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June 2015
Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
Table of Contents
1 DISCLAIMER.......................................................................................................................................... 3
2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................... 4
3 INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA ............................................................................................................. 5
4 PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT........................................................................................................ 5
5 BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT & PRODUCT........................................................................ 6
5.1 PROCESS FLOW ....................................................................................................................................... 7
5.2 INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES ................................................................................. 8
6 CRITICAL FACTORS ............................................................................................................................ 8
7 GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT ..................................................................... 8
8 POTENTIAL TARGET CUSTOMERS / MARKETS ........................................................................ 8
9 PROJECT COST SUMMARY................................................................................................................ 9
9.1 PROJECT ECONOMICS........................................................................................................................... 9
9.2 PROJECT FINANCING ............................................................................................................................. 9
9.3 PROJECT COST ..................................................................................................................................... 10
9.4 SPACE REQUIREMENT ........................................................................................................................ 11
9.5 BOTTLES REQUIREMENT ................................................................................................................... 11
9.6 FURNITURE & FIXTURE REQUIREMENT........................................................................................ 11
9.7 OFFICE EQUIPMENT REQUIREMENT ............................................................................................. 12
9.8 OFFICE VEHICLE REQUIREMENT .................................................................................................... 12
9.9 HUMAN RESOURCE REQUIREMENT .............................................................................................. 12
9.10 UTILITIES AND OTHER COSTS .......................................................................................................... 13
9.11 REVENUE GENERATION ..................................................................................................................... 13
10 CONTACT DETAILS ........................................................................................................................... 14
10.1 RAW MATERIAL SUPPLIERS ............................................................................................................. 14
11 USEFUL WEB LINKS .......................................................................................................................... 15
12 ANNEXURES ........................................................................................................................................ 16
12.1 INCOME STATEMENT ........................................................................................................................... 16
12.2 BALANCE SHEET ................................................................................................................................... 17
12.3 CASH FLOW STATEMENT .................................................................................................................. 18
13 KEY ASSUMPTIONS........................................................................................................................... 19
13.1 OPERATING ASSUMPTIONS .............................................................................................................. 19
13.2 DISTRIBUTION ASSUMPTIONS .......................................................................................................... 19
13.3 REVENUE ASSUMPTIONS .................................................................................................................. 19
13.4 FINANCIAL ASSUMPTIONS ................................................................................................................. 19
13.5 EXPENSE ASSUMPTIONS ................................................................................................................... 19
June 2015
Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
1 DISCLAIMER
This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a
general idea and information on the said matter. Although, the material included in
this document is based on data/information gathered from various reliable
sources; however, it is based upon certain assumptions, which may differ from
case to case. The information has been provided on as is where is basis without
any warranties or assertions as to the correctness or soundness thereof. Although,
due care and diligence has been taken to compile this document, the contained
information may vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the
actual results may differ substantially from the presented information. SMEDA, its
employees or agents do not assume any liability for any financial or other loss
resulting from this memorandum in consequence of undertaking this activity. The
contained information does not preclude any further professional advice. The
prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to carry out additional
diligence and gather any information, which is necessary for making an informed
decision; including taking professional advice from a qualified consultant/technical
expert before taking any decision to act upon the information.
For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website:
www.smeda.org.pk
Document Control
Revision No. 1
Prepared by SMEDA-Sindh
June 2015
Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This proposed Pre-feasibility study presents an investment opportunity for
establishing a Mineral Water Distribution Model set up with a capacity to distribute
109,421 Bottles per year for providing pure drinking water. Water will be procured
from processing facility of any Registered & Licensed Mineral Water Supplier and
will be distributed to the target market from the same facility. For this Pre-feasibility
it is recommended that Distribution or Franchise rights should be acquired from
any registered brand. The proposed product line will consist Jumbo bottles of 19
litres. Total distribution of purified bottled water is 54,711 bottles per year at 50%
initial capacity utilization.
The total project cost for setting up a Mineral Water Distribution Model is estimated
at Rs. 1.672 million out of which Rs. 1.222 million is capital cost and Rs. 0.450
million is working capital. The project is proposed to be financed through 50%
debt and 50% equity. The NPV is projected around Rs. 1.665 million, with an IRR
of 40% and a Payback Period of 2.84 years. The legal business status of this
project is proposed as a ‘Sole Proprietorship’.
The most critical considerations or factors for success of the project are:
June 2015
Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
3 INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA
The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) was
established in October 1998 with an objective to provide fresh impetus to the
economy through development of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).
With a mission "to assist in employment generation and value addition to the
national income, through development of the SME sector, by helping increase the
number, scale and competitiveness of SMEs", SMEDA has carried out ‘sectoral
research’ to identify policy, access to finance, business development services,
strategic initiatives and institutional collaboration and networking initiatives.
Preparation and dissemination of Pre-feasibility studies in key areas of investment
has been a successful hallmark of SME facilitation by SMEDA.
Concurrent to the Pre-feasibility studies, a broad spectrum of business
development services is also offered to the SMEs by SMEDA. These services
include identification of experts and consultants and delivery of need based
capacity-building programs of different types in addition to business guidance
through help desk services.
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Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
The initial stage in Mineral Water Distribution Model process flow is the source of
mineral water. Water will be procured directly from processing facility of any
Registered & Licensed Mineral Water Supplier. For this Pre-feasibility, it is
suggested that Distribution agreement should be made with any Registered Brand
and water should be marketed and distributed to the household and corporate
clients directly from the factory premises. This business model is less capital
intensive and it also fulfils the regulatory requirements as the Brand already holds
the licence and mandatory registration. As per market current market trend, it is
estimated that 19 litres of Jumbo bottles are available at Rs.20 per bottle, with
washing, filling & capping services. After this, bottles can be distributed to the
customer directly from the supplier’s facility.
In the past before 2010, much of the mineral water was being imported. But today
the demand is being met by local producers / distributors. According to PSQCA,
there are around 285 1 registered / licensed brands available in the market thus
showing a substantial growth by the industry. Other than registered brands, it is
estimated that there are hundreds of unregistered brands being supplied in the
market.
• Location: Distribution Model can be set-up in any major city with significant
population such as Karachi, Hyderabad, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Multan,
Islamabad, Peshawar and Quetta.
• Target Market: The target markets for Bottled / Mineral water consist of
Households, Hotel Industry, Hospitals, Offices, Homes, Educational
Institutions, Commercial Markets and Hygiene conscious people. Moreover,
the Bottled / Mineral water has been emerging as a daily preference of Upper,
Middle & Lower Middle class due to unavailability of clean / pure drinking
water.
1
PSQCA website
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Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
• Stage 3: Empty bottles are then washed, filled and sealed at supplier’s
facility.
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Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
6 CRITICAL FACTORS
The market for mineral water distribution is a growing market, but offers tough
competition. Critical success factors that affect the decision to invest in the
proposed business are:
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Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
Description Details
Returns on the business and its profitability are highly dependent on effective
management of logistics, general reputation of distributor and its sales force.
Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to
bank loan:
June 2015
Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
Description Details
Total Equity (50%) Rs. 836,470
Bank Loan (50%) Rs. 836,470
Markup to the Borrower (%age / annum) 18%
Tenure of the Loan (Years) 5
Description Amount
Rs.
Capital Cost
Bottles Requirement ( 500 Bottles ) 275,000
Furniture & Fixtures 40,000
Office Vehicles 698,000
Office Equipment 50,000
Pre-operating Costs 119,000
Legal, Licensing & Training Costs 40,000
Total Capital Costs 1,222,000
Working Capital
Up-front Building Rental 180,000
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Table 5: Equipment
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The above table provides details of human resource required to run the proposed
unit. Owner / Manager will look after the financial, marketing and distribution
matters. Sales supervisor will distribute Mineral Water in the market under the
supervision of the Owner / Manager.
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Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
10 CONTACT DETAILS
In order to facilitate potential investors, contact details of private sector Service
Providers relevant to the proposed project be given:
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Pre-Feasibility Study (Mineral Water Distribution Model)
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12 ANNEXURES
Calculations SMEDA
Income Statement
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Revenue 3,556,184 4,107,393 4,704,832 5,351,746 6,051,590 6,808,039 7,625,003 8,506,644 9,457,387 9,930,256
Cost of sales
Cost of goods sold 1 1,094,211 1,263,813 1,447,641 1,646,691 1,862,028 2,094,781 2,346,155 2,617,429 2,909,965 3,055,463
Operation costs 1 (direct labor) 144,000 158,020 173,405 190,288 522,037 572,863 628,638 689,843 757,007 830,710
Total cost of sales 1,238,211 1,421,833 1,621,046 1,836,979 2,384,065 2,667,644 2,974,793 3,307,272 3,666,972 3,886,174
Gross Profit 2,317,974 2,685,560 3,083,786 3,514,767 3,667,525 4,140,394 4,650,210 5,199,372 5,790,414 6,044,082
65% 65% 66% 66% 61% 61% 61% 61% 61% 61%
General administration & selling expenses
Administration expense 684,000 750,595 823,674 903,868 1,218,086 1,336,681 1,466,822 1,609,634 1,766,350 1,938,324
Administration benefits expense 47,880 52,542 57,657 63,271 85,266 93,568 102,678 112,674 123,645 135,683
Building rental expense 180,000 189,000 198,450 208,373 218,791 229,731 241,217 253,278 265,942 279,239
Electricity expense 51,433 56,576 62,234 68,457 75,303 82,833 91,117 100,228 110,251 121,276
Fuel for Vehicles 257,125 282,838 308,550 334,263 359,975 385,688 411,400 437,113 462,825 462,825
Communications expense (phone, fax, mail, internet, etc.) 34,200 37,530 41,184 45,193 60,904 66,834 73,341 80,482 88,318 96,916
Office vehicles maintainance expense 69,800 76,780 84,458 92,904 102,194 112,414 123,655 136,020 149,622 164,585
Office expenses (stationary, entertainment, janitorial services, etc.) 27,360 30,024 32,947 36,155 48,723 53,467 58,673 64,385 70,654 77,533
Promotional expense 53,343 61,611 70,572 80,276 90,774 102,121 114,375 127,600 141,861 148,954
Insurance expense 20,940 18,846 16,752 14,658 12,564 10,470 8,376 6,282 4,188 2,094
Professional fees (legal, audit, consultants, etc.) 71,124 82,148 94,097 107,035 121,032 136,161 152,500 170,133 189,148 198,605
Depreciation expense 133,800 142,050 151,538 162,448 174,995 190,191 192,470 195,091 198,106 201,572
Amortization of pre-operating costs 23,800 23,800 23,800 23,800 23,800 - - - - -
Amortization of legal, licensing, and training costs 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 - - - - -
Bad debt expense 71,124 82,148 94,097 107,035 121,032 136,161 152,500 170,133 189,148 198,605
Miscellaneous expense 1 200,000 210,000 220,500 231,525 243,101 255,256 268,019 281,420 295,491 310,266
Subtotal 1,933,928 2,104,487 2,288,509 2,487,260 2,964,541 3,191,574 3,457,143 3,744,473 4,055,548 4,336,477
Operating Income 384,046 581,073 795,277 1,027,506 702,984 948,820 1,193,068 1,454,899 1,734,867 1,707,605
Tax 50,297 97,293 143,762 194,489 134,636 189,764 238,614 290,980 346,973 341,521
NET PROFIT/(LOSS) AFTER TAX 201,186 389,172 575,048 777,955 538,544 759,056 954,454 1,163,919 1,387,893 1,366,084
Balance brought forward 60,356 134,858 212,972 297,278 250,747 302,941 377,218 462,341 555,070
Total profit available for appropriation 201,186 449,528 709,906 990,927 835,822 1,009,803 1,257,395 1,541,137 1,850,235 1,921,154
Dividend 140,830 314,670 496,934 693,649 585,075 706,862 880,176 1,078,796 1,295,164 1,344,808
Balance carried forward 60,356 134,858 212,972 297,278 250,747 302,941 377,218 462,341 555,070 576,346
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Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Assets
Current assets
Cash & Bank 415,000 290,176 391,620 480,868 557,590 202,479 393,354 600,648 812,275 1,024,027 1,154,796
Accounts receivable - - - - - - - - - -
Finished goods inventory - - - - - - - - - -
Equipment spare part inventory - - - - - - - - - - -
Raw material inventory - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-paid annual land lease - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-paid building rent 15,000 15,750 16,538 17,364 18,233 19,144 20,101 21,107 22,162 23,270 23,270
Pre-paid machinery & equipment lease interest - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-paid office equipment lease interest - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-paid office vehicles lease interest - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-paid insurance 20,940 18,846 16,752 14,658 12,564 10,470 8,376 6,282 4,188 2,094 2,094
Total Current Assets 450,940 324,772 424,910 512,891 588,387 232,093 421,832 628,036 838,625 1,049,391 1,180,160
Fixed assets
Land - - - - - - - - - - -
Building/Infrastructure - - - - - - - - - - -
Machinery & equipment - - - - - - - - - - -
Bottles 275,000 261,250 245,438 227,253 206,341 461,123 402,379 349,252 302,586 263,349 232,656
Furniture & fixtures 40,000 36,000 32,000 28,000 24,000 20,000 16,000 12,000 8,000 4,000 -
Office vehicles 698,000 628,200 558,400 488,600 418,800 349,000 279,200 209,400 139,600 69,800 -
Office equipment 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 -
Total Fixed Assets 1,063,000 970,450 875,838 778,853 679,141 855,123 717,579 585,652 460,186 342,149 232,656
Intangible assets
Pre-operation costs 119,000 95,200 71,400 47,600 23,800 - - - - - -
Legal, licensing, & training costs 40,000 32,000 24,000 16,000 8,000 - - - - - -
Total Intangible Assets 159,000 127,200 95,400 63,600 31,800 - - - - - -
TOTAL ASSETS 1,672,940 1,422,422 1,396,147 1,355,344 1,299,328 1,087,217 1,139,411 1,213,688 1,298,811 1,391,540 1,412,816
Other liabilities
Machinery & equipment lease payable - - - - - - - - - - -
Office equipment lease payable - - - - - - - - - - -
Office vehicle lease payable - - - - - - - - - - -
Deferred tax - - - - - - - - - -
Long term debt (Project Loan) 611,000 525,596 424,819 305,902 165,580 - - - - - -
Long term debt (Working Capital Loan) 225,470 - - - - - - - - - -
Total Long Term Liabilities 836,470 525,596 424,819 305,902 165,580 - - - - - -
Shareholders' equity
Paid-up capital 836,470 836,470 836,470 836,470 836,470 836,470 836,470 836,470 836,470 836,470 836,470
Retained earnings 60,356 134,858 212,972 297,278 250,747 302,941 377,218 462,341 555,070 576,346
Total Equity 836,470 896,826 971,328 1,049,442 1,133,748 1,087,217 1,139,411 1,213,688 1,298,811 1,391,540 1,412,816
TOTAL CAPITAL AND LIABILITIES 1,672,940 1,422,422 1,396,147 1,355,344 1,299,328 1,087,217 1,139,411 1,213,688 1,298,811 1,391,540 1,412,816
- - - - - - - - - - -
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Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Operating activities
Net profit 201,186 389,172 575,048 777,955 538,544 759,056 954,454 1,163,919 1,387,893 1,366,084
Add: depreciation expense 133,800 142,050 151,538 162,448 174,995 190,191 192,470 195,091 198,106 201,572
amortization of pre-operating costs 23,800 23,800 23,800 23,800 23,800 - - - - -
amortization of training costs 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 - - - - -
Deferred income tax - - - - - - - - - -
Accounts receivable - - - - - - - - - -
Finished goods inventory - - - - - - - - - -
Equipment inventory - - - - - - - - - - -
Raw material inventory - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-paid building rent (15,000) (750) (788) (827) (868) (912) (957) (1,005) (1,055) (1,108) -
Pre-paid machinery & equipment lease interest - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-paid office equipment lease interest - - - - - - - - - - -
Pre-paid office vehicles lease interest - - - - - - - - - - -
Advance insurance premium (20,940) 2,094 2,094 2,094 2,094 2,094 2,094 2,094 2,094 2,094 -
Accounts payable - - - - - - - - - -
Other liabilities - - - - - - - - - -
Cash provided by operations (35,940) 368,130 564,329 759,652 973,429 746,521 950,384 1,148,013 1,360,049 1,586,985 1,567,656
Financing activities
Project Loan - principal repayment (85,404) (100,777) (118,917) (140,322) (165,580) - - - - -
Working Capital Loan - principal repayment (225,470) - - - - - - - - -
Add: land lease expense - - - - - - - - - -
Land lease payment - - - - - - - - - - -
Machinery & equipment lease principal repaymen - - - - - - - - - - -
Office equipment lease principal repayment - - - - - - - - - - -
Office vehicles lease principal repayment - - - - - - - - - - -
Short term debt principal repayment - - - - - - - - - -
Export re-finance principal repayment - - - - - - - - - -
Additions to export refinancing - - - - - - - - - - -
Additions to lease financing - - - - - - - - - - -
Additions to Project Loan 611,000 - - - - - - - - - -
Additions to Working Capital Loan 225,470 - - - - - - - - - -
Issuance of shares 836,470 - - - - - - - - - -
Purchase of (treasury) shares
Cash provided by / (used for) financing activities 1,672,940 (310,874) (100,777) (118,917) (140,322) (165,580) - - - - -
Investing activities
Capital expenditure (1,222,000) (41,250) (47,438) (54,553) (62,736) (350,977) (52,647) (60,544) (69,625) (80,069) (92,079)
Acquisitions
Cash (used for) / provided by investing activities (1,222,000) (41,250) (47,438) (54,553) (62,736) (350,977) (52,647) (60,544) (69,625) (80,069) (92,079)
NET CASH 415,000 16,006 416,114 586,182 770,371 229,964 897,737 1,087,470 1,290,424 1,506,916 1,475,577
Cash balance brought forward 415,000 290,176 391,620 480,868 557,590 202,479 393,354 600,648 812,275 1,024,027
Cash available for appropriation 415,000 431,006 706,290 977,802 1,251,239 787,554 1,100,216 1,480,824 1,891,071 2,319,191 2,499,604
Dividend 140,830 314,670 496,934 693,649 585,075 706,862 880,176 1,078,796 1,295,164 1,344,808
Cash balance 415,000 290,176 391,620 480,868 557,590 202,479 393,354 600,648 812,275 1,024,027 1,154,796
Cash carried forward 415,000 290,176 391,620 480,868 557,590 202,479 393,354 600,648 812,275 1,024,027 1,154,796
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13 KEY ASSUMPTIONS
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