The government intends to minimize the financial burden of the government body and to provide
effective cost performance of port management to the users.
At present, some other donors and international agencies have expressed interest in extending
assistance to the proposed Project.
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Chapter 8
Technical Advantages of Japanese Companies
(1) Possible Japanese Firms’ Participation in the Proposed Project
Considering the Project components, PPP will comprise PPP for (a) New Container Terminal and (b)
Redevelopment of the Baseport.
There are several instruments of private participation in container terminal investment. Major instruments
currently being considered are: (a) BOT (build-operate-transfer), BOO (build-own-operate), BTO
(build-transfer-operate), (b) Licenses or concession, and (c) Leasehold contract.
PPP in Philippines started in 1990 when BOT Law (RA 6957) was established. In RA-6957 BOT and BT (Build
and Transfer) were considered. In 1994, an amendment was made by RA-7718 and other modes of PPP such as
BOO, BTO, BLT (Build-lease-transfer), ROT (Rehabilitate-operate-transfer), ROO (Rehabilitate-own-operate),
and others were included.
To date there is no concession law in the Philippines, but the concession of container terminals in Philippines
ports has already been made based on current laws. The government is also preparing another amendment of the
BOT law to include concession.
BOT/BOO & BTO are relatively new approaches to infrastructure development, which enable direct private
sector investment in large-scale infrastructure projects like container terminal construction and operation projects.
It is an understanding wherein a private company (or consortium) agrees with a government to invest in a public
infrastructure project. The company then secures their own financing to construct the project. The private
developer then owns, maintains, and manages the facility for an agreed concession period and recoups their
investment through charges. After the concessionary period, the company transfers ownership and operation of the
facility to the government or relevant state authority with whom the agreement was executed.
The common feature of most of these agreements is project financing; the lender’s source of repayment is cash
flow generated by the project, and there is limited or no recourse against the government. The advantages are that
BOO/BOT projects are conducted in a fully competitive bidding situation. The public will get the lowest cost of
project. The public will get the risk of the project shared by the private sector. The public will get the benefit of
the private sector’s ability to mobilize finances, and to use the best management skills in the construction of
projects and the operation of the project. The public will get access to the latest technology, and typically the
project is constructed much faster than it would be in the public utilities, manner of operation and in all these facets.
8-1
1)-2 Current Condition of Container Terminal Operation at Cebu Port
At Cebu Port, operation of Cebu International Port (CIP, which comprises International Container Terminal and
Domestic Container Terminal) was contracted out to private companies, Oriental Port and Allied Services
Corporation (OPASCOR) and Cebu Integrated Association (CIA). They are called, “Contract for Cargo Handling
Services,” but it is practically a lease contract of the terminal. They are not paying a lease fee, but pay 20% of the
total income of the respective operating company. CPA provides basic terminal infrastructure, and operating
companies provide cargo handling equipment and workers.
OPASCOR and PPA (before CPA was created) signed a contract for 10 years on January 9, 1991, allowing
OPASCOR to manage and operate arrastre and stevedoring services at International Container Terminal of CIP.
There was a dispute on the expiration of the original contract in 2001, and the first extension of the contract was
given on February 14, 2003 for another 10 years (until February 13, 2013). The first amendment was made on
February 26, 2008 to extend the contract for another 10 years (until February 13, 2023) in order to enable a new
business of OPASCOR to invest facilities for and operate handling bulk cargo.
OPASCOR currently owns 3 Quay-side Gantry Cranes (QC) and 11 Rubber Tired Gantry Cranes (RTGs) They
have ordered new 1 QC and 2 RTGs that are expected to be delivered to the port next year.
When construction of the proposed Project is completed, all international containers will be transferred to the new
port and the current CIP will be only for domestic cargo. It is not clear what type of arrangements will be provided
for OPASCOR as the current operator and a selection of a new operator at the new port. OPASCOR supports the
proposed Project, and it is believed that the selection of a new operator will be done in an amicable and
transparent matter.
Regarding the mode of PPP for the new international container terminal, a leasing or concession agreement, where
the public (CPA) provides the basic infrastructure (wharf, access roads, etc.) and the private sector (Operator)
provides equipment for handling cargo (QCs, RTGs, tractors, trailers, etc.) will be the most realistic and proper
mode of PPP. BOT (or BTO, BOO) scheme which includes investment for wharfs and equipment will require
huge investment and the risk will be too high to attract private investors.
Given that the Baseport is located at the center of Cebu City, the private sector will be very interested in investing
in the port area for commercial purposes, if there is available port land. If CPA makes an international container
terminal area in CIP, which will be transferred to the New Port, there will be space available for the private sector
to develop and private participation will be very likely.
8-2
As described in Port Planning, the Study Team proposes to use about 84,600 m² of CIP behind the domestic
container terminal. Considering the existing and future plans of the port, it might be preferable to lease this land
long-term rather than selling it. However, taking into account market trends, CPA should carefully consider
several options for use, including selling the land.
The lease fee is estimated based on the current market rate, i.e. lease of APL near CIP where APL is used for
empty container stockyard, at PhP 1,429/m²/year. In this Study, the same rate is used for the CIP land as a safe
estimate. If CPA leases the land to the private sector, CPA will generate less income at PhP 120,857,143/year.
There will be possibilities for Japanese firms for participating in the New International Container terminal in the
area of: (a) providing funds for construction of the New Port, (b) construction of the New Port as a constructor, (c)
private terminal operator (either a single company or a joint venture partner) to provide funds, supply handling
equipment for containers, and operate the terminal.
(1) For financing the construction of the New Terminal from Japan, it is most likely that GOP requests GOJ for
financing through JICA. Among the JICA loans, STEP Loan should be the most preferable source of fund,
since it has the lowest interest and long repayment period with long grace period, albeit it is a tied loan.
However, the financial and economic evaluation indicates that this proposed project will be feasible by using
the JICA Loan with General and Standard Terms. Therefore, no STEP Loan is considered for evaluation in
this study, but JICA Loan with general and Standard Terms is. Private financing for construction is not
considered to be competitive when a bilateral JICA Loan is applicable.
(2) Japanese contractors have much experience in the construction of container terminals in Subic, Batangas and
Cagayan de oro in the Philippines. There is a high possibility of participation in the construction of the new
Cebu container terminal because of the international bidding. The type of container berth is steel pipe sheet
pile with tie rods anchor piles; therefore, there is a high possibility of participation in the procurement of
Japanese big-size steel sheet piles that are made using the advanced technology of Japanese makers and tie
wires that are made of anticorrosive Japanese material and are optimal for seawater.
(3) Japanese may participate in container terminal operation. Recently, Japanese firms have entered into a venture
agreement with Vietnamese Vinaline for operation of Lach Huyen International Port under a PPP scheme.
This project is considered to be the first PPP Port Project under the JICA Loan. A similar scheme can be
expected for the New Port of Cebu Container Terminal. Private terminal operator will provide financing for
operation and it is expected that Japanese equipments for handling containers will be provided.
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3)-2 Participation in the Redevelopment of the Base Port
Redevelopment of the Baseport, which will require a further detailed study, may include:
(1) Expansion of the Domestic Container Terminal by the transfer of the International Container Terminal to the
New Port,
(2) Rearrangement of Domestic RORO terminals,
(3) Rearrangement of Passenger terminals, and
(4) Construction of proper terminal facilities for Domestic RORO and Passengers.
Among the above, possible opportunities where Japanese firms may participate will be: (1) consulting services to
prepare a Redevelopment Plan of the Base Port, and (2) construction and management of the
Commercial/Amenity Center Development though financing, construction, management and operation. Expansion
of domestic container terminal and construction of domestic RORO terminal will be provided by CPA through
public financing, and there will be little chance for Japanese firms to participate.
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(2) Advantages for Japanese Private Firms on the Project
(1) Japanese contractors are able to fully utilize their know-how in availability of local construction firms and
construction methodology/technology accumulated in Subic, Batangas and Cagayan de oro in the Philippines.
Given that Japanese construction firms have also acquired knowledge in international competitive biddings
through JICA loans, there is a high possibility of participation in the construction of the new Cebu container
terminal because of the international bidding.
(2) Regarding the participation in the terminal operation, Japanese operators are not considered to be Global Mega
Operators, because not many operators are globally in charge. However, all Japanese operating oversea
terminals are efficiently and satisfactorily managed. Similar to an example of Lach Huyen International Port,
Japanese operating firms may participate under a similar PPP scheme of JICA. For supplying equipment for
container handling, high reputation in quality and durability are strong areas of Japanese manufacturers as well
as the existing experience in supplying gantry cranes in Cebu Port.
(1) Japanese consulting firms have extensive experience in redevelopment of Japanese ports, such as MM21 in
Yokohama Port, Takeshiba-Shibaura in Tokyo Port, Center Pier in Kobe Port, Tempozan in Osaka Port, and
the Cruise Terminal in Nagasaki Port. They are the advantages of Japanese Consulting Firms to participate in
the Study for Redevelopment of the Baseport. Redevelopment in large size can be seen in US and Europe, but
small size redevelopments in a congested city area are not common. Therefore Japanese experiences and
know-how will be useful and great advantage in participating the consulting services.
(2) Participation in Commercial/Amenity Center Development Project is attractive for private sector, since the
Baseport is located at the center of the city where land area is very important and commercial activities are
dense. Some private investors, including Japanese firms, have shown interest in investing to create a
commercial center at CIP that may be fully converted to a commercial/tourist area after 2030. Japanese port
redevelopment projects have included similar commercial/amenity development, and private firms can fully
utilize their know-how in participating this proposed redevelopment project.
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(3) Necessary Measures to Promote Participation of Japanese Firms
1) Financing
It is important to provide favorable funding for Philippines through ODA and to promote participation of Japanese
firms. One possibility of financial assistance from our country is an ODA loan from Japan International
Cooperation Agency (JICA). According to the conditions of current ODA loans, the Philippines is categorized as
a low-income country (GNI per capita between US $996 and 1,905) and under the standard and general conditions,
the interest rate is 1.4% with a 30-year repayment period (including a grace period of 10 years). Procurement
conditions are untied. However, a STEP loan, which is a tied loan, has more favorable conditions. Conditions of
the STEP loan are 0.2% interest rate with 40-year repayment period (including a 10 year grace period). Since a
STEP loan is a tied loan, the possibility of participation by Japanese firms will increase.
Financial support to the private sector is also possible to take advantage of export finance or investment financing
of JBIC. Conditions of JBIC loans, which require a separate review for each case, are expected to be favorable so
as to encourage private participation of Japanese firms.
This Study is considered to be a pre-feasibility study (Pre-FS) and it is necessary that a Feasibility Study (FS) is
conducted as soon as possible. Given that there are many experienced Japanese consulting firms, including
Oriental Consultants, in preparing FS related to port development, it is important to proceed from Pre-FS to FS
with the participation of Japanese experienced consulting firms as smoothly as possible. In some cases, detailed
design study (DD) may include a review and update of Pre-FS, and the time to the implementation will be
shortened. It is expected that the Japanese ODA process will be flexible and quick.
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Chapter 9
Financial Outlook
(1) Analysis of Financing Plan
Considering PPP at a maximum extent, bilateral ODA funds may be used for the construction of the new
international container terminal under CPA implementation.
For the provision of equipment for container operation by private operators, commercial banks, development
banks or other sources of funds can be used.
For redevelopment of Baseport terminals, it is appropriate that domestic funds be used, such as CPA’s own funds,
other public sources or commercial sources.
9-1
(2) Possibility and Availability of Funds
CPA may apply for a bilateral ODA fund, including a JICA Loan, through the Government of the Philippines for
construction of the New International Container Terminal. If a JICA Loan is provided, the current standard terms
and conditions for the Philippines are:
Amount: 85% of CPA cost
Interest Rate: 1.4% except for consulting services for which the interest rate is 0.01%
Loan Period: 30 years including a 10-year grace period
Repayment: Fixed amount repayment of principal.
CPA will provide a counterpart fund that is 15% of the total cost (by internal reserve, from Government grants,
loans from commercial banks, etc.)
Initial and renewal investments by the Terminal Operator for equipment are assumed to be financed by
commercial banks and their own equity. If the Operator imports Japanese equipment and JBIC buyer’s credit is
applied for and approved, the interest rate can be estimated at 7.13% plus risk premium with a 10-year repayment
period. If the Operator uses domestic commercial banks, the current interest rate is around 7% (Banko Sentral NG
Pilipinas homepage). In this analysis, it is estimated that the Operator uses a bank loan at 7% interest rate with a
10-year repayment period.
9-2
(3) Cash Flow Analysis
Cash flow was calculated based on the assumption provided in 9.3.1 and with a Treasury Bank loan for the
counterpart fund.
Table 9-3-1 indicates CPA’s cash flow for the construction of the New International Container Terminal (basic
infrastructure). CPA’s balance will be minus only during the construction period from 2015 to 2018 to pay interest
of the bilateral loan and in 2025 when major repayment of the principal of the JICA Loan starts. Only one year
after the start of the operation, in 2020, cash ending turns to be plus and accumulates plus cash throughout the
Project cycle.
If a JICA Loan is applied for and approved, the JICA loan may cover the interest during construction, and CPA
will only have a cash flow shortage for interest payment for the Treasury Bank Loan during construction. Figure
9-3-1 shows the changes of major cash flow components (Cash Inflow, Cash Outflow, Cash Balance and Cash
Ending) of CPA.
Table 9-3-1 indicates the cash flow of the Terminal Operator if all the investments are made by loans. Cash
balance will be minus from 2018 to 2020, but turns to be plus after two years of operation. The Operator will gain
and accumulate profits after 2021. The total cash shortage between 2018 and 2020 will be PhP 215,239,000. This
is less than 50% of annual revenue. The Operator may borrow a short-term loan or use internal reserves.
Figure 9-3-1 shows the changes of the major cash flow components (Cash Inflow, Cash Outflow, Cash Balance
and Cash Ending) of the Operator.
If the Terminal Operator uses equity at 30% of the initial investment and commercial loan at 70%, the cash
balance will be minus only in 2018. From 2019, the cash balance turns to be plus throughout the Project cycle (see
Table 9-3-2 and Figure 9-3-3).
9-3
Table 9-3-1 Cash Flow of CPA
Cash Flow
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Cash Beginning 0 0 -909 -4,681 -31,456 -131,017 -61,147 33,204 148,936 283,018 435,340 570,168 564,408 581,967 622,821 666,840 714,022 764,368 817,878 874,552
Cash Inflow 51,985 165,086 817,415 2,546,296 2,107,772 241,556 250,329 273,554 297,940 322,164 293,837 322,068 351,709 381,313 381,313 381,313 381,313 381,313 381,313 381,313
Net Operating Income 0 0 0 0 0 87,710 109,830 133,055 157,441 181,665 153,338 181,569 211,210 240,814 240,814 240,814 240,814 240,814 240,814 240,814
Depreciation 0 0 0 0 0 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499 140,499
Loans 51,985 165,086 817,415 2,546,296 2,107,772 13,347 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Outflow 51,985 165,995 821,187 2,573,071 2,207,334 171,686 155,978 153,378 150,778 148,178 145,578 304,532 299,879 295,226 290,573 285,920 281,267 276,614 271,961 267,308
Investment 51,985 165,086 817,415 2,546,296 2,107,772 13,347 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Repayment of principal 0 312 1,302 6,207 21,485 34,131 34,211 34,211 34,211 34,211 34,211 195,765 195,765 195,765 195,765 195,765 195,765 195,765 195,765 195,765
Interest on Loans 0 597 2,469 20,568 78,077 124,207 121,767 119,167 116,567 113,966 111,366 108,766 104,113 99,460 94,807 90,155 85,502 80,849 76,196 71,543
Corporation Income Tax 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4,444 13,080 21,664 13,431 23,297 34,271 45,233 46,722 48,211 49,700 51,189 52,678 54,167
Cash Balance 0 -909 -3,772 -26,775 -99,562 69,870 94,351 115,732 134,082 152,322 134,828 -5,761 17,559 40,854 44,018 47,182 50,346 53,510 56,674 59,838
Cash Ending 0 -909 -4,681 -31,456 -131,017 -61,147 33,204 148,936 283,018 435,340 570,168 564,408 581,967 622,821 666,840 714,022 764,368 817,878 874,552 934,390
3,000,000
9-4
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
Cash Inflow
PhP '000
Cash Outflow
Cash Balance
500,000
-500,000
2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032
Year
Table 9-3-3 Cash Flow of Terminal Operator (Initial Investment with 30% Equity and 70% Loan)
Cash Flow
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Cash Beginning 0 0 0 0 0 -103,356 -41,564 53,609 183,397 349,096 523,458 655,808 830,964 1,050,503 1,288,941 1,559,977 1,962,272 2,368,444 2,778,493 3,192,418
9-5
Cash Inflow 0 0 0 607,976 1,215,953 439,955 476,277 514,414 554,458 1,090,874 588,171 634,527 683,201 957,137 689,631 689,631 689,631 689,631 689,631 689,631
Net Operating Income 0 0 0 0 0 349,517 385,839 423,976 464,020 431,469 475,618 521,974 570,648 566,952 566,952 566,952 566,952 566,952 566,952 566,952
Depreciation 0 0 0 0 0 90,438 90,438 90,438 90,438 112,553 112,553 112,553 112,553 122,679 122,679 122,679 122,679 122,679 122,679 122,679
Loans 0 0 0 607,976 1,215,953 0 0 0 0 546,852 0 0 0 267,506 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Outflow 0 0 0 607,976 1,319,308 305,812 293,044 280,277 267,510 801,594 334,939 318,344 301,748 552,659 253,236 117,428 111,728 106,027 100,327 94,626
Investment 0 0 0 607,976 1,215,953 0 0 0 0 546,852 0 0 0 267,506 0 0 0 0 0 0
Repayment of principal 0 0 0 0 60,798 182,393 182,393 182,393 182,393 182,393 237,078 237,078 237,078 237,078 203,031 81,436 81,436 81,436 81,436 81,436
Interest on Loans 0 0 0 0 42,558 123,419 110,652 97,884 85,117 72,349 97,861 81,266 64,670 48,075 50,205 35,993 30,292 24,592 18,891 13,191
Corporation Income Tax 0 0 0 0 0 72,351 88,060 104,349 121,249 114,918 120,882 141,027 161,913 166,041 165,359 169,907 171,731 173,555 175,379 177,204
Cash Balance 0 0 0 0 -103,356 61,792 95,173 129,788 165,699 174,362 132,350 175,156 219,540 238,437 271,036 402,296 406,172 410,049 413,925 417,801
Cash Ending 0 0 0 0 -103,356 -41,564 53,609 183,397 349,096 523,458 655,808 830,964 1,050,503 1,288,941 1,559,977 1,962,272 2,368,444 2,778,493 3,192,418 3,610,218
3,500,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
PhP '000
PhP '000
Cash Inflow Cash Inflow
Cash Outflow Cash Outflow
Cash Balance 1,500,000 Cash Balance
1,000,000
Cash Ending Cash Ending
1,000,000
9-6
500,000
500,000
0
0
-500,000 -500,000
2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032
Year Year
Cash flow of CPA for the Baseport Redevelopment Project was calculated based on the assumption that CPA will
borrow a long-term loan from Treasury Bank (7.6% interest rate, repayment period 25 years). As stated in the
financial analysis, expenditures are the investment in the redevelopment project and maintenance and
management costs, and revenues are from cargo handling, long-term lease of the port land, and subsidy from the
New Container Port. Table 9-3-4 shows the calculated cash flow and Figure 9-3-4 shows changes in the major
cash flow components (Cash Inflows, Cash Outflows, Cash Ending and Cash Balance).
It is understood that the interest rate of the Treasury Bank is higher than FIRR calculated in the Financial
Analysis; therefore, the cash balance of CPA is minus for almost all of the period, and the minus in cash balance
will be accumulated. CPA’s financial situation will have serious problems.
In order to improve the cash flow of CPA, the following measures can be considered:
(1) To find a financing agency who can offer better terms and conditions than Treasury Bank.
(2) To wait for a better opportunity to lease out the port land to the private sector at a higher rate, or negotiate
better conditions for CPA.
(3) To sell the port land rather than lease it out, and receive a large amount of one-time cash.
(4) To increase the subsidy from the New Container Port.
In particular, selling the port land as mentioned in (3) mentioned above may be attractive and realistic. However,
selling the port land should be considered carefully in relation to long-term port planning, and CPA needs careful
and comprehensive consideration for the best use of the port land. In addition, further consideration and analysis
will be necessary to estimate the exact cost for redevelopment and management/maintenance costs, including the
actual leasing fee.
Increasing the subsidy from New Container Port to Baseport indicated in (4) will be possible, as the aggregate of
CPA’s cash ending (cumulative cash balance) for New Port and Baseport Redevelopment Projects turns to black
from 2036 and continues in the black during the Project cycle. For example, if the subsidy is increased from PhP
200,000,000 to PhP 260,000,000 (an increase of PhP 60,000,000), CPA’s cash ending for the Existing
Redevelopment Project turns to black from 2038.
However, CPA should wait on its decision for the amount of subsidy or procedure of utilization of port land until
the detailed design is completed and Project costs are fixed, since the increase of subsidy from New Port reduces
the feasibility of the New Container Port.
9-7
Table 9-3-4 Cash Flow of CPA for Baseport Redevelopment Project
Cash Flow Unit: PhP '000)
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Cash Beginning 0 0 0 0 0 0 -75,741 -145,436 -283,321 -407,723 -519,372 -616,695 -698,926 -772,707 -831,874 -874,348 -914,533 -952,428 -988,034 -1,021,349
Cash Inflow 0 0 0 0 22,874 -28,644 622,194 -49,296 -39,594 -29,131 -17,094 -4,292 1,868 14,193 28,596 28,596 28,596 28,596 28,596 28,596
Net Operating Income 0 0 0 0 0 -88,151 -77,018 -66,052 -54,657 -44,194 -32,157 -19,355 -13,195 -870 13,533 13,533 13,533 13,533 13,533 13,533
Depreciation 0 0 0 0 0 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063 15,063
Loans 0 0 0 0 22,874 44,444 684,149 1,693 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Outflow 0 0 0 0 22,874 47,097 691,888 88,589 84,808 82,518 80,229 77,939 75,649 73,360 71,070 68,781 66,491 64,201 61,912 59,622
Investment 0 0 0 0 22,874 44,444 684,149 1,693 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Repayment of principal 0 0 0 0 0 915 2,693 30,059 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126 30,126
Interest on Loans 0 0 0 0 0 1,738 5,047 56,837 54,682 52,392 50,102 47,813 45,523 43,233 40,944 38,654 36,365 34,075 31,785 29,496
Corporation Income Tax 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Balance 0 0 0 0 0 -75,741 -69,694 -137,885 -124,402 -111,649 -97,323 -82,231 -73,781 -59,167 -42,474 -40,185 -37,895 -35,605 -33,316 -31,026
Cash Ending 0 0 0 0 0 -75,741 -145,436 -283,321 -407,723 -519,372 -616,695 -698,926 -772,707 -831,874 -874,348 -914,533 -952,428 -988,034 -1,021,349 -1,052,376
Figure 9-3-4 Cash Flow of CPA for Baseport Redevelopment Project (Changes of Major Components)
800,000
9-8
Cash Flow of CPA for Base Port Re-Development ( with Treasury Bank)
600,000
400,000
200,000
Cash Inflow
PhP '000
-600,000
-800,000
-1,000,000
2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032
-1,200,000
Year
This report only proposes a conceptual plan for the Base Port Redevelopment, such as commercial facilities
(shopping malls) and international cruise terminal, and a further analysis is necessary to prepare detailed
redevelopment plan.
The proposed shopping mall will create a large shopping complex, combined with the SM City Cebu (existing)
and Robinson Shopping Center (planned to be built next to the SM City Cebu), and this shopping complex is
expected to attract international tourists whose activities are currently concentrated in Mactan Island, instead of
Cebu Island.
Shopping mall will have many specialized shops, super markets, gift shops, restaurants, movie theaters and others,
and will have a large impact to the local economy through creating employment opportunity and other economic
activities.
9-9
Chapter 10
Action Plan and Issues
(1) Actions of Private Sectors
Two international port terminal operators, ICTSI and ATI, are doing business in the Philippines. Both private
terminal operators are showing interest in the Cebu New Port Development Project. ICTSI is the largest operator
in the Philippines and holds concession rights at Manila, Subic, General Santos, Davao, and Cagayan de Oro
(Mindanao Container Terminal), etc. in the Philippines, and at other overseas port terminals such as Central and
South America, Africa, Japan, etc. ATI Terminals is the second largest operator in the Philippines (held by DPW),
which operates at South Port Manila, Batangas, and General Santos. The list of ports operated by these two
companies is shown in Table 10-1-1.
If we assume that CPA will enter into a concession bid calling for private operators, both companies are expected
to participate. The entitlement of concession rights for these operators will contribute to not only a gain in
corporate income but also in getting a greater market share due to improvement in services to client carriers by
controlling berth windows linked to other owned terminals in the Philippines. Through recent tendering of
concession rights, it is known that ICTSI and ATI participated in the concession bid on Mindanao Container
Terminal (Cagayan de Oro) and the contract was given to ICTSI in 2008. The cargo throughput of this port has
increased since opening, and the record of 2010 marked 180,000 TEU.
10 - 1
b) Terminal Operator of Cebu Port
The international terminal operator of Cebu Port is OPASCOR who has a contract with CPA valid until 2023.
OPASCOR owns 3 QCs (Quay Gantry Crane) and 18 RTGs at present. In order to meet the increasing cargo
demand, OPASCO is planning to install a new QC and 2 RTG in the near future. This Study proposes opening the
New Cebu Port in 2018, which implies that the shift will occur before the end of the contract between OPASCOR
and CPA. Therefore, CPA shall enter into practical discussions as soon as possible with OPASCOR on the matter
of the concession contract as well as the properties invested by OPASCOR to date.
Until now, there has been no contrary opinion from OPASCOR and its management has shown goodwill to the
new port development. The reason for such a cooperative attitude is that the OPASCOR understands its
concession right will be effective on new port opening and they could obtain the privilege to continue their status
as Terminal Operator.
Table 10-1-2 shows the detail of services provided by carriers as Cebu Port users. Table 10-1-3 shows the
container throughputs at Cebu Port detailed by each carrier. In the past, the majority of international cargo was
shipped via Manila Port and loaded/unloaded at local ports including Cebu Port. Direct shipping from local ports
began when some new international terminals were opened at Davao, Cagayan de Oro, etc. The demand of direct
shipping to overseas hub-ports has been increasing. The reasons for such demand are the shipping cost of feeder
transport through Manila is higher than direct shipping and the hub functions of overseas ports (e.g. Kaohsiung
port in Taiwan) are generally wider than Manila (there are more destination ports). Such trends in demand
increase are expected to continue; thus, shipping companies using Cebu Port feel welcome to the new deep-sea
port development.
Wan Hai Lines Kaohsiung Cebu every week 1,500 Common Feeder
Yang Ming Line Kaohsiung Cebu every week 1,500 Common Feeder
RCL Singapore Cebu, Davao, General Santos every week 1,080 Own Operation
Shanghai, Dalian, Quingdao, Hong Kong,
Marinas Cebu, Cagayan, Davao every week 950-1,100 Own Operation
Muara, Kota Muara, Kinabalu
Hanjin Kaohsiung every week 1,500 Common Feeder
10 - 2
Table 10-1-3 Container Throughputs at Cebu Port Detailed by Each Carrier (2010)
Shipcalls OPASCOR Container Throughput by OPASCOR (TEU)
2010 2010
Carrier Ship call Carrier Import Export Empty Total
APL 46 APL 18,129 8,110 10,346 36,585
Evergreen 1 Evergreen 18,837 3,550 18,161 40,548
Mercury 30 Mercury 7,342 3,952 2,647 13,941
RCL 27 Maersk 3,472 1,650 4,392 9,514
Rollway 54 RCL 8,591 5,219 2,730 16,540
Wan Hai - OOCL 3,398 3,222 1,488 8,108
Marinas 66 Rollway 3,948 2,113 1,784 7,845
Sino Cargo - Wan Hai 14,236 6,685 7,534 28,455
Pacific - Marinas 5,962 7,246 3,324 16,532
Melro Ship 52 Others 11,840 9,434 2,773 24,047
BBC Trans - Total 95,755 51,181 55,179 202,115
Subtotal 276
Tramping (不定期船) 129
MCC (Maersk: Domestic) 52
Total 457
(Source: OPASCOR)
The current container throughput of Mindanao Container Terminal (Cagayan de Oro), which opened in 2008,
marked 180,000 TEU in 2010, and it is still increasing. Although Mindanao Island is abundant in agriculture and
natural resources, there was no deep seaport until Mindanao Container Terminal opened. Until then, cargo that
originated from the area near Cagayan de Oro was transported passing through Davao or Cebu. It has been
reported that the cargo demand of Cebu Port decreased due to lack of use because of the opening of Mindanao
Container Terminal.
However, there is a difference in the balance of import/export between Cebu and Cagayan if we consider the
current cargo demand of the two ports. In an interview with the Study Team, a carrier said that there are some
cases in which international lines dock in Cagayan (-13 m quay depth) first to discharge cargo and then sail to
Cebu by lighter draft because the depth of the berth at Cebu is shallow. Generally, it is said that Cagayan has high
exports of resources and Cebu has high imports of consumer goods. It is thought to be rational that ships with full
draft should go to Cebu to discharge cargo before sailing to Cagayan which has much cargo to load. Thus,
development of a deep seaport in Cebu (-13 m) is expected to contribute to the coexistence of the two ports as
well as upgrading shipping services by shortening the shipping time.
Redevelopment of the existing port by PPP scheme introduction is important for CPA for: 1) repayment of new
port investment, 2) running cost earning of the existing port after the new port opens, and 3) future plan to shift
port functions to the new port. This study proposes the introduction of private developer investment placing focus
on the high value potential of the waterfront (port facing) area that is owned by CPA.
In the Cebu Port district, several private commercial facilities, such as shopping malls (SM) and hotels (Radisson),
are already operating. In a similar way, it is foreseen that development using the value of port related resources,
10 - 3
such as a passenger terminal, would be attractive. On the other hand, a shopping mall developer has pointed out
the disadvantage in a commercial center facing the noisy and dangerous cargo terminal. Taking into account the
financial situation of CPA, the port functions shifting outside the existing port should be carried out through
step-by-step spending over a rather longer time, approximately 20 years. CPA should start discussions with
candidate private developers as soon as possible to succeed in attractive redevelopment of the existing port.
10 - 4
(2) Actions of Public Sector
DOTC is preparing to submit an application of the Project to NEDA (National Economic Development Agency)
in order to get approval from ICC (Investment Coordination Committee). The steps to the approval are: 1) audit of
the application by ICC-Technical Board, 2) audit the same by ICC-Cabinet Committee, and 3) approval by NEDA
Board, then the Project can proceed. The application will be written by the planning division manager of DOTC.
The planning division of DOTC is quite active on this Project and is prepared to answer any questions that may be
asked by these audit authorities.
CPA is the substantial execution authority of the Project. The authority plans to get finance from a bilateral ODA
loan for new port development, while the ECC (Environmental Compliance Certificate) shall be obtained before
ODA application. CPA is preparing the next annual budget to account for the ECC and required cost for audit
procedures. This study shows that part of the JICA Study from 2002 can be used as is in regard to the environment.
The required time for obtainment of an ECC is estimated at approximately six months (3 months to make the
application report including an additional survey, and 3 months for audit procedures by environmental
authorities).
In addition, CPA is preparing a new internal taskforce also covered by the next fiscal budget to handle Project
execution. The plan of the organization is shown in Figure 10-2-1. The actions of the party will commence
according to the additional survey for the new ECC application.
Figure 10-2-1 Plan of New Internal Taskforce Organization for Project Execution (CPA)
SECRETARY
PROJECT ENGINEER
CLERK
(Source: CPA)
10 - 5
3) Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) and Environment Management Bureau
(EMB)
Receiving the application for the ECC made by CPA, EMB-7 (Cebu branch of EMB) will immediately organize
an EIA Review Committee and commence works in accordance with the Order of DENR 2003-30. During the
process of application audit, assessment by the Land Management Bureau of DENR as well as the Reclamation
Authority will be required.
10 - 6
(3) Legal and Financial Constraints of CPA
1) Legal System
a) CPA
CPA was created by virtue of Republic Act No. 7621 on 26 June 1992, and is under the supervision of the
Department of Transportation and Communications (DOTC) for purposes of policy coordination. Under its
Charter, the CPA shall administer all facilities including wharves, piers, slips, docks, bulkheads, cargo terminals,
warehouses, cold storage, loading and unloading equipment, and passenger terminals and accessories, within the
province and cities of Cebu. CPA also has the power to lease out port property as provided for Section 7 of its
Charter (R.A. 7621).
The governing body of the CPA is the Cebu Port Commission (CPC). It is composed of the Secretary of the
Department of Transportation and Communication (DOTC) or his duly designated Undersecretary, who shall be
the Chairman, and six (6) Commissioners. The Commissioners, who are appointed by the President of the
Philippines, represent the following sectors: ship-owners and shipping operators, cargo-handling labor sector and
business sector.
The General Manager directs and controls the management of the day-to-day business and operations of the CPA
(Section 12, RA 7621). He is assisted by the Deputy General Manager and the different department managers for
Port Management, Finance and Administration, Port Safety, Security & Environment, Engineering Services,
Legal Affairs, and Business Marketing and Development. By the end of the year 2010, the Authority had 149
regular employees and 2 casual employees, totaling 151 employees distributed and assigned to the Baseport and
Subports.
10 - 7
e) CPA Port System
The CPA Port System is a network of ports in the province of Cebu and its component islands. The CPA Port
System is composed of a Baseport (Main Hub), five (5) Subports (Mandaue, Danao, Sta. Fe, Toledo, and Argao)
and thirteen (13) Outports located in the Cebu Province mainland and component islands.
2) Financial Situation
a) Revenue
CPA’s revenues are composed of wharfage, arrastre/stevedoring share, storage charges, berthing charges, harbor
fees, anchorage fees, and miscellaneous income, and nearly two thirds of the total revenues are generated from the
first two items. CPA registered PhP 710 million as revenue in 2010.
b) Operating Expenses
CPA’s operating expenses consist of maintenance and other operating expenses, repairs and maintenance - port
facilities, and personal services. About eighty percent (80%) of the total operating expenses are attributed to the
first two items. CPA registered PhP 419 million as total operating expenses in 2010.
c) Net Income
As a result, CPA registered about PhP 100 ~ 200 million as net income (after tax) during the period between 2005
and 2010 (see Table 10-3-1). CPA has been managing in sound finance.
10 - 8
d) Retained Earnings
CPA pays 50% of the net income (after tax) to the Government as dividends, and after payment the CPA earned
PhP 88 million as retained earnings in 2010. Accumulated retained earning was PhP 613 million at the end of
2010. CPA owes loans from neither commercial banks nor foreign countries.
Retained Earnings
Balance at beginning of year 260,756,459 411,153,526 384,293,686 431,725,510 525,361,582
Net Income 137,101,471 135,823,034 118,253,836 210,075,088 204,479,026
Correction of prior-years' erro 81,846,331 (94,771,355) (11,695,094) (11,401,472) (14,718,162)
Dividends (68,550,736) (67,911,517) (59,126,918) (105,037,544) (102,239,513)
Balance at the end of year 411,153,526 384,293,688 431,725,510 525,361,582 612,882,933
3) Constraints
CPA, which is supposed to be the executing agency of the Project, is competent to do the all the works planned in
this Project. In addition, CPA has been running the business financially stable since the establishment of its
authority. Therefore, it can be concluded that neither legal nor financial constraints exist for CPA to implement
the Project.
10 - 9
(4) Requirement of Additional Detailed Studies
Needs of the Project and timing of implementation depend on the demand forecast. Therefore, it is required to
monitor the difference between the forecast and the actual output, and to continually know the timing of Project
preparations.
In order to make the plan details, a bathymetric survey, a wave and current survey, and soil investigation by
offshore boring should be carried out.
At present, the international terminal of the existing port is operated by OPASCOR under a contract with CPA.
On the event of new port development and shifting the terminal to the new port, studies are required on the matter
of the existing contract as well as the method of introducing new private operators.
In this Study, a plot of Port Related Area (7 ha) is proposed behind the new container terminal. This is for the
future needs of warehouses or empty container yards. An additional study is required on how the yard should be
leased to the private sector, or on how CPA can develop the area and introduce private users.
Currently, the Department of Public Works and Highway (DPWH) plans to extend the North Coastal Road. In this
study, a highway interchange at the connection between the Coastal Road and the port access road is proposed.
For implementation of the new port development, coordination on road planning between CPA/DOTC and
DPWH is required.
10 - 10
1) Cebu Existing Port
a) More Accurate Forecast of the Future Port Congestion based on Site Survey
In this section, port planning is carried out using the factor of berth occupancy ratio to forecast future congestion.
The data covers the period of the three months between June and August 2011. A future study should survey data
over a longer period for a more accurate evaluation.
In addition, the congestion of the port depends not only on berth occupancy but also on the ability and numbers of
cargo equipment, capability of workers, etc. An analysis should be done to incorporate these other factors. To
make these factors clear, a comprehensive one to three month site survey employing record taking staff is
recommended.
Needs of the Project and its timing of implementation depend on the demand forecast. Therefore, it is required to
monitor the difference between the forecast and the actual output, and to continually know the timing of Project
preparations.
If required, the future port plan should be reorganized taking into account: 1) practical site survey and 2)
monitoring forecast.
Regarding commercial development through introducing private investment, a study on a suitable procedure of
tender for investors is needed. It is also important to draw up an actual plan incorporating the ideas and intentions
of the investors.
CPA should coordinate with the relevant authorities, such as supreme government authorities DOTC and local
autonomies such as Cebu city or the provincial government. Coordination with local autonomies is particularly
important, as CPA owned land is limited and the area is closely related to city planning.
10 - 11
Reproduction Prohibited