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UNIVERSITY OF BOTSWANA
Definition
If the rate of interest for a period is i, the present value of an amount of
1 1
1 due one period from now is 1+i . The factor 1+i is often denoted ν in
actuarial notation and is called a present value factor or discount
factor.
Let A(0) be present value; A(t) be the future value at time t and i be
the interest rate.
Accumulation under compound interest is then given by
A(t)
A(t) = A(0)(1 + i)t =⇒ A(0) = = A(t)ν t
(1 + i)t
Definition
A nominal annual rate of interest compounded or convertible m times per
year refers to an interest compounding period of m1 years.
quoted nominal annual interest rate
interest rate for m1 = m
Definition
Definition 1.8a: Effective Annual Rate of Interest
In terms of an accumulated amount function A(t), the general definition
of the effective annual rate of interest from time t = 0 to time t = 1 is
A(1) − A(0)
i= (1)
A(0)
Definition
Definition 1.8b: Effective Annual Rate of Discount
In terms of an accumulated amount function A(t), the general definition
of the effective annual rate of discount from time t = 0 to time t = 1 is
A(1) − A(0)
d= (2)
A(1)
A(1) − A(0) 1
i = =⇒ A(0) = A(1)
A(0) 1+i
A(1) − A(0)
d = =⇒ A(0) = A(1)(1 − d)
A(1)
i d
d = and i =
1+i 1−d
The last two are called equivalent rates of discount and interest,
respectively.
Definition
A nominal annual rate of discount compounded or convertible m times
per year refers to a discount compounding period of m1 years.
quoted nominal annual discount rate
discount rate for m1 = m
Definition
A nominal annual rate of discount compounded or convertible m times
per year refers to a discount compounding period of m1 years.
quoted nominal annual discount rate
discount rate for m1 = m
If i is the effective annual interest rate and i (m) the equivalent nominal
annual interest, then the following relationship holds:
m
i (m)
i +1 = 1+ (5)
m
m
i (m)
i = 1+ −1 (6)
m
Example
Assume an effective annual rate of interest i = 0.10. Find the equivalent
nominal annual interest rates i (m) and the equivalent nominal annual
discount rates d (m) for m = 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 12.
Example
When a credit card has a 24% nominal annual interest rate, you do not
only pay 24% on the balance. Rather, that 24% is broken down into 12
monthly interest charges on the average balance over a 30 day billing
cycle. So, one pays an effective annual rate of ....(0.2682).
Example
Which is better:
(a) 15.25% nominal annual interest rate compounded semi-annually, or
(b) 15% compounded monthly?
Solution:
(a) m = 2, i (m) = 15.25%, find ieff . Ans: 0.1583
(b) m = 12, i (m) = 15%, find ieff . Ans: 0.1608
A(1) − A(0)
d =
A(1)
1000 − 900
=
1000
= 0.10
Essentially, the discount rate is the forward price of a dollar (or any other
unit of currency) in the interest rate market with no carrying cost or
dividends (coupons) paid out.
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• The value of a dollar (or any unit of money) is expressed in terms of its
purchasing power, which is the amount of real, tangible goods or actual
services that money can buy at a moment in time.
• When inflation goes up, there is a decline in the purchasing power of
money. For example, if the inflation rate is 2% annually, then
theoretically a P1 pack of sweets will cost P1.02 in a year. After
inflation, your dollar does not go as far as it did in the past.
Definition
Definition 1.12: Real Rate of Return
With annual interest rate i and annual inflation rate r , the real rate of
interest for the year is
Find the real rate of interest for an investor who invests P1 000 for a year
when the money market yield is 5% and inflation is 3%.
Definition
Definition: Hyperinflation
Hyperinflation occurs when a country experiences very high and usually
accelerating rates of inflation, rapidly eroding the real value of the local
currency, and causing the population to minimize their holdings of local
money.
Objectives:
• Calculate the present and future value of an ordinary annuity and of an
annuity due.
• Calculate the amount of interest earned in an ordinary annuity.
• Calculate the total contributions to an ordinary annuity.
• Calculate monthly payments that will produce a given future value.
a, ar , ar 2 , ar 3 , · · · , ar n−1 ...
ar ar 2 ar 3 ar n
r= = = 2 = · · · = n−1
a ar ar ar
s = a + ar + ar 2 + ar 3 + · · · + ar n−1 ,
rs = ar + ar 2 + ar 3 + ar 4 + · · · + ar n ,
s − rs = a − ar n ,
s(1 − r ) = a(1 − r n ),
n
so, s = a 1−r
1−r (if r 6= 1). As n goes to infinity, the absolute value of
r must be less than one for the series to converge. The sum then
becomes P∞ a
a + ar + ar 2 + ar 3 + ar 4 + · · · = k=0 ar k = 1−r , for |r | < 1.
When a = 1, this can be simplified to
1
1 + r + r 2 + r 3 + · · · = 1−r .
Victor Gumbo - PhD, CBiiPro MAF 101 Mathematics of Finance
Finding the nth term in a GP
Example
Write down the 8th term in the GP 1,3,9,....
Solution:
Note that an = ar n−1
Ans: a8 = 2187
Example
Find the number of terms in the GP 6, 12, 24,...,1536.
Ans: n = 9
Example
Find the sum of the geometric series −2, 12 , − 81 , · · · , − 37268
1
52429
Ans: n = 9, S9 = 60536
Each repayment must be changed to its present value PV. Doing this and
then considering the sum of the series, the sum of the series is
1 − (1 + r )−n
A=R (8)
r
where A is the present value of an ordinary annuity, R is the amount of
each payment, r is the rate per period (payment) and n is the number of
periods (payments). An ordinary annuity is an annuity where the
payment is made at the end of the payment period.
In the foregoing, we shall use actuarial notation as follows:
Let an|i denote the present value of the annuity, which is sometimes
denoted as an| when the rate of interest is understood.
As the present value of the jth payment is v j , where v = 1/(1 + i) is the
discount factor, the present value of the annuity is the sum of a
geometric progression
The present value of an annuity is the sum of the present values of each
payment.
an| = v + v2 + v3 + · · · + vn
1 − vn
= v
1−v
1 − vn
=
i
1 − (1 + i)−n
= (9)
i
If the annuity is of level payments of P, the present value of the annuity
is Pan| .
Example
Calculate the present value of an annuity-immediate of amount P100
paid annually for 5 years at the rate of interest of 9%.
Example
A man borrows a loan of P20,000 to purchase a car at annual rate of
interest of 6%. He will pay back the loan through monthly installments
over 5 years, with the first installment to be made one month after the
release of the loan. What is the monthly installment he needs to pay?
See Excel
1. Mr. and Mrs. Thuto wish to have an annuity for when their
daughter goes to university. They wish to invest into an annuity
that will pay their daughter P1000 per month for 4 years. What is
the present value of the annuity given that current interest rates are
8% p.a? Ans: P40 961.91
2. Katlego borrows P20 000 to buy a car. He wishes to make monthly
payments for 4 years. The interest rate he is charged is 10.5% p.a.
What is the size of each monthly payment? Ans: P512.07
• Where regular payments are made with a lump sum at the end, the
lump sum at the end is called the Future Value of an annuity.
• A good example of this is a saving scheme where regular payments are
made to build to a lump sum at the end of a period of time.
• In business, this is called a sinking fund. It is used to save for the
future replacement of major capital items.
(1 + r )n − 1
S =R (10)
r
where S is the future value of the ordinary annuity, R is the periodic
payment, r is the interest rate per period and n is the number of
payments.
Notes:
(a) The number of payments in the series, n, is called the term of the
annuity or the frequency;
(b) The payments are of equal amount;
(c) The payments are made at equal time intervals with the same
frequency as the interest is compounded;
(d) The accumulated value is found at the time of and including the final
payment;
(e) The series of payments is referred to as an annuity-immediate;
(f) If there is no possibility of confusion, the subscript i is omitted;
(g) If the annuity is of level payments of P, the future value of the
annuity is Psn|i .
A man wants to save P100,000 to pay for his son’s education in 10 years’
time. An education fund requires the investors to deposit equal
installments annually at the end of each year. If interest of 7.5% is paid,
how much does the man need to save each year in order to meet his
target?
AD = (1 + r )A0
1 − (1 + r )−n
= R(1 + r ) (14)
r
FUTURE VALUE OF AN ANNUITY DUE
SD = (1 + r )S0
(1 + r )n − 1
= R(1 + r ) (15)
r
Example
A company wishes to deposit an amount of money into an account at the
beginning of each year for the next 5 years to purchase a new machine
costing $50000. How much will each yearly payment be if the current
interest rate is 7.2% p.a?
Example
Joe pays $250 rent per week at the beginning of each week. He is
considering paying a whole years rent in advance; given the interest rate
is 5.2% p.a. How much is this amount?
1. Find the future value of an annuity due if $800 is paid into an account
at the beginning of each month for 5 years at a rate of interest of 5%
p.a. compounded monthly.
2. Find the present value of an annuity if the periodic amount is $450
per quarter for 20 years at the rate of 4.5% p.a. compounded quarterly.
3. A company leases office space for a period of 12 months. The
monthly rent of $2500 is paid at the beginning of each month. If the
company is to cover all rents with a single lump sum at the beginning of
the year and invests this at 6.3% p.a. how much will the lump sum be?
(1+r )n −1
Future Value S S= R (1+rr) −1 SD = R(1 + r ) r
1. Kevin Tumelo won $820 000 in a lotto game. With this lump sum
he purchases an annuity to give him a monthly income for the next
twenty years. The first payment occurs a month after the start of
the annuity. If the interest rate is 6.8% p.a. compounded monthly,
calculate the amount of each payment. Ans: 6259.38.
2. Sally borrows $10 000 to buy a car. If the interest rate charged is
10.5% p.a. calculate the monthly repayment over the term of the
loan, 5 years. The first payment is made a month after the loan
lump sum is advanced. Ans: 214.94.
3. Ditiro wishes to set aside all his rent for one year. This money will
be put into an account paying 6.6% p.a. compounded monthly and
his rent is $1040 per month. Rent is always paid in advance.
Calculate the amount Ditiro must deposit. Ans: 12111.31.
1. From the time Jane and John’s daughter was born, they decided to
save for her university education. Jane and John assume their
daughter will require $1000 per month for her four years of study,
payments being made at the beginning of each month. If Jane and
John save for 18 years, calculate the amount they must save at the
beginning of each month. Assume 6% p.a. interest is compounded
monthly. Hint: there are two annuities here, calculate the lump sum
required to fund the $1000 p.m. allowance first, then the monthly
amount the parents must save. Ans: 42793.22; 109.93.
2. Seabelo Transport Company decide that they must start saving for
a new vehicle in 5 years time. In an account that pays 5.4% p.a.
compounded monthly they deposit a one off payment of $20 000
and $500 at the end of each month. How much will they have at
the end of 5 years? (Hint: treat the two amounts separately, one is
an annuity and the other compound growth). Ans: 26183.43;
34352.36.
1 n
n 1−( 1+i )
Since an| = 1−v
i = i , as n −→ ∞, (1 + i)n −→ ∞ and
n
1
1+i −→ 0 so that an|i −→ 1i . Generally a∞|i = Xi .
The infinite period annuity that results as n −→ ∞ is called a
perpetuity-immediate.
Example
An amount of P10 000 is to be invested at an effective interest rate of
8%. If “only” the interest is withdrawn from the account but the
principal remains in the account for another year. This is allowed to go
on indefinitely as long as the principal remains.
Put in another way, P10 000 is just the present value at 8% of payments
of P800 at the end of each year, forever: 10000 = 800a∞|0.08
M = J × (1 + i)n−1 + (1 + i)n−2 + · · · + (1 + i) + 1
(1 + i)n − 1
= J×
i
= J × sn|i
h i
ln 1 + Mi j
=⇒ n = (16)
ln(1 + i)
L = K × v + v2 + v3 + · · · + vn
1 − vn
= K×
i
Li
ln 1 − K
=⇒ n = (17)
ln v
• A final payment made to repay a loan that is larger than the regular
payment is referred to as a baloon payment.
• A final payment made to repay a loan that is smaller than the final
regular payment is referred to as a drop payment.
• For both present value and accumulated value of an annuity-due, the
valuation point is one period after the valuation point for the
corresponding annuity-immediate. This leads to the relationships:
Objectives:
• Understand different methods of loan repayment.
• Understand the Amortization Loan Repayment Method.
For this example, a loan of P100 000 is being considered over a term of
10 years at an interest rate of 9% p.a. with monthly repayments.
Repayments on loans are made at the end of the month so this is a
ordinary annuity. The lump sum is at the beginning of the annuity so
the present value formula is used.
1 − (1 + r )−n
A = R
r
Ar
R =
1 − (1 + r )−n
100000 × 0.0075
=
1 − (1 + 0.0075)−120
= 1266.76
Thus, the monthly repayment for this loan (annuity) is P1266.76 per
month.
The amount of interest for the first month is 100000 × 0.0075 × 1 = 750,
so the amount of principal paid off the loan during the first month is
P1266.76 -750 = P516.76.
Hence the balance of the loan for the second month is P100 000 -
P516.76 = P99 483.24.
Definition
An amortized loan of amount L made at time 0 at periodic interest rate
i and to be repaid by n payments of amounts K1 , K2 , . . . , Kn at times
1, 2, . . . , n (where the payment period corresponds to the interest period)
is based on the equation
L = K1 ν + K2 ν 2 + · · · + Kn ν n . (20)
The outstanding balance (or outstanding principal) just after the first
payment is the unpaid loan balance:
OB1 = L × (1 + i) − K1 (21)
= L − (K1 − L × i) (22)
OB0 × i = I1 represents the interest paid at the end of the first period.
(OBt × i = It+1 )
where PRt+1 stands for principal repaid by the t + 1 payment. Note that
PRt+1 = Kt+1 − It+1
Loan Amount L:
Loan amount at interest rate i per period, to be repaid through n
payments Ki , i = 1, 2, . . . , n at the end of n successive periods.
Outstanding Balance just after payment at time t:
OBt is the amount still owed on the loan just after the payment is made.
Interest due in the payment at time t:
It is the interest on the outstanding balance since the previous payment
was made.
Principal repaid in the payment at time t:
PRt is the part of the payment Kt that is applied toward repaying loan
principal.
Example
A borrower takes out a 1-year loan for an amount of P250 000. The loan
is repaid in equal monthly instalments of principal and interest at the end
of each month starting immediately. Calculate the monthly instalment,
assuming that the bank charges interest at 9% p.a. effective and there
are no establishment fees.
OB0 = L
OB1 = OB0 − PR1 = L
OB2 = OB1 = OB2 = · · · = OBn−1 = L
OBn = OBn−1 − PRn = L − L = 0 (24)
Example
Consider a young couple who want to save for the purchase of a house at
the end of 10 years. If they estimate that they will require a total of
P200 000 for the house, how much should they deposit at the end of
each month in a savings account paying interest at 12% p.a. effective?
Consider a loan in which the lender receives interest ONLY and the
principal at the end, say after n periods.
The sequence of payments received is Li, Li, Li, . . . , Li, Li + L (n
payments)
Assume the lender wants to sell the loan to some investor. The investor
would obviously want to value the sequence of payments at the time the
loan is purchased.
He can do this by finding the present value at periodic interest rate j.
The investor will pay the lender an amount equal to the present value of
the payments based on j, not necessarily equal to i.
We say the investor has purchased the right to receive the payments.
This present value is given by:
A = Lνjn + Lian|j
1 − νjn
n
= Lνj + Li
j
i
= Lνjn + L − Lνjn
j
i
= K + (L − K ) (25)
j
where K = Lνjn is the present value of the repayment of principal.
The above formula is called Makeham’s Formula (Makeham, W. M.
(1860). “On the Law of Mortality and the Construction of Annuity
Tables”. J. Inst. Actuaries and Assur. Mag. 8: 301310.)
Example
A loan of P100 000 is to be repaid with 10 annual payments of principal
of P10 000 each, starting one year after the loan is made, plus monthly
interest payments on the outstanding balance. The interest rate is
i (12) = 0.12 Two years after the loan is made (just after the second
principal payment and monthly interest payment) the lender sells the loan
to an investor. Find the price paid by the investor if he values the
remaining payments at a nominal annual rate of interest of 6%
convertible monthly.
Given:
i (12) = 0.12, i = 0.12/12 = 0.01, j = 1/2%, L1 = L2 = · · · = L8 = 10000
Required: K , L, A
When the loan is sold, 2 x 10000=20000 principal had been paid.
Outstanding balance is L = 80000 and monthly interest payments at 1%
on the outstanding balance.
Therefore the present value of the principal payments is
K = K1 + K2 + · · · + K8
= L1 νj1n + L2 νj2n + L3 νj3n + · · · + L8 νj8n , n = 12
= 10000 ν 12 + ν 24 + ν 36 + · · · + ν 96
12
ν − ν 108
= 10000
1 − ν 12
= 61 687.68
i
A = K + (L − K )
j
0.01
= 61687.68 + (80000 − 61687.68)
0.005
= 98312.33
5. Caroline and Carol take out a home mortgage loan for P150 000 over
20 years at an interest rate of 6% with monthly payments.
a). Calculate the amount of each monthly repayment.
After 10 years Caroline receives a lump sum payout of P30 000 after
being made redundant from her university position. She decides to pay
this off the principal of the loan. She also decides to shorten the term of
the loan to just 5 more years (15 in total).
b). What will the size of the new repayment be?
Learning Items:
1. Types, features and risks of bond investments
2. Formulas for pricing a bond
3. Construction of bond amortization schedules
4. Pricing a bond between two coupon-payment dates
5. Callable bonds and their pricing approaches
6. Price of a bond under a non-flat term structure
2. Default risk: Default risk is the risk that the bond issuer is unable to
make interest payments and/or redemption repayment. Based on the
bond issuer’s financial strength, bond rating agencies provide a rating (a
measure of the quality and safety) of the bond. Bonds are classified by
rating agencies into two categories: investment-grade bonds (a safer
class) and junk bonds (a riskier class).
4. Call risk: The issuer of a callable bond has the right to redeem the
bond prior to its maturity date at a preset call price under certain
conditions. These conditions are specified at the bond issue date, and are
known to the investors. The issuer will typically consider calling a bond if
it is paying a higher coupon rate than the current market interest rate.
Callable bonds often carry a call protection provision. It specifies a period
of time during which the bond cannot be called.
Other risks in investing in bonds include: market risk, which is the risk
that the bond market as a whole declines; event risk, which arises when
some specific events occur; liquidity risk, which is the risk that investors
may have difficulty finding a counterparty to trade.
The following features of a bond are often agreed upon at the issue date.
Face Value: Face value, denoted by F , also known as par or principal
value, is the amount printed on the bond.
Redemption Value: A bond’s redemption value or maturity value,
denoted by C , is the amount that the issuer promises to pay on the
redemption date. In most cases the redemption value is the same as the
face value.
Time to Maturity: Time to Maturity refers to the length of time before
the redemption value is repaid to the investor.
Coupon Rate: The coupon rate, denoted by r , is the rate at which the
bond pays interest on its face value at regular time intervals until the
redemption date.
• The price of a bond is the sum of the present values of all coupon
payments plus the present value of the redemption value due at maturity.
• We assume that a coupon has just been paid, and we are interested in
pricing the bond after this payment. (Illustration of the cash-flow pattern
of a typical coupon bond)
• We shall assume that the term structure is flat, so that cash flows at all
times are discounted at the same yield rate i.
• Thus, the fair price P of the bond is given by the following basic price
formula:
1 1 1 1 1
P = C· + Fr · + + + ...
(1 + i)n (1 + i) (1 + i)2 (1 + i)3 (1 + i)n
n
= C νi + Fran|i (26)
= C + (Fr − Ci)an|i using the identity νin = 1 − ian|i (27)
= F νin + Fran|i , if C = F (28)
r
= F νin + (F − F νin ) (29)
i
r
= K + (F − K ) , K = F νin , [Makeham’s Formula for Bonds] (30)
i
where the interest and annuity functions are calculated at the yield rate i.
Example
Example: The following shows the results of a government bond auction:
Type of Bond: Government bond
Issue Date: February 15, 2010
Maturity Date: February 15, 2040
Coupon Rate: 4.500% payable semiannually
Yield Rate: 4.530% convertible semiannually
Assume that the redemption value of the bond is the same as the face
value, which is P100. Find the price of the bond.
This is a 30-year bond and we can use the basic price formula with
F = 100, C = 100, r = 0.045 2 = 0.0225, i = 0.0453
2 = 0.02265, n = 60,
to calculate the price of the bond, which is
P = Cvin + Fran|i
= 100(1.02265)60 + 2.25a60|0.02265
= 99.51
P −C = (Fr − Ci)an|i
• On the other hand, if the selling price of a bond is less than its
redemption value, the bond is said to be traded at a discount of amount
C −P = (Ci − Fr )an|i
• In most cases the redemption value is the same as the face value
(i.e.,C = F ), so that the bond is traded at
Example
Find the price of a P1,000 face value 15-year bond with redemption value
of P1,080 and coupon rate of 4.32% payable semiannually. The bond is
bought to yield 5.00% convertible semiannually. Show the first 5 entries
of its bond amortization schedule.
The details of the computation are as follows: (2.333% has been rounded
to 2% for purposes of easy illustration)
The modified coupon rate is g = Fr /C = 2% per half-year period.
Coupon payment is Cg = 1, 080(0.02) = 21.60, and it is the same as
Fr = 1, 000(0.0216) = 21.60, where r = 0.0432/2 = 2.16% per half-year
period.
P = C + (Fr − Ci)an|i
= 1, 080 + (21.6 − 27.0)a30|0.025
= 966.98.
Pk+t = Pk (1 + i)t
= (Pk+1 + Fr )(1 + i)−(1−t) , (33)
Example
The following shows the information of a government bond traded in the
secondary market.
Type of Bond: Government bond
Issue Date: June 15, 2005
Date of Purchase: June 15, 2009
Maturity Date: June 15, 2020
Coupon Rate: 4.2% payable semiannually
Yield Rate: 4.0% convertible semiannually
Assume that the coupon dates for this government bond are June 15 and
December 15 of each year. On August 18, 2009, an investor purchased
the bond to yield 3.8% convertible semiannually. Find the purchase price,
accrued interest and the quoted price of the bond at the date of
purchase, based on a face value of 100.
The number of days between June 15, 2009 and August 18, 2009 is 64
and the number of days between the two coupon dates in 2009 is 183.
Therefore t = 64/183. Hence,
64
Pk+t = Pk (1 + i)t = 103.5690(1.019) 183 = 104.2529
Or equivalently,
−119
Pk+t = v 1−t (Pk+1 + Fr ) = (1.019) 183 (103.4368 + 2.1) = 104.2529
The Excel function PRICE can be used to compute the quoted price of a
bond between coupon-payment dates. Its specification is as follows:
Excel function: PRICE(smt,mty,crt,yld,rdv,frq,basis)
smt = settlement date
mty = maturity date
crt = coupon rate of interest per annum
yld = annual yield rate
rdv = redemption value per 100 face value
frq = number of coupon payments per year
basis = day count, 30/360 if omitted (or set to 0) and actual/actual if
set to 1
Output = quoted price of bond at settlement date per 100 face value
The default for the input basis is the 30/360 convention. Under this
convention, every month has 30 days and every year has 360 days.
I Callable bonds are bonds that can be redeemed by the issuer prior
to the bond’s maturity date.
I Investors whose bonds are called are paid a specified call price,
which was fixed at the issue date of the bond.
I The call price may be the bond’s face value, or it may be a price
somewhat higher. The difference between the call price and the face
value is called the call premium.
I If a bond is called between coupon dates, the issuer must pay the
investor accrued interest in addition to the call price.
I Investors of callable bonds often require a higher yield to
compensate for the call risk as compared to non-callable bonds.
Example
As an illustrative example, we consider a P1,000 face value (same as the
redemption value) 3-year bond with semiannual coupons at the rate of
5% per annum. The current required rate of return i for the bond is 4%
convertible semiannually. Assume that the bond is callable and the first
call date is the date immediately after the 4th coupon payment. Find the
price of the bond for the yield to be at least 4% compounded
semiannually.
Treating the first call date as the maturity date of the bond, the price of
the bond is 25a4|0.02 + 1, 000(1.02)−4 = 1, 019.04. The prices of the
bond assuming other possible call dates, namely, after the 5th and 6th
coupon payments, are, respectively,
and
25a6|0.02 + 1, 000(1.02)−6 = 1, 028.01.
Thus, the price of the bond is the lowest among all possible values, i.e.,
P1,019.04.