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[PETROCHEMICALS ]

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POLYMERSCAN
Now online at pmc.platts.com Volume 37 / Issue 37 / September 17, 2014

Americas Polymer Spot Price Assessments


FAS Houston US Contract US Domestic FOT Brazil* CFR Brazil CFR PERU
($/mt) dlvd railcar ($/mt) ($/mt) ($/mt) ($/mt)
(cts/lb)
PVC SUSP 925-935 62.00-64.00 1366.48 -1410.56 —- 1065-1075 1030-1040


LDPE G-P 1764-1786 92.00-93.00 2027.68 -2049.72 1840-1850 1780-1790 1770-1780
LLDPE (Butene) 1698-1720 79.00-80.00 1741.16 -1763.20 1790-1800 1735-1745 1740-1750

HDPE Inj 1709-1731 83.00-84.00 1829.32 -1851.36 1780-1790 1710-1720 1745-1755
Bmldg 1687-1709 83.00-84.00 1829.32 -1851.36 1780-1790 1710-1720 1745-1755
Film 1709-1731 86.00-87.00 1895.44 -1917.48 1780-1790 1735-1745 1755-1765
Yarn —- —- —-

PP Homo Inj 1764-1786 82.50-83.50 1818.30 -1840.34 1655-1665 1685-1695 1685-1695
Fiber —- 83.50-84.50 1840.34 -1862.38 —- —- —-
Copol 1786-1808 —- 1695-1705 1725-1735 1725-1735
IPP Film
BOPP

PS G-P 1990-2000 126.00-128.00 2777.04 -2821.12 —-
HIPS 2090-2100 136.00-138.00 2997.44 -3041.52 —-
ABS Inj —- 122.00-124.00 2688.88 -2732.96 —-

PET bottle grade 1554-1576# 1940-1962##
Notes: All price assessments reflect spot trades with the exception of US Contract Delivered railcar. * FOT Brazil assessments are for export material via truck to MERCOSUR markets. # US PET bottle
grade refers to DDP US West Coast. ## US PET contract price is in $/mt.

Asian Polymer Spot Price Assessments Contents


CFR FE Asia CFR SE Asia CFR China Polymers
($/mt) ($/mt) South Asia Domestic
($/mt) (Yuan/mt) Polyvinyl Chloride 4
PVC SUSP 1029-1031 1029-1031 1064-1066 ^6940-6960 Low Density Polyethylene 5
^^5940-5960 Linear Low Density Polyethylene 6
High-Density Polyethylene 7
LDPE G-P 1549-1551 1579-1581 —- 12180-12220 Polypropylene 9
LLDPE (Butene) 1509-1511 1559-1561 1639-1641 10980-11020 Polystyrene 10
Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene 12
HDPE Inj 1519-1521 1569-1571 1629-1631 —-
Polyethylene Terephthalate 13
Bmldg 1539-1541 1569-1571 1629-1631 —-
Film 1564-1566 1579-1581 1634-1636 11980-12020 Polymer Feedstocks: Olefins
Yarn 1579-1581 1604-1606 —- —-

Ethylene 16
PP Raffia 1494-1496 1524-1526 1559-1561 11080-11120 Ethylene Glycol 17
PP Injection 1484-1486 1519-1521 1559-1561 —- Propylene 18
Fiber —- —- Butadiene 19
Copol 1599-1601 1609-1611 1614-1616 —-
IPP Film 1514-1516 1564-1566 1599-1601 —- Polymer Feedstocks: Aromatics
BOPP 1509-1511 1559-1561 1584-1586 —- Paraxylene 21
Styrene 22
PS G-P 1619-1621 1649-1651 —- —-
HIPS 1699-1701 1729-1731 —- —- Polymer Feedstocks: Intermediates
EPS G-P 1674-1676* Purified Terephthalic Acid 24
EPS F-R 1724-1726* Acrylonitrile 25
ABS Inj 1909-1911 1924-1926 —- —-
Ethylene Dichloride /

Vinyl Chloride Monomer 25
PET bottle grade 1244-1246 * 1284-1286 ** —- —-
Notes: Asian PVC, PS, and ABS, FE Asia refers to China. All Asian polymer assessments are basis L/C 0-30 days Credit differentials News
calculated using 1 month LIBOR +1.5%. ^Denotes ethylene-based production ^^Denotes carbide-based production. EPS F-R refers
26
to fire retardant grade. *Denotes FOB North East Asia (South Korea, China, Japan) **Denotes FOB Southeast Asia (Thailand,
Indonesia , Vietnam, Malaysia).
PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Daily Polymer Spot Price Assessments


Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Average
CFR FE Asia ($/mt)
HDPE film 1569-1571 1569-1571 1569-1571 1569-1571 1564-1566 1568.00-1570.00
LDPE 1569-1571 1569-1571 1549-1551 1549-1551 1549-1551 1557.00-1559.00
LLDPE 1534-1536 1529-1531 1509-1511 1509-1511 1509-1511 1518.00-1520.00
PP Raffia 1499-1501 1499-1501 1499-1501 1494-1496 1494-1496 1497.00-1499.00
PP Injection 1489-1491 1489-1491 1489-1491 1484-1486 1484-1486 1487.00-1489.00
FD NWE (Euro/mt)
LDPE 1248-1252 1248-1252 1248-1252 1248-1252 1248-1252 1248.00-1252.00
LLDPE 1248-1252 1248-1252 1248-1252 1248-1252 1248-1252 1248.00-1252.00
PP Homo 1258-1262 1258-1262 1258-1262 1258-1262 1248-1252 1256.00-1260.00
FCA Antwerp (Euro/mt)
LDPE 1228-1232 1228-1232 1228-1232 1228-1232 1228-1232 1228.00-1232.00
LLDPE 1228-1232 1228-1232 1228-1232 1228-1232 1228-1232 1228.00-1232.00
PP Homo 1238-1242 1238-1242 1238-1242 1238-1242 1228-1232 1236.00-1240.00
FAS Houston ($/mt)
LDPE 1764-1786 1764-1786 1764-1786 1764-1786 1764-1786 1764.00-1786.00
LLDPE 1698-1720 1698-1720 1698-1720 1698-1720 1698-1720 1698.00-1720.00
PP Homo 1753-1775 1753-1775 1764-1786 1764-1786 1764-1786 1759.60-1781.60
HDPE Blmldg 1698-1720 1698-1720 1698-1720 1687-1709 1687-1709 1693.60-1715.60
FOB Middle East Netbacks ($/mt)
HDPE 1558-1560 1558-1560 1558-1560 1558-1560 1553-1555 1557.0-1559.0
LDPE 1558-1560 1558-1560 1538-1540 1538-1540 1538-1540 1546.00-1548.00
LLDPE 1523-1525 1518-1520 1498-1500 1498-1500 1498-1500 1507.00-1509.00
PP Raffia 1488-1490 1488-1490 1488-1490 1483-1485 1483-1485 1486.00-1488.00
PP Injection 1478-1480 1478-1480 1478-1480 1473-1475 1473-1475 1476.00-1478.00
Notes: The weekly average represents the average of Thursday through Wednesday of the previous week.
FOB Middle East netback denotes CFR Far East Asia assessments minus the prevailing container freight rate from Al-Jubail to Shanghai for a standard 20-foot container.

Polymer Spot Freight Rates ex-Middle East ($/mt) Subscriber Notes:


From: Middle East Middle East
To: 25-100 mt >100mt Platts to update US benzene and aromatics pages Beginning
East China 18-22 10-12 October 1, Platts will publish daily FOB and DDP basis US
South China 14-18 8-14 benzene prices and commentary on Petrochemical Alert
India 40-52 20-40
Southeast Asia 18-25 18-24 (PCA) page 208 and daily FOB basis aromatics prices and
NW Europe 55-65 50-60 commentary on PCA 435. To date, Platts has published
Turkey 50-70 40-60 a combined daily benzene and aromatics pricing table
US Gulf 130-140 120-130
Latin America 165-175 160-165 on PCA 208 and combined daily benzene and aromatics
Notes: Please refer to the methodology guide for details on port locations. commentaries on PCA 208 and 435. The commentaries will
be split into two sections with bullet points to capture the
Metals most important trends of the day. Alongside the new, more
Aluminum US Sep 16 cts/lb 110.585 concise market commentaries will be separate assessment
Tin US Sep 15 cts/lb 983 rationales. The rationales are designed to give the reader
Tin Europe Sep 12 $/mt 21679-21801 a greater understanding of the Platts methodology and our
approach to pricing while leaving the market commentary
Foreign exchange in a more easily accessible format. Please direct any
€1 to $1.2944 £1 to €1.2602 questions or comments to petchems@platts.com with a cc to
pricegroup@platts.com
Global PP Prices
Platts changes timing basis for ethylene FD USG, Sept 2
2000 Effective September 2, 2014, Platts will change the timing
CFR FE Asia* ($/mt) FD NWE (€/mt) FAS Houston ($/mt)
basis reflected in its daily US spot ethylene assessment
1800 to current delivery month (M1) and next month (M2) from
the current 3- to 30-day basis. Platts will change the
1600 current delivery month roll into next delivery month three
(3) calendar days prior to the end of the month. If this
day falls on a weekend or holiday, Platts will roll its US
1400
spot ethylene assessments to the next month on the next
business day. All other assessment parameters will remain
1200
in effect. Spot ethylene will remain assessed on a free-
23-Apr 22-May 20-Jun 21-Jul 19-Aug 17-Sep
delivered (FD) basis into the US Gulf Coast pipeline system
*From October 17, PP-raffia/injection assessment was replaced by PP-raffia for CFR FE Asia
(continued on page 27)

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 2


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Euro Contract Assessments (Euro/mt)


Germany Holland Italy France Spain Britain* FD NWE CP**
($/mt)
PVC susp Gross 848-852 848-852 848-852 848-852 848-852 703-707 1098-1102
PVC susp Net 823-827 823-827 823-827 823-827 823-827 683-687

LDPE G-P 1450-1455 1450-1455 1420-1425 1445-1450 1420-1425 1155-1159 1877-1883


LLDPE C4 (Blown film) 1400-1405 1400-1405 1400-1405 1400-1405 1400-1405 1115-1119 1812-1819
LLDPE C4 (Cast stretch film) 1400-1405 1400-1405 1400-1405 1400-1405 1400-1405 1115-1119 1812-1819
LLDPE C6 (Blown film) 1440-1445 — — — — — 1864-1870
LLDPE C6 (Cast stretch .film) 1440-1445 — — — — — 1864-1870

HDPE Inj 1350-1355 1350-1355 1350-1355 1350-1355 1350-1355 1076-1080 1747-1754


HDPE Bmldg 1330-1335 1330-1335 1330-1335 1330-1335 1330-1335 1060-1064 1722-1728
HDPE Film 1270-1275 1270-1275 1270-1275 1270-1275 1270-1275 1012-1016 1644-1650
HDPE HMW 2-5 1350-1355 1350-1355 1350-1355 1350-1355 1350-1355 1076-1080 1747-1754
HDPE HMW 5-10 1345-1350 1345-1350 1345-1350 1345-1350 1345-1350 1072-1076 1741-1747

PP Homo Inj 1420-1425 1420-1425 1410-1415 1420-1425 1410-1415 1131-1135 1838-1845


PP Copol 1470-1475 1470-1475 1460-1465 1470-1475 1460-1465 1171-1175 1903-1909

GPPS Net 1500-1510 1500-1510 1500-1510 1500-1510 1500-1510 1195-1203 1942-1955


HIPS Net 1580-1590 1580-1590 1580-1590 1580-1590 1580-1590 1259-1267 2045-2058
EPS 1535-1545 1535-1545 1535-1545 1535-1545 1535-1545 1223-1231 1987-2000

ABS GP/Nat 1690-1700 — 1690-1700 1690-1700 1690-1700 1347-1354 2188-2200


ABS Ave color 1940-1950 — 1940-1950 1940-1950 1940-1950 1546-1554 2511-2524
ABS Auto black 2090-2100 — 2090-2100 2090-2100 2090-2100 1665-1673 —-

PET bottle grade 1175-1179 — 1175-1179 1175-1179 1175-1179 915-919


PET bottle grade — — — — — 1148-1153##
PET bottle grade Net 1088-1092 — — — — 888-892 1408-1413
PET bottle grade Net — — — — — 1115-1120##
APET film grade 1164-1169
APET film grade Net 1078-1082
Notes: *FD Britain = FD UK, with assessments in British Pounds per metric ton. **FD NWE CONTRACT PRICE denotes FD Germany converted into US dollars. ## PET bottle grade assessments basis
FD UK are in Euro/mt. PET assessments refer to regular business at prices negotiated between buyers and sellers on a monthly basis. LLDPE C6 denotes products from Ziegler-Natta catalyst.

Platts European and African Polymer Spot Price Assessments


FOB NWE FD NWE FCA Antwerp CFR Russia* CFR Turkey** CFR North Africa FD UK
($/mt) (Eur/mt) (Eur/mt) (Eur/mt) ($/mt) ($/mt) (GBP/mt)
PVC SUSP 962-966 823-827 — 794-798 1043-1047 — —
($/mt) 1028-1032

LDPE G-P 1538-1543 1248-1252 1228-1232 1198-1202 1650-1654 1658-1662 —


LLDPE (Butene) —- 1248-1252 1228-1232 1198-1202 1646-1650 1583-1587 —

HDPE Inj 1525-1530 1238-1242 1218-1222 1188-1192 1621-1626 1598-1602 —


Bmldg 1473-1478 1198-1202 1178-1182 1148-1152 1583-1587 1598-1602 —
Film 1538-1543 1248-1252 1228-1232 1198-1202 1627-1631 1598-1602 —

PP Homo Inj 1538-1543 1248-1252 1228-1232 1208-1212 1646-1650 1580-1584 —


PP Raffia — — — — 1615-1619 1580-1584 —
PP Copol 1628-1634 1318-1322 1298-1302 1278-1282 1704-1708 1640-1644 —

PS G-P 1747-1760 1410-1420 — — 1780-1790 1775-1785 —


HIPS 1857-1870 1495-1505 — — 1865-1875 1830-1840 —
EPS 1838-1851 1480-1490 — — 1870-1880 — —
ABS GP/Nat 1995-2005***
1661-1670 — — — —

PET bottle grade — 1053-1057 — — — — 863-867


PET bottle grade — — — — — — 1083-1088#
Recycled PET — 888-892 — — — — 733-737
Recycled PET — — — — — — 920-925#
Notes: FOB NWE prices are based on exports of 300mt or more. *CFR Russia denotes CFR St Petersburg; ** CFR Turkey denotes CFR Istanbul; *** ABS GP/Nat denotes CFR NWE in $/mt. # PET
bottle grade and Recycled PET assessments for FD UK are in Euro/mt. Recycled PET assessments are for a hot wash flake without food approval.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 3


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Polymers
Polyvinyl Chloride United States
US export PVC prices declined $5/mt week on week,
Europe assessed Wednesday at $925-935/mt FAS Houston, as
European polyvinyl chloride spot and contract prices producer to trader offers were heard at $940/mt FAS
remained flat this week, both assessed at Eur825/mt Houston range, against buying ideas heard in the $890-
FD NWE. The low demand that saw prices follow the 900/mt range. In markets, offers for US-made product
full drop in September ethylene contracts has now were heard at $990/mt CFR Turkey and offers were
been heard to have improved, sources said. Demand heard at $1,000/mt China which in turn net-backed to
had been seen reduced through August, more so then $925-935/mt FAS Houston, sources said. Sources pegged
had been seasonally expected, creating a buyers market trading levels in the $920-940/mt FAS Houston range,
early September, sources said. “We saw the biggest with one trading source expecting even lower pricing
summer lull this August, meaning customers will have in November, as domestic demand was anticipated to
to fill stock,” a producer source said. Demand has seasonally slow down in the fourth quarter. In industry
now reportedly begun to increase. “I was expecting a data, August PVC production declined to 1.328 billion
quiet week, however it’s been busy with more product lbs, down 13.2 million lbs from 1.341 billion lbs in
than expected moving,” a trader source said. After the July, preliminary data from the American Chemistry
September ethylene contract settled at Eur1,150/mt, Council showed Thursday. The figure brings year-to-date
down Eur55/mt from the August CP, its full impact of PVC production to 9.98 billion lbs. Preliminary sales
a Eur26/mt fall — as it makes up 48% of PVC — had and captive use in August amounted to 1.338 billion
been seen last week. After a full concession in ethylene lbs, a drop of 58 million lbs from the previous month,
further price falls proved difficult this month with while exports were at 428.3 million lbs, a drop of 33.1
producers running on tight margins, sources said — million lbs from July. August preliminary export volumes
consumers who needed to buy in September would put year-to-date PVC exports at 3.085 billion lbs. In
therefore buy now. However, those with good stock feedstocks, US spot ethylene marked its highest price in
levels have been heard waiting further, “We do not over 29-months, assessed Tuesday at 74.75-75.25 cents/lb
need to over-purchase on PVC now, we can run on FD USG, following short-covering of positions amid thin
low stock levels as we expect further price decreases,” supply and ongoing production outages, market sources
a producer source said, on the expectation of a drop said. The assessment is at its highest since the April 4,
in October ethylene contracts. Ethylene-feedstock 2012, assessment of the same level, Platts data showed.
naphtha was seen at $850/mt CIF NWE Tuesday, down September spot ethylene was last heard traded Tuesday
$22.25/mt from when ethylene last settled on August at 75 cents/lb MtB Wms, while October was last heard
29, where feedstock naphtha was at $872.25/mt CIF traded Wednesday at 73.5 cents/lb MtB Wms.
NWE. “Ethylene is a common factor in purchases, with
customers asking me would it be better to postpone?” Asia
a trader source said. Looking ahead, October will be Asian polyvinyl chloride prices fell again this week amid
a deciding month for the year as typically November continuing weak demand across Asia. The key import
onwards sees a seasonal drop in demand, sources said. CFR India market fell $5/mt week on week to be assessed
In Turkey, meanwhile, the spot price remains flat at at $1,065/mt, while the CFR China market fell $13/mt to
$1,045/mt on unchanged fundamentals with offers still $1,030/mt and the CFR Southeast Asia market fell $8/mt
heard as low as $1,050/mt CIF Turkey. The expectation to $1,030/mt. Major producer Taiwan’s Formosa released
of a decrease in the October ethylene contract, the its offers for October Wednesday at $1,070/mt CFR India,
strong US dollar against the euro and the low demand $1,030/mt CFR China and $1,030/mt CFR Southeast Asia,
seen in Turkey have all contributed to these low offer setting the benchmark for price negotiations across the
levels, trade sources said. Export offers from Europe were region. Other offers from Taiwan followed at $1,070/
also seen increasing in number following lower then mt CFR India against buying ideas below $1,050/mt.
expected sales through August and early September. Market participants said the response to October offers
Eurostat figures released Monday show EU exports of in India was weak as South Korean-origin cargoes had
PVC rose 35% to 124,045 mt in July, up 32,352 mt from been available below $1,060/mt in the past two weeks.
the same month in 2013. Exports to Turkey accounted One trade source said buyers were also standing on
for the majority of this rise, up 71% year on year to sidelines expecting prices to fall further during the last
47,707 mt July 2014. Year-to-date figures show that month of India’s monsoon season. However, several
around 321,583 mt of PVC has been exported to Turkey sources said end-users were likely to buy ethylene-based
from the EU in 2014 so far, compared with 234,492 mt PVC at close to offer prices due to a shortage of cheaper
in the same seven months of 2013. carbide-based PVC in India at present. In China, offers

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 4


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

were heard at $1,030/mt CFR against bids at $1,000/ the energy market was matched by unimproved demand in
mt and below. US-origin cargoes for delivery to China LDPE, still feeling the effects of the seasonal lull. In the spot
were heard offered at around $1,000/mt. No trades were market, one source said that LDPE demand was particularly
heard. A seller said October selling indications were poor in Italy, due to poor economic conditions. She added:
“reasonable” and deals were likely to conclude at offer “Italy is in trouble, we are in recession, and taxation is too
levels. The fall in CFR China prices this week may reduce high. The only [positive] aspect is export.” This trend of
the volume of US origin cargoes heading to China amid stronger European exports was spoken of again this week,
high feedstock ethylene costs, a Northeast Asia producer with one trader saying that there was a dearth of LDPE
said. In the Chinese domestic market, ethylene-based supply in North America which aided European exports.
PVC was assessed flat week on week at Yuan 6,950/mt Offers were heard in South America at $1,780-1,800/mt
and carbide-based PVC flat at Yuan 5,950/mt. Trades CFR Peru. In the contract market, prices were unchanged
for ethylene- based PVC were heard falling below Yuan at Eur1,450-1,455/mt FD NWE. The prices reflect the full
7,000/mt as downstream makers opted for cheaper ethylene contract price decrease of Eur55/mt. In recent
alternatives such as carbide-based PVC, a Chinese source Eurostat data, PE exports for the January-July period were
said. Standalone PVC makers have mostly cut operating up 3% year on year to 1,208,750 mt. PE imports were down
rates to below 40% of capacity amid high feedstock VCM 12% year on year to 1,444,504 mt. LDPE exports were
prices and falling demand. With fewer carbide-based up 17% to 524,442 mt, while imports were down 13% to
PVC exports expected this month, growing supply in 299,014 mt. In production news, Ineos shut its 400,000 mt/
the domestic China market will likely result in a further year LDPE plant in Cologne, Germany, on Monday after
fall in domestic prices, the source added. In Southeast a burst disk released pressure, leading to minor ethylene
Asia, selling indications were heard at $1,020-1,030/mt emissions, a company spokesman said Wednesday. The
against buying indications at $1,000/mt and below. With ethylene was burned out safely, he said. “Ineos notified
less Chinese PVC heading to India due to thin margins, the local authorities immediately and is now carrying out a
several market sources were expecting to see more head thorough in-house investigation” of the incident, he added.
to Southeast Asia instead. One Southeast Asian producer
said demand for carbide-based PVC remained strong at United States
$960-980/mt CFR Southeast Asia as it was cheaper than Spiking feedstock ethylene prices and continued talk of
ethylene-based PVC. strong domestic demand continued to strengthen beliefs
that US producers would be able to implement 3-4 cents/lb
Latin America increases for September contracts, sources said. Domestic
Latin American import assessments were steady for the contracts remained unsettled Wednesday and were last
week amid lackluster trade. The CFR Brazil assessment assessed for August at 92-93 cents/lb ($2,028-2,050/
was at $1,065-1,075/mt Wednesday, as trading levels mt) delivered-railcar basis, unchanged since a 4-cent/
were heard in the $1,070s/mt. Market sources said that lb increase in February. US spot ethylene was assessed
declining prices in Asia could lead to lower prices into Wednesday at 74.75-75.25 cents/lb FD USG, unchanged
Latin America, but that was not yet the case. The Peru from Tuesday and at its highest in more than 29 months,
assessment was at $1,030-1,040/mt on a CFR basis, as following short-covering of positions amid thin supply
trading levels were heard at the same level. Market sources and ongoing production outages, market sources said.
talked of expectations for lower prices in the fourth-quarter Spot ethylene prices are up 4.75 cents/lb week on week.
of the year, as dropping ethylene prices in Europe and Asia Strong domestic demand and the current ethylene market
were leading to PVC buyers concluding deals for October are giving producers less incentive to offer LDPE into an
deliveries at levels $50-60/mt below September’s levels. already quiet US export market, sources said. US-origin
US-based producers were yet to drop prices to those levels, LDPE export prices were assessed Wednesday at $1,764-
as ethylene prices in the US Gulf continued to hover above $1,786/mt FAS Houston, unchanged week on week, with
29-month highs at 75 cents/lb ($1,653/mt) FD USG. source saying there was no new resin being offered into
the market by producers. Bulk railcar prices from producers
to traders were talked earlier this month at 75-78 cents/
Low Density Polyethylene lb, with bagged resin talked at 80-81 cents/lb. Sources said
offers into Latin America remained at the same level seen
Europe a week ago, and were struggling to find traction against
European low density polyethylene spot prices were lower offers from Asia, the Middle East and Europe. “They
stable this week, closing at Eur1,250/mt FD NWE, as the have product, but it’s so high you can’t make it work,”
weaknesses upstream continued to hinder the market. a US trader source said. Other sources suggested that
Ethylene spot prices remained at a low previously seen current US pricing was better aligned for the domestic spot
May 27, and this slump in domestic ethylene prices has market, and with demand strong in the US, exports were
resulted in producers exporting 87,600 mt, or 10 cargoes, of not a high priority for some sellers. Multiple sources said
ethylene to Asia, loading September-October. The slump in the trend could continue through August.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 5


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Asia Brazil assessments remained stable, assessed Wednesday


Asian low density polyethylene prices fell this week as $1,840-1,850/mt. No trades, bids or offers were heard
sellers slashed prices to clear stocks before a week-long by close of assessment. Countries importing from Brazil
holiday in China in early October. The CFR Far East Asia could continue to see high pricing as Braskem began its
marker was assessed down $30/mt week on week at $1,550/ 35-day turnaround in Sao Paulo on September 6, with
mt and the CFR Southeast Asia marker down $20/mt at an expected completion date of October 10. A Brazilian
$1,580/mt Wednesday. Offers were heard at $1,550-1,600/ buyer with a Braskem contract said the company seemed
mt CFR China, with deals heard concluded around $1,550/ prepared for the stoppage in regards to supply but was
mt CFR China. A Thai producer lowered its offer by $10/ worried about higher prices in October. The source
mt from last week to $1,590/mt CFR China, while a Middle pegged the Brazilian market price at $1,850-1,900/mt.
Eastern producer lowered its offer $10/mt to $1,550/mt CFR
China. Buying sentiment was weak amid poor demand and
high inventory. Stocks of polyethylene and polypropylene Linear Low Density Polyethylene
held by producers in China stood at 930,000 mt this week
compared with 900,000 mt last week, and market sources Europe
anticipate the total will surpass the 1 million mark after European linear low density polyethylene spot prices
the holiday. In Southeast Asia, offers were heard at $1,610- were stable this week, at Eur1,250/mt FD NWE, as the
1,630/mt but there was little buying interest at such prices rise in demand following participants returning from the
amid lackluster demand. “Everyone is monitoring the holiday period was offset by the weakness upstream, as
China market now as it is the largest market in Asia. If it ethylene remained long. One trader said that inventories
continues dropping, material is expected to be diverted in were low in the market which prompted a need to buy.
huge volumes to the region, resulting in a supply glut,” said In the contract market, prices were unchanged this week,
a regional trader. In South Asia, deals were heard concluded tracing the ethylene drop, and closing at Eur1,402.50/mt.
at $1,630-1,640/mt CFR India this week. One producer said that order intake was very good, and
this was because of the weakening in the currency which
Latin America had resulted in a lack of imports. In recent Eurostat data,
Import prices for low-density polyethylene in Peru PE exports for the January-July period were up 3% year
dropped $20/mt week on week, assessed Wednesday on year to 1,208,750 mt. PE imports were down 12% year
at $1,770-$1,780/mt CFR basis, with Europe-origin on year to 1,444,504 mt. Linear low density PE exports
inventory pressuring prices lower, sources said. Offers for were down 3% to 85,718 mt, and imports were also down
Spanish-origin material were heard in a range of $1,780- 26% to 478,949 mt. In production news, ExxonMobil’s
$1,800/mt CFR basis. Other offers were heard at levels of metallocene linear low density polyethylene plant in
$1,835/mt CFR basis with letter of credit. Late last week, Notre Dame de Gravenchon, France, is preparing for a
Middle East-origin offers were heard at $1,800/mt CFR turnaround in October, a buyer said Tuesday. ExxonMobil
basis with CAD payment terms. These were not included is to cover the production shortfall in Europe by importing
in the assessment as they fall outside Platts’ specifications material from ExxonMobil Chemical plants in the US
for payment terms. European producers and sellers have and Singapore, the buyer added. The Notre Dame de
been steadily marketing product into South America over Gravenchon plant has a metallocene capacity of 170,000
the last two weeks, sources said. “Europe has opened the mt/year. ExxonMobil wasn’t immediately available for
door to its inventory to Peru,” a Lima-based buyer said. comment on the matter Tuesday. In addition to the
Latin market participants continue to see Spanish-origin metallocene site, two polypropylene plants and a cracker
product offered into their region on a more frequent are expected to go into turnaround during the same
basis as European market watchers contend they are period, sources said previously. The cracker and one of the
long in product, sources in that market have said. A PP plants are located in Gravenchon, while the second PP
US-based trader said he had sold into West Coast South plant is based in Lillebonne. The ethylene capacity of the
America in the $1,800-$1,820/mt range, but conceded steam cracker at Gravenchon is 425,000 mt/year, while the
he had heard talks of deals below $1,800/mt CFR basis. PP plants in Gravenchon and Lillebonne have a capacity
By comparison, US-origin LDPE film was offered into of 205,000 mt/year and 180,000 mt/year, respectively.
Peru this week at $1,850/mt CFR basis, but no deals were
heard completed at that level. In Brazil, CFR assessments United States
dipped $20/mt week on week to $1,780-$1,790/mt on US linear low-density exports, where available, again
what sources deemed more competitive offers from struggled to find footing against lower-priced offers from
Asia and the Middle East. LDPE offers were heard at other regions. LLDPE was assessed Wednesday at $1,698-
$1,800/mt CFR Brazil from the Middle East and Asia 1,720/mt FAS Houston, unchanged week on week. A deal
by Brazilian buyers, with one indicating that anything to Brazil was heard earlier this week at a price that would
lower may be for off-grade product. No deals or bids netback to $1,710/mt FAS Houston, with a source noting
were heard by close of assessment. In export pricing, FOT that the deal was above the local market level but accepted

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

because the buyer needed the quicker-arriving US-origin from Asia and the Middle East pressured prices. Middle
resin. An offer to Peru was also heard at a level that would East-origin film was heard offered in a range of $1,765-
netback to $1,730/mt FAS Houston. Bulk railcar prices $1,780/mt CFR basis. Offers for US-origin material
from producers to traders were talked in the 72-76 cents/ remained high at $1,810/mt CFR basis, garnering little
lb range earlier this month, but multiple sources noted buying interest, sources in the region said. In Brazil, CFR
this week that producers were not offering cars for export prices fell $35/mt week on week, assessed at $1,735-1,745/
at this point in the month. Current pricing was notionally mt with buyers and traders talking prices into the region
being talked more along the line of domestic spot because lower. Both Asia-origin and Middle East-origin product
of high demand and rising ethylene costs, which was was heard offered in ranges of $1,760-1,770/mt CFR basis
making the export market less attractive to US producers against bids at $1,725-$1,740/mt, with one US-based trader
— particularly against lower offers from Asia and the pegging the market at $1,740/mt CFR basis. One Brazil-
Middle East. Multiple sources said they were expecting based buyer reiterated he is solely buying product from
limited export availability from the US in October as Saudi Arabia due to pricing. Offers for US-origin product
well and most trader sources have been opting to source continued to be deemed too high, market sources said.
Asian and Middle East resin to supply global customers. A US-based trader was heard selling US-origin product
Platts assessed spot ethylene at a 29-month high Tuesday into Brazil for $1,800/mt, but he said the deal was made
after multiple traders were heard at 75 cents/lb FD USG under special circumstances, as the buyer needed prompt
for September. A deal was heard completed Wednesday delivery. For exports out of Brazil to Mercosur markets,
at 73.50 cents/lb FD USG for October. The spike in spot FOT Brazil pricing remained flat this week at $1,790-
ethylene pricing this week was heard leading to even $1,800/mt on thin trading. No deals, bids or offers were
stronger belief in the market that producers would be heard for the week. LLDPE was last heard offered into
able to implement their first price increase since February. Paraguay last week at $1,940-$1,980/mt CPT basis. FOT
Contracts assessments have been unchanged since that 4 basis pricing does not include freight costs, estimated by
cents/lb increase was implemented, but source said their sources at $100-$120/mt. In production news, despite
appeared to be little that could prevent the announced 3-4 Braskem’s 35-day turnaround at its Sao Paulo steam
cents/lb increases from going through this month. LLDPE cracker complex, a local buyer said Braskem had product
domestic contracts were assessed for August at 79-80 cents/ available for domestic buyers but acknowledged that
lb ($1,742-1,764/mt) for delivered railcars. imports were filling in the missing gaps.

Asia
Linear low density polyethylene prices were weaker this High-Density Polyethylene
week amid a selling frenzy. The CFR Far East Asia marker
fell $40/mt week on week to be assessed at $1,510/mt Europe
Wednesday, while the CFR Southeast Asia marker was Falling feedstocks weighed on prices this week, as HD
down $20/mt week on week at $1,560/mt, and the CFR blowmolding and film dropped to Eur1,200/mt FD NWE,
South Asia maker slipped $10/mt over the same period to and Eur1,250/mt respectively. HD injection prices were
$1,640/mt. The domestic China LLDPE price was assessed assessed flat at Eur1,240/mt FD NWE. One trader said that
at Yuan 11,000/mt, or around $1,436.58/mt on an import- prices had dropped as market participants reduced buying
parity basis, down Yuan 300/mt from the previous week on based on an expectation of falling prices. This expectation
softening demand. A Middle Eastern producer lowered its was based on the recent trend of a drop in feedstock
offer from $1,540/mt to $1,510/mt this week. Some deals prices. The drop in feedstocks was seen as ethylene
were heard concluded at $1,510/mt CFR China. Meanwhile, spot prices hit a low not previously seen since May 27
a Thai producer was heard to have offered at $1,600/mt CFR at Eur910/mt FD NWE, following the fall in the energy
China, down $30/mt from last week. Cargoes originating markets. The downside to prices was limited by the lack of
from Southeast Asia are exempt from import taxes under imports, caused by the stronger dollar, sources said. In the
the ASEAN FTA. In Southeast Asia, offers were heard at contract market, prices remained unchanged, tracing the
$1,580-1,600/mt CFR Vietnam. Demand was heard to be fall in ethylene, closing at Eur1,352.50/mt, Eur1,332.50/
lackluster and most buyers were waiting for new offers to mt, and Eur1,272.50/mt, for injection, blowmolding and
be announced early next week. In South Asia, deals were film respectively. One producer said that order intake was
heard concluded at $1,640-1,650/mt CFR India. Demand slightly stronger since market participants returned from
for imported cargoes were heard to be weak due to ample holiday, and that this limited the month-on month drop
material in the local market at competitive prices. in HDPE contract prices. In production news, sources
reported tight supplies of HDPE from LyondellBasell’s
Latin America 320,000 mt/year plant in Plock, Poland. It was not clear
Import assessments for linear low-density polyethylene whether the plant was in maintenance. Previously, sources
into Peru fell $25/mt week on week, assessed Wednesday reported a four-week turnaround for the plant. In the
at $1,740-$1,750/mt CFR basis as lower-priced product latest Eurostat data, PE exports for the January-July period

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

were up 3% year on year to 1,208,750 mt. PE imports were were unsettled with expectations producers would succeed
down 12% year on year to 1,444,504 mt. HDPE exports in efforts to implement 3-4 cents/lb increases because of
were down 6% year on year to 598,590 mt; imports, higher ethylene prices and strong demand. August HDPE
meanwhile were up 2.6% to 666,541 mt contracts were assessed for blowmolding at 83-84 cents/lb
($1,830-1,852/mt) delivered-railcar basis; at 83-84 cents/
Africa lb ($1,830-1,852/mt) for injection; and at 86-87 cents/lb
North African polyethylene prices were stable this week, ($1,896-1,918/mt) for HMW film.
as reduced availability from the Middle East caused by
the ethylene shortage was offset by poor demand based Asia
upon an expectation of falling prices caused by upstream Asian high density polyethylene prices fell amid weak
weakness, sources said. LDPE, LLDPE, and HDPE prices were sentiments this week, led by thin demand and high stocks
assessed at $1,660/mt CFR North Africa, $1,585/mt, and in China. The CFR Far East Asia marker was down $10/
$1,600/mt respectively. The prolonged poor demand in mt on the week to be assessed at $1,565/mt Wednesday,
Europe meant that European producers continued to look while CFR Southeast Asia was assessed $25/mt lower, at
to buyers in other regions, sources said. $1,580/mt. The CFR South Asia was assessed at $1,635/
mt, down $15/mt from the previous week. Offers were
United States heard at $1,570-1,590/mt CFR China. However, buyers
Strong domestic demand and rising ethylene prices were shunning the market as they anticipated prices to fall
continued to make for a virtually non-existent export under further pressure especially after the upcoming week-
market for US-origin high density polyethylene. Multiple long National Day holidays starting October 1, amid low
trader sources said they were finding it difficult to secure demand and high inventory. Some participants were on
product for export from US producers, with pricing being the sidelines awaiting offers, which were likely to come in
talked at a level that made more sense in the domestic early next week. Stocks of polyethylene and polypropylene
spot market than as competing offers against lower- held by producers in China were at 930,000 mt this week,
priced resin from Asia, the Middle East and even Europe. up from 900,000 mt last week. Market sources anticipated
Sources in Latin America said there were minimal offers stocks to cross the 1-million mark after the holidays. In
for US-origin HDPE, and those that were being heard China, domestic prices fell Yuan 200/mt to Yuan 12,000/
were not at workable levels. “The door is shut right now mt, or $1,567/mt on an import parity basis. In Southeast
for US material going anywhere,” one trader said. Most Asia, offers were heard at $1,600-1,610/mt CFR Vietnam.
US-based exporters were looking to other lower-priced Meanwhile, Malaysian material which does not attract
regions to supply customers outside the US. Most US any import tax, was heard offered at $1,620-1,630/mt CFR
export pricing was notional, and at a level sources warned Southeast Asia. Buyers in the region were also cautious
was several cents above the level need to sale. But with amid falls in the Chinese market. In South Asia, offers
domestic PE demand heard strong and spot ethylene were heard at $1,640-1,650/mt CFR India, and deals were
trading this week at 75 cents/lb FD USG for September heard concluded at $1,635/mt CFR India. Sources noted
and 73.50 cents/lb FD USG for October, there was little that demand remained firm amid current and upcoming
incentive for producers to make polyethylene for export. shutdowns. In related news, South Korea’s HDPE exports in
HDPE blowmolding was assessed Wednesday at $1,687- August fell 13.7% from the previous month to 87,249 mt,
$1,709/mt FAS Houston, down $11/mt week on week. Bulk customs data released Monday showed.
railcar prices were talked in the 71-76 cents/lb range, with
most market participants heard pegging prices around Latin America
74-75 cents/lb for bulk cars, though no cars where heard High density polyethylene imports to Latin America
purchased at that level. That price range would translate to continued to be dominated by Asian and Middle Eastern
$1,687-$1,709/mt FAS Houston. An offer to Peru was heard product as the US remained a non-factor for spot exporting,
at a level that would netback to $1,750/mt FAS Houston. sources said. In Brazil, the HDPE film assessment dropped
Bagged blowmolding was offered Tuesday at 77 cents/ $15/mt week on week $1,735-$1,745/mt CFR basis
lb ($1,698/mt) for a 85/mt cargo, which was too small to Wednesday while blowmolding dropped $20/mt to $1,710-
be taken into consideration. HDPE Injection was assessed $1,720/mt. A blowmolding deal was heard concluded at
Wednesday at $1,709-$1,731/mt FAS Houston, flat week $1,715/mt CFR Brazil. No confirmed deals were heard
on week, as product remained tighter than other grades of for film. Offers for all HDPE grades were heard at $1,740-
HDPE, sources said. Sources notionally talked prices about $1,760/mt on a CFR basis. Offers for Asian product heard
a cent above blowmolding. A deal was heard Wednesday at that level this week, however they would arrive in 40-45
at 82 cents/lb DAF Laredo. HDPE high molecular weight days, which fell out of Platts pricing methodology. Saudi
film was assessed at $1,709-$1,731/mt FAS Houston, down Arabia-origin blowmolding and film were both offered
$11 week on week, with no confirmed deals. Offers to into Brazil at $1,740-$1,760/mt on a CFR basis. Injection
Latin America were heard at levels that would netback to lowered $20/mt to $1,710-$1,720/mt. A deal for HDPE
$1,730/mt FAS Houston. September domestic contracts injection was heard at $1,715/mt CFR Brazil. US-origin resin

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 8


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

offers continue to be talked high, with all HD products and propylene imports for the EU were up on the year.
pegged in the $1,800/mt range by a Mercosur source. A Propylene imports were up by 23% to 154,315 mt for
market participant in Brazil said “the US does not need to January-July compared to same period last year. Exports
export, so they do not need to decrease the price.” In Peru, were at 13,970 mt about 1,000 mt higher on the previous
film was assessed $10/mt lower at $1,755-$1,765/mt CFR period. A similar picture was seen in polypropylene
basis. Korea-origin material was offered between $1,780- imports which at 439,338 mt for for January-July were
1,800/mt, with various factors — including late September up 3.8% on the year. PP exports, however, were down
loading and CAD payments required. Middle East film was to 472,560 mt for January-July period, 13% lower on
heard offered $1,720/mt CFR Peru with a letter of credit the year. In production news, LyondellBasell’s PP plants
of 120 days while Asian-origin film was offered at $1,770/ in Plock, Poland and Carrington, England, remained in
mt CFR Peru letter of credit 90 days. To compare, US-origin force majeure, despite supplies resuming from the plants,
material was offered at $1,830/mt CFR basis, per a source. sources said this week. LyondellBasell was not immediately
Blowmolding and injection were assessed flat week on week available to confirm.
at $1,745-$1,755/mt CFR basis. Asian-origin offers for all
grades were heard at $1,775/mt CFR basis, per a regional Africa
buyer. US offers included blowmolding at $1,850/mt and In northern parts of Africa, lazy demand taking cue from
injection at $1,820/mt CFR basis, per a Peru based buyer. In Europe and Asia triggered a softening in prices. The CFR
Brazilian exports, neighboring countries saw prices remain Far East Asia marker for PP homo grade slipped $5/mt
flat at $1,780-1790/mt CFR basis week on week. No deals, week on week to be assessed at $1,485/mt Wednesday,
offers or bids were heard on an FOT Brazil basis, which is an while European PP prices dropped Eur10/mt to Eur1,250/
export assessment to Mercosur countries. FOT basis pricing mt FD NWE. European sellers eyed export options to get
does not include freight costs, estimated by sources at rid of the length in the continent to Latin America and
$100-$120/mt. A Brazilian buyer pegged all grades of HDPE Turkey. In North Africa offers were heard at $1,580/mt
$1,760-1,800/mt for local buyers only. CFR for homo injection. Prices were assessed down $3/mt
on the week to $1,580-1,584/mt.

Polypropylene United States


With September contract pricing for US polypropylene
Europe settling at a rollover, talk in the market this week shifted
European polypropylene prices were down by Eur10/ to October, with talks of a possible decrease muffled by
mt on the week to Eur1,250/mt FD NWE, as demand a sudden spike in spot refinery-grade propylene prices.
faltered amid bearish October expectations. Despite September contracts were assessed Wednesday at 82.50-
the recovery in feedstock naphtha, and propylene spot 83.50 cents/lb ($1,819-$1,841/mt) delivered-railcar basis
prices remaining unchanged on the week at Eur1,061/ for homopolymer grades and at 83.50-84.50 cents/lb for
mt FD NWE Wednesday, converters remained cautious fiber grades after the contract price for polymer-grade
and demand was characterized as being hand to mouth. propylene settled last week at a rollover at 72.50 cents/
Naphtha has recovered from its year-to-date low of lb and market sources said PP contracts were staying flat
$834.25/mt CIF NWE touched on September 10, to be for the month. Polypropylene contracts in the US closely
assessed at $844/mt Wednesday. PP spot prices were heard follow PGP contract pricing as a majority of contracts
from Eur1,240-1,300/mt FD NWE. European PP was heard remain on monomer-plus formulas. Distributor sources
heading to Turkey, CFR offers heard at Eur1,265-1,280/mt have in recent weeks talked August demand as healthy
FD NWE as sellers liquidated long positions. One producer despite the increases, although other sources said those
reported selling 4,000-5,000 mt to Turkey from NWE. In increases had scared away buyers. Only one producer,
Turkey, raffia prices collapsed on a glut of product from Total Petrochemicals, had announced an outright
Middle East, two trading sources said, with offers heard increase of 3 cents/lb for September independent of PGP
at $1,520-1,530/mt Turkey. Prices were assessed $1,615- behavior. Another producer, LyondellBasell, through
1,619/mt CFR, down $31/mt on the week, while fiber and subsidiaries Equistar Chemicals and Mexico City-based
copol prices were pegged stable.: fiber grade offers from Basell Poliolefinas, earlier this month announced plans to
the Middle East were heard at $1,590-1,600/mt CFR and increase October polypropylene prices by 3 cents/lb ($66/
copol offers at $1,650/mt CFR ex-Middle East. European PP mt) in addition to any change in feedstock contract pricing.
was also heard being offered in South America at $1,740/ Some market participants, including distributors, have said
mt CFR. In the contract market, prices were assessed flat a decrease for October is not out of the question, but with
at Eur1,420-1,435/mt FD NWE. Producers confirmed spot refinery-grade propylene rising 6.25 cents/lb ($138/
that they had conceded to a decrease of Eur40-50/mt, mt) this week to 65.25 cents/lb, upward pressure could
while converters were eyeing decreases larger than Eur50/ be seen in spot PGP and PP, sources said. In exports, the
mt. The propylene contract price fell by Eur50/mt for FAS Houston assessment for homopolymer injection rose
September to Eur1,105/mt FD NWE. In other news, PP $11/mt week on week to $1,764-$1,786/mt on continued

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 9


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

tightness and nominally stronger spot propylene pricing, Latin America


with spot bids for PGP heard Wednesday at 69 cents/lb. Polypropylene import assessments into South America
Market participants in recent months have talked export were $5-$15/mt lower this week amid lackluster demand,
pricing at a 10-cent/lb premium over propylene prices. No sources said Wednesday. CFR Peru assessments for
deals, bids or offers were heard for the week. Co-polymer homopolymer injection fell $5/mt week on week to
assessments also rose $11/mt to $1,786-$1,808/mt to $1,685-$1,695/mt CFR Peru, while co-polymer receded
maintain a $22/mt premium over homopolymer. No $15/mt to $1,725-$1,735/mt CFR basis. Asia-origin
trades, bids or offers were heard for the week. For export homopolymer injection was heard offered this week at
to Mexico, offers for homopolyner injection molding were $1,710/mt CFR basis, while raffia was heard offered as low
heard this week at 82 cents/lb ($1,808/mt) DAP Laredo for as $1,680/mt CFR basis. PP for blowmolding applications
bagged material in trucks, with one trader saying he had was heard offered at levels of $1,710-$1,715/mt CFR basis.
not garnered any interest at those levels. Prime-quality No deals or firm bids were heard for the week. In Brazil,
homopolymer product was being offered at 79-82 cents/lb the homopolymer assessment also fell $5/mt week on
DAP Laredo, the trader source said. week to $1,685-$1,695/mt CFR basis, with sources talking
offers for Southeast Asia-origin material at $1,710/mt
Asia CFR basis. The co-polymer assessment fell $15/mt week
Asian polypropylene prices were stable to lower amid thin on week to $1,725-$1,735/mt CFR basis, with notional
trade activities on weak market sentiment. The CFR Far East offers talked at $1,740/mt CFR basis and no deals heard by
Asia marker for PP raffia grade slipped $5/mt week on week close of assessment. For exports out of Brazil to Mercosur
to be assessed at $1,495/mt Wednesday. Offers were heard markets, assessments were stable week on week at $1,655-
between $1,490/mt on an L/C at sight basis and $1,520/ $1,665/mt FOT basis for homopolymer grades and $1,695-
mt on an L/C 90-day basis. There were few inquiries and $1,705/mt FOT basis for co-polymer grades. No deals were
no deals were heard concluded. Market participants said heard by close of assessment. FOT basis pricing, which is
that buyers are keeping their inventories low. “Customers for Brazil product exported to Mercosur countries, does
are saying that next month the price is going down. not include freight costs, estimated by sources at $100-
They do not want to take stocks [right now],” one of the $120/mt. Elsewhere, offers for homopolymer raffia grade
market participants said. In China, domestic prices in the into Central America were talked at levels of low- to mid-
Shandong area were heard at Yuan 10,900-11,150/mt and $1,700s/mt on a CIF basis for material sourced in South
was assessed at Yuan 11,100/mt, down Yuan 200/mt week Korea and the Middle East and loading in October, a
on week. The assessed price is equivalent to $1,450/mt US-based trader said. In feedstocks, Venezuela’s Pequiven
on an import parity basis. Market sources said that coal- was heard restarting olefins production at its steam cracker
to-olefins and methanol-to-olefins plants are increasingly in El Tablazo after severe drought conditions forced its
pumping in supplies into the domestic market, weighing shutdown in early August. Confirmation from the state-
down prices. The PP injection grade was assessed at $1,485/ owned company was unavailable by time of publication,
mt CFR FEA, $5/mt lower on week. According to sources, but a regional source who buys olefins from Venezuela
the spread between PP raffia and PP injection grades were said the plant had restarted within the past week.
still at $5-10/mt with injection being lower amid relatively Production at the Ana Maria Campos (El Tablazo) complex
weaker demand. There were some offers heard for PP includes 600,000 mt/year of ethylene and 260,000 mt/year
injection at $1,480-1,490/mt CFR FEA on an L/C at sight of propylene, per company data.
basis. Meanwhile, the CFR Southeast Asia marker was flat
from the previous week and was assessed at $1,525/mt for
PP raffia grade. Offers were heard at $1,530-1,550/mt CFR Polystyrene
SEA. However, buyers were silent. A Southeast Asian trader
said: “At the moment they are not willing to bid. Everybody Europe
feels prices will go down further.” The CFR South Asia European monthly polystyrene contract prices were under
markers for PP raffia and PP injection were assessed at pressure this week amid continued weak demand and good
$1,560/mt, stable from a week earlier. Offers were heard supply. As a result, general purpose monthly contracts were
hovering at $1,565/mt CFR South Asia similar to last week. assessed at Eur1,505/mt FD NWE this week, representing a
One trader from India said a deal was concluded between Eur10/mt fall compared to last week’s level of Eur1,515/mt
$1,560/mt and $1,565/mt CFR South Asia. But this could FD NWE. It also represents a decrease of Eur50/mt compared
not be confirmed immediately. A second trader said the to the final August assessment of Eur1,555/mt, equivalent
market was quiet this week. “No deals being done [at the to a full pass-through of the September styrene feedstock
moment] as the market is very very silent. Everybody is costs. Some consumers were adamant that they would
expecting a drop [in prices] as crude has gone down.” In pursue the full Eur50/mt decrease at the very least, given
related news, South Korea’s PP homo exports in August fell the bearish state of the market, with the general consensus
2.6% from the previous month to 99,103 mt, customs data being that they would target a September GPPS contract as
released Monday showed. low as Eur1,450-1,460/mt FD NWE. This was countered by

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 10


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

another source who said that contracts were expected to “Demand is improving in September but it is difficult as
settle at around Eur1,500/mt FD NWE. Producers reported there is a lot of availability,” one source said. Sources said
seeking to expand margins and settle their contracts at a the weaker euro versus the dollar was providing European
decrease of between Eur30-35/mt but with the market well producers with the possibility of widening margins given
supplied, given the imports from Korea, Russia and Egypt the competitive advantage versus Asian suppliers. Sources
in August, buyers wanted more. One converter said that it reported that buying remained weak, however, due to
was looking to pay around Eur1,400/mt for its spot volumes ample supply. “We decided to buy for our needs but no
in September. In addition, a decrease in spot styrene prices more. There is so much availability...we have filled it
is starting to give an impression that styrene CPs could also definitively,” a source said. Meanwhile in Asia, GPPS was
fall in October, limiting any producer arguments for margin assessed $20/mt down this week to $1,620/mt CFR China
expansion in September or limiting any fall in polystyrene and down $10/mt to $1,650/mt CFR Southeast Asia as
contracts, according to a converter. “I think that everyone polystyrene buyers remained on the sidelines amid price
is disappointed because everyone thought demand would volatility in the upstream market.
be higher in September and October,” the same converter
said. Meanwhile, EU imports of general purpose polystyrene United States
(HS code 390319) doubled in July, pushing the region from September US domestic contract prices expectations
a net-long position to balanced, according to the latest continued to be talked at a 2-4 cents/lb lower from
Eurostat data. Net exports dipped to almost zero for the August contracts, but the contracts remained unsettled
first time after a steady decline registered over the past year. by time of publication, sources said. Most market
Imports rose to 17,499 mt in July from last year’s 8,550 participants said the contract would likely settle down
mt, bringing the cumulative volumes for the first seven 4 cents/lb from August but not all of the market was
months of the year to 105,774 mt. The increase in imports heard to be at that level, with at least one seller heard at
— mainly from Russia (3,864 mt), Egypt (3,462 mt), South down 2 cents/lb. Buyers had been seeking the decrease
Korea (3,449 mt) and India (1,967 mt) — reflected a more in September following a drop of 36-37 cents in the
competitive environment created by new capacities. In the September US benzene contract price from August. With
Turkish market, PS demand was also regarded as weak by benzene spot pricing dropping even further during
some suppliers, with offers seen as high as $1,820, according September, sources said another decrease in October
to trader sources. Egyptian suppliers were looking to offer at was possible. Domestic contracts were last assessed for
$1,820/mt CFR Turkey. However the same source said that August at record-highs for the second straight month
cash-flow problems among some buyers prevented them of 126-128 cents/lb delivered railcar for general-purpose
from paying near these levels. In expandable polystyrene, polystyrene and 136-138 cents/lb delivered railcar for
some producers were reporting similar bearish tones in high-impact polystyrene. If pricing moves lower in
the market. One producer said it was reluctantly expecting September, it would be the first downward movement in
to settle its contracts at around the Eur1,550/mt FD NWE polystyrene since June when prices moved down 1 cent/
level, admitting to a having to pass-through a decline in the lb. Domestic prices rose 7 cents/lb in July. Polystyrene
September styrene CP. As with polystyrene, EPS prices also demand was described as steady but slower following
fell Eur10/mt to be assessed at Eur1,540/mt. One producer the end of the summer polystyrene, sources said. Supply
admitted that it expected to settle its September contracts was described as snug, but buyers have not had any
at Eur1,550/mt FD NWE. European producers, who wanted issues finding product, sources said. The expected drop
to expand margins, admitted that the current sentiment did in polystyrene prices comes on the heels of a 58-59
not allow for this. “EPS goes into construction and the sector cents/gal drop in benzene contract prices since July,
is not doing so well. There are not that many construction settling at 469-470 cents/gal for September, sources
projects. At the moment the economy is not going so well said. Benzene spot prices were assessed at 430 cents/
and there is not that much confidence. People buy what they gal FOB USG Wednesday. A movement of 10 cents/
need,” an EPS producer said. The EU’s net exports of EPS (HS gal in benzene is equal to 1 cent/lb in styrene and
code 390311) also diminished, mirroring GPPS dynamics. polystyrene production costs, industry sources have
They dipped to 1,788 mt, down 75% year on year. Exports, said, so the 58-59 cents/gal drop in benzene contracts
which totaled 6,311 mt in July and 60,991 mt in the first is equal to almost 6 cents less of production costs
seven months of the year, headed mainly to Turkey, the for styrene and polystyrene. In production, Americas
Balkans and Switzerland. Imports, which have been pretty Styrenics declared force majeure on all polystyrene and
stable over the past four months, amounted to 4,523 mt in styrene sales, effective August 1, according to letters
July and originated in Norway, China and Taiwan. the company sent to customers in July. The company
cited limited feedstock ethylene supply for the force
Africa majeure declarations in the letters. Sources said the
North African polystyrene prices were assessed unchanged force majeure on both products was still in effect, but
this week, despite producer attempts to raise prices as confirmation from the producer was unavailable. In the
market sources looked to demand improving in September. export market, the GPPS and HIPS assessments were

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

unchanged on the week at $1,995/mt FAS Houston and intake after a poor start to the month. Despite this,
$2,095/mt FAS Houston, respectively. No new offers or feedstock costs in September had fallen and there were
bids were heard this week as US prices were still heard to expectations they could fall further in October as styrene
be too high compared to other regions. A South Korean- spot prices were seen around $80/mt lower so far in
origin offer on HIPS was heard at $1,900/mt CFR Peru. September, leading consumers to expect further pass-
through next month. Market sources said local producers
Asia were buoyed by a rise in exports, taking advantage of the
GPPS: Asian general-purpose polystyrene was assessed weaker euro versus the dollar. One producer said that
lower week on week, by $20/mt to $1,620/mt CFR China there were signs that seasonal demand was coming back
and down $10/mt to $1,650/mt CFR Southeast Asia in time for the pre-Christmas cycle. “If I take (my) average
as polystyrene buyers remained on the sideline amid year-to-date [volume orders as an indication] and compare
price volatility in the upstream market. Offers heard on to August we are 10% below average [but] we will be 10%
a CFR China basis ranged from $1,630-1,730/mt CFR above average [in September] and the strongest month
China, but the seller offering $1,630/mt CFR China of the year. Seasonality, and to a larger extent the forex
said buyers were not yet willing to commit. Upstream rate — these are the two factors that are driving things.,”
styrene monomer prices rebounded $41/mt week on a producer said. Meanwhile, EU imports of ABS rose 10%
week to $1,524/mt CFR China on Wednesday on short year on year to 16,661 mt in July, according to the latest
covering and a reduction in SM inventories in China. Eurostat data. Between January and July the block has
However, downstream demand did not appear to have imported 103,513 mt of ABS, a 9% rise from last year.
improved much at the moment. In Southeast Asia prices Exports meanwhile were relatively stable both in July and
continued on a downtrend this week and a producer said in the first seven months of the year, amounting to 10,515
the CFR Southeast Asia market was around $1,650/mt, mt and 70,884 mt respectively. As a result, net imports
despite offers heard at $1,675/mt CFR Southeast Asia. rose by around 40% to 6,146 mt in July and 32,629 mt
HIPS: High-impact polystyrene was assessed $5/mt lower year to date. South Korea and Taiwan remained main
to $1,700/mt CFR China and down $10/mt to $1,730/ suppliers of ABS into the EU in July, with 11,447 mt and
mt CFR Southeast Asia. Offers were heard from $1,710/ 3,193 mt of product shipped respectively. Exports went
mt up to $1,870/mt on a CFR China basis, while deals primarily to Turkey, Switzerland and China — between
were heard around $1,730/mt on a CFR Southeast Asia 1,500 mt and 2,500 mt each — whereas shipments to
basis. Co-feedstock butadiene rose $20/mt week on week Russia and Brazil ebbed to just below 500 mt. In Asia,
to $1,530/mt CFR China on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the market was assessed $15/mt lower week on week at
in plant news, France’s Total Petrochemicals started $1,910/mt CFR China and $10/mt lower at $1,925/mt CFR
test runs at its new 200,000 mt/year polystyrene plant Southeast Asia, as buyers were still hesitant amid upstream
at Ningbo, eastern China, on September 15, market volatility, especially in the styrene monomer market.
sources said Wednesday. The company plans to run at
full capacity in October and initially produce HIPS at the United States
new plant, which consists of a single production line. The US acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene domestic assessment
Sources close to the company said the new line is the was unchanged for the week at 123 cents/lb delivered
second largest of its kind in the world and the largest in railcar on Wednesday, as the market participants monitored
Asia. Total has an existing 200,000 mt/year polystyrene feedstock movements. ABS domestic pricing was heard from
plant in Foshan, South China and a 100,000 mt/year the low to mid-120s cents/lb, with a source narrowing the
polystyrene plant in Singapore. In other news, South range to 123-126 cents/lb delivered. Sources said pricing
Korea exported 28,370 mt of HIPS in August, down could drop in October if feedstocks, specifically styrene
almost 13% from July, customs data released Monday and butadiene, continue to head lower. ABS demand was
showed. EPS: Expandable polystyrene was assessed characterized as stable and expected to remain that way
unchanged at $1,675/mt for general purpose and at into October, while supply was available, sources said. In
$1,725/mt for fire retardant, both on a FOB Northeast feedstocks, styrene was assessed down a half-cent on the
Asia basis. Offers were stable from last week. In related week at 67.90 cents/lb FOB USG Wednesday as supply was
news, South Korea exported 10,794 mt of EPS in August, heard becoming longer in the market and demand was slow
up 6.6% from July, customs data showed. with arbitrages to Europe and Asia still shut, sources said.
Upstream from styrene in benzene, the spot assessment
rose 8 cents on the week to 430 cents/gal FOB USG as
Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene confidence was restored in the market following lower
prices. In other feedstocks, US spot butadiene was down
Europe another 2 cents on the week to 56 cents/lb CIF USG. Early
European acrylonitrile butadiene styrene contracts were expectations for the October US butadiene contract were
assessed at Eur1,695/mt FD NWE Wednesday unchanged for a rollover to down settlement from September. US spot
on the week, with producers reporting improved order ACN was assessed flat on the week at $1,980/mt FOB USG.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 12


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Asia difficult market for European PET makers. “Those September


Acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene was assessed $15/mt lower contracts which have not been agreed yet, might have to be
week on week at $1,910/mt CFR China and $10/mt lower at at a higher level to make up for August losses,” he also said.
$1,925/mt CFR Southeast Asia, as buyers were still hesitant There was still no settlement on MEG. Contract PET prices
amid upstream volatility, especially in the styrene monomer had moved down at a higher pace from July, dipping from
market. Deals were reported by producers in the range of Eur1,130/mt at the end of July to the current Eur1,090/mt.
$1,900-1,950/mt CFR China. There were some offers close In the spot market, sources were still reporting offers from
to $1,910/mt CFR China, while others were as high as new European capacities at Eur1,045-1,050/mt, however,
$2,030/mt CFR China. “Demand is so bad, many dealers it continued to be unclear whether these was in pursuit
expect the ABS price to go down more,” a source with a of greater market share or whether they reflected material
producer said. However, the feedback from the market was with lower quality. “I heard it was off-spec [material offered]
mixed, and a source with another producer said: “ABS is to two sheet manufacturers,” a trader said. Another trader
still OK, we can do deals, demand is more stable than for believed though, that JBF and Lotte were undercutting
polystyrene.” But prices were still in general lower despite other producers and importers to gain market share. Lotte
a rebound in feedstock prices, as buyers were unsure and JBF were not available to comment on their pricing
whether SM prices would continue to rise. Week on week, policy. One trader also reported that he transacted last week
styrene monomer rose $41/mt to $1,524/mt CFR China on at Eur1,010-1,015/mt on a CIF basis, however, there were
Wednesday, while over the same period, butadiene rose no details on the quality or quantity of the material, or
$20/mt to $1,530/mt CFR China. Acrylonitrile, however, fell delivery period. These indications were thus not taken into
$10/mt week on week to $2,035/mt CFR Far East Asia on consideration for the assessment. The rest of the market
Tuesday. Based on those feedstock prices and a conversion appeared to be offered still higher, around Eur1,070-1,100/
cost of $280/mt, the breakeven price for ABS was estimated mt. In the UK, the value was heard around GBP860-870/
at $1,932.70/mt, up about $25/mt week on week. mt amid slightly stronger sterling. Sources said that a
higher competitiveness due to euro weakness, expectations
that the contracts could be revised retrospectively due to
Polyethylene Terephthalate higher-than-expected feedstocks and anticipation of lower
availability amid four shutdowns in October had already led
Europe to higher order volume. Regarding imports, European traders
The European polyethylene terephthalate market halted its believed that recent start-ups in Europe and stronger dollar
descent this week, as increased buy interest and expectations would mean thinning inflow of PET from abroad. The euro
of upcoming shutdowns supported an otherwise weak dipped from $1.36 in July to around $1.296 mid-September,
market. Spot prices on the continent were assessed at making domestic supplies more competitive. However, as
Eur1,055/mt ($1,366/mt), unchanged, and down by GBP5/ Asian prices tanked, sources said, that this could sustain
mt at GBP865/mt ($1,411/mt) in the UK, both on a delivered the arbitrage window from the Far East anyway. The FOB
basis. Contract prices remained unchanged too against a Northeast Asia marker was assessed at $1,245/mt, down by
cumulative decrease of only Eu10/mt in feedstock PX from $45/mt week on week. In Southeast Asia prices were still
July to September. Recycled PET prices were also steady higher, despite a bigger — $55/mt drop — at $1,285/mt on
at Eur890/mt and GBP735/mt. The double settlement of FOB basis. In addition, there could be an uptick in supplies
feedstock paraxylene contract prices, achieved Wednesday, from Turkey in coming months as well, where Polyplex’s
was received without enthusiasm by the European PET start-up was scheduled for November. Polyplex was not
market. Sources said that the PET CPs for August and available to confirm. According to the latest Eurostat data,
September, which have already been invoiced on the basis in July South Korea shipped 40,864 mt to the EU, Indonesia
of preliminary feedstock numbers, might have to be revised. 14,666 mt, Egypt and Turkey, 12,464 mt and 10,194 mt
“The PX settlement is very bad news. We have been blind respectively. Surprisingly, there were still large imports from
for a while without feedstock contract prices. Even in the Oman (14,425 mt), despite this year’s change in import
most pessimistic scenario we assumed that PX would be duty regime. R-PET: The recycled PET market was assessed
not higher than Eur1,010/mt in August and Eur975/mt unchanged this week, however, there was an expectation
in September. We made a total loss,” a producer said. PX that it would follow the developments in the virgin market.
was fully settled at Eur1,025/mt FD NWE for August, up Hot-wash flake prices were currently at a 15-16% to the
by Eur40/mt from July, and at Eur985/mt for September, virgin PET, which was still sufficient to make pellets, which
down Eur30/mt. The August CP therefore was done at a could compete with the virgin product. There were no fresh
premium of almost 9% over average August spot prices — in indications heard in the spot market.
line with previous practice, but much higher than the spot/
contract differential in July. A trader said that he expected US
that most contracts would have to be revised, especially Spot polyethylene terephthalate prices were assessed at
those with big volumes, as producers could not afford losing 1,565/mt DDP US West Coast (71 cents/lb), unchanged
their margin by such an amount in what had already been a week on week, as lower-priced Asian imports were readily

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

available, sources said. Sources pegged spot pricing at for large-volume buyers, up 0.8 cent/lb from August. There
70-72 cents/lb, with the lowest-priced material coming were some market indications that contract levels could
to the US from China. Asian prices continued to decline remain around that level in October, as production-related
on the week, falling $44-55/mt, as buyers were heard shortages and higher ethylene prices could prevent North
hesitant to take on product while feedstock paraxylene American producers from following Asia lower.
and PTA pricing continued to move lower. September
domestic contracts were unsettled as the market continued Asia
to monitor feedstock pricing. Sources said US contract Asian polyethylene terephthalate on Wednesday slumped
prices were under pressure to move lower, particularly with $45/mt week on week to be assessed at $1,245/mt FOB
paraxylene prices continuing to move lower. The US PTA Korea, amid thin discussions ahead of the typical off-peak
price had not been finalized for September as the market season. In addition, raw material prices continued to fall
awaited settlement of the US paraxylene contract, the key during the week. A bid for South Korean origin October
variable in the formula-derived price. Spot PX was assessed PET was heard at $1,240-1,250/mt FOB Korea, while
Wednesday at $1,180/mt FOB USG, down $10/mt week on an offer for October was heard at $1,250-1,270/mt FOB
week and down $70/mt since the beginning of the month. Korea. No deals were reported done. Many buyers have
Market sources said this week that there were indications taken a ‘wait-and-see’ approach, amid weakening raw
production at BP’s Cooper River facility could return to material markets — feedstock paraxylene and purified
normal operation rates in the second half of October, terephthalic acid markets have been on a downward
while other sources have suggest a restart could occur in trend recently, a South Korea-based trader said. Demand
2-3 weeks. An August 11 fire at the 2.86 billion lb/year for PET-based bottles also typically drops around this
South Carolina plant shut one of its two lines, resulting in time of the year, dampening PET demand further, he
allocations for buyers. September US monoethylene glycol added. FOB Southeast Asia prices also slumped $55/mt
contracts for fiber and PET makers were assessed Friday at week on week to be assessed at $1,285/mt FOB SEA. A
48.85 cents/lb ($1,077/mt) based on producer discounts deal was heard at $1,280-1,290/mt FOB SEA.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 14


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Polymer Feedstocks: Olefins


Polymer Feedstocks – Ethylene Polymer Feedstocks – Ethylene Glycol Assessments (cont...)
Europe US (¢/lb)
Spot Friday Weekly Average Spot Friday
FD NWE (Eur/mt) 908.00-912.00 917.400-921.400 FOB USG A/F* 45.00-46.00
CIF NWE ($/mt) 1148.00-1152.00 1157.400-1161.400
CIF MED ($/mt) 1218.00-1222.00 – Fiber Grade Monthly Contract Price (SEP): 48.60-49.10 FOB USG

Asia ($/mt)
Monthly Contract Price (Sep): 1150.00-1150.00 FD NWE (Eur/mt)
US (¢/lb) Spot Friday Weekly Average
CFR China 938-940 947.6-949.6
Spot Friday Weekly Average
CFR SE Asia 941-943 (1) –
FD USG M1 SEP 71.750-72.250 70.350-70.850
FD USG M2 OCT 69.750-70.250 68.500-69.000
MEG CP Nomination (Sep) – CFR Asia
MEGlobal: 1180 Sabic: 1150 Shell: 1160
Posted Contract Price (SEP): NA-NA Delivered
Net Contract Price (SEP): NA-NA Delivered (1) CFR SE Asia = CFR Indonesia.Note: *A/F denotes anti-freeze grade Asian ethylene glycol
assessments are basis L/C 90 days.
Asia ($/mt)
Spot Friday Weekly Average Polymer Feedstocks – Butadiene
FOB Korea 1499-1501 –
CFR SE Asia 1499-1501 1503.0-1505.0 Europe
CFR NE Asia 1539-1541 1535.0-1537.0 Spot Friday Weekly Average
Asian ethylene spot assessments reflect LC 0-30 days. CFR SEA = CFR Indonesia/Thailand. FD NWE (Eur/mt) 884.00-888.00 884.400-888.000
FOB Rdam ($/mt) 1158.00-1162.00 1131.200-1134.800
Polymer Feedstocks – Propylene
Butadiene Monthly Contract FD NWE SEP: 955.00-955.00 (Eur/mt)
Europe (Eur/mt)
US (¢/lb)
Poly Grade Spot Friday Weekly Average
FD NWE 1059.00-1063.00 1059.000-1063.000 Spot Friday
CIF NWE 1059.00-1063.00 1059.000-1063.000 CIF USG 54.50-55.50
Chem Grade Spot Friday Weekly Average
FD NWE 936.50-941.50 – Monthly Contract Price (Sep) 56.00-62.00
CIF NWE 906.50-911.50 – Asia ($/mt)
Spot Friday Weekly Average
Poly Grade Monthly Contract Price (Sep): 1105.00-1105.00
FOB Korea 1479-1481 1459-1461
US (¢/lb) CFR Taiwan 1539-1541
Spot Friday Weekly Average CFR SE Asia 1499-1501 (1)
dlvd USG dlvd USG CFR China 1529-1531 1509-1511
Ref Grade 59.250-59.750 58.250-58.750
(1) CFR SE Asia = CFR Indonesia. *A/F denotes anti-freeze grade.
Poly Grade 69.250-69.750 –
Chem Grade 66.250-66.750 –

Poly Grade Contract Price (SEP): NA-NA Delivered Platts Global Ethylene Prices ($/mt)
Chem Grade Contract Price (SEP): NA-NA Delivered
Asia ($/mt)
1800
Spot Friday Weekly Average CFR FE Asia FD NWE FAS Houston
FOB Korea 1319-1321 1319.0-1321.0
CFR Taiwan 1329-1331 – 1600
CFR SE Asia 1254-1256 –
FOB Japan 1284-1286 –
CFR China 1369-1371 1369.00-1371.00
1400
Asian ethylene spot assessments reflect LC 0-30 days. CFR SEA = CFR Indonesia/Thailand.

Polymer Feedstocks – Ethylene Glycol Assessments 1200


Europe
Spot Friday
1000
FCA NWE T2 (Eur/mt) 790.00-800.00
FD NWE T2 (Eur/mt) 820.00-830.00 23-Apr 20-May 12-Jun 07-Jul 31-Jul 25-Aug 17-Sep
CIF NWE T2 (Eur/mt) 785.00-795.00
CIF NWE T2 ($/mt) 1016.00-1026.00
Notes: All olefin prices reflect assessments at close of previous Friday.
Monthly Contract Price (Sep) – (Eur/mt) NA-NA

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 15


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Ethylene planned maintenance but was unable to provide its exact


duration. “Planned maintenance is expected to continue
Europe for the next several weeks, and we expect to meet our
European ethylene spot prices slipped this week to contractual commitments,” the source said. ExxonMobil’s
Eur910/mt FD NWE, a low not seen since May 27, Baytown Olefins Plant has an ethylene capacity of 960,000
tracing the fall in naphtha, despite exports to Asia, mt/year. In markets, September was heard offered Friday
sources said. Naphtha was assessed at $837/mt CIF NWE at 73.5-74 cents/lb Mont Belvieu Williams pipeline basis,
Friday, compared to $858.25/mt a week ago. Three against bids heard at 71 cents/lb MtB Wms. October
export cargoes have been fixed to Asia in the last week, was heard offered at 71-74 cents/lb MtB Wms, against
as crackers struggled with plentiful supplies. FOB prices bids heard at 68 cents/lb MtB Wms. One market source
were pegged at $1,150-1,200/mt for these cargoes. The attributed the tight supply on strong demand from
arbitrage remained open, with Asian prices climbing downstream markets and low producer inventories.
further this week, the CFR Northeast Asia marker rising September was heard traded on Thursday and Wednesday
$10/mt week on week at $1,540/mt Friday on tight at 71 cents/lb MtB Wms and 70.5 cents/lb MtB Wms.
supplies. Domestically, a fall in naphtha prices spooked On Tuesday, after news of the ExxonMobil’s turnaround
polyethylene buying resulting in increased ethylene spread through the market, September was heard traded
supplies. A spot deal was heard at Eur930/mt FD NWE four times in the morning at 70 cents/lb MtB Wms and
on Tuesday, the buyer confirmed. By Wednesday, the once at 70 cents/lb MtB-other. September and October
same buyer reported buying at Eur910/mt FD NWE. were heard traded at 70.25 cents/lb MtB Wms and 68
More than abundant ethylene supplies had prompted cents/lb MtB Wms on Tuesday afternoon. September was
cracker operators to mull rate cuts, sources said. heard traded three times on Monday at 68.75-69.25 cents/
“Cracker operators have quickly allowed the ethylene lb MtB Wms. In contracts, a two-month settlement for
spot prices to go down closer to cost of production on August and September appeared more than likely sources
marginal volumes so next step is probably cracker rates said, as the initial August settlement of a 1.75 cents/lb
to be trimmed,” a source said. Sources said the delay increase from July was yet to materialize market-wide,
in the restart of Ineos’ oligomers plant in Belgium had according to sources. The US ethylene net transaction
added to spot availability. The Feluy plant, located price for August was starting to settle on August 3 at
south of Brussels, which shut following a fire on July 51.25 cents/lb, which would bring contract prices to
28, will restart in October or November, sources said their highest since an April 2012 level of 55.25 cents/lb,
Tuesday. Sources had expected the plant to restart in according to Platts data. Downstream, HDPE availability
August. The reason for the delay was not clear. The remained limited for export with prices again talked at
site produces 35,000 mt/year of polyalpha olefins and levels which made moving product increasingly difficult,
200,000 mt/year of linear alpha olefins. Ineos was not even into Central and South America, sources said.
immediately available to confirm. In other production “It’s difficult to see US pricing working anywhere,” one
news, BASF began a turnaround at its No.1 220,000 mt/ US-based trader source said. Domestic contracts remained
year Ludwigshafen cracker in Germany Thursday. It is unsettled for September, with producers pushing for a 3-4
expected to last until mid-October, BASF confirmed. cents/lb increase that most market sources expected to see
It was unclear if ExxonMobil Chemical’s 425,000 mt/ implemented by month’s end because of strong domestic
year steam cracker in Gravenchon, France had begun demand and increasing spot ethylene.
maintenance. The cracker is scheduled to be down
for six weeks September-October. Exxon was not Latin America
immediately available for comment. Braskem, Brazil’s main olefins producer, last weekend
began a 35-day turnaround at its petrochemical complex
United States in Sao Paulo state. The complex, which is anchored by a
US spot ethylene jumped 4 cents week on week, assessed gas- and naphtha-fed ethylene unit capable of producing
Friday at 71.75-72.25 cents/lb FD USG for September 700,000 mt/year, is scheduled to restart October 10, the
delivery, itself a 29-month high. The assessment is at its company said in an email. No spot trades, bids or offers
highest level since April 9, 2012, when it was at 74.125- were heard from Brazil this week. Some downstream
74.625 cents/lb FD USG, Platts data showed. One trading market participants in Brazil and neighboring countries
source attributed the hike in pricing on continued thin anticipated lower availability of polyethylene because of
supply amid a number of production outages in the the turnaround, and Braskem appeared to have hinted as
US Gulf Coast. October deliveries marked a 3.5 cents/ much in at least one e-mail sent to customers. A Brazilian
lb increase for the week assessed at 69.25-70.25 cents/ trader this week indicated his company was importing
lb FD USG. The climb in prices started on Monday, after to supply the domestic market during Braskem’s
talks of ExxonMobil starting its 5-6 week turnaround at turnaround. Regional market participants tracking key
its Baytown Olefins Plant in Baytown, Texas. A company international markers saw European ethylene spot prices
source with knowledge of operations confirmed the slip Eur27/mt week on week to Eur910/mt FD NWE

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 16


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

($1,178/mt), a 14-week low. In the US, spot ethylene hit United States
29-month highs, up 4 cents/lb ($88/mt) for the week to US monoethylene glycol pricing was talked mostly stable
72 cents/lb ($1,587/mt) FD USG. for the week as soft demand helped to offset production-
related shortages, market sources said. US spot MEG prices
Asia were assessed Friday at 45.00-46.00 cents/lb FOB USG,
Asian ethylene was mixed this week with the CFR unchanged week on week. Multiple sources pegged prices
Northeast Asia marker rising $10/mt week on week, in the 45-46 cents/lb range, with limited barge business
but flat day on day at $1,540/mt Friday, while the CFR heard conducted along the same level. “I expected there to
Southeast Asia marker edged down $5/mt day on day be a whole lot more activity in the market, but it doesn’t
and week on week to $1,500/mt. An European cargo seem to be the case,” a US-based trader source said. While
was heard fixed to South Asia at $1,470-1,480/mt CFR there had been some expectations that prices could follow
early this week. Several traders were trying to bring Asia lower — particularly with lower demand from PET
in European material, but the high freight rates have makers because of ongoing PTA supply issues — sources
been a major obstacle. Sources noted that larger 9,000 said that has not been the case. Higher ethylene prices have
mt vessels have been taken up to ship LPG and only been one factor, as it was difficult for derivatives producers
smaller vessels of around 4,000-6,000 mt were left to ship to offer lower prices with feedstocks at increasingly high
ethylene. Offer indications for H1-October-arrival cargoes levels, sources said. US spot ethylene reached a 29-month
were heard at $1,560-1,570/mt CFR Northeast Asia with high Friday, assessed at 71.75-72.25 cents/lb FD USG,
buying indications in the low-$1,500/mt CFR Northeast following tight supply stemming from ongoing production
Asia. Meanwhile, a China-origin September shipment outages, market sources said. US Gulf inventories have also
was being offered on a formula basis for local sale. For been held down by multiple production-related factors.
October, there were around four cargoes available for Sources said LyondellBasell had extended its ethylene
sale in the Chinese domestic market. In Southeast Asia, oxide force majeure event because of additional production
an end-user issued a tender seeking 3,000-5,000 mt issues at the Bayport, Texas, facility. Multiple sources said
of ethylene for H1 October arrival but this was later the company’s MEG allocations had been lowered to 10%,
withdrawn as the company decided to cut plant runs. with EO at 0% and DEG and TEG both at 50%. Company
Offer indications were heard at $1,525-1,550/mt CFR confirmation was not available Friday. Sources also said
Southeast Asia, while buying indications were in the lower-than-anticipated production in Mexico and other US
high-$1,400s/mt CFR Southeast Asia. The wide bid-offer producers preparing for fall turnarounds were contributing
spread meant there was little discussion. In plant news, to a tighter market. September US MEG contracts for fiber
Saudi Arabia’s Jubail United Petrochemical Company and PET makers were assessed Friday at 48.85 cents/lb
plans to shut its 700,000 mt/year No. 2 monoethylene ($1,077/mt) based on producer discounts for large-volume
glycol plant in Q4 for a reactor change, a source close to buyers. There were some market indications contracts
the company said Friday. The plant is situated at Al-Jubail could remain around that level in October, as the factors
in Jubail Industrial City. JUPC has a 700,000 mt/year impacting spot could also prevent producers from following
No.1 MEG plant at the same location, which was taken Asia lower. MEGlobal on Friday nominated its October ACP
offline in early July for maintenance. The No.1 MEG unit for MEG at $1,120/mt CFR main port, down $60/mt from
was at the end of August. September, according to a company notice.

Asia
Ethylene Glycol Asian monoethylene glycol fell a sharp $29/mt week on
week to be assessed at $939/mt CFR China and $942/mt
Europe CFR Southeast Asia Friday amid short-selling and falling
European monoethylene glycol prices were unchanged this futures. Traders continued to be spooked by bearish
week, closing at Eur795/mt FCA NWE, as market participants sentiment and were heard to be selling more prompt
remained at an impasse awaiting contract price negotiations. arrival cargoes, as well as short- selling cargoes for first
Demand was flat, as the antifreeze inventory remaining from half October. H2 September deal done levels were heard
last year’s mild winter reduced buying appetite. Combined falling from $959/mt CFR China Tuesday to $938-939/mt
with that, sellers were unwilling to reduce offer levels until Friday, while the H1 October deal level fell from $965/
the contract price was concluded, one trader said. There was mt CFR China to $943/mt over the same period. Monday
also an expectation among some buyers that prices would was a public holiday in China. Adding further pressure to
drop which hampered buying activity, one producer said. physical prices were falling MEG futures, with September
PET buyers were bearish with summer, which typically sees MEG futures falling from Yuan 7,280/mt Tuesday to Yuan
stronger demand, coming to an end, he added. In the DEG 6,974/mt Friday on the Huaxi Commodity Exchange.
market, prices fell Eur15 to Eur1,110/mt FCA NWE due to Chinese domestic MEG prices also slipped throughout the
wide availability of product amid poorer seasonal offtake week to be assessed at Yuan 6,880/mt Friday, equating to
from the construction sector, one trader added. $906/mt on an import parity basis and down Yuan 230/

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

mt from a week ago earlier. MEG inventory in East China grade market, a buyer who reported a deal at September
was reported at 915,000 mt, dipping from 919,000 mt last CP less 15% or Eur939/mt FD NWE last week, said that the
week, market sources said. In plant news, Saudi Arabia’s number remained repeatable though the seller said that
Jubail United Petrochemical Company, or JUPC, plans to discounts were narrowing to single digits.
shut its 700,000 mt/year No. 2 MEG plant in Al Jubail in
the fourth quarter for a reactor change, a source close to United States
the company said Friday. The company’s 700,000 mt/year US spot refinery-grade propylene gained 2 cents week on
No. 1 MEG plant at the same location was taken offline week, assessed Friday at 59.25-59.75 cents/lb delivered,
in early July for maintenance on its reactor and restarted amid declining inventories and polymer-grade propylene
at end August. JUPC is a wholly owned subsidiary prices. The increase follows five consecutive weekly decrease
of Saudi Basic Industries Corp., or Sabic. Meanwhile in inventories of propylene for non-fuel use, according US
operating rates were reported at around 80% of capacity EIA data released Wednesday. Propylene stocks declined
for SHARQ Eastern Petrochemical Co.’s four MEG units at 103,000 barrels to 3.545 million barrels in the week ending
Al Jubail with a total capacity of 2.1 million mt/year. on September 5, EIA data showed. No RGP deals or offers
were heard throughout the week, while buying interest
gained 2.5 cents throughout the week to reach 59 cents/
Propylene lb MtB-pipe for September. Spot PGP declined a half-cent,
assessed Friday at 69.25-69.75 cents/lb FD USG, following
Europe October and November PGP bids at 69 cents/lb MtB-pipe
The turnaround season coupled with length in ethylene and 68.625 cents/lb MtB-pipe, respectively, which followed
limited propylene production, helping it to shrug off three September and one October deals heard on Thursday
the naphtha price fall this week. Propylene was assessed at 69.5 cents/lb MtB-pipe and 69.25 cents/lb Cents/lb
unchanged on the week, with polymer grade at Eur1061/ MtB-pipe, respectively. September was heard traded on
mt FD NWE and chemical grade at Eur939/mt FD NWE. Monday and Wednesday at 70 cents/lb MtB-pipe. One more
Naphtha was assessed at $837/mt CIF NWE Friday, September deal was heard on Wednesday at 69.5 cents/lb
compared to $858.25/mt a week ago. Sources said a MtB-pipe. In contracts, initial settlements for US propylene
cracker maintenance season in Europe and Turkey, along contract prices for September called for a rollover from
with plentiful supplies in ethylene, had limited cracker August, market sources said Wednesday. PGP was settling
production. More than abundant ethylene supplies had at 72.5 cents/lb delivered and CGP at 71 cents/lb delivered,
prompted cracker operators to mull rate cuts: “Cracker flat to August contracts, sources with two buyers confirmed.
operators have quickly allowed the ethylene spot prices If the settlement is accepted marketwide, the price would
to go down closer to the cost of production on marginal fall on the higher end of participants’ expectations, who
volumes so the next step is probably cracker rates to be said the July contract price could decrease as much as
trimmed,” an ethylene buyer said. Ethylene is trading 1-cent. One market source said that the flat settlement was
at Eur910/mt FD NWE, a low not seen since May 27. anticipated, as the 5-cents/lb increase seen in August drove
Meanwhile, Europe was amid a maintenance period, some of the demand out of the market and polypropylene
with about 7.7% of cracker capacity expected to be in demand declined during the month. The initial settlements
maintenance in September-October. Petkim began a 105- were in line with a nomination by Shell Chemical that
day maintenance period July 21 to upgrade cracker capacity called for a rollover earlier in the month, sources said.
by 13% to 585,000 mt/year. BASF began a turnaround at its ExxonMobil Chemical was heard nominating September at
No.1 220,000 mt/year Ludwigshafen cracker in Germany a 1-cent/lb increase in late August, sources said.
on Thursday. It is expected to last until mid-October, BASF
said. It was unclear if ExxonMobil Chemical’s 425,000 Latin America
mt/year steam cracker in Gravenchon, France, had begun Trading activity was limited in the region, with no exports
maintenance. The cracker is scheduled to be down for six out of Brazil and no imports into Mexico or Colombia
weeks in September-October. Exxon was not immediately heard by Friday. In Mexico, Pemex Petroquimica said
available for comment. In addition, two other crackers are operations at the Salina Cruz complex were normal, a
expected to begin maintenance at the end of September. week after a source with knowledge of company operations
OMV’s 450,000 mt/year steam cracker at Burghausen, said a compressor issue halted production at the refinery.
Germany, is to be in turnaround until early November. And Domestic pricing was last heard at 1,349/mt for chemical-
Shell’s 2A 260,000 mt/year cracker at Wesseling, Germany, grade and $1,593/mt for polymer-grade propylene.
is also scheduled for a six-week maintenance beginning in Downstream, Mexico City-based Basell Poliolefinas said it
October. In the domestic market, one deal was done this plans to increase October polypropylene prices by 3 cents/
week at October monthly contract price less 4% FD NWE lb ($66/mt) in addition to any change resulting from
for October delivery. September prices were pegged at 4-5% the change in the US polymer-grade propylene contract
less the September contract price of Eur1,105/mt FD NW, price from September to October. In Argentina, the
equivalent to Eur1,050-1,061/mt FD NWE. In the chemical polypropylene market remained bearish, with one producer

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

source saying sectors including automotive, construction assessed at $1,530/mt Friday, up $30/mt on the back of
and durable goods were being particularly affected by the tightness. Freight rates were pegged at Eur350-400/mt for
weak economy. Regional participants keeping an eye on ARA to China/Korea, sources said. In Europe, a producer
the international markets saw the Northwest European reported selling to a trader at $1,160/mt CIF ARA, H2
propylene were stable week on week at Eur1,061/mt September loading for 1,000 mt. “Talking to traders this
($1,374/mt) FD NWE despite lower feedstock naphtha week, they’ve struggled to put the volume together,” he
prices. In the US, spot polymer-grade propylene fell 0.50 said. In production news, BASF started its new 155,000
cents/lb ($11/mt) to 69.50 cents/lb ($1,532/mt), while mt/year butadiene extraction plant in Antwerp, Belgium,
contract pricing for September began to settle this week at a Tuesday. More than abundant ethylene supplies had
rollover at 72.50 cents/lb ($1,598/mt). prompted cracker operators to mull rate cuts, sources said.
“Cracker operators have quickly allowed the ethylene
Asia spot prices to go down closer to cost of production on
The CFR China propylene marker was assessed flat week marginal volumes so next step is probably cracker rates
on week at $1,370/mt Friday as buyers retreated. A deal to be trimmed,” a source said. In other production news,
was heard done by Japanese producer JX at $1,380/mt CFR BASF’s No.1 220,000 mt/year Ludwigshafen cracker in
China Thursday and $1,378/mt CFR China Friday. But the Germany began maintenance Thursday. It is expected to
buyer and terms could not be confirmed. Some sources said last until mid-October. BASF confirmed. It was unclear if
supply in South Korea and Japan was limited. But a buyer ExxonMobil Chemical’s 425,000 mt/year steam cracker in
said some producers from the two countries are “desperate Gravenchon, France had begun maintenance. The cracker
to sell.” Offers were heard at $1,375-1,380/mt CFR China, is scheduled to be down for six weeks September-October.
the same source said. Deals were heard concluded at $1,365- Exxon was not immediately available for comment. BASF
1,370/mt CFR in eastern China, while northern China deals started its new 155,000 mt/year butadiene extraction plant
were heard done higher around $1,375/mt CFR. Market in Antwerp, Belgium Tuesday. Despite the start of the
participants across the region said sentiment remained plant, crude c4 values fell this week. Most sources pegged
very weak. Ningbo Haiyue New Material’s propane the factor at 0.95-1.00 to naphtha. A 3,500 mt cargo from
dehydrogenation, or PDH, plant in China’s northeastern Finland which was on the market since last week, was sold
Zhejiang province has started selling in the domestic spot this week, sources said. The raffinate-1 factor was pegged
market. The FOB Korea propylene marker was assessed at at 1.19 down from 1.21 a week earlier. One producer who
$1,320/mt Friday, also unchanged week on week. A supplier reported a selling a 1,000 mt barge to an end-user at 1.19,
said, “I think this is still a reasonable level.” But a buyer described the market as balanced. Naphtha was assessed
said, “We want to see [what will happen] next week, so we at $837/mt CIF NWE Friday, compared to $858.25/mt a
are delaying discussion.” A deal was heard done this week week ago. The Northwest European MTBE spot price was
at $1,320/mt FOB Korea, but this could not be immediately assessed at $1,109/mt FOB ARA Friday, a rise of $4.50/mt
confirmed. In other parts of the region, a Chinese buyer from the previous assessment of $1,104.50/mt.
was heard to have purchased one lot of propylene from
PTT. An end-user in Taiwan said state-owned CPC Corp. United States
has asked them to “provide demand for the fourth quarter.” US spot butadiene continued its decline, losing 3 cents on
Taiwan’s Formosa lowered its No. 2 naphtha-fed steam the week, assessed Friday at 55 cents/lb CIF USG. Sources
cracker runs in Mailiao from to 60-70% of capacity early talked continued weak demand and ample supply, as reasons
this week, from 100%, due to a technical glitch, a company behind the decline. The assessment is at its lowest since
source said Wednesday. The No. 2 unit is able to produce November 27, 2013, when it was at 53 cents/lb CIF USG,
515,000 mt/year of propylene. according to Platts data. No import bids, offers or deals
were heard this week as the arbitrage from Europe and Asia
remained closed, sources said. Market sources pegged prices
Butadiene in the mid-50s cents/lb, with a trader source narrowing the
range to 55-56 cents/lb CIF USG given the weak demand and
Europe ample supply. Sources said there was not an import market
European butadiene prices were up on the week by $35/mt currently given that a netback from Europe would need to be
to $1,160/mt pulled up by rising Asian prices, sources said. at least higher than 61 cents/lb CIF USG. European butadiene
Flat domestic demand drove European producers to eye rose $30/mt on the week to an assessment at $1,160/mt FOB
exports. The arbitrage to Asia was thin, however, due to Rotterdam Friday. Sources said the market was looking at a
logistic issues, though some European cargoes offered. Two possible export arbitrage opening up to Asia. Butadiene prices
spot cargoes from Europe — one 6,000 mt and another in Asia were assessed $30/mt higher on the week as well at
2,300 mt — were offered into Asia for end-September/ $1,480/mt FOB Korea and $1,530/mt CFR China. Supply in
early October loading. But their offer levels were also Asia was described as tight amid plant shutdowns. To make
seen to be high at $1,600/mt CFR China, due to limited the arbitrage work to Asia, sources said US prices would
vessel availability. The CFR China butadiene marker was need to be at or below 50 cents/lb FOB USG, with one trader

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

source saying prices would need to be closer to 45 cents/lb. lb ($1,213/mt) CIF amid weak buying interest, sources there
Along with prices needing to be lower, sources said freight said. In Northwest Europe, pricing was $35/mt higher on
was difficult to find and freight pricing from the US to Asia the week at $1,160/mt FOB Rotterdam. Latin America-based
was heard at $400-$450/mt. In the US domestic market, market players keep a close eye on both the US and the
September offers were heard as low as 55 cents/lb FOB pipe/ Northwest European levels to base regional pricing.
barge/rail this week, with a September barge deal heard
done midweek at 50 cents/lb FOB. Offers for September were Asia
heard at 55 cents/lb following the deal. October offers were The Asian butadiene market rose $30/mt week on week
heard as low as 58 cents/lb before rising Friday to 62 cents/ across the regions, driven by limited supply amid plant
lb. US butadiene supply was described as long, with little shutdowns. The FOB Korea butadiene benchmark was
buying interest. Sources did not expect the fundamentals assessed at $1,480/mt, while the CFR China butadiene
to in the fourth-quarter, with several sources adding that marker was assessed at $1,530/mt Friday. There are some
demand might not improve until the beginning of next planned and unplanned plant shutdowns in Asia. In South
year as nobody downstream needs product. Downstream Korea, Yeochun Naphtha Cracking Center plans to shut
demand in the styrene-butadiene rubber and SBS sectors its No. 3 steam cracker in Yeosu from September 22 for
was quiet, sources said, while downstream demand in the one month of annual maintenance. The cracker is able
acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene market was stable, sources to produce 470,000 mt/year of ethylene and 240,000 mt/
said. In contracts, sources said October contracts would year of propylene. In Taiwan, Formosa cut run rates at its
likely fall from September, but the extent of the anticipated 162,000 mt/year No. 2 steam cracker in Mailiao to 60-70%
drop was mixed, with a source saying the decline could be from 100% earlier this week. In Japan, Idemitsu Kosan
as little as 3 cents, while another source said there could shut its naphtha-fed steam cracker in Tokuyama from this
be a “big” drop in contracts. The September US butadiene Tuesday for annual maintenance. The cracker, which is able
contract price settled 4 cents/lb ($88/mt) lower than August to produce 623,000 mt/year of ethylene and 450,000 mt/
at a 56-62 cents/lb ($1,235-$1,367/mt) split, sources said. year of propylene, will be shut until November. Trading
ExxonMobil settled 4 cents/lb lower than August at 62 cents/ sources said there were some spot butadiene cargoes still
lb, and LyondellBasell, Shell Chemicals and TPC Group available for October loading, but selling indications were
also settled down 4 cents/lb at 56 cents/lb, sources said. heard at $1,500/mt FOB Korea/Southeast Asia — which
Producer confirmation on the settlements were unavailable was considered high. There were some European cargoes
immediately. The settlements are void of any discounts or offered in Asia as the arbitrage window is seen to be open.
adders that producers might include, sources said. Two spot cargoes from Europe — one 6,000 mt and another
2,300 mt — were offered into Asia for end-September/
Latin America early October loading. But their offer levels were also seen
Trading activity remained limited in the region this to be high at $1,600/mt CFR China, due to limited vessel
week, with no spot trades heard and one 1,900-mt cargo availability. Buyers were reluctant to accept such high offer
originating in Salvador, Brazil, unloaded at Mexico’s levels and expected them to fall citing rising butadiene
Altamira, per port records. Pricing information was not supplies in Europe. BASF’s new butadiene extraction plant
available at the time of publication. Mexico is a regular in Antwerp, Belgium, is in start-up mode. BASF began
importer of butadiene, with Brazil a common supplier of construction of the plant in 2012. It already operates a
the olefin. Braskem, Brazil’s main producer and exporter, butadiene extraction plant at its site in Ludwigshafen,
is expected to have its production limited by a 35-day Germany, with a production capacity of 105,000 mt/year.
turnaround of its Sao Paulo steam cracker that began Bids for spot butadiene cargoes were heard at $1,500/mt
September 6. The plant has a butadiene production capacity CFR China this week. Bids did not increase further due to
of 90,000 mt/year. For market participants in Brazil and weaker downstream rubber market. On Friday, the CFR
elsewhere tracking international markets, spot butadiene Northeast Asia styrene-butadiene-rubber 1520 price dropped
in the US fell 3 cents/lb ($66/mt) on the week to 55 cents/ $10/mt week on week to be assessed at $2,010/mt.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 20


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Polymer Feedstocks: Aromatics


Paraxylene Polymer Feedstocks – Aromatics

Europe Weekly Average Spot*


Styrene FOB Korea ($/mt) 1470.50-1471.50
European paraxylene 5-30 days forward benchmark was Styrene FOB ARA ($/mt) 1513.90-1514.90
assessed at $1,180/mt FOB ARA Friday, unchanged from Styrene FOB USG (cts/lb) 68.10-68.60
Thursday. The benchmark held on to Thursday’s number
Paraxylene FOB Korea ($/mt) 1233.80-1234.80
as a considerable rise in prices in Asia and an erosion of
Paraxylene FOB Rdam ($/mt) 1186.00-1188.00
demand on the US East Coast balanced each other. On a Paraxylene FOB USG ($/mt) 1200.00-1210.00
week on week basis, PX prices in Europe dropped $10/mt.
Monthly Contract Price
In Asia, PX rebounded $24.50/mt day on day to $1,239/
Styrene Barge FOB ARA CP (Eur/mt) (Sep) 1390.00
mt FOB Korea and $1,262/mt CFR Taiwan/China Friday Styrene Truck FCA Rdam CP (Eur/mt) (Sep) 1398.00
as several traders and end-users placed active bids to Styrene FOB USG (cts/lb) (Sep) 72.00-73.00
cover their short positions. In addition, China’s Tongkun
restarted its 1.5 million mt/year No.1 purified terephthalic Paraxylene CFR Asia Average (Sep) NA
Paraxylene FD NWE (Eur/mt) (Sep) NA
acid unit at Zhapu after a month-long shutdown and was Paraxylene FOB USG (¢/lb) (Aug) 68.50-68.50(Q3)#
heard running the unit at 90% of capacity. This raised
* Average prices for week ending previous Friday. # US PX CP are typically settled retroactively,
anticipation of a revival in PTA demand globally and prices refer to most recent settlement. To convert Cts/lb to $/mt, multiply by 22.046.
supported sentiment for PX prices. However, European PX
found no active buyers in the US, even though early in
the week there were strong expectations of an invigoration NWE Styrenics Prices
of demand in the country due to expected startup of BP’s
1800
Cooper River-based PTA line. In the US overnight, PX
FD NWE GPPS (€/mt)
slipped $10/mt day on day to be assessed Thursday at Styrene FOB Rotterdam ($/mt)
1700
$1,180/mt FOB US Gulf Coast. Bearish feedstock isomer-
mixed xylene that dropped $14/mt week on week to be
assessed at $1,055/mt FOB ARA Friday pressured PX prices. 1600
Weaker economic sentiment in Europe on upcoming
Scottish independence vote also weighed on PX demand. 1500

United States 1400


US spot paraxylene prices fell $45/mt on the week to
$1,195/mt FOB USG because of weak demand, as Asia 1300
moved lower and supply was ample, sources said. BP’s PTA 30-Apr 28-May 25-Jun 23-Jul 20-Aug 17-Sep
production issue kept the market quiet this week, source
said. Production could come back online as early as 2-3
Notes: All aromatics prices reflect assessments at close of previous Friday.
weeks, sources said, but other sources said production
could return to normal levels around the second half of
October. There continued to be inquiries to send PX to mt week on week, due to heavy selling pressure for much
the Far East despite an unattractive arbitrage as a result of the week. During the Platts Market on Close assessment
of heavier supply, sources said. Asian spot PX prices fell process, an off-screen bid for H1 October was heard at
$16/mt week on week, assessed Friday at $1,239/mt FOB $1,260/mt CFR Taiwan/Ningbo/Dalian, against an offer for
Korea and $1,262/mt CFR Taiwan/China. The MX-PX the same laycan at $1,270/mt CFR Taiwan/Ningbo/Dalin
spread was around $150/mt to end the week, based on for Asia origin. A swap offer for H1 October/H2 October
Platts data, which sources considered a healthy spread. was heard at plus $3/mt CFR Taiwan/Ningbo/Dalian on
In downstream markets, sources continued to describe telegraphic transfer or T/T basis. For October, a bid was
PET demand as solid and production was limited because heard at $1,260/mt CFR Taiwan/Ningbo/Dalian against
of tight PTA supply. In contracts, the August US PX CP offers for the same cargoes at $1,270/mt CFR Taiwan/
settled down 1.25 cents/lb ($28/mt) from July to 68.5 Ningbo/Dalian, both for Asia origin. Upstream, Asian
cents/lb ($1,510/mt), sources said. isomer-grade mixed xylenes were assessed flat day on day
at $1,034/mt FOB Korea and $1,054/mt CFR Taiwan Friday
Asia amid a standoff between buyers and sellers, with no bids
Asian paraxylene rebounded $24.50/mt day on day to or offers registered during the MOC process. Downstream,
$1,239/mt FOB Korea and $1,262/mt CFR Taiwan/China China’s Tongkun restarted its 1.5 million mt/year No. 1
Friday on the back of short-covering. But PX was down $16/ purified terephthalic acid unit at Zhapu in early September,

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

a source close to the company said Wednesday. The unit offer indications early in the day were heard in the range
had been shut since early August and was now operating of $1,470-1,495/mt FOB ARA for September-loading barges,
at around 90% of capacity, the source added, up from 70% but by the afternoon as US benzene trade opened with
before the shutdown. Asian isomer-grade mixed xylene strong gains, bids had come up to $1,490/mt with no
was assessed flat day on day at $1,034/mt FOB Korea and offers heard. No trades were reported throughout the day.
$1,054/mt CFR Taiwan Friday amid a standoff between Overnight in the US there was also a depressed picture for
buyers and sellers, with no bids or offers registered during styrene. US Gulf spot styrene fell 0.40 cents to a two-year
the Platts Market on Close assessment process. The CFR low of 68 cents/lb ($1,499/mt) FOB USG Thursday, on lower
Southeast Asia marker fell $45/mt over the same period feedstock benzene which was itself at a 10-month low.
to be assessed at $1,060/mt amid an oversupply in the Whereas in Asia, the styrene CFR China marker rebounded
region. Neither of the main applications for isomer-MX, $22/mt day on day and $10/mt week on week to be
making paraxylene and blending into gasoline, were assessed at $1,515/mt, supported by a drawdown in China’s
faring well at present, buyers said. The gasoline market SM inventory, turnarounds and short-covering.
was weak, and gasoline blenders in China were opting to
blend solvent rather than isomer-MX as it was cheaper, United States
even after factoring in the higher import duty of 3% US spot styrene continued its downward trend this week,
versus isomer-MX’s 2%, traders said. Sellers said an uptick falling 0.55 cent for the week to 68.15 cents/lb FOB USG
in PX prices Friday provided some support to isomer-MX Friday. The assessment dropped to its lowest level in two
prices, but noted demand in Asia has been weak for some years on Thursday at 68 cents/lb FOB USG, according to
time, prompting even standalone PX producers to sell off Platts data. Thursday’s assessment was at its lowest level
feedstock isomer-MX. In Southeast Asia, where cargoes since September 5, 2012, when it was at 67.50 cents/
typically command a premium of up to $26/mt to CFR lb FOB USG, Platts data showed. No firm deals, bids
Taiwan prices based on freight differentials from South or offers were heard throughout the week. Arbitrage
Korea to the two markets, the gap has shrunk to $6/mt due opportunities to Europe and Asia remained closed this
to the surplus of supply in Southeast Asia. The excess has week, with US product needing to be less than 66 cents/
prompted spot cargoes from Thailand and Singapore to be lb FOB USG to go to Europe and less than 64 cents/lb
offered to China. Inventory in East China rose 14% week FOB USG to work to Asia, according to Platts data. Most
on week to 65,000 mt and in South China fell by a third to US producers have been running at reduced rates due to
4,000 mt, although market observers said the low inventory poor margins, stemming from high feedstocks benzene
in the south was not spurring demand. Participants in and ethylene prices. Westlake took down its Lake Charles,
China said deals had been concluded this week at $1,050- Louisiana, styrene plant in mid-August for 4-6 weeks,
1,067/mt CFR China with 90 days’ letter of credit, which sources said. Producer confirmation on the shutdown was
would equate to $1,145-1,060/mt CFR East China on a unavailable. In other production news, Americas Styrenics
30-day credit note. The price spread between isomer-MX declared force majeure on all polystyrene and styrene
and solvent-MX was around $45/mt Friday, well below the sales, effective August 1, according to separate letters the
typical range of $70-100/mt, traders said. company sent to customers. Americas Styrenics’ lone
styrene facility in the US is located in St. James, Louisiana,
with a capacity of 2.1 billion lb/year. Americas Styrenics
Styrene cited limited feedstock ethylene supply as a reason for the
force majeure declarations. Styrolution will take down its
Europe 1.7 billion lbs/year Bayport, Texas, styrene plant at the end
Northwest European styrene monomer spot prices gained of September for planned maintenance and expected to be
$4.50/mt Friday to an assessment of $1,500/mt FOB ARA, restarted in early November, a company source said at the
as prices followed an uptick in domestic benzene prices end of August. In feedstocks, benzene was down 20 cents
that was influenced in turn by strong gains in morning for September at an assessment of 421 cents/gal FOB USG.
trade in the US. The benzene spot price was assessed at Spot ethylene was assessed at 72 cents/lb FD USG Friday, a
$1,293.50/mt CIF ARA Friday, up by $14.50/mt on the day. rise of 4 cents on the week. Variable costs for styrene were
The strengthening of styrene and benzene prices Friday estimated as low as 63.20 cents/lb and as high as 74.60
bucked a so-far downward trend for September. Styrene cents/lb, according to Platts data Friday.
and benzene have shed $70/mt and $81/mt respectively
since the start of the month, and sources remained bearish Asia
given persistently weak demand for styrene derivatives such Asian styrene monomer rose $22/mt day on day and $10/
as EPS and PS. “Units are being shut down for economic mt week on week to be assessed at $1,489/mt FOB Korea
reasons in the US, it’s turnaround season in Asia, and we and $1,515/mt CFR China Friday. Factors supporting spot
have outages in Europe,” said a source. “The supply side prices included a drawdown in China’s SM inventory,
globally will see severe tightening but it means nothing turnarounds and short-covering. A couple of deals were
[for prices in Europe] because there’s no demand.” Bid- heard Friday for October cargoes at $1,510/mt CFR China.

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PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Afterward, the price level rose, with a bid heard at $1,515/ week on week. In plant news, China’s Donghao will shut
mt CFR China. November SM was firmer as well, with a bid its 190,000 mt/year styrene monomer plant at Changzhou
heard at $1,505/mt CFR China. China domestic SM prices in eastern China’s Jiangsu province on Saturday for a
were firmer on decreasing inventory. A bid and offer were scheduled two-month turnaround, several market sources
heard at Yuan 10,700/mt against Yuan 10,750/mt. East said Friday. The maintenance plan could not be directly
China SM inventory was heard at 135,200 mt, down 9.9% confirmed with the company.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 23


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Polymer Feedstocks: Intermediates


Purified Terephthalic Acid Polymer Feedstocks – Intermediates

Europe Weekly Spot


PTA CFR China ($/mt)* 939.8-941.8
There were no active trade discussions heard in the PTA PTA CFR SE Asia ($/mt) 949.0-951.0
market this week. The PTA contract for August did not PTA CFR South Asia ($/mt) 959.0-961.0
settle due to the absence of the full PX contract settlement.
EDC CFR FE Asia ($/mt) 429-431
United States EDC
EDC
CFR SE Asia ($/mt)
FOB NWE ($/mt)
429-431
370-380
The September US PTA price had not been set Friday as EDC FOB USG ($/mt) 365-375
the US paraxylene contract — the key variable used to
VCM CFR FE Asia ($/mt) 899-901
set the formula-derived price — had not been settled.
VCM CFR SE Asia ($/mt) 949-951
Market sources have said it was too early in the month VCM FOB NWE ($/mt) 740-750
to get a clear picture on where the PX contract will VCM FOB USG ($/mt) 730-740
settle, though trends in the Asian and US spot markets
Acrylonitrile CFR FE Asia ($/mt) 2034-2036**
could suggest a decrease. US spot PX was assessed
Acrylonitrile CFR SE Asia ($/mt) 2029-2031**
Friday at $1,195/mt FOB USG, down $45/mt week on Acrylonitrile CFR South Asia ($/mt) 2034-2036**
week. The assessment was up $15/mt from the previous Acrylonitrile FOB USG ($/mt) 1970-1990**
day, when PX was assessed at $1,180/mt FOB USG. In Acrylonitrile CIF Mediterannean ($/mt) 1998-2002**
production news, market sources said this week that Monthly Contract Price
there were indications production at BP’s Cooper River PTA FD NWE (Eur/mt) (Aug) NA-NA
facility could return to normal operation rates in the PTA Delivered USG (¢/lb)(Aug) 59.15-59.15
second half of October, while other sources have suggest VCM Delivered USG (¢/lb)(Sep) 54.00-54.50
US domestic prices reflect transaction pricing for medium-sized customers.
a restart could occur in 2-3 weeks. An August 11 fire at * Average prices for week ending previous Friday.
the 2.86 billion lb/year South Carolina plant shut one of ** ACN prices reflect assessments at close of Tuesday

its two lines, resulting in allocations for buyers.

Asia Platts Asian PTA versus Paraxylene ($/mt)


Asian purified terephthalic acid prices fell a sharp $32/
($/mt)
mt week on week to be assessed at $925/mt CFR China 1600
Friday amid continuing weakness in the downstream PTA CFR China
polyester sector. Market participants said there was PX CFR Taiwan
no sign of an end to the bearishness in the near 1400
term, with sluggish polyester demand seen likely to
continue through to year end. PTA prices fell steadily
1200
throughout the week. Deals were heard at $943/mt,
$940/mt, $935/mt and $923/mt for 1,000 mt Asian
origin cargoes with 90 days letter of credit for H2 1000
September and H1 October shipment. Chinese domestic
PTA prices also slipped throughout the week to be
800
assessed down Yuan 200/mt from last Friday at Yuan
25-Apr 23-May 20-Jun 18-Jul 15-Aug 12-Sep
6,730/mt, equating to $882/mt on an import parity
basis. Deals were reported at Yuan 6,730-6,740/mt.
Notes: All intermediates prices reflect assessments at close of Thursday,
September PTA futures on the Zhengzhou Commodity with the exception of PTA CFR China.
Exchange closed at Yuan 6,700/mt, down Yuan 200/
mt from the week before. PTA also fell $32/mt week
on week to be assessed at $950/mt CFR Southeast maintenance. Its 600,000 mt/year PTA plant in Ningbo
Asia and $960/mt CFR India Friday. In plant news, in eastern China has been shut since September 5 for
Mitsubishi Chemical will shut its 470,000 mt/year around 35 days’ planned maintenance. In contract
PTA plant at Haldia in West Bengal that is operated by news, China’s state-owned China Petroleum and
its MCC PTA India unit from end October for about Chemical Corp., or Sinopec has renominated its
a month of planned maintenance, a source close to September PTA Contract Price at Yuan 7,300/mt, down
the company said Friday. Its 320,000 mt/year No. from its previous nomination of Yuan 7,700/mt. The
2 PTA plant in Merak, Indonesia, will also be taken September CP nomination equates to around $957/mt
offline in November for almost a month of planned on an import parity basis.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 24


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Acrylonitrile was expected to remain snug through September as most


US producers were heard running at reduced rates because
Europe of weak margins. Margins have been squeezed over the past
European acrylonitrile prices were assessed unchanged at two months due to higher propylene in August and the
$2,000/mt CIF Med Tuesday, capping recent price falls as higher ammonia contract in September, with production
market sources reported weak demand balanced by tight costs based on feedstocks, estimated as high as $2,000/mt,
supply in the midst of planned turnarounds. In addition, according to Platts data.
sources reported composite feedstock costs having been
priced in to spot values this week. Ineos’ plant in Cologne, Asia
Germany, was currently in turnaround with the unit Asian acrylonitrile prices slid across the region with
expected to restart in the second half of October. On the buying interest fading week on week. The CFR Far East
other hand, Russia’s Lukoil has postponed its scheduled Asia marker was assessed at $2,035/mt, down $10/mt from
maintenance shutdown at its 150,000 mt/year acrylonitrile the previous week. There was a wide buy-sell gap for ACN
plant in Saratov, southern Russia, till October, a source in the region. Offers for CFR FEA cargoes were between
close to the company said Tuesday. Originally, the plant $2,030/mt and $2,070/mt. There were also offers heard
was slated to commence its shutdown this week, lasting hovering around the $2,000/mt CFR FEA mark, however,
until to November 3 but it was delayed to coincide with this could not be confirmed immediately. Some buyers
the postponed shutdown at its Norsi facility in Nizhny said the cargo offered at the $2,000/mt level was a deep
Novgorod. The source said that the ACN unit will start its sea parcel from the US. One end-user said: “I could not
turnaround at “the beginning of October” and was expected conclude at that level as the cargoes could arrive only in
to restart at the beginning of November. The decision to 1-2 months time. But I am looking to buy 1,000-2,000
postpone the refinery maintenance was aimed at securing mt.” The same source added that the company is willing
sufficient gasoline supply on the domestic market, Lukoil’s to buy at $1,990-2,000/mt for Asian origin cargoes that
CEO Vagit Alekperov was quoted as saying by the country’s could be delivered earlier, within October. Buyers are
Prime news agency last week. One European producer still waiting on the sidelines expecting prices to come
argued that it has been able to achieve a margin expansion down further, according to market participants. Bids
in its contractual commitments for September. While were heard at $1,980-2,000/mt CFR FEA. “No buyer is
the producer calculated a Eur44/mt ACN production bidding above $2,000/mt at the moment,” a source said.
cost reduction given the recent propylene contract price Feedstock propylene costs fell $5/mt week and week with
decrease of Eur50/mt, it had achieved contract decreases of the markers assessed at $1,315/mt FOB Korea and $1,365/
no lower than Eur35/mt. “For September/October normally mt CFR China Tuesday. Propylene prices in total have
there is an uptick in demand. Fiber guys have their high shed $100/mt for the FOB Korea marker and $105/mt
time. Customers tend to come back with higher demand in for the CFR China marker since August 1, following an
October-time...coming back from (derivative) shutdowns,” a underground pipeline explosion in Taiwan. Meanwhile,
producer said. But trader sources countered that in addition ACN cargoes for the CFR South Asia marker was assessed
to still weak demand there was sufficient material available. $20/mt lower week on week to $2,035/mt. Offers were
“Demand is steady and there is product availability. heard between $2,030/mt and $2,100/mt. Buyers’ ideas
Producers have material to sell,” an industry source said. In were heard at $1,980-2,000/mt, similar to China. Some
Asia, prices were assessed at $2,035/mt, down $10/mt from sources, however, expect CFR South Asia’s price to be
the previous week. lower than other parts of the region, moving forward.
“Because India buys mostly on a spot basis, when the
United States market is going down the Indian market [price] is the
The US acrylonitrile domestic assessment rose 1 cent on the lowest. But when the market is rising, India is the
week to a seven-month high at 101 cents/lb delivered on highest,” one market participant said.
higher feedstock ammonia in September. The assessment
is at its highest since February 11 when it was at the same
level, according to Platts data. The domestic assessment is Ethylene Dichloride / Vinyl Chloride Monomer
a formula-based contract price using feedstock chemical-
grade propylene as well as ammonia, according to industry Europe
sources. The September CGP contract price rolled over from EDC: The northwest European ethylene dichloride spot
August at 71 cents/lb, and ammonia was heard at $570/ price was assessed down $10/mt FOB NWE Thursday,
mt, sources said. In the spot market, the export assessment tracking the low demand and further price fall seen in
was stable on the week at $1,980/mt FOB USG. No deals, downstream polyvinyl chloride this week. European PVC
bids or offers were heard during the week, but after close contract prices were assessed at Eur825/mt, down Eur5/
of assessment Tuesday, offers were heard as low as $1,930/ mt week on week, Wednesday. Producers conceded the
mt FOB USG. Supply in the market continued to be heard full drop in ethylene this week, due to a bearish outlook
tight, while demand was characterized as steady. Supply on the remainder of the third quarter, sources said.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 25


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

Demand in downstream PVC is reportedly weak: “Demand 9.98 billion lb. In VCM exports, July totals declined to 221
in September has not been fantastic despite converters million lbs in July from 236 million lbs in June, according
rebuilding stock [following few purchases in August], to data released by the American Fuel and Petrochemicals
customers do not want to risk buying too much,” a PVC Manufacturers on Tuesday. Exports fell from 234 million lbs to
producer said. Customers have been buying no more than 221 million lbs in July on a year-on-year basis.
necessary this month on the expectation ethylene is going
to drop further, sources said. With EDC primarily used Asia
for the production of vinyl chloride monomer, VCM then EDC: Asian ethylene dichloride was assessed flat week
being used almost entirely for the production of PVC, on week at $430/mt CFR Far East Asia and $430/mt
prices between these products are seen heavily correlated, CFR Southeast Asia Thursday in thin trade. A European-
sources say. The most recent offer of EDC came from a origin cargo for October arrival to South Korea was heard
producer at Eur300/mt FOB Rotterdam, two trade sources concluded at $430/mt but further details could not be
said. VCM: NWE VCM spot prices fell $11/mt this week, confirmed. Deepsea cargoes were heard offered to buyers
coinciding with falls in up- and downstream EDC and in Far East Asia below $450/mt CFR this week, against
PVC. Although material is sparse year round in this captive buying ideas at $410/mt CFR and below. No Asian-origin
market, one trader said, two major producers should have cargoes were heard offered amid the weak prevailing prices.
small quantities available after reporting weaker than With the volume of deepsea cargoes seen offered into Asia
expected PVC sales through August. increasing and inventory levels in China high, one market
participant said it was possible prices would drop below
United States the $400/mt floor if weak demand were to persist. Asian
EDC: Export prices held steady week on week, assessed producers were seen to be extremely reluctant to release
Thursday at $365-375/mt FOB USG, as notional trading cargoes below $450/mt due to high feedstock costs and
levels were heard at $365-375/mt. No bids, offers or trades were mulling cutting run rates rather than selling at a loss.
were heard for the week. Asia saw thin trading, and market In Southeast Asia, little activity were seen this week, and
sources have said producers have no motivation to lower no trades. VCM: Asian vinyl chloride monomer prices were
prices to meet buying interest in Asia. In EDC exports, July assessed flat week on week at $900/mt CFR Far East Asia
totals rose to 276 million lbs after exports of 267 million and up $5/mt at $950/mt CFR Southeast Asia Thursday.
lbs, according to data released by the American Fuel and September-loading cargoes were heard concluded in the
Petrochemicals Manufacturers on Tuesday. EDC exports rose range of $900-910/mt CFR China, but details could not
from 188 million lbs to 276 million lbs in July on a year-on- be confirmed. Selling indications were heard at $910/mt
year basis. In feedstocks, ethylene rose one cent on Thursday CFR Far East Asia and $910/mt FOB against buying ideas
to reach a 29-month high, assessed at 71-71.5 cents/lb FD at $870/mt CFR Far East Asia. Buyers were on the sidelines
USG for September delivery following talks of tight supply. this week anticipating October PVC prices would fall
The assessment is at its highest level since the April 9, 2012, further, with current VCM prices already causing losses
assessment of 74.125-74.625 cents/lb FD USG, Platts data for standalone PVC plants. A seller said downstream users
showed. October deliveries spiked 2 cents/lb to be assessed at were purchasing smaller VCM parcels to cover a minimum
69.75-70.25 cents/lb FD USG. One market source attributed level of production until signs of improvement emerged
the tight supply on strong demand from downstream markets in the PVC market. In Southeast Asia, a 3,000 mt October-
and low producer inventories. September was last heard loading cargo was heard traded at $950-960/mt from Far
traded on Wednesday morning at 71 cents/lb MtB Wms. The East Asia, but details could not be confirmed. One source
ethylene assessment gained 2.75 cents/lb for the week. VCM: said traded prices were inching closer to offer levels amid
Spot prices slipped $5/mt on the week, assessed Thursday limited supply, but were unlikely to reach parity due to the
at $730-740/mt FOB USG in a market heard to have limited weak PVC demand. Integrated PVC producers were mulling
activity. No bids, offers or deals were heard for the week, cutting run rates and releasing their VCM supplies into the
and market sources pegged notional trading levels at $730- spot market instead, a Far East Asian seller said.
740/mt FOB USG on declining PVC prices. Downstream,
US export polyvinyl chloride prices fell $5/mt on the week,
assessed Wednesday at $930-940/mt FAS Houston. Producer- News
to-trader offers for PVC were heard around $950/mt FAS
Houston with offers heard at $890-900/mt for trades for the
LyondellBasell maintains
second half of September. Traders have been heard rejecting
offers in the mid-900s with trading sources heard liquidating PP force majeure on Plock, Carrington
August material at reduced prices. In production, August London — LyondellBasell maintained force majeure
PVC production dropped to 1.328 billion lb (602,561 mt), on polypropylene from Carrington, England, and Plock,
down 13.2 million lb from 1.341 billion lb in July, according Poland, despite resuming “regular” supply from both
preliminary data released by the American Chemistry the plants, sources said Wednesday. LyondellBasell was
Council on Thursday. Year-to-date PVC production stands at not immediately available to confirm. LyondellBasell

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 26


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

had declared force majeure on some PP grades at its Subscriber notes (continued...)
400,000 mt/year unit in Plock, Poland, at the end of
in Texas, with standard cargo size of 5-10 million lb and
June. In Carrington, a force majeure was issued July 7 minimum purity of 99.9%. Platts has also amended the
after an outage. The plant restarted at the end of July, description for its current ethylene FD USG assessment to
despite remaining in force majeure. Sources, however, reflect the assessment of FD USG ethylene in Month 1. The
reported tight supplies of high density polyethylene from assessment codes will change as follows: AAOSR00 will
Plock’s plant. It was not clear whether the plant was in change its description from LB Ethylene FD USG cts/lb to LB
maintenance. Previously, sources reported a four week Ethylene FD USG Mo01 AAOSR03 will change its description
turnaround for the HDPE Plock plant. PP homo injection from LB Ethylene FD USG cts/lb MAvg to LB Ethylene FD
and HDPE film prices were both down week on week by USG Mo01 MAvg AAOSR05 will change its description
Eur10/mt ($12.60/mt) to Eur1,250/mt FD NWE. from LB Ethylene FD USG cts/lb WAvg to LB Ethylene FD
USG Mo01 WAvg Platts will further add new assessments
to reflect assessments for delivery in Month 2 as follows:
EU July styrene imports down 16% AAOSS00 LB Ethylene FD USG Mo02 AAOSS03 LB Ethylene
month on month to to 53,628 mt FD USG Mo02 MAvg (monthly average) AAOSS05 LB Ethylene
FD USG Mo02 WAvg (weekly average) The daily assessment
London — EU styrene imports in July fell 16%
will appear on PCA 870 and weekly average will appear
month on month to 53,628 mt, Eurostat data showed,
on PCA 301. Please direct any questions or comments to
reflecting reduced demand amid a seasonal slowdown in petchems@platts.com with a copy to pricegroup@platts.
construction-driven EPS consumption. The US remained the com. Please provide a clear indication if comments are
main exporter, supplying 41,850 mt. The fall in imports, intended for publication by Platts for public viewing. Platts
the bulk of which went into the ARA region, came despite will consider all comments received and will make these
an ongoing maintenance shutdown of the 550,000 mt/ comments available on request.
year Ellba styrene plant in the Netherlands. “Downstream
demand is very bad, worse than expected,” a source said.
Total imports continued to outpace the EU’s styrene and Turkey (4,599 mt). Exports to Egypt were supported by
exports, cementing the region’s s position as a net importer. increased feedstock styrene demand from E.Styrenics, an
Year-on-year figures showed imports rose 77%, with net Egyptian polystyrene producer.
imports up 66%. On July 1, the styrene/benzene spread in
Europe was $165/mt, down from $444/mt on the same day
Russian polypropylene maker Poliom
in 2013. Styrene producers typically require a premium of
$250-300/mt over benzene to make production economic. at full capacity after turnaround
The Eurostat data showed that in the first seven months of London — Russian polypropylene maker Poliom has
the year, import volumes rose 7.7% to 350,864 mt, mostly reached full capacity at its plant in Omsk, Western Siberia,
from the US, with 40,000 mt/month continuing to reach after a two-week turnaround, the company’s spokeswoman
Europe despite a shuttered arbitrage and representing a confirmed Wednesday. The turnaround started in mid-
continuation of contractual obligations. Exports in July August and lasted until August 29. The plant ramped up its
jumped 36% month on month to 20,125 mt, while the production capacity to 210,000 mt/year in April. Poliom is
January-July cumulative total was little changed at 120,915 part of Titan Group, a major Russian player in a number of
mt. The main export destinations were Egypt (9,997 mt) chemical and agricultural markets. The plant’s production

Global Production Update


Company Location Capacity* Timing Status
kt/yr
DAK Americas Wilmington, NC 450 PET September Plant closure
Indorama Rotterdam 400 PET Oct TA
Equipolymers Schkopau 350 PET Oct 13 TA 5 weeks, 1 line
Neogroup Klaipeda 160 PET H2 Sept TA 6 wks
Indorama Rotterdam 418 PET 14-Jul Technical issues
JBF Geleen 475 PET 14-Jun SU
TK Chemical Gumi 800 bottle Aug OR 70%
FENC Shanghai 600 bottle Aug OR 85%
FENC Taiwan 600 bottle Aug OR 80%
Lotte Ulsan 440 bottle April OR 100%
Lotte Yeosu 70 bottle H2 April TA
Sanfangxiang Jiangsu 1,500 bottle H2 April OR 100%
FENC Shanghai 1,116 bottle April OR 100%
CFR Changzhou 1,300 bottle April OR 80%
TA = scheduled turnaround; SD! = unplanned shutdown; SU = startup; DB = debottlenecking; OR = operating rate

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 27


PLATTS POLYMERSCAN september 17, 2014

is supplied both within Russia and for export to country’s barrels. Stocks in that region now stand 4.6 million barrels
such as Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Lithuania, higher than in the year-ago week. Gulf Coast stocks rose
Finland, Serbia, Bulgaria, Turkey, China and Vietnam. 325,000 barrels to 41.28 million barrels. In the previous
week, the Gulf Coast saw the largest regional decrease in
inventories, with a 601,000-barrel drop. Atlantic Coast
US propane, propylene stocks
stocks dropped 119,000 barrels to 5.61 million barrels,
reach historic 77.44 million barrels: EIA according to the EIA data. US stocks of propylene for
Houston — US propane and propylene stocks reached nonfuel use decreased 252,000 barrels week on week to
77.44 million barrels for the reporting week ending 3.3 million barrels. Imports in the reporting week declined
September 12, Energy Information Administration data 56,000 b/d to 58,000 b/d. Implied demand declined 18.22%
showed Wednesday. The stocks are now at its highest week-on-week to 1.1 million b/d Gulf Coast propane at
since May 5, 1993 when EIA started reporting US stocks the Enterprise terminal in the Mont Belvieu, Texas, hub
for propane and propylene. The US inventory rose 1.4 was trading at $1.10/gal on IntercontinentalExchange
million barrels for the current reporting week whereas in Wednesday morning, some 75 points lower than at 3:15 pm
the previous year the inventory dropped 59,000 barrels in EDT (1915 GMT) Tuesday. Conway propane was trading at
the comparable week. Midwest saw the highest regional lift $1.08/gal on IntercontinentalExchange, which was 2 cents
of 1.12 million barrels to an ending stocks of 27.35 million lower than at 3:15 pm EDT Tuesday.

POLYMERSCAN Volume 37 / Issue 37 / September 17, 2014

Editorial: Sydney +61-2-9255-9842. Singapore +65-6530-6584. Tokyo +81-3-4550-8837. London +44-20-7176-6264. New York +1-212-904-3070. Houston +1-713-658-3206.
Client services information: North America: 800-PLATTS8 (800-752-8878); direct: +1-212-904-3070 Europe & Middle East: +44-20-7176-6111 Asian Pacific: +65-6530-6430
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Copyright © 2014 McGraw Hill Financial. All rights reserved. No portion of this publication may be photocopied, reproduced, retransmitted, put into a computer system or otherwise
redistributed without prior written authorization from Platts. Platts is a trademark of McGraw Hill Financial. Information has been obtained from sources believed reliable. However, because
of the possibility of human or mechanical error by sources, McGraw Hill Financial or others, McGraw Hill Financial does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any such
information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from use of such information. See back of publication invoice for complete terms and conditions.

Copyright © 2014, McGraw Hill Financial 28


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