Documente Academic
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July
August
2019
AT THE
CROSSROADS
The changing
language of NEWS IN
AMERICA
Helping SCHOOL
PRINCIPALS succeed
TOOL BLOG VIDEO TESTIMONY BOOK
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supplies, important developed tools—the payer proposals and comments derive from
habitats, and the SEL Assessment Guide their potential impact; a series of studies about
Delta’s historical towns, and the RAND Education common misconceptions the VA health care system
agricultural land, and Assessment Finder—can and areas of uncertainty; and community care
public roadways are also help. and plan details and for veterans conducted
at risk. RAND developed implementation by RAND over the past
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a risk modeling www.rand.org/b190328 decisions that would several years.
framework and decision affect impacts.
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RREVIEW
10
Smart
Investments
in School
Leadership
Helping principals
succeed can help
students succeed,
too
6 14
At the The Chronic
Crossroads Stress of Inequity
What it would take What disparity
to drive roadway looks like in one
deaths down to American city
COVER PHOTO BY DKART/GETTY IMAGES; THIS PAGE, JESSICA COLEY BY KAREN SAYRE
2 16 20
Research Commentary Here are some suggested items of unclassified infor
Giving A family
mation that can be told to people you know to be
Briefly Why women commitmentresponsible:
for a
The value of new generationThe RAND Corporation is an independent nonprofit
belong in Coast corporation engaged in research concerning national
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4 The Q&A
Jennifer 18 POV
On disagreeing 21 at RANDom
Retro RAND:
Kavanagh better, not Daddy-o’s (but
on truth in disagreeing less no mommy-o’s)
journalism in 1957
RR
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SCHAEFFER
TRUSTEES EMERITI
HAROLD BROWN
C O R P O R AT I O N
Research
Briefly
The Value of a
Good Teacher
previously thought when you take into account that
Good teachers might be even spillover effect. (The study identified good teach-
more valuable than we thought. ers by estimating the value they added to
A recent study found they can lift their students’ test scores, over and above
what those students would have achieved
the achievement of students they otherwise.)
never even met. It could be that better-taught students
The study looked at data from more than 500,000 spread their knowledge as they make
New York City students as they moved from fifth new friends in middle school. The data
grade into middle school. That transition brought showed that the effects tend to cluster
them into contact with students from other grade by race and gender, which might sup-
schools, as they all fed into the same port that peer-to-peer theory. But it
middle school. also could be that the better-taught
students freed up their teachers in
Students who came from an ef- middle school to help students who
fective fifth-grade teacher did were further behind.
better on their math and reading
tests when they got to middle school. The findings have some important policy
That makes sense. But the study found implications—from how districts evaluate teach-
GOOD TEACHER: TREEMOUSE/GETTY IMAGES
students also did better when their class- ers to how they weigh the benefits of teacher-
mates came from an effective teacher, even improvement programs. If nothing else, the study
when they did not. underscores the impact good teachers can have, far
beyond their own classrooms.
In fact, the study estimated that the value of a good
MORE AT
teacher could be at least 30 percent higher than www.rand.org/t/EP67831
to Reduce Opioid-
vived overdoses and
were able to get to a
hospital.
Related Fatalities States with weaker ac-
cess laws, where phar-
States that allow pharmacists to dispense the opioid anti- macists still need prior
dote naloxone without a prescription saw opioid overdose authorization to dispense
deaths fall by more than a third, a recent study found. naloxone, saw their opioid
The drug is already standard-issue for police, paramedics, mortality trend lines continue to
rise. Only laws that allow direct dispensing by pharmacists
EDUCATION: IRINA STRELNIKOVA/GETTY IMAGES; OPIOIDS: JENNIFER BORTON/GETTY IMAGES
Searching
for Truth
SIDEBAR: GETTY IMAGES, TOP TO BOTTOM, ARTISTEER, VERTIGO3D (SECOND, FOURTH, AND FIFTH IMAGES), ANDREYPOPOV; TOP: DORI WALKER/RAND PHOTOGRAPHY
Q You recently looked at how jour- have been pretty small; for broadcast, a
nalism has changed over time. What little bigger but still small compared with
did you find? these cross-platform changes.
A We looked at how print and broadcast
journalism has changed since the 1980s, Is journalism today less factual than
and then compared broadcast and cable it was in the past?
since 2000, and print and online journalism
If you’re considering the full range of jour-
since 2012. What we found overall was a
nalism options that we have, we have more
shift away from the traditional ‘who, what,
choices and different types of information.
when, where, and why’ to something that
And some of those forms do tend to have
is much more subjective. It depends on
less fact-based information and more
which platform you’re talking about, but
opinions and arguments. If you’re choosing
there’s more argumentation, more personal
to read only online journalism, then you’re
perspective, more advocacy, more conver-
getting something that looks different than
sation. It has the same basic information,
newspapers, for example. So is journal-
just presented in a very different way.
ism less fact-based? Maybe overall, but
Those changes are biggest when we com- only because we’re looking at these many
pare across platforms—broadcast to cable, different types of platforms, which vary in
print to online. The changes for newspapers how they present information. But sources
like newspapers and broadcast television it. One of the drivers is changes in the
haven’t changed much and have essentially information environment. We all have a I’ve become really aware of
the same amount of facts as ever. sense that the presentation of news has how easy it is to get sucked into
changed, but we really wanted to measure reading things that are aligned
A frequent criticism of the media is
what has changed. That’s really key to with what I already believe. I’m
understanding the evolution of truth decay, trying to be more conscious of
that it has lost its objectivity. Does
and then figuring out what to do about it. the need to reach outside and
your study support that?
No. Criticism of media tends to focus on
get other perspectives, even
major newspapers, broadcast television, How were you able to measure when I know I’m not going to
and cable. For broadcast and newspapers, what’s changed? agree.
we have actually seen only minor changes. We collected text data—whether that’s
Yes, there was a shift in print journalism text from newspapers or transcripts from
from a more straightforward, event- television—and we ran it through a text- Has any of this changed how you
based presentation of news to something analysis tool called RAND-Lex. It allows consume the news?
that is more narrative, and in broadcast us to look at 121 linguistic characteristics Definitely. I’ve become really aware of
toward something more subjective. But of a given text—emotion, personal how easy it is to get sucked into reading
those changes have been pretty small. perspective, subjectivity, uncertainty, things that are aligned with what I already
Cable is probably the most subjective and things like that. We can compare two believe. I’m trying to be more conscious
sets of data and see whether there are of the need to reach outside and get other
meaningful differences across the two perspectives, even when I know I’m not
Cable is probably the most samples in linguistic characteristics. So, for going to agree. I want to understand other
subjective and filled with the example, we compared newspapers pre- points of view. I am also more attuned
and post-2000 and could assess whether to ‘When am I actually getting facts and
most personal perspective,
there were significant changes across that when am I not?’ There’s no problem with
opinion, and argumentation, divide in terms of how news is presented. reading opinion, but it’s important to be
but their model is to appeal aware of it.
to niche audiences who have
specific preferences. What’s next in this line of research?
RAND Ventures is a vehicle for investing in policy
We have an upcoming study on the role solutions. Philanthropic contributions support our
that media literacy might play as a response ability to take the long view, tackle tough and
filled with the most personal perspective, to truth decay. We have another study look- often-controversial topics, and share our findings in
ing at what media sources people use and innovative and compelling ways. RAND’s research
opinion, and argumentation, but their
findings and recommendations are based on data
model is to appeal to niche audiences who how they view those sources. We’re also and evidence, and therefore do not necessarily
have specific preferences. looking at media governance—whether reflect the policy preferences or interests of its
there are policy or regulatory mechanisms clients, donors, or supporters.
that could help us reduce disinformation.
How does this fit into your research Regulation is often cast as “nothing” versus
Funding for this venture was provided by gifts from
on truth decay? RAND supporters and income from operations.
“Ministry of Truth,” but there’s a whole
Our earlier research laid out a framework range of gray, a range of options that could
for understanding truth decay, and as part be acceptable, within the bounds of the
of that we tried to identify what’s driving First Amendment, that could help.
JULY–AUGUST 2019 | RAND.ORG 5
A FOCUS ON THE RESEARCH OF
Liisa Ecola, Steven W. Popper, Richard Silberglitt,
and Laura Fraade-Blanar
At the
Crossroads
A Bold, and Feasible, Approach to Eliminating
Roadway Deaths in the United States
By Doug Irving, Staff Writer
A different approach to transportation officials, safety advo- Think about a four-way stop, for
cates, traffic engineers, and other ex- example. It takes one mistake, one
car and road design perts to develop a plan for how that missed sign, for a car to slam into the
Banks and her children had almost could work here. They imagined the side of another. That kind of T-bone
reached the median of a 12-lane year 2050 as the first year with not crash causes nearly half of all mov-
thoroughfare that cuts through their a single death on American roads. ing, car-to-car road fatalities. Put a
neighborhood when a drag-racing Then they asked how we get there. traffic circle there instead, and you
Audi S4 crested a hill. She was the People die on the roads every day be- might see more side-swipe crashes
heart of her family, the one who cause someone got behind the wheel as drivers try to merge, but you pre-
always organized dance contests for drunk, or nodded off, or checked a vent those more serious T-bones.
the kids and played princess with phone message, or drifted across a
her nieces. She died with her sons, yellow line, or decided to race a car
7-month-old Saa’mir, 23-month-old through a city neighborhood. We Life-saving
Saa’sean, and 4-year-old Saa’deem. know that people make the same innovations
“Just one swipe,” her aunt says now. mistakes and bad decisions, over
and over again. And yet we’ve built That kind of thinking would go a
“Two generations of our family. Just long way toward preventing traf-
took them all.” a traffic system with so little margin
for error that one moment of inatten- fic deaths. If every country road
On an average day in America, more tion can kill someone. had raised bumps down the center,
than 100 people will lose their lives in drivers would jolt awake the mo-
car crashes. In recent years, a grow- What if we designed our cars and ment they drifted into an oncoming
ing number of cities have commit- roads for bad drivers, rather than traffic lane. If every traffic light gave
ted to building a traffic system that good drivers? pedestrians a few seconds’ head
ones that should be a focus of invest- where we haven’t had a fatal crash in
ment now—will be much less flashy. 27 days.”
Automatic emergency brakes, lane- “We shouldn’t accept deaths or seri-
departure warnings, and other driver ous injuries on the road, but we kind
backup systems could save 10,000 of do because it happens all the time
lives a year. Cars that could sample and you never hear about it,” Ecola
the air for even a whiff of alcohol on said. “I wouldn’t say this policy is a
a driver’s breath could save at least failure if we only eliminate 90 percent
7,000 more. of car crash deaths. That would be
Even when a crash does happen, the an enormous achievement in traffic
cars of 2050 might be able to call 911 safety. That would save more than
themselves and alert paramedics to 30,000 lives a year.”
Banks Way, in Philadelphia, named as a memorial
the type of damage and number of Philadelphia, for one, has a 42-page to Samara Banks and her children
people involved. By some estimates, action plan to get to zero deaths on
half of the people who die on the its roads—not by 2050, but by 2030.
roads today survive the initial crash. It calls for new street lights, safer
Getting them faster and more effec- sidewalks, lower speeds, and tougher
tive trauma care could save thou- enforcement. It singles out one road-
sands of lives. way in particular as desperately in
need of change: the 12-lane boule-
vard where Samara Banks and her
A cultural shift children died. Her aunt has become
a leading voice in the community,
Getting all the way down to zero
calling for safer streets.
deaths is going to require a society-
PHILLYVOICE.COM/PHOTOGRAPH BY THOM CARROLL
wide change of attitude, too. Ecola “I feel like I need to jump out of my
sees a useful lesson in what happened bed every time I hear that somebody
to smoking. It wasn’t one big policy died in a crash,” she said. “Is that
change that removed cigarettes from what we’re supposed to do? Jump and THE ROAD TO
airplanes and restaurants. It was run? Eventually, we’re going to have ZER0
to pull together and do something to
A Vision for Achieving Zero Roadway Deaths by 2050
Smart Investments in
School
Leadership
The Wallace Foundation’s Principal Pipeline
Initiative Yields Widespread Positive Effects
By Doug Irving, Staff Writer
principals tend to retain and recruit high- Principal Pipeline Initiative were expected
quality teachers, too. to develop systems to support and
sustain their efforts, such as leader-
“If you have a good leader, people will follow
that leader,” said Richard Carranza, the chan- tracking databases, beyond the time
cellor of the New York City Department of Edu- frame of the initiative.
cation, one of the districts in the pipeline initia-
tive. “I mean, they’ll travel across boroughs and
pay tolls on bridges to go work in a school with a
great leader.”
All schools were in
The costs of running a principal pipeline
amounted to around one half of 1 percent of a minority–majority districts
district’s budget, RAND’s study found. Every
one of the districts that participated in the Charlotte-
initiative has continued to bring its principals Mecklenburg New
Schools, North York City
up through the pipeline, long after the Wallace
Carolina Department
funding ran out. Denver Public
of Education,
Schools, Colorado
Some now have a new problem: a surplus of New York
Gwinnett County
highly qualified candidates coming through Public Schools,
the pipeline, and not enough vacancies to Georgia
place them. Some also worry that their rookie
principals might be getting too much support, a
“firehose” of instruction and advice.
Jessica Coley will take it. As a resident princi-
pal, she might be monitoring the lunch room
one minute, drawing up a budget the next, and
sitting in a classroom as an instructional coach
after that. Last year, when the district suddenly Prince
needed someone to register students and make George’s
classroom assignments just days before school County
started, she jumped in and did that, too. Public
Schools,
“The principal position, it’s one that sometimes Maryland
people can think is about power. It can be glam- Hillsborough County
orized,” she said. “I know that the responsibility Public Schools,
is heavy. It’s about moving a school, being able Florida
to move students and move teachers, in a way
that we can see the progress that’s being made.” These six participating districts were all among the 50 largest school
districts in the United States and had predominately minority student
She’s ready to do just that. She hopes to drop the
bodies. Each had demonstrated a commitment to school leadership
“resident” from her title as early as this fall, and
improvement and had undertaken some pipeline efforts before.
become a stand-alone school principal.
JULY–AUGUST 2019 | RAND.ORG 13
A FOCUS ON THE RESEARCH OF
Linnea Warren May, Serafina Lanna, Jordan R. Fischbach,
Michelle Bongard, Shelly Culbertson, Rebecca Kiernan,
Ricardo Williams, Elizabeth DeWolf, Jocelyn Drummond,
Victoria Lawson, and Julia Bowling
The Chronic
Stress of
Inequity
How Pittsburgh Is Using Data and Performance
Measures to Prioritize Investments, Reduce
Disparities, and Improve Outcomes
By Doug Irving, Staff Writer
Being black in Pittsburgh, RAND research has found, means being six times
more likely than a white person to go to bed hungry. It means bringing
home less than half as much pay, and seeing your children hospitalized with
asthma four times more often.
The city has been taking a hard look at race, wealth, and opportunity, in
partnership with researchers at RAND’s office there. It hasn’t just run the
numbers on subjects ranging from police contacts to business ownership
to graduation rates; it has published them for all to see as part of a
commitment to do better.
PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY DORI WALKER/RAND FROM HYEJIN KANG AND TEDDYANDMIA/GETTY IMAGES
The results show what disparity looks like in one big American city. But they also
provide a case study for other cities, of what they might find if they held up a mirror
to their own promises of equity and inclusion.
“There are conversations about inequity happening all over the country,” said
Linnea Warren May, a policy analyst at RAND who has led the work in Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh Equity “But how do you measure inequity? What are the critical systemic issues that con-
Indicators: A Baseline
Measurement for
tribute to it? Pittsburgh has this narrative of being a city on the rise, but there are
Enhancing Equity still people being left behind.”
in Pittsburgh is
available for free Pittsburgh has asked those questions before.
download at www.
In the late 1900s, researchers fanned out across the city to document the deep dispari-
rand.org/t/EP67846
ties that separated rich and poor, new immigrant and native-born. They found steel
workers putting in 12-hour days; children crowded into unlit, unheated classrooms;
and poor sanitation marked by “indescribably foul” privies. Their study provided
Why
Women
Belong
in Coast
Guard
Retired USCG Vice Adm. Robert C.
Parker is an adjunct international
and defense researcher at RAND. He
was commander of the Coast Guard
Crews
Atlantic Area from April 2010 to May
2014, with operations responsibility
from the Rocky Mountains to the Ara-
bian Gulf. Parker’s awards include the
Distinguished Service Medal, Defense
Find more
friends who
are different
than you, Love, Not
Contempt
and embrace
diversity, real
diversity,
which is In May 2019, Arthur Brooks spoke at RAND to discuss his new book, Love Your
Enemies: How Decent People Can Save America from the Culture of Contempt
diversity of (Broadside Books, 2019). Here are excerpts from his talk, lightly edited for clarity.
From 2009 to 2019, Brooks served as president of the American Enterprise Institute
thinking. (AEI). In the fall of 2019, he will join the faculty of the Harvard Kennedy School and
Harvard Business School.
Brooks is featured in AEI’s documentary film The Pursuit, the culmination of three
years of research, conversations, and travel around the world, from the streets of
DIANE BALDWIN/RAND PHOTOGRAPHY
New York City to the Dalai Lama’s monastery in Dharamsala, to seek an answer to
the question “How can we lift up the world, starting with those at the margins of
society?” The film is available on iTunes and in August 2019 is coming to Netflix.
Brooks earned his Ph.D. in policy analysis from the Pardee RAND Graduate School,
which presented him with its Alumni Leadership Award in 2016.
T
Tim Wolf talks about his father at a memorial gathering in 2017.
im Wolf remembers going cant,” said Tim Wolf, president of the the Legacy Society, a group of donors
into the office with his investment firm Wolf Interests and who have included the organization
father, punching numbers former chief integration officer of in their estate plans. Their $1 mil-
into a calculator to keep MillerCoors Brewing Company. lion bequest will help Pardee RAND
himself busy. They weren’t attract top students and reimagine
“RAND and Pardee RAND were
just random digits, though; what it takes to develop good policy
important to my father, and I think
his father had him working on data in the 21st century.
we’ll all agree they continue to be
on foreign aid to South America.
important,” he said. “Especially in As much as anyone, Charles Wolf
His father was the late Charles Wolf, this world where facts seem to matter represents RAND’s past; his son said
Jr., a researcher and economist who less and louder voices seem to carry he wants to represent its future. Tim
spent more than 60 years at RAND. the day.” Wolf said he plans to carry on the
He is widely recognized as one of family commitment, whether that
His father came to RAND in 1955.
the intellectual founders of modern means promoting RAND or ensuring
His early work focused on Soviet eco-
policy analysis. His work on the costs its graduate school can continue to
nomics; he correctly predicted that
of the Soviet empire was so insightful fulfill his father’s vision.
economic exhaustion and ethnic dis-
that even the Soviets read it.
sension would eventually topple the “RAND is a very, very unique orga-
Soviet Union. He also was one of the nization with an amazing collection
first economists to anticipate the eco- of very talented people who are all
nomic rise of postwar South Korea. about improving policy and moving
substantive analytics further,” he
In 1970, Charles Wolf success-
said. “Adding substance, fact, insight,
fully argued for RAND to establish
acumen. That is especially important
a graduate school in policy analysis.
right now, when people who speak
Even after he stepped down as dean,
with the loudest voice—not necessar-
he continued to support the school
ily the smartest voice—may be fol-
Theresa and Charles Wolf as a donor and advisor. When the
lowed more than they should be.”
school introduced the slogan “Be the
Charles Wolf was also the found-
Answer,” he expanded on it: “Before He points especially to the daily head-
ing dean of the graduate school at
one can Be the Answer,” he wrote, lines about Russia and North Korea.
RAND—now known as the Pardee
“they must first ask the question.” “RAND provides that historical and
RAND Graduate School—which he
substantive perspective; you sure don’t
led for nearly 30 years and remained Wolf published nearly 300 academic
get that in the national discourse. But
committed to as a philanthropist. papers and more than a dozen books.
they’re the same kinds of issues that
He and his wife, Theresa, included He worked almost until his death in
my father was thinking about.”
a $1 million bequest in their estate October 2016. His last report, pub-
plans to support the school and its lished just months before his death,
students. It’s a commitment his son described how the United States and
China could hammer out a win–win Pardee RAND, the largest public policy Ph.D.
plans to carry forward. program in the United States, is building a new
future if both made some concessions. model for public policy graduate education. It is the
“I want to stay connected because
only program based at an independent public policy
the research ventures and innova- He and Theresa supported RAND research organization—the RAND Corporation.
tions that RAND pursues are signifi- and Pardee RAND, in part, through To learn more, visit www.prgs.edu.
When
employee
handbook
from 1957 is
virtually a
work of art. The
text is traditionally
Mad Men
corporate, but the
illustrations are as
sleek as an Eames
lounge chair. It’s
almost impossible
Roamed
to read it without
imagining RAND’s
version of “Mad
Men,” where Don
Draper, Ph.D., and ing telephones and office equipment, and keeping our
his colleagues vending machines working.
RAND
smoked Lucky D isp e n s a ry
WELCOME
TO
A Pregnant Pause:
aydays
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