Outline & Content - TLRB 07082019

Outline of Flood Situationer Report
1. Introduction
1.1 Location and Accessibility
1.2 Description of Tagum Libuganon River Basin
1.2.1 Saug River Sub-basin
1.2.2 Libuganon Sub-basin
2. Climatological Normals of Region 11

2.1 Rainfall
2.2 Temperature
3. Flood Situation
3.1 Historical Flood Occurrence
3.2 Vulnerability
3.2.1 Sensitivity
3.2.2 Adaptive Capacity
3.2.3 Exposure
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Location and Accessibility
Tagum-Libuganon River Basin (TLRB) is located in the Northern part of Davao Region which geographically
lies at a latitude of 7⁰10’ N and longitude 125⁰20’E traversing portion of Regions XIII and meandering
down to Region XI.1
1
River Basin Office, Nov 2016, Formulation of Integrated River Basin Management and Development Master Plan (IRBMDMP)
for Tagum-Libuganon River Basin Final Report, Vol 1
1
Fig. 1. Boundary of TLRB2
It is the 3rd largest river basin in Mindanao and is 9th placed among the 18 major and priority river basins
in the Philippines as per Resolution No. 2012–001 issued by the Cabinet Cluster on Climate Change
Adaptation and Mitigation.3 It originates from the eastern hillside of the Mindanao Central Cordillera and
flows to the central alluvial plain, and then extends to Davao Gulf.4 Its catchment area reaches 3,064 sq
km.5
2
River Basin Office, Nov 2016, Formulation of Integrated River Basin Management and Development Master Plan (IRBMDMP)
for Tagum-Libuganon River Basin Final Report - Main Report, Vol 2
3
RBO, Nov 2016, Formulatiion…, Vol 2
4
Province of Davao del Norte, LCCAP 2017-2022
5 RBO, Nov 2016, Formulatiion…, Vol 1
2
TLRB covers 190 barangays, three cities and 15 municipalities. The provinces embraced by TLRB are Davao
del Norte in Region XI, Compostela Valley Province (ComVal), Agusan del Sur in Region XIII, and portion
of Davao City. For Agusan del Sur, only the municipality of Loreto is situated within the basin. Five
municipalities in ComVal, two component cities and eight municipalities in Davao del Norte and three
barangays in Davao City are within the River Basin… A channel had been established by the DPWH in the
1980s joining the Tuganay River to the Libuganon River thus the inclusion of the municipalities of Carmen
and B.E. Dujali and portions of Panabo City as flood plains and the three barangays of Davao City as one
of the headwaters of TLRB.6
Among the provinces and cities situated within the River Basin, Davao del Norte covers a vast area of TLRB
with about 264,692.58 ha representing 83% of the total area of the river basin, followed by ComVal with
an estimated area of 38,783.49 ha equivalent to 12%, Agusan del Sur particularly municipality of Loreto
covers 11,466.74 or 4%, and Davao City with 5,005.12ha or 2%. Loreto, Agusan del Sur and Davao City,
although with small portions within the River Basin, have significant contribution in maintaining supply of
water to the lowlands as they serve as the headwaters of the river basin.7 Commented [MM1]: I suggest this to be part of 1.2
because this appears to be description of TLRB
1.2.11.2 Description of Tagum Libuganon River Basin
TLRB sprawls over an area of 319,951 hectares… The coastline within the TLRB is approximately 9.77 km
in length.8 The remaining natural forest cover of TLRB is 81,977.23 ha, concentrated in Kapalong and
Talaingod.9 Its total watershed area is 247,500 ha.10
TLRB is typical of most river basins in the country. It is generally low-lying or flat land underlain by soft
sedimentary rocks like siltstone, claystone, shale and sandstone. These are in turn overlain or mantled by
relatively thick loose, unconsolidated sediments of various lithology such as silt, sand, clay and larger
detrital materials such as gravel and cobbles, most of which have been transported and deposited as soil
atop these so-called sedimentary rock formations. It is these soils, classified pedologically as San Manuel,
Babongan, Cabangan, and other soil series types, deposited or residually generated atop the vast flat
lands, that give the edge to the river basin as a large track plantation for export bananas as well as other
staple crops such as rice and corn.11
6 RBO, Nov 2016, Formulatiion…, Vols 1 & 2

7
8
9
10
3
The river basin is characterized by an almost homogenous landform. On the whole, it has a gentle to
moderate terrain with wide valleys as well as wide alluvial plains generally bordered by rolling uplands on
the east and south sides, and by prominent mountains on the west.12
TLRB has a complex river network as exhibited by its numerous creeks, streams and rivers. These surface
waters flow down to the central alluvial plain before emptying into Davao Gulf. The major rivers traversing
the basin include Libuganon River, Saug River, and Tuganay River.
Table 1. Sub-basins of TLRB13
Tagum-Libuganon River is the longest river with a distance of 175.03 km and flows from Loreto, Agusan
del Sur to Tagum City, Davao del Norte. Saug River and Tagum-Libuganon River meet at a junction in
Barangay Pagsangan, Tagum City, Davao del Norte… These rivers converge at Tagum River that drains the
water of the entire riverbasin into the Davao Gulf.14 Commented [MM2]: Can we transfer to 1.2.1
Under normal rainfall conditions, the discharge in TLRB (using the antecedent moisture condition runoff
estimation) has a range of 24m3/s to 602m3/s.15
The river basin is endowed with abundant water resources, including several water sources currently
utilized. These are surface water springs and groundwater wells.16
In terms of the hydrologic behavior of the river basin, the average and peak runoff of each sub-basin is
indicated in the table below:
Table 3. Surface Runoff Volume per Sub-basin17 Commented [MM3]:

Commented [MM4R3]: Not Table 2?
13
14
15
16
4
1.2.1 Saug River Sub-basin
The Saug Sub-basin is located in the eastern part of TLRB with an estimated area of 99,065 ha or 31% of
the total area of the river basin.18
This river in Asuncion is a major basin and is basic resource of Dabaonons or the peoples of Davao del
Norte.19 The Saug river supports the existing irrigation in the municipality of Camansa in Asuncion.20
The Saug Sub-basin is being challenged by climate change which caused disasters in Davao del Norte
province, particularly flooding.21 In Saug riverbanks, it’s been reported that excessive erosion had been
recurring endangering houses and even national highways.22
1.2.2 Libuganon River Sub-basin
The Libuganon Sub-basin is a result of combining the basins formed by the Tagum and Libuganon Rivers.
The Libuganon sub-basin is situated between Saug and Tuganay sub-basins, encompassing the
northernmost and southernmost part of the TLRB. Its total area is estimated at 147,131 ha or 46% of the
total river basin area.
This river in Kapalong, like the Saug River, is a major basin that is a resource of the people and likewise
challenged by climate change causing flood disasters.23
2. CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS OF REGION 11
2.1. Rainfall
The Tagum-Libuganon River Basin with an original catchment area of about 2,350.50 km² falls under Type
IV of the Philippine Corona’s Climate Classification System Rainfall Distribution, i.e. rainfall is more or less
distributed throughout the year.24 A general classification of Type IV means that the TLRB would normally
experience moderate effects of the northeast monsoon and trade winds, as well as the effects of the
southwest monsoon and cyclonic storms… The basin annual rainfall varies between 1,300 mm in the
18
Province of Davao del Norte, Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Plan of Davao del Norte (2017-2022)
19
20
Municipality of Asuncion, Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) 2019 – 2027
21
22
Local Government Unit of Asuncion, Municipal Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Plan for 2016-2020
23
5
eastern portion, and 3,000 mm in the western mountainous areas… Average number of days with rain
every month is 15 days.25
Historical data on mean seasonal precipitation indicates that from 1901-2015, Davao del Norte
experienced most rainfall during months of September, October and November with a 201 mm rainfall,
followed by months of June, July and August with a 195 mm average rainfall.26
Based on a study by PAGASA,27 there will be an increase of 1°C (from a 2011 baseline) by 2020, and 2.2°C
by 2050. With these projections, the resulting effect of climate change in TLRB is decrease in rainfall… Commented [MM5]: This is under temperature. It is good
There is expected decrease in surface water as a result of decreased rainfall… The upper range of decrease to discuss here the changes in rainfall in 2020 and 2050.
How many percent from the baseline.
in runoff to rivers may be expected during drier months, where rainfall is limited between March and
June. This is based on hydrological assumptions that rainfall is uniformly decreased.28
2.2 Temperature
The average temperature in the river basin is approximately 25°C to 26°C… Average monthly humidity
is decreasing as the temperature increases. These changes are noticeable during the months of March to
June… Sunshine percentage or land exposure to sun has an average of 52%.29 In Davao del Norte province,
historical data on mean temperature indicates that from 1901-2015, the province temperature was at its
peak in the months of March, April and May at 26.83⁰C; while the months of June, July, August and
September, October, November with most rainfall are the months with cooler temperature at 25.96⁰C.
December, January and February are the coolest of temperature.
3. FLOOD SITUATION
3.1 Historical Flood Occurrence
Floods (river flooding, dike overflows, sheet flooding and urban flooding) and flashflood incidence in the
past have become a challenge to the resiliency of the Dabaonons.30
In December 2012, Davao del Norte experienced the onslaught of typhoon Pablo which brought damages
on infrastructure and agriculture. It caused massive destruction in the province and its neighboring
provinces of Compostela Valley and Davao Oriental. A 25 mm per hour rainfall was recorded in the
Automatic Weather Systems installed at the PDRRMC Operations Center in the Provincial Capitol at the
height of the typhoon. The recorded rainfall intensity was more than enough to submerge most areas of

26
27
Based on PAGASA, Feb. 2011, “Climate Change in the Philippines,” cited in RBO, Nov 2016, Formulatiion…, Vol 1.
28
29
30 Province of Davao del Norte, Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Plan of Davao del Norte (2017-2022)
6
Davao del Norte, particularly the flood-prone areas and areas lying along the major river courses of
Libuganon, Saug, Tuganay and Hijo rivers.31
Prior to Typhoon Pablo, Davao del Norte was usually declared as typhoon-free. However, being one of the
areas hit by Typhoon Pablo and followed by other weather disturbances, a typhoon-free province is no
longer valid.32
In January 2014, at least 3,000 people in the provinces of Davao del Norte and Compostella Valley were
forced to leave their homes following nonstop rains brought by LPA or low pressure area affecting
Southern Mindanao. Records from PDRRMC Davao del Norte revealed that 50 families living along the
Libuganon River in Kapalong were rescued and some adjacent residents living close to the riverbanks were
forcibly evacuated as waters in said river continuously rose resulting to unfortunate swelling of major
rivers. In March 2014, another LPA hit TLRB wherein 158 families were forced to abandon their properties
as torrential rains resulted to rising floodwaters, particulary in Pagsabangan River. Classes in the
elementary school of Barangay Buclad, Asuncion, Davao del Norte were suspended.33
From 2008-2016, majority of landslides occurred in the municipality of Talaingod.34 An earthquake-

induced landslide had been reported in Mambing, New Corella destroying thirty-three (33) houses.35 Commented [MM6]: Is this relevant?
Recorded overflow of Libuganon River occurred in February 2012 affecting 2,375 families in the
municipality of Asuncion. This municipality has experienced flooding, landslide and tornado/strong winds
for the past 5 years; however, flooding is the most frequent.36
Flood-related historical occurrence for the past 8 years (2011-2019) in the whole province of Davao del
Norte can be gleaned from the table below:
31
32
34
35
36 Municipality of Asuncion, Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) 2019 – 2027
7
DD/ HAZARD HAZARD AFFECTED LGUs AFFECTED
YEAR EVENTS & BRGYs
OTHER EFFECTS
DESCRIPT
ION
AFFECTED AFFECT
INDIVIDUA ED DAMAGES TO AGRICULTURAL
LS FAMILIE INFRASTRUCTURE, FAMILIES,
S FORESTRY, POLITICAL,
SOCIAL, COASTAL/MARINE
HABITATS
47,960 Agriculture worth
Asuncion, Sto.
P302,633,620.55; Livestock
Tomas, Carmen,
and Poultry worth
January Tail–end of a Kapalong,
Flooding P5,463,520.00; and
26, 2019 Cold Front Braulio E. Dujali,
Infrastructure worth
New Corella,
P18,787,000.00
Tagum City
Asuncion 61,305 12,261
Kapalong 6,245 1,249 Agriculture – 730,621.65
January New Corella 350 70 Infrastructure – 22,594,310
Trough of Low
11-13, Flooding Carmen 530 106
Pressure Area
2019 Tagum City 425 85
Talaingod 108 27
Kapalong 27,904 8,039
Asuncion 77,130 15,426
New Corella 15,370 3,080
December Tropical Storm Agriculture and Livelihood –
Flooding B.E. Dujali 21,275 4,255
21, 2017 Vinta P194,696,910.23
Carmen 84,125 16,825
Tagum City 25,040 6,260
San Isidro 1,180 236
Sto. Tomas 69,010 12,061
Kapalong
Asuncion Agriculture- P8, 411, 024.00
January New Corella,
Tail-end of Fisheries - P4, 414, 666
18, 2017 Flooding 21, 245
Cold Front B.E. Dujali, Livestock- P10, 822, 372.00
Tagum City, Infrastructure P285, 672, 500.00
Carmen;
18 Onyok Tropical
December Depression
22 Landslide Continuous Talaingod Lower and 1,025 205 Totally damaged – 3 houses
September heavy Upper
2015 rains Mesolong ,
secondary Sto. Niño
localized
thunderstor
ms for 3
hours
7 January Tropical Storm Tail-end of Asuncion 13 22,275 4,455 Wooden bridge totally damaged
2015 Seniang Cold Front by flood
New Corella 10 425 85 Rice – 915,146.41
Tagum City 1 105 32

Jan. 9-25, LPA/ TD Agaton Asuncion 17 22,960 4,592 Agriculture : P 144, 697, 434.00
2014 Typhoon Torrential New Corella 8 3,220 644
Rains
River Kapalong 14 4,940 1,320
Flooding Infrastructure: P 39, 503, 520.00
Landslide Tagum City 6 1,987 614
Carmen 10 1,040 208
B.E.Dujali 4 5,415 1083
Sto.Tomas 4 4,175 873
TOTAL 7 LGUs 63 43,737 9,334
8
YEAR EVENTS & BRGYs
OTHER EFFECTS
DESCRIPT
ION
AFFECTED AFFECT
HABITATS
Feb. 19-
Typhoon
21, 2014 CRISING Kapalong 13 29, 796 9125
(Torrential
Rains) Asuncion 20 55,075 11, 508 Agriculture : P 128, 065,014.25
River
Flooding Carmen 8 21, 045 4, 209
B.E.Dujali 4 12, 200 2,440 Infrastructure: P 14, 470,000.00
Sto.Tomas 3 7,400 1,480
TOTAL 5 LGUs 48 62,475 13,045
Landslide New Corella 1 780 156
Tagum City 7 18650 3730
TOTAL 2 LGUs 8 19,430.00 3,886.00
Torrential
April 17, Localized Rains Tagum City 10 324 69
with
2014 Thunderstorm gustiness evacuated No damage reported
Urban
Flooding individuals
Heavy
June 20, Localized Rains Tagum City 1 4 1 1 - Totally damaged residential
2014 Thunderstorm Landslide crops: 15 coco trees, 8 durians,
1 joey oak, 1 jack fruit, blocked
roadway
Strong
June 24, Localized Winds B.E. Dujali 1 54 12 Damaged Houses: P 195, 000.00
2014 freak Total : 5
Tornado Partial: 8
July 1, Localized Dike failure Carmen 3 1,155 231 Agriculture: 93 has.

2014 Thunderstorm Flooding
January Tail-end of Torrential Kapalong 14 43,886.00 12613 Agriculture : P 400, 241, 718.06
Rains
18-23, Cold Front River Carmen 15 81,500.00 16300
Flooding
2013 B.E. Dujali 5 22,275.00 4,455
Sto. Tomas 10 24,491.00 5163
Asuncion 13 31,130.00 6226 Infrastructure: P 85, 760, 000.00
New Corella 12 26,675.00 5335
Tagum City 11 37,230.00 7446
TOTAL 7 LGUs 80 267,187.00 57,538
February Torrential Talaingod 2 4,440.00 888 Agriculture : P 115, 489,129.50
Localized Rains
20, 2013 Thunderstorm Flashflood Kapalong 14 7,490.00 10,819 Infrastructure: P 3,090,000
TOTAL 2 LGU's 16 11,930.00 11,707
May 30, Localized Strong Asuncion 3 42 10 Damaged Houses: P135, 000
Winds
2013 freak Total: 11
Tornado Partial: 8
June 16- Low Pressure Heavy B. E. Dujali 1 835 167 Agriculture : P 2,861, 232.00
19, Rains
2013 Area ( Damaged Infrastructure: P 5, 100,000.00
Dike)
Flood
November Typhoon Zoraida New Corella 7 650 130 Agriculture : P 22, 145, 325.00
9
YEAR EVENTS & BRGYs
OTHER EFFECTS
DESCRIPT
ION
AFFECTED AFFECT
HABITATS
11-15, (Torrential Sto. Tomas 10 17,700 3,540
Rains)
2013 Asuncion 8 7,500 1,500 Infrastructure: P 4, 022, 591.00
River B.E. Dujali 5 9,860 1,972
Flooding
Carmen 2 285 57
Kapalong 3 170 34
IGACOS 1 200 40
Tagum City 5 1,510 302
TOTAL 8 LGUs 41 37,875.00 7,575.00
January Tail-End of Torrential Kapalong 4 1,580.00 389.00 Agriculture : P 88, 235, 734.00
Rains
11-17 Cold Front River Tagum City 4 16,255.00 3,251.00 Infrastructure: P 980, 000.00
Flooding
2012 and B.E. Dujali 2 115.00 21.00
Northeast Carmen 5 7,680.00 1,356.00
Monzoon
New Corella 5 1,020.00 205.00
Sto. Tomas 3 635.00 127.00
TOTAL 6 LGUs 23 27,285.00 5,349.00
November ITCZ Torrential Kapalong 11 7,690.00 2,190.00 Agriculture : P 57,525,653.25
Rains
23-26, River Asuncion 15 10,145.00 2,021.00 Infrastructure: P 681,528.00
Flooding
2012 Sto. Tomas 1 125.00 25.00
Tagum City 4 431.00 128.00
Carmen 2 2,393.00 747.00
TOTAL 5 LGUs 33 20,784.00 5,111.00
December Super PABLO Kapalong 14 56,433.00 5,992.00 Agriculture : 2,810,058,132.00

4, 2012 Typhoon (Torrential Asuncion 20 25,300.00 5,060.00 Infrastructure: P 768,269,282.00
Rains
and New Corella 18 21,300.00 4,260.00 Houses: Total : 764
Strong
Winds)
Sto. Tomas 5 10,685.00 2,137.00 Partial: 5, 792
River B.E. Dujali 4 32,180.00 6,436.00 Value : P 84,369,620.00
Flooding
Landslide Tagum City 5 2,595.00 519.00
Carmen 17 16,760.00 3,352.00 Public Schools:
Panabo 4 225.00 45.00 Total: 9 Elem Buildings
IGACOS 4 1,559.00 311.00 2 Day Care Buildings
San Isidro 12 29,960.00 5,992.00 Value : P 8,640,000.00
Talaingod 3 12,665.00 2,533.00
TOTAL 11 LGU's 106 209,662.00 36,637.00
December ITZC Torrential Kapalong 12 9,935.00 1,987.00 Agriculture : P 115,594,477.00
26-29, Rains Asuncion 16 20,530.00 4,106.00 Infrastructure: P 8,956,250.00
2011 New Corella 14 9,835.00 1,967.00
River Sto. Tomas 3 5,085.00 1,017.00
Flooding
B.E. Dujali 3 2,495.00 499.00
Tagum City 9 15,455.00 3,091.00
Carmen 6 10,110.00 2,022.00
TOTAL 7 LGU's 63 73,445.00 14,689.00
10
Table 2. Davao del Norte Disaster Occurrence Historical Data 2011-201937 Commented [MM7]: Not Table 3?
3.2 Vulnerability
Underlying factors causing floods in the Davao del Norte province include overflows of the
river/waterways systems, failures of dike, heavy rains, rapid scouring of river banks, realignment of the
river system, meandering river system, and heavily silted rivers and waterways because of surface run-
offs which decrease carrying capacity… Based on the result of the river tracking conducted in the major
rivers of the province (2013), river re-alignments have been observed in the various sections of the river
systems38 (see Figure 2).
37
Source: PDRRMD
38 Province of Davao del Norte, LCCAP 2017-2022
11
Fig. 3. Realignment of Libuganon River (2013)
12
Fig. 4. Realignment of Saug River (2014)39
39 Municipality of Asuncion, Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) 2019 – 2027
13
Degraded environment/denuded upland areas and rapid urbanization also contribute to the flooding
problem of the area. Improper solid waste management resulted to clogging of drainage. Agricultural
wastes also hamper the river system and its infrastructure.40
The summarized level of vulnerability of flooding in the municipalities of Davao del Norte is shown below:
Table 3. Level of Vulnerability of Flooding (Sensitivity, Exposure and Adaptive Capacity)41
A vulnerability assessment relative to flooding, landslides and earthquake hazards was also conducted by
the Mines and GeoSciences Bureau (MGB). In its assessment, critical areas identified by the MGB are Sitio
Mesolong of the municipality of Talaingod, Brgy. Mambing of the municipality of New Corella, and Brgy.
Sawata of the municipality of San Isidro.42
Other details pertaining to sensitivity, adaptive capacity or adaptation options, and exposure are
elaborated below:
3.2.1 Sensitivity Commented [MM8]: Onlt sensitivity to flooding. I suggest

to delete the earthquake sensitivity and other hazards.
In Davao del Norte province, the closing of calendar year 2016 displayed that even overnight heavy
rainfalls could cause flooding covering almost all municipalities and cities.
40
41
Source: PPDO, cited in Province of Davao del Norte LCCAP 2017-2022
14
About 360 square kilometers or 11.20 percent of the total provincial lands are prone to flooding. Specific
flood susceptibility indexes have been identified:
 areas with very high susceptibility to flooding = 9,605.48 ha

 areas with high susceptibility to flooding = 30,227.65 ha
 areas with moderate susceptibility to flooding = 19,324.95 ha, and
 areas with low susceptibility to flooding = 21,531.45 ha43
The municipalities covered by each index are cited in the table below:
Table 4. Areas Susceptible to Flooding, Davao del Norte (in hectares)44
43 Province of Davao del Norte, LCCAP 2017-2022

44
Area generated through GIS from the MGB Map, cited in Province of Davao del Norte Disaster Risk Reduction and
Management Plan of Davao del Norte (2017-2022)
15
Fig. 5. Flood Hazard Map
[a better, original version of the map can be retrieved from the MGB, as this is a pasted version used by the DRRMP document of
the Province]
Flood events usually occur in the first and last quarters of the year.45 The lowland areas of the
municipalities of Carmen, B.E. Dujali, Asuncion, New Corella, Kapalong and the City of Tagum form the
greater plain area and the central part of the province. They are ones mostly affected by flood
occurrences.46
The extent of flood is about 33,134 ha or 10.35% of the river basin.47
With regard vulnerability of forestry sector to flooding, the municipality of Talaingod has high vulnerability
considering that some of the head of the major rivers are within the municipality. Majority of the areas in
Davao del Norte classified as forestland have either grass or shrubs in it; forest areas are considered
secondary growth.48
Moreover, impact of flooding could further cause liquefaction and landslides.49
45
46
47
48
16
About 15% of the TLRB are mountainous, most of which are within the sub-basins of Tuganay and Tagum-
Libuganon. Vulnerable areas to landslides are often found in mountainous slopes. Libuganon sub-basin,
in contrast to Saug and Tuganay sub-basins, have mostly steep (26% of the total land area) and very steep
(27%) slopes.50
Varying susceptibilities of rain-induced landslides affect 262,402 hectares of the province of Davao del
Norte.51
The municipality of Kapalong is identified to be the widest area highly susceptible to landslide at 564.349
sq. km., followed by Talaingod with 349.149 sq. km (see Table 5).52
Table 5. Rain-induced landslide by City/Municipality Susceptibility Level, Davao del Norte
Additional information on sensitivity shows that TLRB is believed to be a seismically active zone due to
the proximity, if not the presence itself, of the Philippine Fault or some of its branches/splays within the
area. This presence is one of the deterrents to the construction of high reservoir dams across some of the
rivers within, as it is thought that the risk of flooding due to dam rupture should a high-magnitude occur,
is too great to ignore.53 The Saug Fault is a synthetic extensional fault near Brgy. Buan and is considered
50
51
52
17
to be part of the Philippine Fault Zone… There is another fault, the so-called Mindanao Fault, which
coincides to the southeast flow of Libuganon River, but which is believed to be less active.54
The likelihood of occurrence of hazards was measured in Asuncion which is surrounded by both Saug and
Libuganon rivers. In the municipality where flooding has been a perennial problem because of its location,
flood and landslide are estimated to have a return period of every 1-3 years.55 Commented [MM9]: I suggest not to include if will not
relate to flooding
3.2.2 Adaptive Capacity
Adaptation and mitigation options to flooding caused by increased precipitation had been initiated, as
follows:
 river bank protection
 development of guidelines on the redesigning, retrofitting or operational modification of
infrastructure facilities and utilities
 improvement of roads, drainage and canals within the flood-prone barangays
 improvement of bridges and cross drainage
 desiltation, rechanneling and clearing of waterway
 revetment of dike along major river banks
 comprehensive river bank assessment56
Initial undertakings for river bank protection has been made through planting of vetiver grasses, malibago
trees and other tree species… Early warning systems are already in place. Automatic Weather Station
(AWS), Automatic Rain Gauge (ARG) and Water Level Monitoring System (WLMS), Landslide Monitoring
and Early Warning instruments are installed in strategic areas. The establishment of PAG-ASA of the
Tagum-Libuganon Flood Forecasting and Warning Center within the Provincial Government Center will
contribute to a more precise early warning system for the province… Incident Command System (ICS) and
Damage Assessment and Needs Analysis (DANA) Team are in place, as well as a Protocol for Disaster
Management… Acquisition of equipment like floating backhoe and river tracking data have contributed
tangible impact.57
Specific to the residents of Asuncion, the municipality where the Saug Sub-basin is located, certain
adaptive capacities have been identified, to name a few:
 families living within disaster-prone areas are willing to be relocated provided that
government will provide residential lots for relocation
 the municipal government has an on-going project to purchase lots for purpose of
relocation
 annually the municipal government allocates budget to improve and build after disasters
happen to commercial stalls/parks/public cemetery

55
Municipality of Asuncion, Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) 2019 – 2027
56
18
 there is an existing municipal zoning ordinance to properly and effectively implement
zoning regulations
 80% of farming families have access to early warning systems (EWS)
 60% of the farmers have access to Philippine Crop Insurance of which the local government
takes the initiative to mandate barangays to avail; LGU also subsidizes allocation for crop
insurance with the help of the provincial government for paying premiums58
3.2.3 Exposure
There are instances that flood occurs more frequently in TLRB, more so if the situation is aggravated by
the presence of LPA or due to continuous heavy rains.59 Erosion or downward movement of soil during
rainfall events contributes to the gradual and continuous siltation of rivers and lakes within the basin.60
The core problem in TLRB of perennial flooding had been experienced almost every year.61 Flooding were
brought about by poor flood control and drainage facilities and compounded by too high flood discharges.
These flooding were found out, as mentioned, due to insufficient draining capacity of the waterways.
Further, the decreased carrying capacity of these waterways, either natural or man-made, is caused by
watershed degradation i.e erosion and the natural phenomenon of land and riverbank slides which
contribute further to sedimentation of waterways or rivers.62 To be specific, soil erosion from upland areas
brought about by forest denudation as well as irregular desiltation and maintenance have brought about
the siltation in rivers, creeks and waterways. These effect change in the rivers’ physical profile (shallowing)
as well as flooding/backflow which then has implication on soil destabilization… Denudation and
biodiversity loss happen in the form of illegal cutting of trees which lacks monitoring… Timber poaching
and kaingin cause soil erosion and siltation in water bodies that lead to flooding in low lying areas.63
Couple those with unregulated land use conversion, conflicting tenurial instruments (forestland being
titled), and maximizing the use of land (i.e. unabated clearing of vegetation on riverbanks), erosion of
riverbanks have been causing the river to meander.64 Approximately 147,477.50 hectares in Davao del
Norte are susceptible to severe erosion.65
58
Local Government of Asuncion, “Adaptive capacity per hazard per element” (attachment to MDRRMP 2016-2020)
59
61
62
63
64
65 Source: PPDO, cited in Province of Davao del Norte LCCAP 2017-2022
19
Massive earth moving activities such as housing and settlement developments - encroachment of housing
and other building constructions into waterways - contribute to siltation of rivers and lakes leading to
flooding.66 Illegal extraction of mineral resources also changed watercourse.67
Particulaly, the dike constructed along Libuganon river is low,68 and hadn’t helped to deter flooding in the
area.
There are 181,971 persons (or 20 percent of the total population) in Davao del Norte highly exposed to
flooding. In terms of the most exposed populations, Tagum City with 80,666 population is ranked first
among the local government units. But in terms of the percentage of population exposed to hazard, the
municipality of Carmen has the highest percentage with 46 percent. B.E Dujali ranks second with 35
percent (see Table 6 below).69
Table 6. Population exposed to flood, by city/municipality Davao del Norte
With regard agriculture exposure, Table 7 shows that the municipality of Carmen being a low lying area
has the highest susceptibility to flood with 46% exposure percentage (or around 6,908.99 hectares of its
66
67
68
20
agricultural area). Tagum City and New Corella have almost 50% of their agricultural areas exposed to
flood. Overall, there are 30,687.79 hectares of agricultural area (or roughly 20%) highly at risk to flood.70
Table 7. Agricultural areas exposed to flood by city/municipality Davao del Norte71
- nothing follows
amje
70
Source: PPDO, cited in Province of Davao del Norte LCCAP 2017-2022
21
060919
22

Outline & Content - TLRB 07082019

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Outline of Flood Situationer Report

2. Climatological Normals of Region 11

1.1. Location and Accessibility

6 RBO, Nov 2016, Formulatiion…, Vols 1 & 2

Table 1. Sub-basins of TLRB13

Table 3. Surface Runoff Volume per Sub-basin17 Commented [MM3]:

1.2.2 Libuganon River Sub-basin

2. CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS OF REGION 11

3.1 Historical Flood Occurrence

25 RBO, Nov 2016, Formulatiion…, Vol 2

From 2008-2016, majority of landslides occurred in the municipality of Talaingod.34 An earthquake-

New Corella 10 425 85 Rice – 915,146.41

Tagum City 1 105 32

July 1, Localized Dike failure Carmen 3 1,155 231 Agriculture: 93 has.

December Super PABLO Kapalong 14 56,433.00 5,992.00 Agriculture : 2,810,058,132.00

39 Municipality of Asuncion, Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) 2019 – 2027

Table 3. Level of Vulnerability of Flooding (Sensitivity, Exposure and Adaptive Capacity)41

3.2.1 Sensitivity Commented [MM8]: Onlt sensitivity to flooding. I suggest

 areas with very high susceptibility to flooding = 9,605.48 ha

Table 4. Areas Susceptible to Flooding, Davao del Norte (in hectares)44

43 Province of Davao del Norte, LCCAP 2017-2022

The extent of flood is about 33,134 ha or 10.35% of the river basin.47

Moreover, impact of flooding could further cause liquefaction and landslides.49

Table 5. Rain-induced landslide by City/Municipality Susceptibility Level, Davao del Norte

54 RBO, Nov 2016, Formulatiion…, Vol 2

Table 6. Population exposed to flood, by city/municipality Davao del Norte

Table 7. Agricultural areas exposed to flood by city/municipality Davao del Norte71

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