SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.6865147853
R Square 0.4713025505
Adjusted R Square 0.3831863089
Standard Error 19947.152401
Observations 8

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2128166666.667 2128166667 5.34864563 0.0600451712
Residual \ 2387333333.333 397888888.9
Total 7 4515500000

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 650611.51079 246072.4947051 2.643983073 0.038335703 48493.8072568
X Variable 1 -13.54916067 5.8585545807 -2.31271391 0.060045171 -27.884527305
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
1252729.214 48493.807257 1252729.2143
0.786205963 -27.88452731 0.7862059626
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.6865147853
R Square 0.4713025505
Adjusted R Square 0.3831863089
Standard Error 1010.6910221
Observations 8

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 5463621.946628 5463621.947 5.34864563 0.0600451712
Residual 6 6128978.053372 1021496.342
Total 7 11592600

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 44828.643561 1280.441072922 35.01031364 3.618766E-08 41695.517125
X Variable 1 -0.034784631 0.0150406112 -2.31271391 0.060045171 -0.0715876805
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
47961.77 41695.517125 47961.769997
0.002018419 -0.07158768 0.0020184191
Tahun Produksi (Ton) Aktual (ton) Lokal (Ton)
2003 58.000 47.300 4.620
2004 58.000 47.300 4.620
2005 58.000 48.700 6.020
2006 62.000 49.650 6.970
2007 88.000 59.248 16.568
2008 110.000 59.248 16.568
2009 110.000 57.000 17.100
2010 110.000 57.000 17.100
Ekspor (ton) Produksi (Ton) Ekspor (ton) x2
42.680 58000 42680 3364000000
42.680 58000 42680 3364000000
42.680 58000 42680 3364000000
42.680 62000 42680 3844000000
42.680 88000 42680 7744000000
42.680 110000 42680 12100000000
39.900 110000 39900 12100000000
39.900 110000 39900 12100000000
total 654000 335880 57980000000
rata-rata 81750 41985

636206 615118 -21088.6

 y2
1821582400
1821582400
1821582400
1821582400
1821582400
1821582400
1592010000
1592010000
14113514400
Tahun Kebutuhan
2007 27,071 (Badan Pusat Statistik,2007-2014)
2008 28,995
2009 30,919
2010 32,439
2011 33,712
2012 34,829
2013 36,517
2014 37,963