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Ronald William Eastburn, Alex Sharland, (2017) "Risk management and managerial mindset", The
Journal of Risk Finance, Vol. 18 Issue: 1, pp.21-47, https://doi.org/10.1108/JRF-09-2016-0114
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Abstract
Purpose – This paper aims to determine why so many banks do not recognize in a timely manner the
inherent risks and imbalances with their risk/reward decision trade-offs, to elevate the risk conversation by
embracing a more strategic and adaptive behavioral perspective and to show how an effective risk
management organizational mindset is a definite solution for mitigating risk.
Design/methodology/approach – A direct-mail questionnaire survey was designed with the unit of
analysis US community bank (under US$1.5bn in assets) and its risk performance. We used quantitative
methods using previously tested scales for main constructs and FDIC bank data for performance measures. To
gauge the models capacity for determining discriminatory value, results were also measured against relative
peer financial performance.
Findings – The findings established that an effective risk management process that assimilates risk
tolerance, risk propensity and risk practices into a managerial mindset offers a sound solution for mitigating
risk. By envisioning risk as a “conceptual model of thinking” and interpreting it as a “predictable business
process”, and by offering specific “decision enablers” that complement the corporate mindset, it creates a
safety net against unsafe risk practices. As a result, it allows for an appreciation that current financial
performance is a direct measure of management’s risk decision capabilities.
Research limitations/implications – The sample size (n ⫽ 151), although adequate for our purpose
was relatively small, was restricted to US community banks (less than US$1.5bn in assets) and
single-informants (CEOs), thereby providing a somewhat narrow focus. Also, the survey was conducted
during a slow economic period, and results may be different during a growth period. We see ripe opportunity
for further research, especially related to money-center and regional banks and the next level of management
as well as the behavioral influences that frame the risk/reward opportunity. Research on other industries,
small businesses, etc., would be valuable because risk permeates all decisioning.
Practical implications – From a practitioner perspective, providing guidance on risk oversight allows
for improved financial performance. The findings should be of interest to financial industry leaders, policy
makers and regulators as understanding how an active orientation of risk tolerance, risk propensity and risk
practices are coordinated across the organization is vital. Also, managers need to understand how
characteristics of risk management manifest itself within their organization in terms of productivity and
financial performance.
Originality/value – This paper is the first comprehensive empirical study that incorporates a conceptual
approach that uses outcome history, behavioral influences and operational dimensions to identify risk
management capabilities in community banks designed to increase risk/reward awareness.
Keywords Risk governance, Decision framing, Banking, Behavioral risk, Managerial mindset
Paper type Research paper
22 that can be played by enhanced risk governance mechanisms (Aebi et al., 2012; Diamond and
Rajan, 2009). Furthermore, there continues to be an ongoing debate about whether
appropriate regulations are in place to monitor bank risk taking (Gaul and Pavlia, 2013), and
more importantly, it has prompted a call for all banks to be “better be prepared to face the
next crisis” (Aebi et al., 2012, p. 3225) and has reinforced the domain of risk governance and
risk management as being fundamental and vital components for banking success.
Under this daunting setting and given the vital role risk plays in defining financial
performance, there exists a need to identify the shortcomings within a bank’s risk operating
framework. The underlying premise of this research is that banks do not consciously set
about to hamper their success by suffering from the negative consequences of their decisions,
in other words, “no one takes a risk in the expectation that it will fail” (Bernstein, 1998, p. 12).
Therefore, dimensioning risks in terms of a bank’s mindset requires management to be
mindful of any potential vulnerabilities and to be cognizant of the potential for misjudging
those intrinsic risks within their decisioning. This responsibility is highly dependent on
management’s understanding of their risk-taking motivations and appreciation for
uncertainty that is visible in their institutional framework adopted for managing risk.
Bowman (1980) raised the need for developing theory about risk within the strategic
management discipline and pushed risk beyond performance analytics to the intuitive
capabilities of management to raise risk-taking as a distinct decision process in
organizations. McNamara and Bromiley (1999) argued for a more careful understanding of
managerial definitions of risk and return and for greater understanding of risky decisions at
an organizational and market setting. Palmer and Wiseman (1999) added to the discussion
and showed that both managerial and organizational factors promote risk taking, with the
impact on risk primarily channeled through managerial choices. Fahlenbrach et al. (2012)
showed how financial risk-taking is shaped by a “risk-culture” and that this culture is
present in all managerial decisions. Yet, our knowledge remains rather limited, especially
when it comes to understanding management’s resolve for taking greater (or lesser) risks in
optimizing performance. The purpose of this study therefore was to gain insight into this risk
mitigation mindset to advance a more strategic and adaptive behavioral perspective toward
optimizing risk/reward opportunities, as well as contribute to the continuing debate on risk.
Community banking institutions (those commercial banks under US$1.5bn in assets)
were chosen for this analysis because they are charged (by regulation and the market) with
ensuring safety and soundness of their institution. On an individual bank basis, failure to
perform reliably can obviously have serious implications, even bankruptcy, but when
unreliability occurs on a macro-scale, we see the potential for catastrophic consequences, as
was made evident by the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009. The underlying intent of this study
therefore was to determine why many banks do not recognize in a timely manner the inherent
risks that result in unfavorable outcomes.
The research report that follows is organized into four sections. First, a literature review
pertinent to the theoretical aspects of risk is provided. Next, an interpretative quantitative
study of 151 US community banking executives’ evaluation of their bank’s risk operating
mindset and risk control process is covered. Third, the findings are discussed, conclusions
are drawn and guidance provided to reduce unwarranted risk occurrences. Finally, research Risk
limitations and suggestions for future research opportunities are provided. management
and managerial
2. Theoretical support for the model mindset
2.1 Business risk pervasiveness
Dimensioning risks in terms of potential losses requires firms to be mindful of any potential
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24 through self-imposed constraints, for there is an opportunity for failure existing within every
endeavor. If these constraints are not adequately controlled the organizing principle converts
to excessive risk taking, which is a key factor that leads to bank failure (Sharma et al., 2010,
p. 105).
and risk taking (personality biases), we reveal the distinctive shaping of bank risk
formulation. A brief explanation of the criteria is discussed below. 25
2.5.1 Regulatory criteria. The US Government’s role in protecting the financial system
and safety of depositor funds has paved the way for the establishment of a regulatory
safety-net which includes managerial oversight and indirect restraints on bank risk taking
activity. They impose capital restrictions (e.g. Tier1 risk-based requirements) on banks to
offset the “moral-hazard” problem. When bank capital levels are low, it can lead these banks
to increase asset risk (the opposite of prudent bank practices), as they have little to lose and
significant upside gains (especially to shareholders). Similarly, with deposit insurance
backing, it can drive banks to shift into high-risk assets or just raise their loan assets relative
to deposit funding, and as such they have transferred their liability risk onto the government.
To avoid abuses of this government protection, the cost to banks for access to this safety net
is supposed to remove the incentive to bear greater risk.
2.5.2 Relative performance criteria. Banks, by default and perhaps by moral suasion,
mimic strategies used by other banks. In doing so, they become recognized as more reliable
than a bank that deviates from this behavioral norm (Deephouse, 1996). As a consequence, if
a bank’s relative financial performance is weaker than peers, it would likely promote asset
reallocation toward higher risk instruments. In contrast, if a bank’s relative performance is
stronger than peers, it would possibly promote asset reallocation toward lower risk.
2.5.3 Relative asset size. The size of the institution is likely to have an influence, as it is the
basis of risk/reward status. It was included because larger firms should benefit from
economies of scale and scope (Cockburn and Henderson, 1994) and the ability to invest more
in exploratory activities (Cyert and March, 1963). Despite this benefit, it could be argued that
they are less nimble and less likely to undertake change (Aldrich, 1979) due to established
routines and hierarchical structures, and therefore be more subject to inertia effects
(Hambrick and Finkelstein, 1987). However, on the whole, we contend that firm size adds to
the framing on risky decisions, providing larger firms with the ability to promote asset
reallocation toward higher risk, as they have scale to better cover losses.
26 the future (Scheier et al., 1994). However, overconfidence can be a distinct inhibitor when
making decisions. For example, banker overconfidence steered the bureaucratic mechanical
risk management models during the recent financial crisis (Honohan, 2008). It has also been
shown to cause knowledge over-estimation (Fischhoff et al., 1977) and an inability to predict
outcomes resulting from difficulty in imagining how events can unfold (Tversky and
Kahneman, 1973). Ben-David et al. (2007) showed that high levels of optimism about the
future was correlated with strong prior performance which in turn produced a complacency
effect, thereby hampering future decision choices. Accordingly, when decision situations
rely upon “optimistic overconfidence” (Kahneman and Tversky, 1995), there is a tendency to
underestimate the inherent risk and actually enact more risk taking (Sitkin and Pablo, 1992).
2.6.2 Mindfulness. Mindful managers operate within a state of alertness, and an implicit
awareness of multiple perspectives (Langer, 1989a, 1989b). Being actively engaged in
seeking greater awareness of the present (Kashdan et al., 2009) and noticing differences,
nuances, discrepancies and outliers that would otherwise pass unnoticed (Weick and
Sutcliffe, 2006) is critical for future decision outcomes. It follows, that more mindful
managers should make decisions with fewer unexpected outcomes. However, being overly
concerned with insufficient knowledge to make a decision can get in the way of making
decisions.
2.6.3 Curiosity. Curious individuals have a drive for knowledge and new experiences
(Kashdan et al., 2009; Shaw et al., 2003). To this end, curiosity is captured as a sensitivity to
information gaps (Berlyne, 1954; Loewenstein, 1994) and a call for explanation adequacy
(Berlyne, 1954) of discrete questions triggered by “uncertainty” (Colquitt and Chertkoff,
2002). As such, curious individuals “engage in comprehensive and analytic scrutiny of the
arguments in an explanation” (Shaw and James, 2006, p. 30) and surfaces when gaps in
competence and knowledge exist (Kashdan et al., 2009). While it raises the decision makers’
predictive capabilities to a new level of outcome understanding, it also has the potential to
raise the level of confidence in the outcome expectations. This can surface as
“over-confidence” because of an intolerance for uncertainty (Simon et al., 2003).
2.6.4 Operationalized synergy between the motivational enablers. “The way management
frames their risk decision is partly by formulation of norms and culture and partly by
personal characteristics” (Tversky and Kahneman, 1981, p. 453). As a result, the combined
effect of stretching these personality traits can bias risk choices with a resultant negative
impact on risk mitigation. Drawing on the writings of various psychology researchers
(Langer, 1989b; Brown and Ryan, 2003; Bishop et al., 2004; Kashdan et al., 2009), we have
operationalized three main behavioral framing elements. The idea underlying the choice of
these variables was that they are all directionally related to estimating future anticipated
outcomes and are reflective of managerial judgment. The three components are conceptually
distinct; yet, they also overlap and tend to engender one another. Curiosity (pursuing
novelty) lessens the impact of a knowledge deficiency (Haaga and Stewart, 1992), optimism
(recognizing certainty) expands our creativity in challenging situations (Fredrickson, 1984),
whereas mindfulness (delivering insight) lessens self-judgment and raises awareness of any
limitations, biases and perceptions (Langer, 1989b). Separately, they are each a valuable lens
assisting in an investigative awareness for determining the degree of risk built into the
decision choice. Taken together, they maximize discovery and amplify risk analysis by Risk
providing an enhanced means to capture the inherent “uncertainty” built into the risk management
tolerance decision choice. By understanding these behavioral elements as a synergistic
association, we are narrowing the uncertainty-focused scope of managerial decision
and managerial
capabilities which in turn should lead to improved risk choices. mindset
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3. Research model
To augment risk management research at the organizational level, we examine the degree in
27
which US community banks (under US$1.5bn in assets) rate their risk mitigation efforts. The
testable path model that guided this research is depicted in Figure 1 below. The model was
designed to manage uncertainty and to recognize the effect risk has on achieving
organizational objectives. In this way, risk is linked inextricably with performance in a
manner that allows management to identify, understand, discuss and act on the risk the
organization faces.
Regulatory and
Performance criteria
-Tier 1 capital
-Loan/Deposit ratio
-Peer performance
Risk Tolerance
28 opportunities
Specific definitional details of the model are as follows:
3.1.1 Risk tolerance. Risk tolerance is defined as the boundary limits (threshold and
ceiling) of a bank’s commitment to risk-taking, and as such reflects a bank’s emotional
comfort with the uncertainty in measuring risk/reward trade-off (Bromiley, 1991; Greve,
1998). It requires an understanding not only of the market dynamics but also of a broader
philosophical approach informed by underlying beliefs and a comfort level with risk. As
such, it includes antecedent influences and is driven by outcome history (regulatory and
performance constraint criteria) and the managers’ disposition toward risk taking (i.e.
motivational biases). Administering risk tolerance is the goal setting process which is
dependent upon seeking an appropriate balance between risks being taken for achieving a
desired outcome. To this end:
H1. Risk tolerance directly and positively influences risk propensity.
H2. Risk tolerance directly and positively influences risk practices.
3.1.2 Risk propensity. Risk propensity represents the aggregate amount of risk the bank is
willing and capable of absorbing, and represents an assessment of the risk in a given
situational problem (Sitkin and Weingart, 1995), which is based upon the decision makers
probabilistic estimation of the degree of uncertainty, controllability and confidence held in a
choice situation. In other words, it is the amount of risk an organization can actually bear in
handling risk’s potential volatility or impact. Thus, risk perception is affected by existing
risk understanding and risk management heuristics (Simon et al., 2003; Al-Tamimi and
Al-Mazrooei, 2007). Ultimately, prudent risk management requires balancing the propensity
for taking risk against current risk appetite. Therefore,
H3. Risk propensity will directly and positively influence risk practices.
3.1.3 Risk practices. Risk practices represents the management governance tools and
techniques for systematically regulating the current risk amid alignment and adjustment
capabilities to the marketplace opportunities (Al-Tamimi and Al-Mazrooei, 2007). Banks that
better understand their risks and are better equipped at using risk management and
assessment techniques can detect lurking danger and discover the causal relationships
between activities or events and their latent effects, thereby achieving greater control over
their risk appetite. Furthermore, as firms become better at curbing adverse effects, they will
be less sensitive to risk impacts in general. Therefore, we hypothesize:
H4. Risk practices will directly and negatively influence the bank risk performance
success measure.
3.1.4 Risk performance. In evaluating the risk/return relationship, it requires a determination
of how much volatility (risk) is captured in comparison to the amount of return attained,
which is the coefficient of variation (COV) methodology (Wachowicz and Shreives, 1980;
Mumey, 1967). The lower the ratio of standard deviation to its mean return, the better your
risk-return tradeoff. Simply put, the lower the volatility in earnings, the more stable the
financial performance. Furthermore, consistency in the earnings stream is viewed as sound Risk
management, whereas fluctuations (high variance) is a reflection of unstable performance. management
3.1.5 The interaction between the variables. The interaction between risk tolerance and
risk propensity is a framework for assessing risk judgments and for providing flexibility in
and managerial
managing the risk process. The question arises then as to what happens when risk tolerance mindset
and risk propensity are out of alignment? In short, it furnishes a spread to the organization’s
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risk comfort level with the likelihood of a potential financial shortfall, as the organization has
taken undue risk to satisfy future goals. The influence of a negative or positive spread will 29
find organizations attempt to take on greater risks or become more conservative to reach
targets (McNamara and Bromiley, 1997). Incorporating risk practices, which is the
governance and compliance structure, the risk/reward tradeoff is monitored against the
firm’s level of understanding and operational capacity. Ultimately, it is considered a
predictive model of risk management designed to optimize earnings performance.
2/df ⫽ 1.260 and p ⫽ 0.001). As for absolute fit, the RMSEA ⫽ 0.042 was within a narrow 31
range (Lo ⫽ 0.026 to HI ⫽ 0.055 at the 90 per cent confidence level) with Pclose of 0.84 and the
values for SRMR ⫽ 0.072. As for relative measures, GFI ⫽ 0.86; CFI ⫽ 0.95; PCFI ⫽ 0.85 were
also considered adequate. Overall, as for model fit, the significant standard loadings (p ⬍
0.01) suggest good convergent validity. To test the reliability of the model, measures for
composite reliability (CV) and the average variance extracted (AVE) were calculated
(Anderson and Gerbing, 1988). The factors were above the standard thresholds with CV ⫽
0.7, suggesting adequate reliability (Straub, 1989), and the AVE estimates were above the 50
per cent rule of thumb (Hair et al., 2010). The standardized residual covariances were
satisfactory as was the square root of the AVE (average variance extracted) comparison to all
other constructs (Gefen et al., 2000) and thus exhibiting good discriminant validity (Fornell
and Larcker, 1981). The path diagram supported the core hypothesis except for the direct
effect of risk tolerance to risk practices. Overall, the finding are highly encouraging and as
such the model which is considered exploratory adds credence to our risk management
conceptualization (refer Table AV for loadings and reliability; Table AVI for correlation
matrix and Table AVIII for hypothesis standings) and was predictive of firm performance
(R ⫽ 0.434, R2 ⫽ 0.188, adjusted R2 ⫽ 0.145), with F-test significance (F ⫽ 4.392; p ⬍ 0.000).
To gauge the models capacity for determining discriminatory value, the factors were
measured against relative peer financial performance (Table AVII). As shown, Excellent
performance was augmented in part by conservative behavior. These banks, as envisaged
reported the best performance statistics, exhibit slightly lower behavioral influences, have a
medium risk appetite and the highest average risk practices which when combined provides
for the highest earnings results, and thus, the best risk return trade-off. These banks
outperform rivals and obviously hold a competitive advantage. Fair performing banks are
wedged in the middle and while their aptitude for risk is strong and they are leaning toward
conservatism, they are not achieving the best-in-class financial results. The Poor performing
banks are facing financial pressures and despite believing they have a comprehensive
approach (all paths being significant), by being highly curious (searching for new options)
and applying lower mindfulness (without thinking of alternatives) directionally suggests
these poor performers may tend toward greater risk taking, and thus are perhaps destined to
remain on the bottom of the competitive ladder.
As expected, the managerial mindset items loaded positively and significantly on risk
tolerance. On a peer comparison analysis basis, the higher the behavioral traits of curiosity
and optimism, which tend toward manager overconfidence, drove a marginal propensity for
greater risk-seeking. Also, the more mindful the firm, the prospect for less risk-taking was
apparent. In the final analysis, it is the quality of risk management practices that makes a
difference, so respondents were asked a general question: “Overall, I consider the level of risk
management practices of this bank to be excellent”. The bank executives responded with a
score of “somewhat agree” (M ⫽ 5.15, SD ⫽ 0.80), and on a relative basis, the responses
matched expectancies – Excellent (M ⫽ 5.42; SD ⫽ 0.97); Fair (M ⫽ 5.24; SD ⫽ 1.20) and Poor
performers (M ⫽ 4.80, SD ⫽ 1.31). On the whole, the findings firmly suggest opportunity for
risk management corrections.
JRF 6. Discussion
18,1 Research on how risk is operationally managed, leveraged and coordinated in community
banking organizations has been lacking. This exploratory research speaks to this gap by
establishing how an effective risk management process and a related organizational mindset
can be a solution for maximizing the risk/reward opportunities. The holistic model evidenced
that decision makers deal with risk choices through a “risk-culture” that is dependent upon
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32 their awareness and understanding of the risk trade-offs. Our analysis showed the
synergistic relationship of the risk enablers produces discriminatory value. A complex set of
relationships as a unifying operating system was proposed and tested. The research analysis
raised the importance of finding alignment with motivational enablers, and balancing the
bank’s risk capabilities and its risk governance so as to maximize risk management
performance. Not surprisingly, non-adherence of this relationship goes a long way to explain
why one-third of banks are sitting on the bottom of the performance ladder. The analysis
contributes to the risk discussion in four ways as follows:
First, the model represents a “conceptual model of thinking capacities”. The findings
support the relationship between risk tolerance, risk propensity and risk practices which
represents the bank’s overall “risk position”. It is the continuous interaction of these drivers
that fosters adaptive behavior and steers practices, beyond either a policy of inaction or
aggressiveness toward a formalized risk process designed to cope with uncertainty and to
optimize risk and return. The risk model focusses on applying directional framing drivers
that can guide, limit and control the risk/reward outcomes. Based on this understanding, the
ability of managers to think more complexly is fundamental to this analysis. Specifically, it
is directed at management’s risk/reward balancing capability in complex, uncertain and
fluid task settings. By developing the institutional core competencies, the organization can
systematically improve outcome expectations.
Second, risk management was shown to be a predictable “business process” and that
tolerating imperfections in risk decisioning can subsequently impede organizational
performance. It is well documented that decisions are the result of a sequence of behaviors (Cyert
and March, 1963), and decision-making processes are related to strategic success (Dean and
Sharfman, 1996). So, with risk mitigation focusing on those potential negatives that affect success
(e.g. decision outcome failure and/or discrete losses), and when outcomes do not meet
expectations, it represents a vulnerability within the risk-choice decisioning process. In this sense,
managers are accountable for their risk/reward imbalances and risk choice exposures, and
accordingly it makes risk a predictable outcome.
In many ways, our findings revealed this vulnerability, as an organizational and cultural
susceptibility characterized by self-imposed operating constraints reflective of
management’s judgment capabilities. When we discuss judgment, we are questioning the
accepted view and searching for novel distinctions. Thus, a mindful approach and a curious
attitude, which was evident in excellent performers makes sense as influential aspects of risk
management success, as it nurtures an ability to challenge the complexity of the
choice-situation. When faced with dynamic, uncertain or ambiguous environments, the
notion of a problematic expectation can be made much clearer. Of course, this still does not
guarantee total success, as any investment opportunity may end in catastrophic loss due to
unforeseen circumstances. But it is this uncertainty or the chance of a failed outcome that
symbolizes the need for value judgment excellence. Simply put, to achieve risk management
excellence requires faultless judgment. As Eastburn and Boland (2015) suggest, mindfulness
when calibrated to the complexity of the decision being made sustains judgment and thus
can represent a valuable distinctive competitive advantage.
Third, the present study demonstrates how framing a unique set of decision enablers Risk
(performance history, regulatory constraints and behavioral influences) are translated management
beyond the confines of risk tolerance to capture an informed understanding of risk at the
margin. As McKenzie and coauthors made clear:
and managerial
mindset
[…] most managers use pre-existing frames of reference to handle ill-structured problems, a few
demonstrate greater cognitive flexibility (Spiro et al., 1987) fluidly adapting their mental schema to
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7. Limitations
Although this research takes a logical step toward understanding the relationship among
cognitive biases that are directed toward managing uncertainty and the operating guidance for
overseeing risk performance, the reader should be aware of the need to build upon these results.
For example, several limitations should be noted. First, our sample, while considered adequate for
our inquiry was small (n ⫽ 151), although it was nationally and evenly distributed. We did not
JRF include large money-center banks, super-regionals and regional banks with assets exceeding
18,1 US$1.5bn. These larger banks represent a small proportion of total banks but hold significant
asset size advantages and are far more sophisticated in product offerings, and they also operate
across greater geographic areas. Consequently, their modus operandi is far different from
community banking. Second, while our results confirm the value of the study, it is to some degree
exploratory. Our study was conducted on banks and needs to be related to a wider range firms
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34 and industries. We chose senior executives as our focus of attention, they had extensive job tenure
and experience; however, it could be argued that it supports single-informant data. Regardless,
the next level of executive management may have a unique perspective on how well their firm
processes risk. Third, models are generally incomplete depictions of real-world phenomena, and
our narrowly framed model has likely overlooked some potentially important, relevant relations
and issues. Fourth, in designing the study, recall that we did not access specific individual risk
taking choices, rather we assumed risk existed as an existing portfolio that was captured in
average earnings performance. Keep in mind that the anticipated financial impact of risk
decisions is excluded because gains/losses have not yet occurred. However, the philosophical
risk/reward approach should be consistent on a past decision basis (Fahlenbrach et al., 2012).
Consequently, without strategic change the past is destined to continue. While the study
calculated robust findings, other risk/reward measures relevant at the organizational level could
be considered for future studies. Finally, the fact that our survey was conducted at a time just after
banks experienced an adverse economic climate and organizational activities in reducing risk for
performance gains may be somewhat restricted. Accordingly, the study did not address risk
management under economic growth periods.
9. Conclusion
Without doubt, risk management is a constant struggle for banks. This research has
attempted to elevate the risk conversation by embracing a more strategic and adaptive
behavioral perspective – by interpreting risk as conceptual model of thinking and as a
predictable business process, and by offering specific decision enablers to complement
the corporate mindset. Collectively, this theoretic detail has been designed to develop a
safety net against unsafe risk practices so as to more conscientiously anticipate any Risk
imbalances with the risk/reward trade-offs, and to appreciate that current financial management
performance is direct measure of past risk capabilities. and managerial
mindset
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Respondents descriptives
Respondent tenure statistics
Job title category Tenure Mgr# YRSJOB YRSEXP
Response accuracy Response accuracy was checked by answers to reverse items and
with one duplicated question. Eleven surveys were excluded as
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Our bank’s objective is to expand the applications of advanced techniques in risk 4.76 (1.27)
RM4 -
management 43
RM5* - Risk management is a formalized practice at our bank. 5.19 (1.27)
Our bank carries out a comprehensive and systematic identification of its risks 4.78 (1.36)
RU1* -
relating to each of its declared aims and objectives.
RU2 - The bank finds it difficult to prioritize it main risks 3.25 (1.48)
Changes in risk are identified and are identified with the bank’s roles and 5.35 (1.06)
RU3 -
responsibilities
The bank is aware of the strengths and weaknesses of the risk managements in 3.58 (1.40)
RU4* -
“other” banks
The bank has developed and applied procedures for the systematic identification 4.48 (1.19)
RU5* -
of opportunities.
RISK PRACTICES
7 Point Likert with 1
Al-Tamimi, H. A. and Al-Mazrooei, F.
“strongly disagree”
Banks’ Risk Management: A comparison study of UAE national
and 7 “strongly
0.8
872
and foreign banks. The Journal of Risk Finance, 2007:8 (394-409)
agree”
The bank’s executive management regularly reviews the organizations 5.79 (1.17)
RP1 -
performance in managing its risks
RP2* -
The bank has highly effective continuous review/feedback on risk performance 4.95 (1.32)
The bank’s risk management procedures and processes are documented and 5.12 (1.36)
RP3* -
provide guidance to staff about managing risks.
RP4* - The bank’s policy encourages training programs in the area of risk management. 5.32 (1.20)
RP5* - The bank emphasizes the recruitment of highly qualified people in risk mgt. 4.99 (1.45)
RP6* - Efficient risk management is one of the bank’s objectives 5.60 (1.23)
RISK TOLERANCE - CURIOSITY
Kashdan, T. B., Gallagher, M.W., Silvia, P. J., Winterstein B. P.
Breen, W. E., Terhar, D & Steger, M. The curiosity and Likert with 1 “very
exploration inventory-II: Development, factor structure, and slightly or not at all” 0.822
psychometrics. Journal of Research in Personality. and 5 “extremely”
2009: 43 (987-998).
CUR1 - I actively seek as much information as I can in new situations 4.20 (0.59)
CUR2* - I am at my best when doing something that is complex or challenging 3.86 (0.65)
CUR3* - I view challenging situations as an opportunity to grow and learn 4.05 (0.73)
I am always looking for experiences that challenge how I think about myself 3.71 (0.75)
CUR4* -
and the world
CUR5* - I frequently seek out opportunities to challenge myself and grow as a person 3.69 (0.83)
RISK TOLERANCE - INDIVIDUAL MINDFULNESS
Brown, K. W., & Ryan, R.M. Maas scale 6 Point
The benefits of being present: Mindfulness and its role in Likert scale with 1
psychological well-being. Journal of Personality and Social “almost always” and 6
0.858
Psychology. 2003:84 (822-848) “almost never”
IMIND1* - I rush through activities without being really attentive 4.33 (1.05)
I get so focused on the goal I want to achieve that I lose touch with what I’m 4.48 (1.01)
IMIND2 * -
doing right now to get there
IMIND3* - I find myself doing things without paying attention 4.56 (1.07)
IMIND4* - I find it difficult to stay focused on what’s happening in the present 4.67 (1.12)
IMIND5* - I do jobs or tasks automatically without being aware of what I am doing 4.67 (1.13)
RISK TOLERANCE - OPTIMISM
Scheier, M.F., & Carver, C. S. LOT 5 Point Likert with
Optimism, coping and health: assessment and implications of 1 “strongly disagree” 0.780
general outcome expectancies. Health Psychology, 1985:4 (219) and 5 “strongly agree”
OPT1 - In unusual times I usually expect the best 3.52 (0.97) Figure A1.
OPT2R* - If something will go wrong with me it will 3.87 (0.82) Survey constructs,
OPT3* - I am always optimistic about the future 3.71 (0.88) means and standard
OPT4R* - I hardly ever expect things to go my way 4.02 (0.76) deviations and
OPT5R* - I rarely count on good things happening to me 3.91 (0.87)
reliability
OPT6* - Overall, I expect more good things to happen to me than bad. 4.05 (0.76)
JRF Construct (Reliability) Indicator Standardized loadings
18,1
OPTIMISM (0.80) OPT2R 0.672***
OPT4R 0.877***
OPT5R 0.724***
OPT6 0.524***
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Correlation matrix
Parameters Mean SD 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Notes: *** p ⬍ 0.001; ** p ⬍ 0.05; * p ⬍ 0.1, N ⫽ 161; Reliability–Cronbach’s alpha is shown on the diagonal in italics
model
alphas and
45
and managerial
management
Risk
Risk tolerance
Regulatory constraints
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46 L/D ratio (%) 72.6 15.8 70.9 17.8 64.0 18.6 69.5 17.6
Tier1 capital (%) 15.7 7.01 14.5 6.0 18.1 7.4 16.0 6.92
Performance
constraints
Net Interest margin, % 3.44 0.10 3.82 0.59 4.13 0.79 3.77 0.77
Behavioral constraints
Combineda 3.75 0.59 3.75 0.65 3.68 0.62 3.73 0.64
Curiosity 3.92 0.53 3.68 0.63 3.88 0.62 3.83 0.59
Optimism 3.56 0.48 3.58 0.60 3.51 0.46 3.55 0.52
Mindfulnessb 3.63 0.78 3.97 0.72 3.78 0.76 3.80 0.75
Risk propensity
Surveya (Likert 7) 4.86 1.31 5.07 0.92 5.05 0.96 4.99 1.07
Risk practices
Surveya (Likert 7) 5.11 1.1 5.35 0.96 5.39 0.86 5.19 1.04
Bank risk
ROACOV 2.24 1.96 0.49 0.55 0.22 0.17 1.06 1.53
ROAAVEc ⫺0.44 1.13 0.77 0.16 1.48 0.32 0.56 0.80
Controls
Ave. Assets (US$m)d 350 461 326 473 173 241 289 417
YRSJOB 14.2 11.3 14.9 11.8 12.7 8.6 14.0 10.8
YRSEXP 33.0 8.7 31.6 7.6 32.8 7.6 32.8 9.1
Table AVII. Notes: a Based on combining Survey responses for questions on Mindfulness, Curiosity and Optimism in the
Model statistics by model following (EFA) analysis; b Mindfulness construct converted to Likert 5 scale for comparison
relative financial purposes; c ROAAVE is average ROA for 2006-2012; d Ave. assets was calculated in the model as log10
performance assets
Trimmed
Risk
Hypothesis model management
and managerial
Core model
H1. Risk tolerance directly and positively influences risk propensity Yes mindset
H2. Risk tolerance directly and positively influences risk practices No
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H3. Risk propensity will directly and positively influence risk practices Yes
H4. Risk practices will directly and negatively influence bank risk performance Yes 47
Antecedents to risk tolerance (using peer performance comparison as resultant guide)
H1a. Higher levels of regulatory Tier1 capital ratio will motivate a propensity for less risk Yes
taking and negatively influence (lower) risk tolerance
H1b. Higher levels of regulatory L/D ratio will motivate a propensity for less risk taking No
and positively influence (lower) risk tolerance
H1c. Higher levels of relative performance will motivate a propensity for less risk taking Yes
and negatively influence (lower) risk tolerance
H1d. Higher levels of optimism about future opportunities will motivate a propensity for undefined
greater risk taking and positively influence (raise) risk tolerance
H1e. Higher levels of individual mindfulness will drive a propensity for less risk taking Yes
and negatively influence (lower) risk tolerance
H1f. Higher levels of curiosity will provide a greater motivation about future opportunities Yes
and will drive a propensity for more risk taking and directly and positively influence
(raise) risk tolerance
Notes: All the antecedent hypothesis showed positive relationship to risk tolerance (refer Table VI) and the
desired level of risk tolerated is raised. Using peer performance guidance as a determination, we find some Table AVIII.
variations in the potential outcomes, although keep in mind these results are directional and requires further Hypothesis testing
research discovery results
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